𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

**GBP/USD Forecast: Potential Downturn and Key Levels**

Hello Yura,

GBP/USD pair ke liye dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke agle waqt mein iski upar ki movement dekhna mushkil hoga. Halanki recent decline evident hai, lekin yeh impulsive nature ki kami hai jo zyada significant downtrends se hoti hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke shayad hum ek series of minor declines dekh rahe hain, na ke ek decisive drop. Phir bhi, mujhe lagta hai ke pair ko further girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, khaaskar 1.30 se 1.3350 ke range tak. Lagbhag 65 points ki aur girawat ki zarurat hai takay yeh 1.3050 level tak pohnche. Yeh tajwez current technical setup aur market sentiment par base hai.

Agar GBP/USD pair 1.30 ke niche break nahi karta aur is level par stability establish karta hai, to short-term mein ek rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh rebound shayad bearish trend ke aage badhne se pehle aaye. Upcoming US economic data ko nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai, khaaskar jobless rate jo Friday ko release hoga, aur kisi bhi relevant non-cash data ko bhi dekhein. Agar economic indicators favorable hue, to 1.30 ke niche move hona zyada asaan aur plausible ho sakta hai. In data points ko observe karna zaroori hoga takay yeh samajh sakein ke pair lower trajectory ko sustain karega ya temporary upward correction dekhne ko milegi.

US data ke ilawa, UK inflation figures bhi jaldi available hongi, jo yeh batayengi ke Bank of England kaise respond karega. Agar Bank of England interest rates cut karta hai, to pound ka depreciation dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo Fed ke recent rate decrease ke contrast mein hai jisne GBP/USD pair ko boost diya. Market ne Bank of England ke rate cut ko consider nahi kiya, aur yeh scenario poori tarah se ignore kiya gaya hai.

Technical perspective se, weekly chart par dekhte hue, highest level jo recently reach hua tha, wo 1.3265 hai. Yeh level northern zigzag pattern ka peak ho sakta hai, jabke lowest recorded point 1.0345 hai. Is context mein, US dollar ko appreciation ke liye poised dekha ja sakta hai, aur minimum target 1.0345 tak pohnchne ki koshish ho sakti hai. Yeh potential movement south ki taraf significant zigzag pattern ko indicate karta hai, jo ek considerable bearish trend ko darshata hai.

Summary mein, jabke GBP/USD pair ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, prevailing indicators aur technical patterns downtrend ki continuation ka suggest karte hain. Key economic data aur technical levels ko monitor karna crucial hoga agle hafton mein pair ke trajectory ko determine karne ke liye. US aur UK economic conditions ka interplay agle movement ko drive karega, isliye market developments se updated rehna aur trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karna zaroori hai.

Kal GBP/USD pair ne ek descending channel ke andar utha aur gira. Pound ka technical picture euro se thoda mukhtalif hai. Sideways movement ke signs bhi hain, magar pound dheere dheere niche ki taraf ja raha hai. Ye behtar hoga agar pound foran ek tez girawat shuru kar de aur volatility current levels se zyada ho. Lekin, hamari khwahishain hamesha market ki capabilities se milti nahi hain.

Kal British pound ko US macro data se thoda support mila, magar bina iske bhi isme growth dekhi jaati. Pair aksar correction se guzarti hai, isliye upward retracements bhi economic reasons ke bina hote hain. Hum expect karte hain ke pound girayega, magar market bekar nahi hai, isliye behtareen halat mein hum dekh sakte hain ke quotes mein dheere dheere girawat hoti hai. Ek buy signal 5-minute timeframe par bana, magar weak volatility ke wajah se price target level tak nahi pahuncha. European session ke doran, price ne 1.2633 level breach kiya, uske baad 25 pips tak climb kiya. General situation ye hai ke agar aap apni trade par 15 pips se zyada ka profit dekhte hain, to aap deal ko close kar sakte hain aur khush ho sakte hain. Din ke akhir tak, price 1.2633 level par wapas aa gayi...

