𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Is analysis mein, main UK ke inflation prospects ko Eurozone data ke zariye nahi dekhoonga, balke mukhtalif regions ko bhi madde nazar rakhoonga, jaise Bearish aur Eastern Europe, jo UK ke major trading partners nahi hain. Mehngi pound kisi bhi economy ke liye nuksan deh ho sakti hai, magar ab tak iska asar itna tez nahi hua ke global economic risks ko barha sake. Iske muqable mein, US dollar ne 2020 ke baad se kafi mehngi ho gayi hai, jo ki global economy ke liye ek aham factor hai.

1.3043 ka support level, jo ek recent peak ke taur par samjha jata hai, khaas taur par dekhne ke laayak hai. Yeh level substantial support provide kar sakta hai, aur jab tak GBP/USD pair is level ke upar trade kar raha hai, to main zyada tawajju potential rise par dunga na ke bade decline par. Halankeh is hafte mein thori si kami dekhi gayi hai, daily chart ke mutabiq uptrend ab bhi intact hai aur sirf ek minor correction nazar aati hai.

Friday ko GBP/USD pair ne downward correction phase mein band kiya, jo agle hafte bhi jaari reh sakta hai. Is decline ka foran target 1.3089 ka support level hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to prices aur neeche 1.3009 tak ja sakti hain. Pichle hafte ke aakhir mein, GBP/USD ke bears ne thodi hesitation dikhayi—shayad yeh bulls ke tactical pause ka nasha tha. Agar 4-hour candle 1.3107 ke neeche close hoti hai, to main bechne ka sochunga.

Agar current range ke andar koi reversal pattern banta hai bina kisi bearish gap ke, to main kharidne ka raasta ikhtiyar karunga. Is surat mein, stop loss ko pattern ke minimum ke neeche rakhoonga, jo shayad 1.3108 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Sustained downtrend ke liye, 4-hour period ko 1.3107 ke paas rehna chahiye. Apni final strategy ko finalize karne se pehle, Monday ke nazdeek candle ko gaur se dekhna hoga. Yeh analysis mujhe is pair ke future movement aur trading opportunities ko behtar samajhne mein madad karega.

GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas reach kar liye hain, jo ek corrective retreat ka imkaan barhata hai. Jo log pound sterling ke bullish hain, unke liye 1.3140 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega. Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein convert ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, cable 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Magar, yeh 9 mein se 8 din barh gaya hai (aur ab tak ke 10 din mein se 9 din barh gaya hai), aur ek 13-month high 1.3050 par pohnch gaya hai. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai.

In summary, GBP/USD pair ab ek important level par hai. 1.3050 ke upar agar break hota hai, to next target 1.3150 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas market mein reversal hota hai, to support ke liye 1.2800 ke aas-paas wapas ja sakta hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ki upward movement aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, aage kya hoga yeh dekhna hoga.**GBPUSD Latest Analysis**

Pound Sterling ne is saal US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3050 par ek nayi high mark ki hai. GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas reach kar liye hain, jo ek corrective retreat ka imkaan barhata hai. Jo log pound sterling ke bullish hain, unke liye 1.3140 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega.

Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein convert ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, cable 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Magar, yeh 9 mein se 8 din barh gaya hai (aur ab tak ke 10 din mein se 9 din barh gaya hai), aur ek 13-month high 1.3050 par pohnch gaya hai. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai.

In summary, GBP/USD pair ab ek important level par hai. 1.3050 ke upar agar break hota hai, to next target 1.3150 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas market mein reversal hota hai, to support ke liye 1.2800 ke aas-paas wapas ja sakta hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ki upward movement aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, aage kya hoga yeh

