eur/usd

EUR/USD currency pair

Euro (EUR) ne Friday ko apni gains ko hold karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya, aur Asian session mein 1.0690 USD ke aas-paas hover karta raha. Daily charts par technical indicators EUR/USD pair ke liye ek bearish picture paint karte hain. Currency pair ek descending channel mein phansa hua hai, jo aksar ek downtrend ke sath associated hota hai. Bearish sentiment ko mazid barhane wala ek aur factor 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka 50 se neeche hona hai, jo yeh signify karta hai ke EUR/USD is waqt 1.0760 aur 1.0670 ke darmiyan consolidation zone mein trapped hai.

Agar RSI 50 ki taraf rise kare, to yeh Euro par downward pressure ke kamzor hone ka indication de sakta hai. Euro ke liye immediate test likely lower end of the consolidation range at 1.0670 hoga, jo ke ek support level ke sath bhi coincide karta hai. Agar yeh level decisively break hota hai, to downtrend solidify ho jayegi aur EUR/USD ko descending channel ke lower limit near 1.0620 tak push kar sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar Euro kuch traction gain karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to uska pehla resistance 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hoga jo ke is waqt 1.0728 par positioned hai. Is hurdle ko overcome karne ke baad pair 1.0760 ke upper end of the consolidation range ko challenge kar sakta hai. Agar is point ke upar breakout hota hai, to upper limit of the descending channel around 1.0780, followed by the psychological resistance level of 1.0800, ko test kar sakta hai.

Agar hum peechle dinon ki baat karein, to EUR/USD ne Budh ke din pichhle low 1.0665 ke qareeb touch kiya aur us waqt se 1.0665 aur 1.0720 ke darmiyan tight trading band mein qaid ho gaya hai. Haal hi mein 20-day aur 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke darmiyan bearish crossover hua hai, jo pehle bhi 20-day/200-day SMAs ke darmiyan death crosses ke similar bearish signals ko reflect karta tha. Momentum indicator abhi mixed signals display kar raha hai, jo short-term direction ki kami ko darshata hai. Jabki RSI thoda sa 50 ke upar hover kar raha hai, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apna negative momentum consolidate kar raha hai. Agar Euro aur girta hai, to agla potential support level 1.0647 par hai, uske baad a critical five-month low of 1.0600 aata hai.

EUR/USD Market Outlook

Subah bakhair sabhi aaye hue sabhi visitors aur forum members ko!
Kal, EUR/USD market ki momentum mein aik side trend nazar aaya, jo 1.0840 zone ke aas paas ghoom raha tha, jahan kharidar maujood conditions mein isthirata banaye rakhne ki koshish kar rahe thay. Khaas tor par, haal hi mein dekhi gayi US dollar ki kamzori aik mauqay ko darust tareeqay se trade kar ke nuqsan ko kam karne ke liye moqa deta hai. US dollar ki kamzori ke samne mawajood haalat mein, is market dynamics ko samajh kar faydah uthana aqalmandi hai. Is nazariye ke mutabiq, main EUR/USD par aik kharidari order shuru karne ka tasawwur rakhta hoon, jaisa ke GBP/USD par kiya gaya, jahan conservative target 1.0882 set kiya gaya hai. Is tajziya se ummeed hai ke EUR/USD market mein kharidar ke liye muzaffar halaat jaari rahenge, qareebi dor mein aur shaayad kal tak bhi. Risk ko behtar tareeqay se manage karne ke liye, zaroori hai ke stop-loss mechanism implement kiya jaye aur muntazim volumes ke saath trade kiya jaye. Ye tadbeere na sirf beghair socha samjha market fluctuations ke khilaf asbab pesh karte hain balkay yeh bhi yaqeeni banate hain ke trading practices muntazim rahein. Market sentiments ke saath strategies milane aur dollar ki kamzori ka fayda uthane ke liye traders apni positions ko potential gains ke liye optimize kar sakte hain. EUR/USD pair ki isthirata jo mukarrar range mein hai, is baat ko taasir se samjha ja sakta hai ke prevailing market conditions par muntazim trading strategies ki ahmiyat hai. Jab tak trading jari hai, hosla rakhna zaroori hai ke ubharne wale opportunities ko pesh karte hue aur market sentiment mein tabdeeliyon ke sath chalne ke liye. Risk management aur strategic execution ke proactive tareeqe ke saath, traders apni positions ko evolving market landscapes ke douran faydah utha sakte hain. Is tarah, trading volume aur risk exposure ke beech ek balance qaim rakhna fluctuating EUR/USD market environment mein sustainable trading outcomes hasil karne ke liye zaroori hai. Ummeed hai ke is haftay EUR/USD market kharidar ke liye faida mand rahega.
Aapko kamiyabi se bhara trading din guzarne ki dua hai!

