𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Good Morning! Vlad, aapko weekend mubarak ho! Mera Take Profit 1.2625 par set tha, lekin maine sell position ko manually 1.2630 par close kar diya. Mujhe darr tha ke shayad price wapas turn ho kar upar ki taraf chalna shuru kar de. Jese ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai, maine deal ko jaldi close kar diya. Agar main wait karta, to end mein Take Profit order ke zariye yeh deal apne aap close ho jati kyunki price ne 1.2608 ka level touch kar liya tha. Maine koi aur deals open nahi ki. Mere paas abhi bhi pending orders hain 1.2605 aur 1.2586 par. Umeed hai ke agle hafte, Monday ya Tuesday ko yeh orders activate ho jayein.

Is waqt, hourly chart ne sales ke targets form kar liye hain. Pehla target level 161.8 hai jo Fibonacci grid par 1.2593 ke value par hai. Dusra target level 261.8 hai jo 1.2551 ke value par hai. Teesra target level 423.6 hai jo 1.2481 ke level par hai. Dekhte hain ke yeh sab kaise work out hota hai.

Oksana! Hello! Weekend mubarak ho aapko! Kal ki trading ke nateeje mein, din ek choti si bullish candle ke saath close hua, jo almost pinbar jaisi thi. Hourly chart par sales ke targets form ho chuke hain. Pehla target level 161.8 jo ke Fibonacci grid par 1.2593 ke value par hai, bohot realistic lagta hai ke work karega. Dusra target level 261.8 hai jo 1.2551 par hai, yeh bhi achi tarah se hit ho sakta hai. Mere paas pending buy orders hain 1.2605 aur 1.2586 par. Mera plan hai ke GBP/USD currency pair 1.2700 se 1.2730 tak grow kare.

Yeh targets mere liye important hain kyunki yeh levels mera trading strategy ka hissa hain. Fibonacci levels ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke market mein further downside move possible hai, lekin phir bhi mujhe yeh umeed hai ke price in levels se bounce kar ke wapas upar ki taraf move karega. Trading mein sabr aur waqt ko samajhna zaroori hai, isliye yeh pending orders mujhe allow karenge ke main apni strategy ke mutabiq positions ko manage kar sakoon.

Dekhne wali baat yeh hai ke market agle hafte kaise react karta hai, aur kya yeh levels successfully hit hote hain ya nahi. Mujhe umeed hai ke price wapas 1.2700 se 1.2730 tak grow karegi, lekin market ke unpredictability ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main apne orders ko dhang se manage karunga taake mujhe kisi bhi unexpected movement se nuksan na ho. Trading ek art hai, jisme strategy aur patience dono ka amal daramad hota hai.

Spot price ne Asian session ke shuru mein dip kiya jab United States se aane wale stronger-than-expected economic data ne market ko hilaya. Is data ne kuch had tak tight labor market ko highlight kiya, jisse currency pair lagbhag 0.20% gir gaya. Currency pair ne 1.3131 par trade kiya, jab ke din ke peak par 1.3147 tak gaya.

US Dollar ki Mazbooti Key Economic Data Releases se Pehle:

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chhe bade currencies ke against measure karta hai, 101.60 tak barh gaya. Waqt guzarne ke sath, 10-year US Treasury notes ka yield phir se lagbhag 4.18% tak aa gaya. Aane wale hafte mein kai aham economic data releases hain, jaise ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing PMI, aur July ke Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Ye figures US Dollar ke agle moves ko kafi asar daal sakti hain.

Rate Cut ki Speculation Barh Rahi Hai Inflation aur Slowing GDP ke Chalte:

Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke kam hone ki umeed barh gayi hai, kyunki inflation ke 2% ke target par wapas aane ki ummeed hai. Ye optimism lower-than-expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) readings ke May aur June ke liye aur Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Price Index ke marked slowdown se barh gaya. Iske ilawa, labor market conditions ke moderate hone se bhi September mein rate cuts ki speculation ko taqat mili hai.

H1 Chart GBP/USD Key Resistance Reclaimed Ke Baawajood Mushkil Mein:

Pair ab bearish momentum hasil karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Multi-year highs 1.3266 se recent decline ke baad, pair 1.3150 level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab raha hai. Phir bhi, Cable ne teen consecutive down weeks record kiye hain, aur 1.3265 ke high se peak-to-trough 2.58% gir gaya hai. Jabke kuch buyers 1.3050 handle ke aas-paas pound ko support kar rahe hain, downside momentum ab bhi persistent hai.

