𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Mazboot upward movement ke baad ab keemat ne neeche ki taraf correction ki koshish shuru ki hai. Pehle to keemat ne channels ke upar se safaltapurvak guzarna shuru kiya tha lekin phir wapas unhi ke andar trade karne lagi. Is hafte, keemat ne ek price triangle ke andar trade karna shuru kiya hai jo girte hue laal channel se bana hai, jo pichle haftay ki keemat ki movement ko darshata hai, aur ubharte hue neelay channel se hai, jo do pichle hafto ki movement ko darshata hai.

Keemat ne triangle ke neeche ki line se mazboot support hasil kiya aur upar ki line se mukhtalif resistance ka samna kiya jab tak ke wo triangle ke bahar upar ki taraf safaltapurvak guzar na gayi aur hafte ke pivot level ke upar chali gayi. Iske baad wo neelay channel ki line aur hafte ke resistance level 1.0720 ke upar bhi chadh gayi, in levels ko todkar aur unke upar bandh karke. Lekin ab keemat gir chuki hai aur ab wo resistance level ke neeche settle ho gayi hai, jo 1.0745 tak girne aur fir se chadhne ki sambhavna darshata hai. Ye support aur resistance levels hamare tajziyati nazar mein ahem hain aur aapke trading decisions mein inko madde nazar rakhna chahiye.

Aaj keemat ne channels ke beech ek price triangle ke andar trade karna shuru kiya tha lekin jaldi hi upar ki taraf badh gayi, channels aur pivot indicator ke resistance levels ko todkar. Ab keemat teesre resistance level 1.0780 ke upar stable ho gayi hai, jo abhi tak neeche ki correction ko poora hone se rok raha hai. Hum safed rectangle par tawajjo de sakte hain: agar iske upar se guzar jaye to ye ek aur chadhao ki nishani hai, jabke agar iske neeche se guzar jaye to ye aur correction ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Apne trading decisions ke liye 4-hour chart par bharosa rakhna zaroori hai. Agar keemat 1.0790 level tak girte hai to is waqt kharidari ki soch sakte hain aur keemat ka uthna dekhte hain taaki ek price bottom bane. 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, yeh strateegi aapke trading actions ke liye ek saaf disha pradan kar sakti hai.

EURUSD

Crowd sentiment ke hisaab se, kal ke hangame ke baad umeed thi ke raat bhar kuch dilchasp hoga, magar afsos ke sab soye hue the aur pehle pair ke move hone ka intezar kar rahe the. Natija yeh hua ke 1-hour chart par kisi bhi taraf koi tabdeeli nahi hui. Yeh dekhte hue ke support aur resistance levels ki taraf move karne ke liye jagah hai aur short aur long positions ke darmiyan sirf 1k ka farq hai, zyadah flat scenario ki umeed hai.

Futures market mein bhi haalaat milte julte hain. Haan, hum dheere dheere gir rahe hain, lekin asal mein hum pichhle haftay se 4.6% profitability level par khade hain, jo ke 1.07 ke aas paas sideways movement ko zahir karta hai.

Technical perspective se dekhein to north ke liye ek important level Daily chart par 1.0730 hai. Agar din ka inteha iss level se upar hota hai, to mazeed upside movement mumkin hai, halan ke agar hum 4-hour chart ko dekhein to yeh mumkin nahi lagta.

Aam tor par, filhaal humare paas ek flat market hai. Is waqt hum north ki taraf push kar rahe hain, jiska potential target area 1.0750...60 ke aas paas hai, lekin pehle humein 1.0730 ko paar karna hoga. Jaise ke hamesha, downside region 1.0680...90 ke aas paas supported hai. Filhaal trading ka yeh sab kuch hai.
Overall, 100 SMA abhi 200 SMA ke oopar cross hua hai, jo confirm karta hai ke rally strengthened hai na ke falling. Moving averages bhi triangle ke broken tip ke saath aligned hain, jo support ko mazid taqat deta hai. Magar, Stochastic Oscillator overbought region se neechay move kar raha hai, jo buyer fatigue aur possible selling pressure return ko dikhata hai. Oscillator ke paas abhi bhi neechay move karne ki kafi gunjaish hai seller fatigue reflect karne se pehle. Dusri taraf, RSI ke paas abhi bhi upar move karne ki gunjaish hai overbought region tak pohanchne se pehle, jo buyer fatigue ko dikhata hai aur rally ko jaari rehne ka ishara deta hai.

