Eur/usd

EUR/USD

Maujooda trading manzar nama, EUR/USD mein wazeh bearish momentum ka zahir hona, jahan keemat 1.06559 ke ird gird ghoom rahi hai, Fibonacci grid ke nayab zone mein hai jo ke -50-1.06279 aur 0-1.06636 par wazeh hai, pichli daily candle se nikala gaya. Yeh Fibonacci-based tajziya market ki shanakht aur faisla kun faislay ke liye qeemti insights faraham karta hai. Fibonacci levels ko mazeed jaanchne par, hum dekhte hain ke daily high 100-1.07349 Fibonacci ke qeemat se milti hai, jabke daily low barabar 0-1.06636 ke level ke saath milta hai. Yeh tajwez ek mukammal samajh faraham karta hai market mein potential selling opportunities ke liye. Ab waqt 1.06559 keemat jo 0-1.06636 ke neeche hai, rozana ke low ka tarka hai, jo bechnay ke liye ek mojooda mahaul darust karta hai.
-23.6-1.06468 aur -38.2-1.06364 jaise mazeed resistance levels ka istemal hamari trading strategy ko mazeed durusti faraham karta hai. Khaas tor par woh mauka jo 0-1.06636 Fibonacci level par ek mudabarah hone ki umeed hai, jo traders ko niche ki taraf momentum se faida uthane ke liye ek dilchasp dakhil noktah faraham karta hai. Hamare positions ka intizam karte hue, faida hasil karne ke maqasid tay karna zaroori hai, khaas tor par ahem support levels par tawajju rakhni chahiye. -76.4-1.06091 ka mazboot support level ek hedge ke liye dilchasp point faraham karta hai, kyun ke yeh aksar niche ki harkaton ko rokta hai aur quotes mein tezi se ubhar ko umda banata hai. -76.4-1.06091 support level jaise strategy ke ahem maqamat par faida bandh karke, traders market ki tabdeeliyon mein faida ko ghata sakte hain.

Yeh proactive approach yeh yaqeeni banata hai ke faida mehfooz aur zyada ho, aur hoshiyar risk management principles ke mutabiq hai. Ikhtisar mein, EUR/USD ki tajziya Fibonacci retracement ke zariye halaat e bazari aur trading ke mojooda imkanat ke liye qeemti insights faraham karta hai. Ahem support aur resistance levels ko pehchankar, traders asar afreen taur par forex market ke complexities mein dakhli raste tayar kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) pair H1 timeframe mein medium-term harkat ka anjaam jaan'ne ka moqa deta hai. Humara maqsad hain ke hum barah-e-raast H4 timeframe par mojooda trend ko sahi taur par pehchanein aur market mein munafa hasil karne ke liye sab se durust dakhilay ka nishaan dhoondhein. Hum apne aala ke chart ko 4 ghantay ke waqt fram par kholte hain aur mojooda trend ka rukh dekhte hain. Hum dekhte hain ke aaj bazaar long positions ke liye ek behtareen moqa faraham kar raha hai. Next, hum teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color ke signals ke mutabiq istemal karte hain.Hama aur RSI Trend ke indicators ke signals ke mutabiq, jab dono indicators neela aur sabz rang mein hote hain, tab hum H1 timeframe par ek bullish rujhan ka trend pakarte hain, jo kharidari karnewalon ke faide ko zahir karta hai. Jab sare zaroori shara'it puri ho jate hain, to hum himmat se ek long position kholte hain. Hum market se bahar niklenge magnetic levels indicator ke signals ke mutabiq. Aaj, trading ke liye sab se dilchasp levels - 1.08192 hain. Phir hum chart par magnetic level ke qareeb aqeedat se tasveer ke darust hone par muttafiq hokar market mein rukh par nazar rakheinge, aur faisla kareinge ke kya hum agle magnetic level tak position ko rakhain ya pehle hi hasil kiya gaya munafa lein.

Yeh kuch ajeeb sa lag raha hai. Qeemat uttar ki parchayi aur 1.1031 ke bulandi ke baad mazeed neeche chalne ki koshish nahi kar rahi hai. EUR/USD ke liye buland channel se bahar nikalna kaamyaabi se nahi hua hai. Ya to tajziya kaamyaab nahi hai, lekin mujhe ek neeche ki harkat ki koshish ki umeed hai. Manzar yeh hai ke doosri southern zigzag aur 1.0601 ke darust hone par ek mukarrar ki ja rahi hai. Yeh wazeh hai ke yeh pehli harkat ki tajziya hai. Aur har haal mein, rezarv mein kuch scenarios hain.

