𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

**EURUSD Jodi Ki Takniki Tahlil:**

**Rozana Chart:**

**Ghantay Ki Tanazuli:**
Ghantay ke waqt frame mein, qeemat 1.0785 se 1.0860 tak ke range mein mehdood rehti hai. Is liye, main juma se oopar ki hadd tak barhne ka imkan hai, jo ke baad mein ek channel ke andar girawat ka imkan hai. Main mazeed neechay rawani ki taraf tawaqqa rakhta hoon, 1.0700 ke support level ki taraf. Magar agar qeemat apne aap ko 1.0800 ke resistance level ke oopar qayam kar sakti hai, to main 1.0870 tak ke muqami resistance level tak agle ki taraf agahi ka imkan samajhta hoon.

**H4 Time Frame:**
H4 waqt frame mein, ek ahem oopri trend hai. Overall jazba bullish hai, aur support line achhi tarah se barkarar rahi hai. Is natije mein, main 1.0865 ke darje ko juma tak barhne ka intezar karta hoon. Agar bulls apni dominance ko barqarar nahi rakh sakte, to agla qadam 1.0745 ki taraf girne ka imkan hai. Halankeh kharidaron ko aik mazboot oopri trend shuru karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, magar unke asbaab zaheen lagte hain. Mazeed is waqt ki qeemat ke oopri do qareebi rukawaten bhi 1.0735 tak pohanchne ke imkan ko uljha deti hain. Magar agar EUR/USD 70-period smoothed moving average aur 100-period exponential moving average ke neeche gir jata hai, to agle chand ghanton mein EUR/USD ka girne ka imkan hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to aap EUR/USD par scalping bechnay ka trade ka intezar kar sakte hain, apna maqsad munafa last Friday ke low par set karke.

**Daily Chart:**

**Rozana Graph:**
Rozana graph mein, maine is currency pair ke liye ek lamba shumali rawani ka tajziyah kiya, 1.0768 tak pohanch kar resistance line ko chuna, phir junubi ki taraf rukh karne se pehle. Magar, bullish candles bohot chhoti thin, aur maqsood tak nahi pohanch saki. Budh ke din se, 1.0690 tak ka rukh pehle ke low ko naye karne ka imkan hai. Alligator indicator ne pehle aik khareed ki alamat di, magar uski linein session ke ikhtitam tak uljha gayi, jis ne uski gawahi ko ghair mustanad bana diya.

EUR/USD currency pair, jo ab 1.0801 par trade ho rahi hai, bearish trend ka muzahir kar rahi hai. Yeh downtrend dheere dheere se girawat ke sath hai, tez giravat ke bajaye qayam girne ki sifat mein hai. Magar, kai factors yeh ishara dete hain ke EUR/USD qareebi mustaqbil mein ahem harkatien dekh sakta hai. Yeh factors upcoming economic data releases, central bank policies, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment shifts ko shamil karte hain.

### Economic Data Releases

Economic data releases aksar currency movements ke catalyst hote hain. EUR/USD pair ke liye, Eurozone aur United States se data ahem hai. Ahem upcoming reports mein U.S. non-farm payrolls, consumer price index (CPI) data, aur Eurozone inflation aur GDP figures shamil hain. Mazboot U.S. economic data, jo ke mazboot economy ki alamat hain, USD ko mazboot kar sakte hain, jo EUR/USD ko mazeed neeche dabha sakte hain. Mukhalifat mein, agar U.S. mein koi economic weakness ka pata chale ya Eurozone data mukhtalif se zyada mazboot ho, to Euro ko support mil sakta hai, mojooda trend ko palat sakte hain.

### Central Bank Policies

Central bank policies, khaaskar Federal Reserve (Fed) aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki, EUR/USD exchange rate mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Fed ki interest rates aur monetary policy ka stand ahem factor hai. Agar Fed zyada aggressive rate hikes ki alamat de ke inflation ka mukabla karna shuru karta hai, to USD mazboot ho sakta hai, jo EUR/USD ke bearish trend ko mazeed bharta hai. Dusri taraf, agar ECB ziada hawkish stance adopt karta hai, ya tight monetary policy ya rate hikes ki alamat deta hai, to Euro mazboot ho sakta hai. Filhal, market participants dono central banks ki rhetoric mein kisi bhi shift ke liye nazar rakhte hain, jo currency movements ko trigger kar sakta hai.

### Geopolitical Developments

Geopolitical events forex market mein volatility peda karte hain. EUR/USD pair khaaskar Eurozone aur U.S. ke developments par nazuk hai. Masail jaise ke siyasi behtarhalat, trade tensions, ya ghair mutawaqqa geopolitical conflicts market sentiment mein foran tabdiliyan la sakte hain. Misal ke tor par, kisi bhi major Eurozone countries mein geopolitical tensions ki barhne ki surat mein Euro ko daba sakte hain, jabke aise masail ka hal Euro ko support de sakta hai. Isi tarah, U.S. foreign policy decisions aur unke global repercussions USD par asar dal sakte hain, jo EUR/USD pair ko influence karte hain.