**Trading Tips on Friday:**

Hourly chart par GBP/USD downtrend banane ke promising signs dikhata hai, magar iska matlab ye nahi ke pair uptrend nahi bana sakta. Bearish prospects ke hawale se, ye achi baat hai ke price ne 1.2693 level ko do baar overcome kiya. Lekin, market aksar bechne se inkaar karti hai, hatta ke technical, fundamental, aur macroeconomic factors us direction ko support karte hain. Abhi bhi yeh clear hai ke har new low pehle se thoda hi neecha hai, aur corrections kaafi frequent hain. Ye downward trend ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai.

Friday ko British pound erratic aur illogical movements dikhata reh sakta hai. GBP/USD continue to fall kar sakta hai, magar Britain aur America se kai reports release hongi jo dollar par asar daal sakti hain.

5M chart par key levels hain: 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980. Aaj UK apne GDP numbers ka third estimate release karega for Q1. US PCE index aur University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index release karega. Ye reports relatively secondary hain, magar current pair ki volatility ke saath, ye charts par apna asar chhod sakti hain

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GBP/USD pair ki recent trading ke mutabiq, mid-week trading mein pound sterling ki qeemat US dollar ke muqablay mein ek third percent se decline hui, jo ke US Federal Reserve ke members ke taraf se diye gaye "tight" signals ki wajah se hui. Is ka nateeja yeh nikla ke GBP/USD ka price gir ke 1.2612 ke support level tak pohnch gaya, jo ke chhe hafton ka lowest level tha. Phir analysis likhne ke waqt yeh qeemat 1.2645 ke level par stable hui, aur yeh sab kuch kuch important American economic releases se pehle hua.
US dollar ki qeemat abhi bhi potential euro-centric risks se pehle hai, jo ke weekend elections in France ki wajah se dominate ho rahe hain. Yeh risks European Central Bank ko interest rates ko mazeed cut karne par majboor kar sakte hain agle kuch dino mein. Analysts yeh bhi keh rahe hain ke past 24 ghanton mein Canadian aur Australian inflation rates surprisingly strong rahi hain, jisse global inflation ke restart hone ka khatra barhta hai aur bond yields higher ho rahi hain. Bohat se Fed officials ne yeh warn kiya hai ke wo is saal interest rates ko cut karne mein jaldi nahi karenge, jo ke bond markets par pressure daalta hai aur aakhir mein US dollar ke liye favorable hota hai.

Is hawale se, Brown Brothers Harriman ke expert Dr. Win Thein kehte hain: "Fed officials ab bhi strict hain." United States (higher interest rates for a longer period), United Kingdom aur Eurozone ke darmiyan interest rate policy ka farq dollar ko support kar raha hai.

Recent statements ke mutabiq. "Ab tak hum is point par nahi pohanchay hain jahan rates ko cut karna appropriate ho," Fed policymaker Michelle Bowman ne kaha. "Mere economic outlook se related risks aur uncertainties ke madde nazar, mein apni approach mein ehtiyaat baratungi jab ke mein monetary policy ke future changes ko consider karungi." Unhone yeh bhi reveal kiya ke wo Fed ke un chand policymakers mein se hain jo is saal kisi cut ko nahi dekh rahe. Fed ke June 12 ke forecasts ke mutabiq, unke saat colleagues ek cut dekh rahe hain, aur aath do cuts dekh rahe hain. "Agar inflation rok jata hai ya wapas hota hai, to mein federal funds rate ke target range ko future meeting mein raise karne ke liye tayar hoon," Bowman ne mazeed kaha.

Spot price ne Asian session ke shuru mein dip kiya jab United States se aane wale stronger-than-expected economic data ne market ko hilaya. Is data ne kuch had tak tight labor market ko highlight kiya, jisse currency pair lagbhag 0.20% gir gaya. Currency pair ne 1.3131 par trade kiya, jab ke din ke peak par 1.3147 tak gaya.

US Dollar ki Mazbooti Key Economic Data Releases se Pehle:

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chhe bade currencies ke against measure karta hai, 101.60 tak barh gaya. Waqt guzarne ke sath, 10-year US Treasury notes ka yield phir se lagbhag 4.18% tak aa gaya. Aane wale hafte mein kai aham economic data releases hain, jaise ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing PMI, aur July ke Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Ye figures US Dollar ke agle moves ko kafi asar daal sakti hain.

