𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD currency pair H4 period par ek accha signal de raha hai, ab analysis shuru karne ka waqt hai. GBP/USD ki price support ke niche gir gayi hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke market sellers ke control mein hai. Abhi tak ki highest price 1.26945 hai jo ke pichli highest price 1.27010 se kam hai. Aise movements yeh indicate karte hain ke GBP/USD downward trend dikhata hai, isliye selling opportunities dekhne ka waqt hai.

Filhal, GBP/USD price lower Bollinger Bands ke aas-paas move kar rahi hai, isliye yeh middle Bollinger Bands ki taraf upar ja sakti hai. GBP/USD price mein significant aur consistent weakening ne isse oversold bana diya hai, jo Stochastic Oscillator ke 20 level ke niche hone se marked hai, isliye yeh 80 level tak upar ja sakta hai. Bollinger Bands indicator aur Stochastic Oscillator ka use karte hue, GBP/USD price correction ke doran upar ja sakti hai.

GBP/USD price analysis ke results trend ke direction mein neeche move honge. Agar aap confident hain ke GBP/USD price kamzor hoga, toh turant sell trade mat karein. Thoda patience rakhein aur GBP/USD price ko underlying offer ke kareeb aate hue dekhein taake sahi price mil sake. Selling tab ki ja sakti hai jab bearish pin bar ya engulfing candle se confirmation mile, jiska body underlying offer ke niche ho aur loss limit 1.26919 ke upar ho aur profit taking price 1.25889 ke upar ho. Agar GBP/USD price rise underlying supply ko exceed kar jaye, toh sell signal expire ho jata hai trend reversal ke wajah se.

Agar GBP/USD price supply base ko touch karne ya enter karne se pehle neeche move karti hai, toh sell trade enter karne ki koshish na karein kyunki yeh technical requirements ko meet nahi karta. Trade ko pending order buy limit price 1.25889 par execute kiya ja sakta hai, kyunki GBP/USD price oversold hai, loss limit price 1.25825 ke niche aur profit taking 1.26825 ke niche hona chahiye.

Good afternoon, my friend. Pichle haftay tak aisa lagta tha ke sellers ne downward momentum ko maintain kar liya tha. Is hafte ke trading period mein bhi, agar aap GbpUsd pair ke trend situation ko dekhen, to upward correction abhi bhi chal rahi hai. Meray agle trading plan ke liye, main shaayad tab tak intezaar karunga jab tak buyers price ko upar nahi le aate. Main abhi bhi ek sell position choose karta hoon jiska maqsad price ka 1.2591 zone tak girna hai. Agar yeh confirm hota hai ke price 1.2500 zone ke niche rehti hai, to bearish trend zyada der tak ya agle haftay ke aakhir tak chal sakta hai.

Filhal, GbpUsd ki market price 1.2641 par hai. Pichle kuch dino mein market price movement ko dekhte hue, June ke trading period mein aisa lagta hai ke market bearish candlestick pattern bana sakti hai, jo matlab hai ke agla price movement abhi bhi sellers ke control mein ho sakta hai, aur candlestick ko upar jaane ke liye mauka mil sakta hai. Low area ke door, week ke shuruat ke position se, jaise ke pichle haftay ki market conditions, abhi bhi bearish trend ke signs hain.

Trend conditions ko dekhte hue, trend ka magnitude abhi bhi bearish lagta hai, aur decline ka potential bhi zyada hai. Iske ilawa, girti hui candle 100-period simple moving average zone ke bahar hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke aaj ya kal aur decline hone ki possibility hai. Toh, general trading plan ke liye, GbpUsd pair ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke jab tak price sellers ke dwara neeche nahi laayi jaati, tab tak intezaar karein, taake hum behtar waqt par sell position open kar saken. Main optimistic hoon ke agla market bhi kal ki tarah downtrend mein rahega.

