eur/usd

Dollar ke khilaf euro ka charhao jumerat ko rok diya gaya jab naumeed kun US data ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate ko kam karne ke plans ke hawale se concerns ko dobara zinda kar diya. Europe aur US dono se musbat ma'ashi data ne pehle euro ko izafa diya tha. Magar, US ki khidmatat industry PMI ka 51.3 se 54.8 tak izafa hone par investors ne dollar mein panah talash ki, kyunki yeh safe haven currency samjhi jati hai. Yeh data Federal Reserve ki September mein koi nihayat bari rate cut ki umeed ko kam kar deta hai. Jis rate cut ki umeed is hafte ke shuru mein thi, lekin ab interest rate traders kisi bhi halki kami ki bhi tawaqo nahi kar rahe. Yeh sentiment ka tabadla bazaar ki pehli tawaqo se bilkul mukhtalif hai, jab kam az kam 2024 ke ikhtitami tak kam az kam chhe rate cuts ki umeed thi. Maheenay ke aakhir tak, rate cut ki umeedain kam ho gayi hain, kuch investors sirf December ke aakhri mahine mein hi koi karwai ki sambhavna par lagaye hue hain.
Aage dekhte hue, Germany ke GDP figures pehle quarter ke liye 0.2% ka izafah dikhane ki umeed hai. US ke durable goods orders ke liye April mein 0.8% ki kami ka izafah hai, jo peechle maheene mein 2.6% ke taqatwar izafah ke baad aayega. Takneeki front par, euro ke samne 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke darjat par rukawat hai. Agar khareedne wale in rukawaton ko paar kar sakte hain, toh 1.0940 ke darjat ka dobara test mumkin hai. Mazeed izafah phir 1.0980-1.1000 zone ko nishana banaya ja sakta hai, jo traders ke liye ek ahem rukawat ka ilaqa hai. Ulta, agar euro 1.0814 ke support level se neeche gir jati hai, toh downtrend line aur 200 aur 50-day simple moving averages ke qareeb 1.0785 tak test kar sakta hai. Barqarar bechne ka dabao phir dekh sakta hai ke 20-day moving average 1.0765 temporary support pesh kar sakta hai. Is level se neeche girne ki surat mein 1.0720 ke darjat ki chhedai dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo ek bearish trend ko tasdeeq kar sakta hai.

Aakhri mein, euro ka foran ka manzar is par mabni hai ke agar wo 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke aas paas ki rukawat ko paar kar sakti hai. Agar yeh rukawat door ho jaati hai, toh euro mein kuch izafah ki sambhavna hai. Lekin, agar yeh 1.0814 ke support level se neeche gir jaye, toh ek taza wave bechne ki surat mein shuru ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ka analysis debatable hai. Aayiye is mahine ke EUR/USD pair ke technical analysis ka jaiza lete hain. Humne dekha ke 61.8% Fibonacci level ke thoda upar ek correction hui hai. Iss dauran, cycle ne re-zone ke upar move kiya hai, jo kuch dinon mein previous trend par wapas jane ka indication hai. Magar, hum April ke daily resistance zone ko ya us period ke last selling zone ko surpass nahi kar sake. Jab tak yeh zone likely hai, bullish trend consider karna premature hoga.Friday ko H1 time frame par EUR/USD currency pair ne teen bearish absorption signals dikhaye, jo short positions indicate karte hain. Magar, price 1.0862 target level tak nahi pohanch saka, jo 1.0843 se potential long position development ko suggest karta hai. 1.0862 ko retest karne ke baad, mein predict karta hoon ke rebound 1.0815 tak hoga, phir wapas 1.0847 aur phir push 1.0807 tak hoga.[time frame par, price ne do martaba 1.0805 ko touch kiya, jo critical level hai jahan sirf long positions upar honi chahiye. Is time frame par double bottom likely unfinished hai, aur 1.0862-1.0885 zone ka retest probable hai. Abhi, EUR/USD 1.0833 par trade kar raha hai aur selling zone 1.0844 ki taraf jaane ka imkan hai. Price ko 1.0826 zone ke upar break karna hoga aur foothold gain karna hoga, jo buyers ki strength ko confirm karega. Jab tak price is range mein rehta hai, buying relevant hai. Agar currency is zone ke upar hai, to buy signal form hoga. Is case mein, stop order ko nearest price curve ke thoda neeche place karein. Agar currency pair critical 1.0842 zone ke neeche drop hota hai aur trend line break karta hai, to bull apni range hold nahi kar sakega, aur initiative bears ke paas chala jayega.

