Eur/usd

EUR/USD Tahlil: Bullish Hafta Ke End Par

Haftay ke end par, euro ne apne mahine ke aik buland resistance level par pahunch kar 1.0900 tak badh gaya jab ke US mein inflation data ummeeden se kam aaya, jisse euro ko dollar ke khilaf buland ho jana tha. Eurodollar currency pair ka haftay ki bandish. Euro is haftay mein mazeed barh raha raha jab ke investors ne Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko kis wakt cut kar sakti hai ke clues ke liye upcoming US inflation data par tawajju di.

Arz-e-taleem ke natayej ke mutabiq, US Consumer Price Index char saalon baad pehli martaba gira.

Rasmi ishtihar ke mutabiq, US Consumer Price Index asaani se 0.1% mahinay ke shuru mein gir gaya June 2024 mein, pehli giravat since May 2020, jab data flat tha, mukhtalif tha jo ke 0.1% ke barhne ki umeed thi.

Europe mein, German inflation June mein 2.5% tak gir gaya, pehle ke data ko tasdeeq deta hua ke European Central Bank September mein interest rates ko phir se cut kar sakti hai. Intihaai election ke baad France mein siyasi risk se mutalliq pareshaniyan kam hui jab election ke baad badi paisa party ke dominance ke leye pareshaniyon ka samna legislative deadlock mein tabdeel ho gaya.

Aur stock exchange company platform ke uchayi par. German stock indexes mazeed faidaen kar rahe hain. Trade reports ke mutabiq, German DAX index Thursday ko 0.3% barh kar 18,470 point ke qareeb pahunch gaya. Stock ne European stocks ko follow kiya aur pehle ke trading din se 1% barh gaya. German inflation June mein 2.2% tak gir gaya, shuruati ummeed ke mutabiq.





Rozana chart ke mutabiq, EUR/USD ke qeemat ka buland channel rasta mazboot hota ja raha hai aur 1.0885 ke resistance level ki taraf barhne ke baad, 1.1000 ke nafsiyati resistance level ki taraf barhne ki dilchasp ko bhadkae gi, jo ke overall buland trend ki taqat ko tasdiq karta hai. Dosri taraf, ishi doran, 1.0720 ka support level sab se ahem support level rahe ga jo mojooda buland trend ke ummeedon ko nakam kar dega.

USD currency pair, jo ke is waqt lagbhag 1.0696 par trade ho rahi hai, bearish trend ka samna kar rahi hai. Halankeh market movement dheemi hai, kayi factors yeh suggest karte hain ke kareebi mustaqbil mein ek significant shift ho sakta hai. In factors ko samajhna traders aur investors ko potential volatility ke liye tayar karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Sabse pehle, Eurozone aur United States ka macroeconomic environment aham role ada karta hai. Euro par pressure hai Eurozone ki economic challenges ki wajah se, jese ke sluggish growth, inflationary pressures, aur political uncertainties, jaise Italy aur Spain. European Central Bank (ECB) ne dovish stance rakha hai low interest rates aur quantitative easing measures ke sath taake economy ko stimulate kiya ja sake. Magar, agar inflation barh jaati hai, ECB ko zyada hawkish stance lena pad sakta hai, jo ke euro ko mazboot kar sakta hai.
Iske muqable mein, U.S. dollar relatively strong hai, jo Federal Reserve ki tighter monetary policy ki wajah se hai. Fed ne inflation se larne ke liye interest rates ko barhaya hai, jo dollar ko bolster karta hai. Agar Fed apni policy mein changes kare, jaise ke rate hikes ko pause kare ya future cuts ke indications de, to dollar weaken ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD pair mein significant movement ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, U.S. ke strong economic data, jaise ke employment figures aur GDP growth, dollar ko support karte hain. Magar, kisi bhi economic slowdown ke signs market sentiment ko shift kar sakte hain.
Geopolitical events bhi ek critical factor hain jo EUR/USD pair mein significant movements ko drive kar sakte hain. For example, ongoing trade negotiations, political developments, ya economic sanctions heightened volatility ko lead kar sakte hain. Positive developments, jaise ke trade disputes ka resolution ya Eurozone mein political stability ke barhawa, euro mein investor confidence ko boost kar sakte hain. Iske ulat, geopolitical tensions ya sanctions jo Eurozone ya U.S. ko affect karte hain, safe-haven assets ki demand ko increase kar sakte hain, jo EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakte hain.