EUR/USD: Market Movements Analysis

Hamara mazmoon EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya hai. Ghantawar timeframe par is aalaat ki performance ka jaiza lene ke baad, market mein kharidari ke liye dakhil hona mantooqi hai. Main ye kyun kahun ke ab sab se zyada mumkin trades lambi positions hain? Meri ye taasuraat kai wajohat se aayi hain: Keemat MA199 moving average ke ooper hai, jo ke bullish trend ki maujoodgi ko wazeh kar raha hai. Pichle din ke akhri hisse mein, pair ne opening mark se ooper chadh kar trading session ko us ke ooper mukammal kiya. Din bhar ke dauran, keemat ke quotes upper Bollinger band ke qareeb aaye, jo bullish rujhan aur aalaat ke liye mukammal izafa ki aashanka ko zahir karta hai. Main hamesha trading mein RSI indicator ko tehqiq karta hoon aur agar ye overbought (69 se ooper) ya oversold (29 se neeche) conditions signal karta hai, to trades mein dakhil nahin hota.




Abhi RSI buying ko support karta hai, kyun ke ye qubooli hadd mein hai. Main apna take profit Fib level of 210% par set karunga, jo ke 1.08767 price ke saath mutabiq hai. Iske baad, position ka hissa breakeven tak le jane ke baad, main quotes ke liye trailing stop istemal karunga jo ke mazeed door ke northern Fib levels par honge. Bulls ne H4 1.0842 par resistance ka samna kiya hai, jo ke ek pullback ke qareeb hai. Market ne expected tarah se positive US data ka jawab nahin diya, jo ke agle hafte mein kisi reaction ko zahir kar sakta hai. Europe ke elections nazdeek hain aur right-wing faction jeetne ki ummeed hai, jis ke natijay mein euro ki bayanat ho sakti hai EU ko mazboot karne ki koshish ke liye. Shuru mein market ne US statistics ka jawab diya, lekin baad mein bulls ne control hasil kiya aur euro ko buland kiya. H4 par 1.0666 ke level se euro ne uthar chadhav shuru kiya, aur bulls ne is izaafa ko jari rakha.

EUR/USD: Price Movement Analysis

Meri rozana timeframe ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair ne chaar dinon se neeche ki taraf raftar ikhtiyar ki hai. Agar sellers agle price target tak pahunchna chahte hain, to unhe sabz zone ko torhna hoga ya phir 1.0845 par verify kiye gaye support level ko tasdeeq karna hoga. Is ilaqe ko pehle se do martaba retest kiya gaya hai. July 4, 2024 ko server time ke 06:00 par inkar ka samna karne ke bawajood, buyers ne abhi tak surkhi zone ko nahi tora ya verify nahi kiya hai, jo ke 1.0915 par four-hour timeframe par dekha gaya hai. Sellers ki shadeed dabao ne keemat ko neeche daba rakha hai. July 02, 2024 ko server time ke 1.0945 par inkar ka samna karne ke baad, buyers ne fifteen-minute timeframe ke andar pink zone ko ya 1.0890 par untested resistance ko bhi nahi tora hai.



Pichli EUR/USD ke price movement ki tajziya mein, pair ne 1.0910 par open kiya aur jald hi gehri bearish trend mein dakhil ho gaya, seller dabao ki wajah se apni lowest trading level 1.0905 tak touch ki. Uske baad se euro dheere-dheere uthi aur 1.0960 par buland pahunchi, phir ek bearish direction mein wapas chali gayi aur 1.0880 par band hui. Aakhirkaar, sellers ka maqsad 1.0932, yani grey zone ya weak support level tak pahunchna hai. Agar keemat is level ko kamiyabi se torh leti hai, to EUR/USD pair ke aur neeche girne ki ummeed hai. Lekin agar price inkar ka samna karta hai, to wo apne pichle level par wapas aa sakta hai. Aaj ke trading plan mein, hum dekhein ge ke keemat is weak support ko torhne ki koshish karte hue kaise react karta hai. Agar sahi tor par penetrate hota hai, to hum ek sell order lagayenge jis ka profit target 1.0932 par set hoga aur stop loss 1.0845 par rakha jayega.

