𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Doosre din bhi, British pound ke keemat US dollar ke muqablay mein GBP/USD aik neechay ki taraf tezi se chal raha hai, jo ke 1.2923 support level tak pohanch chuki hai jis waqt yeh tajziya likha ja raha hai. Is hafte ke trading mein yeh 1.3044 resistance level tak pohanch chuki thi, jo ke aik saal ki unchiyat thi. Us waqt, seedha trading salahiyat page ke zariye, maine bechne ki salahiyat dene ki tawajjo di. Intezar karein. Bechnay ki amliyat ke liye faida hasil karne ke liye. Sterling dollar ke halqi faide is waqt ke traders ke doran aaye jab unho ne Bank of England ke interest rates ko August mein kam karne ki ummeedon ko kam kar diya tha baad az naye iqtisadi data ke.

Iqtisadi calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq... Mehangaai dar ne June mein 2% par mustawar ho gayi, jis ke muntazir thay ke yeh 1.9% tak kam ho jayegi, aur khidmatat mein mehangaai mein kami nahi hui aur yeh 5.7% par mustawar ho gayi, jo ke Bank of England ke muntazireen ke 5.1% se ziada hai. Markazi bank ke interest rate kam karne ki tawajjo 33% tak pohanch gayi, jo ke CPI release se pehle 49% thi. Isi doran, mazdoori mein izafa 5.7% tak kam ho gaya, jo ke 2022 se kam tar haisiyat mein hai, lekin phir bhi buland darje par hai. Be rozgar ki sharah ne 2021 ke unchiyat par mustawar ho gayi 4.4% par. Pichli haftay, Bank of England ke mukhsoos araizi Hugh Bell ne tasdeeq ki ke khidmatat ke qeemat mein mehangaai aur mazdoori mein izafa ab bhi mazboot hai.

Asal mein, taqleef sterling ke liye report se pehle thi, aur thodi si kami bhi July ki rally mein munafa lenay ka sabab ho sakti thi. Mutabiq tajziya ke mutabiq, Britain mein rozgar dar ne May tak teen mahinon mein 19 hazar izafa kiya, jo ke market ki 18 hazar ki tawajjo se thodi ziyada thi. Is se be rozgar ki sharah 4.4% par mustawar ho gayi, jaisa ke muntazir tha.

Mazdoori ke masail se wazeh hai ke mazdoori ka bazar mazboot hai, aur Bank of England ke liye sustainably apni 2% target ko pura karna mushkil hai. Yaqeenan, hamare paas do mahinon se bhi zyada waqt hai jahan headline mehangaai 2.0% tak pohanch gayi, lekin muashiyat mein mazdoori ke dabav se mazdoori mein mehangaai ab phir se barhne ka aghaz hoga.

Pichle hafte, GBP/USD currency pair ne mazeed izafa kiya aur 1.3043 tak pohncha, lekin phir wapis aaya. Is hafte, ibtidai mansooba neutral hai, jis se maaloom hota hai ke pair muzmar honay ka samna kar raha hai. Is muzmar hone ke daur mein, nichli taraf ko 1.2859 level se mehdood hona chahiye, jo ke pehle se resistance se support ban gaya hai. Is support level ki ummid hai ke yeh qaim rahega aur ek mazeed ooper ki taraf ki raftar ko janib dhamaka dega.

Agar GBP/USD 1.3043 level ko toor deta hai, to yeh is izafe ki jari raftar ka ishara hoga jo 1.2298 se shuru hui thi. Is toor se 100% projection 1.2298 se 1.2859 tak ke move ki taraf se, 1.2612 se mutawaqif, 1.3173 tak ja sakti hai. Yeh hadafi nishana ahem darmiyanay muddat resistance level 1.3141 ke thora ooper hai. Is projection ko hasil karna tawajjo ki buland muddat trend ko dikhata hai, kyun ke 1.3141 resistance ko guzar jana mazeed izafay ke liye raasta saaf kar sakta hai.

Lekin agar GBP/USD mazbooti se 1.2859 support level se neeche gir jata hai, to mansooba neechay ki taraf murajaat karega. Aisi harkat se gehri girawat ka ishara hota hai, kyun ke yeh support ko toorna mazeed izafay ki tawajjo ko kamzor kar dega aur barhti farokht dabao ko ishara karega. Is surat haal mein GBP/USD ke qareebi raftar ke doosre janib muddat tajarbat ke mutabiq munaqqash hoga.