EUR/USD Analysis

EUR/USD pair ko analyse karte hue, yeh zara evident hai ke ek downward trend chal raha hai. Magar agar hum four-hour (H4) timeframe par closely dekhain, to ek interesting dynamic samne aata hai: downward pressure ke bawajood, yeh pair repeatedly 1.0760 ke crucial support zone se neechay trading sustain nahi kar paya. Yeh persistent struggle yeh indicate karti hai ke market mein ek latent bullish sentiment hai, jo recent market movements ke madde nazar ek impending reversal ke potential ko suggest karta hai. Khaaskar Friday ko USD index mein positive shift ko dekhte hue, yeh reasonable hai ke near future mein USD ki strength ke resurgence ki anticipation ki jaye. Aisi scenario mein EUR/USD pair par downward pressure exert hota hai. Yeh possible hai ke pair daily basis par 1.0700 mark ki taraf retreat kare.



Hourly chart par linear regression channel north ki taraf face kar raha hai. M15 channel bhi isi direction mein directed hai. Dono channels ki movement without disagreement is instrument par upward movement ko highlight karti hai. Abhi shopping mere liye important hai. Channel ke bottom ke qareeb, jo ke level 1.07059 par hai, main ek entry point consider kar raha hoon. Mera andaza hai ke market 1.07989 tak grow karega - yeh channel ki upper limit hai, jahan market braking hogi. Agar market upper border of channel ke qareeb zyada der tak stay karti hai, to most likely humein expect karna chahiye ke fall lower part of channel tak hoga. Main neechay movement ko pass kar raha hoon baghair sales mein jaaye. Selling ka matlab hota hai trend ke against jana, aur agar rollback nahi hota, to growth continue hoti hai. Is liye, main pullback se market mein entry ka method use karta hoon. Mera khayal hai yeh method ek strong player ke sath mil kar implement hoga jo bears ko break karte hue grow karega. Is case mein top walking ke chances bahut barh jaate hain.





4o

EUR/USD karansi pair jo ke is waqt 1.0739 par trade ho rahi hai, ek noticeable bearish trend ka samna kar rahi hai. Is value mein girawat ka sabab macroeconomic factors, geopolitical events, aur market sentiments ka asar hai jo euro aur US dollar dono ko affect karte hain.

Kayi macroeconomic indicators EUR/USD pair ki trajectory ko shape karne mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Maslan, Eurozone ka economic performance United States ke muqable mein kuch kamzor raha hai. Recent data se pata chala hai ke growth rates slower-than-expected hain, aur kuch Eurozone countries mein inflation bhi barh raha hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne monetary policy ke hawale se ek cautious stance rakha hai, aur rate hikes ko gradual rakha hai, jabke Federal Reserve ne zyada aggressive approach apnayi hai. Fed ki interest rate hikes ka silsila inflation ko control karne ke liye hai, jo ke US dollar ko mazboot banata hai aur is tarah EUR/USD pair par downward pressure dalta hai.

Geopolitical events bhi currency markets par aham asar dalte hain. Ukraine mein jaari conflict ne Europe par bari economic repercussions chhodi hain. Eurozone ki is conflict ke nazdeeki aur Russian energy supplies par heavy reliance ne economic uncertainties aur disruptions ko janam diya hai. Energy prices barh gayi hain, jo inflation ko contribute kar rahi hain aur economic recovery efforts ko slow down kar rahi hain. Iske muqable mein United States, jabke global economic shifts se asarandaz hota hai, lekin is conflict se itna direct economic impact nahi dekha gaya. Yeh relative stability US dollar ko euro ke muqable mein mazboot banata hai.

Iske ilawa, Eurozone aur United States ke darmiyan trade dynamics bhi currency pair ko impact karte hain. Trade tensions, tariffs mein tabdeeliyan, aur shifting trade policies exchange rate ko fluctuate kar sakti hain. Filhal, US ne aisi policies pursue ki hain jo domestic production aur exports ko favor karte hain, jo ke dollar ko mazboot banata hai. Dusri taraf, Eurozone ki trade policies Brexit aur doosre internal market challenges se affected hain, jo euro ki weakness ko barhati hain.



