Eur/usd

EUR/USD currency pair ne 1.0867 tak minor correction dikhai hai, jo ke ek upward trend ka ibtidaar darust karti hai. Mojooda dor mein, yeh pair is hi level ke atraaf ghoom raha hai, aur mazeed baqaedgi ka imkan hai. Agar thori si kami 1.0859 tak ho jati hai, to yeh temporary rukawat ke tor par dekhi jani chahiye pehle se barhne wale istemal ke liye. 1.0886 ke upar sey guzar kar barqarar rehna, bullish signal ko tasdeeq karega. Market ka aham support level 1.0867 hai jo is badti hui trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye zaroori hai. Hamari koshishen exchange rate ko barhane par mabni hain, 1.0886 maqsaad ko hasaal karne ke liye. Is hadd tak ka trade jari rehne ka samjha diya hai, jo muhim ko nazar andaz karne ki ahmiyat ko zyada barhati hai. Magar, EUR/USD pair ko US dollar se pressure ka saamna hai, jo neechay ki taraf barhti hui 1.0857 tak shadeed giravat ka ba'is bani hai. Ek bara manzar par, currency pair 1.0000 tak pohanch sakta hai, lekin pehle hamein 1.0827 ko dobara dekhna hoga aur shayad toorna hoga. Yeh harkat kal ho sakti hai, jise Jumeraat ke US session ke ikhtitaam tak 1.0805 tak giravat aane ka intezar hai. Market mein dakhul karte waqt ehtiyaat ki zarurat hai, kyun ke aisehi surprises samne aa sakti hain.







EUR/USD exchange rate ager ubhar ke 1.0885 tak pohanch jaye, to yeh recovery hui. Yeh traders ko apne positions ko bechna samajhne ki ijazat de sakti hai. Mojooda market halat indicate karti hain ke EUR/USD currency pair ke liye mukhtalif nazar hai. Halanke pehli nishanat ek ascending trend ki taraf ishara deti hain, jise 1.0867 sahara level aur 1.0881 ke upar stabilisation ke mumkin mojoodgi ke sath sath, nazar andaz karne ke liye bohot zyada niche girne wale dabao bhi hain. Traders ko chaukne ki zarurat hai, tayar rehna chahiye, taake wo upar ki manzil se faida utha sake, jabke unhe mumkin ke reversals ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Strategic positions qaim karne aur ahem levels ko nigaah mein rakne market ke ane wali tabdeeliyan samajhne ke liye ahem honge.

Market trend ek uchhalne wale raste par nazar aata hai, iska matlab hai ke buyers ab bhi control mein hain. Bazaar ki halat ko monitor kar ke yeh wazeh hai ke bullish price trend kaafi mazboot hai ke Buy position ko justify kiya ja sakta hai, khaaskar jab candlestick 1.0827 area ke qarib se taakhir gayi hai. Yeh area buyer ki taqat ka andaza lagane ke liye aik markazi bun sakta hai. EUR/USD pair ki keemat bullish side ki taraf jaa rahi hai aur 100-period simple moving average line ke oopar reh rahi hai, jo ke yeh zahir karta hai ke keemat buyers ke favour mein jari reh sakti hai. Magar yeh zaroori hai ke pichle haftay ki tarah ek neeche ki taraf ki correction ka imkaan ka samna kiya jaye. Graph dikhata hai ke candlestick increase 1.0874 area tak pohanch gayi hai, jo ke bullish trend ke liye apni position barqarar rakne ka mazboot imkaan dikhata hai. Stochastic indicator (5,3,3) 80 zone tak pohanch gaya hai, jo ke buyer control ka ishaara deta hai. Agar keemat mazeed barte rahi aur yeh zone chhod jaye, to agle dino mein bazaar ke uchhalne ki zyada ihtimam hai. Haalat ke mutabiq mazeed izafe ko support karne wale ho sakte hain, mager bullish price projections 1.0898 area ko test kar sakti hain, jo ke pehle aik monthly high tha. Buyers asal level ko test kar sakte hain aur shayad mazeed ooncha bhi jaa sakte hain. Main uptrend par tawajjo dete rahunga jab tak keemat 100-period simple moving average zone ke neeche rehti hai. H4 time frame par: Haan, EUR/USD pair ke andar mazeed uchhalne ki potentiol hai, magar main is waqt ke levels par khareedna nahi chahta, jo aam tor par southern correction ki taraf majboor hai.





