𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Euro FOREX market ka ek bohot liquid trading instrument hai. Is liye, sirf analysis karna hi nahi, balke usay confirm bhi karna zaroori hai. Aaj Sunday hai aur iska waqt khatam hone ko hai, is liye Monday ke trading ke liye tayar hona zaroori hai. Jo log der tak jaag kar ya subah jaldi uth kar pending orders place karenge, wo euro ko market ke khulne ke baad buy kar sakenge.

Friday ko humne hourly timeframe par buy signal dekha. Jab main signal ke baare mein baat karta hoon, to meri baat exponential moving averages se hoti hai. Pehli chart par red rectangle mein maine is signal candle ko mark kiya hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke growth bina kisi pullback ke chalti rahe, matlab jese hi market khulte hai, yeh upar ki taraf continue kar sakta hai. Iss case mein, pair sirf 1 to 1 ka risk to reward ratio achieve karega. Lekin pending orders levels 1.11477 aur/ya 1.11332 par place kiye ja sakte hain. Pehli case mein, potential ratio 1 to 2 achieve ho sakta hai, aur dusre case mein 1 to 3. Lekin hourly timeframe par is tarah ke setups ki statistics dekhte hue, zyada tar chances 1 to 1 outcome ke hote hain. Phir bhi, yeh worth try hai aur buy limit order place karna chahiye.

Daily chart par bhi hum same situation dekh rahe hain, lekin yeh puri tarah se yahan visible hai. Fibonacci grid percentage line ke tor par stretched hai, jahan signal level 50% level hai. Hamari bullish idea mein, stop 0.0% level ke peeche rakha jayega, yani 1.10979 ke mark ke peeche. Yeh zaroori hai ke spread gap ke saath ho, jo har trader ke liye vary kar sakta hai. Jaise aapne andaza lagaya hoga, target levels is line ke 100% mark par hain, yani 1.12475 ke price level par. Buying tab bhi mumkin hai jab market phir se signal level ke kareeb aati hai, lekin tab ratio 1 to 1 hoga. Aisa ratio market ke liye aam hota hai, aur 1 to 2 ya usse zyada ratios bohot kam milte hain.

EUR/USD currency pair ka mojooda price behavior yeh darshata hai ke agar price girti hai to bechna faida mand ho sakta hai, lekin agar price barhti hai to khareedari ka position lena bhi worth considering ho sakta hai. Accumulation level 1.0952 se ek clear upward rebound hai aur ek bullish signal nikal raha hai. Aham price level jo dekhna hai wo 1.1034 hai, jo protected zone ka lower boundary hai. Agar price 1.1034 tak pohnchti hai aur is level se ek bearish signal nikalta hai, jo volumes ke saath support hota hai, to EUR/USD pair ki price shayad 1.0952 ke aas paas ke accumulation zone ko retest karne ke liye wapas aa sakti hai. EUR/USD ne hafte ke liye psychological level 1.0999 ke upar close kiya hai, lekin price 9th figure ke beech se rebound hui aur upar chali gayi, jab ke positive US dollar data ke bawajood euro ki value mein kami nahi hui.

Diye gaye maloomat se yeh lagta hai ke lekhak agle hafte ke liye ek bearish trend ka tajwez dete hain. Unka andaza hai ke price 1.0749 tak gir sakti hai, jiska pehla target 1.0859 hai. Lekhak cautiously optimistic hain ke bearish trend ka activity agle hafte majidaar ho sakta hai. Unka kehna hai ke bearish sentiment mazid barhne ki umeed hai, jo market control ko shift karne mein madadgar hoga. Agla hafta bahut volatile hone ki umeed hai, jismein sab major currency pairs aur gold apni range shift karenge. Lekhak kehte hain ke is dauran trading mein bohot ehtiyaat baratni chahiye.

Filhal, Wednesday ko, sellers resistance provide kar rahe hain aur bullish buyers ko rokne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yeh mumkin hai ke price pehle ek bearish correction dekhe, phir buyer support area 1.0970-1.0965 ke aas paas pohnche. Price range abhi 1.0940-1.0938 hai. Agar mojooda price hold nahi karti, to buyer shayad control le kar price ko seller's resistance area 1.1027-1.1030 ki taraf push kare. Iske ilawa, 1.09117 ke aas paas ek strong support level hai, jo pehle downward price movement ke bawajood hold raha hai, jo is area mein significant buyer interest ko darshata hai jo further price decline ko rokta hai.