### Market Sentiment aur Risk Appetite

Market sentiment aur risk appetite currency movements ke liye ahem drivers hain. Tazeem e khatra mein waqtan-fa-waqt investors aam tor par safe-haven currencies jaise ke USD ki taraf rawana hotay hain, jo EUR/USD par neeche dabaav daal sakta hai. Mukhalifat mein, behtar risk sentiment aur ziada munafa ki talash Euro ko mazboot kar sakta hai. Mojooda market sentiment ko global economic recovery, pandemic developments, aur overall financial market stability jaise factors asar dalte hain. In areas mein kisi bhi tabdiliyon ke sath, EUR/USD pair mein numainda harkatien ho sakti hain.

### Technical Analysis

Technical perspective se, EUR/USD ke mojooda bearish trend ko mukhtalif indicators aur chart patterns ke zariye analyze kiya ja sakta hai. Ahem support aur resistance levels, moving averages, aur momentum indicators potential future movements ke baray mein insight dete hain. Agar pair ahem support levels ke neeche gir jata hai, to bearish trend mazeed bharta hai. Mukhalifat mein, ek reversal pattern ya resistance levels ke breakout ek potential trend reversal ki alamat ho sakta hai.

### Conclusion

Jabke EUR/USD ab 1.0801 par bearish trend mein hai, kai factors suggest karte hain ke qareebi mustaqbil mein ahem harkatien ho sakti hain. Aane wale economic data releases, central bank policy decisions, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment ke shifts sab ahem factors hain jo dekhe jana chahiye. Traders aur investors ko maaloom rakhna chahiye aur potential volatility ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Technical analysis bhi potential future movements ke baray mein qeemati insights faraham kar sakta hai, jo market participants ko informed trading decisions lene mein madad karta hai. Forex market ki dynamic tabiyat ke liye, adaptable aur chaukanna rehna aham hai taake qareebi dino mein EUR/USD pair mein bari harkatien navigational mein asani ho.

EURUSD pair ki daily chart par technical analysis karte hue,

hum dekhte hain ke trading ke doran Juma ko pair ki keemat gir gayi aur chadte hue laal channel ko toota. Is mahine ke doran, keemat ne price channels ke andar trading shuru ki hai ek upward trend ke saath jo pichle do mahine ke price movement ko darust karti hai. Is mahine ke pehle trading din ne pair ke upward trend ko support kiya, jab keemat ko mahinaawi pivot level aur neeche ke laal channel ki line se support mila, aur jab keemat mahinaawi resistance level 1.0945 tak pahunchi, to keemat ne neeche jhuk kar ek taiz US dollar ke uthaao aur euro ki majboot giravat ka asar pada. Jaisa ke chart par dekha jaa sakta hai. Isliye, ek naye trading haftay ke shuru hone ke baad, aur is taiz candle ke baad, pehli ghanton mein keemat ka rawaya dekha jaana chahiye trading mein dakhil hone se pehle, aur ye keemat ke liye movement ke mumkin tareeqay hain. Jumeraat ko keemat ka band ho jaana mahinaawi pivot level ke upar aisa ho sakta hai ke keemat ko support mile aur wo phir se ooncha jaaye, ya tootay hue channel ko dobaara test karne ke liye ya upward trend mein waapas jaane ke liye. Is surat mein, karobar karne se pehle trader ko ek bullish price action formation ka 4-hour chart ka intezar kar sakte hain jo mahinaawi pivot level 1.0797 ke saath hai. Jahan aap khareed sakte hain aur stop loss level ko mahinaawi pivot level ke neeche set kar sakte hain. Is haftay ke bechne ke mauqay do darjazon par maujood hain. Pehla mauqa yeh hai jab keemat laal channel ki line tak oonchti hai aur neeche jhukti hai. Iska matlab hai pair ke downward trend ka jari rakhna tootay hue channel ko dobaara test karne ke baad, aur ye agle haftay mein bechne ka acha maqam hoga. Doosra maqam bechnay ka hai jab keemat mahinaawi pivot level ke neeche gir jaati hai aur 4 trading ghanton tak uske neeche qaim ho jaati hai.

ab ko salam, aaj hafte hai aur kal hum ne kuch fundamental khabron ke baad bohot zyada taizi se movement dekha, aur aaj main EUR USD par nazar dal raha hoon aur EUR/USD ke mazeed movement ke bare mein baat karunga. EUR/USD pair ne apni kamzor girawat jari rakhi aur 61.8% (1.0837) ke correction level ke neeche mazboot ho gaya. Lekin, girawat lambi waqt tak nahi rahi, aur Thursday ko, pair ne euro ke favor mein palat gaya, is level ke upar mazboot ho gaya. Is tarah, umeed hai ke upar ki taraf ki raftar 76.4% Fibonacci level tak jaari rahegi jo 1.0892 hai, aur chadhata hua trend channel aaj bhi trader ke jazbat ko "bullish" batata hai. Is tarah, "bullish" trend ka aghaaz hua hai, jismein bullish traders lagbhag roz hamla kar rahe hain. Main is trend ko kaafi ghair mustaqil samajhta hoon aur manta hoon ke yeh sirf thori dair tak jari rahega. Lekin, quotes ki umeed wali raftar ek mahine tak jaari rahi hai, aur bear log pair ko channel ke nichle line tak bhi nahi ghaseet sake. Is liye, "bullish" trend khatam hone ki koi nishaani nahi hai. Thursday ka maaloomati background bullish traders ko naye hamle ki aaghaz karne ki ijaazat di. Germany aur Eurozone ke services aur manufacturing sectors ke business activity indices traders ke expectations se behtar the, jo euro mein naye uthao ka silsila shuru kiya. Main sab figures ka zikar nahi karunga, kyun ke unka asal maqsad ek hi hai - data forecasts se zyada positive tha. Lekin, overall trader activity bohot kam hai. Ye lagbhag har chart par dekha ja sakta hai, jo dikhata hai ke zyadatar traders agle kadam par kya karna chahte hain yeh woh sahi nahi jaante. Na Lagarde ki taqreerain na economic data isay wazeh karne mein madad kar rahi hai. Bears market se bilkul ghayab nazar aate hain, jabke bulls sirf jab hamla karne ke kisi wajah hai. Aur roz koi wajah nahi hoti. 4 ghante ke chart par, pair "wedge" pattern ke upar mazboot ho gaya aur 50.0% Fibonacci level par 1.0862 tak chadha. Euro ki aakhri segment ki chadhavat kuch mushkil dikh rahi hai, is liye main is ke jaari rehne par yaqeen nahi rakhta. Lekin, girawat ka intezaar karte hain, jiski abhi mojudgi nahi hai. Aaj koi qareebi ikhtilaaf nahi dekha gaya hai, RSI indicator ke overbought hone ke siwa.

