𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

**GBP/USD H-1 Time Frame Chart**

Kal maine GBP/USD ko 1.2620 par khareeda. Sacchi baat to yeh hai ke maine currency pair ko tail se pakadne ka plan nahi banaya tha, lekin aisa hi hua. Aur yeh kaafi interesting hai ke price bina kisi unnecessary downward jolts ke upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Profit fixed hai, aur yeh acha hai.

Current situation mein, main zyada tar is scenario ko dekh raha hoon jahan quotations strengthen hoti rahe. Indicator ke mutabiq, 1.2682 ke upar fixation hai aur assistant ne price growth continue karne ka signal diya hai. Local pullback ke bina bhi, 1.2660 - 1.2670 ko long position open karne ke liye consider kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin growth goals ke saath, sab kuch itna simple nahi hai. Horizontal level 1.2706 dikhayi de raha hai aur main uska retest wait kar raha hoon, lekin meri northern desires aur bhi upar hain, 1.2736 tak. Aaj ke calendar mein news background hai, isliye shayad news mere northern dreams ko pura karne mein madad kare.

**GBP/USD H-4 Time Frame Chart**

Hi, Vadim. Tumhare sath hi nahi, main bhi kabhi kabhi gayab ho jata hoon. Lekin abhi main zyada door nahi ja raha. Pound ke baare mein, tum akele nahi ho jo stunned ho. Flat continue kar raha hai, to agar koi medium term mein baitha hai, toh woh bhi tumhare sath stunned hai. Main bhi, medium term mein nahi hone ke bawajood, pair ke sath stuck hoon, kyunki tum exit ki ummeed kar rahe ho, lekin wo mil nahi raha. Abhi jo kuch bhi hai, woh yeh hai ke high par sell karna aur support ke paas low par buy karna. Is subah maine ek sale open ki hai. Mujhe nahi pata maine sahi kiya ya nahi, kyunki abhi bulls bears se zyada active hain, lekin resistance ke paas buy karna bhi common nahi hai. Agar price niche jaati hai, toh main sale cover karunga aur further developments ke liye wait karunga. Agar price upar jaati hai, toh mujhe ek zyada profitable position milegi sell karne ke liye. 1.2800 ke aas paas sell karna acha hoga.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein girawat dekhi hai kyunki yeh ek aham confluence point ko todne mein nakam rahi. Yeh point ek teen mahine purani descending resistance trendline ke saath 1.2710 level par hai. Is confluence ko paar na kar paane ki wajah se pair ki upar ki taraf movement ruk gayi hai. Lekin, is challenge ke bawajood, market mein buyer momentum ab bhi dekha ja sakta hai.

Ek key indicator jo buyer interest ko dikhata hai wo hai Relative Strength Index (RSI). RSI, ek momentum oscillator hai jo price movements ki speed aur change ko measure karta hai, aur ab bhi bullish territory mein hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ke beech underlying sentiment ab bhi strong hai, halan ke pair ne resistance ka saamna kiya hai. RSI ka bullish territory mein hona indicate karta hai ke GBP/USD ko buy karne mein ab bhi considerable interest hai aur momentum sellers ki taraf shift nahi hua.

GBP/USD ke aas-paas ke market dynamics complex hain. Teen mahine purani descending resistance trendline ek crucial technical barrier hai jise pair ne paar karne mein struggle kiya hai. Yeh trendline pair ko neeche ki taraf guide kar rahi hai, jo ek broader downtrend ko reflect karta hai jo kuch time se chal raha hai. 1.2710 mark ek additional resistance level hai jo upar jaane ki mushkil ko badha raha hai. Yeh resistance levels ka confluence significant hai kyunki yeh trendline ke historical selling pressure ko 1.2710 level ke psychological aur technical importance ke saath combine karta hai.

Haal ki recent decline GBP/USD bulls ke liye discouraging lag sakti hai, lekin RSI ke zariye highlighted buyer momentum dikhata hai ke market ab bhi fully bearish nahi hua. Buyers ab bhi active hain aur resistance ko todne mein nakami ek temporary setback ho sakti hai, trend mein definitive shift nahi. Jab tak RSI bullish territory mein hai, pair ke upar move karne ka potential hai, shayad future attempt mein resistance levels ko break kar sake. Isliye, traders ko in technical indicators aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake pair ke agle movements ko gauge kiya ja sake.

British Pound ko US Dollar ke muqablay mein naye pressure ka samna hai aur yeh 1.2600 ke aas-paas familiar lows par wapas aa gaya hai. Yeh kamzori tab aayi hai jab Wednesday ko economic data front par koi khaas activity nahi thi, aur ab focus Thursday aur Friday ko scheduled important releases par shift ho gaya hai. Wednesday ko market activity kuch zyada direction nahi deti, UK economic calendar khali raha, jab ke US ke May ke new home sales data ne downside surprise diya, jo pehle se zyada girawat dikhata hai. Yeh data GBP/USD pair ko move nahi kar paya, aur investors eagerly awaited hain ke aane wale data dump se currency pair par significant impact ho sakta hai.