Market sentiment aur speculative activities bhi currency pair ko influence karte hain. Traders aur investors closely monitor karte hain economic indicators ko, jaise ke GDP growth, employment rates, aur manufacturing output, taake Eurozone aur U.S. economies ki health ko gauge kar sakein. Eurozone se strong economic data euro mein confidence ko instill kar sakti hai, jo bearish trend ke reversal ko lead kar sakti hai. On the other hand, disappointing data current bearish sentiment ko exacerbate kar sakti hai. Speculative activities, jo market expectations aur news reactions se driven hot

EUR/USD currency pair ka analysis karte hue, humein nazar ata hai ke yeh pair downward trend mein hai. Chart mein dikhaya gaya hai ke price lower highs aur lower lows banati ja rahi hai, jo ke bearish trend ko confirm kar raha hai. Yeh trend line se support lete hue niche ki taraf move kar raha hai.
Is chart mein MACD indicator bhi bearish divergence dikha raha hai. MACD histogram negative territory mein hai, jo ke selling pressure ko highlight karta hai. Yeh signal is baat ka indication hai ke downward trend continue rehne ke chances hain.
Recent price action ko dekha jaye toh, price ne ek attempt kiya tha rebound karne ka, lekin phir se trend line se neeche gir gaya. Yeh movement batata hai ke market mein selling interest ab bhi bohot strong hai aur buyers momentum ko sustain nahi kar pa rahe.
Agar price trend line ko break kar ke neeche close hoti hai, toh yeh aur bhi bearish signal hoga. Yeh situation sellers ko encourage karegi ke woh market mein aur entries karein, jisse price aur neeche ja sakti hai. Is surat mein next support level 1.0650 ke aas paas ho sakta hai.
Dusri taraf, agar price trend line ke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh ek bullish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin yeh scenario tabhi significant hoga jab price MACD ke positive territory mein enter ho aur moving averages cross ho kar bullish signal den.
Is waqt market signals mostly bearish hain aur trading strategy banate waqt inhi signals ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye. Agar trend line break hoti hai toh short positions lena zyada suitable rahega. Agar price trend line ke upar move kar ke sustain karti hai, toh ek cautious approach rakhte hue buying opportunities ko dekhna chahiye.
Upcoming economic data releases aur central bank policies bhi significant impact dal sakti hain
EUR/USD pair weak lekin steady bullish correction se guzar raha hai broader downtrend ke against pichle ek mahine se. Since Federal Reserve rate cut ke expectations 2024 mein significantly decrease hui hain, aur ECB tayar hai ke rates ko sirf do hafton mein lower kare, hum believe karte hain ke US currency medium term mein rise karni chahiye. Hum ab bhi expect karte hain ke price ascending channel ke niche consolidate kare taake downtrend resume ho sake. Lekin, aisa lagta hai ke market dollar ko buy karne ke liye tayar nahi hai aur generally trade karne ke liye bhi tayar nahi hai. Euro bas har roz thoda upar jaata hai ya phir wahi pe khada rehta hai.

EUR/USD sirf 43 pips ki tajawuz mein kamyaab ho saki. Aur yeh tajawuz sirf paanch minute mein dikhaya gaya jab NonFarm Payrolls aur berozgar ke reports US mein shaya huay. Dono reports darust tajwez se kam nikle, jo sabun ke naye girawat par asar daal sakta tha. Aam taur par, American currency ghata, lekin overal intraday tajawuz, jaisa ke pehle bhi tha, bohot kami reh gayi. Hum hamesha yeh baat uthatay hain ke pair bohot kam movement dikhata hai, yehi waqt ka ab main point hai. Isliye, hum do conclusions nikal sakte hain. Pehla, 5-minute TF par bhi trades 2-3 din tak open rakhi ja sakti hain. Dusra, is waqt zyada faiday par mushkil hai umeed rakhna, aur signals har din nahi bhi ban sakte, halanke hum sab se chote time frame ki baat kar rahe hain.
5-minute timeframe par do trading signals banay thay, aur in mein se kisi ek ke sath kaam karne ka koi faida nahi tha. Pair ne dono signals form kiye jab kisi khaas US data ka release tha, isliye kisi bhi trade mein shamil ho jana bohot mushkil tha. Ghalti se bhi, signals ka formation sirf 5 minute mein hua, jo mukhtalif directions mein point kar rahe thay. Kisi bhi surat mein, NonFarms aur berozgar ke reports shaya hone se pehle market mein shamil hona mushkil tha. Ek hi option tha, Thursday se long positions mein rehna jab price ne 1.0797-1.0804 area overcome kiya tha.
Monday ke liye trading tips:
Hourly chart par, EUR/USD ne 1.0678 level ko toorna na saka, aur latest economic reports zyada tar euro ko dollar ke muqable me support kar rahe thay. Isliye, humein euro mein kaafi consistent izafa dekhne ko mila. Is harkat se, overall (neechay ki taraf) trend badla nahi, lekin euro ke saath 7-8 mahinay mein bohot zyada frequently aur mazboot corrections dekhne ko mile hain. Theheek taor par, euro ek neeche ki taraf trend mein hai, jaisa ke higher time frames par dekh sakte hain, lekin pair ki decline ki process medium term mein bohot dheemi rahi hai.
Monday ko, starters 1.0838-1.0856 area se trade kar sakte hain. Magar, yaad rahe ke pair mein bohot kam tajawuz ho sakti hai.
EURUSD pair ki price ko pehle ek downward correction ka samna karna hoga agar wo agle urooj ke liye buland tareen level tak pohanchna chahta hai. Is ke ilawa, yad rakhna chahiye ke aaj raat New York session mein US employment data report ayega jo USD currency ke outlook par asar daal sakta hai. Agar fundamentals US Dollar ki taraf support karte hain, to upward rally ko roka ja sakta hai aur price movement 1.0800 level ke nichle hone ke mumkinat hain.
Tijarati plan ke mutabiq, market ke current trending direction ke khilaf jaana bohot risky ho sakta hai, is liye behtar hai BUY moment ka intezar karna. Agar downward correction kafi tezi se ho raha ho to RBS area 1.0771 ko dakhil hone ka istemal entry point ke taur par kiya ja sakta hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameter ke rejection ke waqt confirmation lena chahiye jo ke level 50 ke aaspaas hota hai. Take profit ya stop loss ke liye target set karne ke liye Risk: Reward ratio 1: 2 istemal kiya ja sakta hai jo ke apke maal ki taqat ke mutabiq adjust karega.