GBP/USD currency pair ke real-time price action ke evaluation par mabni hai. Technical analysis ke liye, maine resistance aur support ko represent karne ke liye diagonal lines plot ki hain. Agla qadam hai ke hum US Federal Reserve System ke head ki speech ko 16:39 Moscow time par bariki se dekhein. Is ke ilawa, 16:59 par labor market vacancy statistics release honge, jo local volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain. Humne 1.2614 tak ke decline ko manage kiya, aur price ab 59 points barh gayi hai. Spread ko chhod kar, ye nateeja kafi acha hai. Hum GBP/USD situation ko 18:01 ke baad dobara assess karenge, Fibonacci grid ka review karte hue, chhote time intervals par 100 – 161.7 range par focus karte hue. Filhaal price view aur sentiment mein koi tabdeeli nahi dikhayi de rahi.
Kal chhutti hai, lekin trading limited form mein chalegi, aur Thursday ko complete holiday hoga. Is wajah se trading week skewed hai aur Friday ko significantly start hoga, jo major players ko investing se roka sakta hai. Agar sirf speculative movements hoti hain, to wahi sawal uthta hai. Mera aaj ka main concern ye hai ke Americans apni holidays aaj ya kal se shuru karenge; lagta hai ke aaj se hi shuru karenge.
GBP/USD ka rebound barh gaya hai, meri target zone 1.2639-59 tak pohnch gaya hai. Filhaal ke impulse se neeche ki taraf ek pullback zaroori hai, jiska aim 1.2700 level ke nazdeek hona chahiye, shayad isse bhi break kar sake. Kal ka high ko surpass karna mushkil hai, lekin movement ke dauran closely observe karna zaroori hai. Maine apni position already close kar di hai, current profit ko potential gains par preference dete hue. Overall, situation abhi bhi uncertain hai. Ye scenarios possible outcomes ko reflect karte hain. Agar slope break hoti hai to buyers ko upper hand
GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka analysis karne se mutaliq hai. Agle hafte major central banks se kaafi significant action ki umeed hai, kyunki Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) apne interest rate decisions announce karne wale hain. Jabke Fed apna current rate ek aur meeting ke liye barqarar rakhega, BoE ko quarter-percentage-point rate cut ka speculation face karna pad raha hai. Money markets BoE ke base rate ko 5.24% se 5.9% tak kam hone ki forecasting kar rahe hain. Yeh anticipated narrowing of interest rate differential pound sterling par pressure daal raha hai. United States se recent economic data, jo Department of Commerce ne highlight kiya, steady growth trajectory ko reflect karta hai. Q2 ke preliminary GDP estimate ke mutabiq annual growth rate 2.7% hai, jo Q1 ke 1.3% se barh gaya hai aur forecasted 1.9% ko bhi surpass karta hai. Yeh stronger-than-expected indicator Fed ki future policies ko influence kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD trading dynamics ko impact kar sakta hai.

General Points about GBP/USD:

UK CPI ya Retail Sales Rate, GBP/USD buyers ko mazid mazbooti de sakti hai. UK elections ke baad se yeh currency pair upwards trend mein hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke elections ne pound ko himayat di hai. Mera tajziya yeh hai ke 1.2971 level ke qareeb buy order place karna munasib hoga. Market 1.3000 mark ke qareeb hai aur yeh level cross kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, aanewali US ki khabrein, khaaskar Philly Fed Manufacturing Index aur Unemployment Rate, GBP/USD market par asar dalengi.

Fundamental aur technical analysis ke madd-e-nazar, buyers ka inclination barh raha hai aur yeh market ko 1.3023 level tak ya us se aage bhi le ja sakte hain. Iss wajah se, yeh munasib hoga ke aap apna agla trading faisla karne se pehle market ki haalat ka gehraai se jaiza lein.

**Technical Discussion:**

Mazid US economic indicators, jese ke Philly Fed Manufacturing Index aur Unemployment Rate, GBP/USD market dynamics ko asar andaz karne wale hain. Investors aur traders dono hi fundamental factors, jaise ke economic data releases, aur technical signals ko dekhte hain taake market sentiment ko samajh saken. Yeh dual analysis buyers ki taraf se barhati hui preference ko zahir karta hai, jo ke currency pair ko 1.3023 level tak ya us se aage le ja sakta hai.

Strategic buy orders ko identified support level 1.2971 ke qareeb place karna ek proactive stance ko reflect karta hai, jo ke potential bullish movements ko anticipate kar raha hai. Aane wali economic announcements, jin mein US data releases bhi shamil hain, ke liye tayyari karte huye, GBP/USD market mein volatility aur strategic trading opportunities ke imkaanat barh rahe hain. Iss liye, economic developments aur technical indicators dono se ba-khabar rehna fluctuations ko navigate karne aur well-informed trading decisions lene mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ne Friday ke din Asian session ke doran achanak girawat dekhi aur naye daily low ke 1.3111 ke aas-paas pohanch gaya. Is girawat ke bawajood, prices zyada tar pehle din ke trading range ke andar hi rahi hain. Traders naye directional bets lene se gurez kar rahe hain jab tak UK aur US se aane wale ahm macroeconomic data ka intezar hai.
Jabke GBP/USD pair ne kuch downward pressure dekha hai, technical indicators aur aane wale economic data iski agle movement ko tay karne mein madadgar sabit honge. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake woh pair ki potential direction ko samajh saken aane wale dino mein.