Aane wale dinon mein key economic indicators honge jo currency pair ki future trajectory ko dictate kar sakte hain. Thursday ko Bank of England ka latest financial stability report release hoga, jo UK financial system ki health ko highlight karega aur investor sentiment ko influence kar sakta hai. Us din ke baad, US durable goods orders, GDP revisions for the first quarter, aur weekly initial jobless claims ka data unveil karega. Yeh figures US economic activity ke valuable insights provide karengi, jo Dollar ke value ko impact kar sakti hain.

GBP/USD pair ab ek critical juncture par hai. Technically, yeh 1.2859 ke three-month high se gir gaya hai aur ab support levels ko test kar raha hai. Agar pullback jari rehta hai, to June ka support level 1.2655 pehle break ho sakta hai. Is level ka breach further declines ki taraf le ja sakta hai, 1.2620 aur 1.2598 ke aas-paas crucial support zone tak, jo earlier this year strong raha. Dusri taraf, agar bullish momentum wapas aata hai to pair 1.2771 par resistance ko challenge kar sakta hai. Agar yeh hurdle clear hota hai, to recent highs near 1.2892 tak wapas aa sakta hai.

In conclusion, GBP/USD pair ek crossroads par hai. Aane wale economic data aur Fed rate hikes ke expectations currency pair ke direction ko dictate karengi. Agar Fed se dovish shift hota hai aur UK se positive economic surprises milti hain, to Pound ko support mil sakta hai. Conversely, Fed se hawkish signals ya UK economy mein further weakness ke signs se Pound US Dollar ke muqablay mein aur gir sakta hai.

GBP/USD Pair Analysis:

Wednesday ke trading session mein GBP/USD pair par sellers ka dominance raha, aur price 1.2614 ke aas-paas upar neeche hoti rahi. Yeh downward movement us waqt hui jab price ne resistance level 1.2692 par rejection face kiya, jo MA 200 ka dynamic resistance hai aur trend setter ke taur par use hota hai. Intraday analysis 1 hour time frame par ki gayi hai jo moving average indicator ko refer karti hai, aur yeh pair bearish trend mein hai. Aaj bhi sellers ke paas momentum ko maintain karne ka mauka hai taake market ko dominate kiya ja sake aur bearish trend continue rahe, isliye trading plans sell option consider kar sakte hain.

Sell entry analysis ke liye stochastic indicator ko filter ke taur par use kiya gaya. Yeh indicator level 20 ko chhod kar upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo oversold area ka limit hai. Iska matlab hai ke prices upwards correct ho sakti hain. Correction phase ka projection MA period 24 ke dynamic resistance par 1.2637 ke price tak uth sakta hai. Yeh level prices ke girne ka pullback point ban sakta hai. Downward movement ke liye momentum stochastic indicator ke overbought area mein hone se confirm hota hai, yaani level 80 ke paas aur phir downward turn. Downward movement Wednesday ke low 1.2614 ko test karegi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to bearish trend continue hone ki confirmation milti hai. Next downside target support 1.2575 ki taraf ho sakta hai.

**Trading Plan:**

- **Sell Entry:** Resistance 1.2637 par sell karen.
Intraday analysis ke mutabiq GBP/USD moving average pair bearish trend mein hai. Trading plans down trends follow karte huye sell options consider kar sakte hain. Ideal sell entry point ke liye price ka correction dekhna zaroori hai jo MA period 24 ke dynamic resistance 1.2637 tak rise kar sakta hai. Yeh level prices ke girne ka pullback point ban sakta hai. First downward movement target Wednesday ka low 1.2614 hai. Agar break low hota hai, to next sell target support 1.2575 ki taraf re-enter kar sakte hain.

- **Limit Losses:** Resistance 1.2718 par.
Losses ko limit karne ke liye stop loss ya cut loss place karen agar price MA period 200 ke dynamic resistance 1.2718 se upar chali jaye. Is resistance ka break buyers ke momentum gain karne aur trend direction ka reversal, yani bearish se bullish ka indication deta hai. Is resistance ka break buy entry signal bhi deta hai. Isliye aap buy position open kar sakte hain with an upward target of 1.2753.