EUR USD Forum Analysis, Forecast
### EUR/USD Forum Analysis aur Forecast
**Taaruf aur Ahmiyat**

EUR/USD forex market ka sab se ziada trade hone wala currency pair hai, jo Euro (EUR) aur United States Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan ke exchange rate ko represent karta hai. Yeh pair European aur American economies ke darmiyan ki relative strength ko dikhata hai. Forex traders ke liye EUR/USD pair ka analysis aur forecast banana bohat zaroori hota hai kyun ke is pair mein bohat si opportunities hoti hain.

**Forum Analysis ka Maqsad**

Forum analysis se murad traders aur analysts ke online discussions ka jaiza lena hota hai jahan log apne technical aur fundamental analysis ko share karte hain. Yeh forums traders ko ek doosre ke ideas aur market sentiments ko samajhne mein madad dete hain. EUR/USD forums par traders apne insights aur future price movements ke baray mein predictions share karte hain. Yeh discussions market ke mood aur expected trends ko samajhne ke liye kafi madadgar hote hain.

**Current Market Sentiment**

Is waqt, bohat se forums par discussions chal rahi hain ke EUR/USD pair kis taraf ja sakta hai. Kayi traders kehte hain ke EUR/USD abhi aik range-bound movement mein hai, jahan support level 1.0800 par hai aur resistance level 1.1000 par. Forum discussions mein ye bhi kaha ja raha hai ke agar European Central Bank (ECB) apni monetary policy ko dovish rakhta hai, to EUR/USD mein girawat dekhi ja sakti hai.

Dosri taraf, agar US Federal Reserve apni interest rates ko mazid barhata hai, to USD ki strength barh sakti hai, jo ke EUR/USD pair ke liye bearish signal ho sakta hai. Forums par RSI aur MACD indicators ka zikar bhi ho raha hai, jahan RSI overbought zone mein pohanch raha hai, jo ke possible reversal ka ishara de raha hai.

**Future Forecast**

Kayi forums par yeh baat hoti nazar aa rahi hai ke EUR/USD ke liye next few weeks mein downside risk hai, especially agar ECB apni current policy ko change nahi karta. Lekin, agar European economy se kuch positive indicators milte hain, to EUR/USD mein bullish movement bhi ho sakti hai.

Technical analysis ki roshni mein, agar EUR/USD support level 1.0800 se neechay girta hai, to yeh pair 1.0700 ya 1.0600 tak bhi ja sakta hai. Lekin, agar yeh 1.1000 ka resistance tor deta hai, to next target 1.1200 ho sakta hai.

**Conclusion**

EUR/USD forums par jo discussions ho rahi hain, un ka analysis yeh batata hai ke market sentiment abhi mix hai. Kuch traders bearish hain jabke kuch bullish outlook rakhte hain. Accurate forecast ke liye traders ko forums par share ki gayi insights ko apne technical aur fundamental analysis ke sath compare karna chahiye. Har waqt market trends aur economic reports par nazar rakhna zaroori hai taake trading decisions behtreen tareeke se liye ja saken.

EUR/USD currency pair ko daily charts par descending channel ke lower range mein phansa hua dekhne ko mil raha hai. Halanki Friday ko thodi si uchtak hui thi, magar broader bearish trend ab bhi dominant hai, jo ke bullish momentum ke solid foothold banane mein mushkilat ko reflect karta hai.

Is sluggish performance ka ek key factor U.S. dollar ki prevailing strength hai, jo Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ke expectations ke sath hai. Investors ko inflation ke khilaf further interest rate hikes ki umeed hai, jo dollar ko euro ke muqablay mein strong banaye rakhti hai. Eurozone mein economic stability ke concerns, jo weaker-than-expected economic indicators ke zariye aaye hain, ne bhi EUR/USD pair par downward pressure daala hai.

Technical picture ye hai ke EUR/USD abhi descending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo recent sessions mein ek significant support level ke tor par kaam aayi hai. Ye support zone, jo 1.0750 se 1.0800 ke aas-paas hai, pair ke near-term outlook ke liye crucial hai. Agar is level ke neeche breakdown hota hai, to 1.0650 tak ki aur decline dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo ke next major support level hai. Ye scenario tab mumkin hoga agar U.S. economic data Eurozone se behtar rahe, jo dono economies ke darmiyan divergence ko reinforce karega.