Euro ke dollar ke muqable mein izafa, Jumeraat ko roka gaya jab ke ghair mutawaqqa tor par mazboot US data ne Federal Reserve ke sukoonat ki skimen per dobara fikar ko janam dia. Europe aur US dono se positive ma'ashi data ne pehlay euro ko barhaya. Magar, US services industry PMI ka 51.3 se 54.8 ka chalang, umeed se zyada tha, jis se investors dollar mein panah lene lage kyun ke isay aik mehfooz currency samjha jata hai. Ye data, September mein Fed ke taraf se aik significant rate cut ke intezar ko kam kar diya. Hafte ke aghaz mein September rate cut ki umeed thi, lekin ab interest rate traders ko aik choti cut bhi mushkil lag rahi hai. Ye tabdeeli, market ke pehlay intezar ke muqable mein kaafi mukhtalif hai, jo ke 2024 ke akhir tak kam az kam che rate cuts ke mutawaqqa tha. May ke aakhir tak, rate cut ke umeed kam hoti nazar aa rahi hai, kuch investors sirf December ke aakhir mein ek move ka imkaan dekh rahe hain. Aage dekhte hue, Germany ke pehle quarter ke GDP figures se kuch stability 0.2% par umeed hai. US durable goods orders bhi April ke liye shamil hain, jisme 0.8% kami ka imkaan hai. Ye pichle mahine ke mazboot 2.6% izafa ke baad hoga.
Technical front par, euro ko 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke levels par muzahmat ka samna hai. Agar kharidaar in rukawaton ko paar kar lein, to 1.0940 level ka dobara test mumkin hai. Agle izafay ka target 1.0980-1.1000 zone ho sakta hai, jo ke traders ke liye aik ahm muzahmat ka area hai. Doosri taraf, agar euro 1.0814 support level se neeche girta hai, to aik breakout ho sakta hai. Ye breakout, 200 aur 50-day simple moving averages ke 1.0785 ke kareeb, downtrend line ka test mumkin bana sakta hai. Barqarar selling pressure se 20-day moving average 1.0765 par temporary support mil sakta hai. Is level se neeche break karna 1.0720 level ke breach ko dekh sakta hai, jo ke aik bearish trend ko tasdeek kar sakta hai. Akhir mein, euro ka foran outlook is baat par mabni hai ke wo 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke aspas ke muzahmat ko paar kar sakta hai ke nahi. Agar ye rukawat door ho jati hai, to euro kuch upside potential dekh sakta hai. Magar, 1.0814 support level se neeche break karna aik nai selling wave ko trigger kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD ke kharidaron ke liye haalaat is waqt waqai ache lag rahe hain, khas taur par Jumma ke din market ke 1.0848 zone ko cross kar lene ke baad. Yeh level technical analysis ke lehaz se aik significant resistance tha, jise cross karne ka matlab hai ke bulls yani kharidaron ka upper hand hai aur yeh bullish sentiment ka indication hai. Is development ke peeche kuch aham wajahain hain jo kharidaron ko mazid encouragement deti hain. Sabse pehle, Eurozone aur US ke economic indicators par nazar daaltay hain. Recent data ne Eurozone me economic stability aur growth ki nishandahi ki hai, jo Euro ke liye positive signal hai. Germany, jo Eurozone ki sb se bari economy hai, ke GDP growth rate aur employment data improve hue hain. Is ke ilawa, ECB (European Central Bank) ne bhi interest rates ko stable rakha hai, jo ke kharidaron ke liye aik acha signal hai kyonke low interest rates ka matlab hota hai ke borrowing aur spending increase hoti hai. Dusri taraf, US me bhi kuch challenges samnay aaye hain. Federal Reserve (Fed) ne apni monetary policy me koi significant change nahi kiya, jo ke market expectations ke against tha. Is wajah se Dollar thoda weak hua hai. Iske ilawa, US me inflation ki concerns barh rahi hain, jo Dollar ki strength ko undermine kar rahi hain. Yeh sab factors mil kar Euro ki strength aur Dollar ki weakness ko contribute kar rahe hain, jo EUR/USD pair ko upar ki taraf push kar rahe hain.