Last Wednesday ko GBP/USD ki volatility kaafi zyada thi kyunki currency pair ne bohot deep decline experience kiya. Ek din mein GBP/USD ne lagbhag 61 pips girawat dekhi. Decline tab shuru hui jab candle resistance 1.2699 ko penetrate nahi kar payi. Halankeh GBP/USD ka artistic output kaafi high tha, lekin yeh continue nahi ho paya. Ab GBP/USD price 1.2619 par trade ho rahi hai. Time frame analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ke kal ki decline ke result ke tor par lowest H1 support 1.2619 ke price par penetrate ho gaya hai. Is penetration ke saath humein careful rehna hoga kyunki yeh GBP/USD ko aur zyada niche le ja sakta hai. Lekin aaj mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD wapas upar aayegi kyunki candle RBS area 1.2619 ko penetrate nahi kar payi. Ho sakta hai aage pullback ke liye jagah mile. Meanwhile, Ichimoku indicator abhi bhi uptrend ki koi signs nahi dikhata kyunki candle position abhi bhi Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke upar hai. Phir bhi, main buy position open karne ki recommendation deta hoon kyunki stochastic indicator level 20 tak pahunch chuka hai. Target ke liye aap nearest resistance jo 1.2699 par hai, set kar sakte hain.

**GBP/USD Pair Analysis**

Wednesday ke trading session mein GBP/USD pair par sellers ka dominance raha, aur price 1.2614 tak upar neeche hoti rahi. Yeh downward movement tab hui jab price ne resistance 1.2692 par rejection face kiya, jo MA 200 ka dynamic resistance hai aur trend setter ke taur par use hota hai. Intraday analysis 1 hour time frame par ki gayi hai, jo moving average indicator ko refer karti hai, aur yeh pair bearish trend mein hai. Aaj bhi sellers ke paas momentum ko maintain karne ka mauka hai taake market ko dominate kiya ja sake aur bearish trend continue rahe. Isliye trading plans sell option consider kar sakte hain.

Sell entry analysis ke liye stochastic indicator ko filter ke taur par use kiya gaya. Yeh indicator level 20 ko chhod kar upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo oversold area ka limit hai. Iska matlab hai ke prices upwards correct ho sakti hain. Correction phase ka projection MA period 24 ke dynamic resistance par 1.2637 ke price tak uth sakta hai. Yeh level prices ke girne ka pullback point ban sakta hai. Downward movement ke liye momentum stochastic indicator ke overbought area mein hone se confirm hota hai, yani level 80 ke paas aur phir downward turn. Downward movement Wednesday ke low 1.2614 ko test karegi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to bearish trend continue hone ki confirmation milti hai. Next downside target support 1.2575 ki taraf ho sakta hai.

**Trading Plan:**

- **Sell Entry:** Resistance 1.2637 par sell karen.
Intraday analysis ke mutabiq GBP/USD moving average pair bearish trend mein hai. Trading plans down trends follow karte huye sell options consider kar sakte hain. Ideal sell entry point ke liye price ka correction dekhna zaroori hai jo MA period 24 ke dynamic resistance 1.2637 tak rise kar sakta hai. Yeh level prices ke girne ka pullback point ban sakta hai. First downward movement target Wednesday ka low 1.2614 hai. Agar break low hota hai, to next sell target support 1.2575 ki taraf re-enter kar sakte hain.

- **Limit Losses:** Resistance 1.2718 par.
Losses ko limit karne ke liye stop loss ya cut loss place karen agar price MA period 200 ke dynamic resistance 1.2718 se upar chali jaye. Is resistance ka break buyers ke momentum gain karne aur trend direction ka reversal, yani bearish se bullish ka indication deta hai. Is resistance ka break buy entry signal bhi deta hai. Isliye aap buy position open kar sakte hain with an upward target of 1.2753.

**Pound/US Dollar Currency Pair Analysis**

Aaj ke liye Pound/US Dollar currency pair ke trend ko track aur analyze karna zaroori hai, jiska time-frame 4 ghante ka hai. Aaj ke profitable trading ke liye hum teen indicators - Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD ke signals ko consider karenge jo market entry point ko select karne mein madadgar honge. Forecast ko successfully execute karne ke baad, transaction ko close karne ke liye sabse profitable point bhi determine karna important hai. Iske liye, hum Fibonacci grid construct karenge jo current extreme points par based hogi, aur position exit karne ke liye nearest correctional Fibo levels ko focus karenge.

Presented chart par, aap dekh sakte hain ke pehli degree ki regression line (golden dotted line), jo instrument ka direction aur current trend state ko dikhati hai H4 time-frame par, 30% se zyada angle par upar ki taraf hai. Yeh dominant north-side trend movement ko emphasize karti hai. Nonlinear regression channel ne bend complete kiya hai, golden line of upward trend ko neeche se upar ki taraf cross kiya hai, aur ab upar ki taraf move kar raha hai.