Doosri taraf, agar kisi meaningful recovery ki baat karni hai, to EUR/USD ko descending channel se bahar nikalna hoga aur key resistance levels ko overcome karna hoga. Pehla major resistance 1.0900 level ke aas-paas hai, jahan channel ke upper boundary aur 50-day moving average milte hain. Agar is level ke upar sustained move hota hai, to 1.1000 psychological level tak rally ho sakti hai, jo market sentiment ke potential shift ko signal karega.

Summary ye hai ke EUR/USD pair descending channel ke andar pressure mein hai, jahan key support aur resistance levels 1.0750 aur 1.0900 hain. Pair ki ability to break out of this range largely U.S. aur Eurozone ke economic data ki comparative strength par depend karegi.

EUR/USD 1.1130 ke qareeb majbooti dikhata hai, jab ke FOMC ke July ke monetary policy meeting ke minutes ka intezaar hai. Fed ne July mein 8vi dafa interest rates ko barqarar rakha, lekin Jerome Powell ne rate cuts par guftagu ko tasleem kiya. ECB ki umeed hai ke September mein apni policy-easing cycle dobara shuru karega.

EUR/USD Wednesday ke European session mein 1.1130 ke qareeb rehta hai, jo is saal ka sabse ucha level hai. Yeh major currency pair 2024 ke highs 1.1140 ko dobara dekhne ka iraada rakhta hai jab ke US Dollar (USD) Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein interest rate cuts ke ummeed mein dabao mein hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki keemat ko chay bade currencies ke muqablay mein track karta hai, naya saath-maheenay ka low 101.30 ke aas-paas hai.

United States (US) mein lagatar kam hoti hui inflationary pressures aur thandi labor market conditions ne investors ko yeh yakin dilaya hai ke Fed September mein interest rates ko kam karega. Magar, traders abhi bhi is baat par divided hain ke pehli rate cut jumbo hogi ya gradual. CME FedWatch tool dikhata hai ke 50-bps interest-rate cut ka 30.5% mumkinah hai. Baqi log ek nuanced 25-bps cut ki umeed rakhtay hain.

Wednesday ke session mein, investors Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke July ke policy meeting ke minutes par dhyan denge, jo 18:00 GMT par publish honge. July ki meeting mein, Fed ne apni key borrowing rates ko 5.25%-5.50% ke range mein barqarar rakha, jo aathwi baar hai. Fed ne tasleem kiya ke risks ka daira dono aspects (inflation aur employment) mein broadened hai.

Is haftay, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki Friday ko Jackson Hole (JH) Symposium mein taqreer – jo Thursday se Saturday tak chalegi – ek major event hogi, kyunke yeh September mein rate cuts ke baare mein naye hints degi. July ki monetary policy announcement ke baad press conference mein, Jerome Powell ne kaha: "Agar hum dekhain ke inflation expectations ke mutabiq niche aa rahi hai, growth theek hai, aur labor market current conditions ke sath consistent hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke September meeting mein rate cut table par ho sakta hai."

EUR/USD FOMC ke minutes ke release se pehle 1.1140 ke saal ke high ke qareeb aa raha hai. Major currency pair ne daily time frame par channel formation se breakout ke baad majbooti dikhayi. 20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) jo 1.0970 aur 1.0900 ke qareeb hain, broad trend ko bullish dikhati hain.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein oscillate karta hai, jo strong upside momentum ko suggest karta hai.




Euro bulls round-level resistance 1.1200 ko tab approach karenge jab woh December 28, 2023 ke high 1.1140 ko decisively break karenge. Niche ki taraf, August 15 ka low 1.0950 key support area hoga.

Foreign currencies ka technical analysis, euro dollar pair

US Federal Reserve ke last meeting ke minutes ke announcement se pehle, euro ka US dollar ke muqablay mein EUR/USD price apni recent gains ko 1.1130 ke resistance level ke aas-paas barqarar rakha hai, jo 2024 ke dauran currency pair ka sabse ucha level hai. Yeh gains tab aaye jab US dollar dusri major currencies ke muqablay mein gir gaya. Lekin stock trading platforms ke mutabiq, European stock indices apni early gains ko barqarar nahi rakh paaye aur Tuesday ko niche band hue, jo global stock sell-off ke baad ke broad recovery ko roknay mein kaamyaab rahe, jabke markets economic recession aur future credit costs ke risks ka jaiza le rahi thi.

Euro zone ke Stoxx 50 index 0.3% gir kar 4856 par band hua, aur Stoxx 600 index jo sab European shares ko track karta hai, 0.5% gir kar 512 par band hua, jahan energy aur metals producers ke heavy weight ka pressure tha. Eurozone ke heavyweights UniCredit, Nordea aur Santander sab 2.3% se 1% ke beech gir gaye. Energy producers bhi tezi se gir gaye, TotalEnergies aur ENI ka girawat 1.5% aur 1% tha.

