𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Kal GBP/USD pair ne ek descending channel ke andar utha aur gira. Pound ka technical picture euro se thoda mukhtalif hai. Sideways movement ke signs bhi hain, magar pound dheere dheere niche ki taraf ja raha hai. Ye behtar hoga agar pound foran ek tez girawat shuru kar de aur volatility current levels se zyada ho. Lekin, hamari khwahishain hamesha market ki capabilities se milti nahi hain.

Kal British pound ko US macro data se thoda support mila, magar bina iske bhi isme growth dekhi jaati. Pair aksar correction se guzarti hai, isliye upward retracements bhi economic reasons ke bina hote hain. Hum expect karte hain ke pound girayega, magar market bekar nahi hai, isliye behtareen halat mein hum dekh sakte hain ke quotes mein dheere dheere girawat hoti hai. Ek buy signal 5-minute timeframe par bana, magar weak volatility ke wajah se price target level tak nahi pahuncha. European session ke doran, price ne 1.2633 level breach kiya, uske baad 25 pips tak climb kiya. General situation ye hai ke agar aap apni trade par 15 pips se zyada ka profit dekhte hain, to aap deal ko close kar sakte hain aur khush ho sakte hain. Din ke akhir tak, price 1.2633 level par wapas aa gayi...

**Trading Tips on Friday:**

Hourly chart par GBP/USD downtrend banane ke promising signs dikhata hai, magar iska matlab ye nahi ke pair uptrend nahi bana sakta. Bearish prospects ke hawale se, ye achi baat hai ke price ne 1.2693 level ko do baar overcome kiya. Lekin, market aksar bechne se inkaar karti hai, hatta ke technical, fundamental, aur macroeconomic factors us direction ko support karte hain. Abhi bhi yeh clear hai ke har new low pehle se thoda hi neecha hai, aur corrections kaafi frequent hain. Ye downward trend ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai.

Friday ko British pound erratic aur illogical movements dikhata reh sakta hai. GBP/USD continue to fall kar sakta hai, magar Britain aur America se kai reports release hongi jo dollar par asar daal sakti hain.

5M chart par key levels hain: 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980. Aaj UK apne GDP numbers ka third estimate release karega for Q1. US PCE index aur University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index release karega. Ye reports relatively secondary hain, magar current pair ki volatility ke saath, ye charts par apna asar chhod sakti hain

GBP/USD currency pair ke real-time price action ke evaluation par mabni hai. Technical analysis ke liye, maine resistance aur support ko represent karne ke liye diagonal lines plot ki hain. Agla qadam hai ke hum US Federal Reserve System ke head ki speech ko 16:39 Moscow time par bariki se dekhein. Is ke ilawa, 16:59 par labor market vacancy statistics release honge, jo local volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain. Humne 1.2614 tak ke decline ko manage kiya, aur price ab 59 points barh gayi hai. Spread ko chhod kar, ye nateeja kafi acha hai. Hum GBP/USD situation ko 18:01 ke baad dobara assess karenge, Fibonacci grid ka review karte hue, chhote time intervals par 100 – 161.7 range par focus karte hue. Filhaal price view aur sentiment mein koi tabdeeli nahi dikhayi de rahi.
Kal chhutti hai, lekin trading limited form mein chalegi, aur Thursday ko complete holiday hoga. Is wajah se trading week skewed hai aur Friday ko significantly start hoga, jo major players ko investing se roka sakta hai. Agar sirf speculative movements hoti hain, to wahi sawal uthta hai. Mera aaj ka main concern ye hai ke Americans apni holidays aaj ya kal se shuru karenge; lagta hai ke aaj se hi shuru karenge.
GBP/USD ka rebound barh gaya hai, meri target zone 1.2639-59 tak pohnch gaya hai. Filhaal ke impulse se neeche ki taraf ek pullback zaroori hai, jiska aim 1.2700 level ke nazdeek hona chahiye, shayad isse bhi break kar sake. Kal ka high ko surpass karna mushkil hai, lekin movement ke dauran closely observe karna zaroori hai. Maine apni position already close kar di hai, current profit ko potential gains par preference dete hue. Overall, situation abhi bhi uncertain hai. Ye scenarios possible outcomes ko reflect karte hain. Agar slope break hoti hai to buyers ko upper hand
GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka analysis karne se mutaliq hai. Agle hafte major central banks se kaafi significant action ki umeed hai, kyunki Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) apne interest rate decisions announce karne wale hain. Jabke Fed apna current rate ek aur meeting ke liye barqarar rakhega, BoE ko quarter-percentage-point rate cut ka speculation face karna pad raha hai. Money markets BoE ke base rate ko 5.24% se 5.9% tak kam hone ki forecasting kar rahe hain. Yeh anticipated narrowing of interest rate differential pound sterling par pressure daal raha hai. United States se recent economic data, jo Department of Commerce ne highlight kiya, steady growth trajectory ko reflect karta hai. Q2 ke preliminary GDP estimate ke mutabiq annual growth rate 2.7% hai, jo Q1 ke 1.3% se barh gaya hai aur forecasted 1.9% ko bhi surpass karta hai. Yeh stronger-than-expected indicator Fed ki future policies ko influence kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD trading dynamics ko impact kar sakta hai.