Aaj ke GBP/USD movements ko explore karte hain:

Kal, currency market mein ek dramatic power shift dekha gaya. Bears ne bold move mein control le liya aur actively quotes ko niche push kiya. Unhone 1.2644 ka crucial level break kar diya, jo ke current trading range ka lower boundary redraw kar gaya. Unki relentless pressure ne prices ko momentarily red moving average ke niche bhi gira diya, jo ek bearish indicator hai.

Lekin, unka control zyada der tak nahi raha. Bulls ne, jo ke shikast manne ko tayyar nahi the, Asian session ke doran comeback kiya. Prices upar ki taraf inch karne lagi, jo recent price dip ke bottom par bani "candle of uncertainty" ko khatam karne ki koshish kar rahi thi. Quotes ne phir se red moving average ke upar chadhai. Yeh reversal continued growth ka hint deta hai. Filhal, sabse mumkin scenario yeh hai ke resistance level 1.2644 ka retest ho. Yeh ek pivotal point hoga jahan dekha jayega agar bulls is barrier ko break karne mein successful hote hain. Agar wo 1.2644 ke upar break karte hain aur wahan apni position solidify karte hain, to outlook bullish ho jayega. Main anticipate karta hoon ke prices phir se current trading range ke upper limit tak pahunchne ki koshish karengi, jo 1.2726 resistance level ke just niche hoga.

Lekin, situation abhi bhi precarious hai. Bears abhi bhi out nahi huye hain. Agar wo control regain kar lete hain aur price ko 1.2644 resistance ke niche rok dete hain, to downward correction continue hone ki sambhavna hai. Unka agla target support level 1.2578 hoga. Din ka baqi hissa eventful hoga. Economic calendar key statistics se bhara hua hai jo currency market ko shake kar sakta hai. American session ke khulne par, hume US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ki growth rate par data milega, uske baad labor market ke information. Ye reports market mein power balance ko significantly alter kar sakti hain, jo decide karegi ke bulls ya bears ultimately jeetenge.

GBP/USD ke baare mein kal ke events par nazar daalte hain. Pichle daily range ka maximum update hone ke baad, price ne reverse kiya aur din ke end tak ek uncertainty candle bani jo thodi bullish advantage ke saath thi. Overall, main is instrument ke liye apne plans ko abhi change nahi kar raha aur sabse nazdeek resistance level par nazar rakh raha hoon, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq 1.28000 par located hai. Jab price is resistance level ko touch karegi, do scenarios ho sakte hain:

Pehla scenario, jo mere liye priority hai, yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur aage growth continue ho. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main price ke 1.28938 ke resistance level tak jane ka wait karunga. Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karegi, main further northward movement ki ummed karunga, jo ke 1.29956 ke resistance level tak ho sakti hai. Is resistance level ke paas, main ek trading setup ki formation ka intezar karunga jo aage ke trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Haan, door ke northward targets achieve karne ki possibility hai, lekin abhi ke liye main isko consider nahi kar raha kyunki mujhe iska jaldi realization ka perspective nahi dikh raha.

Dusra scenario jab price 1.28000 ke resistance level ko test karegi, woh hai ke reversal candle banne aur southward movement resume karne ka plan. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main price ke 1.26568 ya 1.26340 ke support levels tak wapas aane ka wait karunga. In support levels ke paas, main bullish signals ki talash karta rahunga, upward price movement ke resume hone ki ummed ke saath.

General tor par, abhi ke liye, main assume kar raha hoon ke ongoing accumulation ek impulsive northward price breakout ke saath end hogi aur buyers nearest resistance levels ko test karne ke liye move karenge. Uske baad, main market situation ko accordingly assess karunga.

British pound ne US dollar ke muqablay mein halka sa faida hasil kiya, lekin apne weekly peak ke nazdeek nahi pahuncha. Yeh hesitation do key factors ki wajah se hai: aane wale economic data aur political uncertainty. Investors Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo US mein inflation ka ek important indicator hai. Iske ilawa, aane wale British elections bhi market mein kuch unease create kar rahe hain.