Summary mein, EUR/USD karansi pair ki bearish trend, jo ke is waqt 1.0739 par trade ho rahi hai, ko macroeconomic factors, geopolitical events, aur market sentiments ka mila jula asar hai. Eurozone aur United States ka economic performance aur monetary policies, geopolitical tensions jese ke Ukraine mein conflict, aur market perceptions mein tabdeeliyan yeh sab current exchange rate ko shape karte hain. Jaise jaise yeh factors evolve karenge, yeh EUR/USD pair ki future trajectory ko influence karte rahenge.

Euro/dollar karansi pair ne Wednesday ko tisra consecutive loss experience kiya, jab market sentiment EU parliamentary elections ke baad negative ho gaya. Elections ne European voters mein center-right aur far-right parties ki taraf ek significant shift reveal kiya, jabke left-leaning political groups ko substantial setbacks ka samna karna para. Yeh shift EU citizens ki economic instability aur established European ruling parties ki policies se growing dissatisfaction ko reflect karta hai.

Federal Reserve aur ECB Rate Decisions par Focus:

Ab tawajjo Federal Reserve ke upcoming rate decision aur Monetary Policy Statement par hai. Investors khas taur par Fed ke dot plot mein updates mein interested hain, khaaskar jabke interest rate expectations 2024 ke liye steadily downgraded ho rahi hain. Yeh concern barh raha hai ke Fed apne projections ko revise kar ke aane wale saal ke liye anticipated rate cuts ko exclude kar sakti hai.

Iske baraks, European Central Bank (ECB) ki interest rate trajectory ke hawale se uncertainty kam ho rahi hai. ECB policymakers specific rate-cut plans par commit karne se refrain kar rahe hain persistent inflation concerns ke bawajood. Steady wage growth service inflation ko contribute kar rahi hai, jo May mein 4.1% tak barh gayi thi—jo ke seven months mein highest hai.

Bearish Trend aur Technical Indicators for EUR/USD:

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko apna losing streak continue rakha, Symmetrical Triangle formation se breakout maintain karne mein fail ho gayi. Yeh failure ek bearish trend ko suggest karta hai, jismein pair wapas triangle formation ke andar aa gayi. Support 1.0637 par anticipate kiya ja raha hai, jo ke upward-sloping order of the chart pattern ke kareeb hai from the October 3, 2023, low of 1.0447.



Long-term outlook bhi pair ke liye negative ho gayi hai. Prices 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche gir gayi hain, jo ke currently around 1.0704 par hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) sharply gir ke 40.00 par aa gaya hai.

Pair ne Wednesday ko Asian session ke doran narrow range of oscillation experience ki, apne recent three-day decline ke baad stabilize hoti nazar aayi. Pair ne pichle session mein 1.0690 area ko touch kiya, jo ke early May se lowest level hai. Filhal, spot prices mid-1.0700s ke neeche trade kar rahi hain, aur din ke liye lagbhag unchanged hain. Traders caution exercise kar rahe hain jab tak US consumer inflation figures aur pivotal Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision release nahi ho jate, taake naye directional bets lene se pehle clear picture mil sake.

EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

Tuesday ko ECB policymaker aur Governor of the French central bank, Francois Villeroy de Galhau, ne yeh confidence express kiya ke inflation agle saal 2% target par wapas aa jayegi. Unhone monthly data fluctuations ko 'noise' kaha jo ke khaas meaningful nahi hain. Villeroy ne emphasize kiya ke European Central Bank 'outlook driven' hai aur inflation forecast ko closely monitor karegi, Reuters ne report kiya.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ne ek descending trendline ke bullish side ko challenge karne se bearish territory mein wapas gir gayi hai. Early 2024 highs near 1.1151 se gir kar declining technical levels ke neeche aa gayi hai. Iske ilawa, pair 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 1.0787 ke neeche slip kar gayi hai, jo southern end of 1.0751 par chart territory ko further challenge kar rahi hai.