Hafte bhar mein, pair ne key resistance levels ko reclaim karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jaise 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3162 par. Momentum buyers ke favor mein shift ho gaya hai, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish ho gaya hai. Price action 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.3156 ke upar hover kar raha hai. Lekin, intraday bids 20-day EMA 1.3135 ko paar karne mein mushkil ka samna kar rahi hain.

Good Morning! Vlad, aapko weekend mubarak ho! Mera Take Profit 1.2625 par set tha, lekin maine sell position ko manually 1.2630 par close kar diya. Mujhe darr tha ke shayad price wapas turn ho kar upar ki taraf chalna shuru kar de. Jese ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai, maine deal ko jaldi close kar diya. Agar main wait karta, to end mein Take Profit order ke zariye yeh deal apne aap close ho jati kyunki price ne 1.2608 ka level touch kar liya tha. Maine koi aur deals open nahi ki. Mere paas abhi bhi pending orders hain 1.2605 aur 1.2586 par. Umeed hai ke agle hafte, Monday ya Tuesday ko yeh orders activate ho jayein.

Is waqt, hourly chart ne sales ke targets form kar liye hain. Pehla target level 161.8 hai jo Fibonacci grid par 1.2593 ke value par hai. Dusra target level 261.8 hai jo 1.2551 ke value par hai. Teesra target level 423.6 hai jo 1.2481 ke level par hai. Dekhte hain ke yeh sab kaise work out hota hai.

Oksana! Hello! Weekend mubarak ho aapko! Kal ki trading ke nateeje mein, din ek choti si bullish candle ke saath close hua, jo almost pinbar jaisi thi. Hourly chart par sales ke targets form ho chuke hain. Pehla target level 161.8 jo ke Fibonacci grid par 1.2593 ke value par hai, bohot realistic lagta hai ke work karega. Dusra target level 261.8 hai jo 1.2551 par hai, yeh bhi achi tarah se hit ho sakta hai. Mere paas pending buy orders hain 1.2605 aur 1.2586 par. Mera plan hai ke GBP/USD currency pair 1.2700 se 1.2730 tak grow kare.

Yeh targets mere liye important hain kyunki yeh levels mera trading strategy ka hissa hain. Fibonacci levels ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke market mein further downside move possible hai, lekin phir bhi mujhe yeh umeed hai ke price in levels se bounce kar ke wapas upar ki taraf move karega. Trading mein sabr aur waqt ko samajhna zaroori hai, isliye yeh pending orders mujhe allow karenge ke main apni strategy ke mutabiq positions ko manage kar sakoon.

Dekhne wali baat yeh hai ke market agle hafte kaise react karta hai, aur kya yeh levels successfully hit hote hain ya nahi. Mujhe umeed hai ke price wapas 1.2700 se 1.2730 tak grow karegi, lekin market ke unpredictability ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main apne orders ko dhang se manage karunga taake mujhe kisi bhi unexpected movement se nuksan na ho. Trading ek art hai, jisme strategy aur patience dono ka amal daramad hota hai.

GBP/USD Forum Analysis, Forecast September 2024

GBPUSD pair ke price pattern ki structure ko dekhte huye lagta hai ke abhi bhi ye lower low - lower high condition mein hai aur bullish trend ka direction lagbhag bearish trend mein badalne wala hai. EMA 50 aur SMA 200 jo ke ek doosre ke kareeb hain, ek death cross signal ka potential provide kar rahe hain. Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price pehle upward correction kare FR 50 - 1.3154 ya FR 61.8 - 1.3164 tak, jo ke in dono Moving Average lines ke sath confluent hain. Kyun ke price jab neeche gaya aur 1.3108 ke low prices tak pohancha, to lower low pattern form kiya hai, to ek upward correction ki zaroorat hai taake lower high pattern form ho sake.

Stochastic indicator ke point of view se dekha jaye to parameters jo cross hone walay hain yeh indicate karte hain ke price phir se neeche move karega. Iska matlab yeh hai ke upward correction phase sirf FR 23.6 - 1.3129 ke range tak limited hoga, phir low prices 1.3108 ko test karega. Misal ke tor par agar parameters cross nahi karte aur overbought zone level 90 - 80 tak pohanchte hain, to upward correction phase continue kar sakta hai jab tak ke woh apne optimal saturation point tak nahi pohanch jata. Dusri taraf, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka histogram abhi bhi GBPUSD pair ke price decline rally ko support karta hai kyun ke momentum downtrend mein hai. Lekin green histogram jo negative area ke neeche hai wo level ke kareeb weakness dikhata hai.

