Eur/usd

Jab ke kaam ka bazaar kamzoriyon ka saamna kar raha hai, toh market ke hissedaron mein yeh intehai umeed hai ke Federal Reserve mazid dilchaspi dar maeeshat ko farogh denay ke liye interest rate kaatne ke amal ko jaldi se jaldi amal mein laye gi. Magar yeh ahem hai ke analysts mein raayein ka ikhtilaaf mojood hai. Kuch log yeh daawah karte hain ke thakey hue kaam ki data sirf waqtan-fa-waqtan ka nuksan ho sakta hai, is liye Federal Reserve se foran jawab talab nahin hai. Unho ne dosray indicators ko zikar kiya hai, jaise taqatwar istemal shuraat aur mazboot karobarati munafa, jaisey ke amreeki maeeshat ke mazbooti ke saboot. Magar, market mein mojood mukhtalif raay ko zyada tar Federal Reserve se ziada maddah-kar lehnay ka nazar aata hai.
Federal Reserve, jo Amreeki riyasati bank ka intezami nizam hai, Amreeki maeeshat ki maeeshat ki policy ko tameer karne mein ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Is ki bunyadi maqsad zyada se zyada rozgaar, mustaqil qeemat, aur mustaqil lambay muddat ke sood rates ko farogh dena hai. In maqasid ko haasil karne ke liye, Federal Reserve mukhtalif aalaat ka istemal karta hai, jaise ke federal funds rate ko tanazzul aur izafi qeemat for consumers aur karobarion ke liye asar andaazi karne ke liye.

Kamzor karobarati bazaar ke manzar ke darmiyan, tawajjo Federal Reserve ke jawabi amal par zyada maeel hai. Market ke hissedar maeeshati data aur policymakers ke statements ko dekhte hain taakey central bank ke iraaday ke baare mein isharon ko samjha ja sake. Haali mein ayaaye aham nishanaat ke isharon ne khaas tor par is ke liye tawajjo ko barhaya hai ke Federal Reserve maeeshati farogh ke khatrey ko kam karne ke liye pahle hee interest rate kaatne ka faisla kar sakta hai. Aise kaatne karobarat aur tijarat ko barha sakti hain, jis se istemal aur tijarat ki sakht hoti hai.

EUR USD Outlook Technical Analysis: Jaise ke kaam ka marqaa mushtarika tor par numayan hai, bazar ke shirakat daar darmiyan ke darmiyan se bharh gai hai ke Federal Reserve mafadati sarmaya dar qeemat kam karne ki tajweezat tezi se laa sakti hai taake ma'ashi taraqqi ko phelaye. Magar, yeh ahem hai ke tajziyati nazriyat ka ikhtilaf maqbool hai. Kuch log yeh dawa karte hain ke behtareen jobs data waqtan-fawran rukawat ko darust nahi karte, is liye Federal Reserve ko foran jawab dene ki zaroorat nahi hai. Wo dusre nishane samjhte hain, jese ke taqatwar consumer spending aur mazboot corporate earnings, jese ke America ki ma'ashi istiqrar ki saboot, ko tasdeeq ke tor par.

Lekin, mojooda manzar-e-aam mein bazar ka raay Federal Reserve ke liye zyada saath dene ki raay hai.

Federal Reserve, America ka markazi banking system, America ki ma'ashi policy ko shakhsiyat bakhshti hai. Iski bunyadi maqasid mein intikhaabi rozgaar, mustaqil keemat aur darust lamba arzi sarmaya dar qeemat shamil hain. In maqasid ko haasil karne ke liye, Federal Reserve mukhtalif aalaat ka istemal karti hai, jisme federal funds rate ke tabdeeliyat shamil hai, jo consumers aur businesses ke liye udhaar ka keemat mu'ayyan karta hai.

Kamzor kaam ka marqaa ke maqam par, tawajjo Federal Reserve ke jawabi amal par barh gai hai. Bazar ke shirakat daar ma'ashi data aur policymakers ke bayanat ko dekhte hain taake maloomat haasil karein ke markazi bank ki mansooba bandiyan kya hain. Haal ki nishaandahiyan kaam ke marqaa mein kami ne tajziya afreen kiya hai ke Federal Reserve nuqsaan ko kam karne ke liye pehle se hi mafadati sarmaya dar qeematon par mabni qadam utha sakti hai. Aise qatray jise izafati istiqrar aur karobar ke faa'al ho sakte hain.