barh rahi hai. Mujhe yeh barhti hui qeemat samajh nahi aayi. Kyunki main ab bhi ek dhalwan channel dekh raha hoon, jisme hum ne sirf upar ka kaam kiya hai, balki test bhi kiye hain. Kaafi. Aur aakhri test kuch din pehle - Jumay ko hua tha. Agar teen martaba test hua, lekin hum ne upar jaane ki koshish nahi ki, to mujhe shak ho raha hai - shayad humein upar nahi jaana? Wo girna chahiye - jaise hi wo neeche jaate hain, kaam nahi karta.
MA100 parallel space mein kaam kar raha hai - jo hafte bhar flat mood ka nishan hai. MA18 ab bhi dead cross pe kaam kar raha hai, lekin wazeh tor par upar jaane ka irada hai. Is waqt, yeh moving average growth ke haq mein ho gaya hai aur trend ka angle paanch degree ka hai.

Nichimoku Cloud bullish rang mein rangeen hai. Aur yeh kaafi bullish bhi lag raha hai. Peshgoi ke nazariye se, yeh pehle se hi bearish ho raha hai, lekin wapas north move karne ke liye palat raha hai. - Light Stochastic overbought zone mein daakhil ho gaya hai. Yeh girne ke liye tayyar hai. - Light MACD ne halka sa selling wave dekha hai, jo ab north move dikha raha hai. - Advanced Oscillator ne bearish wave ko identify kiya hai. Yahan ek buy signal ka ibtidaai marhala hai. - Advanced Rosa bundle ab bhi oversold zone ka test mukammal karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Phir se, teen dafa south move karne ki koshish ho chuki hai. Lagta hai ke hum wahan pohanch jaayenge. Isliye, agar hum phir se channel ke upper band ko test karte hain - level 1.0844 - to main khush ho jaunga aur sell karunga.
EUR/USD karansi pair ki price action H4 chart par ek sideways channel ko indicate kar rahi hai, jo consolidation ka aik daur suggest karti hai. Agar price pehle ke local maximum 1.0769 ko surpass nahi karti, toh hum current levels se aik tez decline anticipate kar sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar price is level ko breach kar leti hai, toh yeh 1.0772 resistance tak pohanch sakti hai, aur pullback ke baad 1.0804 tak growth ho sakti hai.

Haal hi mein, price 1.0719 resistance se pullback ke baghair upar gayi thi, aur support 1.0743 tak jaldi pohanch gayi thi lekin phir puncture experience hua. Magar, yeh rise baghair retracement ke sustain nahi ho sakti thi. Nateejaatan, 1.0756 aur 1.0772 resistances tak aik nayi surge mumkin hai, magar in levels ke beyond further upward movement na mumkin lagti hai. Agar aisi growth hoti hai, toh in resistance points se decline ke naye attempts ki umeed hai.

Agar price apni upward momentum maintain karne mein nakam hoti hai, toh yeh 1.0719 aur 1.0695 support levels ko test karne ki koshish karegi, in points se potential rebounds ke sath. Kul mila kar, din ke price movement ke liye expectation minimal hai, ke trading session ke end tak slight increase ya decrease ho sakta hai. Critical support level 1.0688 par hai, magar yeh din mein reachable nahi lagta