GBP/USD pair ki harkat alag alag factors se mutasir hoti hai, jaise ke maali data release, markazi banki policies aur sahafati sargarmiyaan. Pichle hafte ki 1.3043 tak izafe ki mukhtalif wajoohat hosakti hain jaise ke mustaqbil ki tawajjo UK pound ke favor mein ho ya global siyasi mawadat. Mutasir siyasi nataij ya mustaqbil ki karwai ke baray mein shuba hone ke baad, iske baad ki raftaar profit lene ya UK aur global maqasid ki pheeki halaat ki taraf ishara kar sakti hai.

Muzmar hone ke daur mein, sairon ko aksariyat daur ki khaas levels ke support aur resistance ke dekhtay hain takay paishraft ya toor ke points ka aetmaad ho sake. 1.2859 level jo ab support ka kaam kar raha hai, is maqsad mein ehmiyat rakhta hai. Is ke qaim rehne ki salahiyat is pair ki agli harkat ka aik ahem ishara hoga. Is ke mazboot qaim rehne se bullish case ko madad milegi, jab ke is se neeche gir jana bearish shift ki taraf ishara karega.

Technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, RSI aur MACD bhi GBP/USD pair ki potential raftar ko samajhne mein madad dete hain. Sairon ko aksariyat aalaat ko istemal karte hain takay overbought ya oversold halaat, tafawut patterns aur momentum ki changes ka pata lagaya ja sake. Halat ke mutabiq, in indicators ko price action ke saath dekhna zaroori hai 1.2859 aur 1.3043 levels ke aas paas.

GBP/USD ab ek neutral phase mein hai jis mein muzmar hone ki taraf bias hai. Dekhne wali ahem levels 1.2859 neeche aur 1.3043 ooper hain. 1.3043 ke ooper nikalne se bullish trend dobara shuru hoga, 1.3173 tak nishana rakh kar, jab ke mazbooti se 1.2859 ke neeche girna bearish shift ko ishara karega, gehri girawat ki taraf ishara karte hue. Sairon ko sadaqat se rehna chahiye aur apni tehqiq mein technical aur maali factors ko dono hi tawajjo dein

GBP/USD
Pichlay hafta GBP/USD currency pair ne thora increase dekha, aur 1.3043 ki peak par pohncha phir retreat kar gaya. Iss hafta, initial bias neutral hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke pair ab consolidation phase se guzray ga. Iss consolidation phase ke dauran, downside ko 1.2859 ke level se limited rehna chahiye, jo ke resistance se support mein convert ho gaya hai. Yeh support level hold karna chahiye aur ek aur upward rally ko prompt karega.

Agar GBP/USD 1.3043 level se upar break karta hai, to yeh 1.2298 se shuru hone wale rise ki continuation ko signal karega. Yeh breakout, 1.2298 se 1.2859 tak ke move ke 100% projection ko target karega, jo 1.2612 se project kiya gaya hai, aur yeh target 1.3173 par hoga. Yeh target medium-term resistance level 1.3141 se thora upar hai. Is projection ko achieve karne ka matlab hoga ke ek robust bullish trend hai, kyun ke 1.3141 resistance ko surpass karna mazeed gains ke raaste khol sakta hai.

Lekin, agar GBP/USD firmly 1.2859 support level ke neeche break karta hai, to bias downside ki taraf shift ho jaye ga. Aisi move deeper decline ko indicate karegi, kyun ke yeh support break hone se bullish outlook undermine ho jaye ga aur selling pressure barh jaye ga. Yeh scenario GBP/USD ke near-term direction ki reassessment karega, aur lower potential targets set ho sakte hain, market dynamics ke mutabiq.

GBP/USD pair ki movement mukhtalif factors se influence hoti hai, jese ke economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments. Pichlay hafta ka rise 1.3043 tak shayad positive economic data ya market sentiment ke shift se driven tha jo British pound ko favor karta tha. Doosri taraf, retreat profit-taking ya UK ya global economy ke concerns ke wajah se ho sakta hai.

Consolidation phases ke dauran, traders aksar key levels of support aur resistance dekhte hain potential breakout ya breakdown points ko gauge karne ke liye. 1.2859 level, jo ab support ke taur par kaam kar raha hai, is context mein crucial hai. Iska hold karna consolidation ke dauran pair ke next move ka key indicator hoga. Agar yeh level firmly hold karta hai, to bullish case ko support milega, jab ke break below bearish shift ko suggest karega.