Technical analysis par agar wapas aain, to 1.0848 ka level cross karna aik significant breakout tha. Is breakout ke baad next major resistance levels 1.0900 aur 1.0950 ke qareeb hain. Agar market in levels ko bhi cross kar jati hai, to phir yeh indication hogi ke long-term bullish trend start ho gaya hai. Moving averages, jese ke 50-day aur 200-day, bhi upward direction me hain, jo ke ek positive sign hai. Trading volume bhi increase hui hai is breakout ke saath, jo ke is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke market participants ne is move ko support kiya hai. Higher volume ka matlab hai ke market me confidence hai aur yeh move sustainable ho sakti hai. Lekin, kharidaron ko cautious rehna chahiye kyun ke forex market me volatility hamesha high hoti hai. Political events, economic data releases, aur central bank policies kabhi bhi trend ko reverse kar sakti hain. Risk management aur proper stop-loss orders lagana zaroori hai taake unexpected market movements se bacha ja sake. Akhir me, EUR/USD ki current situation kharidaron ke lehaz se positive lag rahi hai. Technical breakout, economic indicators, aur market sentiment sab bullish hain. Lekin, forex trading me hamesha risk hota hai, isliye hamesha informed decisions aur risk management strategies ko follow karna chahiye.

Euro ke dollar ke muqable mein izafa, Jumeraat ko roka gaya jab ghair mutawaqqa tor par mazboot US data ne Federal Reserve ke sukoonat ki skimen per dobara fikar ko janam dia. Europe aur US dono ke positive ma'ashi data ne pehlay euro ko barhaya, magar US services industry PMI ka 51.3 se 54.8 ka chalang umeed se zyada tha, jis se investors dollar mein panah lene lage kyun ke isay aik mehfooz currency samjha jata hai. Ye data, September mein Fed ke taraf se aik significant rate cut ke intezar ko kam kar diya. Hafte ke aghaz mein September rate cut ki umeed thi, lekin ab interest rate traders ko aik choti cut bhi mushkil lag rahi hai. Ye tabdeeli, market ke pehlay intezar ke muqable mein kaafi mukhtalif hai, jo ke 2024 ke akhir tak kam az kam che rate cuts ke mutawaqqa tha. May ke aakhir tak, rate cut ke umeed kam hoti nazar aa rahi hai, kuch investors sirf December ke aakhir mein ek move ka imkaan dekh rahe hain. Aage dekhte hue, Germany ke pehle quarter ke GDP figures se kuch stability 0.2% par umeed hai. US durable goods orders bhi April ke liye shamil hain, jisme 0.8% kami ka imkaan hai. Ye pichle mahine ke mazboot 2.6% izafa ke baad hoga.
Technical front par, euro ko 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke levels par muzahmat ka samna hai. Agar kharidaar in rukawaton ko paar kar lein, to 1.0940 level ka dobara test mumkin hai. Agle izafay ka target 1.0980-1.1000 zone ho sakta hai, jo ke traders ke liye aik ahm muzahmat ka area hai. Doosri taraf, agar euro 1.0814 support level se neeche girta hai, to aik breakout ho sakta hai. Ye breakout, 200 aur 50-day simple moving averages ke 1.0785 ke kareeb, downtrend line ka test mumkin bana sakta hai. Barqarar selling pressure se 20-day moving average 1.0765 par temporary support mil sakta hai. Is level se neeche break karna 1.0720 level ke breach ko dekh sakta hai, jo ke aik bearish trend ko tasdeek kar sakta hai. Akhir mein, euro ka foran outlook is baat par mabni hai ke wo 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke aspas ke muzahmat ko paar kar sakta hai ke nahi. Agar ye rukawat door ho jati hai, to euro kuch upside potential dekh sakta hai. Magar, 1.0814 support level se neeche break karna aik nai selling wave ko trigger kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD D-1

Hum tajziyaat jari rakhte hain euro/dollar pair ke liye aur mein daily chart se shuru karna chahunga. Hum D1 timeframe kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke neeche ki taraf ja rahi keemat ka channel, jismein euro/dollar pair kafi arsay tak trading kar raha tha, pehle se tor diya gaya tha. Resistance line ko tor kar, major mazeed barh gaya aur jab hum is tajziyaati post ko likh rahe hain, euro/dollar 1.0892 ke darje par trading ho raha hai aur technically sab kuch uttar chhaap channel ke andar barhne ka ishaara hai. Support line se rebound karne ke baad, jo ke 1.0800 ke darje par thi, euro/dollar pair uttar ki taraf chala gaya aur ab uttar ki taraf ke channel mein ek uttar ki lahron ka samna kar raha hai. Technically, bullon ke liye nishana hai 1.0970 ke darje (March ke local maximum se).