Price ne red resistance line of linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya, lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) 1.27880 tak pohnchne ke baad growth ko rok diya aur steadily decline shuru kiya. Ab instrument 1.26815 price level par trade kar raha hai. In sab cheezon ke madde nazar, mujhe ummeed hai ke market price quotes wapas aayengi aur 2-nd LevelResLine channel line (1.24981) ke neeche consolidate hongi, aur phir golden average line LR of linear channel 1.22983, jo 0% Fibo level ke sath coincide karti hai, ki taraf movement continue hogi. Additional argument ke liye, RSI (14) aur MACD indicators bhi sales entry ke liye sahi hai kyunki yeh overbought zone mein hain.

**GBP/USD Pair Review**

Pichle hafte ke trading ke akhir mein, latest British data ne May ke liye retail sales mein strong rebound record kiya, magar pound global markets mein significant progress karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Trading ke mutabiq, pound sterling ka exchange rate dollar ke muqablay (GBP/USD) raat ko 6 hafton ke lowest levels tak gir gaya, lekin data ke baad thora recover karke 1.2665 par aa gaya. Isi performance ke dauran, pound sterling ka exchange rate euro ke muqablay (GBP/EUR) bhi ek haftay ke lowest levels ke nazdeek 1.1820 par aa gaya.

Economic calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq, UK ki sales volumes May mein 2.9% se jump kar gayi, jabke April ke liye revised 1.8% ki girawat thi, jo ke pehle 2.3% decline report hui thi. Ye consensus expectations se kaafi zyada tha jo 1.6% increase thi. Sales teen mahine mein May tak 1.0% barh gayi jo ke pehle ke teen mahine ke muqablay thi. April mein sales ko adverse weather conditions ne hit kiya tha aur May mein favorable conditions ne recovery mein madad ki. Sales mein year-over-year 1.3% ka increase hua jo ke pehle 2.3% ki decline se behtar hai, magar sales abhi bhi pre-pandemic levels se thori kam hain.

Bank of England ne is baat ka ishaara diya hai ke zyada officials shayad interest rate cuts ko support karne ke qareeb hain, isse summer ke end tak policy easing ki umeed bani hui hai. Pichle hafte, British Central Bank ne apne key lending rate ko 16 saalon ke highest level 5.25% par barqarar rakha. Magar meeting minutes mein kaha gaya ke interest rates ko cut na karne ka faisla kuch members ke liye “finely balanced” tha.

Investors ne August mein Bank of England ke move ki 50% se zyada ummeed lagayi thi, jo ke ek mahine ke baad pehli baar hua tha. Governor Andrew Bailey ne kaha ke inflation ka 2% target tak pehli baar pahunchna “achhi khabar” hai, lekin officials chaahte hain ke price pressure kam ho jaye tab tak action na lein.

Aane wale waqt mein pound ke dollar ke muqablay price ki kya ummeed hai?

Nayi analysis ke mutabiq, pound US dollar ke muqablay mein May ke levels tak kamzor ho sakta hai. Forex currency analysts at ING Bank kehti hain ke Bank of England 2024 mein interest rates ko zyada margin se cut karega jo ke markets ke current pricing se zyada hai, jo pound sterling ko affect karega. Sterling ki kamzori ka main focus dollar ke muqablay hoga, kyunki US Federal Reserve Bank of England ke interest rate cuts ko match karne ki position mein nahi hai. Francesco Pisol, Forex strategist at ING Bank, kehti hain: “Hum expect karte hain ke zyada tar sterling weakness GBP/USD pair ke through hoga, jo ke hum expect karte hain ke 1.25 ke neeche trade karega.”

US dollar ne pichle hafte mein quiet week guzara, magar “cautious” developments Europe mein uski rise ko maintain karne mein madadgar thi. Ye pichle hafte pound ke muqablay ek third of a percent se barh gaya, aur lagta hai ke ye apni third weekly advance record karne ke qareeb hai. Ye euro ke muqablay bhi similar outperformance register karta hai.

XM.com ke analysts ke mutabiq: “US dollar ka lagta hai ke week ko rise ke sath end karne ke liye tayar hai, aur ye apni gains ki series ko third week ke liye continue kar raha hai.” Jabke inflationary pressures aur broader economy mein slowdown ke signs ne expectations barha di hain ke US Federal Reserve shayad 2024 mein do interest rate cuts kar sake, pehla September mein expected hai, doosri central banks policy easing mein aage hain.

Pound sterling ki price ne last Thursday ke din Bank of England ke interest rates ko unchanged rakhe jaane ke baad girawat dekhi, lekin statement mein kaha gaya ke kuch Monetary Policy Committee members reduction ke haq mein vote dene ke qareeb hain. Isne markets ko August mein rate cut ke expectations barhadi. ING add karta hai ke wo 2024 mein August se shuru karke teen interest rate cuts expect karta hai. Ye market ke do cuts se zyada pessimistic hai.