Positive note par, pound 0.25% badh kar dollar ke muqablay mein 1.2652 par trade kar raha hai. Yeh better-than-expected US unemployment data ke baad hua hai. Naye jobless claims ki number 233,000 thi, jo forecasted 236,000 se thodi kam hai. Yeh positive data recent US economic wins mein add hota hai, jismein GDP growth for the first quarter ko 1.4% par revise kiya gaya aur core personal consumption expenditures thodi si badh kar 3.7% ho gayi hai.

Lekin kuch headwinds abhi bhi hain. Aane wala US presidential debate investor attention ko grab kar sakta hai, aur candidates ke proposed policies currency markets ko impact kar sakti hain. Technically, pound ka outlook neutral hai, kyunki moving average narrow range mein stuck hai. Charts par recent "dusk star" formation ne pound ko 1.2700 reclaim karne se roka aur ise 1.2612 tak le gaya, jo ke six-week low hai.

Momentum indicators bhi pound ke liye potential weakness suggest kar rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) aise zone mein hai jo sellers ke liye favorable hai. Pound ka pehla support line 100-day aur 50-day moving averages ke convergence point par hai, jo ke 1.2641/39 ke aas-paas hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, to pound 1.2600 ke psychological level aur shayad 200-day moving average 1.2555 tak gir sakta hai. Upside par, agar pound 1.2700 ke aas-paas resistance ko paar kar sakta hai aur pehle ke support trend lines ko break kar sakta hai, to yeh 1.2730/40 tak upar ja sakta hai. Lekin, is upswing ke liye, investors ko PCE index se positive data dekhna padega aur British elections ke outcome par zyada clarity chahiye hogi.

GBP/USD/H1

GBP/USD ke mutabiq, mujhe laga ke Friday ko 1.2600 ke figure ke neeche nahi jane denge, isliye maine profit ko thoda pehle set kiya, lekin profit kaam nahi aaya. Pair 1.2600 tak nahi pohncha, thoda kam tha, kyunki pair rollback mein chala gaya jaisa ke expected tha. Friday ko, jab maine profit nahi le paaya, pair 1.2680 se rebound hua aur jo expected tha usne kaam kiya, 1.2600 ke paas aaya lekin exact figure tak nahi pohncha. Ab 1.2650 par ek false breakout hua hai aur iske baad growth aage barh sakti hai. Shayad Monday ko rate 1.2740 ke resistance range ke upar chala jaye. Agar 1.2740 ko break karte hain, to growth continue hogi. Humne already 1.2720 ko break kar diya hai aur iske baad growth continue ho sakti hai. Filhal, price ko neeche drive karne ki koshish ho rahi hai aur downward correction continue ho raha hai. 1.2620 level ka false breakout ho sakta hai, uske baad rate strengthen ho sakta hai.

Ek major event jo investors ke liye aane wala hai, Federal Reserve ka interest rate decision hai. Officials ki ummeed hai ke wo current rates ko seventh consecutive time ke liye barqarar rakhenge. Policymakers ne kaha hai ke wo rates ko tab tak nahi ghatayenge jab tak inflation sustainably 2% target par nahi aa jati. Investors Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki press conference aur dot plot se crucial indicators ki intezar mein hain, jo future interest rate outlook ke liye zaroori hoga.

Market speculation ke mutabiq, Fed rate cuts ke potential options ek hi anticipated cut tak narrowed down ho gaye hain, jo ke shayad November ya December meetings mein ho sakta hai. September meeting mein rate cut ki ummeed kafi kam ho gayi hai, jo investors ke cautious approach ko reflect karta hai.