Data ke hawale se, German producer prices 13-month low par aa gaye hain saalana basis par base effects ke kam hone ke sath.

HSBC ke mutabiq, agar is hafte eurozone ke PMI data economy ke behtar hone ka saboot dete hain, to EUR/USD upar ki taraf ja sakta hai. “Agar pichla hafte US aur UK ke liye badi data week thi, to is hafte eurozone ke liye badi data week hone wali hai,” Clyde Wardle, HSBC ke senior emerging markets FX strategist ne kaha. Thursday ko aane wale Eurozone PMIs, UK aur US ke PMIs ke sath, ahmiyat rakhte hain.

US dollar ka pehlu bhi utna hi ahmiyat rakhta hai, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ke Friday ke speech par khas tawajjo di jaayegi. “Powell se ummeed ki ja rahi hai ke wo Friday ko Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium mein September rate cut announce karenge. Yields kamzor hui hain aur US dollar gir raha hai hafte ke shuru mein, kyunke traders bet kar rahe hain ke Fed chairman US economy ke saamne aate hue risks ka shift tasleem karenge, jo restrictive policy settings ko ab jaari nahi rakhna chahiye, aur imminent easing decision ke liye darwaza khulega,” analysts ne kaha.

Lekin, agar market Powell ke bayan se disappoint hota hai, to US dollar rebound kar sakta hai. Powell ka US central bank ko aggressive easing path par rakhna mushkil hai bina sustained growth aur employment ke evidence ke, aur investors shayad unke remarks ke substance se disappointed ho sakte hain.”




Abhi ke liye, kisi bhi kamzori ka asar superficial lagta hai, Societe Generale ke technical studies ke mutabiq EUR/USD ki rally barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. Technically, EUR/USD ne recently apni symmetrical triangle se breakout kiya hai, jo bullish momentum ko waapas dikhata hai. Yeh daily MACD mein bhi zahir hota hai, jo July se positive territory mein hai. Yeh US dollar ke seven-month low tak girne ke sath EUR/USD ki rally ke baare mein hai. Overall, yeh move thoda overdone lag raha hai magar pullback ke signs abhi tak zahir nahi hue hain. 50-day moving average jo 1.0880/1.0850 ke qareeb hai, short-term bearish move ke dauran ahm support ke taur par kaam karega.

EUR/USD currency pair ne ek musalsal upar ki taraf ka trend dikhaya hai, jo Monday ko bhi nazar aaya tha. Tuesday ko, yeh pair apni udaan ko continue rakhta hai, jo ke mazboot buying pressure ki wajah se hai. Euro ki US dollar ke muqablay mein lagatar demand ne is pair ki value mein khaas izafa kar diya hai, aur aaj market khulte hi yeh upar gaya.

Is bullish momentum ke peeche kai factors hain jo currency markets ko asar andaz Karti h. Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments traders ke jazbaat ko shape karte hain. Aakhri dinon mein shayad Eurozone se positive economic indicators aaye hain, ya phir market participants ECB ke future moves ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo euro ko mazboot kar sakte hain. Dusri taraf, US dollar ko economic growth, inflationary pressures, ya Federal Reserve ke policy stance ki wajah se challenges ka saamna karna pad raha hai.

Mazboot buyer pressure yeh suggest karta hai ke investors ko euro ke prospects par bharosa hai ya phir wo dollar se diversification kar rahe hain, jo recent weeks mein volatile raha hai. Yeh buying activity EUR/USD ke aaj ke higher opening price mein nazar aati hai, jo traders ke yeh expect karne ko dikhata hai ke currency pair apni upward trajectory ko continue karega.

Technical factors bhi important hain. Key resistance levels test ho sakte hain jab pair upar ki taraf badhega, aur agar yeh levels break ho jaate hain, to aur bhi gains ka signal mil sakta hai. Lekin traders ko kisi bhi potential retracement ya correction ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye, jo market conditions shift hone ya profit-taking ke baad ho sakta hai.




Overall, aaj EUR/USD ki performance euro ki market mein strength ko darshati hai, jo strong buying interest se barhawa mili hai. Traders aur investors shayad situation ko dhyan se monitor karte rahenge, aur dekhte rahenge ke koi developments is upward trend ko sustain karti hain ya reverse karti hain.