Financial markets abhi August mein approximately 65% probability of cut estimate kar rahe hain aur is saal do cuts of 25 basis points dekh rahe hain. Analysts ke mutabiq, European central banks interest rate cuts mein Federal Reserve se kaafi aage hain, jo ke US dollar ke liye positive development hai, magar is stage par dollar ko significant decline push karne ke liye shayad itna kaafi nahi hai.

**Pound Sterling aur US Dollar ka Analysis**

Sufraah ke early Wednesday trading mein Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein adaptability dikhayi. Yeh US Department of Labor ke report ke baad hua, jo ke United States mein affectation rates ke rukne ka indication de raha tha. Jaise hi investors Federal Reserve ke financial policy decision aur president Jerome Powell ke press conference ka intezar kar rahe the, GBP/USD pair ne 1.2624 ka daily low touch kiya, jo ke 0.41% ki girawat ko darshata hai.

**GBP/USD ke Fundamentals**

US Dollar ne ek jawab dekha, jo ke Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ke surprise ke bawajood aaya, jo short term mein interest rate cuts ki zarurat ko kam darshata hai. Wahi, us din release hui flash data ne UK ki economic growth mein recession ko highlight kiya, jo pichle waqt ke recession se recovery ki kami ko darshata hai. Ye factors British Pound ke bearish sentiment ko contribute kar rahe hain, jo GBP/USD pair ko impact kar raha hai.

**Four-Hour Time Frame Technical Outlook**

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, support 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par 1.2600 ke aas-paas hai, aur further support lower boundary of an ascending channel par lagbhag 1.2500 ke aas-paas hai. In levels ka break hone par dealing pressure consolidate ho sakta hai, jo crucial support 1.2451 tak test kar sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar price move hoti hai, to yeh GBP/USD pair ko upward movement ke liye pave kar sakta hai, jo pair ko upper boundary of the ascending channel tak le ja sakta hai, jo 1.3000 ke aas-paas hai.

**D1 Chart Technical Outlook aur Key Resistance Levels for GBP/USD**

GBP/USD pair ko apni upward trend ko renew karne ke liye 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 1.2641 ke upar se break karna hoga. Agla resistance level 1.2691 par hai, jo June 5 ka low hai. Sustained buying pressure se pair 1.2709 tak push ho sakta hai aur Bollinger Band ke upper boundary tak 1.2832 tak ja sakta hai. Ye technical indicators bullish momentum ki taraf ishaara karte hain agar yeh crucial levels break hote hain.

Agar buyers exchange rate ko 1.2780 ke range mein rakhe, to yeh spot prices ko uplift kar sakte hain aur range ke top par mentioned convergence ko challenge kar sakte hain. Yeh upward movement earnings ki taraf lead kar sakti hai, jahan targets YTD high of 1.2894 aur uske baad 1.2900 mark tak ho sakte hain. Yeh levels bullish traders ke liye significant mileposts hain jo pair ki strength ka faida uthane ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Mera Take Profit 1.2625 par set tha, lekin maine sell position ko manually 1.2630 par close kar diya. Mujhe darr tha ke shayad price wapas turn ho kar upar ki taraf chalna shuru kar de. Jese ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai, maine deal ko jaldi close kar diya. Agar main wait karta, to end mein Take Profit order ke zariye yeh deal apne aap close ho jati kyunki price ne 1.2608 ka level touch kar liya tha. Maine koi aur deals open nahi ki. Mere paas abhi bhi pending orders hain 1.2605 aur 1.2586 par. Umeed hai ke agle hafte, Monday ya Tuesday ko yeh orders activate ho jayein.
Is waqt, hourly chart ne sales ke targets form kar liye hain. Pehla target level 161.8 hai jo Fibonacci grid par 1.2593 ke value par hai. Dusra target level 261.8 hai jo 1.2551 ke value par hai. Teesra target level 423.6 hai jo 1.2481 ke level par hai. Dekhte hain ke yeh sab kaise work out hota hai.

Oksana! Hello! Weekend mubarak ho aapko! Kal ki trading ke nateeje mein, din ek choti si bullish candle ke saath close hua, jo almost pinbar jaisi thi. Hourly chart par sales ke targets form ho chuke hain. Pehla target level 161.8 jo ke Fibonacci grid par 1.2593 ke value par hai, bohot realistic lagta hai ke work karega. Dusra target level 261.8 hai jo 1.2551 par hai, yeh bhi achi tarah se hit ho sakta hai. Mere paas pending buy orders hain 1.2605 aur 1.2586 par. Mera plan hai ke GBP/USD currency pair 1.2700 se 1.2730 tak grow kare.