EUR/USD ki keemat ne resistance ke ooper chadha hai, jis se maloom hota hai ke khareedne walay bazaar mein qabu qaim kar rahe hain. EUR/USD ki ab tak kam tar keemat 1.08241 hai, jo pichli kam tar keemat 1.08216 se oonchi hai, yeh movement yeh bataata hai ke EUR/USD ki keemat mein urooj hai, is liye ab kharidne ke mauqe ki talash hai.
EUR/USD ki keemat ke barhne ko abhi bhi base supply rok rahi hai. Abhi EUR/USD ki keemat upper Bollinger bands ke aas paas ghoom rahi hai, is liye ab niche middle Bollinger bands ki taraf jaana hai. EUR/USD ki keemat mein mazeed mazbooti aur mustawazai barhne se yeh overbought hai, jo ke stochastic oscillator ke level 80 ke ooper hai, is liye ab level 20 ki taraf jaana hai. Bollinger Bands aur Stochastic Oscillator ke indicators se dekha gaya to EUR/USD ki keemat correction ke liye neeche jaegi.
EUR/USD ki keemat ki tafseeli tafteesh ke natayej mein yeh pata chalta hai ke trend ke saath ooper jaegi. Halaanki aap yakeen rakhte hain ke EUR/USD ki keemat mazboot hogi, toh turant kharidne ki transaction na karen. Sabr rakhen aur EUR/USD ki keemat ko base demand tak neeche jaate hue dekhen, sahi keemat hasil karne ke liye. Khareedne ki transaction kar sakte hain agar bullish pinbar ya engulfing candle se tasdeeq ho aur candle body base demand ke ooper ho, price loss limit base demand ke neeche 1.08240 aur take profit base supply ke neeche 1.08410 ke qareeb rakhen jo abhi taza hai. Agar EUR/USD ki keemat base demand se neeche jaati hai, toh khareedne ka signal khatam ho jata hai kyunki trend palat gaya hai.
Agar EUR/USD ki keemat base demand ko chhu ke ya usmein dakhil hone se pehle seedha ooper chali jaati hai, toh khareedne ki transaction karne ki zid na karen kyunki isne takneeki shuruhwat poori nahi ki hai. Transaction sell limit order ke saath kiya ja sakta hai jo base supply ke neeche 1.08410 par hai kyunki EUR/USD ki keemat abhi overbought hai, price loss limit base supply ke ooper 1.08454 aur take profit base demand ke ooper 1.08257 par rakhen.
EUR/USD ne phir se be janibana ho gaya hai, aur trend ke oopri bhag ke control bina nahi mazboot hoga bina resistance levels 1.0880 aur 1.0940 ki taraf na jane ke, jo general trend ko oopri taraf barhane ka tasdeeq dete hain. Dosri taraf, isi time period ke doran, 1.0720 ka support level baras ko control karne ke liye important rahega. Mujhe ummeed hai

EUR/USD mein mukhtasar muddaton se bullish behavior nazar araha hai. Is hafte ki shuruat mein price ne ek upward gap ke saath open kiya, phir woh gap fill hua aur neeche girne ke baad dobara upward rebound hua, jis se weekly pivot level ke saath ek bottom form hua. Dusra indication upward trend ki taqat ka yeh hai ke price ne 1.0751 level ko break kiya aur uske baad channels se rebound kiya, phir se upar gaya jab broken channels ki lines se support mila.
Ab jab price ne 1.0788 level ko break kiya hai, to tayyar hai ek upward wave ke liye jo 1.0831 level tak ja sakta hai. Aaj aur kal ke trading ke liye mashwara yeh hai ke current level se 1.0831 level tak khareedai ki jaye aur stop loss 1.0788 level ke neeche rakha jaye.
Mehangi raftar ke mamle mein, US Federal Reserve ke akhri meeting ke minutes ke maawad ke baad investors ne EUR/USD price ko uchhaala diya, jis se woh 1.0820 resistance level tak pohanch gayi, jo ke teen hafte ke high the. Baad mein price Thursday ke trading ki shuruat mein 1.0780 level ke aas paas stabilize hui.
Maliyat ke hawale se, US policymakers ne June 2024 mein federal funds ke target range ko 5.25%-5.50% mein foran seventh consecutive meeting ke liye steady rakha, jo ke ummeedon ke mutabiq tha. Unka kahna hai ke woh tab tak interest rates ko kam nahi karenge jab tak ke unhe yaqeen na ho ke mahangai 2% ki taraf sustainably barh rahi hai.
EUR/USD ko north ki taraf mod diya. ADP ne report diya ke private sector payrolls June mein 150,000 barh gaye, jo ke analysts ke estimate 160,000 se kam hain, aur weekly data Labor Department ne publish kiya ke 238,000 applications unemployment benefits ke liye pehli martaba ayi, jo pichle saal ke 233,000 se zyada hain.
Akhir mein, ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8 pe gir gaya May ke 53.8 se, jo ke service sector business activity mein slowdown ka ishara hai. Iske ilawa, PMI survey ke employment index aur price paid index 46.1 aur 56.3 tak gir gaye hain. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki sambhawna 27% pe gir gayi hai Wednesday ke data release se pehle 32% se. Financial markets US mein Thursday ko Independence Day holiday ke liye band rahengi. Is liye, EUR/USD ka action subdued reh sakta hai. Friday ko, Bureau of Labor Statistics June jobs report release karega, jo ke nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate aur wage inflation ka data shamil karega.