Magar, tamam analysts ek hi darja ki ta'ajjub ka hissas nahi karte. Kuch kehte hain ke mojooda naram jobs data zaroori tor par mustaqil kami ka nishaan nahi hai. Wo kehte hain ke dosre factors, jese ke pent-up demand se faroghe consumer spending aur cost-cutting measures se satah darust karobar munafa, is naram qisam ki jobs data ko durust kar sakte hain.

Foriegn exchange mein umeedein bohot buland hain jabke EUR/USD currency pair pehle se wahi raaste par chal raha hai. Federal Reserve ki faislebaazi jo ke bohot se logon ne tawaqo ki thi, investors ko mazeed interest rate mein izafa ki ummeed mein para chhod gaya hai. Mojooda maqami faida afreen mutabaadil November tak ek akhri rate mein kami ka janib daita hai. Europi data ek fohadi marka pehlu bana raha hai, jahan par aakhri Europi Manufacturing PMI (HCOB) release ke liye Thursday ko hai. Umeedein hain ke data asal numbers ko reflect karega. Sab ankhain bhi Jumma ko US non-farm payrolls report par muntazim hongi, ek data point jo request ke rukh par qawi asar daalne wala hai. Aqwaal ka andaza hai ke April ke payrolls 243,000 tak pohnchenge, ek qadeem mahine ke figure 303,000 se mukhtalif hone ke baad. Data tabdeelian par nazar barqarar rahegi, jabke layoffs ke rang-birange sectors mein ripple jaari hai. Investors ko bhi dekhne ka shauq hai ke average hourly earnings April mein 0.3 month-on-month qaim rahein, affectation ke barhte hue dawayon ke baare mein. Pichle chaar trading sessions ke liye, EUR/USD brace ek connection zone mein phans gaya hai, jo 1.0700 resistance position ko paar karne ki koshish mein lagi hai. 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) aik ahem midline ka kaam karta hai, jahan par upper aur lower hudood alag alag tor par 1.0740 aur 1.0650 ke qareeb hain. Dehli candlestick map ek qareebi term ka neeche ka hisaab rakhne wala bottom 1.0600 ke aas paas qaim hai. Phir bhi, brace ko 200-day EMA ke strike par resistance ka samna hai jo ke 1.0790 ke qareeb hai.



A prominent sell-off ne pichle paanch dino mein request par qabza kar liya hai, jis se short-term nazar ka manzarnama ek bearish trend ki taraf muntaqil hota hai. Technical indicators bhi ek mushaba tasveer faraham karte hain, jahan RSI 30 ke neeche chala gaya hai aur MACD apne detector aur zero lines ke neeche trading kar raha hai, dono negative musbat ko wazeh karte hain. Agar sell-off jama ho jaaye, to asal support position jo dekhi jaye gi woh 1.0515 par hai, jo ke November 1 low ke doraan qaaim hui hai. Dobara, bullish tasalli ke tehzeeb ko 1.0655 par qabil-e-mutazad dekha jayega, pehle se manzar mein 1.0695-1.0720 zone ke qareeb. Ek tor di gayi trend line, sath hi 1.0760 price point, is se pehle ke brace 20-day moving normal ko 1.0780 par pohanchaye. Aane wale dino mein EUR/USD brace ke liye ahem dino ka wada hai, jahan pe khaas data releases aur technical situations is ke raste ko shakl denge.

EUR/USD H-4

Vadim, aap ko kya chahiye tha? Haan. Kabhi kabhi aapko intezar karna padta hai jab tak qeemat us nishan tak na pohanchti jahan aap order khol sakte hain. Hamesha waqt order dene ka nahi hota. Bas, sirf is liye ke aap har waqt market mein rehna chahte hain. Humare paas aik range hai aur hum is ke ird gird nachte hain jab tak qeemat isay chhod nahi deti. Ek movement exit ke peechay tha, jo ke mukhtasar ya lamba marhalay ka ho sakta hai. Magar dono suraton mein, aik naye range ke naye darjat set kiye jate hain, jis ke darmiyan qeemat zigzags khinchti rahti hai. Eurodollar pair ke liye, hum ya to aik oonchi ya ascending wedge extend karte hain, jis ke andar qeemat trading ho rahi hai. Aur, jaise hum dekhte hain, yeh apne hudood ko test kar raha hai. To ab, support ke qareeb, kharidari ahmiyat ikhtiyar kar legi. Aur phir, ke wapas kis tarah se hota hai, is par munh pher sakte hain, ke aage kharidari jari rakhein ya phir waqt ho gaya hai ke palatna ho. Bunyadi taur par, buniyadi darja tak pohanchne ki tawaju rahti hai, aur taraqqi tanqeedi hoti hai.