Technical indicators jese ke moving averages, RSI, aur MACD bhi GBP/USD pair ke potential direction mein insights provide kar sakte hain. Traders aksar in tools ko use karte hain overbought ya oversold conditions, divergence patterns, aur momentum shifts ko identify karne ke liye. Iss current scenario mein, yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke yeh indicators price action ke sath kaise align hotay hain around 1.2859 aur 1.3043 levels.

GBP/USD abhi ek neutral phase mein hai jisme bias consolidation ki taraf hai. Key levels jo dekhne hain wo hain 1.2859 downside par aur 1.3043 upside par. 1.3043 se upar break bullish trend ko resume karega, jo 1.3173 ko target karega, jab ke firm break below 1.2859 downside bias ko indicate karega, jo deeper decline ko show karega. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur dono technical aur fundamental factors ko apni analysis mein consider karna chahiye.

GBP/USD currency pair ne downward trajectory dikhayi hai aur ek descending channel ke andar move kar rahi hai jo broader decline ko reflect karta hai. Technical indicators, khaaskar moving averages, yeh suggest karte hain ke pair filhaal short-term bearish trend mein hai. Yeh conclusion moving averages ke behavior se milta hai, jo aam tor par market sentiment aur trend direction ko indicate karti hain. Jab yeh averages downward slope dikhati hain, to yeh aam tor par sustained selling pressure ko signal karta hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke saath dekhne ko mil raha hai.



Bearish sentiment ka aur saboot price action aur signal lines ke relative behavior se milta hai. Quotes signal lines ke beech level ko test kar rahi hain, jo aam tor par significant seller pressure ko indicate karta hai. Jab prices signal lines ke aas-paas hote hain, to yeh suggest karta hai ke market ek critical juncture par hai, jahan direction market forces se decisively influence ho sakti hai. Filhaal, sellers ka haath upar lagta hai.

Kal GBP/USD pair ne higher areas mein trade kiya aur din ke aakhir mein 1.2685 ke aas-paas close hua. Aaj, yeh 1.2690 price level ki taraf upward move kar raha hai. Hourly chart ko dekhte hue, yeh noticeable hai ke GBP/USD moving average line MA (200) H1 ko 1.2655 par test kar raha hai. Four-hour chart par bhi similar situation hai jahan GBP/USD moving average line MA (200) H1 ke niche trade kar raha hai. In facts ko dekhte hue, traders ko correction ke baad ek achi sell entry point dekhne ki salahiyat di jati hai. Neeche diye gaye picture aur chart is analysis ko behtar information dete hain. Kripya ise dekhen.

British Pound Thursday ko $1.27 par steady raha, jo ke teen hafton ki high ke kareeb hai, jab voters England, Scotland, Wales aur Northern Ireland mein general election ke liye polls mein gaye. Center-left Labour Party polls mein lead kar rahi hai aur Conservative Party ko British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak ke saath unseat karne ki umeed hai. Kuch forecasts kehte hain ke Labour majority jeet sakti hai, jo 2005 ke baad unki pehli general election victory hogi. US jobs data ke aane se pehle, GBP/USD 1.2780 ke resistance level ke aas-paas hold kar raha hai.

Kuch analysts ko lagta hai ke policy shift se pound, stocks aur UK investments par positive impact padega, aur UK ki "safe haven" ke taur par reputation ko restore kiya jayega political uncertainty ke bawajood. Monetary policy ke hawale se, Bank of England ne June mein interest rates ko steady rakha tha, jabke inflation central bank ke 2% target tak gir gaya tha, aur investors ko August mein rate cut ki umeed hai.



Trading platforms ke mutabiq, UK 10-year bond yield recent highs ke niche hai, aur sabki nazar general election par hai. Thursday ko UK 10-year government bond yield lagbhag 4.18% thi, jabke Monday ko election ke dauran 4.28% thi.

Aaj ke US jobs data ka reaction GBP/USD ki closing price ko is hafte aur agle hafte decide karega. Jaise ke maine pehle kaha, 1.2775 ka resistance level bulls ke liye control wapas pane ke liye ek key stop hai. Daily chart ke development ke mutabiq, overall trend poori tarah se change ho sakta hai aur resistance levels 1.2830 aur 1.2900 ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar 1.2660 support area ko dobara visit kiya jata hai to yeh current upward rebound ke liye threat ban sakta hai.