200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo currently positioned hai at 1.0826. 200-day EMA ek crucial benchmark hai traders aur analysts ke liye, jo serve karta hai as a dividing line between long-term bullish aur bearish trends. Is level ko surpass karna ek strong bullish signal hai, jo suggest karta hai ke EUR/USD pair ek phase of powerful short-term upward momentum mein enter ho raha hai. 200-day EMA ke upar movement reflect karta hai ek shift in market sentiment, attracting traders eager to engage with the bullish trend. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ek essential tool hai EUR/USD pair ki momentum ko evaluate karne ke liye. Currently, RSI hover kar raha hai around 60, indicating ke pair overbought territory mein nahi hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish trend abhi extend hone ka potential hai without an imminent risk of reversal. Ek RSI reading near 60 strong buying momentum ko signal karta hai, jo traders ke liye confidence instill karta hai about the continuation of the upward trend.
Volume analysis further support karta hai bullish outlook ko EUR/USD pair ke liye. Recent trading volumes rose sharply during the upward movement, signaling strong market participation and backing for the current trend. Higher trading volumes often precede significant price movements, lending credibility to the overall bullish trend. Yeh solid foundation of market participation bullish signals ke reliability ko enhance karta hai.
Lagta hai ke bearish correction movement aage bhi 1.0892 par RBS area ko retest karne ki koshish karegi aur phir 1.0869 tak ke agle RBS level tak pohnchne ki umeed hai. 1.0862-1.0892 ke RBS levels se bullish price action ko bullish trend ko continue karne ke liye ek achha foothold banaya ja sakta hai. Is price level range par pending buy limit orders rakhi ja sakti hain, jiska target tp1 1.0950 tak supply area ko reach karna hai aur tp2 ko is haftay ke highest price limit 1.1008 tak test karna hai. Buying plan ke liye risk loss limit ma200 (blue) movement limit ke neeche 1.0820 ke aas-paas rakha ja sakta hai. Sales plan ke liye do options hain: ek short-term cell entry jo bearish correction movement ke continuation ke sath supply area 1.0950 par bullish rejection ka intezar karega. Long-term sales plan tab consider kiy

Hello, aap kaise hain? EUR/USD ek phislayi hui raah par hai jo 1.1100 ki taraf ja rahi hai, aur Wednesday ko European session mein teen din ki jeet ki series khatam ho gayi. Yeh jo pair hai, yeh US dollar ki barhti hui demand se chal raha hai, jabke markets annual USNFP review aur Fed minutes ke age cautious ho gayi hain. Aage chal kar, EUR/USD se ummeed hai ke yeh 2024 ki high 1.1119 (20 August) ko challenge karega December 2023 se pehle. Agla niche target 200-day SMA 1.0843 hai, jo weekly low 1.0777 (1 August) aur June low 1.0666 (26 June) se aage hai, sab May low 1.0649 (May 1) se upar hai. Badi picture dekhte hue, pair ka uptrend tab tak jari rehna chahiye jab tak yeh key 200-day SMA ke upar bana rahe. Ab tak, four-hour chart ne positive bias mein significant izafa dikhaya hai. Pehla resistance level 1.1119 hai, jo ke 1.1132 aur 1.1275 se pehle aata hai. Doosri taraf, immediate support 55-SMA 1.0978 par hai, uske baad 1.0949 aur phir 1.0881. Relative Strength Index ne 80 se upar izafa kiya hai, EUR/USD teese din se barh raha hai, aur 2024 ke naye highs 1.1120 ke aas-paas pohanch gaya hai. Dollar ki halat kharab hone ki wajah se, greenback ne aur bhi girawat dekhi, 102.00 ke key support level ke neeche chala gaya aur US Dollar Index par YTD lows se trade kar raha hai. Investors ka yeh maanna hai ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates ko barha sakta hai. Chair Jerome Powell ka Jackson Hole Symposium mein Friday ko diya gaya pareshani bhara paigham bhi isme shaamil hai. Consumer Price Index release ke baad Fed ke agle mahine rate cut ke expectations kam ho gayi hain, aur ab rate cut ki sambhavnayein zyada hain. Yeh adjustment behtar-than-expected results ke saath aaye hain doosre key US economic indicators mein. Rate cut ke hawale se, CME Group ke FedWatch tool kehte hain ke September 18 ke meeting mein 25 bps ke cut ka lagbhag 70% chance hai. Iske saath, ECB ke Olli Rehn ne European Central Bank ke hawale se khamoshi tod di. Unhone kaha ke economic weakness aur euro area mein negative growth ke barhte huye risks Bank ko September mein interest rates cut karne ki zaroorat de sakte hain. Unhone yeh bhi kaha ke Eurozone mein expected economic recovery ki guarantee nahi hai aur policymakers ko mukhtalif scenarios ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye

Euro ne Wednesday ko European trading hours ke dauran US dollar ke muqable mein girawat dekhi. Yeh girawat us waqt aayi jab market mein Federal Reserve ki July meeting ke elaan se pehle ehtiyaat ka jazba tha, jo US dollar ko support de raha tha, kyonki isse aksar mehfooz sarmaaya kari ki tarah samjha jata hai. Bhale hi Federal Reserve ne July ki meeting mein apni soodi sharaah ko 5.25%-5.50% ke darmiyani had tak barqarar rakha, lekin Chairman Powell ke dovish (sood rate mein kami ke hawale se narmi) bayanaat ne agle dinon mein US dollar ko kamzor kiya . Lekin, kuch aham events jaise ke Jackson Hole Symposium aur ECB ki monetary policy ke faisley se pehle ehtiyaat pasandi ke jazba ne US dollar ki qeemat ko barhaya. Is waqt maali market mein September mein Federal Reserve ke 25 basis point sood rate mein kami ke 67.5% imkaan ki qeemat lagai ja rahi hai. Yeh tawakku FOMC ki recent meeting ke narm lab-o-lehja aur CME FedWatch tool ke tahlil par mabni hai.
Doosri taraf, European Central Bank ke policymaker Olli Rehn ne ishara diya hai ke ECB ko September mein sood ki sharaah mein phir se kami ki zaroorat par sakti hai, yeh eurozone ki maeeshat ki jari kamzori ki wajah se ho sakta hai. Rehn ne is baat ko zor de kar kaha ke eurozone mein manfi nash-o-numa ke barhte khatray ne September meeting mein sood ki sharaah mein kami ke case ko mazboot kiya hai. Tajiran September mein deposit rate ko 2.5% se 3.5% tak kam karne aur saal ke ikhtitami tak kam az kam ek aur sood rate mein kami ke muntazir hain. Euro ne US dollar ke muqable mein bullish trend dikhaya hai, utsalar pichlay haftay ke rebound ke baad jo ke ek arsay se symmetrical triangle mein tha. Yeh karansi is waqt 1.1050 ki bulandi par trade kar rahi hai, jo ke taqriban aath mahine ki bulandi hai. Simple moving average (SMA) abhi ke bullish trend ki direction ko reflect kar raha hai, kyonki yeh barh raha hai. Iske ilawa, 50-day moving average 200-day moving average ke upar jaane ke liye tayaar hai. Technical indicators, jaise ke stochastic oscillator aur RSI bhi euro ke liye bullish outlook zahir kar rahe hain. Stochastic indicators ke %K aur %D lines ek bullish cross bana rahe hain, aur RSI bhi 70 level ke qareeb majboot momentum ke sath pohnch raha hai. Agar euro ne apna upar ki taraf trend dobara shuru kiya, toh agla target 1.1140 ka resistance level hoga, jo ke 2023 mein ek aham resistance area raha hai

ne Friday ko US Dollar ke muqablay mein behtareen sudhar dekha, jahan EUR/USD jod ne aham 1.1000 resistance level ke qareeb chadhayi. Yeh oonchai ke asbaab zyada tar US Dollar ki kamzori aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke zariye interest rate cut ke bharose mein izafa tha. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne girawat dekhi jab bazaar ka jazba Fed ke September ke meeting mein 25 basis point ki interest rate kam karne ke keemati jazbat ko afzal samajh raha tha. Is tajwez ne risk-sensitive currencies, jaise ke Euro, ki appeal ko barhawa diya. Is ke ilawa, 10-year US Treasury note ke yield mein kami aayi, jo Dollar ki girawat ko aur barhawa dene ka sabab bani. Jab ke September ke liye rate cut ki umeedain zabardast hain, traders ne 50 basis point ke ziyata aggressive cut par apni betiyan kam kar di hain kyunke US recession ke imkaan ka khauf hai. Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole symposium mein taqreer ke zariye Fed ke rate cut ke raaste par zyada wazahat milne ki umeed hai. Dusri taraf, Euro ko European Central Bank (ECB) ke taraf se dheere dheere interest rate cut ki umeed ne support diya hai. Magar, ECB ke policymakers ne persistent inflationary pressures ke bawajood ehtiyaat barqarar rakha hai.
Technically, EUR/USD pair ko 1.0940 level aur July 2023 se lehrati trend line par resistance ka samna hai. Agar 1.0940-1.0970 se upar ki taraf decisive break hota hai, to yeh jod 1.1000 ke psychological level tak pohnch sakta hai, aur 1.1100 aur 1.1150 tak bhi chal sakta hai. Dusri taraf, support 20-day moving average aur October-December ke uptrend ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ke aas-paas 1.0875 par hai. Agar 1.0790-1.0815 ke niche girawat hoti hai to bechne ka pressure tez ho sakta hai aur 1.0700 tak ja sakta hai. Total milakar, EUR/USD pair mein bullish momentum hai, magar 1.0940-1.0970 par strong resistance ko paar