**Setup Entry Position:**

Trading options ke liye agar abhi ke price pattern structure ko dekha jaye jo ke lower low - lower high condition mein hai, to aap SELL moment ka intezar kar sakte hain chahe death cross signal abhi tak nazar nahi aya. Entry position placement ko tab karein jab corrected price FR 50 - 1.3154 ya FR 61.8 - 1.3164 tak upar chale jo ke in dono Moving Average lines ke sath confluent hain. Confirmation tab karein jab Stochastic indicator parameters jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein enter karein, cross karen. Jab ke AO indicator ka volume histogram consistent tareeke se level 0 ya negative area ke neeche downtrend momentum ko dikhata rahe. Low prices 1.3108 ya psychological level 1.3100 ko take profit targets ke tor par istemal karein aur stop losses FR 78.6 - 1.3180 par place karein

Weekly Analysis Of GBP/USD Pair: Trends and Predictions**
Aaj Saturday hai aur market poori tarah se band hai. Yeh ek behtareen mauqa hai ke hum pichle hafte ke GBP/USD pair ki price movements ka jaiza lein aur ane wale hafte mein kya ho sakta hai is par baat karein. Agar hum H4 chart par dekhein to GBP/USD pair pichle hafte se 1.2686 aur 1.2613 ke levels ke darmiyan rebound aur bounce kar raha hai. Yeh levels filhal support aur resistance ka kaam kar rahe hain. Pair ne apni closing 1.2641 par ki hai aur ab hum Monday ko market ke khulne ka intezar kar rahe hain. Agar hum chart par 50 aur 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMA) apply karein, to yeh wazeh hota hai ke price sell trend mein hai. Yeh moving averages trend ki direction aur potential reversal points determine karne mein madad karte hain. Dono averages downward trend ko dikhate hain, jo pair par selling pressure ko confirm kar rahe hain.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi downtrend signal continue kar raha hai. MACD signal line abhi tak zero line ke upar cross nahi hui hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate kar rahi hai. MACD ke histogram bars negative zone mein hain, jo mazeed selling momentum ki taraf ishara karte hain. Ane wale hafte ke liye, yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke price support level 1.2613 ko todta hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to GBP/USD pair mein mazeed girawat dekhi ja sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price resistance level 1.2686 ke upar break karta hai, to yeh ek bullish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.

Natije ke tor par, traders ko Monday ko market ke khulne ka intezar karna chahiye aur price action ko ghore se dekhna chahiye. Indicators aur moving averages short-term trend ke continuation ko suggest karte hain, lekin yeh bhi zaroori hai ke fundamental events aur news headlines ko madde nazar rakha jaye jo price movements par asar dal sakte hain.

GBP/USD Pair Technical Analysis

Aane wali Federal Reserve ki meeting Wednesday ko hone wali hai, jo kafi zyada dhyan khinchne wali hai. Investors bechayni se dekh rahe hain ke kya Fed rate cut ka elan karega jab Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) September mein phir se ikattha hoga. Market ki current expectations yeh hain ke 18 September ko kam se kam ek quarter-point rate reduction ka ilaan ho sakta hai. CME ka FedWatch Tool 90% chances de raha hai ke 25 basis points ka cut ho, aur 10% chance hai ke zyada reduction ho sakta hai. Financial markets yeh bhi ummeed kar rahe hain ke Fed inflation ko 2% ke target ke kareeb laane ki substantial progress ko acknowledge karega, aur labor market ke rising concerns ko bhi. Yeh acknowledgment Fed ki taraf se interest rates ko kam karne ki readiness ko signal de sakti hai. Fed ke policy decision ke ilawa, investors kuch important US economic indicators ko bhi dekhenge, jaise ke JOLTS Job Openings for June, ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), aur Nonfarm Payrolls data for July.

Agar technical analysis kiya jaye Ichimoku indicator ki madad se, to abhi ke candle ka position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai. Yeh tab se ho raha hai jab se GBP/USD girna shuru hua. Is recent intersection ke saath, GBP/USD ka trend bullish se bearish ho gaya hai. Jab tak iski position line ke upar hai, meri prediction yeh hai ke GBP/USD movement girne ki taraf rahegi na ke uthane ki. Stochastic indicator bhi yeh batata hai ke GBP/USD abhi oversold condition mein hai. Yeh kal ke girawat ki wajah se hai. Jaise ke maine upar kaha, support todne ke baad GBP/USD pehle thoda upar aa sakta hai correction ke liye, jo ke 1.3245 tak ho sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh increase apne najdeek ke resistance ko nahi tod sakta. Isliye, aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ko ab bhi neeche jane ka chance hai, halanki abhi yeh thoda stronger lag raha hai. Iska reason yeh hai ke candle abhi tak 1.3255 ke supply area ko nahi tod payi. Ichimoku indicator ke mutabiq, candle ka position bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Isliye, main recommend karunga ke jo log is pair mein trade karte hain, unhe sirf sell positions kholni chahiye. Aap apna take profit target 1.3070 ke nazdeek ke support pe rakh sakte hain aur stop loss 1.3268 ke nazdeek ke resistance pe rakh sakte hain.