ab ko salam, aaj hafte hai aur kal hum ne kuch fundamental khabron ke baad bohot zyada taizi se movement dekha, aur aaj main EUR USD par nazar dal raha hoon aur EUR/USD ke mazeed movement ke bare mein baat karunga. EUR/USD pair ne apni kamzor girawat jari rakhi aur 61.8% (1.0837) ke correction level ke neeche mazboot ho gaya. Lekin, girawat lambi waqt tak nahi rahi, aur Thursday ko, pair ne euro ke favor mein palat gaya, is level ke upar mazboot ho gaya. Is tarah, umeed hai ke upar ki taraf ki raftar 76.4% Fibonacci level tak jaari rahegi jo 1.0892 hai, aur chadhata hua trend channel aaj bhi trader ke jazbat ko "bullish" batata hai. Is tarah, "bullish" trend ka aghaaz hua hai, jismein bullish traders lagbhag roz hamla kar rahe hain. Main is trend ko kaafi ghair mustaqil samajhta hoon aur manta hoon ke yeh sirf thori dair tak jari rahega. Lekin, quotes ki umeed wali raftar ek mahine tak jaari rahi hai, aur bear log pair ko channel ke nichle line tak bhi nahi ghaseet sake. Is liye, "bullish" trend khatam hone ki koi nishaani nahi hai. Thursday ka maaloomati background bullish traders ko naye hamle ki aaghaz karne ki ijaazat di. Germany aur Eurozone ke services aur manufacturing sectors ke business activity indices traders ke expectations se behtar the, jo euro mein naye uthao ka silsila shuru kiya. Main sab figures ka zikar nahi karunga, kyun ke unka asal maqsad ek hi hai - data forecasts se zyada positive tha. Lekin, overall trader activity bohot kam hai. Ye lagbhag har chart par dekha ja sakta hai, jo dikhata hai ke zyadatar traders agle kadam par kya karna chahte hain yeh woh sahi nahi jaante. Na Lagarde ki taqreerain na economic data isay wazeh karne mein madad kar rahi hai. Bears market se bilkul ghayab nazar aate hain, jabke bulls sirf jab hamla karne ke kisi wajah hai. Aur roz koi wajah nahi hoti. 4 ghante ke chart par, pair "wedge" pattern ke upar mazboot ho gaya aur 50.0% Fibonacci level par 1.0862 tak chadha. Euro ki aakhri segment ki chadhavat kuch mushkil dikh rahi hai, is liye main is ke jaari rehne par yaqeen nahi rakhta. Lekin, girawat ka intezaar karte hain, jiski abhi mojudgi nahi hai. Aaj koi qareebi ikhtilaaf nahi dekha gaya hai, RSI indicator ke overbought hone ke siwa.

red bodies wali candles ke formation se characterize hua. Yeh ek bearish pattern create karta hai, jo "Bearish Engulfing" kehlata hai, khas tor par Fibonacci level 23.45 (1.0763) ke paas, jo downward movement 1.0895 se start hua tha. Yeh pattern potential shift in sentiment signal karta hai, jahan sellers consolidation period ke baad momentum gain kar rahe hain. Yeh pattern ke similarity dono pairs ke beech broader market factors ke zariye driven dynamics ko highlight karti hai. Nearest Selling Target


EUR/USD pair ka nearest selling target approximately 1.0610-1.0621 ke level ke around hai, jo April 22, 2024 ke minimum ke sath align karta hai. Yeh area ek critical support zone represent karta hai, aur agar yeh level break hota hai, toh yeh downward trend ke continuation ko signal kar sakta hai. Sustained breakthrough below this level traders ke liye lower targets unveil kar sakta hai, jaise ke next major support levels 1.0510 aur 1.0420 par. Abhi EUR/USD price 100 exponential moving average ke neeche hai. Strong resistance level 1.0709 par hai.
Caution with Upcoming Data


Yeh highlight karna zaroori hai ke aaj US Federal Reserve ke interest rate ke hawale se crucial data release hone wala hai. Is period ke dauran anticipated increased volatility ke madde nazar, traders ko caution exercise karna chahiye aur shayad trading se refrain karna chahiye to mitigate risks associated with potentially erratic market movements. Fed ka policy stance EUR/USD aur GBP/USD pairs ke liye significant implications rakh sakta hai, aur koi bhi surprises sharp price movements ko fuel kar sakte hain. Agar hum forex factory news dekhein, toh aaj bohot saari economic news hai.
Summary


EUR/USD ke 4H technical analysis ne bearish engulfing pattern aur critical support levels ko highlight kiya hai. Important economic data ke release ke madde nazar, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur technical indicators ke sath sath fundamental factors ko bhi monitor karna chahiye.