Daily Chart



EUR/USD M-30

Maine EUR/USD ke liye daily chart ka tajziya kiya, aur ab main ek aadha ghanta ka timeframe kholna chahta hoon. Is par, ek bada slope ke saath uttar ka channel pehle se tor diya gaya tha aur major ne ek naya ascending price channel bana liya tha jismein chhota slope tha, jismein euro/dollar uttar ke channel ke upper border ke qareeb trading kar raha hai. Mojudah darje 1.0892 se, hum zyada tarbar se barhte hue aur kharidari karne wale ke liye nishana hai resistance line ke torne ka dobara, jis ka toro akhir mein ek naye wave ki barhti hui or le ke aayega aur darmiyani muddat ke trading ke nazariye se, main 1.0920 ke peechle local maximum ke torne ka dobara test ka intezaar kar raha hoon.

Isi ke saath, ek mukammal technical nazarriya diya gaya tha euro/dollar pair ke liye, lekin hume fundamental tajziyaat ke bare mein bhoolna nahi chahiye.

EUR/USD Price Outlook

Main abhi EUR/USD currency pair ka price action evaluation study kar raha hoon. Euro yahan kaafi technical tareeqay se move karta hai. Sellers ko nuksan hoga, aur buyers ek mazboot move karenge. Yehi "big game" ka asal hai, jis mein organiser ko faida hota hai. Humara maqsad iss event mein apna hissa lena aur side par ho jana hai. Main dekhoon ga ke organiser hamare liye kya proposal rakhta hai. Strong upward movement ke baad, market mein ek logical downward correction dekhne ko milega. Subha main suggest karoon ga ke hum 1.0874-1.0885 middle zone jo kal toota tha, wapas jayen, jo recent market low par bana hai. Downward correction expected hai. Bears koshish karenge ke price ko middle zone 1.0873-1.0886 se neeche push karen, aur quarter zone 1.0862-1.0877 se bhi tod den. Magar bulls jaldi intervene karenge, euro ko upar push karte hue. Ab mujhe lagta hai ke hum unke saath join kar sakte hain.

Main expect karta hoon ke prices 3/4 ke resistance 1.0916-1.0928 margin zone ko test karen. Bulls ko yeh resistance zone todna chahiye taake target kar saken margin zone 1.0952-1.0977 ko. EUR/USD kuch dinon tak thoda chaotic rahega. Main 1.0817 pe selling aur buying close karne ka target karoon ga, magar pair 1.0825 tak reverse karega. Aaj bhi ek similar scenario hoga 1.0859 par, jahan main trades close karne ka plan karoon ga, magar price local low 1.0853 tak girega phir growth resume hogi. Market price wapas 1.0888 level par ayega, jahan yeh stagnate karega. Dono scenarios (return to 1.09 ya fall to 1.0855) equally likely lagte hain. Isliye, mera koi further action lene ka irada nahi hai; main status quo maintain karoon ga aur kal jab European session shuru hoga tab decide karoon ga agar 1.0856 level pehle likely ho.

Yeh lagta hai ke aap EUR/USD pair par daily chart par baat kar rahe hain, hal ki trading ke activities par ghoor kar rahe hain aur potential future movements par soch rahe hain. Yahan ek khulasa hai:
1. **Trading par Ghoor**: Aap hal ki trades par ghoor rahe hain, jismein EUR/USD aur GBP trades dono band ho gaye hain, shayad mukhtalif natayej ko darust karne ki ishaaraat hain.

2. **Economic Calendar**: Aap ne economic calendar dekha aur doosre quarter ke GDP volume ke tabadlay ke baare mein khabrein dekhi, jahan bazaar ke reaction ka imkaan hai.

3. **Technical Analysis**: EUR/USD ke daily wave chart par:
- Aap ne inclined channel ka upper guide thoda neeche kar diya hai behtar alignment ke liye.
- Keemat upper band (1.0885 ke aas paas) aur MA100 (1.0800 ke aas paas) ke darmiyan chhote inclined channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai.
- Keemat ne MA100 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo ek potential downtrend ko ishaara karta hai.
- MA100 ko aur mazeed guidance ke liye dekh rahe hain, jahan MA100 ke neeche rehna bearish signal ko darust karta hai.
- MA100 is hafte ke liye ek flat mood ko darust karta hai, jabki MA18 uparward trend kar raha hai, jahan ek potential golden cross ka vikas ho sakta hai.
- Ichimoku Cloud abhi bechne ki rangat mein hai lekin bullish forecast perspective mein tabdeel ho sakta hai.