Fed ka Inflation Confidence aur GBP/USD Technical Recovery

Fed ke policymakers ne inflation ke 2% target ki taraf badhane mein barhati hui confidence zahir kiya hai. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, jo Kansas Bankers Association ke event mein thi, ne kaha agar aane wale data is goal ki taraf progress dikhati rahi to gradually federal funds rate ko kam karna munasib ho sakta hai. Lekin, unhone individual data points par zyada react karne se caution kiya, aur patience ki zaroorat ko emphasize kiya taake inflation par progress ko rokna na ho, jaise Reuters ne report kiya.

Pound Sterling ne hourly chart par ek positive divergence formation ke baad thodi recovery dikhayi hai. Ye technical pattern, jahan asset higher lows form karta hai jabke momentum oscillator lower lows show karta hai, aam taur par uptrend ke resume hone ka signal deta hai. Lekin, is upward potential ko fully validate karne ke liye additional indicators se confirmation zaroori hai.

GBP/USD ki Resilience aur Potential Upside Targets

Spot price ne 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche resilience dikhayi aur 1.3150 ke region se recovery stage ki, jo ek mahine ka low tha. Hourly chart par oscillators neutral ho gaye hain, jo ke further appreciation ke potential ko suggest karta hai. Positive outlook ko solidify karne ke liye, 1.3000 mark ke paar sustained strength zaroori hai.

Agar GBP/USD 1.3100 level ko breach kar leta hai, to nazar 1.3200 figure ko test karne par hogi. Agar is level ko successfully breach karna, to 1.3264 ke peak ko challenge kiya ja sakta hai, uske baad buyers 1.3150 psychological level ko target karenge. Halankeh momentum abhi sellers ko upper hand de raha hai, jo ke CCI ke 50-neutral line ke neeche hone se zahir hota hai, iska flatline suggest karta hai ke GBP/USD shayad short-term mein sideways trade kare.

GBP/USD currency pair ka price behavior ab discussion ke liye khula hai. GBP/USD pair ab dheere dheere bearish correction mein aa gaya hai. Aap kyun samajhte hain ke price sirf 50% retrace kar sakti hai wave se jo 1.2664 se 1.3264 tak hai? Kyun nahi ye 61.7% ya 76.3% tak gir sakti?
Agar ye aapka personal estimate hai, to isay wazeh karna zaroori hai—cheezon ko sahi naam dena achha hota hai jab tak ke is context mein ban hone ka khauf na ho. Main 50% mark ke neeche jane ki possibility dekhta hoon, jo ke 1.2963 hai. Mere minimum target ka area 1.2779 hai, lekin pehle, mera target 1.3019 region hai. Mera strategy hai aur main din ke andar bechne ka plan bana raha hoon. Hum aane wale haftay ke end tak 1.3499 ke aas-paas ya kam se kam us target ke kareeb close karenge.

Monday se, mujhe ummeed hai ke GBP/USD pair 1.3064 support level ki taraf girta rahega. Pair market ke opening par neeche move karna shuru kar sakta hai, kyunki kal se bearish momentum chal raha hai. Lekin, resistance level 1.3149 tak ek chhoti si pullback ki bhi ummeed hai, jahan se 1.3064 ki taraf reversal ho sakta hai. Agar 1.3149 ka resistance breach ho jata hai aur pair is par stabilize ho jata hai, to ek nayi upward impulse 1.3319 ki taraf dekhni pad sakti hai. Agar 1.3064 ka level breach hota hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke 1.2969 ki taraf decline dekhne ko mil sakti hai, lekin shayad hum 1.299 par hold karenge aur potentially reversal ho sakta hai. Pair 1.299 ke neeche girne ke chances hain, khas taur par kyunki ye level is saal chauthi baar test kiya gaya hai aur ab tak sustain nahi hua. Is correction phase mein lagta hai ke 1.299 ke neeche na jaaye.