British pound Thursday ko $1.27 par stable raha, jo ke teen hafton ki highest level ke kareeb hai, jab voters England, Scotland, Wales, aur Northern Ireland mein parliamentary elections ke liye polls mein gaye. Center-left Labour Party polls mein lead kar rahi hai aur Conservative Party ko British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak ke saath unseat karne ki umeed hai. Kuch expectations hain ke Labour Party majority jeet sakti hai, jo ke 2005 ke baad unki pehli general election victory hogi. US jobs numbers ki announcement se pehle, GBP/USD ki price 1.2780 ke resistance level ke aas-paas stabilize ho gayi hai.

Kuch analysts ka kehna hai ke yeh political shift pound sterling, stock market, aur Britain mein investments par positive asar daalega, aur Britain ki “safe haven” ke taur par reputation ko restore karega political uncertainty ke bawajood. Monetary policy ke hawale se, investors ko August mein rate cut ki umeed hai, jabke Bank of England ne June mein interest rates ko steady rakha tha, inflation ke 2% target par girne ke bawajood.

Forex market trading ke mutabiq, British pound ne 2024 general election mein apne spring stride mein entry ki hai, lekin 10pm ke aas-paas exit poll ke release hone par kuch volatility ho sakti hai. Thursday raat 10pm ke liye scheduled exit poll ek badi moment hai, kyunki yeh next prime minister aur uske control mein majority ko accurately glimpse deta hai. Base case ke mutabiq, Keir Starmer's Labour Party ka major win pound ko upar le ja sakta hai.

Currencies ke liye certainty aur big Labour win kisi bhi remaining risk premium ko negate kar sakta hai. Barclays Bank ka kehna hai ke “British general elections Thursday ko main focus hain, aur available opinion polls ke mutabiq, pound ko further strength milne ki umeed hai.” Is hisaab se, Barclays pound ko euro ke khilaf buy kar rahi hai, jo French election result ke baad limited recovery dekhega.

Recent YouGov poll ke mutabiq, Conservatives sirf 102 MPs tak gir sakti hai, jo party ke 5 saal pehle jeete gaye seats ka 70% loss hai, aur Labour ko House of Commons mein 1832 ke baad ki sabse badi majority mil sakti hai. Deutsche Bank ke Gopal ka kehna hai ke pound rate broadly unchanged rahega aur EUR/GBP apni risk premium ko interest rates ke mutabiq retain karega.

Agar Conservatives polls ke mutabiq better perform karte hain to sterling ko tail risk face karna pad sakta hai, jo ke possibility ke bahar nahi hai, kyunki large portion of voters abhi undecided hain. “Hung parliament” ka scenario, jahan koi party outright majority nahi jeet ti, uncertainty ko mix kar sakta hai aur sterling ko kamzor kar sakta hai. GBP/EUR exchange rate 1.18 se niche aa sakta hai, aur agar French vote se legislature nahi milta to 1.1750 aur phir 1.17 tak ke midpoints clear honge. Saath hi, GBP/USD exchange rate 1.27 tak gir sakta hai, lekin US side of the equation zyada important driver hai, isliye US jobs report Friday ko final decision karega.



Aaj ke US jobs numbers ka reaction GBP/USD ki closing price ko is hafte ke trading ke liye decide karega, jo ke bullish weekly close ke kareeb hai. Jaise ke maine pehle kaha, 1.2775 resistance level bulls ke control wapas pane ke liye sabse important hai, aur general trend completely change hoga. Daily chart ke mutabiq, trend resistance levels 1.2830 aur 1.2900 ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, 1.2660 support area ko dobara visit karna current upward rebound ke liye threat hai.

Aaj subah British pound ne mazboot shuruat ki, jo ke euro ke gains ko mirror karta hai, jabke US dollar major currencies ke basket ke khilaf kamzor hota ja raha hai. Pound ke liye yeh positive sentiment do key factors se hai. Pehla, recent UK parliamentary elections ne market mein kuch confidence barhaya hai. Dusra, Britain se recent economic data releases bhi achi rahi hain, jo currency ko additional support de rahi hain.