4. **Resistance Levels**: 1.0800 aur 1.0790 ke resistance levels par nazar rakhte hain.

Aam tor par, lagta hai ke aap mukhtalif technical indicators aur market sentiment ko analyze kar rahe hain taake EUR/USD pair ke potential price movements ko pehchaan sakein, khaaskar MA100 aur resistance levels ke asar par tawajjo dete

EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis
Current Market Contexte EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading around 1.0880, indicating potential market activity despite its sluggish pace. Anticipated market movements in the near future make it important to monitor.

Recent Performance
Recently, the EUR/USD pair has been under pressure due to several factors. A strong US dollar, bolstered by robust economic data and a relatively hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve, has contributed to the euro's decline. Conversely, the eurozone faces slow economic growth and uncertainties around the European Central Bank (ECB)'s monetary policy, keeping the EUR/USD pair on a bearish path.

Fundamental Analysis

US Economic Strength
The US economy has shown strength with positive job data, consumer spending, and overall economic growth outpacing the eurozone. The Federal Reserve has indicated that if inflationary pressures persist, further interest rate hikes are possible. Higher interest rates tend to attract foreign investment, strengthening the US dollar.

Eurozone Challenges
The eurozone faces persistent inflation but slow economic growth. The ECB is cautiously balancing the need to control inflation without dampening economic growth. Additionally, political tensions and the energy crisis exacerbated by the Ukraine conflict add to Europe’s economic uncertainty.

Technical Analysis

Current Trends
Technically, the EUR/USD has been in a downtrend, with key support and resistance levels playing crucial roles. The 1.0880 level is a significant support, but ongoing bearish pressure could push the pair to test lower support levels around 1.0850 or even 1.0800.

Moving Averages
The bearish momentum is confirmed by moving averages (e.g., 50-day and 200-day moving averages) showing a downward trend when short-term moving averages are below long-term ones. This crossover indicates continued downward pressure.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI hovering in the lower range suggests that the pair is approaching oversold conditions, indicating a potential short-term rebound, although the broad trend remains bearish.

Future Expectations

Economic Data Releases
Upcoming economic data from the US and the eurozone will be crucial. Key indicators like GDP growth rates, employment figures, and inflation data will help gauge the economic health of both regions and influence market sentiment.


Central Bank Actions
Statements and decisions from the Federal Reserve and ECB will be closely watched. Any hints of policy changes, particularly regarding interest rates, could cause volatility in the EUR/USD pair. For example, a more dovish stance from the ECB or a less aggressive approach from the Fed could support the euro.

Geopolitical Developments
Geopolitical events, especially those related to the Ukraine conflict and its impact on European energy supplies, could cause significant fluctuations. Any resolution or escalation could impact the EUR/USD exchange rate.

Market Sentiment
Market sentiment, influenced by global risk factors, investor confidence, and speculative trading, will also play a role. Changes in risk appetite due to global economic conditions or unexpected geopolitical events could lead to sharp movements.

Conclusion
In summary, while the EUR/USD pair is currently in a bearish trend around the 1.0880 level, several factors could lead to significant movements in the coming days. Economic data releases, central bank actions, geopolitical developments, and market sentiment are key. Traders should remain vigilant, closely monitoring these factors to prepare for potential volatility and opportunities in the EUR/USD market.

Euro ke dollar ke muqable mein izafa, Jumeraat ko roka gaya jab ke ghair mutawaqqa tor par mazboot US data ne Federal Reserve ke sukoonat ki skimen per dobara fikar ko janam dia. Europe aur US dono se positive ma'ashi data ne pehlay euro ko barhaya. Magar, US services industry PMI ka 51.3 se 54.8 ka chalang, umeed se zyada tha, jis se investors dollar mein panah lene lage kyun ke isay aik mehfooz currency samjha jata hai. Ye data, September mein Fed ke taraf se aik significant rate cut ke intezar ko kam kar diya. Hafte ke aghaz mein September rate cut ki umeed thi, lekin ab interest rate traders ko aik choti cut bhi mushkil lag rahi hai. Ye tabdeeli, market ke pehlay intezar ke muqable mein kaafi mukhtalif hai, jo ke 2024 ke akhir tak kam az kam che rate cuts ke mutawaqqa tha. May ke aakhir tak, rate cut ke umeed kam hoti nazar aa rahi hai, kuch investors sirf December ke aakhir mein ek move ka imkaan dekh rahe hain.
Aage dekhte hue, Germany ke pehle quarter ke GDP figures se kuch stability 0.2% par umeed hai. US durable goods orders bhi April ke liye shamil hain, jisme 0.8% kami ka imkaan hai. Ye pichle mahine ke mazboot 2.6% izafa ke baad hoga.