EUR/USD aur France ki Election

Euro France ki election ke baad gir gaya, jis se yeh zahir hota hai ke France ki election mein dramatic tabdeeli traders par bhaari pad sakti hai.

Magar, mojooda nazariya yeh dikhata hai ke France ki position ka euro exchange rate par asar mehdood rahega.

Is manzar mein, ECB interest rate cut ke baad EUR/USD ki kamiyabi ko mid-June mein 1.06 area mein support mila aur phir uthna shuru kiya, jis ne pair ko U.S. data ke itne zyada support ke saath ooncha rakha. Abhi, 1.0854 level (Fib 0.786) EUR/USD ke liye is hafte ka sab se ahem resistance hai. Agar rozana saaf candles is level ke ooper aajayen, to hum pair ko downtrend se torhte hue jaldi mein 1.096 tak pahunchte dekh sakte hain.

Agar EUR/USD 1.085 resistance ko bearish environment mein tor diya jaye, to is hafte US data dollar ki taqat ke roop mein mushkilat peda kar sakta hai. Yeh pair ko mojooda swing mein 1.07 area tak peeche le ja sakta hai.

Magar ECB ki interest rate decision agle haftay aayegi. Jabke bank is mahine apni interest rates ko beghair tabdeeli rakhne ki umeed rakh rahi hai, to is meeting ke baad bhi interest rates ko kam karne ki muntazir nishandahi ke taur par tashreeh ki ja sakti hai jo EUR/USD ko neeche le jane wale ek tajziya ke tor par qeemat mil sakti hai.

Doosri taraf, Gold ne apni mazeed izafay ki raftar ko barqarar rakha aur peechle hafte se May ke record lows ko tor diya.

Gold ne 2290 se 2365 tak barhna shuru kiya aur May mein uptrend ko ruk gaya. Gold ne is bullish outlook ko tor kar apni raftar ko umeed ke mutabiq uthaya jabke dollar ki demand kam hui. Pichle do mahino ke short-term trend ke mutabiq, gold ko apni momentum barqarar rakhne ke liye $2,390 ke ooper close karna hoga.




Is tabdeel ko kamiyab tareeqay se anjam dene ke liye, $2,400–2,450 ke darmiyan resistance line ko imtehan mein lena shuru hoga. Dollar index ke trend ke mutabiq agar gold is ilaqe ko cross kar leta hai, to hum $2,490-2,550 range mein ek naya record dekh sakte hain. Is tarah, is hafte ke $2,390 par resistance zaroori hai, lekin $2,450 par last high phir se radar par aa sakta hai. Agar dollar ko consolidate karne ki keemat tay ho jaye, to short term mein $ 2330 tak kamzor ho sakta hai.

Shab Bakhair! EUR/USD Technical Analysis

Aaj ke EUR/USD ki technical analysis mein, market price kam hua hai aur yeh giravat ke kharcho mein madadgar rahi hai. Market price jo support level ke ooper hai, is ka matlab hai ke 100-day simple moving average aur neeche ki taraf trend line ko torne ka ishara hai. Is trend ki char tasdeeqein hain: pehli 50-day simple moving average, doosri 1.0945 resistance level, teesri 1.0935 ke qareeb resistance level, aur chouthi zero ke ooper ek indicator hai. Pichle chaar ghanton mein, market price mein kami hui hai, jo EUR/USD ke kharcho mein kami ka sabab bana. Price ne trend line ke ooper band hone se pehle bandh kiya hai. Abhi, resistance aur support levels 1.0790 tak pohanch gaye hain. Jabke market price 1.0805 resistance level ki taraf uth rahi hai, ek indicator zero ko paar kar raha hai, jo 200-day moving average ke ooper barhne wali darkhwast ko numaya karta hai. CCI indicator ne zero ko cross kar liya hai, jo ke mazeed oonchaai ke ishara hai.