Jab trading Monday subah shuru hui, toh currency pair ne apne recent nuksan ka kuch hissa wapas hasil kiya aur Asian trading hours ke dauran 1.3150 ke aas paas stable ho gaya. Agar hum chaar ghante ke chart ka jaiza lein, toh pair filhal ek neeche jaane wale channel ke tang hisse mein hai. Ye position is baat ki nishani hai ke ya toh consolidation phase chal raha hai ya phir jald hi koi reversal ho sakta hai. Filhal, GBP/USD 1.3141 ke kareeb hover kar raha hai aur market observers is baat ko dekh rahe hain ke ye 1.3100 ke significant psychological level ki taraf gir sakta hai.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Global mehngai ke dabav mein kami ke asar ne ye afwahayn phaila di hain ke Bank of England (BoE) aaj shaam mein apni interest rate mein kami kar sakta hai. Financial markets is waqt 65% se zyada chance de rahi hain ke BoE apni 16 saal ki bulandi par khari 5.25% ki rate ko kam kar dega. Iske ilawa, saal ke khatam hone se pehle aur ek quarter-point cut ki umeed bhi hai. Aisa koi action British Pound (GBP) ke liye musibat ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair par dabav dal sakta hai.

In umeedon ke bawajood, investor sentiment mein abhi bhi ehtiyaat hai. UK mein services sector ki inflation ke unchi satah ki wajah se BoE ke foran action lene ke hawale se abhi bhi confusion hai. Is confusion ki wajah se traders naye direction mein bets lagane se guraiz kar rahe hain, jiski wajah se price movements filhal muted aur range-bound hain. Natija yeh hai ke ab focus BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ke post-meeting press conference aur monetary policy statement par hoga.

Chaar Ghante Ka Technical Outlook:

Agar trend mein bearish continuation chahiye, toh sellers ko prices ko 20-day moving average (DMA) ke neeche le jana hoga, jo filhal 1.3163 par hai. Agar din ka akhri rate is level ke neeche hota hai, toh aur zyada girawat ke darwaze khul sakte hain, jahan agla support level recent low 1.3121, uske baad psychological level 1.3100, aur 100-DMA 1.3053 par ho sakte hain. Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD pair is haftay ka high 1.3153 cross kar jata hai, toh ye rally ko 1.3200 tak le ja sakta hai, aur recent pivot high 1.3265 tak bhi.

Chaar Ghante Ke Chart Ke Mutabiq:

Major pair ke liye bearish sentiment abhi bhi intact hai, jahan price consistently critical 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai. Ye downward momentum Relative Strength Index (RSI) se bhi support hota hai, jo filhal 50 midline se neeche 44.0 ke kareeb hai. Ye technical indicator bearish outlook ko aur majbooti deta hai aur is waqt ke market environment mein sellers ko support karta hai.

GBPUSD Forum Analysis,Forecast
### **GBP/USD ka Overview**
GBP/USD ek major currency pair hai jo British Pound aur US Dollar ke beech ke exchange rate ko represent karta hai. Is pair ki volatility aur sharp movements ki wajah se yeh traders ke liye hamesha interesting raha hai. Is waqt GBP/USD kuch critical levels ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, aur forums par iske future direction ke bare mein mukhtalif opinions hain.

### **Forum Analysis: Traders ki Rai**

Forums par aksar traders GBP/USD ke current market sentiment aur future outlook par apni rai dete hain. Filhal, zyada traders bearish sentiment ka izhar kar rahe hain. Unka kehna hai ke US Dollar ki strength aur UK economy ke weak indicators ki wajah se GBP/USD mein downward pressure continue rehne ke chances hain. Bohat se traders yeh bhi discuss kar rahe hain ke Bank of England ke interest rate decisions aur inflation data GBP/USD ki future direction par kaafi asar dal sakte hain.

Lekin kuch bullish traders yeh samajhte hain ke GBP/USD ne already kaafi downside dekha hai, aur ab price mein ek potential reversal ya bounce dekhne ko mil sakta hai, specially agar UK ki economic data positive aata hai ya US Dollar weak hota hai.