GBP/USD Price Opportunities

Is waqt hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ko analyze kar rahe hain. Mere nazar mein GBP/USD pair ke liye sirf girawat hai, chhoti moti upward pullbacks ko nazar andaz karte hue. Daily pivot 1.2640 tak retracement ke baad, main sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, aaj ke support 1.2562 ko target karte hue. Agar price is main level ke upar breakout aur consolidation karti hai, to outlook change ho sakta hai, lekin filhal price ka aisa strong inclination nahi hai. GBP/USD ne Tuesday ko expected downward move dikhaya. Kal maine is outcome par shak kiya aur zyada extended periods ke liye rebound ka potential dekha, jo ke ek developing pattern ka indication tha. Lekin ek aur scenario saamne aaya, jisse maine movement ka fayda uthaya aur 30 points ka faida kamaya, phir exit kar gaya. Kal 26th figure ka breakdown anticipate nahi karne ke wajah se, din unproductive raha, koi significant market reaction nahi mila. Aaj, Asian session mein ek upward flicker nazar aa rahi hai, jo main monitor karunga. Agar minimum unlikely hai to din ke dauran rebound hone ke chances hain. Ye mera primary expectation hai pehle half of the day ke liye.

Maine pehle bhi similar levels anticipate kiye the, around 2641. Lekin girawat slow lag rahi hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye unusual hai aur seller weakness ya subsequent upward move ke liye potential buyer setup ko indicate karti hai. Agar bullish shift hoti hai, to levels 2551 aur 2501 relevant hain, aur further evaluation zaroori hai. Agar sellers momentum gain karte hain, to hum 2411 tak pohnch sakte hain; mera target 24-figure range mein around 2451 hai, lekin ye approximate hai. Aaj ke news, including interesting US GDP data, movements ko influence kar sakti hai. Jab likh raha hoon, ek possible sell-off shuru ho raha hai. Sales ka cancellation level 2681 hai, lekin 2631 ke upar consolidation growth ko 2681 tak signal kar sakti hai, isliye sellers ke liye ab 2631 ke neeche rehna crucial hai. GBP/USD pair downward trend ki taraf lean kar raha hai, with key resistance aur supp ort levels jo iski trajectory ko shape kar rahe hain.

Monday ko North American trading hours ke doran, GBP/USD pair ne 1.3100 ki threshold ke neeche slip kar gaya, halankeh session ke shuruat mein yeh pair 1.3090 ke upar naya weekly high achieve kar chuka tha. Yeh decline US Dollar ke significant drop ke baad aayi, jo last week ke softer economic data ke wajah se hua. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki performance ko chhe major currencies ke against gauge karta hai, ne 100.55 ke crucial support level ke neeche gir gaya, jo dollar ke strength ki kamzori ko indicate karta hai.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Bank of England (BoE) ke further rate cuts ke expectations GBP par pressure daal rahi hain. 1 August ko 2020 ke baad pehli baar rate cut ke baad, markets ummed kar rahi hain ke saal ke end tak do aur reductions in borrowing costs dekhne ko milengi. Is dauran, US Dollar ko buyers attract karne mein mushkilat ka samna karna pad raha hai, kyunki Federal Reserve (Fed) ke significant rate cuts ke speculation barh rahi hai. Yeh scenario GBP/USD pair par bullish positions lene walon ke liye caution ki zaroorat hai.

Filhal, pair ne recent data se mili gains ko surrender kar diya hai. September mein BoE se rate cut ke chances kam nazar aate hain, swaps sirf 8-9 basis points ke easing risk ko price kar rahe hain. BoE ke Governor Mann ne Financial Times interview mein wage growth aur inflation par uske asraat ke concerns ko highlight kiya. Mann, jo recent policy meeting mein rates ko maintain karne ke liye vote kiya, ne noted ki Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ne pichle rate cut ko narrowly support kiya.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ko upward momentum regain karne ke liye sabse pehle August 27 ke high 1.3265 ko exceed karna hoga. Is level ko surpass karne se pair 1.3280 aur 1.3300 ke significant psychological barriers ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Agar pair 1.3300 mark ko break kar leti hai, to agle key resistance points 1.3386 aur 1.3400 honge. Agar yeh levels bhi breach ho jayein, to pair 1.3000 level ke taraf advance kar sakti hai, aur eventually recent cycle low 1.2964 ke paas pahunchegi.