Lekin, aaj ka din action-packed hone wala hai, aur currency market mein significant swings ka potential hai. Aaj ke liye Britain ka housing price data release hona hai, jo kuch volatility la sakta hai. Lekin, sabka intezaar US employment data ka hai. Strong US jobs numbers pound ke current rally ko affect kar sakte hain. In upcoming events ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, GBP/USD pair ke do main scenarios hain:

1. **Optimistic Scenario:** Agar Britain ka housing data positive aata hai aur US employment numbers mixed rahte hain, to pound apni upward trajectory ko continue kar sakta hai. Is scenario ke liye potential downside pehli aadhi din mein moderate correction ho sakti hai. Lekin, overall trend bullish rehne ki umeed hai. Key support level 1.2715 ko dekhna zaroori hai. Agar pair is level ke upar bana rehta hai, to yeh buying opportunity de sakta hai, jahan potential targets 1.2825 aur 1.2875 ho sakte hain.

2. **Less Desirable Scenario:** Agar UK housing data disappoint karta hai aur US jobs report expectations se zyada strong aata hai, to pound kuch steam kho sakta hai aur girne lag sakta hai. Agar 1.2715 support level ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh reversal signal dega. Is case mein, pair kuch waqt ke liye consolidate ho sakta hai phir 1.2685 ya 1.2665 ki taraf gir sakta hai.

**Nishkarsh:** GBP/USD pair aaj ek crossroads par hai. Positive data aur US jobs report ke lackluster results pound ko upar le ja sakte hain. Lekin, negative surprises correction trigger kar sakti hain. Aaj ke data releases aur 1.2715 support level ke aas-paas price action ko closely monitor karna zaroori hoga.

GBP/USD ne trading ki shuruat Open level: 1.26350 se ki aur support level H1 Sup C: 1.26268 tak gaya, jahan se isne support level ko tod diya aur M30 Sup C: 1.26222 tak pohanch gaya. Wahan se price upar gaya aur daily pivot ki taraf continue ho raha hai. Agar price resistance level H1 Res: 1.2637 ko upar ki taraf break kar leti hai, to yeh daily pivot FPV: 1.26387 tak pohanch sakti hai. Agar price is level se push off nahi hoti aur upar chalti hai, to agla possible target resistance level H4 Res C: 1.26540 ho sakta hai, jahan se price phir se south ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

Agar price yesterday’s low yLow: 1.26116 ko break kar leti hai, jo ke support level D1 Sup C: 1.26175 aur support level H4 Sup: 1.26133 ke barabar hai, to price support level S3: 1.25810 tak bhi pohanch sakti hai. In support levels ke neeche, jo ke S4: 1.25453 tak hai, koi significant support ya resistance levels nahi hain. Agar price in support levels ko todti hai, jo kal nahi ho paya, to achi volatility ke saath, decline dekhne ko mil sakti hai jo level 1.25453 tak bhi ho sakta hai, agar aur neeche nahi chala jaye.

Agar price daily pivot ko upar ki taraf break kar leti hai aur resistance level H4 Res C: 1.26540 ko bhi todti hai aur yesterday’s maximum movement to the north yHigh: 1.26693 tak pohanchti hai, to goal resistance level D1 Res: 1.26815 ya resistance level R3: 1.26964 ho sakta hai, jo 1.27000 ke level se door nahi hai.

ZUP indicator bullish pattern .786*AB=CD ke development ka indication deta hai. Agar price 1.26169 se neeche decline nahi karti, to bullish pattern price ke liye kaam aane ke chances hain. Slow stochastic (50.10.25) ke signal line values 33.6 aur 29.8 ke sath overbought zone ki taraf move kar rahe hain. Fast stochastic (5.3.3) ke values 28.7 aur 27.6 ke sath ek crossroads par hai - oversold zone me jana ya overbought zone me rise karna. Shayad price Fibonacci levels ke mutabiq 61.8: 1.26515 tak pahunch sake, jo resistance level H4 Res C: 1.2654 ke paas hai, aur shayad yeh level se rebound hoke decline continue kare.

Happy Friday!

Aaj ke technical four-hour chart ke mutabiq, GBP/USD currency pair ne US ke June ki unemployment data aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policy report ke release se pehle British Pound ko kal ke local high 1.2770 tak wapas push kar diya hai. Lekin, iska matlab yeh nahi ke pair foran upar break karne aur rise karne ke liye tayar hai.