Rate Cut ki Speculation Barh Rahi Hai Inflation aur Slowing GDP ke Chalte:

Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke kam hone ki umeed barh gayi hai, kyunki inflation ke 2% ke target par wapas aane ki ummeed hai. Ye optimism lower-than-expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) readings ke May aur June ke liye aur Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Price Index ke marked slowdown se barh gaya. Iske ilawa, labor market conditions ke moderate hone se bhi September mein rate cuts ki speculation ko taqat mili hai.

H1 Chart GBP/USD Key Resistance Reclaimed Ke Baawajood Mushkil Mein:

Pair ab bearish momentum hasil karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Multi-year highs 1.3266 se recent decline ke baad, pair 1.3150 level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab raha hai. Phir bhi, Cable ne teen consecutive down weeks record kiye hain, aur 1.3265 ke high se peak-to-trough 2.58% gir gaya hai. Jabke kuch buyers 1.3050 handle ke aas-paas pound ko support kar rahe hain, downside momentum ab bhi persistent hai.

Hafte bhar mein, pair ne key resistance levels ko reclaim karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jaise 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3162 par. Momentum buyers ke favor mein shift ho gaya hai, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish ho gaya hai. Price action 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.3156 ke upar hover kar raha hai. Lekin, intraday bids 20-day EMA 1.3135 ko paar karne mein mushkil ka samna kar rahi hain.

GBP/USD currency pair ke real-time price action ke evaluation par mabni hai. Technical analysis ke liye, maine resistance aur support ko represent karne ke liye diagonal lines plot ki hain. Agla qadam hai ke hum US Federal Reserve System ke head ki speech ko 16:39 Moscow time par bariki se dekhein. Is ke ilawa, 16:59 par labor market vacancy statistics release honge, jo local volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain. Humne 1.2614 tak ke decline ko manage kiya, aur price ab 59 points barh gayi hai. Spread ko chhod kar, ye nateeja kafi acha hai. Hum GBP/USD situation ko 18:01 ke baad dobara assess karenge, Fibonacci grid ka review karte hue, chhote time intervals par 100 – 161.7 range par focus karte hue. Filhaal price view aur sentiment mein koi tabdeeli nahi dikhayi de rahi.
Kal chhutti hai, lekin trading limited form mein chalegi, aur Thursday ko complete holiday hoga. Is wajah se trading week skewed hai aur Friday ko significantly start hoga, jo major players ko investing se roka sakta hai. Agar sirf speculative movements hoti hain, to wahi sawal uthta hai. Mera aaj ka main concern ye hai ke Americans apni holidays aaj ya kal se shuru karenge; lagta hai ke aaj se hi shuru karenge.
GBP/USD ka rebound barh gaya hai, meri target zone 1.2639-59 tak pohnch gaya hai. Filhaal ke impulse se neeche ki taraf ek pullback zaroori hai, jiska aim 1.2700 level ke nazdeek hona chahiye, shayad isse bhi break kar sake. Kal ka high ko surpass karna mushkil hai, lekin movement ke dauran closely observe karna zaroori hai. Maine apni position already close kar di hai, current profit ko potential gains par preference dete hue. Overall, situation abhi bhi uncertain hai. Ye scenarios possible outcomes ko reflect karte hain. Agar slope break hoti hai to buyers ko upper hand
GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka analysis karne se mutaliq hai. Agle hafte major central banks se kaafi significant action ki umeed hai, kyunki Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) apne interest rate decisions announce karne wale hain. Jabke Fed apna current rate ek aur meeting ke liye barqarar rakhega, BoE ko quarter-percentage-point rate cut ka speculation face karna pad raha hai. Money markets BoE ke base rate ko 5.24% se 5.9% tak kam hone ki forecasting kar rahe hain. Yeh anticipated narrowing of interest rate differential pound sterling par pressure daal raha hai. United States se recent economic data, jo Department of Commerce ne highlight kiya, steady growth trajectory ko reflect karta hai. Q2 ke preliminary GDP estimate ke mutabiq annual growth rate 2.7% hai, jo Q1 ke 1.3% se barh gaya hai aur forecasted 1.9% ko bhi surpass karta hai. Yeh stronger-than-expected indicator Fed ki future policies ko influence kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD trading dynamics ko impact kar sakta hai

Pound Sterling ne is sal US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3050 par ek nayi high mark ki hai. GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. But, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega.
agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai , to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai.