Technical front par, euro ko 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke levels par muzahmat ka samna hai. Agar kharidaar in rukawaton ko paar kar lein, to 1.0940 level ka dobara test mumkin hai. Agle izafay ka target 1.0980-1.1000 zone ho sakta hai, jo ke traders ke liye aik ahm muzahmat ka area hai. Doosri taraf, agar euro 1.0814 support level se neeche girta hai, to aik breakout ho sakta hai. Ye breakout, 200 aur 50-day simple moving averages ke 1.0785 ke kareeb, downtrend line ka test mumkin bana sakta hai. Barqarar selling pressure se 20-day moving average 1.0765 par temporary support mil sakta hai. Is level se neeche break karna 1.0720 level ke breach ko dekh sakta hai, jo ke aik bearish trend ko tasdeek kar sakta hai.

Akhir mein, euro ka foran outlook is baat par mabni hai ke wo 1.0895 aur 1.0900 ke aspas ke muzahmat ko paar kar sakta hai ke nahi. Agar ye rukawat door ho jati hai, to euro kuch upside potential dekh sakta hai. Magar, 1.0814 support level se neeche break karna aik nai selling wave ko trigger kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD H4 Euro - US Dollar. Heiken Ashi candles ke configuration, sath hi TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke signals, select kiye gaye currency pair/instrument ke liye yeh maloom karte hain ke market kaafi ummeed se bullish reversal mein hai. Heiken Ashi candles, aam Japanese candles ke mukable mein ek smoothing aur average price value dikhati hain, jo takneeki tajziya ko kafi aasan banati hai aur trading faislon ki durustagi ko barha deti hai. TMA channel indicator (laal, neela aur peela rangon ki lines) double-smoothed moving averages par support aur resistance lines banaata hai aur saaf taur par instrument ki movement ke ab waqt ke hadood ko dikhata hai. Ek mazeed trade filtering oscillator ke tor par jo Heiken Ashi ke saath behtareen natayej dikhata hai, hum basic RSI indicator ka istemal karte hain.


Chaartra par mojood instrument ke chart par aap dekh sakte hain ke candles ka rang neela ho gaya hai aur is tarah se bullish driver ki priority ki taqat ko zor se zahir kiya gaya hai. Keemat ne channel ka nichla sarhad (laal dotted line) cross kiya aur, neeche ke nukta se takra kar, dobara apni darmiyani line (peeli dotted line) ki taraf rukh kar gaya. Isi doran, RSI oscillator mazeed khareedne ka signal tasdeeq karta hai, kyun ke is ki curve ab taraqqi ke rukh mein hai aur overbought level ke qareeb nahi hai. Is lehaz se, hum ek mantegi nateeja nikal sakte hain ke yeh ek munafa mand lambi kharidari ka moqa hai behtareen keemat par, taake market ke hawale se, jo keemat 1.09493 ke darje par hai, channel ka upper boundary (neela dotted line) tak pohanch sakein.