Pair 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ki taraf rebound kar raha hai, jo filhal 1.3118 ke aas paas hai. 20-day EMA ke upar decisive break GBP/USD ke bullish outlook ka signal de sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne 40.00 level ke aas paas support paane ke baad recovery ke signs dikhaye hain, jo lower levels par barhti buying interest ko indicate karta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair filhal 1.2684 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai aur bearish trend mein nazar aa raha hai. Halanki recent market activity sluggish rahi hai, lekin kuch indicators hain jo yeh suggest karte hain ke agle waqt mein substantial shift ho sakta hai.

Filhal, British pound ke exchange rate against the US dollar 1.2684 hai, jo market sentiment ke persistent downtrend ko reflect karta hai. Recent stagnation ke bawajood, pair mein near future mein potential volatility ke signs hain, jo ke various underlying factors ke zariye driven hain.

Market observers note karte hain ke GBP/USD pair recent trading sessions mein bearish trajectory maintain kar raha hai, movements 1.2684 ke aas paas hover karte hain. Ye dollar strength ke favor mein prevailing sentiment ko indicate karta hai, jo economic data aur geopolitical developments se influenced hai.

Analysts key economic indicators ko closely monitor kar rahe hain jo market sentiment ko sway kar sakte hain aur current trend mein shift trigger kar sakte hain. Bank of England aur Federal Reserve ke beech interest rate differentials, dono nations ke economic growth forecasts, investor expectations ko shape karte hain.

Geopolitical tensions aur trade policies, US aur UK ke beech, currency movements ko impact karte hain. Brexit negotiations ke around uncertainties aur global trade dynamics GBP/USD exchange rate outlook ko complex banate hain.

Technical analysis bhi bearish sentiment ko support karta hai, kyunki GBP/USD pair resistance levels ko break karne aur upward momentum maintain karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Chart patterns aur trading volumes investors ke cautious approach ko suggest karte hain, jo significant market positions commit karne se pehle clearer signals ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Summary mein, jab ke GBP/USD pair filhal 1.2684 ke aas paas bearish bias ke saath trade kar raha hai, outlook abhi bhi fluid hai. Traders aur investors ko vigilant rehne, key economic developments ko monitor karne, aur potential catalysts ko consider karne ki advice di jati hai jo market dynamics ko influence kar sakte hain aur near term mein significant price movements lead kar sakte hain.

British Pound (GBP) ne Thursday ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein ek zinda raasta pakra, jo recent slide ke bawajood tha. GBP/USD exchange rate ne USD ke strong hone ke bawajood 1.2600 ke psychologically important level ke upar rah kar apni position banaye rakhi. Ye support tab aayi jab US Dollar Index (DXY), jo greenback ki strength ko major currencies ke basket ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, ek naye aath haftay ke high se peechay hat gaya. USD ka current dominance shayad chand waqt ke liye hi hai. Investors Friday ko aane wale critical inflation data se pehle cautious approach apna rahe hain. Ye data, core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, inflation ke slow hone ka signal dene ki ummeed hai. Ye Federal Reserve ko is saal ke baad interest rates cut karne ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo market expectations mein pehle se hi shamil hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, traders September tak do rate cuts ki ummeed rakhte hain.