EUR/USD H-1

#EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar). H1 waqt frame par currency pair/instrument ka mojooda chart jaiza karne se, bullish trading ke liye moqdar sharyat nazar aati hain. Achhi munafa hasil karne ke liye trade kholne ke liye sab se munasib sharyat ko chunna zaroori hai, kai ahem sharyat ko pura karna zaroori hai. Pehle, baray H4 waqt frame par trend sahi taur par tay karna ahem hai taake market sentiment ka ghalat andaza lagane se bacha ja sake, jo ke maali nuqsan ka bais ban sakta hai. To chaliye, hum apne instrument ka chart 4 ghante ke time frame ke sath dekhte hain aur moolyawi halat ko check karte hain - trend movements H1 aur H4 ke waqt periods par aik hona chahiye. Is tarah, pehli qaid ke pura hone ka janch karte hue, hum dekhte hain ke aaj market hume aik lambi muddat ki trade karne ka behtareen mauqa deta hai. Mazeed tajziya mein, hum teen functional indicators–HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color ke signals par tawaju denge. Hum intezar kar rahe hain ke jab Hama aur RSI indicators blue aur green ho jayein, jo ke is waqt market mein kharidaron ka dominion ko sabit karega. Jaise hi yeh hota hai, hum market mein dakhil hotay hain aur aik kharidari position kholte hain. Hum position se bahar nikalne ka point moolyawi level indicator ke indicators ke mutabiq chunenge. Aaj, signals ke liye sab se zyada mutawaqqa darjat niche diye gaye hain–1.08401. Phir hum chart par dekhenge ke qeemat mukhtif moolyawi level ke qareeb pohanchti hai to kaisa behave karta hai, aur faisla karenge ke agla kya karna hai - ya to position ko market mein agle moolyawi level tak chhodna, ya phir pehle se hasil ki gayi munafa ko darj karna. Mazeed kamai ke imkanat ko barhane ke liye, aap ek trawl bhi jod sakte hain.

Subah bakhair, azeez forum members aur aamleen. Umeed hai ke aap sab theek hain aur apni trading activities ka lutf utha rahe hain. Aaj teesra din hai is trading haftay ka, aur agar hum bazaar ki taraf dekhein toh woh takneeki tajziya ke mutabiq harkat kar raha hai. Is liye aaj main EURUSD ke liye aik takneeki nazariya share karunga. Kal, EURUSD jori ne keemat mein izafa dekha aur 1.0780 ke darja ko test karne gaya. Ab mohtarma, H4 waqt ka nazar e tajziya dekhte hain.

H4 waqt ka nazar e tajziya:

H4 waqt ke mutabiq EURUSD ke nazariye ke mutabiq, hum dekh sakte hain ke kal jori ne 1.0780 ke darja ke taraf ek correction tayar kiya, lekin uske baad girne laga, aur abhi hum dekh sakte hain ke keemat 1.0770 ke darje ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Ab EURUSD ke haliya harkat ke liye, agar keemat mazeed girne mein kamiyab hoti hai aur indicator ke darmiyan ka darmiyan darja torrta hai, toh woh mazeed girne ke liye 1.0730 ke darje tak jaari rahegi. Doosri taraf, agar keemat darmiyan darje ke ooper mazboot ho jaati hai, toh upar jaane ki mauqa barh jayegi, aur main samajhta hoon ke keemat phir se 1.0800 ke darja ke taraf barhne lag jayegi. Magar chaar ghante ka chart dikhata hai ke keemat ne 1.0741 ke darja par nashist ka darja test kiya aur thodi se ooper bhi uda. Aik chhota sa niche ka channel ban gaya hai, jo jaari reh sakta hai, aur is haal mein, main umeed karta hoon ke hamara asset 1.0695 ke darje tak gir jayega. Agar keemat 1.0805 par rukawat ko torh sakti hai, toh hume farokht ke zone ke taraf barhne ko dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Ab woh 1.0846 hai. Aur yahan, aap farokht ke liye qareeb se dekhsakte hain. MACD oversold zone ke andar tair raha hai, jo ke ishara karta hai ke keemat ke liye correction ke liye barh sakti hai. Lekin aik ghante ka chart dekhta hai ke indicator overbought hai, jo ke ishara karta hai ke keemat 1.0770 ke darje ke neeche rukawat mei hosakti hai. Toh aap is ke liye ja sakte hain.