Filhal, GBP/USD currency pair 1.3175 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Is level par, trend bearish nazar aa raha hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market downward movement ka samna kar rahi hai. Lekin, is bearish trend ke bawajood, kuch factors aur technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke GBP/USD ke liye aane wale dinon mein significant movement ho sakti hai.
Pehle, broader context ko analyse karna zaroori hai. Yeh pair recently ek tight range mein consolidate ho raha hai, aur current price kai economic aur geopolitical factors se influence ho rahi hai. Jabke short term mein bearish trend evident hai, historical patterns aur recent market behaviors yeh suggest karte hain ke GBP/USD mein near future mein substantial volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Ek key aspect yeh hai ke US Dollar aur British Pound ke around overall sentiment kya hai. US Dollar economic indicators aur Federal Reserve policy expectations ki wajah se strength dikhata raha hai. Dusri taraf, British Pound UK’s economic outlook aur political landscape se related uncertainties ki wajah se pressure mein hai. Yeh sentiment ka divergence current bearish trend mein contribute kar raha hai.

Technically, 1.3175 ke aas-paas price action ka significance hai. Yeh level ek key support area ko represent karta hai jo multiple times test ho chuka hai. Agar GBP/USD is support ko hold nahi karta aur iske neeche girta hai, to bearish trend ka continuation dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Baraks, agar is level se bounce hota hai, to yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke bearish momentum kam ho raha hai aur potential reversal ho sakta hai.

Recent economic data aur market news bhi GBP/USD ko influence kar rahi hain. UK ke economic data recently light rahe hain, jabke US ne positive aur negative reports ka mix dekha hai. Aane wale US non-farm payrolls report ek major event hai jo pair ko significant impact kar sakta hai. Agar report stronger-than-expected job growth dikhati hai, to yeh US Dollar ko support kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko niche le ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, weaker data se GBP/USD mein rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Market sentiment aur investor positioning bhi crucial role play karte hain. Filhal traders ke beech mixed sentiment hai. Kuch traders further declines ki bet laga rahe hain due to bearish trend, jabke doosre lower levels par buy opportunities dekh rahe hain aur possible reversal ki anticipation kar rahe hain. Yeh divergence opinions increased volatility aur significant price movements ko janam de sakti hai.

Economic data ke ilawa, technical indicators bhi potential future movements ko insight dete hain. Moving averages, trend lines, aur support/resistance levels closely monitor kiye ja rahe hain. In indicators mein koi breakouts ya significant shifts naye trend ya current trend ke continuation ko signal kar sakte hain.

Summary yeh hai ke jabke GBP/USD filhal 1.3175 par trade kar raha hai aur bearish trend dikhata hai, kuch factors suggest karte hain ke aane wale dinon mein significant movement ho sakti hai. Economic data, technical indicators, aur market sentiment sab current situation mein contribute kar rahe hain. Traders ko alert rehna chahiye aur potential volatility ke liye prepared rehna chahiye, kyunki market dynamics tezi se change ho sakti hain. Key events, jaise economic reports aur central bank announcements, GBP/USD ki future direction ko determine karne mein crucial honge

Hello doston, aap kaise hain? GBP/USD ne European trading mein Wednesday ko 1.3100 ke upar stability banaye rakhi. Yeh pair US dollar ke kamzori ka faida uthane mein mushkil ka samna kar raha hai, kyunke market mein risk-averse environment hai. Sab ki nazar US jobs data par hai, jab ke ISM manufacturing PMI ki decline hui hai. Cable ne 1.3250 ke upar multi-month highs se peechay hat gayi hai, aur 1.3150 ke level ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jab greenback selling pressure kam hui hai. Lekin, pair recent highs ko pakde hue hai jab ke peak tak pohanch gayi thi. August mein 29-month bid ke baad, price action ab bhi 200-day exponential moving average 1.2725 ke upar strongly tilted hai, jab ke immediate downside technical target shorts ke liye 50-day EMA hai jo thoda upar 1.2900 handle ke aas paas hai. GBP/USD Tuesday ko soft side par hai, briefly 1.3100 ke neeche test kiya, jab cable bullish stance ko maintain karne mein struggle kar rahi hai ek near-term bearish pullback ke saath. Greenback bidding ne tez hui hai jab latest US Purchasing Managers' Index data market expectations ko meet nahi kar paayi, investor concerns ko phir se jagaa diya ke US recession ka chance ho sakta hai.
UK se data docket Wednesday ko thin hai, pichle PMI data ke mukable kuch khaas nahi hai. US labor data is hafte ke liye market participants ke liye key point hai. ISM ke US manufacturing PMI for August expectations ke neeche aayi, 47.2 print hui aur median market forecast 47.5 ko miss kiya. Markets ne rally nahi ki, jab ke July ke multi-month low 46.8 se ease hui hai, aur already flighty investors ko recent one-way tilt se bullish expectations return karne ka perfect excuse mil gaya. Friday ka US Non-Farm Payrolls report bohot important hai. Yeh Federal Reserve ke latest rate call se pehle key US labor data ka last round hai 18 September ko. Friday ka NFP print market expectations ko set karne ke liye widely expected hai, investors ke liye Fed rate cuts ke depth ke baare mein. Rate-cutting cycle ke start ko is mahine fully priced in kiya gaya hai

British Pound ki Monday ko Halat
British Pound (GBP) abhi bhi Monday ko "snooze" mode mein hai. UK Manufacturing PMI August ke liye umeed ke mutabiq 52.5 aaya hai. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne bhi steady shuruaat ki hai kyunki US markets aaj public holidays ki wajah se band hain.