Aaj ki humari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par hogi. Jumma ke din GBP/USD pair apni girawat jaari rakhte hue support level 1.3130 par pohoncha. Yeh mumkin tha ke agar pair resistance 1.3213 ko tor deta ya support 1.3130 ko breach karne mein kamyaab na hota, toh rebound ka imkaan tha. Pair ne support 1.3130 ko toar diya lekin iss level ke neeche consolidate karne mein mushkil ka samna raha. Iss liye, maujooda level se rebound ka risk kam hai. Agar 1.3213 tor jaye toh yeh 1.3284 tak growth kar sakta hai, lekin naya M15 signal hourly chart ki potential overloads ki wajah se sahi align nahi ho sakta. Behtareen scenario yeh hoga ke yeh 1.3130 se neeche toote, 1.3054 tak pohonche aur wahan consolidate kare, jisse effective signal processing ki sahulat mile. Yeh setup rebound aur 1.3185 tak ki possible rise ko support karega, aur aagay barh kar 1.3501 tak ke faide ki ummid hogi.


Hourly chart par, pair apne maujooda low se rebound karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, lekin congestion kam hai, is liye is harkat ki zarurat kam hai. Agar girawat support level 1.3130 ke neeche jaari rehti hai, toh agla support 1.3054 par hosakta hai. Hourly moving averages is mein mazeed girawat ki nishandahi kar sakte hain agar pair ne Monday ko aadha din lagbhag 1.3054 par guzara. Agar iske baraks, pair 1.3130 ke upar bounce karta hai, toh yeh 1.3213 ki taraf rise ho sakta hai, jo bullish signal hoga. Ideal scenario yeh hoga ke 1.3054 ke neeche break ho aur yeh 1.2966 ki taraf decline kare, halanke yeh four-hour chart par kam mumkin lagta hai. Agar pair 1.3130 se rebound kare lekin 1.3213 ko toar nahi pata, toh yeh ab bhi 1.3054 ki taraf bearish trend par ja sakta hai taake hourly averages adjust ho sakein. Agar 1.3213 par breakthrough hota hai, toh mazeed growth ki nishani hogi, aur M15 chart par potential bullish signal milega. Agar pair M15 bearish signal ko follow karta raha, toh yeh Monday aur Tuesday tak barqarar reh sakta hai. Agar Tuesday tak signal valid raha, toh pair bullish trend mein switch ho sakta hai, khaas kar jab hourly signal align ho.

GBP/USD Forum Analysis, Forecast
02 September 2024

GBPUSD pair ke price pattern ki structure ko dekhte huye lagta hai ke abhi bhi ye lower low - lower high condition mein hai aur bullish trend ka direction lagbhag bearish trend mein badalne wala hai. EMA 50 aur SMA 200 jo ke ek doosre ke kareeb hain, ek death cross signal ka potential provide kar rahe hain. Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price pehle upward correction kare FR 50 - 1.3154 ya FR 61.8 - 1.3164 tak, jo ke in dono Moving Average lines ke sath confluent hain. Kyun ke price jab neeche gaya aur 1.3108 ke low prices tak pohancha, to lower low pattern form kiya hai, to ek upward correction ki zaroorat hai taake lower high pattern form ho sake.

Stochastic indicator ke point of view se dekha jaye to parameters jo cross hone walay hain yeh indicate karte hain ke price phir se neeche move karega. Iska matlab yeh hai ke upward correction phase sirf FR 23.6 - 1.3129 ke range tak limited hoga, phir low prices 1.3108 ko test karega. Misal ke tor par agar parameters cross nahi karte aur overbought zone level 90 - 80 tak pohanchte hain, to upward correction phase continue kar sakta hai jab tak ke woh apne optimal saturation point tak nahi pohanch jata. Dusri taraf, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka histogram abhi bhi GBPUSD pair ke price decline rally ko support karta hai kyun ke momentum downtrend mein hai. Lekin green histogram jo negative area ke neeche hai wo level ke kareeb weakness dikhata hai.