HAPPY KILLER EUR/USD TRADING DISCUSSION
EUR/USD kal, ek chhote se southern pullback ke baad, keemat palat gayi aur kaafi bharosa dilane wali tarah se uttar ki taraf dhakka diya, jiske natije mein ek poori bullish candle ka banavat hui, jo apni uttar ki parchi ko update karne mein kamyab rahi. Mein puri tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke aaj umeed hai ke izaafa jaari rahega aur is surat mein, jaise maine pehle bhi kai bar kaha hai, mein nigahein mazid uthaunga resistance level par, jo 1.09425 par sthit hai ya resistance level par, jo 1.09812 par sthit hai. In resistance levels ke qareebi, do manzur scenario mukhtasir ho sakte hain. Pehla manzarah keema 1.09425 ya 1.09812 ke muqable mein dam karne aur mazeed uttar ki taraf liye jane se mutaliq hai. Agar ye mansooba kaamyaab ho, to mein umeed karta hoon ke dam 1.11393 par jaayega. Agar keema is resistance level ke upar pakadta hai, to mein mazeed uttar ki taraf ki manzur umeed karta hoon, 1.12757 par sthit resistance level tak. Is resistance level ke qareebi, mein trading setup ka banavat ka intezaar karonga, jo trading ka aage ka rukh tay karega. Beshak, mein tasleem karta hoon ke keemat door ki taraf nishchit hadaf ki taraf jati hue, southern pullbacks ban sakte hain, jo main umeed karta hoon ke sabse nazdeek ke support levels se bullish signals ki talash mein istemal karonga, uttar ke keemat ki movement ko dobare banane ki umeed mein, ek global bullish trend ke hissay ke tor par. Keemat ki harakat ke liye ek doosra intikhabi intekhab jab tak 1.09425 ya 1.09812 ke resistance level ke qareebi karte hain, ek muddat hai jahan ek muddat hai aur mojooda rukh ka barhao diya jayega, jise dobara southern harkat ko barhane ki umeed hai. Agar ye mansooba kaamyaab ho, to mein keemat ka intezar karonga ke 1.08543 par sthit support level ya 1.07882 par sthit support level tak laut kar aaye. Mein in support levels ke qareebi me bullish signals ki talash karna jari rakonga, uttar ke keemat ki harkat ko dobara shuru karne ki umeed mein. Aam tor par, issay mukhtasir karne ke liye, aaj mein poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke keemat shumali harkat ko push kiya ja sakta hai, nazdeeki resistance level tak, aur phir woh bazaar ke maahol se age barhega, shumali manzar par fazilat deta.

EUR/USD H-1 Timeframe Analysis:

Ye pair is waqt EMA50 ki taraf girne ki koshish kar raha hai aur EMA20 ko torhne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke 1.0870 par hai. Eurogroup meeting chal rahi hai aur comments ke base par movement ho sakti hai. Technically, pair abhi key supports ke upar hai, lekin isi waqt upward trend aur downward ascending channel se bahar nikalne ka option bhi dikhata hai. Agar aaj hum 1.0885 range ko torh kar upar consolidate karte hain, to ye buy ka signal hoga. Agar hum 1.0915 range ko torh kar upar consolidate karte hain, to ye rate ke barhne ka signal hoga. Agar 1.0850 range ka false breakout confirm ho jata hai, to iske baad growth continue hogi. Abhi ke liye, main expect karta hoon ke rate continue karega aur 1.0915 range ko torh dega. Agar 1.0915 range ko torh kar upar fix ho jata hai, to growth further continue hogi. Agar 1.0890 range ko torhne me kamyabi milti hai, to growth further continue karegi. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke chhoti si downward correction ke baad growth continue kare. Agar 1.0915 range torh jata hai, to growth continue hogi aur aap purchases open kar sakte hain. Abhi ke liye, main expect karta hoon ke 1.0895 range torhne ka aur upar consolidate karne ka, jo buy ka signal hoga. Agar aap 1.0915 ko torhne me kamyab hote hain aur upar consolidate karte hain, to ye buy ko continue karne ka signal hoga.

EMA (Exponential Moving Average) ka istimaal trend ki direction aur potential reversal points ko identify karne ke liye hota hai. Bollinger Bands bhi significant hain kyunke ye middle band (usually SMA) aur do outer bands par mabni hain jo middle band se standard deviations ke faaslay par hote hain. Jab price upper band ki taraf move karti hai, to ye overbought conditions ko indicate karta hai, aur jab lower band ki taraf move karti hai, to ye oversold conditions ko suggest karta hai. Iske ilawa, Stochastic Oscillator aur Demand Index price movement ki further confirmation dete hain, jabke Average True Range (ATR) market ko measure karta hai.

EURUSD



EUR/USD joray nay Thursday ko rollercoaster

safar ka samna kiya, apni haal ki bulandi ta pohanch kar phir 1.0870 ke neeche gir gaya subah ke trading mein. Phir usne apni nuqsan ko wapas hasil kiya aur US session ko 1.0900 ke qareeb band kiya. Ye be-ittifaqiyat ECB ke intezar ke baad aati hai jo is hafte ek chauthai hissa ka interest rate cut kiya. ECB ke andar sources ke mutabiq policy makers July mein mazeed kisi tara ki kami nahi karenge, jaise ke kuch investors umeedwar the. Ye, September mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ki umeedon ke sath, euro aur dollar ke darmiyan ek nihayat lambi faslay ki mumkinat ko kam karta hai. Ab sab dehan Friday ke Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data par hain, jismein wazeh umeedain hain ke May mein net naye jobs 185,000 tak barh jayenge, mukhtalif se 175,000 pichle mahine se. Mehnat ki mazeed barhti hui umeed hai. American trading session ke bad ECB President Christine Lagarde ki shakhsiyat is hafte ke bade tijarati waqiyon ka ikhtitam karegi.