Technical analysis of the EUR/USD pair

Daily chart



Jumma ko trading ke doran, jodi ke keemat gir gayi aur barhti hue laal channel ko tor diya gaya. Iss mahine mein, keemat price channels ke andar trading shuru hoti hai jin mein aik upar ki taraf chalne wala trend shamil hai jo peechle do mahinon mein keemat ka bewaqoofi se nata. Iss mahine ke pehle trading din ne jodi ke upar ki taraf chalne wale trend ko support diya, jab keemat ko maheenaana pivot level aur nichli laal channel ki rekha se support mila, aur jab keemat maheenaana resistance level 1.0945 ki taraf pohnchti hai, to keemat neeche chali gayi, aur Jumma ko is ka asar US dollar par musbat tha, jis ne us ki mazboot izaafat aur euro ki mazboot girawat ka maddah ban gaya.

Jaise hum chart par dekhte hain. Isliye, ek naye trading haftay ki shuruaat par, aur is mazboot mombati ke baad, keemat ka rawayya pehle ghanton mein dekha jana chahiye trading mein dakhil hone se pehle, aur yeh keemat ke liye mumkinat hain ke kaise harkat karay gi. Jumma ko keemat ka maheenaana pivot level par band hona keemat ko support hasil kar sakta hai aur phir se upar chala jayega, ya to tori hue channel ko dobara test karne ya upar ki taraf lautne ka hissa banega. Is surat mein, trader 4 ghanton ka chart dekh kar maheenaana pivot level 1.0797 ke sath bullish price action formation ka intezar kar sakta hai. Jahan aap khareed sakte hain aur stop loss level maheenaana pivot level ke neeche set kar sakte hain.

Iss haftay ke bechnay ke mouqay do levels par dastiyab hain. Pehla ye hai jab keemat laal channel ki rekha tak pohnchti hai aur neeche ko bounce karti hai. Ye yeh is ka matlab hai ke jodi ka downward trend tori hue channel ko dobara test karne ke baad jari hai, aur yeh aglay haftay mein bechnay ka acha level hoga. Dusra level ye hai ke jab keemat maheenaana pivot level ke neeche gir jati hai aur chaar trading ghanton ke liye us ke neeche jam jaati hai.

Analysis and Forecast for EUR/USD Ab sirf wo log jo trend approaches ko achi tarah samajhte hain, EUR/USD mein khaas growth ki umeed kar rahe hain. Unka maanna hai ke agar kal growth hui thi, to agle din bhi ho sakti hai. Lekin hum sab jaante hain ke yeh baat hamesha sach nahi hoti. Weekend ke kareeb aate hue, mein higher timeframes par dekh raha hoon aur Eurodollar ki situation ko daily chart par assess kar raha hoon. Yeh maanne layak hai ke pair ka recent growth cycle impressive tha (jo euro ki mehnet se zyada, dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se tha jo market mein har jagah gir raha hai), lekin yeh growth filhaal ek corrective rollback ke daire mein aati hai aur decline kisi bhi waqt dobara shuru ho sakta hai, kam se kam Monday se. Technical AnalysisChart par hum dekhte hain ek strong resistance - zigzag ka top 1.0884 par, jo test kiya gaya lekin upar nahi jaa saka. Is benchmark ko test karne ke baad, ek serious decline bilkul logical aur justified lagta hai, shayad 1.07 ke middle tak - support ko test karne ke liye 1.0760 par. Lekin ek baat hai - Friday ki candle, jo range mein thi, wapas palat gayi aur confidently upside ki taraf push kiya, jo ek bullish reversal candlestick formation ban gaya. Aane Wale Dinon Ka ScenarioMujhe lagta hai ke current scenario ko dekhte hue, bullish movement agle hafte bhi continue karegi, aur price EUR/USD dailD M15 timeframe chart par resistance level 1.08724 ki taraf jaayegi, mere analysis ke mutabiq. Agar price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to mein further upside movement expect karunga. Is case mein, mein apna target adjust karunga towards the next resistance leve.tential ScenariosIn resistance levels ke paas, do scenarios unfold ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price in levels ke upar consolidate karti hai aur bullish trend continue karti hai. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, to mein price ko agle resistance level ki taraf barhte hue dekhunga. Is resistance level par, mein ek trading setup expect karunga jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Of course, mein yeh bhi maanta hoon ke price movement ke dauran specified higher target ki taraf, pullbacks ho sakte hain, jinhe mein trading opportunities ke liye use karne ka plan banaya hai.