Daily chart oscillators negative territory mein hain, jo indicate karte hain ke pair ke liye least resistance ka path downward hai. Natijan, koi bhi attempted recovery fresh sellers ko attract kar sakti hai near the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Yeh level ek critical pivotal point ki tarah act karega, aur agar clear ho gaya to yeh short-covering rally ko prompt kar sakta hai towards the 1.0866 supply zone, en route to the 1.0900 mark.

Wednesday ki EU session mein, EUR/USD pair ne notable weakness dikhayi, aur immediate support at 1.0683 ko flirt kiya. Euro mein yeh bearish shift France mein ek unexpected political upheaval ki wajah se aayi. President Emmanuel Macron ka unprecedented decision to dissolve parliament aur snap election call karna market mein uncertainty inject kar raha hai, aur political stability ko undermine kar raha hai.

Eurozone mein Political Instability:

Eurozone ka political landscape Macron ke move se significantly disrupt ho gaya, jo unki far-right National Rally, led by Jordan Bardella, se defeat ke baad aaya. Yeh political shake-up ne Euro par shadow cast kar diya hai, jisse yeh doosri major currencies ke against vulnerable ho gaya hai. Upcoming French elections ke hawale se uncertainty Euro par ek critical factor hai jo usse weigh down kar raha hai.

Federal Reserve ka Stance:

Saath hi, US Dollar ko Federal Reserve ke cautious stance on rate cuts se bolster mila hai. Fed policymakers ne emphasize kiya hai ke disinflation process mein sustained progress ki zaroorat hai pehle ke kisi bhi rate reductions ko consider kiya jaye. Premature cuts, unhone warn kiya, inflationary pressures ko phir se reignite kar sakte hain. Yeh prudent approach ne US Dollar ki appeal ko enhance kiya hai, aur US Dollar Index (DXY) ko crucial 105.00 support level ke upar maintain rakha hai.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis:

Pair ko next significant support level near 1.0655 par girne ka risk hai aur possibly further to the 1.0600 mark tak, jo is saal April mein touch hua tha. Is level ke neeche ek decisive break recent downtrend ko extend kar sakta hai jo pichle haftay se observe kiya gaya hai, starting from levels just above the 1.0900 mark.



Pair ne ek V-shaped recovery experience ki hai after plunging to an almost five-week low near 1.0710. Long-term outlook positive turn hui jab yeh 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar rebound hui, jo currently around 1.0719 par trade kar rahi hai. 14-period Commodity Channel Index (CCI) ne support near 40.00 par find kiya aur stable rehne ki umeed hai, indicating a likely period of consolidation.

Wednesday ko Asian session ke doran pair thoda neeche gaya, aur 1.0680 mark ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. Lekin, isme strong follow-through buying ka kami hai. Fundamental backdrop aur technical setup ke madde nazar, pichle din ke 1.0710 region se modest rebound ko extend hone ki umeed se pehle caution zaroori hai, jo ek one-month low ko mark kar raha tha.

Market Focus: Federal Reserve ke Interest Rate Decision ka Intizar

Federal Reserve (Fed) ka interest rate decision, jo ke late American session mein scheduled hai, investors ke liye ek focal point hai. Expectation hai ke Fed interest rates ko 5.25%-5.50% ke range mein seventh consecutive time ke liye maintain karega. Natijan, tawajjo Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki press conference aur dot plot par hogi, jo policymakers ke federal funds rate ke future path par insight provide karegi.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 30-day Fed Fund Rate pricing data sirf ek rate cut ko is saal suggest kar raha hai, jo shayad November ya December meeting mein announce ho sakta hai. Yeh anticipation market behavior ko influence kar rahi hai, jab investors US inflation data aur Fed ke projections ko closely monitor kar rahe hain.

H4 Chart Technical Analysis: EUR/USD ke Key Support aur Resistance Levels

EUR/USD pair ka overnight swing low, around 1.0680 area, filhal immediate downside risks ke against ek protective level ka kaam kar raha hai, khaaskar 1.0650 round figure se pehle. Agar follow-through selling hoti hai, to yeh bearish sentiment ko trigger kar sakta hai, aur pair ko next relevant support near 1.0631 region ki taraf drag kar sakta hai. Continued downward pressure eventually 1.0600 mark ya year-to-date low touched in April ko test kar sakta hai.