In summary, GBP/USD pair ab ek important level par hai. 1.3050 ke upar agar break hota hai, to next target 1.3150 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas market mein reversal hota hai, to support ke liye 1.2800 ke aas-paas wapas ja sakta hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ki upward movement aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, aage kya hoga yeh dekhna hoga.**GBPUSD Latest Analysis**

Pound Sterling ne is saal US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3050 par ek nayi high mark ki hai. GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. But, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega

Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota ha

Aaj humari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ki price action analysis par hogi. Friday ko, GBP/USD pair ne apni girawat jari rakhi aur support level 1.3130 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh mumkin tha ke agar pair resistance 1.3213 ko toar deta ya support 1.3130 ko breach karne mein nakam hota, toh ek rebound ka imkaan hota. Yeh pair 1.3130 ke support ko toar gaya, lekin is level se neechay consolidate karne mein mushkil mein pada. Isi wajah se, mujooda level se rebound ka risk abhi bhi kam hai. Agar 1.3213 ka level toota, toh yeh 1.3284 ki taraf growth ki le ja sakta hai, lekin naya M15 signal shayad iske saath theek se na mile kiun ke hourly chart par mumkin overloads ke sabab se. Behtareen soorat yeh hogi ke 1.3130 ke neechay toar kar 1.3054 tak pohanch jaaye aur wahan consolidate kare, taake effective signal processing ho sake. Yeh setup ek rebound ko support karega aur potential rise 1.3185 tak, aur mazeed gains 1.3501 tak.
Hourly chart par, pair apne mujooda low se rebound karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, lekin kam congestion ke saath, is move ki zarurat zaida hai. Agar decline opening se 1.3130 support ke neechay jaari rehta hai, toh agla support 1.3054 ho sakta hai. Agar Monday ko pair aadha din lagbhag 1.3054 par guzarata hai, toh hourly moving averages mazeed girawat ka ishara de sakte hain. Iske baraks, agar pair 1.3130 se upar bounce karta hai, toh yeh 1.3213 tak barh sakta hai, jo ke ek bullish signal hoga. Ideal soorat yeh hogi ke 1.3054 ke neechay break ho, jis se 1.2966 tak girawat ho, lekin yeh four-hour chart par kam mumkin lagta hai. Agar pair 1.3130 se rebound karta hai lekin 1.3213 ko toar nahi pata, toh yeh abhi bhi 1.3054 tak bearish trend kar sakta hai taake hourly averages ko adjust kiya ja sake. Agar 1.3213 par breakthrough hota hai, toh mazeed growth ka imkaan hai, ek potential bullish signal ke saath M15 chart par. Agar pair M15 bearish signal ko follow karta hai, toh yeh Monday aur Tuesday tak jari reh sakta hai. Agar yeh signal Tuesday tak valid rehta hai, toh pair bullish trend mein switch kar sakta hai

GBP/USD currency pair ne early Asian session mein 1.3135 ke aas paas apni stability barqarar rakhi hui hai, jab ke market ke participants expected central bank ke actions ke nateejon ko tol rahe hain. US Dollar dabao mein hai kyunke yeh umeedain barh rahi hain ke Federal Reserve (Fed) jald hi interest rates mein kami kar sakta hai. Kam rates aam tor par currency ko kamzor karte hain kyunke yeh uske assets ki jazbiyat ko kam kar dete hain. Is ke sath sath, yeh andaza bhi lagaya ja raha hai ke Bank of England (BoE) bhi saal ke akhir tak ek aur 25 basis points ka rate cut implement kar sakta hai, jaisa ke ek Reuters poll se pata chalta hai. In anticipated rate adjustments ke bawajood, GBP/USD ne apni mazbooti barqarar rakhi hui hai, jo US Dollar ki relative kamzori aur jaari market dynamics ki aks hai.