Jumma ke din ke European session mein, EUR/USD ka jo jo jor dekhne ko mila, wo 1.1204 ke qareeb pohnch gaya. Ye uchaal Eurozone mein August ke liye ummeed se zyada price pressures ki wajah se tha, jo sawal utha rahe hain ke kya European Central Bank (ECB) apni po licy easing cycle ko agle September meeting mein dobara shuru karega. Eurozone mein inflation ke tez hone ke baad, bazar ke hissedaron ko ECB ke agle qadam ke bare mein guftagu hai.

Shant Data Hafte; USD Ka Barhawa, EUR/USD Pe Dabaav

Baqi hafte ke dauran, significant economic data releases ki kami nazar aati hai. Traders ko agle hafte tak high-impact events se kuch araam milne wala hai, jab key indicators release honge. Isme US Producer Price Index (PPI) Tuesday ko, European Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth Wednesday ko, aur US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation shamil hain, jo bazar ke jazbat aur currency movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

Is dauran, US Treasury bond yields mein kafi izafa hua hai, jo January ke baad se sabse bara izafa hai. Ye izafa USD ke recovery mein madadgar sabit hua hai, jo Monday ko apne sabse niche level par tha. ECB ke Eurozone ke economic prospects ke bare mein pessimistic outlook ne EUR/USD pair par downward pressure daala hai. Lekin, supportive German macroeconomic data ne thodi resistance provide ki hai.

EUR/USD Ka 1.1350 Ke Qareeb Deykha Ja Raha Hai; Resistance 1.1237 Aur 1.1269

Agar EUR/USD August ke high 1.1204 se upar move karta hai to ye 1.1350 ke next target ki taraf barh sakta hai aur shayad psychological resistance level 1.1300 tak bhi pohnch sakta hai. Filhal, pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.1137 ke qareeb resistance ka saamna kar raha hai. Price action abhi subdued hai, aur EUR/USD 9-day EMA 1.1169 ke just upar oscillate kar raha hai.

Euro ne Thursday ke subah ke trading session mein kaafi uthal-puthal dekhi, jo market ki direction ke liye struggles ko reflect karti hai. Currency 1.11 level ki taraf wapas aane ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yeh level break kar gaya, toh 1.10 mark tak aur girawat dekhi ja sakti hai. General taur par, market ek crossroads par hai, yeh dekhne ki koshish kar rahi hai ke kya iske paas itni momentum hai ke yeh upar ki taraf move kar sake. Agar euro 1.1175 level ko break kar jata hai, toh yeh 1.1250 tak rally ka raasta khol sakta hai.

Is movement ka zyada tar asar Federal Reserve ke actions par depend karega, khas taur par potential rate cuts ke hawale se. Jabke Fed ki expected hai ke September mein rate cut kiya jayega, iski aggressiveness ka level abhi clear nahi hai. Market ne shayad abhi tak aggressive rate cut ki possibility ko fully price in nahi kiya, jo global economy ke concerns ko signal de sakta hai. Aise scenarios mein, US dollar aam tor par faida uthata hai, kyunki investors economic uncertainty ke dauran US Treasury bonds ke market mein safety talash karte hain.

Technical point of view se, yeh note karna zaroori hai ke Euro abhi bhi RSI ke mutabiq overbought state mein hai. RSI aur price action ke darmiyan kuch divergence bhi hai, jo yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke ek pullback aane wala hai. Yeh divergence aksar warning sign hota hai ke current trend apni taqat khatam kar raha hai.

Short mein, jabke euro ne resilience dikhayi hai, iska future direction technical factors aur Federal Reserve ke decisions par depend karega. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels aur kisi bhi divergence ke signs par nazar rakhni chahiye taake market volatility ko navigate kiya ja sake.