Yeh targets mere liye important hain kyunki yeh levels mera trading strategy ka hissa hain. Fibonacci levels ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke market mein further downside move possible hai, lekin phir bhi mujhe yeh umeed hai ke price in levels se bounce kar ke wapas upar ki taraf move karega. Trading mein sabr aur waqt ko samajhna zaroori hai, isliye yeh pending orders mujhe allow karenge ke main apni strategy ke mutabiq positions ko manage kar sakoon

GBP/USD pair par sellers ka dominance raha, aur price 1.2614 tak upar neeche hoti rahi. Yeh downward movement tab hui jab price ne resistance 1.2692 par rejection face kiya, jo MA 200 ka dynamic resistance hai aur trend setter ke taur par use hota hai. Intraday analysis 1 hour time frame par ki gayi hai, jo moving average indicator ko refer karti hai, aur yeh pair bearish trend mein hai. Aaj bhi sellers ke paas momentum ko maintain karne ka mauka hai taake market ko dominate kiya ja sake aur bearish trend continue rahe. Isliye trading plans sell option consider kar sakte hain.GBP/USD pair ko apni upward trend ko renew karne ke liye 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ko 1.2641 ke upar se break karna hoga. Agla resistance level 1.2691 par hai, jo June 5 ka low hai. Sustained buying pressure se pair 1.2709 tak push ho sakta hai aur Bollinger Band ke upper boundary tak 1.2832 tak ja sakta hai. Ye technical indicators bullish momentum ki taraf ishaara karte hain agar yeh crucial levels break hote hain.
Agar buyers exchange rate ko 1.2780 ke range mein rakhe, to yeh spot prices ko uplift kar sakte hain aur range ke top par mentioned convergence ko challenge kar sakte hain. Yeh upward movement earnings ki taraf lead kar sakti hai, jahan targets YTD high of 1.2894 aur uske baad 1.2900 mark tak ho sakte hain. Yeh levels bullish traders ke liye significant mileposts hain jo pair ki strength ka faida uthane ki koshish kar rahe hain.
Sell entry analysis ke liye stochastic indicator ko filter ke taur par use kiya gaya. Yeh indicator level 20 ko chhod kar upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo oversold area ka limit hai. Iska matlab hai ke prices upwards correct ho sakti hain. Correction phase ka projection MA period 24 ke dynamic resistance par 1.2637 ke price tak uth sakta hai. Yeh level prices ke girne ka pullback point ban sakta hai. Downward movement ke liye momentum stochastic indicator ke overbought area mein hone se confirm hota hai, yani level 80 ke paas aur phir downward turn. Downward movement Wednesday ke low 1.2614 ko test karegi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to bearish trend continue hone ki confirmation milti hai. Next downside target support 1.2575 ki taraf ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD ka Fundamental Data

Haal hi mein aane wale economic data ne GBP/USD pair ki movements par kafi asar dala hai, khaaskar jab se U.S. labor market aur berozgaari ke reports saamne aaye hain. Data ke mutabiq August mein unemployment rate mein kami dekhne ko mili, jo ke pehle se expected thi, magar Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) ke figures forecasts se thode kam rahe, aur July ke numbers ko neeche revise kiya gaya. Is mixed data ka nateeja dollar mein sirf 50-pip ka izafa tha, jo ke mojooda market conditions ke lehaaz se itna khaas nahi hai. U.S. labor market ke chal rahe issues aur September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed bhi dollar ke future movements par asar daal sakti hain. Halaanki dollar ne recent taur par mazbooti dikhayi hai, magar data aur market sentiment yeh suggest karti hain ke U.S. currency ki sales dobara shuru ho sakti hain. 5-minute chart par, 1.3225 ke qareeb ek sell signal mila jisse price 1.3102-1.3107 ke range tak gir gayi, aur yeh ek profitable short trading ka mauqa bana. Ab market ka diyaan in economic developments par hoga ke yeh pair ki trajectory ko aanay walay dino mein kaise asar daalti hain.



GBP/USD ka Price Movement

Haal hi mein GBP/USD ek critical support level 1.3105 ke qareeb pohanchi hai, aur twenty-day Exponential Moving Average ne 1.3070 par intermediate support provide kiya hai. 28 December 2023 ke high 1.2828 se ek upward-sloping trendline bhi pair ko support de rahi hai. Magar, fourteen-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00–60.00 ke range mein gir chuka hai, jo ke temporary taur par bullish momentum ke khatam hone ka ishara hai. Iske bawajood, overall bullish trend tab tak barqarar rahegi jab tak RSI 50 ke upar rahe. Jo resistance levels dekhne layak hain, unmein psychological mark 1.3500 aur round-number barrier 1.3200 shamil hain.

H4 chart ke recent price action ne do long bearish candles dikhayi hain, jo continued bearish pressure ko suggest karti hain. London session ke doran pound ne kafi weakness dikhayi, aur price 1.3084 ke four-hour support level ke aas paas stabilize hui. Stochastic indicator jo ke is waqt 20.00 se neeche hai, ek negative trend ko darsha raha hai. Agar bearish pressure mein kami aayi aur Stochastic indicator rebound kar gaya, to ek potential bullish scenario bhi ubhar sakta hai.