Zaroor, H4 trend ko upside par reverse karne ki bullish intention hai, khaaskar kyunki filhal GBP/USD ki price Ichimoku Cloud, 14-period moving average (MA14), aur TMA indicator bands ke upper boundary ke upar trading kar rahi hai, jo ke active buying ka area indicate karta hai.

Phir bhi, pair ke overbought conditions ko door karne ke liye kam se kam ek southern correction zaroori hai, jaise H4 stochastic ke zariye indicate hota hai. Isliye, technical standpoint se, hum GBP/USD ki price ke girne ki umeed kar rahe hain, khaaskar 1.2730 support ki taraf, jo June 19 ka high hai, aur 1.2700 ke round level ki taraf, jo ke pair ke do subsequent highs aur pehle discuss kiye gaye sideways channel ki upper boundary ke paas hai.

In levels me se kisi bhi level se nayi growth wave emerge ho sakti hai, lekin yeh sab aaj ke market data ke assessment par depend karega.

Agar hume US dollar ke liye negative news milti hai, to GBP/USD quotes ka aim 1.2770 ka current high ko break karna hoga, jiska goal 1.28 level me enter karna hai.

Is waqt GBP/USD pair 1.27639 par flat trading kar rahi hai, jo chart ke upper half mein hai. Instaforex company indicator ka pehla hissa long aur short positions ka barabar hissa dikhata hai, jahan longs ki percentage 50.06% hai. Dusre hissa mein, indicator short-term upward trend ko show kar raha hai. Aaj ke din is pair se kya surprises milenge? Albion aur US se important aur interesting news ki umeed hai: average hourly earnings, non-farm employment changes, unemployment rate, Fed monetary policy report, aur job creation. Sabse bada highlight non-farm employment hoga. Toh hum fundamental aur technical analysis dono par kaam karte hain. Chhoti si baat: mera khayal hai ke pair pehle south ki taraf 1.2720 level tak correction karegi aur phir north ki taraf 1.2815 level tak jayegi. Sabko shubhkamnayein!



Good morning everybody!

GBP/USD pair ne Asian session ke doran thodi uchaayi dekhi. Pound euro ke sath mazbooti se barh raha hai, jo zyada tar US dollar ke mukable mein kamzori ke wajah se hai. UK parliamentary election results ne bhi pair ke gains mein contribute kiya. UK ke economic statistics bhi support provide kar rahe hain. Aaj ka news background kafi intense hai. UK se house price data aayega aur iske ilawa, investors US markets ke khulne ka intezar kar rahe hain. United States se employment statistics release hongi. Currency markets mein significant volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Pair pehle half din mein halki si downward correction dekh sakti hai, lekin overall mujhe lagta hai ke uptrend continue karega. Expected reversal point 1.2715 hai aur is point ke upar buy karunga with targets at 1.2825 aur 1.2875. Agar pair 1.2715 level se neeche break hoti hai aur merge hoti hai, toh pair 1.2685 aur 1.2665 levels tak gir sakti hai.

Colleagues, good day!

Chart ko dekhein aur observe karein ke moving average neeche jaane nahi de raha. Iska matlab hai ke purchases continue ho rahi hain. MACD indicator bhi histogram ke sath purchases confirm kar raha hai. Chart se yeh clear hai ke oscillator histogram 0 ke upar hai, isliye mujhe pair purchases se profit ki umeed hai. Main 1.2719 se north direction mein movement ki umeed kar raha hoon. Iss level se enter karne par profit kamane ke chances zyada hain, stop loss ke band hone se. Losses ko limit karne ke liye stop ko 1.2699 par set karunga, jo ki ek fix loss amount ko trigger hone par determine karega. Profit automatically 1.2779 par fix ho jayega. Humari taraf se koi aur cheez nahi, hum wait karte hain jab tak price stop loss ya take profit level tak nahi pohanchti.



Hello everyone and profitable trading!

GBP/USD pair 1.2768 par trade kar rahi hai aur aaj ke liye resistance zone 1.2781 - 1.2804 ke levels se limited hai. Four-hour scale se yeh level daily scale ke resistance level ke upar se guzar raha hai. Aaj yeh clear hoga ke 1.2781 se upar jaane aur 1.2804 tak pohnchne ka trend hai. Yeh dekhna hoga ke kya price 1.2781 ke neeche wapas aati hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh yeh GBP/USD pair ko sell karne ka clear signal hoga. Aaj main bears par bet kar raha hoon aur mere khayal se 1.2800 se GBP/USD pair ko sell karke 1.2480 ke support tak target set kar sakte hain.