GBP/USD is waqt ahista ahista downward correction mein hai, jahan price 1.3135 ke aas paas ek ahem support point ke taur par kaam kar raha hai. Is level ko mazeed girawat ke liye breaks ya confirmations ke liye qareeb se dekhna chahiye. Fauri support 1.3064 par anticipated hai, jahan se yeh 1.2976 tak ek mukhtasar pullback karne ki imkaan hai. Agar price 1.3064 se neeche girti hai, toh yeh lagbhag 1.2969 tak barh sakti hai, lekin yeh 1.299 par thori der ke liye hold bhi kar sakti hai pehle ki mazeed neeche gire. Resistance side par, dekhne wala key level 1.3149 hai; yahan breach ek upward trend ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai jo 1.3319 tak jasakta hai. Technical indicators, jese ke moving averages aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), trend ki strength ko assess karne aur potential reversal points ko identify karne mein madad karenge. GBP/USD pair ki stability aur uska central bank ki policies, upcoming economic data releases aur potential rate changes ke sath reaction uski qareebi muddat ki movement par kaafi asar andaaz hoga.

Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ke release ke baad market sentiment mein tabdeeli ki wajah se achanak rukh gai. Ye achanak reversal Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole Economic Symposium mein takreer ke liye intezar mein izafa kar raha hai. Market ke hissa lene wale Powell ke insights ke intezar mein hain ke kya Fed rate cut ke liye September mein kitna imkaan hai aur kitna bada cut ho sakta hai. Market pehle se hi rate cut ki taraf jhuka hua tha, lekin mixed PMI data ne is spekulasyon ko barhawa diya hai ke ek ziyata aggressive 50-basis-point reduction ho sakti hai. Fed ka pechla rate cut 25 basis points ka tha jo September mein hua tha, aur is mahine ke liye bhi lagbhag 75% imkaan hai ke waisa hi cut ho. Doosri taraf, UK ka August ka PMI data kuch umeedon ka izhar kar raha hai. Sabhi components—composite, manufacturing, aur services—ne expectations ko exceed kiya aur pichle levels se behtar huye. Khaaskar services sector mein ek notable uptick dekha gaya jo April ke baad se apni sabse buland point par hai. Is ke muqable mein, US manufacturing PMI data disappoint kar gaya, jo ke forecast se neeche raha aur sector mein kamzori ka izhar karta hai. Haan, services PMI ne achanak barhawa zaroor diya, magar underlying employment data ye suggest karta hai ke US labor market mein contraction ho raha hai. Ye conflicting economic picture ne market mein uncertainty ko aur barhawa diya hai, special Bureau of Labor Statistics ke taraf se March ke nonfarm payrolls report se 800,000 se zyada jobs ko retroactively hatane ke baad. Recent setback ke bawajood, pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed gains ke liye tayyar lag raha hai. Pichle das trading dino ke dauran pair ka positive performance bullish bias suggest karta hai. Magar, technical indicators, jaise ke Stochastic aur RSI, kamzori ke asar dikha rahe hain, jo ke short-term downside pressure ko indicate karte hain. Agar GBP/USD July 2023 ka peak 1.3142 ke upar break kar le, to ye ek ek ziata significant uptrend trigger kar sakta hai. Potential upside targets mein ek saal ki bulandi 1.3145 aur 1.3140 level shamil hain. Downside par, support levels 23.6% Fibonacci level 1.2870 par, 20-aur 50-day simple moving averages 1.2825 aur 1.2800 par, aur ascending trend line aur 38.2% Fibonacci level 1.2760 par