Pichle EUR/USD ke price movement ki tajziya mein, pair ne 1.0945 par open kiya aur jald hi ek bearish trend mein dakhil ho gaya, seller dabao ki wajah se apni lowest trading level 1.0935 tak touch ki. Is kamzori ke baad se euro mazboot hui aur uthne lagi, 1.0890 tak buland pahunchi phir ek bearish direction mein wapas chali gayi aur 1.0964 par band hui. Market ne pehle se 30-day simple moving average ke ooper bandh kar liya hai, aur technical analysis aur chart indicators ke buniyad par rozana price mein izaafa ho raha hai. Agar market price 200-day simple moving average ke ooper tor deta hai, to yeh resistance level price ko ooncha le ja sakta hai. Aap ke saath hone ka shukriya. Aapka din acha guzre!

EUR/USD Pair Ka Behavior
EUR/USD pair ka behavior in levels ke aas paas traders ke liye bohot ahamiyat rakhta hai. Yeh support aur resistance levels—1.0717, 1.0742, 1.0741, 1.0716, aur 1.0735—pair ke agle movements ko determine karne mein crucial hain. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke yeh valuable insights dete hain potential buying aur selling opportunities ke liye.

Jo log EUR/USD ke movements se capitalize karna chahte hain, unke liye in support aur resistance levels ka dynamics samajhna bohot zaroori hai. 1.0717-1.0742 range ka resistance yeh indicate karta hai ke koi bhi upward movement significant hurdles ka samna kar sakta hai. Sellers is points par zyada aggressive ho sakte hain, jis se price ko higher move karna mushkil ho jata hai. Yeh levels critical hain kyun ke yeh potential reversals ya aise areas indicate karte hain jahan selling pressure barh sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, 1.0716 aur 1.0735 ke support levels potential buy zones provide karte hain. Yeh levels safety nets ke taur par kaam karte hain, jahan price stability pa sakti hai aur further declines ko rok sakti hai. In support zones ko samajhna un traders ke liye essential hai jo buy orders place karne ka plan kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh identify karte hain jahan price rebound ya decline ko rok sakta hai. Price ka behavior in support levels ke aas paas market ki strength aur potential turning points ke clues de sakta hai.

Support aur resistance levels ka interplay bohot se trading strategies ki basis banata hai. For instance, agar price resistance level ke qareeb aata hai aur break through nahi kar pata, to yeh traders ke liye selling ya profits lene ka signal ho sakta hai. Conversely, agar price support level ke qareeb aata hai aur hold karta hai, to yeh buying ka mauka ho sakta hai, anticipating a rebound. Traders in levels ko use karte hain informed decisions lene aur apna risk effectively manage karne ke liye.

EUR/USD ke recent performance ne in levels ki importance ko highlight kiya hai. Pair ka daily high tak rise aur phir correction phase potential volatility ko underscore karta hai. Aise movements suggest karte hain ke traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko adapt karna chahiye based on how the price behaves around these key levels. Support aur resistance levels ko monitor karna traders ko possible price movements anticipate karne aur apni trades ko accordingly plan karne mein madad deta hai.

Is ke ilawa, broader market context aur koi bhi underlying economic factors jo EUR/USD pair ko influence karte hain, samajhna bhi essential hai. Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events sab pair ke price movements ko impact kar sakte hain. Traders ko is information ko apni technical analysis ke sath integrate karna chahiye support aur resistance levels ka comprehensive trading strategy develop karne ke liye.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

EUR/USD pair daily chart par do channels ke andar trade kiya gaya, jin mein se ek red mein bearish hai, jo pichle mahine ke bearish wave ko zahir karta hai. Blue channel do waves ko dikhata hai, ek bullish pichle mahine ka aur ek bearish pichle mahine ka. Mahinay ki pivot level 1.0880 par, price ne red channel ke middle line se support hasil kiya. Is ke baad, price girne shuru hua jab tak ke wo blue channel ki line tak pohanch gaya, jo ke 1.0810 ke mahinayi support level ke mutabiq hai. Is ne price ko support diya, kyun ke ab wo red channel ke middle line par base bana raha hai. Ulta, haftawar ki pivot level ke neeche extend hone wali red line ek giravat ki mumkinat ko zahir karta hai, haan ke kam mumkin hai. Is ko maqool taur par liya ja sakta hai agar candle haftawar ki pivot level ke neeche band hota hai. Is tarah ke halat mein, EUR/USD agle haftay 1.0790 level ko correct kar sakta hai.