GBP/USD pair ka foran mustaqbil abhi uncertain hai, lekin technical levels valuable insights dete hain. Agar current pullback extend hota hai, to pair 1.2655, uske baad 1.2620 aur 1.2598 par support dekh sakta hai - jo January aur March dono mein mazboot raha. Wohi agar rebound hota hai to pair resistance at 1.2771 ko challenge kar sakta hai, jo 1.2816-1.2859 range ko test karne ka potential rakhta hai. Ye range recent teen mahine ke highs aur December 2023 ke high se define hoti hai. Is zone ke upar breakout se 2024 ke highs tak 1.2892 tak wapas aane ka raasta bhi khul sakta hai. Mukhatar, GBP/USD pair ek tug-of-war mein phansa hua hai. Ek taraf, US Dollar apni taqat dikhla raha hai. Doosri taraf, US monetary policy ki loosening ki expectations Pound ko support kar rahi hain. Friday ka inflation data pair ke agle move ka linchpin hoga. Agar inflation significant slow hota hai to investors ko zyada aggressive rate cuts ko price in karne ke liye inspire kar sakta hai, jo Pound ke favor mein scales tip kar sakta hai. Lekin agar inflation mein surprise uptick hota hai to USD ki strength phir se barh sakti hai aur GBP/USD pair ko niche push kar sakti hai.

GBP/USD ne Wednesday ko kafi strong downward movement dikhayi, jabke iske girne ki koi wazeh wajah nahi thi. Kal koi fundamental ya macroeconomic backdrop nahi tha. Phir bhi, hum pound ke decline ko zyada circumstances ke tehat support karte hain, kyunke hum firmly believe karte hain ke iska fair value current levels se 500-600 pips niche hona chahiye. Yeh abhi tak unclear hai ke market itni strong movement ke liye tayaar hai ya nahi, lekin hum confidently keh sakte hain ke British pound ko buy karne ka technical, fundamental, ya macroeconomic basis nahi hai. Lagbhag chhah mahine se zyada factors yeh indicate kar rahe hain ke GBP/USD ko girna chahiye.

Hourly time frame par ek descending channel form hua hai, jo kaam ko thoda asaan banata hai. Pair ko bearish momentum ko maintain karne ka achha mauka hai jab tak price is channel ke andar rehti hai. Lekin, pound ke saath cautious rahiye kyunke yeh abhi bhi dollar ke muqablay mein girne se reluctant hai. Hum ek pivotal moment ke kareeb ho sakte hain, lekin pichle aadhe saal se market ne British currency ko bechne se inkaar kiya hai.

5-minute timeframe par 1.2684-1.2693 area ke aas-paas ek kafi achha sell signal form hua. Jab pair ne din ke zyada hissa trend ko maintain kiya, to price ne nearest target area 1.2605-1.2633 ko reach kiya. Traders ne short position se lagbhag 40 pips ka profit kama sakte hain. Filhal, hum advise karenge ke positions ko nearest level par close kar lein, kyunke din ke dauran ek se zyada signals form hone ki umeed kam hai.

**Thursday ke trading tips:**

Hourly chart par GBP/USD downtrend banane ke promising signs dikhata hai, lekin iska matlab ye nahi ke pair uptrend nahi bana sakti. Bearish prospects ke liye achha hai ke price 1.2693 level ko do baar overcome kar chuki hai; lekin market aksar bechne se inkaar karta hai, chahe technical, fundamental, aur macroeconomic factors us direction ko favor karte hain. Abhi bhi yeh clear hai ke har naya low sirf pehle se thoda hi niche hai, jo downward trend ki weakness dikhata hai.

Thursday ko British pound erratic aur illogical movements dikhata rah sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, yeh descending channel ke upper boundary ki taraf pull back kar sakta hai.

5M chart par key levels hain: 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980. Aaj UK ke economic calendar mein koi highlight nahi hai. US docket par teen reports aayengi, jinmein se do market sentiment ko influence kar sakti hain. Yeh reports GDP aur durable goods orders hain.

Jab tak demand area barqarar rahta hai, GBP/USD currency pair ke liye apni upward trajectory ko continue karne ka ek aham mauka mojood hai. Yeh demand area ek crucial support zone hai, jiska hifazat karna current bullish outlook ko barqarar rakhne ke liye zaroori hai.