British Pound (GBP) European trading session ke dauran Monday ko thodi si gains par qaim hai, jab ke US markets Labor Day ke moqe par band hain. Iska matlab hai ke trading volumes bahut kam hain, ek aam Monday se bhi kam. Is dauran UK market ko is subah S&P Global/CIPS Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) ko digest karna pada, jo manufacturing sector ke liye expected ke mutabiq 52.5 par aaya.

Doosri taraf, US Dollar Index (DXY) – jo US Dollar ki qeemat ko chhe foreign currencies ke basket ke muqable mein measure karta hai – abhi bhi pichhle haftay ke bharay selloff se recover ho raha hai. Guzishta haftay mein, Greenback kuch mazboot US economic data ki wajah se recover kiya, jiski wajah se US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki initial rate cut ko sirf 25 basis points tak mehdood kiya ja sakta hai September mein. Is hafte ke mazeed PMI data aur Friday ko US Jobs reports ke saath, sab kuch is hafte ke data par depend karega taake aglay hafte interest rate cut ki size ko confirm kiya ja sake.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Kaafi Upar hai

British Pound abhi bhi kaafi high trade kar raha hai, July 2023 ke baad se aise levels par nahi dekha gaya against US Dollar. Guzishta haftay ka recent retracement kaafi welcome hai, aur ab woh traders jo GBP/USD mein long jaana chahte hain, unhe support levels identify karne honge jahan se wo at least year-to-date high ke retest ke liye entry le sakte hain, jo ke 1.3237 ke aas paas ya ek naya high banane ke liye 1.33 ke aas paas hai.

Neeche ki taraf, moving averages abhi ke liye kaafi door hain koi support dene ke liye. Behtar hai ke un trend channel ke upper band par bounce ka intezar karein jo pichhle cheh mahine se achi tarah se respected tha, lagbhag 1.3120 par. Agar ye level hold nahi karta, toh 1.3044 ek achha qarib platform lag raha hai jo August mein resistance ke taur par kaam kiya tha. Agar aur girawat hoti hai, toh 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2869 khoobsoorti se June 2023 se ek pivotal level 1.2849 ke saath line mein girta hai, sirf 20 pips ke farq ke saath ek strong support area ke taur par.

GBP USD karansee pair ne Friday ko daily time frame par ek bearish candle ke saath close kiya aur price mein izafa NFP fundamental news ke release ke baad hua, lekin yeh izafa supply aur resistance ko price level 1.32603 ke qareeb tor nahi saka aur aakhir kar price wapis aa gaya. Agar hum H4 time frame par chart dekhein, toh GBP USD pair ne qareebi demand aur support ko price level 1.31501 ke aas paas tor diya Is waqt price demand aur support area mein hai, price level 1.31259 ke qareeb, aur mere aglay hafta ke liye scenario mein do mumkinat hain Pehle scenario ke liye, agar price ne demand aur support ko price level 1.30876 ke aas paas kamyabi se tor liya, toh ye mumkin hai ke girawat ka imkaan zyada ho aur aglay support target ki taraf, jo ke price level 1.30320 ke aas paas hai, chale. Lekin agar price demand aur support ko torne mein nakaam hota hai, toh mumkin hai ke price wapis pull back kare
Dusre scenario mein, agar price qareebi supply aur resistance ki taraf, jo ke price level 1.31910 ke aas paas hai, ooper barhne mein kamyab hota hai aur supply aur resistance ko tor deta hai, toh mumkin hai ke price aglay supply aur resistance target ki taraf, jo ke price level 1.32295 ke aas paas hai, barh jaye. Lekin agar price supply aur resistance ko torne mein nakaam hota hai, toh mumkin hai ke price wapis pull back kare Isi liye, aglay Monday ko behtar hai ke hum sabr karein aur sahi momentum ka intezar karein. Jab price qareebi support aur resistance ko torne mein kamyab ho jaye, toh behtar hoga ke hum maujooda trend ko follow karein aur Monday ko market ke dobaara khulne ka intezar karein Dusri taraf, USDX index ke liye H4 time frame par, Friday ko buyers ne trading process par qabza paane ki koshish ki aur price ne supply area mein close kiya, jo ke 101.16 ke aas paas hai. Agarche fundamental NFP news ke release ke waqt girawat hui, lekin price demand aur support ko price level 100.48 par torne mein nakaam raha aur wapis pull back kar gaya. Mere aglay hafta ke scenario ke liye, mumkin hai ke USDX index supply aur resistance ko price level 101.70 par test karega, aur meri soch yeh hai ke agar supply aur resistance price level 101.74 par tor diya jata hai, toh mumkin hai ke price aglay resistance target ki taraf, jo ke price level 101.89 ke aas paas hai, barh jaye. Lekin yeh baat bhi zehan mein rakhni chahiye ke agar price resistance ko price level 101.89 par torne mein nakaam hota hai, toh price wapis pull back karega Yeh tha GBP USD currency pair aur USDX index ka review, umeed hai ke yeh sab ke liye market execution mein madadgar hoga. Aur agar kisi bhi galat baat par shama karain aur hamesha money management ko aqalmandi se use karein taa ke aapka account margin calls se mehfooz rahe