Subah bakhair aur trading ke din ko acha guzaariye! Kal, khaalisiaat weak US labor market statistics ka jawab dene wale speculators ne US dollar ko kamzor kar diya. Ye reaction doosri mazeed US economy ke indicators ko le kar ajeeb hai jo pichle din release kiye gaye the. Aaj, bohot saari economic statistics release hone wale hain, jin mein European Central Bank meeting ke natije bhi shamil hain, jahan se refinancing rate ko 4.5% se 4.25% tak kam karne ki tawajjo hai. Agar yeh tajziya durust hai, to hum European currency ke khilaf US dollar mein numayan kamzori ka imkan expect kar sakte hain. Ek ghante ka linear regression channel M15 chart ke saath milta julta hai, bullish sentiment ko mazbooti deta hai. Dono channels kharidne ke mouqaat ko ahemiyat dete hain, kisi bhi conditions ke sell karne ki koi zarurat nahi hai. Sell karne ke liye M15 channel ko neeche ki taraf point karna hoga. Magar, jaise ke charts dikhate hain, dono channels upar ki taraf point karte hain, jo buyers ko favour karte hain. Market mein buyers mukhtalif hain, to behtar hai ke channel ke nichle had tak 1.08551 par unke sath shamil ho jaaye buying ke liye zyada faida mand entry point ke liye. Is point ke neeche, selling ho sakti hai, jabke kharidne ke mauqe kam honge. Main umeed rakhta hoon ke keemat upar ki taraf 1.09301 tak barhti rahegi. Ucchayion tak pohanchne ke baad, ek correction ho sakta hai, jo main chhodunga. Main pullback ke baad upward trend ko follow karne ke liye kharidne ke mauqe talash karunga.

In these obstacles, a retest of the 1.0940 level is likely. Further gains could then target the 1.0980-1.1000 zone, a significant resistance area for traders. On the other hand, if the euro falls below the 1.0814 support level, a breakout could occur. This breakout could lead to a test of the downtrend line and the 200 and 50-day simple moving averages near 1.0785. Continual selling pressure might see the 20-day moving average at 1.0765 offer temporary support. A break below this level could breach the 1.0720 level, confirming a bearish trend. In conclusion, the immediate outlook for the euro depends on overcoming the resistance around 1.0895 and 1.0900. If this hurdle is cleared, the euro could see some upside potential. However, a break below the 1.0814 support level could trigger a fresh wave of selling.

The EUR/USD price is currently closely monitored by traders using various technical tools. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) measures the speed and change of price movements, with RSI readings above 70 indicating overbought conditions and below 30 indicating oversold conditions. The EMA (Exponential Moving Average), Bollinger Bands, Stochastic Oscillator, Demand Index, and Average True Range (ATR) are also used to confirm price movements and measure market volatility.





The zigzag indicator helps identify significant price changes and filter out market noise, while the Demand Index indicates buying and selling pressure. When the Demand Index is positive, it suggests higher buying pressure. The half-hour chart shows a strong signal for further purchases, indicated by a breakdown of the resistance line at 1.0847. I expect the uptrend to continue, with potential targets being the upper border of the northern channel and eventually the last local maximum at 1.0889. The EUR/USD pair remains within a clear trading range, with potential for further gains.

Achha din, forum aur trading ke saathi!

Hum euro/dollar pair ke market situation ka tafseeli jaaiza jari rakhte hain aur main D1 timeframe se shuru karna chahta hoon. Hum D1 timeframe kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke neeche ki taraf ke price channel, jismein euro/dollar pair kaafi arse tak trade kar raha tha, pehle se toot gayi thi. Resistance line ko toornay ke baad, major ne aur bhi baarhne ka silsila shuru kiya aur is taaleemi post ko likhte waqt, euro/dollar level 1.0892 par trade ho raha hai aur technique se sab kuch ishara deta hai ke uttar trend ka silsila wahi jaari rahega. 1.0800 ke support line se ulta chashma karne ke baad, euro/dollar pair uttar ki taraf chala gaya aur ab uttar channel mein ek uthal puthal mehsoos kar raha hai. Technical taur par, bulls ke liye target 1.0970 ka level hai (March ka local maximum).





Rozana chart:

Ooper maine EUR/USD ke liye daily chart ki tafseel kari thi, ab main aadhi ghante ka timeframe kholna chahta hoon. Is par, pehle to uss bade slant wale uttar channel ko toorna gaya tha aur major ne ek naya chadhne wala price channel banaya, jismein euro/dollar ne chhote slope ke saath trade karna shuru kiya hai, uttar channel ke upper border ke karib. Moujooda level 1.0892 se hum zyada tar baarhne ke silsile ko bahal rakhenge aur buyers ke liye maqsad resistance line ke tor ke dohra test hoga, jiska tootna naye uthne ke silsile ko shuru karega aur darmiyani term trading nazar ho rahi hai ke maina 1.0920 ke pehle local maximum ke tor ke dobara test ke liye muntazir hoon.

Wahi, euro/dollar pair ke maamle ke liye saaf technique se dekha gaya tha, lekin humein fundamental analysis ke baare mein bhoolna nahi chahiye.

M30 chart:

Is haftay ke guzar chuke European trading hours ke darmiyan, joray ne kamzori ke nishaan dikhaya aur 1.0870 tak gir gaya. Jab ke investors United States se Retail Sales aur doosri ahem data ke qareeb release ke liye teyar ho rahe the, bohot se ne ek saavdhaan stance apnaya, market ke jung mein seedhe sarai mein shamil hone ke bajaye, sidelines se dekhna pasand kiya.