Euro (EUR) 1.0765 ke qareeb ghom raha hai, zara sa nuqsan uthane ke baad jis ka chand dinon pehle se chand dinon pehle izafa hua tha. Ye bhi aane waale dino mein US Dollar Index (DXY) ki kamzor hai jo ab 105.00 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, aur EUR/USD jodi ko kuch support faraham kar raha hai. Magar, Eurozone ki arzi data tasveer ka muqabla kar raha hai. Ek taraf, kamzor US Dollar Euro ke liye aik musbat factor hai. US Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke mutabiq jo is saal interest rates ko kam karne ki mumkinahiyat par bayan diya, ye dollar par neeche dabaav daal rahe hain. Ye expectations ke saath milti hai jin mein future traders Fed ko maamool se June mein monetary policy ko halka karne aur saal ke ikhtitam tak interest rates ko teen quarter percentage point tak kam karne ki umeed rakhte hain. Doosri taraf, haal hi mein German inflation data Euro ki rafter ko kam kar raha hai. Germany ke March ke inflation figures thode se kam aa gaye, jis se afraad ka kehna hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai. Ye is wajah se hai ke ECB inflation ko 2% ke aas paas rakhta hai, aur Germany ke kam figures ka zikr Eurozone ko us maqasid ke qareeb hone ki nishaani hai.

Milaye hue signals ke sabab se EUR/USD jodi ne aik khamosh haftay ki ibtida mein aik sideways trade ko guzara hai, jis mein Euro ke Easter holidays ka bhi kuch hissa shamil hai. Technical tor par, EUR/USD ne intehai December 2023 se ek downtrend mein rukh liya hai, bar bar resistance line ko torne mein nakaam reh gaya hai. Ye kamzori aur bhi highlighted hoti hai is wajah se ke jodi apne ahem moving averages (50-day, 100-day, aur 200-day) ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Aglay dekhein, kuch analysts ke mutabiq EUR/USD ke liye aur neeche ke raste ka bhi mohtaj ho sakta hai. Technical indicators jaise ke Stochastic Oscillator par oversold territory ke mutabiq, Euro ko aur neeche girne ke liye jagah hai, ek potential rebound se pehle. Ye bearish traders ke liye aik dilchasp entry point ho sakta hai jo EUR/USD ko short kar ke ek potential girawat se faida uthana chahte hain.

EURUSD Forex Market Analysis


Agar aap EURUSD ke aakhri price movement ka dhyaan dete hain, to currency pair jo ki tab 1.0726 ke qeemat par shuru hua tha, apni sabse kam trading qeemat ko 1.0724 ke level par barqarar rakha. Jab market ne kam qeemat ko chhooa, tab eurusd buyers se support prapt karne laga aur upar ki taraf move karne laga jab tak ki ye sabse uchit trading level par 1.0813 tak nahi pahunch gaya. Sabse uchit star ko chhune ke baad, eurusd dabaav mehsoos karne laga jab tak trading aakhir mein 1.0762 ke qeemat par band nahi hui.

Aakhri trade mein eurusd ke daam ki mazbooti aane wali trade mein asar dalegi, isliye agle eurusd trade mein hone wale price movement ko usi disha mein jane ka zyada probability hai.

EURUSD Timeframes H1



In sharton ko dekhte hue, ajeng4x ko lagta hai ki kharidne ka option zyada munasib munafa ke probability ke saath hoga, isliye agli eurusd trade mein kharidne ka transaction mukhya chunav ke roop mein istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin, is transaction ko anjam dene mein, sahi momentum ka intezaar karna uchit hoga, jaise ki kam waqt ke frames par maanyak bullish candlestick pattern ka dikhna. Ye is baat ka maksad hai ki aap uchit risk reward calculation aur jeetne ke adhikatar sambhavna ke saath gunvatta wale transaction ko utpann karen.

Dhyan mein rakhna chahiye ki transaction nirnay lene mein, aap hamesha samarthya aur samarthan ke mahatvapurn kshetron ko madhya nazar rakhen. Ye samarthan samarthya star ko Bollinger Bands, Moving Average, Horizontal Line aur Psychological price level indicators ke istemal se anuman lagaya ja sakta hai.

Kripya dhyan dein, agar daam Support area mein ek nakaaratmak pratikriya ka samna karta hai, to kharidne ka transaction ka chayan turant kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin, agar eurusd daam yahin tak nazdeeki support ko tod pata hai, to kharidne ka transaction yojana ko punarbichar kiya jaana chahiye. Kyunki forex market mein daam ki gati gatishil hoti hai, jo ki bazar ko aasaani se ulte disha mein move karne ki sambhavna banati hai.

Isliye, aage ki taiyaari karte hain apne risk calculations ke liye, taki aavashyak karavaiyon ko trading plan ke anuroop liya ja sake. Aur forex calendar par fundamental news ya khabar ka bhi dhyaan dein, taki agar bazar aaspas se anirnit rup se move karta hai, to aapko hone wale nuksaan ko maapne mein madad milti hai aur shuruaati se hi taiyar ki gayi risk seemaon ke anuroop hota hai.