GBP/USD Ka Price Movement Aur Monday Ki Trading Strategy

Friday ko GBP/USD pair ne bhi downward movement dikhayi. Dollar ka izafa U.S. labor market aur unemployment data ke base par hua, jo ke kuch hat tak ajayab laga. Magar reports khud phir bhi itni behtareen nahi thi. August mein unemployment rate kam hui, jo ke market ne pehle se expect kiya tha. Non-Farm Payrolls ki figure forecasts se thodi kam rahi, aur July ka figure bhi downward revise kiya gaya. Isliye is data ko "positive" kehna mushkil hai. Keh sakte hain ke yeh behtar tha jo ho sakta tha. Dollar ne 50 pips ka izafa kiya, jo ke mojooda halat mein kuch khaas nahi hai. U.S. currency ki sales aasan se dobara shuru ho sakti hain, kyun ke U.S. labor market ko ab bhi issues ka samna hai aur market ko lagta hai ke Federal Reserve September mein in problems ko address karne ke liye key rate ko kam karegi.

Friday ko 5-minute time frame par technical perspective se trading kaafi acchi rahi. Pehla trading signal U.S. ke important data release se pehle, 1.3167 ke qareeb bana. Magar yeh trade karna itna behtareen nahi tha kyun ke Non-Farm release se sirf paanch minute pehle market me enter karna achi strategy nahi. Lekin, ek ghante baad, 1.3225 ke qareeb ek behtareen sell signal bana. Baad mein, price thodi der ke liye 1.3145-1.3167 ke area mein stuck rahi, phir yeh 1.3102-1.3107 ke area tak gir gayi, jahan downward movement khatam hui. Is tarah, novice traders ek short position open kar sakte the, jo ke lagbhag 90 pips ka profit dene wali thi.




Monday Ki Trading Strategy:

Hourly time frame mein, GBP/USD ke paas global downward trend ko resume karne ka achha mauqa hai ya kam se kam thodi kami dekhne ko mil sakti hai. British pound overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market har mauqa istemal kar rahi hai British currency kharidne aur dollar bechne ke liye. Pound sirf ek choti bearish correction dikhata hai aur uthane ki taraf inclination hai. Full-fledged downtrend par baat karna abhi zyada jaldi hai.

Monday ko pair kisi bhi direction mein move kar sakta hai, magar hum flat market dekhne ki ummeed kar sakte hain. Is hafte dollar ke izafe ke liye koi naye reasons nahi aaye hain, halanki dollar abhi bhi oversold hai.

5M time frame par dekhne layak key levels hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Monday ko UK aur U.S. mein koi significant events scheduled nahi hain, isliye market ko react karne ke liye kuch nahi milega.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis

Hello. Mujhe laga ke hum 1.32647 par current maximum ko update karenge, aur Friday ko news release ke baad sab log is direction mein actively move hue. Lekin, baad mein sellers ne trading ka course reverse kar diya aur din apne naam kar liya. Aaj, market ke opening ke baad bhi sellers active decline ko continue nahi kar paaye. Agar woh price ko aur neeche le jaana chahte hain, to unhe 1.31091 level ko break karke uske peechay consolidate karna hoga, jiska pehla target 1.30869 hoga. Yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke maximum ko update karne ka option abhi bhi cancel nahi hua; iske liye buyers ko 1.31508 level ko break karke uske peechay consolidate karna padega.




GBP/USD H4 Chart: 4-hour chart par 1-pound pair central bands ke area mein hai, aur bands bhi inward tuck ho gayi hain. Yahaan se movement kisi bhi direction mein continue ho sakti hai. High-quality signal paane ke liye, price ke upar ya neeche jaane ka signal dekhne ke liye, humein active new exit ka intezaar karna chahiye jo upper band ke paar ho, aur dekhna chahiye ke bands outward open hoti hain ya nahi. Current situation ko fractals ke perspective se dekhen to, price fall ka target nearest fractal down hai; iski breakout aur consolidation price ko 1.30869 level tak le jaa sakti hai, jo ke September 3 ko fractal ke level par hai.

Nearest fractal up kaafi door hai, aur price growth ke direction mein jaldi reliance ke liye ek new, closer fractal ka intezaar karna zaroori hai. AO indicator zero mark ke qareeb aa gaya hai; agar agle trading days mein hum zero se transition dekhen aur negative zone mein active increase dekhen, to price ke girne ka strong signal mil sakta hai. Positive area mein nayi increase signal degi ke quotes grow karenge.