Upar ki taraf, koi bhi further move ek selling opportunity ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. 1.0800 round figure ek pivotal point ki tarah act karega. Is level ke upar ek decisive break short-covering rally ko prompt kar sakta hai towards the 1.0861 supply zone aur further 1.0900 mark tak.

EUR/USD

German economy ke hawale se tasveer kharab hoti nazar aa rahi hai due to weak demand predictions, jiski wajah se expectations barh rahi hain ke ECB consecutive rate cuts announce karega. Monday ko data se pata chala ke German IFO Expectations Index unexpectedly 89.0 par gir gaya, jo ke estimates mein 91.0 aur previous release mein 90.3 tha (jo revised lower from 90.4 tha). Data release ke response mein, Clemens Fuest, President of IFO, ne kaha, "German economy ko stagnation ko overcome karne mein mushkilat ho rahi hain.''

Wednesday ke European session mein, EUR/USD pair round-level support of 1.0700 ke neeche drop kar gaya. Primary currency pair ab bhi pressure mein hai kyunki Euro ka short-term outlook less positive ho gaya hai due to ambiguity surrounding upcoming parliamentary elections in the European Union (EU) aur mounting rumors ke ECB zyada rate cuts implement kar sakta hai. EUR/USD pair pivotal 1.0700 support level ke neeche dip ho gaya. Main currency pair daily chart ke 1.0750 mark ke close mein selling pressure mein hai, jo ke ek downward-sloping edge of a symmetrical triangle hai jo December 28, 2023 ke high point 1.1140 se draw kiya gaya hai.



Pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo negative short-term outlook indicate karta hai. EUR/USD price ne kal downward pressure experience kiya, 1.0720$ level ke neeche break ho gaya. Ab yeh stochastic par positively overlap kar raha hai, jo yeh sign hai ke price anticipated bullish trend ko intraday basis par resume karne ke liye tayyar hai. Expectation hai ke price 1.0750 ko surpass kare taake directly 1.0840 ki taraf rally kar sake. Natijan, hum apni bullish trend recommendation ko next time frame ke liye stick karenge, emphasizing ke 1.0675$ ka breach anticipated gain ko end kar dega aur price ko decline karne ke liye shuru karega.

EUR/USD chart ko dekh kar lagta hai ke yeh do-bottom chart hai. Yeh tab aa raha hai jab ECB further rate cuts ke hawale se baat karne se bach raha hai. Hafte ke aakhir mein, America ke vital statistics pair mein movement ko prompt kar sakte hain.

Unlock AI-powered stock picks for under $7/month: Winter sales start now! ECB ki latest meeting ne eurozone mein interest rate cuts ke expectations ko address kiya, aur EUR/USD pair mahine ke shuru se neeche ja raha hai, 1.0670 ke aas paas settle ho gaya hai. Lekin ECB ke dovish stance ke bawajood, Christine Lagarde aur unki team ne future measures par specifics ke saath follow-up nahi kiya.

Yeh aur France mein political risks ke reduction (parliamentary elections aur national unity ke liye possible victory) ne tensions ko ease kiya hai. Do-story construction is mentioned segment mein at least short-term recovery ki possibility suggest karta hai, jo ke U.S. ke important financial information se hafte ke aakhir mein confirm ya deny ho sakta hai. Kya ECB next meeting mein rates cut karega? European Central Bank ki last meeting mein announce ki gayi 25 bps cut abhi tak official cycle of interest rate cuts ko affect nahi kiya, jaisa ECB officials ne confirm kiya hai, jo suggest karta hai ke bank abhi bhi inputs par act nahi kar raha hai.

Ek taraf, sector across low growth discount ko support kar rahi hai, aur euro just above zero swing kar raha hai. Doosri taraf, ECB liberalization inflation se constrained hai, kyunki recent readings mein consumer aur commodity prices khas tor par barh gayi hain aur abhi tak apne targets tak nahi pohonchi hain.



Technical Outlook:
EUR/USD local demand factory se rebound kar raha hai. Do main currencies ke liye support required area around 1.0670 mein mila, jahan do-story decker develop ho raha hai. Agar 1.0760 ke upar breakout hota hai to yeh potential rally ko indicate karega, aur pehla significant resistance level around 1.09 ke liye raasta bana sakta hai. Lekin macroeconomic news from the U.S. kaafi honi chahiye taake aise developments ko confirm kar sake. EUR/USD 300-Minutes Chart ke mutabiq, corresponding scenario yeh hai ke 1.0670 level ko break karna aur indicated formation ko reject karna, aur is saal ke lows near round level of 1.06 ko attack karne ki koshish karna.