EUR/USD ne apna 1.0812 support zone tak pohanch gaya, jo forex market me trading karne wale buyers ke liye ek khatarnaak signal ho sakta hai. Forex market me support zone wo level hota hai jahan currency pair ki price gir kar rukne ki sambhavana hoti hai aur wapas upar ki taraf jaane lagti hai. Agar support zone break ho jata hai to ye market me aur zyada girawat ka ishara hota hai. Support zone ka level 1.0812 par aane ka matlab hai ki euro ki demand kam ho gayi hai ya phir US dollar ki strength badh gayi hai. Yeh situation alag-alag factors ki wajah se ho sakti hai jaise economic data releases, central bank policies, geopolitical events, aur market sentiments. Recent developments jese ki European Central Bank (ECB) ka monetary policy stance, economic growth indicators, aur inflation rates ne euro ki performance par asar dala hai. Dusri taraf, US Federal Reserve ki policy decisions aur US economy ke performance indicators ne dollar ko mazboot banaya hai. Agar EUR/USD 1.0812 ke support level ko tod deta hai to buyers ke liye risk badh jata hai. Iska matlab hoga ki downward trend zyada strong ho gaya hai aur euro ki value aur kam ho sakti hai. Traders is support level par buying positions lekar anticipate karte hain ki price wapas upar ki taraf jayegi. Lekin agar yeh support level break hota hai to yeh positions loss me convert ho sakti hain. Is support zone ke break hone ka ek dusra impact psychological aspect bhi hota hai. Market participants ke sentiments negatively affect hote hain jab important support levels break hote hain. Yeh fear aur panic ko janam de sakta hai, jo aur zyada selling pressure create karta hai. Risk management strategies implement karna buyers ke liye zaroori ho jata hai. Stop-loss orders set karna, position size kam karna, aur proper risk-reward ratio maintain karna kuch aise steps hain jo losses ko limit karne me madad karte hain. Technical analysis tools ka use karte hue traders support aur resistance levels ko monitor kar sakte hain aur price action indicators ke basis par apni trading strategies ko adjust kar sakte hain. Fundamental analysis bhi zaroori hai jisse macroeconomic factors ko samajh kar informed decisions liye ja sakte hain. Economic indicators jaise GDP growth rate, unemployment rate, inflation rate aur central bank policies ko closely monitor karna important hota hai. In conclusion, EUR/USD ka 1.0812 support zone tak pohanchna buyers ke liye ek alerting sign hai. Market me girawat ka risk badh jata hai aur proper risk management aur analysis tools ka use karke hi traders apni positions ko protect kar sakte hain. Forex trading me informed decisions aur disciplined approach zaroori hoti hai, taaki volatile market conditions ka samna kiya ja sake.

EURUSD Tadbeer: Daily aur Weekly Samaye Ke Frames Par Bearish Outlook

EURUSD ke daily time frame chart par, ek mazboot trend line ka zahir trend hai, jisme har bar currency ne line ko choone par girawat ka samna kiya hai. Haal hi mein, EURUSD ne trend line ko chhua aur tajziya gahri giravat ke sath guzri, jo ek mazboot pin bar candle ko janam diya. Pichle haftay mein bhi, currency ne 26 EMA line tak pohanch kar aik upri movement dikhaya tha lekin tab se range-bound trading zone mein dakhil ho gaya hai. Haftawar waqt frame chart par bhi, EURUSD ne teis hafte pehle aik taqatwar bearish engulfing candle dikhaya, jo bearish trend ki nishani thi. Overall, dono frames par tadbeer bearish outlook ko darust karti hai. Traders ko support aur resistance levels ko monitor karne aur trend lines ko dekhne ka mashwara diya jaata hai ta ke unke trades ke liye potentialial entry aur exit points ka andaza ho sake.



Cheez yeh hai ke bechnay ke liye, aap ko ab bhi support level ke neeche trading karna hoga, jo 1.0750 par hai, kyunki EMA200 aur EMA50 is level par 4 ghanton ke chart par maujood hain. Yeh yaad rakhna bhi zaroori hai ke agar yeh moving averages "Golden Cross" pattern banate hain to ek kharidne ka signal utpann ho sakta hai. Bilkul, mujhe yeh dekhna pasand nahi hai, kyunki yeh bilkul bechna hai, aur haalaanki bechnay abhi thode se upar is level par hain, ve peer se atak gaye hain se itwar, aur ek option hai ke main ne deals ko rok diya, lekin main ab bhi intezar kar raha hoon ke peer se neeche jaaye.



Bunyadi tor par, pehla signal 1.0770 ke support ka toot jaana hoga, aur aaj EUR/USD ne poore din is level ke upar trade kiya, trading range mein 1.0790 aur 1.0770 ke darmiyan. Bechne ka rad hona jab trading 1.0790 ke upar jaata hai, phir bhi main wahan zyada izaafat ka intezar nahi karta, haalaanki main ghalat ho sakta hoon. Lekin yehaan par ek double top ya ek chhota shakal mein ek descending triangle ke form hone ka bahut bada mauqa hai.

Jodi aise hi phir rassi par mandli mandli chalti hai, aur mujhe umeed hai ke agle haftay bhi yeh jodi upar aur neeche jaayegi. Aaj maine kuch apni nichli bechne band kar diye aur sirf ooper ke chhode. Abhi tak koi kharidari nahi hai. Agar jodi neeche ke targets tak jaati hai, to main wahan se kharidari kholunga. Main apni bechnay ko bhi aur neeche tak rakhoonga, mukhya target par 1.0730 aur doosre target par 1.0710. Mujhe pata nahi ke jodi kaise neeche jaayegi, lekin 1.0590 ki nishaan jodi par hai aur yeh gayab nahi hua hai, isliye main intezaar kar raha hoon ke yeh aur neeche jaaye.