#EUR/USD H4 Euro - US Dollar. Mojudah chart par chunte hue assest mein waazeh bulish jazbat nazar aa rahe hain, jo ke Heiken Ashi candle indicator istemal karke aasani se pehchaan liya ja sakta hai, jo traditional Japanese candles se mukhtalif qeemat ki roshni ka nateeja hai. Heiken Ashi ka istemal technical analysis ke process ko bohot asaan banata hai aur sath hi trading ke faislay ki darusti mein izafa karta hai. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi trading mein madad karta hai, jo ke Moving Average par mabni mojooda support aur resistance lines ko darust karke currency pair ke movement ki relevant hadood ko dikhata hai. Signal filtering aur faisla karne ke liye, RSI oscillator ka istemal hota hai, jo assest ke overbought aur oversold zones ko dikhata hai.



Tehqiqat ke maqool dastaveez par, is waqt ek manzar dekha ja sakta hai jahan Heikin Ashi candles neela rang dikha rahe hain, jo uttar ki taraf qeemat ke movement ko dikhata hai. Market quotes ne linear channel ke neeche ke boundary (lal dahari line) se guzra hai, lekin minimum point tak pohanchne ke baad, yeh uss se urra aur wapas channel ke darmiyan ki line (peela dahari line) ki taraf mud gaya. Filter signal basement indicator RSI (14) bhi ek kharidne ki signal tasdeeq karta hai, kyunke yeh lamba position ka intekhab ke saath milta hai - uski curve abhi ooper ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai aur overbought level se door hai. Upar diye gaye ke haqiqat mein, sirf kharidna ehm samjha jata hai, isliye hum ek lambi position kholte hain, assest ko upar ke channel ki boundary (neela dahari line) ki taraf le jate hue jis ka price level 1.08715 par hai.

#EUR/USD H4 Euro - US Dollar. Moujooda chart par chune gaye aset mein waazeh bullish jazbaat nazar aa rahay hain, jo ke Heiken Ashi candle indicator ke istemal se aasani se pehchaanay ja sakte hain, jo traditional Japanese candles ke muqablay mein qeemat ke halkay ka markazi aur average nataij ko dikhata hai. Heiken Ashi ka istemal technical analysis ke process ko kafi asaan banata hai aur, isi waqt, trading faislon ki durustagi ko bhi barhata hai. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator, Moving Average par mushtamil hain, jis mein mojooda support aur resistance lines ko dikhata hai aur aset ke harkat ke mutalliq ahem hudood ko dikhata hai. Signal filtration aur faisla kun banane ke liye, RSI oscillator ka istemal kiya jata hai, jo aset ke overbought aur oversold zones ko dikhata hai.

Mehfooz chart mein, munaqid aset ka mawad dekha ja sakta hai jahan Heikin Ashi candles blue rang mein hain, jo uttar ki taraf ke qeemat ke harkat ko dikhata hai. Market quotes ne linear channel (surkha dashed line) ke nichlay had se guzar kar neeche jaana hai, lekin minimum point tak pohanchne ke baad, woh wapas seedha hokar channel ke darmiyan ki lakeer (peeli dashed line) ki taraf murr gaye hain. Filtration signal basement indicator RSI (14) bhi ek khareedne ka signal tasdiq karta hai, kyun ke ye lamba position ka intikhaab ke saath milta hai - iska curve abhi ooper ki taraf ishaarat kar raha hai aur overbought level se door hai. Upar diye gaye ke baare mein, sirf khareedna ehem samjha jata hai, is liye hum ek lambi position kholte hain, umeed hai ke aset ooper ki taraf (neela dashed line) jaayega jo ke qeemat ke level 1.08715 par hai.

EUR/USD D1 Timeframe:

EUR/USD ki qeemat ki harkat. Asian session ke doran currency pair ne ek kaafi tang range mein trade kiya. Aaj ke US Federal Reserve meeting ke natije ke baad pair mein uthaal-putaal hui aur yeh is trading week ke opening levels ke qareeb hi rehta hai. American regulator buland mehngai ki wajah se maali policy ko asani se nahi karne ka faisla karega. Aam tor par, sab kuch wahi rehta hai. Is background ke sath, forex market mein volatility thodi si badh gayi hai. Aaj, ma'ashi calendar bhi kaafi informative hai. Aap Germany se data par tawajju de sakte hain; warna, sab tawajju America ke market ke khulne par di jati hai. America ne awami faide ke liye unemployment benefits ke liye ibtidai dawayat ke data ko shaaya kiya hai. Is aalaat ke liye, aik maqool nisf din mein halka neechay ki tahweed karna kaafi mumkin hai, lekin amoman, abhi ke liye, oopar ki taraf ka rukh qaim rahega. Tajwez shuda mudda-e-nuqta hai 1.0665 par; main is darje ke ooper khareedonga jahan haddi 1.0765 aur 1.0815 ke darjat hain. Doosri taraf, pair girne ka aghaaz karega, 1.0665 ke neeche jaayega, aur jama hoga, phir rasta 1.0635 aur 1.0615 ke darjaton par khulega. Jaise ke halat se dekha jaa sakta hai, aaj ka America ke Federal Reserve ki meeting ka jayeza taqreeban tawaqqo ke mutabiq guzra aur market mein koi hulchul nahi paida ki, magar ye America dollar ke liye bura bhi hai, kyunke yeh shayad America dollar ki mazbooti ka aakhri mauqa tha, agle mulaqat ke darmiyan.

EUR/USD H4 Timeframe:

Agle Fed meeting mein is saal ka pehla interest rate cut ki umeedon ke saath US Federal Reserve ki meeting hone wali hai. Agar H4 chart par nazar dalen to, aaj ke din ke doran upar ki taraf ka rukh jari rahega. Magar European session abhi shuru nahi hua hai, isliye agar yeh shuru ho to shuru mein neeche ja sakte hain. Kal, America ki be-rozgaari aur mazdoori ke baare mein khabar hogi. Agar woh dollar ko mazboot karte hain, to euro 1.0600 tak ja sakta hai. Aur aaj bullon ka koshish hai ke 1.0755 aur ooper ja sake. Pair ke liye aaj koi maayane nahi hain. Kal 1.0733 par, bullon ne utharne ki koshish ki aur phir neeche wapas gaye. Mutabiq ho ke, jab bhi mumkin ho, America dollar ab zameen kho dene wala hai, aur EUR/USD pair ab dheere dheere uttar ki taraf chalne lagega. Is mark tak position ko jari rakhne ka koi faida nahi hai. Shumari trend jari rahega. Saaf hai ke bullish trend mojooda vector hai, taqreeban calendar ke mutabiq, aur uthaal-putaal moment abhi mojooda hai. Hum 1.0957 ke darje tak pohnchne ka intezar karte hain.

Hum euro/dollar ke liye chaar ghante ka chart kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke pehle, 1.0980 ke darje par ek maqami ziyada tareen banane ke baad, major ne janubi taraf mutawajjah hokar confident janubi ke qeemat channel bana diya, jo ke janubi taraf mazboot phaila hua hai. Ek aur sahara line se, 1.0600 ke darje par (euro/dollar ke liye maqami kam se kam) ek aur dobara phir se sahara line se uthne ke baad, major ko takmeel ke farokht ke liye chal par gaya aur ab janubi channel ke andar teesri shimali lahore hai. Iske ilawa, takmeel ki doosri shimali roshni ascending channel ke andar hoti hai aur ab, 1.0710 ke darje par iske upper had se bounce hone ke baad, jodi ne janubi taraf mutawajjah hokar, aur ek takmeel giravat ka zyada imkan hai - sahara line tak - darja 1.0660. Is se, in turn, mujhe ek bounce ka umeed hai aur is taraqqi ko janubi qeemat channel ke upper sarhad tak jaari rakhne ka umeed hai, jise kaatne ke bajaay lagbhag 1.0750 ke darje par hoga. Is tarah, hum 1.0660 se 1.0750 ke darje tak khareedte hain.

Upar, maine H4 chart par euro/dollar jori ke liye situation ka tajziyah kiya, aur ab main chahunga ke aadha ghanta ka chart kholoon. Us par hum dekhte hain ke 1.0600 par ek mazboot maqami kam se kam hai, jise beron ne kai baar toorna chaha hai (kam se kam teen martaba), iske baad jodi shimal ko mukam par le gayi aur phir se ek barhne wala qeemat channel ban gaya, jisme euro/dollar 1.0696 par bechta hai. Moujooda darje se, hum zyada tar takmeel giravat ko shuru karenge channel ke nichle had tak, jise kaatne ke kareeb darja 1.0680 ke darje par hoga. Chart M30: Kal ahem maqami economic khabron ke liye ek kaafi ameer din hai. Moscow ke waqt 15.00 par Amreeki GDP jaari hoti hai aur is ki umeed 3.4 feesad se 2.5 feesad tak girne ki umeed hai. Usi waqt, berozgari ke shuruaati dawayon ki tadad bhi jaari hoti hai aur umeed hai ke yeh darja 212K se 214K tak barh jaye. Jaise hum dekhte hain, Amreeki maqami maeeshat ke data ko kamzor maqami darjayon ki umeedon par pesh kiya ja raha hai, aur in kamzor data ki umeedon par hi, major taraqqi kar rahe hain.