GBP/USD ke H1 time frame ke mutabiq, har dafa price XamaSystem indicator se takra kar wapas hoti hai aur maximum ko update karti hai. Mera khayal hai ke yeh jaldi toot jayega. Agar price indicator ko upar se neeche todti hai aur is ke neeche consolidate hoti hai, toh hum hourly period ki MA120 ki moving average ka test dekh sakte hain, jo ke 1.3151 par hai. Yahan main dekhunga ke price kis tarah se react karti hai. Agar rebound hota hai, toh thoda sa GBP/USD khareedna mumkin hoga, 1.3265 par maximum growth ke maqsad ke saath. Main 1.3300 tak ka growth potential dekh raha hoon.
Us ke baad, mujhe reversal formation aur ek super sale ki tawaqqo hai jo ke 1.2800 ya is se neeche ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar hum MACD ko dekhen, toh woh bhi yeh ishaara karta hai ke price mazeed neeche ja sakti hai. Aur agar price red trendline ko todti hai, toh aur zyada girawat ke imkaanat hain jo market mein bearishness ko mazbooti dein ge.

Chart par GBP/USD ki exchange rate dikha rahi hai ke rate mein chamatkari growth ho rahi hai, jo ke Bank of England ki policy aur UK ke budget ki soorat-e-haal ke tanazur mein ajeeb lagta hai. Aaj Asian session mein US dollar ki thodi mazbooti ki wajah se GBP/USD quotes wapas hue hain 1.3264 ke char ghantay ke chart ke local maximum se. Abhi tak reversal ki baat karna jaldi hoga. Yeh upward slope abhi bhi jari hai, magar bears ke paas achi chance hai ke quotes ko blue moving average tak le jayein. Jab tak quotes is moving average se ooper hain, poori tarah se downward correction ke imkaanat kamzor hain.

Yeh sirf meri rai hai. Tuesday ko GBP/USD pair ne ek naya multi-year high attempt kiya aur 29-mahina top 1.3266 par gir gaya, jab pound sterling ko greenback ke selloff ka faida mila. Jumma ko US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) inflation readings ki tawaqqo hai, aur investors ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ki September rate cut ki umeed lagayi hui

GBP/USD

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price fluctuations ka tajziya karenge. Is analysis mein, main UK ke inflation prospects ko Eurozone data ke zariye nahi dekhoonga, balke mukhtalif regions ko bhi madde nazar rakhoonga, jaise Bearish aur Eastern Europe, jo UK ke major trading partners nahi hain. Mehngi pound kisi bhi economy ke liye nuksan deh ho sakti hai, magar ab tak iska asar itna tez nahi hua ke global economic risks ko barha sake. Iske muqable mein, US dollar ne 2020 ke baad se kafi mehngi ho gayi hai, jo ki global economy ke liye ek aham factor hai.

1.3043 ka support level, jo ek recent peak ke taur par samjha jata hai, khaas taur par dekhne ke laayak hai. Yeh level substantial support provide kar sakta hai, aur jab tak GBP/USD pair is level ke upar trade kar raha hai, to main zyada tawajju potential rise par dunga na ke bade decline par. Halankeh is hafte mein thori si kami dekhi gayi hai, daily chart ke mutabiq uptrend ab bhi intact hai aur sirf ek minor correction nazar aati hai.