Horizontal volumes ke mutabiq, halaat ghair yaqeeni hain. Hum peechle volumes ke darmiyan 1.0650 ke support aur 1.0850 ke resistance level ke darmiyan jam rahe hain. Kahi to move karna chahiye, lekin kahaan, abhi tak wazeh nahi hai.Behtar hoga ke hum US dollar ko dekhein, jo ke ab bhi mazeed mazboot hone aur dollar index #USDX 106.49 ke bulandi ke upar ke liye aik scenario hai. Doosra uttar ki taraf ki zigzag descending correction flag se bahar nikalne ke taur par.

Aaj ka din. Euro/US Dollar trend channel ke hadood mein qayam raha, jora aaj phir apni lower boundary ko test kiya aur lagta hai ke ab is ne oopri taraf chalna shuru kiya hai. Is liye, chand muddat ke nazariye mein, ek rukh ke taraf liye jaane ki mumkinat hai. Magar, tanqeedi tor par is waqt, haalaat itne halke nahi hain kyunke yeh taraf chalne ki koshish kar raha hai. Hourly chart par, indicators abhi southern taraf ishara kar rahe hain, lekin jora middle Bollinger Band ko neeche se test kar raha hai. Is liye, mazeed rukh ka faisla break ya bounce par mabni hoga. Magar, haalaan ke haal ke signals apna rukh tabdeel kar rahe hain bila tawakkal, is tarah ki tarah ke aam mukhaleefi ke liye hai. Is liye, abhi tak trend channel ke andar trade karna mumkin hai. 4 ghante ke chart par, indicators is waqt kuch khaas nahi dikha rahe hain, jabke jora Bollinger Band channel ka bearish zone mein dakhil ho chuka hai. Haalaan ke yahan tasdeeq ke bare mein baat karna theek nahi hai. Is ke ilawa, jora abhi bhi ek phela hua triangle ke andar hai, aur abhi tak yeh wazeh nahi hai ke woh apne upper boundary ke taraf move karega, kyunke opening ke spike ne use tajziya ke liye pehle hi test kar liya hai. Mujhe hairat nahi hogi agar hum abhi neeche ki taraf muraqqa ho jaayein. Magar, main sirf is waqt short positions kholne ka tawakkal karoonga agar hum trend channel se bahar nikalte hain neeche ki taraf.

EURUSD ko lekar aapka din shuru hua hai! Chart M15 ke mutabiq, linear regression channel ko upar ki taraf muda dekha gaya hai, jo ke kharidar ke koshishon ko darust karta hai jo 1.07228 ke level tak barhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yahan kharidne ka mauqa hai. Beshak, behtar hoga ke H1 ke linear regression channel bhi uttar ki taraf dekhe tab tak intezaar karna. Is liye, main ehtiyaat ke saath kharidai karta hoon. Main channel ke nichle kinare se 1.07092 se kharidta hoon. Main bechne ko control mein rakhta hoon, jo ke is se neeche 1.07092 ke saath consolidation ke saath ja sakta hai; agar aisa hota hai, to main kharidai ko band kar deta hoon. H1 trend ke saath chalne ka zyada tawaqquf hone ki zyada sambhavna hai. Kharidar sirf 1.07228 ke level ko barha nahi chahta, balki iske upar apne trend ko badalne ke liye majbooti se muqabla karega. Agar usey ye kamyaabi milti hai, to woh kharidna jaari rakhega.

Ghour karne par, ghanta ke chart mein dekha gaya hai ke linear regression channel neeche ki taraf muda hua hai, aur mere liye M15 se zyada important hai. Yeh yeh dikhata hai ke bears mazboot hain, aur yeh ke M15 chart par kharidai ka signal dene ka matlab hai ke market mein ek mazboot kharidar mojood hai. Aapko price ka sahi jagah par intezaar karna hai aur wahan se bechna hai. Jagah jahan se main bechne ke liye dekhunga woh channel ke ooper ki seema 1.07228 hai jahan se main bechna chahta hoon aur neeche ki seema 1.06435 hai. Agar target level toota, to ek aur girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, lekin zyadatar girawat ke baad ek correction hone ki umeed hai, kyun ke ek bearish movement khatam hogi aur bulls apne rukh ko phir se qayam karne ki koshish karenge. Agar 1.07228 ke level ko bulls par kamyabi milti hai, to yeh ek bullish interest ka nishaan hai, jismein bechne ankarat ho jaati hain, is liye market ke situation ka dobara jaiza lete hue yeh wapis liye jaate hain.

Asalam o Alaikum! Euro mein, khareedari walon ko ma'amooli tor par Dusri Aik maari kai haalat wapas mil gayi thi kal, aur ab dekhtay hain kya woh quotes mein mazeed izafa ke jariye jaari reh saktay hain ya nahi. Hamaray paas aglay ghantay ka data hai, aur wahan par price kisi bhi rukh mein ja sakti hai. Agar ek uparward movement ko barhana hai, to khareedari walon ko sab se pehlay 1.07345 ke darjay par guzar kar aagay barhna aur is par mustamil hona chahiye, pehla target 1.07522 ke darjay par hai. Agar aap is par qaim ho jatay hain, to mazeed price ke izafa ka imkan 1.08658 ke darjay tak ho sakta hai. Agar hum ek neeche ki movement ke tajurbaat ko mad e nazar rakhtay hain, to khareedari walon ko sab se pehlay 1.06484 ke darjay ko guzar kar aur mustamil hona chahiye, pehla target 1.06230 ke darjay par hoga.