GBP/USD Pair Technical Analysis

Welcome to my trading journal, doston. Saalon se, main is journal ka istemal apne trading activities ko track karne ke liye karta hoon. Trading journal ka maqsad apne wins aur losses ko record karna hota hai taake aap seekh sakein aur apne performance ka evaluation kar sakein. Aaj subah ki routine ke hisse ke tor par, main kal ke transactions ko review karunga aur aaj ki market analysis ko continue karunga. Is forum ke tamaam readers ke liye, mujhe ummeed hai ke yeh meri aur aap sabki madad kar sakega.

Pichle Thursday ke trading session mein, GBP/USD mein long position ne 1.2650 par losses cut kiye. Yeh isliye hua ke price 1.2678 ke support se neeche gir gayi, jo ke hourly timeframe par 100 MA ke qareeb tha. 1.2505 tak girne ke baad, price ne phir se upward movement ki. Yeh disappoint karne wala hai, kyunki agar aap position ko hold karte, to aap survive ya even profit change kar sakte the. Kaun keh sakta hai ke price phir se rise karegi? Aik aur mauqe par, cut ya stop loss trading account ko bacha sakta hai agar hum analysis par rely karein.




Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne hint diya ke agar inflation expectations ke mutabiq hoti hai, economic growth robust rehti hai, aur labor market current trend ko follow karta hai, to rate cut ka potential ho sakta hai. Reuters ne Powell ke comments report kiye, jo ke suggest karte hain ke aisi move Fed ke September meeting mein consider ki ja sakti hai. Is ke bawajood, US Dollar ne policy-inspired sell-off ke baad rebound kiya. Lekin, ISM Manufacturing PMI report ke weak results ke wajah se apni gains ko maintain karne mein struggle kiya. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ko chhay bade currencies ke khilaf measure karta hai, ne intraday low 100.48 se approximately 101.89 tak rise kiya. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne recently Bank ke policy rate ko 5% par reduce karne ke faisle ka defence kiya aur media inquiries ka jawab diya. Bailey ne kaha ke minimum wage increase unke perspective se detrimental nahi rahi. Unhone point out kiya ke firms aksar argue karte hain ke higher minimum wages pay scales ko compress kar deti hain, lekin overall inflation trajectory ab previous forecasts ke muqablay 2% target ke kareeb hai.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis

GBP/USD currency pair ne Friday ko Asian session ke doran ek notable drop dekha, jahan yeh 1.3111 ke aas-paas naya daily low tak pohanch gaya. Is girawat ke bawajood, prices largely wahi trading range mein rahi jo pichle din establish hui thi. Traders naye directional bets se roknay ke liye rukawat kar rahe hain, jab tak UK aur US se crucial macroeconomic data nahi milti.

Jabke GBP/USD pair ne kuch downward pressure ka samna kiya hai, technical indicators aur aanewale economic data iske agle move ko determine karne mein important honge. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye taake pair ke potential direction ko gauge kiya ja sake.

Fed's Inflation Confidence aur GBP/USD Technical Recovery

Fed ke policymakers ne inflation ke 2% target ki taraf badhne par zyada confidence dikhaya hai. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, jo Kansas Bankers Association mein baat kar rahi thi, ne indicate kiya ke agar aanewale data is goal ki taraf progress dikhate rahte hain, to gradually federal funds rate ko kam karna appropriate ho sakta hai. Lekin, unhone individual data points par overreact karne se bhi warn kiya, aur patience ki zarurat par zor diya taake inflation par progress ko rokne se bachaya ja sake, jaise ke Reuters ne report kiya.

Pound Sterling ne hourly chart par positive divergence formation ke baad kuch recovery dikhayi hai. Yeh technical pattern, jahan asset higher lows form karta hai jabke momentum oscillator lower lows dikhata hai, aam tor par uptrend ke potential resume hone ka signal hota hai. Lekin, is upward potential ko fully validate karne ke liye additional indicators se confirmation zaruri hai.




GBP/USD ki Resilience aur Potential Upside Targets

Spot price ne 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche resilience dikhayi aur 1.3150 region se recovery ki, jo ek mahine ka low tha. Hourly chart par oscillators neutral ho gaye hain, jo further appreciation ka potential suggest karte hain. Is positive outlook ko solidify karne ke liye, 1.3000 mark ke beyond sustained strength zaruri hai.

Agar GBP/USD 1.3100 level se rally karta hai, to attention 1.3200 figure ke testing ki taraf shift hogi. Agar is level ko successfully breach kiya jata hai, to 1.3264 ke peak ko challenge kiya ja sakta hai usse pehle buyers 1.3150 psychological level ko target karenge. Halankeh momentum abhi sellers ke haath mein dikhata hai, jaise CCI 50-neutral line ke neeche hai, lekin iski flatline suggest karti hai ke GBP/USD short term mein sideways trade kar sakta hai.