Friday ko GBP/USD pair ne downward correction phase mein band kiya, jo agle hafte bhi jaari reh sakta hai. Is decline ka foran target 1.3089 ka support level hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to prices aur neeche 1.3009 tak ja sakti hain. Pichle hafte ke aakhir mein, GBP/USD ke bears ne thodi hesitation dikhayi—shayad yeh bulls ke tactical pause ka nasha tha. Agar 4-hour candle 1.3107 ke neeche close hoti hai, to main bechne ka sochunga.

Agar current range ke andar koi reversal pattern banta hai bina kisi bearish gap ke, to main kharidne ka raasta ikhtiyar karunga. Is surat mein, stop loss ko pattern ke minimum ke neeche rakhoonga, jo shayad 1.3108 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Sustained downtrend ke liye, 4-hour period ko 1.3107 ke paas rehna chahiye. Apni final strategy ko finalize karne se pehle, Monday ke nazdeek candle ko gaur se dekhna hoga. Yeh analysis mujhe is pair ke future movement aur trading opportunities ko behtar samajhne mein madad karega.

GBP/USD

Pichle trading week ke doran, bears aur bulls dono ne apna apna influence barhane ki koshish ki, lekin week ke end tak situation zyada tabdeel nahi hui, quotes ab bhi support level 1.3111 ke thoda upar trade kar rahi hain, jo ke bulls aur bears dono ke liye ek mauka chhodta hai.

Agli trading week ka sabse bada event United States mein inflation statistics ka publication hoga, lekin Europe ke inflation data, European Central Bank ka meeting, aur Germany ke inflation news bhi aayenge, lekin yeh sab secondary cheezein hain. Agar hum four-hour chart ko dekhen, to week ke shuru mein movement ka main direction shayad north hoga, kyunki quotes ne week ko 1.3111 ke level ke upar close kiya aur Friday ko sharp drop ke baad, yeh upar ki taraf phir se move kar sakti hain, jo ke trading range ke upper boundary ya 1.3264 ke level tak ja sakti hai, jo is period ka local maximum hai.

Saath hi, agar bears quotes ko red moving average ke neeche le aati hain, to scenario badal sakta hai aur phir girawat ka khel khela ja sakta hai, jahan 1.3016 level ka rollback kiya ja sakta hai. Main abhi bhi current upward movement ko sirf ek medium-term correction ke roop mein dekhta hoon, aur US dollar ke kamzor hone ke liye koi significant wajah nahi hai, khaaskar British pound aur European euro ke muqablay mein.

H4 par ek badi bearish candle ke andar (upar) rollback hona kaafi acceptable hai. Main ne Price Action mein involve nahi kiya hai, isliye mujhe nahi pata ke yahan stability hai ya nahi aur kya ise ek TS (Trade Setup) ke roop mein liya ja sakta hai. Aise situation mein, main abhi bhi S. Nison ke candle theory ko zyada follow karta hoon.

Aise badi bearish candle ke andar, H4 par 3 chhoti bullish candles ban sakti hain, jo ke candlestick continuation model "3 methods" ko form karengi. Main yeh maan ke chal raha hoon ke rollback upar ki taraf 0.50 Fibo tak pahunch sakti hai, yahi mere tools ke indications hain.

GBP/USD currency pair ne Friday ko Asian session ke dauran ek notable drop experience kiya, aur 1.3111 ke aas-paas ek fresh daily low tak pohnch gaya. Is decline ke bawajood, prices largely pichle din establish kiye gaye trading range ke andar hi rahi hain. Traders naye directional bets lene se ruk rahe hain kyunki wo UK aur US se crucial macroeconomic data ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Jabke GBP/USD pair ko kuch downward pressure ka saamna karna pada hai, technical indicators aur upcoming economic data iski agle move ko determine karne mein crucial honge. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake pair ke potential direction ko gauge kiya ja sake aane wale dinon mein.

Fed ki Inflation Confidence aur GBP/USD Technical Recovery

Fed ke policymakers ne inflation ke 2% target ki taraf move karne mein badhti confidence express ki hai. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, Kansas Bankers Association ke saamne bolte hue, ne indicate kiya ke agar upcoming data is goal ki taraf progress dikhata raha, to gradually federal funds rate ko kam karna appropriate ho sakta hai. Lekin, unhone individual data points par overreact karne se caution kiya, aur patience ki zarurat par zor diya taake inflation ke progress ko hinder na kiya jaye, jaise ke Reuters ne report kiya.