EUR/USD currency pair ne recently sideways trend se bullish trajectory mein shift kiya hai H4 chart par, jo traders ke liye ek promising opportunity present kar raha hai. Abhi 1.0790 mark ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, pair ka upward movement market participants ke beech optimism signal kar raha hai. Pichle hafte, EUR/USD ne 1.0670 ke near support levels se rebound karte hue resilience show kiya, aur 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar breakout kiya. Yeh breakout na sirf ek buying opportunity ko affirm karta hai balki renewed market sentiment ko bhi underscore karta hai jo euro ke favor mein hai.
Is bullish outlook ko support karte hue Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator ne ek clear buy signal generate kiya hai. In technical indicators ka convergence strongly suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD near term mein sustained upward momentum show kar sakta hai.
100 SMA ko breach karne ki significance ko nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye, kyunki yeh aksar market dynamics mein ek pivotal shift mark karta hai. Traders is development ka note le sakte hain, jo potentially buying activity ko amplify kar sakta hai. MACD ka trends confirm karna further current bullish scenario mein confidence ko bolster karta hai. In indicators ke align hone ke saath, yeh confidence increase hota hai ke pair apni upward trajectory ko continue kar sakta hai.
Agar current bullish momentum persist karta hai, to agla notable resistance level jo dekhna chahiye wo 1.0865 ke aas paas hai. Yeh level historically ek significant area represent karta hai jahan selling interest emerge ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar 1.0865 ke upar ek decisive breach hota hai to yeh further gains ke liye doors open kar sakta hai, potentially ongoing bullish trend ko validate aur strengthen kar sakta hai.
EUR/USD pair mein bearish move ka potential hai. Eurozone data ki kami pair ke upside potential ko limit kar rahi hai. Agar 1.0750 ke upar rally fail hoti hai, to yeh sell scenario ko justify kar sakti hai, jiska result channel ke middle at 1.0590 ki taraf move hoga. Range ka breakout aur reverse test additional pressure create kar sakti hai euro par, aur dusra sell signal de sakti hai. Bears pullback ke baad 1.0635 par retreat kar sakte hain, lekin agar yeh range ke neeche fix hota hai, to aur zyada downside 1.0675 area tak ja sakti hai.

EUR/USD H-1 Time Frame Chart

To shuru mein, charts har qisam ke. Masla yeh hai ke credibility ke liye. Tasawwur ki jaye ke EURUSD pair abhi flat hai. Yeh charts abhi ke liye bekar hain. Oh haan, aik uttarwala phenomenon bhi hai. Toh, Monday ke liye kya tayyari hai? Aap nahi manenge, kaun janta hai? Choti si baat mein, Nostradamus ke mask pehan lete hain aur chai ke patton ko parhte hain. Shuruwat mein, khabarain: business activity index, aur phir Fed chair Powell ka khitaab. Dono khabarain America se hain. Aur is ka kya matlab hai gareeb ke liye? Iska matlab hai ke sab tawajjo fundamental analysis par hai, sirf technical nahi. Toh, kya aur kaise? Monday ko, mujhe lagta hai ke pair 1.0850 level par southern correction karega, aur phir 1.0960 position par uttar ki taraf palat jayega. Sabko shikwa mubarak ho hunting mein.



EUR/USD H-4 Time Frame Chart

Salam. Aur asal mein, main confident growth ka aage jaane ka bhi izhaar nahi rokta, khas tor par jab humne 1.09 ke upar band kiya hai. Aur agay barhne ke liye jagah bhi hai, kyun ke agle targets 1.0916, phir 1.0942 aur aage 1.10 tak hain, to hum agay barh sakte hain. Khas tor par jab dollar mahangai ke baad dabaav mein hai. Humne America mein PPI par musbat data hasil kiya, lekin dollar ab bhi gir raha hai. Waise to 1.08 area mein ab bhi aik platform hai. Aur beshak, humein yaad rakhna chahiye ke agle haftay Eurozone mein mahangai hai, aur phir ECB ki meeting hai. Main aise prices par trading nahi karna samajhta. Lekin main yakeen rakhta hoon ke hum 1.0916 aur shayad hi 1.0942 ke upar jaayenge. Agar tashadud ho, to main aik chhote se stoop ke saath bechne ki koshish karunga.

EUR/USD currency pair abhi horizontal trend dikha raha hai, jise Triangular Moving Average (TMA) indicator chart pe yellow line ke zariye represent kiya gaya hai. Yeh sideways movement is baat ka ishara hai ke market abhi ek aise period se guzar raha hai jahan koi clear directional bias nahi hai, aur trading environment mein abhi ek undecided state hai.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi is observation ko support karta hai. Halanki MACD values zero mark se upar hain aur green hain, jo kuch bullish momentum ko dikhata hai, lekin yeh strength itni significant nahi ke ek definitive upward trend ko establish kar sake. MACD ka current state yeh suggest karta hai ke market oscillate kar raha hai bina kisi strong commitment ke kisi bhi direction mein.