EURUSD pair M30:

1 - Kal Euro ke liye ek kharidari ke liye daakhil hone ka intekhaab 1.06657 ke darjay se tha, price ne is darjay ko toor diya aur pehlay pehlay target 1.06967 ke darjay tak pahunch gaya, aur phir doosra 1.07265 par. 2 - AO indicator tapes ke markazi ilaqay mein waqif hai, aur tapes khud aik tang horizontal position mein hain. Aur agar humein ek naye signal lena hai price izafa ya kam hone ka, to humein band ke bahar ka baahar nikalne ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir dekhna chahiye ke tapes kya baahar khulengi ya koi tajaweez nahi hogi. 3 - AO indicator musbat ilaqay mein kamzor hota ja raha hai, lekin price ne abhi tak is par girawat ka jawab nahi diya hai. Ek neeche ki movement ka mazboot signal hasil karne ke liye, aapko zero ke zariye se guzarna chahiye aur musbat ilaqay mein taaqatwar izafa dekhna chahiye. Agar musbat zone mein naya izafa ho raha hai, to hum price ke izafa ke liye taaqatwar signal hasil karenge. 4 - Kharidari ke liye daakhil hone ka intekhaab 1.07265 ke darjay se liya ja sakta hai; breakdown aur mustamil hone ke dauran price ke izafa ka imkan 1.07567 aur 1.07861 ke darjay tak ho sakta hai. 5 - Farokht ke liye daakhil hone ka intekhaab 1.08967 ke darjay se liya ja sakta hai; breakdown aur mustamil hone ke dauran price girawat ka imkan 1.06657 aur 1.06351 ke darjay tak ho sakta hai.

EURUSD currency pair ki M15 chart ke mutabiq, linear regression channel urooj par muntaqil hota hai, jo ke khareedaron ke koshishon ko darust karta hai jo 1.07228 ke darje tak barhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yahan kharidne ka mauqa hai. Beshak, behtar hota ke hum intezaar karein jab tak linear regression channel H1 bhi uttar ki taraf dekhnay lag jaye. Isliye, main ehtiyaat ke saath kharidaar karta hoon. Main channel ke nichle kinare se 1.07092 se kharidaar karta hoon. Main bechne ko nigaah mein rakhta hoon, jo 1.07092 ke neeche ja sakta hai sath hi consolidation ke sath; agar yeh hota hai, to main kharidne ka amal band kar deta hoon. H1 trend ke saath jari sales ke jaari rehne ki zyada tawaqo hai. Kharidar sirf 1.07228 ke darje ko hasool karne ki koshish nahi karega, balki woh iske upar qaaim hone ki koshish karega taake trend ko apni taraf palat sake. Agar usay kamiyabi milti hai, to woh kharidne ko jaari rakh sakta hai.

Aik ghante ke chart ko dekhte hue, mujhe yeh dekhta hoon ke linear regression channel neeche ki taraf muntaqil hota hai, aur mere liye M15 se zyada ahem hai. Yeh yeh darust karta hai ke beron ki quwwat hai, aur yeh ke M15 chart par kharidaron ke signals hain, yeh dikhata hai ke market mein aik mazboot kharidar mojood hai. Aapko sahi jagah par keemat ka intezar karna hai aur wahan se bechne ke liye talaash karna hai. Woh jagah jahan se main bechne ke liye dekhunga, woh hai channel ka ooperi border 1.07228 jahan se mujhe 1.06435 ke channel ke nichle border tak bechne ki zarurat hai. Agar maqsood level toota, to ek mazeed giravat ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai, lekin zyada tar baad ek islaah ke baad upar ki taraf dekhne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai, kyun ke aik berish chal be mukammal ho chuki hogi aur bailon ko apni harkat ko bahaal karne ki koshish karni hogi. Agar 1.07228 ke darja ko bailon ne paar kiya hai, to yeh ek bullish dilchaspi ka ishaara hai, jismein bechne anmune nafaida mand ho jaata hai, isliye yeh market ke haalat ko dobara tajziya karte hue wapas kar diye jaate hain.