Keemat red channel ki line tak uth sakti hai, us ko ooper torh sakti hai, phir mahinay ki pivot level se neeche gir sakti hai, aur phir se ooper uth sakti hai. Ye sab green mein dikhaya gaya hai. Is mein shamil hai ke price red channel ki line tak uth kar bounce kare, jo ke downside potential ko zahir karta hai. Agar aap keemat ko upper red channel ki line tak pohanchne ka intezaar karte hain aur us ke tawun ko dekhte hain, to agar wo neeche bounce ho kar bearish price action dikhaata hai, to aap bech sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, red channel ko ooper torh sakte hain aur ek din channel ke bahar band kar sakte hain, jo aap ko khareedne ki ijazat deta hai. Price ne mahinay ki support level 1.0770 tak gir kar tor diya, aur is level ke neeche do din tak trade kiya, phir koshish ki aur nakam rahi, pin candle banai aur mazeed gir gaya.

EUR/USD Fundamentals Outlook

- Kal humne EUR/USD mein taqatwar bullish movement dekhi jab USA se naqis data aaya aur pair ab Greenback ke rukh ke badalne ke saath ooper ja raha hai.

- US data aam tor par maqbul na raha, jis ne Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ke umidein par risk appetite ko jaga diya.

- Aaj Azaadi ke din ke moqe par US markets band honge, jis se Friday ke Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data dump se pehle chhutiyan manai jayengi.

European Data

- Thursday ko European data mein mix natije nazar aaye, jahan pan-EU HCOB Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) June ke liye 50.9 MoM par aaya, jo ke 50.8 se thoda zyada tha. EU-wide Producer Price Index May mein bhi tawaqo ke mutabiq zyada gir gaya, -0.2% MoM ke mukablay mein tawaqo ki -0.1% se.

US Data

- June ke liye US ADP Employment Change 150K par aaya, jo ke pichle mahine ke 157K se kam tha aur 160K tawaqo se bhi chook gaya. Report ne bhi zahir kiya ke kai jobs addition kam muntazim sectors jaise ke leisure aur hospitality industries mein hue hain.

- US Initial Jobless Claims June 28 tak 238K tak pohanch gaye, jo ke pichle haftay ke 233K se zyada tha. Chaar hafton ka average bhi 238.5K se 236.25K tak barh gaya.

- Aakhir mein, US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) June mein 48.8 par pohanch gaya, jo ke June 2020 se sab se kam level tha. Yeh pichle mahine ke 53.8 aur 52.5 tawaqo se kam tha.



EUR/USD Technical Outlook

- EUR/USD haal hi mein 1.0680 ke neeche ek demand zone se bullish bounce extend kiya hai, jise briefly 1.0800 ke ooper chart territory test kiya gaya hai. Pair qareebi muddat mein bullish bana hua hai aur 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0734 par hai, us se ooper ja raha hai. Traders UK Parliamentary Elections ke natijon se aur German Factory Orders jo May ke -0.2% se 0.5% MoM par recover hone ki tawaqo rakhte hain, un se volatility ka intezaar karenge.

EUR/USD ke qadmon mein izafa, had mein se guzarta hai. 50-din aur 200-din ke SMAs ko liya gaya hai. Oscillators yeh zahir kar rahe hain ke bullish taqatain mazboot ho rahi hain. EUR/USD ne koshish ki hai ke wo apni ek mahine ki kam-tareen keemat 1.0666 se bahar nikle, keemat ne December 2023 se neeche ki taraf chalang lagai hai. Thori jhooli hui session ke baad, jodi ne apne 50- aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages ko jeet liya hai.

Agar halat mein mazeed sudhar aata hai, to pehli keemat 1.0874 ko test kiya ja sakta hai, jo 1.0447-1.1138 upleg ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement hai. Is ke ilawa, June ke peak 1.0915 ko bhi nazdeek se dekha ja sakta hai.

Phir mazeed taraqqi ke dauran, 23.6% Fibo 1.0975 ke aas paas tod sakta hai, jo keemat thi jisne pair ke upside ko March mein roka tha. Ya agar pair apne SMA ke neeche laut jaaye, to fori support 1.0793 ke 50.0% Fibonacci par dekha ja sakta hai. Agar rok nahi paya, to pair 1.0711 ke 61.8% Fibonacci tak gir sakta hai. Ek mahine ki kam-tareen keemat 1.0666 bhi neeche se suraksha pradaan kar sakta hai.