Isi tarah, Moving Average of Oscillator (OsMA) indicator bhi is neutral stance ko reinforce karta hai. OsMA indicator yeh dikhata hai ke pink line blue line ke upar hai, jo mild bullishness ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, MACD ki tarah, yeh signal bhi itna robust nahi ke ek clear trend ko dictate kar sake. OsMA lines ka alignment yeh suggest karta hai ke thoda buying ka preference hai, lekin yeh itna strong nahi ke market mein sustained movement ko drive kar sake.

Is context mein, market consolidate ho raha hai, aur traders shayad zyada definitive economic data ya geopolitical developments ka intezar kar rahe hain taake apne next moves guide kar sakein. Consolidation phases aksar is baat se characterized hoti hain ke momentum ka kami hota hai kisi bhi direction mein, jab market participants recent price action ka stock le rahe hote hain aur naye catalysts dhund rahe hote hain.

Traders ko aise horizontal trends ke doran cautious rehna chahiye, kyun ke clear direction ka kami false breakouts aur increased volatility ko lead kar sakti hai. Key levels of support aur resistance in scenarios mein crucial ho jati hain, kyun ke yeh potential entry aur exit points provide karti hain. In levels ko monitor karna traders ko choppy waters of sideways market mein navigate karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Conclusion mein, EUR/USD currency pair abhi ek horizontal trend mein hai, jise TMA, MACD, aur OsMA indicators se indicate kiya gaya hai. Halanki kuch mild bullish momentum hai, lekin yeh sufficient nahi ke ek clear upward trend establish ho sake. Market ka current consolidation phase yeh suggest karta hai ke ek period of indecision hai, aur traders shayad zyada concrete signals ka intezar kar rahe hain pehle ke kisi particular direction mein commit karen. Aise periods mein, yeh zaroori hai ke key support aur resistance levels pe focus karein aur cautious trading strategies employ karein taake increased risk of volatility aur false breakouts ko manage kar sakein.

Aayiye market situation ka jaiza lete hain. Daily chart par linear regression channel ka slope upward hai, jo strong buyer activity ko dikhata hai. Market 1.07304 level ke upar hold kar rahi hai, jo growth potential ka ishara hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, channel ke neeche wale edge se buy entry point dhoondha ja sakta hai, jahan target 1.07611 hai. Magar, is target ko achieve karne ke baad bulls kam active ho sakte hain aur market movement slow ho sakta hai kyunki volatility barh rahi hai aur decline ho sakta hai. Agar aap sell position enter karna chahte hain, toh confidence aur mandatory stop loss ke sath karna chahiye. Current upward trend ke khilaf sell position lena risky ho sakta hai. Behtar strategy yeh ho sakti hai ke correction ka intezar karein aur phir sell positions consider karein. Correction ke baad buy positions lena zyada faidemand ho sakta hai kyunki trend upward hai.
Pichle kuch dino mein, Euro (EUR) ne US dollar (USD) ke mukablay mein notable strength dikhayi hai, recent trading range ko tod kar aur daily chart par ek key moving average ke upar close kiya hai. Yeh upward movement bullish momentum ko hint karta hai aur analysts EUR/USD pair ke liye resistance level 1.0959 ko test karne ki baat kar rahe hain.
Recent US inflation data release market ko surprise kar gaya kyunki yeh expected se kam aayi. Is unexpected outcome ne US dollar par significant impact dala, jo pehle strong hone ki umeed thi. Iss ke bajaye, lower inflation figures ne investors ke beech speculation barha diya ke Federal Reserve interest rate cuts ko pehle initiate kar sakti hai, shayad September tak. Iss sentiment shift ne forex markets mein dollar ki weakness ko contribute kiya hai. Lekin, outlook dynamic hai kyunki European Central Bank (ECB) ke bhi rate cuts consider karne ke expectations hain. Yeh anticipation euro ki current strength ko indefinitely sustain nahi kar sakta.

Weekly Timeframe Analysis

Haftawarana time frame ki tajzia mein, hum dekh sakte hain ke December 2022 se ab tak aik flat formation rahi hai. Is muddat mein, hadood ne kisi bhi global trend ko shakal nahi di aur market ne humein rozana trends ke liye muqabla kiya hai.