Downside mein, 100-day aur 50-day simple moving averages strong support bana rahe hain 1.2640 par. Yeh level latest uptrend ke Fibonacci 38.2% retracement se bhi supported hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ke neeche break karta hai aur usay resistance bana leta hai, to agle bearish targets 1.2600 (jo ek psychological aur static level hai) aur 1.2580 (Fibonacci 50% retracement) ho sakte hain. Immediate resistance 1.2700 (200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart) par set hai, iske baad 1.2730 (100-period SMA, Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) aur 1.2800 (psychological aur static level) par hai. Tuesday ko, pair surface clear nahi kar paya aur Wednesday ko minor bearish pressure mein hai. Agar 1.2640 support break hota hai, to ek extended slide dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
Advanced data ki absence mein, ek cautious market stance ne US dollar ko apne rivals ke khilaf resilient rakha hai. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve officials ke dovish comments ne bhi USD ko further support diya hai. Fed Governor Michelle Bauman ne Tuesday ko kaha ke abhi yeh waqt nahi hai ke interest rates cut kiye jayen, aur agar inflation ruk jata hai ya reverse hota hai to rate hikes ka target rakhne ke liye tayar hain. US stock index futures marginally higher trade kar rahe hain. Agar Wall Street bullish open hota hai, to USD gains limited ho sakte hain, aur GBP/USD ko kuch footing mil sakti hai. Lekin, pair bullish momentum gather karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar sakta hai jab tak investors agle hafte ke UK elections ka wait kar rahe hain before taking large positions. US economic docket mein sirf May ke liye new home sales hain. April mein 4.7% decline ke baad, is data mein ek aur significant drop Fed ki tightening policy ka housing market par negative impact highlight kar sakti hai aur USD ko hurt kar sakti hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq initial support 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.2600 par hai, aur further support ascending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb 1.2500 par anticipate kiya ja raha hai. Agar yeh levels breach hote hain, to selling pressure intensify ho sakta hai, key support 1.2451 par test karne ke liye. Agar is level par breakthrough hota hai, to further upward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 1.3000 tak push kar sakta hai

achanak reversal Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole Economic Symposium mein takreer ke liye intezar mein izafa kar raha hai. Market ke hissa lene wale Powell ke insights ke intezar mein hain ke kya Fed rate cut ke liye September mein kitna imkaan hai aur kitna bada cut ho sakta hai. Market pehle se hi rate cut ki taraf jhuka hua tha, lekin mixed PMI data ne is spekulasyon ko barhawa diya hai ke ek ziyata aggressive 50-basis-point reduction ho sakti hai. Fed ka pechla rate cut 25 basis points ka tha jo September mein hua tha, aur is mahine ke liye bhi lagbhag 75% imkaan hai ke waisa hi cut ho. Doosri taraf, UK ka August ka PMI data kuch umeedon ka izhar kar raha hai. Sabhi components—composite, manufacturing, aur services—ne expectations ko exceed kiya aur pichle levels se behtar huye. Khaaskar services sector mein ek notable uptick dekha gaya jo April ke baad se apni sabse buland point par hai. Is ke muqable mein, US manufacturing PMI data disappoint kar gaya, jo ke forecast se neeche raha aur sector mein kamzori ka izhar karta hai. Haan, services PMI ne achanak barhawa zaroor diya, magar underlying employment data ye suggest karta hai ke US labor market mein contraction ho raha hai. Ye conflicting economic picture ne market mein uncertainty ko aur barhawa diya hai, special Bureau of Labor Statistics ke taraf se March ke nonfarm payrolls report se 800,000 se zyada jobs ko retroactively hatane ke baad. Recent setback ke bawajood, pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed gains ke liye tayyar lag raha hai. Pichle das trading dino ke dauran pair ka positive performance bullish bias suggest karta hai. Magar, technical indicators, jaise ke Stochastic aur RSI, kamzori ke asar dikha rahe hain, jo ke short-term downside pressure ko indicate karte hain. Agar GBP/USD July 2023 ka peak 1.3142 ke upar break kar le, to ye ek ek ziata significant uptrend trigger kar sakta hai. Potential upside targets mein ek saal ki bulandi 1.3145 aur 1.3140 level shamil hain. Downside par, support levels 23.6% Fibonacci level 1.2870 par, 20-aur 50-day simple moving averages 1.2825 aur 1.2800 par, aur ascending trend line aur 38.2% Fibonacci level 1.2760 par ho sakte hain. Akhir mein, GBP/USD abhi bhi flux ki state mein hai