Pound Sterling ne hourly chart par positive divergence formation ke baad kuch recovery dikhayi hai. Ye technical pattern, jahan asset higher lows banaata hai jabke momentum oscillator lower lows dikhata hai, aam taur par uptrend ke resume hone ka signal hota hai. Lekin, is upward potential ko fully validate karne ke liye additional indicators se confirmation zaroori hai.

GBP/USD ki Resilience aur Potential Upside Targets

Spot price ne 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche resilience dikhayi, aur 1.3150 region se recovery ki, jo ek mahine ka low tha. Hourly chart par oscillators neutral ho gaye hain, jo further appreciation ka potential suggest karte hain. Is positive outlook ko solidify karne ke liye, 1.3000 mark ke upar sustained strength zaroori hai.

Agar GBP/USD 1.3100 level ko paar kar jata hai, to nazar 1.3200 figure ko test karne par shift hogi. Agar is level ka successful breach hota hai, to 1.3264 ke peak ki taraf challenge dekhne ko mil sakta hai, uske baad buyers 1.3150 psychological level ko target karenge. Jabke momentum abhi sellers ke haq mein hai, jo CCI ke 50-neutral line ke neeche hone se sabit hota hai, iski flatline yeh suggest karti hai ke GBP/USD aane wale waqt mein sideways trade kar sakta hai.

Charting the Course: GBP/USD

GBP/USD pair kal barh gaya, jabke US dollar overall market mein aur pound ke khilaf decline kar gaya. Halankeh yeh pair yeast ki tarah barh raha tha, kuch indications hain ke ek downturn shuru hone wala hai is senior season H4 mein. Sabse pehle, agar aap target Fibonacci grid ko is pehli wave pe lagayein, to aap dekhenge ke pehla target (grid ka level 161.8) aur doosra target (level 200) dono achieve ho chuke hain, jo ke July ke last year ke maximum ko surpass karte hain.

Iske ilawa, pehli aur teesri waves senior period ki (jo yellow mein highlighted hain) lagbhag same size ki hain; actually, teesri wave zyada badi hai; yeh indicate karta hai ke ek full cycle complete ho gaya hai. Yeh aam tor par full reversal ya fourth wave tak correction ka result hota hai. CCI indicator pe triple bearish divergence, ya sell signal, bhi nazar aa raha hai. Senior daily chart pe wahi indicator upper overheated zone se descend karne ki koshish kar raha hai.

Yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke kal ki rise ne price ko resistance level 1.3136 ke qareeb la diya, jo ek significant weekly level hai aur July ke last year ka peak hai. Price ko higher push karne ya shayad reverse hone se pehle fourth wave tak correction ki zaroorat hogi. 1.3036 support level aur do wave bottoms par construct ki gayi ascending line drop ke goals hain.

Aaj ke news se yeh noteworthy hai: United States mein first applications for unemployment benefits aur total number of recipients, jo ke 15:30 Moscow time pe aayega. US services ke business activity index (PMI) ka range 16 se 45 hai.

Agar technical analysis ki madad se Ichimoku indicator ka use kiya jaye, to current candle ki position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai. Yeh tab se ho raha hai jab GBP/USD decline karne laga. Is recent intersection ke saath, GBP/USD ka trend ab bullish nahi balki bearish hai. Jab tak iska position line ke upar hai, main predict karta hoon ke GBP/USD movement girne ki taraf jayega, upar ki taraf nahi.

Is dauran, Stochastic indicator yeh batata hai ke GBP/USD currently oversold condition mein hai. Yeh kal ke decline ki wajah se hua hai. Jaise ke maine upar kaha, support ko break karne ke baad, GBP/USD pehle correction ke liye 1.3245 tak barh sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh increase apne nazdeek ke resistance ko penetrate nahi kar payega.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka conclusion yeh hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ke niche jaane ke chances hain, halankeh ab thoda strong lag raha hai. Iska reason yeh hai ke candle supply area ko 1.3255 pe penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Ichimoku indicator se bhi candle ki position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke neeche hai, jo trend ke bearish shift ko indicate karta hai.

Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade karte hain, unhein sirf sell positions par focus karna chahiye. Aap take profit target ko 1.3070 ke nazdeek ke support par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko 1.3268 ke nazdeek ke resistance par place kar sakte hain.