Aur agar jodi gira nahi, lekin phir se upar uchhal jaaye, to main bechnay ko jari rakhoonga jab tak woh upar jaati rahegi. EURUSD ke liye, haalat, pound ki tarah, bejun hai, aur hamare paas bhi 1.0780 ke area mein H1 time par tight flat hai. Aur bejun hone ka ishaara price fixation Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke andar hai. Lekin main dekh raha hoon ke daam 1.0780 ke upar bhi nahi jaata hai, yaani ke 8th figure par wapas jane ka koi iraada nahi hai, isliye 1.0780 ke level par vapas aane ka zyada mauka hai aur agar aapko bearish engulfing ke sath ek rebound milta hai, to aap 1.0723 tak bechne mein ja sakte hain, yeh maqsat itna door nahi hai, isliye Amriki log is price ko is support ke taraf dhakel sakte hain, aur agar hum iska tootne ka dekhte hain, to hum phir se 6th figure par nazar daal sakte hain.

Iss waqt, EUR/USD pair ek specific price level par trade kar raha hai jahan key technical indicators mumkinah future movements ke bare mein insight dete hain. EUR/USD ka immediate resistance level 1.0750 ke aas paas dekha jaa raha hai, jahan pair ko selling pressure ka samna hai. Support level 1.0650 ke kareeb identify kiya gaya hai, ek zone jo historically buying interest provide karta hai aur ziada girawat ko roknay mein madadgar hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) is waqt 50 mark ke kareeb hai, jo ek neutral stance indicate karta hai bina overbought ya oversold conditions ke. Zigzag indicator, jo market trends ko identify karne mein madad karta hai, higher highs aur higher lows ki series dikha raha hai, jo ek ongoing uptrend ka ishara hai. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 50 aur 200 periods par bhi closely watch ki ja rahi hai; aik recent golden cross, jahan 50 EMA 200 EMA ke upar cross karti hai, bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Iske ilawa, Bollinger Bands tighten ho rahi hain, jo volatility mein kami aur ek breakout ke potential ko reflect kar rahi hain. Demand Index, jo buying aur selling ke pressure ko measure karta hai, is nazar ko support karta hai kyunke ye is waqt ek uptick dikha raha hai, jo increasing buying interest ko imply karta hai. Stochastic Oscillator overbought territory ke kareeb hai, jo suggest karta hai ke pair ko jald hi selling pressure ka samna ho sakta hai. Average True Range (ATR), jo market ki volatility ke bare mein insight deta hai, moderate level ki volatility dikhata hai, na zyada high aur na zyada low, jo stable market conditions ko indicate karta hai. Kul mila kar, in indicators ka combination suggest karta hai ke jabke EUR/USD ek bullish phase mein hai, traders ko potential resistance 1.0750 ke kareeb dekhna chahiye aur RSI aur Stochastic Oscillator ko overbought conditions ke signs ke liye monitor karna chahiye.

Pichlay teen dino mein EUR/USD pair mein dekhi gayi stability aik upward trajectory ki imkan ko mazid mazboot karti hai. Ye stability ka period aik consolidation phase ko suggest karta hai, jahan market recent gains ko absorb kar raha hai aur aglay move ki tayari kar raha hai. Aage dekhtay hue, market participants apna focus 1.0790 level par shift kar rahe hain, jo aik critical monthly resistance point ke tor par identify kiya gaya hai. Ye level technical analysis mein significant importance rakhta hai aur future price action ke liye aik pivotal marker ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair apni upward momentum ko qaim rakh sakta hai aur 1.0790 resistance level ko successfully breach kar leta hai, to ye bullish trend ke mazid mazboot hone ka signal hoga. Is level ke upar breakout additional buying interest ko attract karega, kyunke traders isay uptrend ki confirmation ke tor par interpret karenge. Ek significant resistance point ka breach aksar increased volatility aur trading activity mein surge ko lead karta hai, jab market participants apni positions ko naye market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karte hain. 1.0790 level ki significance uski historical context se underscore hoti hai. Resistance levels ko aksar previous price action ke basis par identify kiya jata hai, jahan market baar baar higher move karne mein fail hota hai. Aise levels traders ke liye psychologically important ho jate hain, kyunke ye price advancement ke potential barriers ko represent karte hain. In levels ka breach market sentiment ko badal sakta hai, buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan power balance ko shift kar sakta hai. Technical factors ke ilawa, traders fundamental influences ko bhi consider karenge jo EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events sab crucial roles play karte hain market sentiment ko shape karne mein. Misal ke tor par, Eurozone se positive economic data ya Federal Reserve se dovish signals euro ko dollar ke against bolster kar sakte hain, 1.0790 level ki taraf aur uske baad upward movement ko support karte hue.

Assalam-o-Alaikum dosto! Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ka tajziya karenge. Forex market mein EUR/USD ek aham pair hai aur is waqt zyada sellers nazar aa rahe hain.

Market Situation
EUR/USD currency pair market mein abhi zyada sellers hain aur kam buyers. Iska matlab yeh hai ke upward movement ka potential hai, khas tor par 1.0848 level par sellers ki concentration ke bawajood.