### **Technical Analysis: Key Levels aur Indicators**

GBP/USD ka technical analysis dekhte hue, kuch important levels ko note karna zaroori hai. Support 1.2500 ke qareeb hai, jo kafi strong level hai. Agar yeh break hota hai, toh pair mein mazeed downside dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Dusri taraf, resistance 1.2700 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level ke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh ek bullish signal ho sakta hai.

Moving averages ka analysis karain, toh 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan golden cross banne ka chance hai, jo bullish trend ka indication ho sakta hai. Lekin abhi tak yeh confirm nahi hua, isliye caution ki zaroorat hai.

### **Forecast: Aage kya Expect Karna Chahiye?**

GBP/USD ki future direction kaafi factors par depend karegi. Agar UK ke economic indicators improve karte hain aur US Dollar mein weakness aati hai, toh GBP/USD mein ek strong bullish rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin agar UK economy ke issues barqarar rehte hain, aur US Dollar apni strength ko maintain karta hai, toh GBP/USD mein further downside ka chance hai.

Overall, traders ko chahiye ke wo GBP/USD ke key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhein, aur kisi bhi major economic event ya central bank decision se pehle apni positions ko review karein. Forums par mixed sentiment hai, lekin price action ka analysis aur macroeconomic factors is pair ki future direction ke liye key role play karenge.

GBPUSD: Chart H1. Price ne trade ko opening level 1.26350 se start kiya aur support level H1 Sup C: 1.26268 tak gir gaya. Yeh level break karke price M30 Sup C: 1.26222 ke support level tak pohanch gaya, jahan se price ne upar ki taraf move kiya aur ab yeh zyada chance hain ke yeh daily pivot ki taraf barhta rahe. Agar price H1 Res: 1.2637 ke resistance level ko break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh FPV: 1.26387 ke daily pivot level tak pohanch sakta hai. Agar yeh is level ko bhi break karta hai aur upar ki taraf expansion dekhta hai, to agla possible target H4 Res C: 1.26540 ka resistance level ho sakta hai. Wahan se price phir se neechay ja sakta hai. Agar price din ke low yLow: 1.26116 ko break karta hai, to yeh S3: 1.25810 ke support level tak ja sakta hai; yeh D1 Sup C: 1.26175 ya H4 Sup: 1.26133 ke support level ke qareeb hai. In support levels ke neeche koi significant support ya resistance level nahi hai, S4:1.25453 tak. Agar price in support levels ko break karta hai aur kal ke level ko maintain nahi kar pata, to theek volatility ke saath yeh zaroor hum 1.25453 tak girawat expect kar sakte hain, agar aur bhi neeche na jaye.

Agar price daily pivot ko break kar deta hai aur H4 Res C: 1.26540 ke resistance level ko cross kar leta hai, aur High: 1.26693 ke upar ek major move karta hai, to uptrend ka target D1 resistance level ho sakta hai Res: 1.26815 ya phir R3: 1.26964 ka resistance level, jo ke 1.27000 level ke qareeb hai. ZUP indicator ke mutabiq bullish formation ke baad following values milti hain: .786 * AB = CD. Agar price 1.26169 ke neeche nahi girti, to yeh bullish method price action ke liye acha ho sakta hai. Baki slow (50.10.25) aur 33.6 se 29.8 signal line higher territory mein move karna shuru kar rahi hain. Strong momentum (5.3.3) ke saath, jinki values 28.7 aur 27.6 hain, yeh aisa lagta hai jaise crossroads pe hain: sell zone mein jayen ya aur upar. Shayad price 61.8:1.26515 Fibonacci level tak pohanchti hai, jo ke H4 Res C:1.2654 ke resistance level ke qareeb hai, aur yeh recover karte hue upar walay targets ki taraf barhta rahe.

Jab trading Monday subah shuru hui, to currency pair ne apni recent losses ka retracement dekha aur Asian trading hours ke dauran 1.3150 ke aas-paas stabilize ho gaya. Chaar ghante ke chart ka jaiza lene se yeh pata chalta hai ke pair filhal ek narrow section of descending channel mein hai. Is position ka matlab hai ke ya to consolidation phase chal raha hai ya phir jaldi reversal ho sakta hai. Filhal, GBP/USD 1.3141 ke aas-paas ghoom raha hai, aur market observers dekh rahe hain ke shayad decline ho kar 1.3100 ke significant psychological level tak pohnche.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Global inflationary pressures ke kam hone ke asar se speculation barh gayi hai ke Bank of England (BoE) aaj interest rate cut kar sakta hai. Financial markets ab 65% se zyada probability de rahe hain ke BoE apne 16 saal ke high se 5.25% par rate cut karega. Iske ilawa, saal ke end tak ek aur quarter-point cut ki bhi ummeed hai. Aise move se British Pound (GBP) par pressure aayega, jo GBP/USD pair ko bhi affect karega.