Haal hi ke market movements mein, EUR/USD currency pair ko nazar mein rakha gaya hai, khaaskar uske notable fluctuations aur significant support levels ke breach ki wajah se. Pichle hafte, traders aur analysts ne pair mein consistent downward trend dekha, aur khusus tor par 1.07563 ke crucial support level ke breach par tawajjo di.

Pichle hafte ke trading sessions mein, EUR/USD pair ne pronounced bearish sentiment dikhaya, jo broader market dynamics aur economic indicators ko reflect karta hai. Hafte ki shuruaat initial optimism ke sath hui, lekin jese jese economic data aur geopolitical developments unfold hui, sentiments jaldi se bearish hogayi. Analysts ne Eurozone mein economic growth ke naye concerns aur United States ke robust economic data ko pair ke downward trajectory ko drive karne wale pivotal factors ki tarah point out kiya.

Kayi economic factors ne EUR/USD pair par downward pressure dala. Eurozone mein, sluggish economic recovery aur persistent inflationary pressures ke concerns ne investor sentiment ko heavily weigh kiya. European Central Bank ka monetary policy par cautious stance ne in concerns ko aur barhaya, jo ke United States ke Federal Reserve ke zyada hawkish tone se contrast karta hai, jinhone inflation ko curb karne ke liye potential interest rate hikes hint kiye.

Iske ilawa, geopolitical developments ne bhi EUR/USD pair ki taraf market sentiment ko influence kiya. Kuch regions mein escalating tensions aur unke global trade aur economic stability ke potential implications ne uncertainty ko aur barhaya, jiski wajah se investors ne US dollar ko ek safe haven currency ke tor par seek kiya.

Aage dekhte hue, technical analysts closely monitor kar rahe hain key resistance levels ko jo potential reversals ya consolidations ke insights provide kar sakti hain. 1.07563 support level ke breach ne discussions ko prompt kiya hai ke agle support levels kahan ho sakte hain, jis par attention psychological levels jese 1.0700 aur 1.0650 par hai.

Market sentiment towards EUR/USD pair cautious lekin vigilant hai. Traders ko advise kiya jata hai ke economic data releases, central bank communications, aur geopolitical developments par attuned rahein, kyunki yeh factors currency movements ko aane wale hafte mein influence karte rahenge.



Conclusion mein, jabke EUR/USD pair ne pichle hafte significant downward pressure experience kiya, characterized by the breach of key support levels, market participants ko caution exercise karne aur developments ko closely monitor karne ki advice di jati hai. Economic data, central bank policies, aur geopolitical tensions ka interplay pair ka outlook near term mein shape karta rahega.

EUR/USD ne Tuesday ko kuch pressure face kiya, jaisa humne pehle din predict kiya tha. To be precise, 1.0678 level se do bounces ke baad, ek bullish correction inevitable thi. Is hafte ke economic calendar mein koi significant events nahi hain. Iska matlab hai ke market ke react karne ke liye kuch nahi hoga. Monday ko pair upar gaya; Tuesday ko neeche aaya; aur Wednesday ko phir se upar ja sakta hai. Yeh movements kisi logical reason se nahi judi hain, yeh sab market noise, flat, ya ek part of correction hain. Aap in movements ko 5-minute timeframe par execute kar sakte hain, lekin yaad rahe ke volatility bohot low hai.

Jaise pehle mention kiya gaya tha, US ya Eurozone mein koi significant events nahi the. Yeh baat ke price descending channel se bahar aa gayi, iska matlab yeh nahi hai ke downward trend khatam ho gaya. Yeh ek common mistake hai jo novice traders karte hain. Agar price 1.0678 level breach karti hai, to euro decline karna continue karega. Aur hum expect kar rahe hain ke single currency girti rahegi. Ek sell signal 5-minute timeframe par tab form hua jab price 1.0726-1.0733 area ke neeche consolidate hui. Subsequently, price peak par takreeban 20 pips gir gayi, jo novice traders ne capture kiya agar unhone manually trade close kar di. Phir se, yaad rahe ke pair ki movements bohot weak hain abhi, aur price nearest target level tak din ke andar nahi pohnch paayi.