H4 TF reference ke mutabiq, abhi ek downward condition hai jo ke correction phase ko carry out karne ke liye hai, jabke pichli increase ne RSI 70 level par overbought area se upar move kiya tha. Abhi jo downward movement chal rahi hai, woh MA 50 (red) limit ko penetrate kar chuki hai, jo ke mazeed downward efforts ki imkan ko khol rahi hai jahan next MA area, yani MA 100 (green) jo ke 1.3030 ke range mein hai, ko pohanchne ki koshish ki jaa sakti hai. Mazeed bearish corrections MA 200 (blue) movement limit ko 1.2937 ke range mein test karne ke imkan bhi paida karti hai. Short term mein, aisa lagta hai ke sales plan abhi bhi consider kiya jaa sakta hai jab tak ke price apne sab se qareeb resistance area jo ke 1.3197 ke range mein hai, se upar nahi jata.
Misal ke tor par, agar us price level ke upar ek breakout hota hai, toh mazeed bullish efforts ki imkan khulti hai jo ke ek naya high form karne ki koshish karega jo ke uske upar ke aham resistance area ko 1.3264 ke range mein paar kar sakta hai. Short-term sell option ko is waqt consider kiya jaa sakta hai, 1.3140-1.3150 ke range se entry kar ke. Price level range se decline ka target TP 1 ko 1.3050 ke level ke qareeb plan karne aur TP 2 ko demand area range jo ke MA 200 (blue) movement ke upar 1.2970 par hai, plan kiya jaa sakta hai. Sell plan ek stop loss limit 1.3200 ke level ke upar rakh sakta hai.

Buy plan ke liye, jo ke bullish trend ke continuation ko follow karta hai, yeh consider kiya jaa sakta hai ke bearish rejection condition ka intezar kiya jaye MA 100 (green) movement ke range 1.3130-1.3150 par. Target hai ek increase ka jo ke koshish karega ke pichle mahine ke sab se high price limit ko 1.3264 ke range mein pohanchne aur uske upar Zero area ko 1.3300 ke range mein pohanchne ki koshish kare. Bullish trend H4 TF mein tab invalid ho jayega jab seller MA 200 movement limit jo ke 1.2900 ke range mein hai, ke neeche Zero area mein decline push karne mein kamyab hota hai.

H4 TF reference ke mutabiq, abhi ek downward condition hai jo ke correction phase ko carry out karne ke liye hai, jabke pichli increase ne RSI 70 level par overbought area se upar move kiya tha. Abhi jo downward movement chal rahi hai, woh MA 50 (red) limit ko penetrate kar chuki hai, jo ke mazeed downward efforts ki imkan ko khol rahi hai jahan next MA area, yani MA 100 (green) jo ke 1.3030 ke range mein hai, ko pohanchne ki koshish ki jaa sakti hai. Mazeed bearish corrections MA 200 (blue) movement limit ko 1.2937 ke range mein test karne ke imkan bhi paida karti hai. Short term mein, aisa lagta hai ke sales plan abhi bhi consider kiya jaa sakta hai jab tak ke price apne sab se qareeb resistance area jo ke 1.3197 ke range mein hai, se upar nahi jata.
Misal ke tor par, agar us price level ke upar ek breakout hota hai, toh mazeed bullish efforts ki imkan khulti hai jo ke ek naya high form karne ki koshish karega jo ke uske upar ke aham resistance area ko 1.3264 ke range mein paar kar sakta hai. Short-term sell option ko is waqt consider kiya jaa sakta hai, 1.3140-1.3150 ke range se entry kar ke. Price level range se decline ka target TP 1 ko 1.3050 ke level ke qareeb plan karne aur TP 2 ko demand area range jo ke MA 200 (blue) movement ke upar 1.2970 par hai, plan kiya jaa sakta hai. Sell plan ek stop loss limit 1.3200 ke level ke upar rakh sakta hai.