Is waqt GBP/USD pair 1.27639 par flat trading kar rahi hai, jo chart ke upper half mein hai. Instaforex company indicator ka pehla hissa long aur short positions ka barabar hissa dikhata hai, jahan longs ki percentage 50.06% hai. Dusre hissa mein, indicator short-term upward trend ko show kar raha hai. Aaj ke din is pair se kya surprises milenge? Albion aur US se important aur interesting news ki umeed hai: average hourly earnings, non-farm employment changes, unemployment rate, Fed monetary policy report, aur job creation. Sabse bada highlight non-farm employment hoga. Toh hum fundamental aur technical analysis dono par kaam karte hain. Chhoti si baat: mera khayal hai ke pair pehle south ki taraf 1.2720 level tak correction karegi aur phir north ki taraf 1.2815 level tak jayegi. Sabko shubhkamnayein!



Good morning everybody!

GBP/USD pair ne Asian session ke doran thodi uchaayi dekhi. Pound euro ke sath mazbooti se barh raha hai, jo zyada tar US dollar ke mukable mein kamzori ke wajah se hai. UK parliamentary election results ne bhi pair ke gains mein contribute kiya. UK ke economic statistics bhi support provide kar rahe hain. Aaj ka news background kafi intense hai. UK se house price data aayega aur iske ilawa, investors US markets ke khulne ka intezar kar rahe hain. United States se employment statistics release hongi. Currency markets mein significant volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Pair pehle half din mein halki si downward correction dekh sakti hai, lekin overall mujhe lagta hai ke uptrend continue karega. Expected reversal point 1.2715 hai aur is point ke upar buy karunga with targets at 1.2825 aur 1.2875. Agar pair 1.2715 level se neeche break hoti hai aur merge hoti hai, toh pair 1.2685 aur 1.2665 levels tak gir sakti hai.

Pound ka movement abhi bhi kafi active hai. Agla qareeb target 1.27765 hai, aur agar buyers is level ko break kar ke consolidate kar lein, to hum 1.28599 tak ke continued growth ki umeed kar sakte hain. Agar downward movement ka option dekhein, to sellers ko 1.27401 level ko break kar ke consolidate karna hoga. Agar yeh ho gaya, to quotes ke 1.26772 level tak girne ki umeed hai. Aaj non-farm data aayega, aur mujhe lagta hai market mein volatility hoga, chahe ek hi direction mein na ho.

### GBP/USD M5 Analysis

1. **Pound Pair on the 5-Minute Chart**: 5-minute chart par pound pair bands ke central area mein hai, aur bands inward tuck ho kar ek dusre ke kareeb aa rahi hain. Is area se movement kisi bhi direction mein ja sakti hai. Naye signal ke liye, upper ya lower band se active exit ka wait karein, aur dekhein kya bands actively outward open hoti hain ya nahi.

2. **AO Indicator**: AO indicator positive area mein dheere dheere zero mark ke kareeb aa raha hai. Agar hum zero ke paar transition aur negative zone mein active increase dekhein, to yeh price ke girne ka stronger signal hoga. Positive area mein phir se increase se quotes ke upar jane ka signal milega.

3. **Entry Point for Purchases**: Purchases ke liye entry point 1.08237 level par consider kiya ja sakta hai. Breakout aur consolidation ke baad price increase 1.08287 level tak ho sakti hai.

4. **Sales**: Sales ke liye entry point 1.08178 level par ho sakta hai. Active breakout aur consolidation ke baad price girne se 1.08126 level tak jatay ki umeed hai.

Kal, pichle din ki minimum ko update karne ke baad, GBP/USD par price ne reversal liya aur ek confident bullish impulse ke saath upar ki taraf push hui, jiske nateeje mein ek reversal candle bani jo upar ki taraf directed thi. Maujooda situation ko dekhte hue,

Main puri tarah se maan leta hoon ke aaj ke din sabse qareeb resistance level jo mere markings ke mutabiq 1.27025 par hai, ya phir resistance level jo 1.27399 par hai, wo work out hoga. In resistance levels ke aas-paas do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla priority scenario ek aur reversal candle ke formation se juda hai aur downward price movement ke resume hone se hai.