Market Sentiment Ke Doraan Tayar Inflation Data Aur Greenback Ka Potential Rebound

Market sentiment ko shape karne wale aham factors mein se ek inflation data ke hone ka mukhtalif asar hai, jo ECB ke monetary policy decisions par June ke baad hawa ban sakta hai. Analysts ka khayal hai ke ek expected se zyada inflation reading ECB officials ko rate adjustments ke lehaz se qadmon par le ja sakti hai.

Saath hi, US Dollar Index (DXY), jise che mujmain currencies ke sath Greenback ki taqat ka ek barometer samjha jata hai, apni giraawat jaari rakhta raha aur mazeed 104.40 tak gir gaya. Magar Greenback jald hi ek comeback kar sakta hai, haal he mein hua annual underlying inflation data ke uzar, jisne 2.8% ke sath taraqqi ki, jo forecasts aur pehle ke releases ke mutabiq hai.






EUR/USD 200-day EMA Se Rebounds, Magar Tenuously Supported Hai

Daily candlesticks ne 200-day EMA se thoda sa rebound dekha, jo 1.0786 par hai. Magar technical support thoda kamzor bani rehti hai jab ke 50-day EMA long-term moving average ke sath consolidation mein hai. Halankeh EUR/USD ne April ke swing low se 1.0600 handle ko cross karne mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai, lekin yeh zaroori hai ke note kiya jaye ke yeh ab tak January 2024 mein dekha gaya peak se peeche hai, 1.1047 tak muqarrar hai.

Jumeerah ko, jora thoda sa izafa dekhaya aur 1.0897 tak chadh gaya jab ke briefly 1.0860 tak gir gaya. Jora apne aap ko ek chakraviroodh side movement ke andar paaye hue hai, jismen midpoint lagbhag 100-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke 1.0807 ke qareeb qaim hai.

Euro ECB ki rate faisla hone se pehle kamzor agahi ke liye mutawajja hai. European session mein, EUR/USD 1.0879 par trade ho raha hai, din ke 0.10% upar.

ECB ki reserves ko kum karne ki possibilities, lekin phir kya? Agar ye bari surprise na ho, to European Central Bank aaj ke baad apne reserves ko kum karne ka irada rakhta hai. ECB ne apni reserve rate ko 4.0% par paanch mahino ke liye qaim rakhne ka faisla kiya, jab policymakers inflation ko kuch kam karne ke liye "barqarar" rakhna chahte hain.

Kya sharaith rate kum karne ke liye taiyaar hain? ECB ke afseraan yeh samajhte hain ki haa, kyunki woh inflation ki nisbat behad girne ki waja pesh kar sakte hain. ECB yakeen rakhti hai ki inflation rate kum karne ke baad phir se barhne ka khatra nahi hai. Lekin yeh yeh mat samajhna ke inflation ke khilaaf bari jung khatam ho gayi hai. Yeh lamba fasla hai - 2% inflation target aur shayad aur pareshan kun baat yeh hai ke euro area mein inflation May mein tezi se barhi. Headline 2.4% se 2.6% tak bhar gayi aur core rate 2.7% se 2.9% tak bhar gayi.






ECB ko is level of inflation se khushi nahi hui lekin woh yakeen rakhti hai ki inflation girne jaari rahegi. Eurozone ki ma'ashi taraqqi tanazul mein hai aur rate cuts ma'ashi ko tezi den ge aur un consumers ko rahat den ge jo buland interest rates ke bojh se murjha gaye hain.

ECB ehtiyaat se agle rate cuts ki mutwaqufiyat nahi paish kar rahi hai aur mumkin hai ke markazi bank doosre rate cut ka asar dekhne ke liye saal ke ikhtitam tak intezar kare. ECB policymakers Federal Reserve ki taraf bhi dekh rahe hain, jo September se pehle cut nahi karega. Aksar Fed rate policy mein aagha hai aur ECB dobara ke cut ke saamne double cut nahi chahta, kyunke yeh euro ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur inflation ko lejata hai.

Dosri janib support aur resistance analysis ke zariye humein pata chalta hai ke pair taqat wale support price 1.0855 tak pohnchne wale hai is liye hum is point par buy limit position rakh sakte hain aur humara pehla target 1.0925 hai.

Aaj market mein ek kafi sannata bhara din sabit hua. Intraday level ko 1.0700 tak update karne ke baad, humne uttar ki halki movement ko tasdeeq kiya, lekin afsos, iske baad koi mazeed taraqqi nahi hui. Is khamoshi ka na-hazri market dynamics mein temporary rukawat ka pata lagata hai, jisse traders aur investors ke andar ye khyal aata hai ke is stagnation ke peeche kis wajah se hai aur nazdeeki mustaqbil mein kya ho sakta hai. 1.0700 level ki taraf movement ki tasdeeq shuru mein market sentiment mein ek mumkin shift ki isharaat di. Magar, baad ki khamoshi ye dikhata hai ke market participants shayad mazeed maalumat ya waqiyat ka intezar kar rahe hain pehle koi bhi significant qadam uthane se pehle. Ye ho sakta hai mukhtalif factors ki wajah se jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya phir mazeed market conditions jo trader behavior ko influence kar rahe hain.
Is rukawat ka ek possible sabab aane wale economic reports ya central bank announcements ka intezar ho sakta hai. Market participants aksar bade trades karne se pehle significant data releases ka intezar karte hain taake market ke galat taraf na fas jayein. Maslan, agar koi bhi key economic indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, ya inflation data jald release hone wale hain, to traders shayad in reports ka intezaar karte hain taake unhe zyada clear direction mile. Isi tarah, aane wale central banks ki koi bhi statements ya policy decisions market movements par bada asar daal sakti hain. Aise scenarios mein, market typically chup rehta hai jab tak traders in critical pieces of information ka intezar karte hain.