Buy plan ke liye, jo ke bullish trend ke continuation ko follow karta hai, yeh consider kiya jaa sakta hai ke bearish rejection condition ka intezar kiya jaye MA 100 (green) movement ke range 1.3130-1.3150 par. Target hai ek increase ka jo ke koshish karega ke pichle mahine ke sab se high price limit ko 1.3264 ke range mein pohanchne aur uske upar Zero area ko 1.3300 ke range mein pohanchne ki koshish kare. Bullish trend H4 TF mein tab invalid ho jayega jab seller MA 200 movement limit jo ke 1.2900 ke range mein hai, ke neeche Zero area mein decline push karne mein kamyab hota hai.

TF Daily reference ke mutabiq, abhi ek bullish trend condition hai jo abhi bhi dominant hai aur jo current downward movement hai, woh abhi tak sirf correction phase tak hi mehdood hai kyun ke pichle increase ne RSI 70 level par overbought area mein move kiya tha. Abhi bhi ek target hai decrease ka jo lagta hai ke seller abhi bhi pohanchne ki koshish karega, yani RBS area range jo ke neeche 1.3042 par hai.
Mazeed downward correction bhi MA 50 (red) movement limit ko kareeb 1.2895 par retest karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Bullish trend ke direction ko follow karne ke liye, behtar hoga ke sabar se downward phase ke tamam hone ka intezar kiya jaye taa ke behtar price level par re-entry buy ka mauka mil sake. Is case mein, short-term sales plan ko abhi bhi pehle consider kiya jaa sakta hai kyun ke ek downward momentum lagta hai ke jaari rahega is se pehle ke bullish phase mazeed upar ki taraf jari ho.

Sales plan ki soch-vichar mein sab se qareeb TP ko RBS area tak pohanchne ke liye add kiya jaa sakta hai jo ke kareeb 1.3042 par hai aur risk loss limit ko pichle Sunday market session ke end ke high area ke upar kareeb 1.3197 par rakha jaa sakta hai. Entry area ke hawale se, re-entry buy ko consider kiya jaa sakta hai pending order ko 1.3040 se 1.3050 ke range mein rakh kar. Price level ki range se target increase ko bullish efforts ke liye plan kiya jaa sakta hai taa ke pichle haftay ke sab se high price limit ko 1.3264 ke range mein pohanchne aur base up rally ko mazeed upar ki taraf le jaane ki koshish ki jaa sake.

TF Daily reference ke mutabiq, abhi ek bullish trend condition hai jo abhi bhi dominant hai aur jo current downward movement hai, woh abhi tak sirf correction phase tak hi mehdood hai kyun ke pichle increase ne RSI 70 level par overbought area mein move kiya tha. Abhi bhi ek target hai decrease ka jo lagta hai ke seller abhi bhi pohanchne ki koshish karega, yani RBS area range jo ke neeche 1.3042 par hai.
Mazeed downward correction bhi MA 50 (red) movement limit ko kareeb 1.2895 par retest karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Bullish trend ke direction ko follow karne ke liye, behtar hoga ke sabar se downward phase ke tamam hone ka intezar kiya jaye taa ke behtar price level par re-entry buy ka mauka mil sake. Is case mein, short-term sales plan ko abhi bhi pehle consider kiya jaa sakta hai kyun ke ek downward momentum lagta hai ke jaari rahega is se pehle ke bullish phase mazeed upar ki taraf jari ho.

Sales plan ki soch-vichar mein sab se qareeb TP ko RBS area tak pohanchne ke liye add kiya jaa sakta hai jo ke kareeb 1.3042 par hai aur risk loss limit ko pichle Sunday market session ke end ke high area ke upar kareeb 1.3197 par rakha jaa sakta hai. Entry area ke hawale se, re-entry buy ko consider kiya jaa sakta hai pending order ko 1.3040 se 1.3050 ke range mein rakh kar. Price level ki range se target increase ko bullish efforts ke liye plan kiya jaa sakta hai taa ke pichle haftay ke sab se high price limit ko 1.3264 ke range mein pohanchne aur base up rally ko mazeed upar ki taraf le jaane ki koshish ki jaa sake.