EUR/USD Jore Ka Technical Tajzia

4 Ghante Ka Chart




Qeemat ek farokht ke zone mein trading kar rahi hai jab usne weekly pivot level aur 4 ghante ke chart par price channels ko tor dia. Is hafte, qeemat ek khareedari ke pattern mein trading shuru hui, jaise ke yeh peechle do hafte ke price channels mein tha aur rujhan tezi ka tha.
Qeemat weekly pivot level of 1.0689 ki madad se trade horahi thi.
Qeemat sideways harkat kar rahi thi, jese ke weekly pivot level ne isay neeche jane se roka jab ke channel ke darmiyan ki lines ne isay ooper jane se roka.
Yeh sideways harkat us waqt khatam hui jab qeemat ne weekly pivot level aur price channels dono ko tor dia, aur is liye tawaqo hai ke is hafte ke akhir tak qeemat ka rujhan mandi ka hoga.
Maashiyat ke lehaz se, EUR/USD qeemat ne kal apne fawaid ko jaldi chhor dia, jo 1.0740 ke mazahimat level tak pohnchi thi, jab eurozone se tasdeeq shuda maashi aur inflation ke aankde aaye jo dikha rahe the ke European Central Bank ko shirh rate kam karne ki zarurat nahi hai. Yeh apne broader mandi ke raste par wapas lot gaya support level 1.0650 par. Markets ne June mein European Central Bank ki taraf se shirh rate kam karne ki tawaqo ki thi, lekin July mein rate katne ke chances kam ho gaye jab eurozone ka inflation April mein saal-ba-saal 2.4% par baraabar raha. Core inflation 2.7% thi, jo ke market ke 2.6% ke mutalbat se zyada thi.
Ab tawajju euro aur US dollar par hai, jahan Federal Reserve ka faisla budh ko jari hoga aur US rozgaar ki report jumma ko aayegi. Aik “hawkish” Fed vote aur ek aur tawaqo se behtar non-farm payrolls report shayad euro-dollar ki bahaali ko rok de gi jab ke euro 2024 mein behtareen perform karne wala currency ban gaya hai.

Euro (EUR) doosray musalsal din ke liye US Dollar (USD) ke muqable kamzor hota ja raha hai, aur Asian trading ke doran ye 1.0650 ke level par chipka hua hai. European markets Labor Day ke moqa par band hone ki wajah se, investors ka dhyan aanay wale Federal Reserve ki policy decision ki taraf mabzool hai. USD ki taqat do ahem asbaab se hai. Pehla, US Dollar Index (DXY), jo dollar ki value ko major currencies ke aik basket ke muqable mein mapta hai, ne mangal ke roz jaari hone wali Employment Cost Index data ke baad apni izaafa jari rakha. Ye data US labor costs mein pehle quarter ke liye 1.2% ke izaafa ko zaahir karta hai, jo ke forecasts se zyada hai aur saal bhar mein sab se bara izaafa hai. Is ke sath, Fed officials ke hawkish remarks jo foran rate cuts ko rad kartay hain, ne USD ki rally ko hawa di hai. Fed ka ye hawkish rukh European Central Bank (ECB) ke rukh ke baraks hai, jahan policymakers monetary policy mein narmi laane ke liye zyada aamada nazar aate hain. Eurozone se musbat economic data aane ke bawajood, jisme pehle quarter ke liye 0.3% GDP growth shamil hai, jo tawaqo se zyada hai, Euro apne fawaid ko barqarar nahi rakh saka. Jabke inflation tawaqo ke mutabiq barqarar hai, core inflation (khoraak aur tawanai ko chhorkar) forecasts se neeche hai. Ye cheez investor ki confidence ko ECB ke June tak rate cut karne ke imkanat ko barha raha hai, jo ke bohot se ECB officials ne khuli support ki hai.



EUR/USD jora April ke zyada garam-than-expected inflation report ke baad gir gaya, mukhtasir tor par 2024 ke naye low 1.0600 ko chhoo liya. Halankeh is ne kuch zameen wapas haasil ki hai, technical indicators abhi bhi neeche ki taraf potential ishaara kartay hain. Agar Euro apni girawat ko dobara shuru karta hai, to pehli mazahimat 1.0752 par mukabil ho sakti hai. Is level ke oopar aik faisla kun break bulls ko 1.0795 zone ki taraf challenge karne ki raah khol sakta hai, jo ke 2024 ke dauran support aur mazahimat dono ke tor par kaam karta raha hai aur 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke sath milta hai. Is rukawat se guzarne ke baad September 2023 ke high 1.0884 ko dobara test karne ka rasta khul sakta hai. Baraks mein, agar mandi ki shiddat barhti hai, to Euro ko February ke low 1.0694 par pehli support mil sakti hai. Mazeed girawat 1.0673 level ko khel mein la sakti hai, uske baad paanch mahine ke low 1.0600 ka imtihan ho sakta hai. Ye ahem level market ke shirkaat daron ki qareebi nazar mein hoga.