In expectations ke bawajood, investor sentiment cautious hai. UK mein service inflation ke high levels uncertainty ko barhate hain jo BoE ke immediate action ko lekar hai. Is uncertainty ne traders ko naye directional bets lene se rok diya hai, jiski wajah se price movements relatively subdued aur range-bound hain. Isliye, focus BoE ke monetary policy statement aur post-meeting press conference mein Governor Andrew Bailey ke comments par rahega.

Chaar Ghante ke Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Agar bearish trend continue karna hai, to sellers ko prices ko 20-day moving average (DMA) ke neeche push karna hoga, jo filhal 1.3163 par hai. Agar daily close is level ke neeche hota hai, to further declines ka darja khul sakta hai, jisme agle support levels recent low 1.3121, phir psychological 1.3100 level, aur 100-DMA jo 1.3053 par hai, shaamil hain. Iske muqabil, agar GBP/USD pair is hafte ke high 1.3153 ko paar kar leta hai, to yeh 1.3200 ki taraf rally kar sakta hai, aur shayad recent pivot high 1.3265 tak bhi pohnch sakta hai.

Chaar ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, major pair ke liye bearish sentiment abhi bhi barqarar hai, kyunki price lagatar critical 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche bani hui hai. Yeh downward momentum ko Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi support karta hai, jo filhal 50 midline ke neeche, lagbhag 44.0 par hai. Yeh technical indicator bearish outlook ko mazbooti deta hai aur current market environment mein sellers ko support karta hai.

GBP/USD Price Action Assessment

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price ke current behavior ka tajziya karenge. Main ne hourly chart ka jaiza liya taake kisi bhi aise formation ka pata lagaya ja sake jo potential decline ko suggest kar raha ho. Chart se yeh maloom hota hai ke mahine ke aakhir mein ek candle close hui jismein bara "body" aur dono sides pe shadows hain. GBP/USD pair ke liye, Friday ki trading ne upward movement ko disrupt kar diya, jo bears ke liye acha nishan hai jo aage price ke girne ka intezar kar rahe hain. Price 1.3122 pe settle hui, 1.3131 ka support break karne ke baad. Lekin agar yeh ek false breakout hai, to price 60 points tak rebound kar sakti hai. September mein decline ki ummeed hai, jo 1.2991 se 1.2931 ke beech tak ja sakta hai. Hourly chart pe resistance 1.3201 hai, aur indicator suggest kar raha hai ke price 1.3071 aur 1.2991 ki taraf gir sakti hai. 30-minute chart yeh dikhata hai ke teen substantial waves of decline form hui hain, jo is currency pair ke liye aage bhi downward movement ka nishan hai.

Teesri wave of decline kal hui, lekin yeh aakhri nahi ho sakti; agle hafte aur dekhne ko mil sakta hai. GBP/USD ne 1.3184 par resistance breach karne ki koshish ki magar fail ho gaya, jis se bears ne pair ko 1.3108 tak neeche push kar diya. Price is level ko break nahi kar paayi aur thoda upar ruk gayi. Hum pullback se fayda uthane ke liye buying ka entry point dekh sakte hain, phir bearish trend resume ho sakta hai. Alternatively, agar price 1.3108 ke neeche consolidate hoti hai, to yeh agle support level 1.3011 tak ja sakti hai. Daily chart pe, teen din ki dip ko ek deeper correction ke taur pe dekha ja sakta hai kyunki uptrend abhi bhi intact hai. Pichle hafte, GBP/USD 1.3266 tak barha, lekin phir direction reverse ho gayi. Aakhri teen dinon mein downward trend dekha gaya, jahan price 1.3266 se 1.3117 tak gir gayi, jo ke lagbhag 160 points ka drop hai. Aage dekhte hue, mujhe 1.3156 tak rise ki ummeed hai uske baad 1.3083 tak decline ki ummeed hai.

Spot price ne Asian session ke shuru mein dip kiya jab United States se aane wale stronger-than-expected economic data ne market ko hilaya. Is data ne kuch had tak tight labor market ko highlight kiya, jisse currency pair lagbhag 0.20% gir gaya. Currency pair ne 1.3131 par trade kiya, jab ke din ke peak par 1.3147 tak gaya.

US Dollar ki Mazbooti Key Economic Data Releases se Pehle:

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chhe bade currencies ke against measure karta hai, 101.60 tak barh gaya. Waqt guzarne ke sath, 10-year US Treasury notes ka yield phir se lagbhag 4.18% tak aa gaya. Aane wale hafte mein kai aham economic data releases hain, jaise ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing PMI, aur July ke Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Ye figures US Dollar ke agle moves ko kafi asar daal sakti hain.