Aaj ki khamoshi ka doosra potential factor bhi ho sakta hai zyada behtar market sentiment aur overall investor caution. Low volatility aur movement ki kami waqtan-fa-waqtan market participants ke darmiyan bari uncertainty ya risk aversion ki bhi numayish kar sakti hai. Ye waqt tab aata hai jab geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, ya phir major global events ke qareeb aate hain. Jab investors future market ki direction ke bare mein ghair yaqeeni hote hain, to woh aksar wait-and-see approach apnate hain, jo subdued trading activity ko le kar aata hai.

Technically, 1.0700 tak shuru hone ke baad follow-through ki kami bhi dekh sakte hain jaise ke market ek damki le rahi hai. Ye tab hota hai jab price aik ahem level tak pohanch jata hai magar usme wo momentum nahi hota jo usay mazeed usi direction mein agay push kar sake. Aise cases mein, market ek consolidation phase mein enter ho sakta hai jahan woh ek tang range ke andar trade karta hai jab tak buyers aur sellers aapas mein balance nahi ho jate. Ye consolidation market cycle ka aik sehatmand hissa hota hai, jo agle significant move se pehle energy ka ikattha hone ka mauqa deta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, kal ki trading session ke liye tafseelat ke liye nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Halat ki ye rukawat sach mein temporary ho sakti hai, aur market ho sakta hai ke apni movement dobara shuru kare jab tak intezar kiye gaye maqool data ya waqiyat samne aajayein. Traders ko mutasir hone wale kisi bhi naye development ka jawab dene ke liye muta'assir rehna chahiye jo market ki direction mein clear insights faraham kar sakte hain.

Ikhtitami tor par, aaj market mein ek inactive din tha, jo 1.0700 level tak ke shuru hone ke baad kisi bhi mazeed taraqqi ki kami se characterized tha. Ye khamoshi upcoming economic data, central bank announcements, broader market sentiment, ya technical consolidation phase ki intezar ki wajah se ho sakti hai. Kal ki trading session zyada definitive information faraham kar sakta hai, aur traders ko kisi bhi naye opportunities ko capture karne ke liye alert rehna chahiye. Market ke developments ko nazdeek se monitor karke aur adaptable reh kar, traders periods of inactivity se guzar sakte hain aur agle significant move ke liye tayar reh sakte hain.

EUR/USD Keematamaari Ke Karname

Hum EUR/USD currency pair ki abwaqt ke keemat ke tabadlaat ka jaiza lenge. Haal hi mein hum ne 1.0867 tak ek choti correction dekha, jo ek upri harkat ka aghaaz lagta hai. Abhi, EUR/USD pair 1.0867 ke aas paas ghum raha hai, aur hum is starah ko aage badhte huye dekhne ko muntazir hain. Agar minor giraawat 1.0859 tak hoti hai, to yeh temporary rukawat ke tor par nazar aayegi pehle/se upri izaafai se. 1.0886 ko break kar ke aur is ke upar rehne se bullish signal tasdeeq ho jayegi. Market support 1.0867 par ko upri harkat ko barqarar rakhne ke liye ahem hai. Ham farokhtadar rate ko upar le jana mein masroof hain, maqsad 1.0886 ka nishana hai. Is range ke andar trade karna mazeed izaafi nishaan darust karti hai, is liye rah par rehna zaroori hai. EUR/USD pair US dollar se dabti rahi, jo ek numaya girawat ka ba'is bani 1.0857 tak ke duran US session mein. Ek baraiah mayar se, hum shayad 1.0000 ke qareeb ja rahe hain. Pehle 1.0827 par phir se jaane ki zarurat hai aur shayad ise tor bhi dena hoga.






Ye harkat kal ho sakti hai, jise 1.0805 tak ki kam hoti huyi muntazir hain, jo Jumma ke US session ke ikhtitaam par khatam ho sakti hai. Market mein dakhil hone par khatraat se ihtiyaat rakhni zaroori hai. Euro sudhar ho sakti hai aur 1.0885 tak wapis aa sakti hai. Agar yeh sudhaar hota hai, to yeh farokht ka moqa pesh kar sakta hai. Haal ki market dynamics EUR/USD pair ke liye milaawat ki nigaah dikhate hain. Jab ke fori signs upri asar ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo 1.0867 par support level aur 1.0881 ke upar stabilized hone ki asal mooliyyat se tatpar hain, wahan barah-e-karam neeche ki dabab dabaao ko bhi ghor se samajhna zaroori hai. Traders ko hoshyar rehna chahiye, upri harkat ko fayda uthane ke liye taiyaar rehna, jab ke palat botiyon ke liye tayar hona bhi zaroori hai. Tadbeerati bandobast aur markazi darajat ki ehtiyat se market ke ane wale harkat mein safar karna aham hoga.