Trading Strategy
Meri trading strategy yeh hai ke main 1.0845 par buy position open karunga, jahan pehle profit target 1.0967 hoga aur stop loss 1.0815 par set kiya jayega. Agar price 1.0810 se neeche close hoti hai toh hum alternative scenarios consider karenge. Halaanke recent buyers ka dominance dekha gaya hai, lekin downward trend jaldi develop ho sakta hai.

Wave Structure
Overall wave structure iss older period mein downward hai. Recent break descending trend line ke above growth ko trap dikhata hai, jisse kayi positions upwards open ho sakti hain. MACD indicator upper zone mein hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke potential pullback ho sakta hai broken line par, phir growth resume hogi.

Erratic Price Movements
Magar yeh reasoning flawed hai, kyunke prices ab rarely straightforward move karti hain; yeh ab erratically move karti hain. Kal ka attempt 1.0886 resistance level ko breach karne ka sharp decline ke saath mila, jo intense selling pressure ko dikhata hai. Halaanke yeh logical lagta tha ke price recent high ko surpass kare, magar aisa nahi hua.

Market Reaction
Bohat se traders ne yeh anticipate kiya hoga aur apne gains ko secure karne ki tayari ki hogi, lekin price maximum tak nahi pahunchi. Ab jo buyers apni positions close karne ke qareeb hain, woh likely hold karenge expecting another upward movement, jo ho sakti hai na ho, leading to downward pressure.

Broader Market Dynamics
Yeh scenario suggest karta hai ke jo apni buy positions hold kar rahe hain, woh realize nahi kar rahe ke trend shift ho gaya hai aur unhe apni positions close kar deni chahiye. Mujhe shak hai ke broader US dollar market dynamics EUR/USD pair ko neeche push karengi, kyunke dollar dusre instruments ke against strengthen hota nazar aa raha hai.

Monitoring Developments
Halaanke EUR/USD ke liye clear downside picture nahi hai, general market conditions indicate

تاجروں کو 1.0840 کی سطح کے ارد گرد قیمت کی حرکت کو قریب سے مانیٹر کرنا چاہئے۔ اگر قیمت اس سپورٹ سطح کا احترام کرتی ہے اور rsi مثبت علاقے میں رہتی ہے، تو یہ تیزی کی توقع کی تصدیق کرے گی۔ یہ منظرنامہ ظاہر کرتا ہے کہ خریدار ممکنہ طور پر اس سطح کے ارد گرد قدم رکھیں گے، جو قیمت کو مزید اوپر لے جانے کا سبب بن سکتا ہے۔ rsi کی مثبت زون میں موجودگی اس نقطہ نظر کو تقویت دیتی ہے، جس سے ظاہر ہوتا ہے کہ مارکیٹ کا جذبات اب بھی اوپر کی طرف حرکت کے حق میں ہے۔ تاہم، اگر قیمت 1.0840 کی سطح سے نیچے گرتی ہے، تو یہ سمت میں تبدیلی کی نشاندہی کرے گا۔ اس صورت میں، rsi ممکنہ طور پر نیچے کی طرف چلنا شروع کر دے گا، جو کہ مثبت زون سے باہر نکل جائے گا۔ یہ تبدیلی خریداری کی رفتار میں کمزوری اور فروخت کے دباؤ میں ممکنہ اضافے کا اشارہ دے گی۔ اگر یہ منظرنامہ پیش آتا ہے تو تاجروں کو فروخت کے مواقع کے لئے تیار رہنا چاہئے۔ 1.0840 سے نیچے گرنا اشارہ دے گا کہ سپورٹ ناکام ہو گئی ہے، اور ایک نیا نیچے کی طرف رجحان بن سکتا ہے۔
آج کی تجارتی حکمت عملی کے لحاظ سے، مارکیٹکی تجارتی حکمت عملی کے لحاظ سے، مارکیٹ کی تبدیلیوں کے لئے قابل تطبیق رہنا ضروری ہے۔ خبروں کے اعلانات کے اثرات کی وجہ سے، اتار چڑھاؤ کی توقع کی جا سکتی ہے۔ اگر قیمت 1.0840 سے اوپر رہتی ہے اور rsi مثبت رہتا ہے، تو لمبی پوزیشنوں کو ترجیح دی جا سکتی ہے، جس کا ہدف اعلیٰ مزاحمتی سطحوں کی طرف ہوگا۔ اس کے برعکس، اگر قیمت اس کلیدی سطح سے نیچے ٹوٹتی ہے اور rsi نیچے کی طرف جاتا ہے، تو کم پوزیشنوں پر غور کرنا عقلمندی ہو گی، جس کا ہدف نچلی سپورٹ سطحیں ہوں گی۔ eur/usd کے h1 چارٹ کے مطابق، آج ایک ممکنہ طور پر فعال تجارتی دن ہو سکتا ہے جس میں خبروں کے واقعات سے متاثرہ قیمتوں کی قابل ذکر حرکت ہو سکتی ہے۔ 1.0840 کی کلیدی سطح ایک اہم محور نقطہ کے طور پر کام کرتی ہے۔ rsi انڈیکیٹر فی الحال تیزی کے تعصب کی حمایت کرتا ہے، لیکن تاجروں کو کسی بھی واپسی کے اشاروں کے لئے چوکس رہنا چاہئے۔ اس سطح کے ارد گرد قیمت کی حرکت اور rsi کو قریب سے مانیٹر کر کے، تاجر باخبر فیصلے کر سکتے ہیں، یا تو اوپر کی طرف رجحان کے تسلسل یا ممکنہ نئے نیچے کی طرف حرکت کا فائدہ اٹھا سکتے ہیں۔ آج کی تجارتی نشست کو مؤثر طریقے سے نیویگیٹ کرنے میں مارکیٹ کی بدلتی ہوئی حالتوں کے مطابق ڈھالنے کی صلاحیت کلیدی ہوگی۔طور پر فعال تجارتی دن ہو سکتا ہے جس میں خبروں کے واقعات سے متاثرہ قیمتوں کی قابل ذکر حرکت ہو سکتی ہے۔ 1.0840 کی کلیدی سطح ایک اہم محور نقطہ کے طور پر کام کرتی ہے۔ rsi انڈیکیٹر فی الحال تیزی کے تعصب کی حمایت کرتا ہے، لیکن تاجروں کو کسی بھی واپسی کے اشاروں کے لئے چوکس رہنا چاہئے۔ اس سطح کے ارد گرد قیمت کی حرکت اور rsi کو قریب سے مانیٹر کر کے، تاجر باخبر فیصلے کر سکتے ہیں، یا تو اوپر کی طرف رجحان کے تسلسل یا ممکنہ نئے نیچے کی طرف حرکت کا فائدہ اٹھا سکتے ہیں۔ آج کی تجارتی نشست کو مؤثر طریقے سے نیویگیٹ کرنے میں مارکیٹ کی بدلتی ہوئی حالتوں کے مطابق ڈھالنے کی صلاحیت کلیدی ہوگی۔