GBP/USD pair ki recent price action ne ek compelling scenario ko highlight kiya hai jahan market participants is key demand zone ke aas-paas ki dynamics ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Traders aur analysts is support level ki importance ko emphasize kar rahe hain, ise future price movements determine karne mein pivotal factor ke taur par dekhte hain.

British pound (GBP) ke liye market sentiment kai economic indicators aur geopolitical developments ke zariye boost hua hai. Currency ka global uncertainties ke bawajood resilience is demand area ki strength ko darshata hai, jo bullish sentiment ko aur mazid barhata hai.

Technically, chart patterns aur indicators fundamental analysis ke sath align ho rahe hain, jo GBP/USD par bullish stance ko reinforce karte hain. Analysts ka kehna hai ke demand area ke aas-paas consolidation phases institutional investors ke potential accumulation ko indicate karte hain, jo further upward momentum ko fuel kar sakti hai.

Iske ilawa, broader macroeconomic environment bhi GBP/USD pair ke liye investor sentiment ko shape karne mein aham role ada kar raha hai. UK se positive economic data releases, aur sustained growth ke expectations, bullish narrative ko support kar rahe hain. Yeh backdrop demand area ko traders ke liye ek strategic entry point banata hai jo potential future gains ko capitalize karne ke liye hai.

Summary mein, jab GBP/USD pair volatile market conditions ke through navigate kar raha hai, demand area ki preservation iski upward trajectory ka critical determinant ban jaati hai. Technical signals aur fundamental factors ka convergence is support zone ki significance ko darshata hai jo current bullish outlook ko barqarar rakhta hai. Traders aur investors ko demand area ke aas-paas developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake unki trading strategies aur risk appetites ke sath align hone wale potential opportunities ko identify kiya ja sake.

Hello, aap kaise hain? GBP/USD Wednesday ko European session mein 1.2650 ki taraf gir raha hai. Fed aur BoE ki policy approaches ka farq aur UK election se pehle ki chinta pair ko vulnerable banaye rakhti hai, jabke risk appetite ke bawajood. Ab tawajjo mid-range US data par hai, kyunki UK calendar data khaali hai. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index indicator 50 ke thoda neeche hai, jo buyer interest ki kami ko darshata hai.

Niche ki taraf, 100-day aur 50-day simple moving averages 1.2640 par strong support banate hain. Yeh level latest uptrend ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement bhi hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ke neeche gir jata hai aur ise resistance ke taur par use karta hai, to 1.2600 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2580 (Fibonacci 50% retracement) agle bearish targets ho sakte hain. 1.2700 (200-period SMA on 4-hour chart) foran resistance banata hai, isse pehle 1.2730 (100-period SMA, Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) aur 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) aati hai. Pair ab bhi Wednesday ko minor bearish pressure mein hai aur agar 1.2640 support tut jata hai to ek extended slide dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ne recently apne benchmark lending rate ko 5.25% se 5.50% ke range mein rakhne ka faisla kiya hai, jo ke saatvi consecutive meeting hai June mein. Yeh decision FOMC officials ki is saal sirf ek rate cut ki expectations ke sath align karta hai, jabke March mein teen ki ummeed thi, latest economic projections ke mutabiq. ‘Dot-plot’ ne federal funds rate forecast ko 4.6% se 5.1% tak revise kiya, jo monetary policy adjustment ke liye cautious approach ko darshata hai.

Pair ko apni upward trend resume karne ke liye 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 1.2641 par cross karna hoga. Agla resistance level 1.2691 hai, jo June 5 ka low hai. Sustained buying pressure pair ko 1.2709 level tak aur shayad Bollinger Band ki upper boundary 1.2832 tak push kar sakta hai. Ye technical indicators bullish momentum ki potential ko darshate hain agar yeh key levels breach ho jayein.