**Trading Tips on Wednesday:**
Hourly chart par, EUR/USD ne aakhirkar ek local downward trend form karna shuru kiya, lekin pair abhi ek correction se guzar raha hai. Hum abhi bhi expect karte hain ke quote 1.0600, 1.0450, aur hatta ke 1.0200 tak drop kare. Lekin yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke price in targets tak foran nahi pohnchegi; yeh medium-term objectives hain. For example, pair ek aur week tak corrective phase se guzar sakta hai, kyunki price 1.0678 level ko do attempts ke baad bhi breach nahi kar payi. Medium-term mein euro ke rise karne ka koi reason nahi dikh raha.

Wednesday ko traders ko expect karna chahiye ke downward movement continue karegi kyunki price 1.0726-1.0733 area ko breach kar gayi. Lekin, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke EUR/USD erratic movements dikha sakti hai.



5M chart par key levels hain: 1.0483, 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, aur 1.0971-1.0981. Wednesday ke liye koi significant events ya reports scheduled nahi hain. Germany consumer sentiment index release karega, aur US docket ek report on new home sales feature karega. Dono reports secondary importance ki hain.

mazid mazboot karti hai. Ye stability ka period aik consolidation phase ko suggest karta hai, jahan market recent gains ko absorb kar raha hai aur aglay move ki tayari kar raha hai. Aage dekhtay hue, market participants apna focus 1.0790 level par shift kar rahe hain, jo aik critical monthly resistance point ke tor par identify kiya gaya hai. Ye level technical analysis mein significant importance rakhta hai aur future price action ke liye aik pivotal marker ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair apni upward momentum ko qaim rakh sakta hai aur 1.0790 resistance level ko successfully breach kar leta hai, to ye bullish trend ke mazid mazboot hone ka signal hoga. Is level ke upar breakout additional buying interest ko attract karega, kyunke traders isay uptrend ki confirmation ke tor par interpret karenge. Ek significant resistance point ka breach aksar increased volatility aur trading activity mein surge ko lead karta hai, jab market participants apni positions ko naye market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karte hain. 1.0790 level ki significance uski historical context se underscore hoti hai. Resistance levels ko aksar previous price action ke basis par identify kiya jata hai, jahan market baar baar higher move karne mein fail hota hai. Aise levels traders ke liye psychologically important ho jate hain, kyunke ye price advancement ke potential barriers ko represent karte hain. In levels ka breach market sentiment ko badal sakta hai, buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan power balance ko shift kar sakta hai. Technical factors ke ilawa, traders fundamental influences ko bhi consider karenge jo EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events sab crucial roles play karte hain market sentiment ko shape karne mein. Misal ke tor par, Eurozone se positive economic data ya Federal Reserve se dovish signals euro ko dollar ke against bolster kar sakte hain, 1.0790 level ki taraf aur uske baad upward movement ko support karte hue

Technical analysis: EUR/USD

EUR/USD ne Monday ko positive gap ke sath open kiya jab Marine Le Pen ke far-right National Rally (NR) ne Sunday ke pehle round ke elections me analyst ke umeed se kam margin se jeeta, jisse speculation barh gayi ke July 7 ka election euro-skeptical NR ke liye ek muqabala ho sakta hai. Markets ko dar hai ke NR ki jeet France me expansionary fiscal policy ke imkanaat ko barha degi, jisse mulk ke fiscal accounts spotlight me aa jayenge aur euro ke outlook ko aur bhi threat milega.