Aaj Labor Day hai aur mujhe hairat hai ke market abhi bhi chal raha hai, magar filhaal mein movement thodi slow nazar aa rahi hai jo shayad Asia session ke wajah se ho aur mumkin hai ke hum London session aur New York session mein kuch movement dekhen. Aaj Euro aur China bank ki chhutti hai, lekin economic calendar mein bohot saare high impact ke news events hain jaise ke USA ADP aur USA PMI jo ke New York session ke dauran release hone wale hain aur ye events high impact rakhte hain. Phir raat ke darmiyanay waqt humein sab se ahem news event jo ke FOMC statement hai, is par nazar rakhni hogi, is liye aaj market ke liye khatarnak din hai kyun ke high impact wale fundamental news events hain.



Aaj mein GBP USD ke daily time frame chart ko dekh raha hoon aur aakhri dafa jab maine apna analysis share kiya tha toh maine bataya tha ke GBP USD weekly resistance level par reject ho gaya tha aur uske baad se GBP USD gir raha hai. Aaj ke daily time frame chart par dekha jaaye toh GBP USD ne daily resistance level 1.2551 ke upar fake breakout dikhaya hai aur kal ka candle bearish engulfed candle ke tor par resistance level ke neeche band hua tha. Is ke sath, main aur zyada bearish movement ki tawaqo kar raha hoon GBP USD se aur filhaal GBP USD 1.2478 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Toh overall, jab ke weekly time frame chart aur phir daily time frame chart dono par bearish momentum hai, London session mein hum GBP USD ko current price par sell kar sakte hain target ke sath jo ke daily support level 1.2384 par hai jo ke GBP USD sellers ke liye ek acha long term target hai.

EURUSD ke technical tajziya ke mutabiq, trading routine ka mansooba yeh hai ke selling option par ghor kiya jaye. Market mein dakhil hone ke liye, humein intezar karna chahiye ke correction price qareebi resistance level ko test kare, taake hum market mein dobara ideal taur par dakhil ho sakein. Pin bar candlestick pattern aur bear engulfing candlestick pattern ko EURUSD currency ki kamzori ki tasdeeq ke tor par istemal kiya ja sakta hai, taake hum khatarat ko achi tarah se sambhal sakein.

Selling market mein dakhil hone ke liye, pehle hum resistance level ko 1.0650 par set kar sakte hain, agar yeh resistance level kaamyab tor par tora jaata hai, toh hum doosre resistance level 1.0700 par intezar kar sakte hain. Stop loss ko kam az kam 1:1 par set kiya ja sakta hai, aur profit target ko execution price se 100 points dur rakha ja sakta hai, ya phir mojooda market conditions ke mutabiq adjust kiya ja sakta hai. Technical tajziya ke kul natijay ke mutabiq, chuke EURUSD currency selling trend abhi bhi barqarar hai, selling trading option dilchasp hai aur is par zyada tawajju di jani chahiye, khas tor par sabse mazboot support level tak pohanchne ki koshish mein.

EURUSD abhi bhi sideways movement mein hai magar neeche jaane ka rujhan rakhta hai.

Technical Reference: jab tak yeh 1.07570 se neeche hai tab tak sell karna.
Resistance 1: 1.07570
Resistance 2: 1.07685
Support 1: 1.06895
Support 2: 1.06755




Filhal EURUSD 1.07354 ki resistance area aur 1.06898 ki support area ke darmiyan "ghoom" raha hai, aur chuke price resistance range mein move kar raha hai, is liye neeche jaane ka imkan hai. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic indicator ka sell signal mazboot bearish moqa ko taqviyat deta hai.

Hourly chart ke tajziya ke mutabiq, 15 M chart par bhi EURUSD girne ka imkan dikhata hai kyunki Stochastic abhi bhi bearish rujhan rakhta hai. Yeh EURUSD ko support level 1.06895 ki taraf dhakelne ka moqa de sakta hai.

hotay hain aur US markazi bank ki siyasi intizaam ka khatma jab tak tezi se barhti inflation ko roka jaye yeh sab wajohat hain jo Thursday ke trading mein EUR/USD currency pair ke qeemat ko 1.0726 support level ki taraf le gaye, jis se pehlay Europe Central Bank ki aik aham waqiya ka elan hua hai jo is hafte ke liye euro ke liye sab se ahem hai. Hafte ke ibtedai dinon mein euro/dollar ke daam mein izafa, jo 1.0885 resistance tak pohnch gaya, uske baad jab America mein inflation ka reading European Central Bank ko June mein khushkhabri na de saka to ghayab ho gaya. America mein barhtay inflation ka matalab hai ke European Central Bank US Federal Reserve se pehlay interest rates ko kam karay gi, jo ke ek siyasi mufasilta banaayegi jo euro-dollar exchange rate ko mutasir karegi.
Forex currency trading platforms ke mutabiq, US dollar ke qeemat baaqi tamam bari currencies ke muqablay mein tezi se barh gayi jab America mein inflation ne March mein 0.4% ko mahinay ke hisab se darj kiya, jis se saalana tabdeel 3.5% tak pohnch gayi, jo ke February mein 3.2% se barh gayi. Core components, "super core" aur khidmatat ne dikhaya ke ghar ki inflation par upward pressures barh rahe hain balkay ghat rahe hain, jaise ke US Federal Reserve ummeed karta tha ke yeh waqt is halat ka nahi hoga.