Mukhtasar mein, EUR/USD ne pichle kuch session mein khoya hua zameen wapis hasil ki hai, jab ke uske SMAs ke upar chadhna uske chhotay-termi technical tasawwur ko kafi behtar bana diya hai, lekin puri taraf mud-daulat ke liye bullion ko June ki unchaayi 1.0915 ke upar chadhne ki ummeed hai.

2024 mein mahangai ke sath, kai investors ko stocks mein aur zyada paise daalne se pareshani hai. Agar aap bhi nahi jaante ke paise ko kahan lagana chahiye agay, to hamare mukhtalif portfolios tak pahunch jaye aur azeem mumkinah maukaat ko explore karein.



Sirf 2024 mein, Propix ki AI ne pehchaana hai ke 2 stocks ne 150% se zyada izafa kiya hai, 4 naye stocks ne 30% se zyada izafa kiya hai, aur 3 naye stocks ne 25% se zyada record-breaking izafa kiya hai.

Is haftay ki aham trading shuruat mein, euro aur US dollar ke darmiyan EUR/USD forex pair ki keemat 1.0767 ke resistance level tak pohanch gayi jab yeh tashreeh likhi ja rahi thi. Euro ke izafaat Marine Le Pen ki National Rally party ke agay barhne ke sath milte gaye, jis ne France ke early parliamentary elections ke pehle round mein umeedon ke mutabiq qadam uthaya. Magar raye ke mutabiq, opinion polls ne dikhaya ke far-right party ka lead expected se kam hai, jabke final natija agay ke run-off se pehle bohat uncertain hai. Maqrooz hai ke investors manufacturing PMI numbers aur Germany ki June ki mahangi data se qabil-e-tashreeh honge.

Is se pehle, reliable trading companies ke platform ke mutabiq, euro ki keemat lagbag $1.0685 tak gir gayi, jo ke do mahino ke kam-tareen darjaat tak pohanch gayi, jabke investors European Central Bank ke policy mein mazeed easing ke liye apne expectations adjust kar rahe thay Consumer Price Index ke numbers ke baad. Economic calendar ke natije ke mutabiq, preliminary data ne dikhaya ke France mein consolidate annual inflation rate 2.5% tak slow hui, jo ke umeedon ke mutabiq thi, jabke Spain ki rate 3.5% tak gir gayi, jo ke thora sa expectations se zyada hai. Mukaalat ke mutabiq, Italy ki inflation rate 0.8% se expected 0.9% tak tezi se barhi. Is dauran, euro zone ke consumers apni mahangi umeedon ko kam karte rahe aur rozgar ke imkanat mein bhi zyada optimistic hue, jo ke European Central Bank ke ek survey ne bataya.

Pichle hafte, European Central Bank ke Governing Council member Olli Rehn ne is saal mein do mazeed interest rate cuts ke mumkinah iradon ko isharah kiya. Is ke ilawa, investors ko Marine Le Pen ki far-right National Rally party ke French parliamentary elections mein umeed hai ke unki kamiyabi se bhi fikar hai.



Mukhalif taur par, US dollar index (DXY) Jumma ko 105.9 ke aas paas hover kar raha tha jab US personal consumption expenditures inflation expectations ke mutabiq aayi aur price pressures mein thori halki kami ka ishara hua, jo Federal Reserve ke case ko taqwiyat di ke is saal qarz wasooli ke costs mein kami honi chahiye. Advertiser ke mutabiq, core PCE prices pichle mahine se 0.1% barhi, jo ke chhah mahine ki sab se chhoti izafa hai, jabke annual rate 2.6% tak gir gayi, jo ke early 2021 se sab se kam hai. Interest rate cut ki imkaniat September tak 66% tak barh gayi hai.

Sab ko mera salaam! Rozana ke chart par linear regression channel ka slope barh gaya hai. Mere khayal mein, yeh ishara hai ke market mein taqatwar kharidari hai jo sellers par dabao daal rahi hai, aur kharidne ka mauqa hai. Mujh se ghalat bhi ho sakta hai, lekin mere case mein, agar bechne ki soorat mein jaate hain, to yeh market ke khilaf jaane se nuqsan ka bais ban sakta hai, trend ke saath khareedne mein daakhil hone ki surat mein.