**Aaj ka EUR/USD Keemat Ka Tajziya**

**Euro (EUR)** **Ameriki Dollar (USD)** **Ke Khilaaf Sangeen Halka Hota Ja Raha Hai Aur Ek Haftay Ka Sab Se Kamzor Nuqta Par Pahunch Gaya Hai, Abhi Karobari Taqreeban 1.0800 Ke Aas Paas Hai. Yeh Kamzori Haliyaat Aakhir Mein Aaye Maizbaan Naukri Ke Musbat Maalumaat Se Sehan Utaari Ja Rahi Hai. Maalumaat Ne May Mein Naukriyon Mein Taaqat Se Izafa Dikhaaya, Jo Ke Ahem Taur Par Kisaano Ke Ilaaqe Ke Bahar Kaam Karne Wale Mulazimeen Ki Tadad Hai. Yeh Umda Maalumaat, Jo May Mein 272,000 Naukriyon Ka Izafa Dikhata Hai, Ameriki Dollar Ko Hosla Afzaai Di Aur Euro Par Ahem Dabao Daala Hai.

**Aage Ki Tafseelat:**
Peshangoan Ke Mutabiq, Tajarba Kar Guzarain 1.0900 Ko EUR/USD Jodi Ke Liye Ahem Rukhna Tawajju Hai. Yeh Darja Ek Urooj Darja Ka Darmiyan Ka Nukta Hai, Jo Ke Aane Waale Keemat Ke Harkaat Ko Naapa Jaane Wale Takneeki Daira Ka Ishara Hai. Agar Euro Kisi Tarah Se 1.0900 Ke Oopar Uth Sakti Hai Aur Isay Ek Bunyadi Sahara Darja Ke Tor Par Qaim Kar Sakti Hai, Toh Mumkin Hai Ke Yeh Aur Bhi Buland Harkat Kare 1.0950 Aur Shayed 1.0980 Ki Taraf.

**Magar, Haal Hi Ke Rukh Naye Manzar Ka Tasawwur Dikhata Hai.**
Neeche Dikhane Ke Liye, Tajarba Kar Guzarain Ne 1.0860-1.0850 Ke Darmiyan Ek Sahara Zila Paaya Hai. Yeh Zone 4 Ghantay Ki Chart Par 55 Maheenay Ke Sadah Harekaton Ka Aasaan Aasan Gole Ke Zariye Banaya Gaya Hai, Jo Ke Doosra Takneeki Nishaan Hai Jisse Keemat Ke Rukh Ki Taqseem Ki Jaati Hai. Yeh Zila Ek Mumkin Buffer Ka Kaam Karta Hai Jab Euro 1.0800 Ke Bunyadi Darja Tak Pohanchti Hai. In Tajarbaat Ke Tehqiqaat Par, Kuch Tajarba Kar Guzarain Euro Ki Girawat Ka Iqtedaar Hone Ki Tawaqqa Rakhte Hain. Unka Yeh Kehte Hain Ke Market Budh Ke Din Dobarah Khulti Hai Toh Most EUR/USD Jodi Ke Neeche Rehna Jaari Rahega. Yaad Rakhna Ahem Hai Ke Yeh Sirf Aik Peshangoi Hai, Aur Tijarat Ki Dunya Ko Mukhtalif Aanay Wale Arzi Maalumaat Aur Waqeyat Ka Asar Hota Hai.

Aam Tafseelat:

Europan Parliamentary Election ne is market par kisi khaas asar ka taa'asur nahi dala. Is ke ilawa, USA ki news data ne bhi market ko ghair yaqeeni bana diya. Magar, aaj EUR/USD 1.0883 par trade kar raha hai, iska wo keeda hai ke bullish concept ko hosla afzaai mil rahi hai. Kharidne walay aaj bhi rozana aur haftawarana nazar se is market ko dekhain to taqwim nazara aata hai. Magar, hafta khatam nahi hua hai, is liye market kabhi bhi kharidarun ke faavour mein munh ke ba'anah palat sakti hai. Is liye, humein is market ko samajhne ki koshish karni chahiye aur chhota bechna aur lamba bechna tadaadat ko pasand karna chahiye. Is ke ilawa, bunyadi tajziya ko asar andaz rakhna bhi zaroori hai, kyunki yeh market ko tabdeel karne mein sab se ahem kirdaar ada karta hai.