Forex trading ke mutabiq, market ke mashhoor currency pair ke nuqsaan baad mein barh gaye, jab ke market ne June ke siyasi meeting mein Federal Reserve interest rate cut ka ihtimal kam kar diya. Haqeeqat mein, July mein bhi rate cut ka imkaan kam hua, jab ke September sab se zyada mumkin tareekh ban gayi shuru karne ke liye. Aam tor par, futures markets dikhate hain ke investors ab saal ke aakhir tak karib 45 basis points ke cuts ki keemat ko tay karte hain, jabke sirf aik din pehle yeh figure kareeban 70 basis points tha.

Aaj ke Euro ka US dollar ke khilaaf umeed:

Jaise ke maine pehle zikar kiya tha, euro ke daam ka US dollar ke khilaaf EUR/USD level 1.0800 ke neechay hona trend ko control karne wale bears ki position ko mazboot karega. Main ne US inflation ke elaan aur US Federal Reserve Bank ke peechle meeting ke minutes ka reaction zikar kiya, bilkul sahi, dollar ke liye momentum taqatwar tha aur ab woh muqam par hai. Agla support 1.0700 hai, jo bears ki position ko mazboot karta hai, aur agar Europe Central Bank aaj apni mazbooti wala tawazun chhod deta hai, to 1.0655 aur 1.0580 ke support levels ki taraf rawan hone ke moqay ho sakte hain, jo ke tamam technical indicators ko mazboot oversold saturation levels ki taraf dhakelte hain.

Main ab bhi yeh manta hoon ke eurodollar ke liye koi bhi faida mehdood hoga aur lamba waqt tak nahi rahay ga.

Haal hil hal US ghair kisan majdoor daftari data, jis ke sath intehai umeed se zyada uchayi wale mua'ashriyaat, foreign exchange market mein ek naya modd daal diya hai. Ye musbat data Federal Reserve ko apni muddati darjat ke katao ko September tak taakhir karne par majboor kar sakta hai, jis se dollar mazid mazboot ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD ko 1.0600 tak nicha daba sakta hai. Magar, kahani yahin khatam nahi hoti. Agar data ek mustaqbil ka qawi Amriki mazdoor market ka wazeh tasawwur paint karta hai, to ye dollar ko dobara kamzor kar sakta hai aur 2024 ke akhiri mein ek darjat katao ke darwaze ko khol sakta hai. Is manzar mein, EUR/USD jodi 1.0800 ke ooper tezi se guzar sakti hai. Abhi, EUR/USD apni 21 dinon ka aasan moving average (SMA) 1.0715 ke ird gird khataron mein tairti hai. 24 dinon ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche bethe hue zyada downside risk ko aur darust karta hai. Analysts ke mutabiq euro ki mustawa euro ka mustaqbil khas fi baehtein 50 dinon ka aur 200 dinon ka SMAs ke convergence zone ke ooper qaim karna zaroori hai, jo 1.0800 ke ird gird hota hai. Agar euro is resistance level ko tor sakta hai, to agla rukawat 1.0842 par 100 dinon ka SMA hoga. Mutasir taur par, agar neechay ki dabao jari rahe, to euro apni April ki kamzor 1.0619 par dobara mil sakta hai. Ek mazeed girawat shayad 1.0550 ka nafsiyati rukawat tod sake, November 2023 ki kam se kam 1.0517 ki tajwez ko imtehan mein la sake.





April ke liye qareeb aanay wale US ghair kisan majdoor daftari data euro jese unchi risk ke sensitive currencies ke liye ek ahem waqiya hai. Umeed hai ke qareeban 243,000 naye jobs ayein ge, peechle figure ke 243,000 ke muqablay mein. Is ke ilawa, April 26th ko mukhtasir hone wale haftay ke liye ISM khidmat data US maeeshat ke ammiyat ke bary mein qeemti maloomat faraham kare ga. Kamzor reading (jese hil recent 208,000, jo do mah ki kam aur bazaar ki umeedon se chhota tha) Federal Reserve ko darjat katao ko taakhir karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Technical pehlu dekhte hue, euro ne apni paanch mah ki kamzor 1.0600 par kuch madad hasil ki hai. Magar, ek mustaqil behbood abhi tak haqeeqat mein nahi aya hai. Agar euro is darja ko tor jata hai, to potenshal support zones khail mein aa sakte hain October-November ke 1.0516 aur mazeed niche September ke 1.0487 ke support level par. Doosri taraf, euro ke liye koi bhi potential bullish harekat 2024 ke ahem support areas se pehle rokawat ka samna karegi, jo 1.0693 aur 1.0722 hain. US jobs data mazid taqreban aur maeeshati data ek mishri tasveer paint karte hue, qareebi fard ki rehnumai EUR/USD jodi ke nazdeeki rukh par ghair yaqeeni hai. Aanay wale dino mein euro ko apni mojooda hamahangi zone se nikalne aur kisi bhi rukh mein mustaqil behbood par aik saath chalne ka faisla karne mein ahem honge.