**Setup Entry Position:**

Trading options ke liye agar abhi ke price pattern structure ko dekha jaye jo ke lower low - lower high condition mein hai, to aap SELL moment ka intezar kar sakte hain chahe death cross signal abhi tak nazar nahi aya. Entry position placement ko tab karein jab corrected price FR 50 - 1.3154 ya FR 61.8 - 1.3164 tak upar chale jo ke in dono Moving Average lines ke sath confluent hain. Confirmation tab karein jab Stochastic indicator parameters jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein enter karein, cross karen. Jab ke AO indicator ka volume histogram consistent tareeke se level 0 ya negative area ke neeche downtrend momentum ko dikhata rahe. Low prices 1.3108 ya psychological level 1.3100 ko take profit targets ke tor par istemal karein aur stop losses FR 78.6 - 1.3180 par place karein

Ye achanak reversal Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole Economic Symposium mein takreer ke liye intezar mein izafa kar raha hai. Market ke hissa lene wale Powell ke insights ke intezar mein hain ke kya Fed rate cut ke liye September mein kitna imkaan hai aur kitna bada cut ho sakta hai. Market pehle se hi rate cut ki taraf jhuka hua tha, lekin mixed PMI data ne is spekulasyon ko barhawa diya hai ke ek ziyata aggressive 50-basis-point reduction ho sakti hai. Fed ka pechla rate cut 25 basis points ka tha jo September mein hua tha, aur is mahine ke liye bhi lagbhag 75% imkaan hai ke waisa hi cut ho. Doosri taraf, UK ka August ka PMI data kuch umeedon ka izhar kar raha hai. Sabhi components—composite, manufacturing, aur services—ne expectations ko exceed kiya aur pichle levels se behtar huye. Khaaskar services sector mein ek notable uptick dekha gaya jo April ke baad se apni sabse buland point par hai. Is ke muqable mein, US manufacturing PMI data disappoint kar gaya, jo ke forecast se neeche raha aur sector mein kamzori ka izhar karta hai. Haan, services PMI ne achanak barhawa zaroor diya, magar underlying employment data ye suggest karta hai ke US labor market mein contraction ho raha hai. Ye conflicting economic picture ne market mein uncertainty ko aur barhawa diya hai, special Bureau of Labor Statistics ke taraf se March ke nonfarm payrolls report se 800,000 se zyada jobs ko retroactively hatane ke baad. Recent setback ke bawajood, pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed gains ke liye tayyar lag raha hai. Pichle das trading dino ke dauran pair ka positive performance bullish bias suggest karta hai. Magar, technical indicators, jaise ke Stochastic aur RSI, kamzori ke asar dikha rahe hain, jo ke short-term downside pressure ko indicate karte hain. Agar GBP/USD July 2023 ka peak 1.3142 ke upar break kar le, to ye ek ek ziata significant uptrend trigger kar sakta hai. Potential upside targets mein ek saal ki bulandi 1.3145 aur 1.3140 level shamil hain. Downside par, support levels 23.6% Fibonacci level 1.2870 par, 20-aur 50-day simple moving averages 1.2825 aur 1.2800 par, aur ascending trend line aur 38.2% Fibonacci level 1.2760 par ho sakte hain. Akhir mein, GBP/USD abhi bhi flux ki state mein hai

Good Morning! Vlad, aapko weekend mubarak ho! Mera Take Profit 1.2625 par set tha, lekin maine sell position ko manually 1.2630 par close kar diya. Mujhe darr tha ke shayad price wapas turn ho kar upar ki taraf chalna shuru kar de. Jese ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai, maine deal ko jaldi close kar diya. Agar main wait karta, to end mein Take Profit order ke zariye yeh deal apne aap close ho jati kyunki price ne 1.2608 ka level touch kar liya tha. Maine koi aur deals open nahi ki. Mere paas abhi bhi pending orders hain 1.2605 aur 1.2586 par. Umeed hai ke agle hafte, Monday ya Tuesday ko yeh orders activate ho jayein.
Is waqt, hourly chart ne sales ke targets form kar liye hain. Pehla target level 161.8 hai jo Fibonacci grid par 1.2593 ke value par hai. Dusra target level 261.8 hai jo 1.2551 ke value par hai. Teesra target level 423.6 hai jo 1.2481 ke level par hai. Dekhte hain ke yeh sab kaise work out hota hai.

Oksana! Hello! Weekend mubarak ho aapko! Kal ki trading ke nateeje mein, din ek choti si bullish candle ke saath close hua, jo almost pinbar jaisi thi. Hourly chart par sales ke targets form ho chuke hain. Pehla target level 161.8 jo ke Fibonacci grid par 1.2593 ke value par hai, bohot realistic lagta hai ke work karega. Dusra target level 261.8 hai jo 1.2551 par hai, yeh bhi achi tarah se hit ho sakta hai. Mere paas pending buy orders hain 1.2605 aur 1.2586 par. Mera plan hai ke GBP/USD currency pair 1.2700 se 1.2730 tak grow kare.