GBP/USD pair ne 1.2570 mark ke aas paas moving averages ko cross kiya hai. Yeh position ek mazboot uptrend ko darshati hai, kyunki critical moving averages ke upar levels ka maintain hona generally bullish sentiment ko signal karta hai. Lekin forex market bohot dynamic hai, aur trends jaldi badal sakte hain. Agar GBP/USD pair neeche ki taraf correction ka samna karta hai, to yeh zaroori hai ke potential support levels ko identify kiya jaye jahan price stabilize ya reverse ho sakti hai. Filhal, analysts 1.2570 level ko closely observe kar rahe hain, kyunki yeh recent trading sessions mein significant support aur resistance point raha hai.

Agar downward trend aur tez hota hai, to agla potential support level 1.2460 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Support levels technical analysis mein crucial hain kyunki yeh wo price points hain jahan currency pair historically buying interest paata hai, jo further declines ko rokti hai. 1.2460 level traders ke liye critical threshold ho sakta hai jo potential rebounds ko capitalize karna chahte hain ya losses ko minimize karna chahte hain. Market participants ko economic data releases, jaise UK aur US ke GDP growth rates, employment figures, aur central bank monetary policy decisions ko bhi consider karna chahiye. Geopolitical developments aur market sentiment bhi currency pair ke trajectory ko shape karte hain.

Summary mein, jabke GBP/USD pair ne 1.2570 par key moving averages ke upar levels maintain kiye hain, traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye. Agar pair downward trend ka samna karta hai, to 1.2460 support level focal point ban sakta hai. Economic indicators aur market conditions se updated rehna informed trading decisions ke liye zaroori hai.

Agar pichle hafte ke shuru mein candlestick movement upar ki taraf gaya aur Simple Moving Average indicator ke paas aaya, lekin aaj subah market closing tak price ab bhi yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke neeche rahi, to Lime line Relative Strength Index indicator par ab bhi level 50 ke neeche hai, jo market ke bearish hone ka indication hai. Agar price phir se upar chali jati hai aur current price level ko chhodti hai, to agla bullish target upar ki taraf ho sakta hai. Main khud bhi SELL trade ki opportunities pursue karne mein interested hoon, kyunki pichle kuch dino se market ka trend zyada bearish raha hai. Lekin traders ko yeh bhi dhyan mein rakhna chahiye ke month ke end ke aas-paas market conditions aam tor par kaafi volatile hoti hain.

GBP/USD

Pound/US Dollar ke current trend ko follow aur analyze karain. Analysis time 4 ghante ka hai. Aaj hum teen indicators ka istemal karke ek munafa dene wale trade ke mumkinah entry point ko dekhain ge: common StopAndReverse, RSI aur MACD. Yeh indicators hume market entry point chunne mein madad karenge. Acchi estimation ke baad, transaction ki profit margin tay karna bhi equally important hai. Iske liye hum Fibonacci grid banayenge based on extremes aur sabse nazdeek Fibo retracement level par focus karenge.

Diye gaye chart par, aap seedha dekh sakte hain ke pehli regression line (gold dotted line), jo instrument ki direction aur current trend ko dikhati hai selected time frame (H4), 100 degrees ke angle par upar ki taraf hai. Yeh 30% se zyada hai, jo prevailing direction ko north ki taraf majbooti deti hai. Chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke downward channel ne reversal kiya, golden upward movement line ko upar se neeche ki taraf cross kiya aur ab trend line par hai.

Price ne ResLine ke second level ki red line ko cross kiya, lekin 1.27880 (HIGH) ke maximum line tak pahunch gayi, jahan se growth ruk gayi aur dheere dheere decline shuru hui. Abhi instrument 1.26815 ke price level par trade kar raha hai. Sab kuch dekhte hue, mujhe ummeed hai ke market prices recover karengi aur 2-Level ResLine line (1.24981) ke neeche 50% FIBO level par settle karengi, aur phir golden line ke average LR line par 1.22983 tak girengi aur 0% Fibo level se milengi. Trade ka ek aur wajah yeh hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators extreme area mein hain, jo trade mein shamil hone ki validity ko confirm karta hai.