Mere pas thora alag nazariya hai, Tata07. Rozana trend aik descending channel ke hadood se tay kiya jata hai aur yeh ab bhi bearish hai. Lekin aik safal nikalne par channel resistance line (trend line) aur aik graphical reversal pattern (1-2-3) ke aas paas local trough (3) ke ird gird, yeh zahir karta hai ke rozana trend ooper ki taraf badal sakta hai, is mansoobe ke mutabiq:

• Channel resistance (trend line) ka bahir ka contour mein opening aur fix hona, jo trend break ka pehla signal hai. Yahan par "false breakout" ka manzar bhi mumkin hai aur keemat channel structure par lotne ka bhi irada ho sakta hai.
• Rozana range resistance level 1.09081 ke breakout aur uske breakout platform ke ooper fix hona, jo rozana trend mein tabdeeli ko tasdeeq karta hai. 1.09081 par resistance bhi pattern ka base hai, aur breakout hone par, yeh mechanism ko activate karta hai ke pattern ke potential ko realize kiya jaye.

EUR/USD currency pair market ka tajzia

EUR/USD currency pair market yellow color mein TMA indicator chart par horizontal trend mein hai. MACD indicator isko tasdeeq karta hai, kyunki yeh zero mark ke ooper hai aur green color mein hai, aur OsMA indicator pink line blue line ke ooper dikhata hai. Is hawale se, aik wazeh trend ki kami ki wajah se mashwara diya jata hai ke market ko apni taraf muqarrar karne aur TMA indicator channel ke slope mein tabdeeliyon ko nazar andaaz karne ke liye intezar kiya jaye - ya to neeche ya ooper ki taraf.

Un logon ke liye jo horizontal trend mein trade karna pasand karte hain, woh 1.0845-1.0805 ke channel levels ke andar muamla karne ka tawajo karsakte hain.

EUR/USD
## EUR/USD Ka Taaruf

EUR/USD forex market ka sab se zyada traded currency pair hai, jo Euro (EUR) aur United States Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan hota hai. Yeh currency pair duniya ki do badi economies, Eurozone aur United States, ke beech ek ahem raabta hai. Euro, jo ke 19 European Union member states ki official currency hai, aur USD, jo duniya ki sab se taqatwar currency hai, ke darmiyan yeh pairing bohot si trading opportunities faraham karti hai.

## EUR/USD Ki Tareekh

EUR/USD ki trading 1999 mein shuru hui jab Euro ko officially launch kiya gaya tha. Is se pehle, European currencies individual basis par USD ke against trade kiya karti thi. Euro ki introduction ne European markets ko integrate kiya aur EUR/USD ko forex market ka ek major player banaya. Tab se le kar, yeh currency pair bohot se economic aur political events ka sakshi raha hai, jo is ki value ko fluctuate karte rehte hain.

## EUR/USD Ki Ahmiyat

EUR/USD ko forex traders ke liye kafi ahmiyat hasil hai. Yeh currency pair do badi economies, Eurozone aur USA, ki health ka daromadar rakhta hai. Eurozone ki economy Europe ke different countries ko represent karti hai, jab ke USA ki economy duniya ki sab se badi economy hai. Is liye, EUR/USD ki movements global financial markets par asar andaaz hoti hain.

## EUR/USD Par Asar Andaaz Hony Wale Factors

1. **Economic Indicators**: GDP growth, inflation rate, employment data, aur trade balance jese economic indicators EUR/USD ki value ko asar andaaz karte hain.
2. **Central Bank Policies**: European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki monetary policies bhi is currency pair ki value par direct asar dalti hain.
3. **Political Events**: Eurozone aur USA ki political stability, elections, aur policy changes EUR/USD ko significant tor par impact kar sakti hain.
4. **Interest Rates**: ECB aur Fed ki interest rate decisions EUR/USD ke movements ko majorly influence karte hain. Higher interest rates usually stronger currency ko indicate karte hain.

## EUR/USD Ki Trading

EUR/USD ki trading karte waqt traders ko economic calendar, news releases, aur technical analysis ko closely dekhna chahiye. Forex market mein leverage ka istemal aam hai, lekin is se risk bhi barh jata hai. Is liye, risk management strategies ka istemal zaroori hai. Technical analysis tools, jese ke moving averages aur support/resistance levels, EUR/USD ki trading decisions mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain.

## Conclusion

EUR/USD ek dynamic aur volatile currency pair hai jo forex traders ko kai trading opportunities paish karta hai. Is pair ki value ko samajhne ke liye economic indicators, central bank policies, political events, aur interest rates ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Forex market mein success hasil karne ke liye, traders ko disciplined approach aur risk management strategies ka sahara lena chahiye.

EUR/USD kaafi oopar chal raha hai jabke SMAs ke upar break ho gaya. June 4 ke baad yeh pair apni peak tak pohanch gaya hai. Oscillators yeh dikhate hain ke bullish forces mazboot ho rahi hain. EUR/USD ek steady uptrend mein hai, jabke December 2023 ke top se established downtrend se sharp break hui hai. Agar latest rise strong hai, toh initial price June ke high 1.0915 ko challenge kar sakta hai.