Agar yeh plan work out hota hai, to main price ke 1.25694 support level tak move karne ka intezar karunga. Agar price is support level ke neeche consolidate karti hai, to main further southern movement ke liye intezar karunga, jo 1.24661 support level ya 1.24506 support level tak ho sakti hai. In support levels ke aas-paas,

Main trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga jo further trading direction determine karne mein madad karega. Haan, zyada distant southern targets ka option bhi hai, lekin main abhi usay consider nahi kar raha kyunke mujhe iska quick implementation dikhayi nahi de raha. Resistance level 1.27025 ya 1.27399 ke next test ke dauran,

Ek alternative plan ho sakta hai jahan price in levels ke upar fix ho kar further northern movement kare. Agar yeh plan work out hota hai, to main price ke 1.28604 resistance level ya 1.28938 resistance level tak move karne ka intezar karunga. In resistance levels ke aas-paas, main southern signals ki talash karta rahunga, price ke upward movement resume karne ke intezar mein. General taur par, aaj locally mujhe kuch khaas interesting nahi lagta. General taur par,

Main maan raha hoon ke price qareeb ke resistance levels ko work out karegi, aur uske baad main southern signals par dhyan doonga, bearish trend ke continuation ke intezar mein.

GBP/USD Pair Ka Technical Analysis

US dollar ki price gir gayi jab weekly survey ne bataya ke zyada log US unemployment benefits ke liye apply kar rahe hain, lekin bechne ki khwahish pehle hi apni peak par thi jab ISM survey ne services sector mein achanak tezi se slowdown ka pata diya. Is wajah se British pound ki price USD ke muqablay mein 1.2777 resistance level tak barh gayi, jo ke do hafton mein sabse zyada hai, aur phir Thursday ke trading ke shuruat mein 1.2740 ke aas-paas settle ho gayi. American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ki intezar ke darmiyan.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq... US ka headline ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% par pahuncha, jo ke contraction ka signal hai, May ke 53.8% se kam hai. Yeh decline expectations se zyada tha kyunke consensus 52.5% ki reading ki ummeed kar raha tha. Overall, service companies American economy ka sabse bara sector hai. Markets iska asar dekh rahi hain aur speculate kar rahi hain ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates cut kar sakti hai. Iska jawab US bond yields gir gayi, dollar gir gaya, aur stock prices barh gayi.

ISM report ne dikhaya ke US companies jo naye orders ki ummeed kar rahi thi unka percentage gir kar 47.3% ho gaya, jo ke Great Financial Crisis ke baad ka sabse kam level hai aur 2001 recession se bhi kam hai. Price index June mein 56.3% raha, jo ke May ke 58.1% se 1.8 percentage points kam hai. ING Bank ke analysts ka kehna hai: "Yeh Fed ke liye September mein rate cut ki case ko mazboot karta hai kyunke yeh weak growth, slowing inflation, aur deteriorating jobs market ke sabhi boxes ko tick karta hai." "Fed recession ko avoid karna chahti hai agar woh kar sakti hai."

Kal, Labor Department ne report kiya ke Americans ki nayi claims for unemployment benefits pichle hafte 4,000 barh kar 238,000 ho gayi, jo ke seasonally adjusted hai. Consensus forecast 235,000 tha. US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Tuesday ko kaha ke agar labor market kharab hota hai to interest rates ko lower karna ek possibility hai. Yeh signal tha ke Fed inflation ko 2.0% target tak moderate hone se pehle interest rates cut karne ke liye open hai.

Iska matlab yeh hai ke jobs market pe depend karta hai ke woh interest rate cuts deliver kare jo kai US households, businesses, aur investors chahte hain.

GBP/USD Ka Forecast Aaj:

GBP/USD ki price agar 1.2775 resistance ke upar stabilize hoti hai to bulls ko aage barhne mein madad milegi. Agla stop 1.2830 hoga, aur baatien yeh bhi hain ke 1.3000 psychological resistance area tak wapas aa sakte hain. Yeh tabhi mumkin hai jab US job numbers weak ho aur British parliamentary elections ke results se sterling mein confidence wapas aaye. Doosri taraf, daily chart par 1.2600 ka support level bears ki control ke liye sabse important rahega.