Is liye, stop order set kar ke hamesha apne nuqsan ko had mein rakh sakte hain, agar trading plan ke khilaf market movement ghalat ho gaya hai, jahan stop order entry point 1.08185 se zyada nahi hona chahiye. Mere case mein, main intezar karunga jab tak ke keemat channel ke neeche, yani 1.08185 level tak na gir jaye. Us ke qareeb, main khareedne ka entry point dekhunga takay upper target 1.08408 tak pohanch saku.

Bechnay ki umeed channel ke upper edge se honi chahiye. Aap ko khareedne se pehle is intezar mein rehna chahiye jab tak correction shakl mein na aaye. Daily chart par linear regression channel uttar ki taraf ja raha hai. D1 par bhi channel ishi raaste mein ja raha hai. Yeh baat ke dono channels bila ikhtilaf chal rahe hain is instrument ke upside ko highlight karte hain.

Mere liye ab khareedne zaroori hain. Channel ke neeche, 1.08241 level ke qareeb, main entry point tasawwur karta hoon. Market ki umeed hai ke 1.08648 tak uthayega - yeh channel ka upper limit hai, jahan market mein rokawat hogi. Agar market lambay arse tak channel ke upper border ke qareeb rehta hai, to hum neechay movement ko channel ke lower part tak ummid karte hain. Main bechne ki soorat mein daakhil nahi hota. Bechnay trend ke khilaf jata hai, aur agar girawat na ho, to izaafa jaari rahega.



Is liye, main market mein pullback se daakhil hone ka tareeqa istemal karta hoon. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh tareeqa ek taqatwar player ke sath implement hoga jo izaafa laayega aur bear ko todega. Is case mein top scroll kai baar barh jata hai.

Hello, Euro ke buyers abhi tak apne uparward movement ko rokne ka irada nahi rakhte hain, unhone subah ke gap ko lagbhag pura cover kar liya hai. Agar 1.08418 ke Friday ke maximum ko toorna aur us ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab ho sakte hain, to agla target 1.08517 hoga. Agar is level ko toorna aur us ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab ho sakte hain, to hum umeed kar sakte hain ke keemat 1.09149 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar hum neechay ki taraf movement ke possible vikas ke baare mein baat karte hain, to abhi ke liye mazboot level 1.07978 par qaim hai, agar is tak pohanch sakte hain, toorna aur consolidate kar sakte hain, to hum 1.07354 ki taraf movement ka intezar kar sakte hain.

EURUSD H4 Pair:

1 - Euro 4-hour chart par bands ke central area mein hai, aur bands khud andar ki taraf fold hone shuru ho gaye hain. Is maqam mein keemat mein mazeed izafa ke liye signal hasil karne ke liye, humein upper band ke active approach ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir dekhna chahiye ke bands outward open honge ya koi reaction na aaye. Agar hum fractals ke mutabiq current situation ke baare mein baat karte hain, to keemat mein izafa ke liye target nearest fractal upwards hai, us ka breakout aur us ke peeche consolidate hone se keemat June 12 ke fractal tak 1.08517 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Possible price fall ke liye target nearest fractal downwards hai, us ka breakout aur consolidate keemat ko June 3 ke fractal tak 1.07354 ki taraf continue move karne dega.



2 - AO indicator positive area mein fade ho raha hai, agar zero ki taraf movement jaari rahe, to humein price ke girne ke liye mazboot signal mil sakta hai. Positive area mein nayi speed Euro ke izafa ke liye signal degi.

EUR/USD Tashreeh: Kya 1.10 Ki Psycological Resistance Tak Pohanch Sakti Hai?

Dollar dosray bara currencies ke khilaf gir gaya jab US jobs report ne mazeed mazboot economic shurouqat ki daleel di, jis se ummid hai ke Federal Reserve apni September ki meeting mein interest rates ko cut karne ka faisla karega. Trading data ne dikhaya ke euro US dollar ke khilaf teen hafton ke oonchaar par 1.0842 resistance level tak pohanch gaya, aur trading week is izafa ke aas paas mazbooti se band hua.