Chaliye ek rozana chart ki madad se EURUSD ke baray mein guftagu karte hain:

Naye data buyers ke liye EURUSD ke liye is haftay mein kisi mazeed ahem nishan ka saboot nahi sabit kar saka. Aam nazarie se, humein is market ko samajhna chahiye aur chhota bechna aur lamba bechna tadaadat ko pasand karna chahiye. Is ke ilawa, bunyadi tajziya ko asar andaz rakhna bhi zaroori hai, kyunki yeh market ko tabdeel karne mein sab se ahem kirdaar ada karta hai.






Haal hi mein hui Europan Parliamentary Election se kisi asar ka na hona, USA ki news data ki ghair yaqeeni is traders ke liye milaawat ka mahoul paida kar chuki hai. Magar is ke bawajood, mojooda trade level 1.0883 par EUR/USD ke, taqwim nazara aata hai ke bullish feeling barh rahi hai. Rozana aur haftawarana charts par market ka jaiza karne se pata chalta hai ke buyers mojood hain. Magar, hafta abhi poori tarah khatam nahi hua hai, is liye market ki dynamics kharidarun ke faavour mein palatne ka khatra rehta hai. Is liye, ek ehtiyaati taur par short-term buying aur long-term selling pe tawajjo dena munasib ho sakta hai. Bunyadi tajziya par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki yeh market mein tabdeelat ko taeed dene mein ahem kirdaar ada karta hai. Yeh tareeqa traders ko market ke bebaak nateejey ko taezi se samajhne aur tajziyo ke zariye aqalmandi se faislay lene mein madad deta hai.

Budh, EUR/USD jodi ne 76.4% ke durust level—1.0892 se rebound kiya, ek halki kami, aur aaj—ek naya wapas is level par aur ek naya rebound. Trader activity kal kaafi kam thi, lekin aaj tezi se barh sakti hai. Quotes mein kami Fibonacci level 61.8%—1.0837 ki taraf jaari reh sakti hai. Jodi ka rate chadhti trend coridor ke neeche jama ho sakta hai jo bullish dominance ko khatam kar dega. Wave ki situation saaf hai. Pichli mukammal upward wave ne peechle wave ke peak ko todi nahi, aur aakhri downward wave ne 23 May ke low ko toor diya, lekin sirf kuch pips ke farq se. Is tarah, humein pehla sign mil gaya trend ka "bullish" se "bearish" mein badalny ka, lekin jald hi wazeh ho gaya ke humein koi neeche ki palat nahi dekhne ko milegi. Agla upward wave phir peechle do waves ke peaks ko toor diya. Is liye, euro mein lambi ghataavat ke liye ab humein trend badal ka naya sign intezaar karna hoga. Aisa sign 1.0785 ke kareeb ya chadhti corridor se neeche ho sakta hai.






Taaza maloomat ke mutabiq, Budh ko phir se bear traders ka saath nahi mila jaise unho ne chaha tha. Halankeh, European currency mein dher saraam hai, lekin jald hi ECB ki baitak ke natije pata chal jayenge, aur ECB President Christine Lagarde aakhri chand minute mein bolenge. Rate kaatne ka faisla pehle se he EUR/USD jodi mein shamil hai, lekin ho sakta hai ke raas tatwaa niti ko aj naram nahi kare regulator. Mein is option ko nahi hatata. Agar rate aj nahi kate, to phir bull traders fir se offensive par ja sakte hain. Agar Christine Lagarde "hawkish" bayaan denge, to yeh euro ko saath denge. Aur "hawkish" rhetoric kya ho sakta hai? Lagarde keh sakti hain ke agla rate cut jald nahi hoga aur mahangi mandi ko jari rakhna zaroori hai. 4-ghantay ka chart, jodi ne Fibonacci level 50.0%—1.0794 se rebound kiya aur usi European currency ki taraf palat gaya. Ek naya "bullish" trend line ban chuka hai, isliye agey process aage barhti rahegi agli durust level 23.6%—1.0977 ki taraf. Ab, European currency mein kami expect ki ja sakti hai jab tak quotes trend line ke neeche jama nahi ho jati. Aaj koi bhi naye divergences ko indicator ke liye nahi dekh gaya gaya.

**EUR/USD Currency Pair Analysis:**

EUR/USD currency pair ke timeframe chart ka tajziya kuch dilchasp dynamics zahir karta hai jo filhal waqay hain. Khaaskar, yeh pair abhi tak 1.08030 ke level tak nahi pohancha hai, ek ahem qeemat ki nishaandahi jo traders ko qareebi nazar rakhne par majboor kar rahi hai. Yeh tajziya yeh darust karti hai ke jabke keemat is ahem level ke aas paas ghum rahi hai, isne abhi tak isay imtehaan ya torne ka faisla nahi kiya hai. Mazeed, intraday pivot levels ka jaaiza lena dikhata hai ke woh bohot hi mazbooti se dabaaye gaye hain. Yeh dabaav yeh ishara deta hai ke market ek muddat se guzar rahi hai jisme samaji aur kam volatility hoti hai. Jab pivot levels bohot tight hotay hain, toh yeh aksar yeh maana jata hai ke keemat ek bohot hi tang range ke andar trade kar rahi hai. Digar alfaz mein, market ke shirkat daron ka ek darja-e-be yaqeeni hai, jo ke kisi bhi taraf ke safar mein keemat ko dhaakel sakta hai. Kam volatility aur tight consolidation ke doran ki mubhamatein ek phassi hui spring ki manind hoti hain. Jitni lambi keemat ek tang range ke andar rehti hai, utna hi ziada aham hota hai jab yeh aakhir kar keemat ka faisla karta hai ke kis taraf jana hai. Traders aur analysts aksar umeed karte hain ke aise ek muddat-e-dabaav bohot hi mazeed keemat mein izafa karay ga jab market aik rukh par faisla karta hai. Is liye, jabke EUR/USD pair abhi kam volatility ka samna kar raha hai, yeh halat lamba waqt tak nahi chal sakti.