Technical indicators short-term uncertainty ka tasavvur pesh karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral threshold 50 ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, kisi wazeh raftar ka ishara na dene wala. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, agar musbat momentum barh jaye, toh pair ko 1.0900 ke nafsiyati darje tak mukhalif mukhalifat ka samna kar sakta hai. Agar ye point par torr ho gaya, toh upper trend ka rukh badal jayega aur 1.0940 aur 1.0980-1.1000 zones ko khol sakta hai. Magar, agle sessions mein bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein kami ka samna ho sakta hai. Support levels 1.0800, 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 1.0785 par, aur dono 50-day SMA aur 200-day SMA jo 1.0770 ke aas paas mil rahe hain. Agar ye milaawat is musalsal average line ke neeche ho gayi toh ek taza downtrend ka ishara ho ga, 1.0720 ke level tak pohanch sakta hai. Overall, euro dollar ke khilaf khud ko technical tor par dobara bana raha hai us ke baad jab haal ki downtrend ko tor diya gaya. Pair ab ek bullish range mein jam raha hai jo 200-day SMA 1.0807 par define kiya gaya hai. Darmiyan-term bullish pattern ko nuksan pohancha gaya hai, ek kami ke rukh 1.0800 level tak kharidaron ko market mein wapas laa sakta hai, khas tor par jab 50-day SMA lambi term ke average ke sath milti hai. Anay wale NFP data aur Lagarde ki taqreer chand ahem factors honge jo euro ke rukh ko short term mein mutasir karenge.

EUR/USD pair ne Thursday ko rollercoaster ride experience ki, apni recent peak ko touch karte hue 1.0870 ke niche gir gaya early trading mein. Phir yeh apne losses recover karke US session ke qareeb 1.0900 par close hua. Yeh indecisiveness, European Central Bank (ECB) ke long-awaited interest rate cut of a quarter-point ke bawajood hai jo is week hua. ECB ke sources yeh suggest karte hain ke policymakers July mein dusra reduction implement nahi karenge, jaise kuch investors anticipate kar rahe the. Yeh aur expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, euro aur dollar ke darmiyan significant widening ka possibility dampen karte hain. Sab ki nazar ab Friday ke Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data par hai, jahan moderate forecasts predict kar rahe hain ke net new jobs May mein 185,000 tak rise karenge, jo pichle mahine 175,000 the. Wage growth bhi slightly inch up hone ki umeed hai. Later in the American trading session, ECB President Christine Lagarde ka appearance week ke major market events ko end karega.

Technical indicators short-term uncertainty ka picture paint kar rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral threshold of 50 ke around hover kar raha hai, clear directional signal ke bina. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, positive territory mein hone ke bawajood, bearish signal line se challenged hai. Agar positive momentum build hoti hai, to pair psychological level 1.0900 ke qareeb resistance face kar sakta hai. Is point ke upar break hone se upper trend shift hogi aur potentially 1.0940 aur 1.0980-1.1000 zones ke door open ho sakte hain. Magar, agar bullish momentum maintain nahi hota agle sessions mein, to downside turn dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Support levels include 1.0800, 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.0785, aur 50-day SMA aur 200-day SMA dono converge ho rahe hain around 1.0770. Is combined average line ke niche breach hone se renewed downtrend ka signal milega, potentially reaching the 1.0720 level. Overall, euro technically apne aap ko dollar ke against rebuild kar raha hai recent downtrend ke break hone ke baad. Pair currently consolidate kar raha hai ek bullish range mein defined by the 200-day SMA at 1.0807. Medium-term bullish pattern ko dent laga hai, magar ek decline towards the 1.0800 level buyers ko wapas market mein entice kar sakta hai, especially jahan 50-day SMA longer-term average se intersect karta hai. Upcoming NFP data aur Lagarde ka speech euro ke direction ko short term mein influence karenge.