The direction of the pair's movement is likely to be upward, as the price is now trading in a good buying zone.During this week, the price began trading within a buying pattern, which is the ascending channels, as shown on the chart, as well as the weekly pivot level of 1.0689.The price received support for the rise at the beginning of the week, but it faced resistance from the channel lines. The price succeeded in breaking the channels and the weekly pivot level and trading below them for several hours. Then the price returned to the rise again, and now it is trading within the price channels and is supported by the bottom line of the channels for the rise, as it is expected that the rise will continue. Today's price is above 1.0755.
On the economic side, the US dollar continues in an upward trend despite the US Central Bank’s announcement and the comments of Bank Governor Jerome Powell... according to the results of the economic calendar data... the US Federal Reserve kept the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 5.25%-5.50% during It meets in May for the sixth time in a row, as persistent inflationary pressures and a tight labor market indicate that progress towards returning inflation to normal levels has stalled. 2% target this year Policymakers acknowledged that although inflation moderated over the past year, it remains high, and there has been a noticeable lack of further progress toward achieving the US central bank's target in recent months.
However, US Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell stated that he does not expect a possible rise and believes that current policy is sufficiently restrictive to achieve the 2% inflation target. At the same time, the Fed also announced its intention to reduce the speed of its quantitative tightening starting on June 1, an adjustment that will include reducing the maximum amount of Treasury bonds that are removed from the balance sheet by more than 50%, down to $25 billion per month from the balance sheet. The previous year's balance sheet was $60 billion.

EURUSD pair ki technical analysis

4 ghanton ka chart





Joda ka rukh mutmaen tor par ooper ki taraf hai, kyun ke qeemat ab aik acha kharidne ka zone mein hai.
Is haftay mein, qeemat aik kharidne wale pattern ke andar trade karne lagi, jo ke chart par dikhaya gaya hai, sath hi saptahik pivot level 1.0689 hai.
Qeemat ko haftay ke shuru mein barhne ka sahara mila, lekin isay channel lines se mukhalifat ka samna karna para. Qeemat ne channels aur saptahik pivot level ko tor kar neeche trade karna shuru kiya aur kai ghanton tak un ke neeche trade kiya. Phir qeemat phir se barhne lagi, aur ab woh qeemat price channels ke andar trade kar rahi hai aur barhne ke liye channels ke neeche ki line ka sahara le rahi hai, jaise ke mutawaqqa hai ke barhne jari rahega. Aaj ki qeemat 1.0755 ke ooper hai.
Maeeshat ke pehlu par, US dollar ek ooper ki taraf trend jari rakhta hai, halankeh US Central Bank ki elanat aur Bank Governor Jerome Powell ke tajziyat ke bawajood... maeeshat ka calendar data ke natijay ke mutabiq... US Federal Reserve ne federal funds rate ke liye nishandeh sharr (target) ko 5.25%-5.50% par barqarar rakha May mein chheven martaba milne ke doran, jab ke mustaqil mahangi dabi asar aur tight mazdoori ka market ishara karte hain ke inflation ko normal hadd tak wapas lana ke raste mein tawaja ka silsila ruka hua hai. 2% nishandeh iss saal Policymakers ne iqraar kiya ke halankeh mahangi dabi peechle saal mein kam hui, lekin yeh ab bhi buland hai, aur pichle maheenon mein US central bank ke nishandeh tak pohnchne ke raste mein mazeed taraqqi ka namuna nahi dekha gaya.
Magar, US Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell ne kaha ke woh kisi mumkinay izafa ka intezar nahi karte aur samajhte hain ke mojooda policy 2% mahangi dabi ka nishandeh hasil karne ke liye kafi intezami hai. Waqtan-fa-waqtan, Fed ne apni quantitative tightening ki raftar ko kam karne ka irada zahir kiya June 1 se, aik tadil jo ke Treasury bonds ke zyada se zyada nikalne wale mehsoolat ko 50% se zyada kam karne ko shamil karegi, balance sheet se mahina bhar mein $25 billion tak. Pichle saal ka balance sheet $60 billion tha.