Agar yeh barrier bulls ko attack karne de, toh 1.0975 tak ja sakte hain, jo ke 1.0447-1.1138 upleg ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement hai. Agar woh stabilize na kar paye, toh pair December 2023 ke high 1.1138 ko phir se dekh sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar price pull back hota hai, toh initial support 1.0874 ka 38.2% Fibo handle kar sakta hai, aur 50.0% Fibo 1 ka 1.0793 aur 61.8% ka .0711 defensive strategy mein improvement act kar sakte hain against FIBO.

Agar woh level ke neeche gir jaate hain, toh pair ek one-month low 1.0666 tak drop kar sakta hai. Mukhtasir mein, EUR/USD ne kuch sessions mein apni lost ground regain ki hai, jabke SMAs ke upar bounce hone se uska short-term technical picture kaafi behtar ho gaya hai. Magar, ek full reversal ke liye sharp break beyond June high 1.0915 chahiye hoga taake bulls apna confidence regain kar sakein.

Daily chart ka overview:
Pair ne strength demand zone ko price 1.0910 par touch kiya hai aur ho sakta hai is hafte fall down ho 61 Fibonacci par price 1.0770 par, uske baad pair up wave continue karega jab tak 1.0970 hit na kare. Lekin agar pair daily candle ko bottom 1.0655 ke neeche close karne manage kar leta hai, toh iska matlab hai ke pair neeche chala jayega.

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price action analysis par baat karenge. Hafte ke aghaz mein, pair 1.09403 ko apni mojooda position se test kar sakti hai aur phir decline kar sakti hai, ya phir yeh bearish correction start kar sakti hai, 1.08444 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh level bohot ahem hai; agar yeh neeche test karti hai, khusoosan 1.08013, ek rollback 1.08444-1.08499 tak continued decline aur downside shift ka ishara de sakta hai. Agar 0.9403 ka test mumkin hai, toh price 1.09599-1.09699 ke levels ko test karna jari rak sakti hai, jo ideal nahi hai, kyun ke yeh 10-11 figures mein exit ka ishara karta hai. Maine recently EUR/USD ko daily timeframe pe review kiya. Analysis inclined reference dikhata hai, lekin horizontal resistances, jese ke 1.0914, ko nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye. Chart saaf dikhata hai ke zone 1.0893-1.0914 ke darmiyan robust hai, aur euro-dollar ke liye isse upar break karna mushkil ho sakta hai.

1.0914 se 1.0664 ke decline ko dekhte hue, jab tak pair 1.0914 ke upar fix nahi hota, main direction downward hi rahega, aur mojooda growth ek corrective pullback hai. Mujhe agle haftay 1.0914 mark ke ird-gird ek serious contest ki tawakku hai. Is benchmark ko test karne ke baad, pair 1.08 figure ke base tak descend kar sakti hai. Yeh meri umeed aur plans hain, yeh maante hue ke yeh galat bhi ho sakti hain. Agar main weekend apni sales hold karte hue guzarta hoon toh mujhe zyada farq nahi padta. Ab daily chart pe EUR/USD ko dekhte hue, market mein kuch bhi mumkin hai, jese hum jaante hain. Lekin, logically aur chart ke mutabiq, 1.0914 level ko bina significant pullback ke paar karna namumkin lagta hai. 1.09 ka figure formidable lagta hai, kai levels ke sath jo further growth ke barriers ki tarah kaam kar sakti hain.

EURUSD currency pair. Lagta hai ke price neeche jane wali hai. Pichle trading week mein, euro ne buyers ko apni strong growth se khush kiya. US ki news thi, jinke indicators expected se worse the, aur price upar ko rush ki, lekin sirf euro ke against hi nahi, American currency ne almost pooray market spectrum mein sag kiya. Shayad Canadian dollar ke ilawa, jo unshakable raha, even long-suffering dollar yen bhi fly off hui. Wave structure apna order upwards build kar rahi hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke neeche hai. Aap five waves ki growth structure dekh sakte hain, presumably fifth wave khatam ho gayi hai, pichle haftay ka maximum update hua aur kuch last month's maximum se bhi agay gaya, yeh potential sales zone tha. Five waves ek full cycle hain, plus MACD indicator pe ek bearish divergence form hui hai. Second CCI indicator bhi upper overheating zone se neeche jane ke liye tayar hai aur is pe bhi ek choti bearish divergence hai. Plus, hour pe, MACD bhi bearish divergence dikhata hai. Zaroori nahi ke fifth wave yahan abnormal hai, thodi lambi hai, aisa hota hai. Main waqai chah raha tha ke price maximum se agay jaye. Agar aap first wave pe Fibonacci grid ka target lagayen, aap dekh sakte hain worked out targets - levels 161.8 aur 200. Har ek level se downward correction hui thi, kyun ke inke qareeb buy positions ki fixation thi. Aur price agay gayi, ab horizontal resistance level 1.0913 tak pohnch gayi aur ek false breakout kiya, jo khud mein ek sell signal hai. Signals ka set 1.0844 tak decrease ka ishara deta hai, kam az kam, khair, dekhte hain.