Rate Cut ki Speculation Barh Rahi Hai Inflation aur Slowing GDP ke Chalte:

Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke kam hone ki umeed barh gayi hai, kyunki inflation ke 2% ke target par wapas aane ki ummeed hai. Ye optimism lower-than-expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) readings ke May aur June ke liye aur Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Price Index ke marked slowdown se barh gaya. Iske ilawa, labor market conditions ke moderate hone se bhi September mein rate cuts ki speculation ko taqat mili hai.

H1 Chart GBP/USD Key Resistance Reclaimed Ke Baawajood Mushkil Mein:

Pair ab bearish momentum hasil karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Multi-year highs 1.3266 se recent decline ke baad, pair 1.3150 level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab raha hai. Phir bhi, Cable ne teen consecutive down weeks record kiye hain, aur 1.3265 ke high se peak-to-trough 2.58% gir gaya hai. Jabke kuch buyers 1.3050 handle ke aas-paas pound ko support kar rahe hain, downside momentum ab bhi persistent hai.

Hafte bhar mein, pair ne key resistance levels ko reclaim karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jaise 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3162 par. Momentum buyers ke favor mein shift ho gaya hai, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish ho gaya hai. Price action 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.3156 ke upar hover kar raha hai. Lekin, intraday bids 20-day EMA 1.3135 ko paar karne mein mushkil ka samna kar rahi hain.

Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ke release ke baad market sentiment mein tabdeeli ki wajah se achanak rukh gai. Ye achanak reversal Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole Economic Symposium mein takreer ke liye intezar mein izafa kar raha hai. Market ke hissa lene wale Powell ke insights ke intezar mein hain ke kya Fed rate cut ke liye September mein kitna imkaan hai aur kitna bada cut ho sakta hai. Market pehle se hi rate cut ki taraf jhuka hua tha, lekin mixed PMI data ne is spekulasyon ko barhawa diya hai ke ek ziyata aggressive 50-basis-point reduction ho sakti hai. Fed ka pechla rate cut 25 basis points ka tha jo September mein hua tha, aur is mahine ke liye bhi lagbhag 75% imkaan hai ke waisa hi cut ho. Doosri taraf, UK ka August ka PMI data kuch umeedon ka izhar kar raha hai. Sabhi components—composite, manufacturing, aur services—ne expectations ko exceed kiya aur pichle levels se behtar huye. Khaaskar services sector mein ek notable uptick dekha gaya jo April ke baad se apni sabse buland point par hai. Is ke muqable mein, US manufacturing PMI data disappoint kar gaya, jo ke forecast se neeche raha aur sector mein kamzori ka izhar karta hai. Haan, services PMI ne achanak barhawa zaroor diya, magar underlying employment data ye suggest karta hai ke US labor market mein contraction ho raha hai. Ye conflicting economic picture ne market mein uncertainty ko aur barhawa diya hai, special Bureau of Labor Statistics ke taraf se March ke nonfarm payrolls report se 800,000 se zyada jobs ko retroactively hatane ke baad. Recent setback ke bawajood, pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed gains ke liye tayyar lag raha hai. Pichle das trading dino ke dauran pair ka positive performance bullish bias suggest karta hai. Magar, technical indicators, jaise ke Stochastic aur RSI, kamzori ke asar dikha rahe hain, jo ke short-term downside pressure ko indicate karte hain. Agar GBP/USD July 2023 ka peak 1.3142 ke upar break kar le, to ye ek ek ziata significant uptrend trigger kar sakta hai. Potential upside targets mein ek saal ki bulandi 1.3145 aur 1.3140 level shamil hain. Downside par, support levels 23.6% Fibonacci level 1.2870 par, 20-aur 50-day simple moving averages 1.2825 aur 1.2800 par, aur ascending trend line aur 38.2% Fibonacci level 1.2760 par ho sakte hain. Akhir mein, GBP/USD abhi bhi flux ki state mein hai, bullish momentum aur Fed ki monetary policy aur economic indicators ke hawalay se uncertainty ke darmiyan balance

Good Morning! Vlad, aapko weekend mubarak ho! Mera Take Profit 1.2625 par set tha, lekin maine sell position ko manually 1.2630 par close kar diya. Mujhe darr tha ke shayad price wapas turn ho kar upar ki taraf chalna shuru kar de. Jese ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai, maine deal ko jaldi close kar diya. Agar main wait karta, to end mein Take Profit order ke zariye yeh deal apne aap close ho jati kyunki price ne 1.2608 ka level touch kar liya tha. Maine koi aur deals open nahi ki. Mere paas abhi bhi pending orders hain 1.2605 aur 1.2586 par. Umeed hai ke agle hafte, Monday ya Tuesday ko yeh orders activate ho jayein.