**Potential Volatility Spikes ke Liye Tayyar Rahein:**

EUR/USD pair ki dekhi gai consolidation phase timeframe par yeh darust karta hai ke traders ko potential volatility spikes ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Aise spikes mukhtalif factors se ho sakti hain, jin mein ma'ashiyati data releases, sahafati waqiat, ya market sentiment ke tabdil hona shamil hai. EUR/USD pair ko mutasir karne wale aane wale khabron aur dosri market-moving factors ke baray mein maloomat rakhna traders ke liye nihayat ahem hai. Mazeed, traders ko technical indicators aur chart patterns par tawajjo deni chahiye jo agle ahem harkat ke bare mein ishara dete hain. Maslan, triangles, flags, ya pennants ke chart patterns ka maujood hona ek potential breakout direction ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Isi tarah, technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), ya Bollinger Bands market ke momentum aur potential price targets ke bare mein qeemati insight faraham kar sakte hain. Mojudah market conditions ke mutabiq, traders ke liye faida mand tareeqay istemal karna bhi faydemand ho sakta hai jo kam-volatility environments ke liye munasib hain. Yeh strategies range trading ko shamil kar sakti hain, jahan traders support levels par khareedte hain aur resistance levels par bechte hain tang range ke andar. Doosri soorat mein, traders breakout strategies ka intikhab kar sakte hain, jahan woh apne aap ko mukhtalif price movements par laa sakte hain jab consolidation phase khatam hota hai.

EUR/USD H1 Analysis in Roman Urdu:

Assalam-o-Alaikum doston! Aaj hum EUR/USD pair ka H1 (one-hour) timeframe par detailed analysis karenge. Recent price movements aur technical indicators ko dekhte hain jo traders ke liye helpful ho sakti hain.

Recent Price Movements:

• EUR/USD pair ne recent sessions mein kaafi volatility dikhayi hai.
• Price ne 1.0920 ke aas-paas ek high touch kiya aur phir wahan se decline karte hue 1.0800 ke support level ko test kiya.
• Recent decline ke baad, pair ne 1.0800 ke level par support find kiya.

Technical Indicators:

1. Ichimoku Cloud:
   • Price action abhi Ichimoku cloud ke neeche hai, jo ke ek bearish sign hai.
   • Kumo (cloud) ka thickness batata hai ke market mein bearish sentiment strong hai.
2. Moving Averages:
   • 50-period aur 200-period moving averages downward slope kar rahe hain, jo ke bearish trend ko confirm karte hain.
   • Price ne 50-period aur 200-period moving averages ko cross kar ke neeche move kiya, jo ek selling pressure ka indication hai.
3. Stochastic Oscillator:
   • Stochastic oscillator ne oversold region mein cross kiya hai (below 20), jo ke potential reversal ka signal de raha hai.
   • Lekin hamesha ye yaad rakhna chahiye ke oversold levels kuch time tak sustain bhi kar sakte hain jab tak confirmation na mil jaye.

Support aur Resistance Levels:

1. Support:
   • 1.0800: Yeh ek strong support level hai jahan se price ne recent bounce back kiya hai.
2. Resistance:
   • 1.0845: Yeh ek immediate resistance level hai jo price ko upper side move karne se rokh sakta hai.
   • 1.0890: Yeh ek major resistance level hai jo further upside movement ko restrict kar sakta hai.

Trading Strategy:

• Buy Scenario:
  • Agar price 1.0800 ke support se bounce back karta hai aur stochastic oscillator ne oversold region se cross kiya, toh ek short-term buy opportunity create ho sakti hai with a target of 1.0845.
  • Stop loss 1.0780 ke neeche set karna prudent hoga.
• Sell Scenario:
  • Agar price 1.0800 ka support todta hai aur neeche sustain karta hai, toh further downside expected hai towards 1.0750.
  • Stop loss 1.0820 ke upar set kar sakte hain.

Conclusion:

EUR/USD pair abhi bearish territory mein hai with strong selling pressure. Support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Price action aur stochastic oscillator ke signals pe focus karna chahiye for better trading decisions. Yeh analysis aapki trading strategy ko refine karne mein madadgar ho sakti hai. Hamesha apne risk management ko prioritize karein aur market movements ko closely observe karein.