EUR/USD ne karib teen hafton ke unche level 1.0748 ko chhua, lekin 20- aur 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) ne price action ko roka. Iske ilawa, 1.0788 aur nasdiqi 200-day moving average ke upar close hone ke liye ab bhi 1.0850-1.0885 ke restrictive zone ki taraf move karna hoga. Iske baad, prices significant appreciation dekh sakti hain, jo October 2023 me karib 1.0955 se shuru ho sakti hai. Aakhri baar 1.0660 ke key support trendline se bounce hone ke baad nayi bullish phase ki shuruat zyada mumkin lagti hai. Technical indicators me izafa ek aur encouraging sign hai ke bulls aage barh sakte hain, lekin thoda ehtiyat zaroori hai kyun ke RSI ab tak 50 neutral line ke upar nahi gaya aur MACD negative zone me red signal line ke qareeb hai.
Lekin, sellers tab tak shayad nahi aayenge jab tak price key support trend line 1.0670 se neeche nahi jata. Agar bearish scenario samne aata hai, to pair 1.0600 tak gir sakta hai, aur is level ke neeche break hone par zyada violent fluctuations ho sakti hain, jo aakhirkar focus ko 1.0515 limit area par shift kar sakti hain. Overall, EUR/USD ko agle bullish phase ke liye ek favorable starting point mil gaya hai, aur nayi buying ko trigger karne ke liye 1.0788 ke upar break zaroori hai.

mazid mazboot karti hai. Ye stability ka period aik consolidation phase ko suggest karta hai, jahan market recent gains ko absorb kar raha hai aur aglay move ki tayari kar raha hai. Aage dekhtay hue, market participants apna focus 1.0790 level par shift kar rahe hain, jo aik critical monthly resistance point ke tor par identify kiya gaya hai. Ye level technical analysis mein significant importance rakhta hai aur future price action ke liye aik pivotal marker ka kaam kar sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair apni upward momentum ko qaim rakh sakta hai aur 1.0790 resistance level ko successfully breach kar leta hai, to ye bullish trend ke mazid mazboot hone ka signal hoga. Is level ke upar breakout additional buying interest ko attract karega, kyunke traders isay uptrend ki confirmation ke tor par interpret karenge. Ek significant resistance point ka breach aksar increased volatility aur trading activity mein surge ko lead karta hai, jab market participants apni positions ko naye market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karte hain. 1.0790 level ki significance uski historical context se underscore hoti hai. Resistance levels ko aksar previous price action ke basis par identify kiya jata hai, jahan market baar baar higher move karne mein fail hota hai. Aise levels traders ke liye psychologically important ho jate hain, kyunke ye price advancement ke potential barriers ko represent karte hain. In levels ka breach market sentiment ko badal sakta hai, buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan power balance ko shift kar sakta hai. Technical factors ke ilawa, traders fundamental influences ko bhi consider karenge jo EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events sab crucial roles play karte hain market sentiment ko shape karne mein. Misal ke tor par, Eurozone se positive economic data ya Federal Reserve se dovish signals euro ko dollar ke against bolster kar sakte hain, 1.0790 level ki taraf aur uske baad upward movement ko support karte hue Main apne khayal mein yaqeen rakhta hoon ke American trading session nichay ki taraf hoga, pehle se mojood bearish trend ki wajah se. Usi waqt, meri raay mein EUR/USD bullish rukh par hai, is liye samajh mein aata hai ke EUR/USD ko bechne se pehle 1.0772 ke level ka intezar karna munasib hai. Hum aasani se keh sakte hain ke bullish trend jari nahi rahega, aur jab hum is ahmiyat se bharpoor level ke qareeb pohanchte hain, to hume ek kami ka intezar karna chahiye, aur is level ke baad koi izafi umeed nahi hai. Shayad hamara maqsad is waqt yeh hai ke din bhar mein bohat zyada liquidity jama ki jaye. Aaj Bank of England Day hai, lekin yeh abhi tak nazar nahi aa raha, haalaanki rate pehle se hi announce ho chuka hai. Shayad din ke ikhtitam tak kuch dikhai dega aur sout mein kuch dikhai dega. Sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke support level 1.0670 ka update aur toot ho. Main short term ke liye 1.0666 ke kam level ka toot hone ka intezar kar raha hoon, aur sout ki jariyat pehle se hi jari hai jab tak ke 1.0600 digit toot na jaye. Aaj jodi kamzor ho rahi hai, aur maqsad neechay hai. Mujhe ummeed thi ke descending cha nnel ke neechay ki simat 1.0688 ke is level ko pohanch sakta hai, lekin keemat ne abhi tak maqsad tak nahi pohancha, is liye keemat ko neechay ki simat umeed hai ke pair ko descending channel ke neechay ki simat tootna shru ho jaye aur is level pe 1