Euro Ki Ubharti Raftar Jama Rahti Hai Jab Dollar Thak Jata Hai, ECB-Fed Rate Mukhālif Nazar Aata Hai:
Euro ke mukabley Amriki Dollar (EUR/USD) ne apna upar ka rukh barqarar rakha, Monday ko 1.0765 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke currency markets mein kamzor hone wale Amriki Dollar (USD) ki wajah se tha. Ye izafa muhimat ke economic indicators aur markazi bank ke strategies ke ird gird ghoomti rahe speculations ke sath aya. April ke liye riport ki gayi amriki naukriyon mein dher saari tezi Euro ki taqat ko barqarar rakhte hue ek ahem factor tha. Data ne ek itwaar ke mawafiq kamzor se muntakhib tezi ko kharij kiya, jo ke September tak shayad ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke qeemat ko kamiyat hone ka sabab bana sakta hai. Analysts ne is rukhsat hone ko aik mumkin economic hurdles ka ishara samjha, jis ne unko yeh sochne par majboor kya ke Fed taqatwar monetary measures ko barhane ke liye zyada lenient ho sakta hai. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Fed ke darmiyan maeeshat polisiyon ke mukhālif honay ki qareebi ihtimam ne EUR/USD dynamics ko aur bhi ahem bana diya. Muaqqibeen ne note kiya ke jabke Fed tarmeemati policy ki taraf maeel lagta hai, ECB ka tawajju ka aapzai ho sakta hai. Is tarmeem ke intekhab ke mukhālif dene ka farq currency values par asar dal sakta hai. Euro ke haalat ko dekhte hue, kuch economists ne ECB ke Fed ke rate cuts ke sath mawafiq hone ki na-khushgawariyon ko Eurozone currency ke liye challange samjha. Euro ke is majmooe ke darmiyan ki bardaasht ishaara deta hai ke bazaar ke hissedaron ne markazi bank ke faislon aur economic data ke izhaarat ko mazid chakhtan rakha hai future currency trends ke pehloo par.

Euro Ko Pehle Mazbooti Ka Samna Hota Hai Phir Bhaari Raftar Dikhaati Hai
Euro apni maujooda position mein chal rahe hain to do aur resistance levels ka muqabla karte hue, jo ke ye dikhata hai ke ye dono barriers ko paar karne ke liye tayyar hai. Filhaal, 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) qeemat ke neechay hai, jo ke asasaat ko qareebi resistance points ki taraf barhane mein madad faraham karta hai.






Niche dekhte hue, wazeh hai ke 1.06005 par support ka amal muqarrar hai jo ke neeche ki harkat se bachane mein kaaragar sabit ho raha hai. Magar, aham lamha woh hota hai jab asasaat EMA-50 aur downtrend resistance line ke upar chadhti hai, jo ke iske upar ka rukh mazboot bana dega agar kehna hota hai ke selling pressure barqarar rahe.

EURUSD ke haliya harkat ke bare mein baat karne se pehle, ek zaroori point hai ke forex market volatile hota hai aur predictions exact nahi hoti hamesha. Lekin, agar hum ek potential scenario par focus karein jahan EURUSD ki keemat gir rahi hai aur indicators bhi downward trend ko support kar rahe hain, toh kuch observations kiye ja sakte hain. Agar EURUSD ki keemat mazeed girne mein kamiyab hoti hai, yani ki downward trend jaari hoti hai, toh yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke market sentiment USD ki taraf shift ho rahi hai ya phir Euro ki kamzori ho sakti hai. Iske alawa, agar koi specific indicator, jaise ki moving averages ya RSI, bhi downward movement ko support kar raha hai, toh yeh bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. Jab tak EURUSD ki keemat 1.0737 ke darje tak jaati hai, yeh bearish momentum jaari reh sakta hai. Lekin, yeh ek level sirf technical analysis ke liye hai aur market dynamics ke aas paas ke badlavon par bhi depend karta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh aur neeche ki movement bhi sambhav hai. Is situation mein, traders ko apne risk management ko madhya nazar mein rakhna hoga. Stop loss orders lagana aur position size ko manage karna zaroori hai taaki kisi unexpected movement se nuksan na ho. Yeh sabhi factors ke beech, ek trader ko flexible rehna zaroori hai. Market mein flexibility aur adaptability hi success ka raasta hai. Kabhi-kabhi, unexpected events ya news ke impact se market ki direction badal sakti hai, isliye har trade ko thokar ke saath handle karna chahiye. Agar EURUSD ki keemat mazeed girne ki tendency dikha rahi hai, toh ek trader ko aur bhi kadam uthane se pehle market ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Market sentiment, economic indicators aur geopolitical events ko dhyan mein rakhte hue sahi trading decisions lena zaroori hai. Toh, overall, EURUSD ki haliya harkat ko samajhne ke liye technical analysis, market sentiment aur risk management ka sahi istemal zaroori hai. Agar keemat 1.0737 ke darje tak gir rahi hai aur indicators bhi bearish trend ko support kar rahe hain, toh traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur flexible trading strategies ka istemal karna chahiye.