EUR/USD Mutadid Hafte Tak Ke Nichlay Sat'h Par: Mukhtalif Anasir
EUR/USD currency pair hal hi mein mutadid hafton tak ke nichlay sat'h par aa gaya hai jo ma’ashi aur siyasi asraat ka nateeja hai. Yeh asraat US dollar ko mazboot aur Euro ko kamzor bana rahe hain. USD ki mazbooti ka aik aham sabab akhri US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report hai. Yeh report, jo ma’ash mein izafa shuda naukriyon ka pata chalati hai, hairan kun izafa dikhati hai. Yeh positive data is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke US job market mazboot hai, chahe ma’ashi slow down ka khauf kyun na ho. Mazboot NFP numbers ki wajah se, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke mutaliq ummedon mein tabdeeli hui hai. Investors ab kam yeh samajhte hain ke Fed jald hi interest rates kam karega. Zyada interest rates aam tor par ek currency ko investors ke liye zyada dilchaspi ka baais bana dete hain kyun ke yeh behter returns offer karte hain. Natija yeh hai ke USD ne Euro aur doosri badi currencies ke muqablay mein qeemat hasil ki hai.

Europe mein Siyasi Adam Yaqeeni
Europe mein, Euro siyasi adam yaqeeni ki wajah se dabao mein hai. Mukhtalif siyasi masail poore Europe mein instability paida kar rahe hain jo Euro ko asarandaaz karte hain. Misal ke taur par, EU ke andar budget policies, immigration aur European Union ki stability ke mutaliq jari debates ne countries mein ikhtilaf paida kiya hai. Ittilaati Adam yaqeeni Europe mein, jis ki wajah se mukhtalif siyasi masail paida hue hain, Euro par dabao daal rahe hain. Misal ke taur par, EU mein budget rules aur migrant crisis ko manage karne ke mutaliq debates ke natija mein member states mein ikhtilaf paida hua hai. Yeh asraat aur mazboot USD ke mil kar EUR/USD exchange rate mein significant girawat ka baais ban rahe hain. Investors jo safer aur high-yielding assets ki talash mein hain, unhone USD ka rukh kiya hai, jo EUR/USD pair ki girawat ko barhawa de raha hai. Yeh trend tab tak barqarar reh sakta hai jab tak yeh buniyadi asraat mojood hain. Fed ka interest rates par stance aur Europe mein siyasi developments EUR/USD exchange rate ke mustaqbil ka taayun karne mein crucial honge. Euro ab bhi US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hai, bazar mein kamzori dikhate hue. Is ke bawajood, do aham indicators buying activity mein izafa ka ishara de rahe hain.

Trading Strategy:
Chart ko dekh kar ye baat wazeh hoti hai ke market mein buying momentum barqarar hai. Magar, yeh momentum aksar tab reverse hota hai jab qeemat 34-period exponential moving average se barh jati hai. Yeh aik aham resistance level ko zahir karta hai jise traders ko qareebi taur par dekhna chahiye. Doosra aham pehlu jo dekhne layak hai woh Relative Strength Index (RSI) hai, jo ke aik maqbool momentum oscillator hai jo traders price movements ki strength ko dekhne ke liye istemal karte hain. Filhal, agar RSI 50.000 mark ki taraf retreat karna shuru kar de, toh yeh selling trend mein reversal ka signal de sakta hai. Aise surat mein, selling signals apni validity kho denge, jo market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka rasta khol sakta hai. Jab ke Euro ab bhi US dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor hai, traders ko qeemat ke movements, 34-period exponential moving average aur RSI ke rawaiye ke darmiyan ke interplay ko ghor se dekhna chahiye taake buying ya selling ke mauqe ko asan tariqe se navigate kar sakein.