EUR/USD Price Forecast

Abhi hum EUR/USD ke price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Filhal hum 1.1224 level par hain, jahan ek rebound sell opportunity ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Lekin hum market ka open nazar se dekh rahe hain, kyunke Hezbollah ka Israel par hamla hone ki wajah se bearish price gap ka possibility hai. Har haal mein, Monday ko 1.1134 tak girne ka bhi chance hai. Yeh bhi dekhna baqi hai ke kya growth 1.1224 ko paar karti hai, khas taur se jab yeh saal ka highest level nahi hai. Aisi growth, jo sirf anticipation par chal rahi ho aur U.S. mein kuch positive ya Europe mein kuch negative nahi dikhati, speculative lagti hai. Lekin, yeh speculation zyada medium-term ke liye hai. Pichle hafte EUR/USD ne upar ki taraf surge kiya.

Powell ki Jackson Hole ke annual economic symposium mein Friday ko kiye gaye remarks shak ki nazar se dekhe ja rahe hain. Lekin Powell dono taraf se appeal karne ki koshish kar raha hai, Democrats aur Republicans dono ko.

Republicans, doosri taraf, ko business interests ke liye kamzor dollar chahiye. Mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ek final move downward kar sakta hai (halanki yeh meri wishful thinking ho sakti hai ke yeh 1.1000 se niche gir jaye). ECB ne aakhri baar rates cut kiye, aur discussions yeh suggest karti hain ke aage bhi reductions ho sakti hain. Bank of England ne bhi ek cut kiya, jabke Fed ne rates ko steady rakha hai. Lekin, dollar pressure mein hai rate cut ke expectations ki wajah se, jo spring se shuru hui thi jab pehli baar rate nahi badhaya gaya tha. June mein decline ki umeed thi, jiski wajah se dollar sell-offs huye, aur ab September par nazar hai. Powell ke Friday ko diye gaye comments ne in expectations ko confirm kiya, halanki unhone explicitly nahi kaha. Experts ne isse ek probable rate cut ke tor par interpret kiya hai, jo khushi ki baat hogi kyunke isse sab economic indicators par focus karna asaan hoga. Monday ke liye trading range 1.1224 se 1.1134 ke beech hai.

EUR/USD Forum Analysis,Forecast


**Subah bakhair doston, aur meri bohot hi aasan trading journal mein wapas aane ka shukriya. Aap weekend break ke baad kaisay hain? Umeed hai ke aap hamesha sehatmand aur market ko is forum par analyze karne mein jazbaati rahenge. Aaj subah forex market khul gaya hai aur yeh waqt hai ke hum forex market se dollars ikattha karen. Is subah ke moqe par, main EUR/USD market ka tajziya karunga taake hum is haftay ke shuruat mein entry ki tayari kar saken.

EUR/USD currency pair ne Friday ke trading mein bullish movement dikhayi aur D1 time frame par ek bullish candle banayi jab market pichle haftay band hui. Abhi yeh 1.1188 ke price par trade kar raha hai, jo ke pichle din ke opening price se zyada hai. Upar ki tasveer se hum dekh sakte hain ke candle H4 time frame par MA 24 line ke upar hai, jabke stochastic indicator 5.3.3 abhi level 80 ki taraf barh raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke EUR/USD currency pair is haftay buyers ke control mein hai.

Fundamentals ke hawale se, shayad is haftay ke shuruat mein koi zyada high impact news release nahi hui, isliye hum technical analysis par focus kar sakte hain. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj ke trading ke liye EUR/USD currency pair ke bullish trend ko continue karne ke ummeed hai, aur hum is pair par buy action karne ke mauqe dekh sakte hain, lekin hamesha mm ko sahi tarah se implement karna zaroori hai taake account ki resilience mazboot aur acha bani rahe aur hume forex market se maximum profit hasil ho.

Aaj ke liye meri trading plan yeh hai ke main buy action ke mauqe talash karunga, yani buy limit order ko 1.1150 par place karunga, profit target 1.1180 par rakhunga aur stoploss 1.1120 par place karunga. Lot volume ko hum trading account ke resistance ke mutabiq adjust kar sakte hain. Yeh trading journal update hai jo main aaj subah aapko de sakta hoon. Umeed hai yeh madadgar sabit hogi aur doosre doston ke liye samajhna aasan hoga, aur yeh reference ke tor par bhi kaam aa sakti hai market mein entry determine karne ke liye.