EUR/USD Tafseeli Tehqeeq

Mah na khatam honay ke baad, EUR/USD ne pehlay European trading mein tight band mein trading ki thi, just above 1.0750. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, yeh jodi kuch waqt tak musbat reh sakti hai. Ameriki dollar (USD) major currency pairs ke khilaaf gira hua tha Jumma ko disappointing domestic data ke baad, jabke EUR/USD weekend ke qareeb taqreeb hote hote barh gaya. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ke mutabiq, nonfarm payroll April mein 175,000 tak barh gaya. Yeh number 243,000 market estimate se kam tha. Iske saath hi, services sector mein business activity mein kami thi, jo ke ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index ke zariye zahir hoti hai, jo March mein 51.4 se April mein 49.4 tak gir gaya. Eurostat baad mein March ke Producer Price Index (PPI) data jaari karega aur yeh muqabla karwane waala nahi hai. Ameriki ma'ashi calendar per koi ahem publications nahi hain.

EUR/USD tees hafton ke baad pehli baar Jumma ko 200 simple moving average (SMA) ke upar uth gaya jab aakhri chaar 4-hour candles us level ke upar band hogaye. Iske alawa, RSI ek musbat nazriyat maintain karta hai, 60 ke upar rehta hua. Doosri taraf, pehla resistance 1.0790-1.0800 pe waqai hai (static levels jo recent decline ke 50% Fibonacci retracement level ko represent karte hain), is ke baad 1.0830 (61.8%). % Fibonacci retracement) aur 1.0900 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement). 200-period EMA (1.0750, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level) short-term support deta hai. Isko 20-period EMA (1.0720), 50-period EMA (1.0700), aur 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (1.0700) follow karta hai.

EUR/USD Tafseel
Pichle hafte zyada ke baad band hokar, EUR/USD early European trade mein Monday ko 1.0750 ke just ooper tight range mein trading kar raha tha. Takniki tajziyaat se yeh zahir hota hai ke jodi jald hi musbat reh sakti hai. Amreeki dollar (USD) maazi haftay ahem currency pairs ke khilaf kamzor hui thi, jabke EUR/USD hafta ke aakhri dinon mein barh rahi thi. Bureau of Labor Statistics ke mutabiq, Ameriki ghair kisanat adad April mein 175,000 tak barh gaye. Ye adad 243,000 ki market ke andaza se kum tha. Is ke ilawa, be-rozgar ke dar mein izafa hua 3.8% se 3.9% tak. Waqt ke saath, khidmatat sektor mein karobar ki harkat mein kami bhi dekhi gayi, jaisa ke ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index se zahir hota hai, jo March mein 51.4 se April mein 49.4 tak gir gaya. Eurostat baad mein March ke Producer price index (PPI) data jaari karega aur yeh kisi taqatwar market reaction ka baais nahi banega. Amreeki ma'ashiyati calender pe koi ahem taqatwar ta'areef nahi hogi.

Tees hafton ke baad pehli martaba, Jumeraat ko EUR/USD 200 simple moving average (SMA) ke ooper chala gaya jab ke aakhri chaar 4-hour candles uss level ke ooper band hue. Is ke ilawa, RSI ek musbat bias banaye rakhta hai, jo ke 60 ke ooper rehta hai. Dosri taraf, pehla resistance 1.0790-1.0800 par mojood hai (sthir darjat jo ke haal ki giravat ke 50% Fibonacci retracement level ko darust karte hain), iske baad 1.0830 (61.8%) aur 1.0900 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) hai. 200-period EMA (1.0750, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level) short-term support faraham karta hai. Iske baad 20-period EMA (1.0720), 50-period EMA (1.0700), aur 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (1.0700) aate hain.