EUR-USD H4 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Aaj ka doosra guftagu subah ke pesh kiya ja raha hai, jismein EURUSD jodi par baat ho rahi hai, jo ke GBPUSD par hone wale haalat ke lagbhag samaan hai. Is jodi mein bhi saaf nazar aata hai ke kal yeh ek bada bullish movement kar saki hai, haan aur agar hum tawajjo dein, to abhi EURUSD ki position peer ke sab se oonche maqam se kaafi door hai, jis ke mutabiq agar yeh haalat hai, to mumkin hai ke EURUSD mazeed ooncha jaaye, jahan is kharid ke liye qareebi maqsad ho sakta hai ke pichle haftay ke resistance area ko toden. Yeh 1.086 par hai, to agar yeh area chhed sakta hai to kharid ki bari maqbul EURUSD jodi mein khuli ho jaye gi. Agar woh kharidarte hain, to unhein H4 par khud ki oscillator par bhi waqayi ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye, jahan is waqt hum dekh sakte hain ke qeemat phir se overbought position mein wapas aa gayi hai, isliye maujooda maqam se doosre giravat ka bhi mumkin ho sakta hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to phir bhi yeh thoda sa risky lagta hai agar hum sirf ise dabane ki koshish karen.
Shayad EURUSD ko bechna chahun, main apni iraada ko chhodne ki koshish karunga, haan, aur mojooda iqsam ko nigrani mein rakhunga jo zyada behtar hoga agar, maslan, dekhne ki koshish karein ke kya EURUSD 1.086 ke resistance ko todkar chal sakti hai ya nahi, aur phir agar yeh naakaam rehta hai to main phir se bechna ki koshish karunga jahan ek ahem shahana ilaqa phir se EMA50 mein hai. EurUsd jodi ka market aaj bhi kal ke trading ke baad potentially bullish hai, qeemat ko kharidne walon ne nakhray faraham karne wale bechne walon ko rokne mein kaamyabi haasil ki, jo ke support area ko qaim rakhte hue qeemat ko bulishly agay barhati rahi.

Daily time window ko Moving Average technique se dekhte hue, yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke EurUsd market pair mein kharidne walay trading ko qabu mein kar rahe hain, qeemat ko Yellow 200 MA area ko toorna shuru karne mein kaamiyab sabit hue hain, sath hi kharidne walon ki kamiyabi ne ek mazboot bullish candlestick ko banaya hai, jo ke qeemat ko mazeed ooncha jaane ke imkanat ko mazeed barha deta hai. jiska maqsad hai ke qeemat ko bechne walon ke mazboot resistance area tak le jana jo Blue 100 MA area mein hai. Abhi mojooda waqt mein ek bearish correction bhi hosakta hai aur kharidne walay ise kharidne ke daira ko dhoondh sakte hain.

EURUSD Analysis on M15 Timeframe:

Salam sab ko! EURUSD currency pair ke baray mein, main ne neechay di gayi surat-e-haal ka tajziya kiya hai: M15 chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf jhuka hua hai, jo ke market mein mazboot kharidari dabao ko darust karta hai. Kharidaron ki faaliyat aik behtareen moqa faraham karti hai ke channel ke neechay se 1.07131 par kharidari ka imtiaz karen. Agla, main umeed karta hoon ke market 1.07561 ke darjay tak barh jaye ga, us ke baad aik correction hona chahiye. Ye correction channel ke neechay hota hai, jahan se dubara kharidari ke moqa andaza kiye ja sakte hain. Agar keemat is darje ko torh de, to hum mazeed neechay girte hain aur is maamle mein kharidari positions munqata ho jati hain. Aise hee market channel ke andar barh raha hota hai jab wo upar ki taraf dekhta hai. Farokht ko channel ke upper boundary se 1.07561 par intezar karna chahiye, dakhil hona mumkin hai. Mere liye zaroori hai ke main neechay ke boundary ke qareeb se jitna ho sake kharidari mein dakhil ho.

EURUSD Analysis on H1 Timeframe:

Uncha timeframe H1 ki tajziya karte hue, main dekhta hoon ke linear regression channel upar ki taraf mudahar hai. Mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahem hai. Ye yeh kehta hai ke bullain mazboot hain. M15 ke channel se signal kharidari ke moqa faraham karta hai, jo ke mere kharidari ki khwahish ko mazboot karta hai. Bas mujhe sahi jagah par keemat ka intezar karna hai aur wahan se kharidari ka moqa talash karna hai. Main jo jagah moqa talash karta hoon, wo hai channel ke neechay ki had se 1.06608 par. Wahan se, main 1.07523 tak dubara kharidari ki koshish karta hoon. Maqsood ko hasil karna agle barhne ke sath aik mazboot upar ki taraf rukh ka saboot hai. Maqsood 1.07523 se correction ka moqa barh jata hai, kyun ke bullish movement ikhtiyar kiya jata hai. Bullain phir apni movement ko barqarar karne ki koshish karenge. Agar 1.06608 par dakhil hone wala point tor diya jata hai, to yeh bearish dilchaspi ka ishara hai. Is maamle mein, trading plan ko kharidari ki taraf dobara ghor se sochna aur market ke halaat ko dobara tajziya karna wajib ho sakta hai.