Reliable Trading Company ke platform ke mutabiq, abwaqt ke halat mein Eurodollar ke keemat mustahkem rahegi, French election ke final natije ka reaction muntazir hai, jise US mahangi data aur Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell ke izharat ke baad jaari kiya jayega.

Economic calendar ke natije ke mutabiq, US Bureau of Labor Statistics ne apni pehle se tawaja hata di aur kaha ke April aur May mein US job growth ki pehle se 111,000 kami hui hai, aur June mein berozgari dar 4.1% tak barh gayi hai. June non-farm payrolls report 272,000 se 206,000 tak gir gaya magar 190,000 ke expectations se zyada tha. Magar currency aur bond markets ke reaction se wazeh hota hai ke do mahino ke revisions aur berozgari dar par focus kamzor hota ja raha hai.

Tuesday ko, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ne Portugal mein ek conference mein kaha ke agar labor market mein kharabi hoti hai to Fed interest rates ko cut karne ka mashwara karega. Unhone ye bhi kaha ke berozgari dar mein mazeed izafa hone ka khatra hai. Jaise ke hum sab jante hain, US employment report ek series ki latest light economic data hai. Wednesday ko, ISM services PMI ke izharat ke baad US dollar gir gaya jo ke expectations se bohat kam tha.



Mujhe umeed hai ke EUR/USD exchange rate abhi ke exchange rate par qaim rahega jab tak market French elections ke natije ka muntazir rahega aur phir US inflation data aur Fed Governor Jerome Powell ke izharat ka reaction dega. Daily chart ke tajarbat ke mutabiq, Eurodollar pair ek uptrend mein hai aur bulls ka control trend par mazbooti se qabza kar raha hai, jo ke 1.0920 ke resistance level aur 1.1000 ki psychological resistance level ki taraf ja raha hai. Dusri taraf, 1.0720 ke support level ne is waqt ke upward trend par khatra banaye rakhega.

Hello, kaise hain aap? EUR/USD European session mein Monday ko 1.0850 ki taraf lautne ki koshish kar raha hai, jabke traders France ke election gridlock ko nazar andaaz kar rahe hain aur risk sentiment ko utha rahe hain. Risk reset ne US dollar ki revised position ko ulta kiya hai. EU Sentix data agla focus hai. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne Friday ko 70 ke upar chadh gaya hai. Haalaanki yeh tajarbat isharatain dete hain ke EUR/USD technically overbought hai, lekin 1.0800 (100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), 200-day SMA) tak support bana rahega takay buyers action par qabza kar saken.

Upar ki taraf, 1.0840 (latest trend ka Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) interim resistance ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai pehle se 1.0900 (psychological level, static level) ke liye. Agar EUR/USD 1.0800 ke neeche jaata hai aur yeh level dobara hasil nahi kar sakta, to support 1.0760 (Fibonacci 50% retracement) aur 1.0730-1.0740 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement, 20-day SMA) par dekha ja sakta hai.

USD Thursday ko 1.0800 ke upar positive territory mein hai. Pair ne early Friday ko apna base banaya jab market focus US se June labor market data par shift hua. US ke Independence Day holiday ke baad bhi US dollar pe pressure bana raha hai aur yeh EUR/USD ko apni jagah qaim rakhne mein madad kar raha hai. June mein US non-farm payrolls ki 190,000 ki umeed hai, May mein 272,000 izafa ke baad, jabke berozgari dar 4% par qaim hai.

Haftawar initial jobless claims data mein steady izafa aur disappointing ISM Manufacturing aur Services PMI reports, jo June mein un sectors ke payrolls mein kam honay ka dikhate hain, yeh sab labor market ke loose conditions ki taraf ishara dete hain. Agar NFP 150,000 ya kam hoga, to USD poori hafte bechne ke dabaav ke neeche reh sakta hai aur EUR/USD apna weekly rally extend karne mein madad milegi. Markets abhi Federal Reserve ke policy rates ko September mein unchanged rehne ki 25 percent chance ko price kar rahe hain, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq. Isliye market positioning yeh suggest karti hai ke agar investors weak jobs report ke base par September mein rate cut ke saath jaari rahen, to USD ke decline ke liye zyada scope hai.



Dusra taraf, agar NFP 220,000 se zyada izafa kare, to investors Federal Reserve ke policy pivot ke timing ko dobara evaluate kar sakte hain aur US session mein EUR/USD ki downward correction ho sakti hai.