Is waqt, hourly chart ne sales ke targets form kar liye hain. Pehla target level 161.8 hai jo Fibonacci grid par 1.2593 ke value par hai. Dusra target level 261.8 hai jo 1.2551 ke value par hai. Teesra target level 423.6 hai jo 1.2481 ke level par hai. Dekhte hain ke yeh sab kaise work out hota hai.

Oksana! Hello! Weekend mubarak ho aapko! Kal ki trading ke nateeje mein, din ek choti si bullish candle ke saath close hua, jo almost pinbar jaisi thi. Hourly chart par sales ke targets form ho chuke hain. Pehla target level 161.8 jo ke Fibonacci grid par 1.2593 ke value par hai, bohot realistic lagta hai ke work karega. Dusra target level 261.8 hai jo 1.2551 par hai, yeh bhi achi tarah se hit ho sakta hai. Mere paas pending buy orders hain 1.2605 aur 1.2586 par. Mera plan hai ke GBP/USD currency pair 1.2700 se 1.2730 tak grow kare.

Yeh targets mere liye important hain kyunki yeh levels mera trading strategy ka hissa hain. Fibonacci levels ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke market mein further downside move possible hai, lekin phir bhi mujhe yeh umeed hai ke price in levels se bounce kar ke wapas upar ki taraf move karega. Trading mein sabr aur waqt ko samajhna zaroori hai, isliye yeh pending orders mujhe allow karenge ke main apni strategy ke mutabiq positions ko manage kar sakoon.

Dekhne wali baat yeh hai ke market agle hafte kaise react karta hai, aur kya yeh levels successfully hit hote hain ya nahi. Mujhe umeed hai ke price wapas 1.2700 se 1.2730 tak grow karegi, lekin market ke unpredictability ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main apne orders ko dhang se manage karunga taake mujhe kisi bhi unexpected movement se nuksan na ho. Trading ek art hai, jisme strategy aur patience dono ka amal daramad hota hai

GBP/USD Forum Analysis, Forecast September 2024

GBPUSD pair ke price pattern ki structure ko dekhte huye lagta hai ke abhi bhi ye lower low - lower high condition mein hai aur bullish trend ka direction lagbhag bearish trend mein badalne wala hai. EMA 50 aur SMA 200 jo ke ek doosre ke kareeb hain, ek death cross signal ka potential provide kar rahe hain. Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price pehle upward correction kare FR 50 - 1.3154 ya FR 61.8 - 1.3164 tak, jo ke in dono Moving Average lines ke sath confluent hain. Kyun ke price jab neeche gaya aur 1.3108 ke low prices tak pohancha, to lower low pattern form kiya hai, to ek upward correction ki zaroorat hai taake lower high pattern form ho sake.

Stochastic indicator ke point of view se dekha jaye to parameters jo cross hone walay hain yeh indicate karte hain ke price phir se neeche move karega. Iska matlab yeh hai ke upward correction phase sirf FR 23.6 - 1.3129 ke range tak limited hoga, phir low prices 1.3108 ko test karega. Misal ke tor par agar parameters cross nahi karte aur overbought zone level 90 - 80 tak pohanchte hain, to upward correction phase continue kar sakta hai jab tak ke woh apne optimal saturation point tak nahi pohanch jata. Dusri taraf, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka histogram abhi bhi GBPUSD pair ke price decline rally ko support karta hai kyun ke momentum downtrend mein hai. Lekin green histogram jo negative area ke neeche hai wo level ke kareeb weakness dikhata hai.

**Setup Entry Position:**

Trading options ke liye agar abhi ke price pattern structure ko dekha jaye jo ke lower low - lower high condition mein hai, to aap SELL moment ka intezar kar sakte hain chahe death cross signal abhi tak nazar nahi aya. Entry position placement ko tab karein jab corrected price FR 50 - 1.3154 ya FR 61.8 - 1.3164 tak upar chale jo ke in dono Moving Average lines ke sath confluent hain. Confirmation tab karein jab Stochastic indicator parameters jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein enter karein, cross karen. Jab ke AO indicator ka volume histogram consistent tareeke se level 0 ya negative area ke neeche downtrend momentum ko dikhata rahe. Low prices 1.3108 ya psychological level 1.3100 ko take profit targets ke tor par istemal karein aur stop losses FR 78.6 - 1.3180 par place karein