Happy Trading!

EUR/USD/D1
EURUSD pair is haftay ek rollercoaster ride par rahi hai, idhar udhar uchalte hue lekin 1.0900 ke ahem resistance level ko qatai tor par paar karne mein nakam. Is haftay mein kaafi data-heavy honay ka wada hai, jahan dono Eurozone aur United States se kuch economic releases exchange rate ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Eurozone ki taraf, to tawajju Germany ki economic sehat par hogi. Ahem data points mein manufacturing aur services Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMIs), labor market report, aur retail sales figures shamil hain. Germany ka mazboot dikhana, jo ke Eurozone ka powerhouse hai, Euro ki value ko barha sakta hai. Iske ilawa, pehle quarter ke GDP growth figures puray Eurozone ke liye release honge, jo ke region ki economic performance ka snapshot denge. Doosri taraf, across the Atlantic, US job market center stage le ga. ADP employment report, ISM manufacturing PMI, aur bohot intezar kiya gaya non-farm payrolls report investors ke liye closely watch honge. Ek mazboot US jobs market Euro ke muqable mein US Dollar ko mazid taqat de sakta hai.
Upcoming haftay mein EURUSD pair ke liye ek balancing act hoga. Agar Eurozone data disappointing rahi aur US economy mazid mazbooti dikhaaye, to Euro kamzor ho sakta hai aur ahem support level 1.0814 se neeche gir sakta hai. Ye further decline ko trigger kar sakta hai towards 1.0765 area, jo ke 20-day moving average se mark kiya gaya hai. Lekin, Eurozone se positive surprise ya US job market mein slowdown Euro ko 1.0895 se upar le ja sakta hai aur potentially 1.0940 resistance level ko retest kar sakta hai. Is point ke upar qatai break further rally ke liye darwaza khol sakta hai towards 1.0980-1.1000 zone, jo ke Euro bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle hai. Kul mila kar, ye hafta EURUSD traders ke liye ek significant opportunity pesh karta hai key economic data releases se driven potential volatility se faida uthaanay ke liye.

Summary mein, EURUSD currency pair kafi arse se ek flat range mein trade kar rahi hai, aur price 1.0831 moving average ko four-hour chart par test karne ke liye poised hai. Ye technical level pair ke liye critical point ho sakti hai, jo ke potentially correction ko signal kar sakti hai towards 1.0830-1.0810 area. By staying informed aur mukhtalif technical analysis tools ka istimaal karke, traders market ko better navigate kar sakte hain aur informed decisions le sakte hain is potential price movement ke anticipation mein.

EUR/USD:

EUR/USD currency pair ab ek selling zone mein hai jabse weekly pivot level aur D1 chart par key price channels ke neeche break hua hai. Yeh price dynamics ka shift recent bullish trend ke reversal ko signal karta hai. Week ke shuruat mein, pair ne buying pattern dikhaya tha, jo ke pichle do hafton ke trends ke sath match karta tha, aur overall upward trajectory thi. Iske ilawa, price W1 pivot level 1.0738 ke around support mili, jo bullish sentiment ko mazid reinforce karta tha.

Magar, recent breach of weekly pivot level aur price channels suggest karta hai ke market sentiment ab bearish bias ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Traders ab potential selling opportunities ko dekh rahe hain jabke pair is naye trading environment mein navigate kar raha hai. Key support levels ke neeche breakdown increased selling pressure aur possible reversal in trend direction ko indicate karta hai. Is liye, traders ab price action ko closely monitor kar rahe hain aur sustained downtrend ka confirmation dhoond rahe hain pehle naye positions initiate karne se.

Selling zone mein move karna changing market dynamics aur evolving investor sentiment ke doran aata hai. Economic data releases, geopolitical developments, aur central bank policies jaise factors EUR/USD pair ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna padega aur apni strategies ko adapt karna padega emerging opportunities ka faida uthane aur volatile market environment mein risks ko mitigate karne ke liye.

Recent shift in price momentum ke bawajood, traders potential support levels ko mindful hain jo further downside movement ko limit kar sakte hain. W1 pivot level 1.0738, jo pehle ek support zone ka kaam kar raha tha, ab further price declines ke liye ek barrier ban sakta hai. Iske ilawa, traders bullish reversal patterns ya oversold conditions ke signs dekh rahe hain jo current downtrend mein temporary pause ya reversal ko signal kar sakte hain.

Summary mein, EUR/USD currency pair ne ek selling zone mein entry ki hai jabse key support levels aur price channels ke neeche D1 chart par break hua hai. Week ke shuruat mein, pair ne buying pattern dikhaya tha W1 pivot level ke support se, lekin recent shift in market sentiment potential reversal in bullish trend ko suggest karta hai. Traders ab selling opportunities par focus kar rahe hain aur sustained downtrend ka confirmation dekh rahe hain. Bearish bias ke bawajood, traders potential support levels aur reversal signals ko cautious hain jo future price movements ko impact kar sakte hain.