Yeh targets mere liye important hain kyunki yeh levels mera trading strategy ka hissa hain. Fibonacci levels ko dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke market mein further downside move possible hai, lekin phir bhi mujhe yeh umeed hai ke price in levels se bounce kar ke wapas upar ki taraf move karega. Trading mein sabr aur waqt ko samajhna zaroori hai, isliye yeh pending orders mujhe allow karenge ke main apni strategy ke mutabiq positions ko manage kar sakoon.

Dekhne wali baat yeh hai ke market agle hafte kaise react karta hai, aur kya yeh levels

Yeh ek behtareen mauqa hai ke hum pichle hafte ke GBP/USD pair ki price movements ka jaiza lein aur ane wale hafte mein kya ho sakta hai is par baat karein. Agar hum H4 chart par dekhein to GBP/USD pair pichle hafte se 1.2686 aur 1.2613 ke levels ke darmiyan rebound aur bounce kar raha hai. Yeh levels filhal support aur resistance ka kaam kar rahe hain. Pair ne apni closing 1.2641 par ki hai aur ab hum Monday ko market ke khulne ka intezar kar rahe hain. Agar hum chart par 50 aur 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMA) apply karein, to yeh wazeh hota hai ke price sell trend mein hai. Yeh moving averages trend ki direction aur potential reversal points determine karne mein madad karte hain. Dono averages downward trend ko dikhate hain, jo pair par selling pressure ko confirm kar rahe hain.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi downtrend signal continue kar raha hai. MACD signal line abhi tak zero line ke upar cross nahi hui hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate kar rahi hai. MACD ke histogram bars negative zone mein hain, jo mazeed selling momentum ki taraf ishara karte hain. Ane wale hafte ke liye, yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke price support level 1.2613 ko todta hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to GBP/USD pair mein mazeed girawat dekhi ja sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price resistance level 1.2686 ke upar break karta hai, to yeh ek bullish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.

Natije ke tor par, traders ko Monday ko market ke khulne ka intezar karna chahiye aur price action ko ghore se dekhna chahiye. Indicators aur moving averages short-term trend ke continuation ko suggest karte hain, lekin yeh bhi zaroori hai ke fundamental events aur news headlines ko madde nazar rakha jaye jo price movements par asar dal sakte hain

**GBP/USD: Bearish Bias Intact as Pair Trades Below Key Moving Averages**

Monday ko, GBP/USD pair ne 20-period aur 50-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke neeche trade karna jaari rakha. Saath hi, Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 40 ke qareeb hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke recovery momentum mein kami hai.

Downside par, immediate support 1.3130 par located hai, jahan Fibonacci 23.6% retracement latest uptrend ka point hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ke neeche girta hai aur usay resistance ke tor par use karna shuru karta hai, to 1.3100 (static level) interim support ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai, jo ke 1.3050 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) ke qareeb hai.

1.3160-1.3170 (50-period SMA, 20-period SMA) pehla resistance area banaate hain 1.3200 (static level, psychological level) aur 1.3260 (end-point of the uptrend) se pehle.

GBP/USD monthly chart ne July 2023 ke monthly high 1.3142 ka breakout failure witness kiya. Traders is level ke upar daily close achieve karne mein kamiyab nahi hue, aur August ko 1.3122 par khatam kiya.

Weekly chart standpoint se dekha jaye, to GBP/USD 1.3140-1.3270 range mein consolidation ke liye set hai US Nonfarm Payrolls data ke release hone se pehle, jo ke US Federal Reserve ke liye September 18 meeting mein pehli rate cut ka size determine karne ke liye crucial hoga.

GBP/USD renewed US Dollar (USD) strength par south turn kiya aur pichle hafte 0.7% kho diya. Pair European session morning mein ek bohot narrow band mein fluctuate kar raha hai, magar technical outlook yeh suggest karta hai ke bearish bias abhi bhi intact hai.

Pichle hafte ke doosre hissay mein, US ke upbeat macroeconomic data releases ne USD ko boost diya. Jummah ko, Bureau of Economic Analysis ke data ne show kiya ke core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ka preferred gauge of inflation hai, monthly basis par 0.2% bara, jo ke forecast ke mutabiq tha. Is reading ne USD ko weekend tak apni rebound extend karne ki ijaazat di.

Jaisa ke GBP/USD apni downward trend continue kar raha hai, traders ko support aur resistance levels par focus karna chahiye. 1.3130 par located support, jo ke Fibonacci 23.6% retracement point hai, immediate concern hai. Agar price is level ke neeche girti hai, to next support levels 1.3100 aur 1.3050 par hain. Yeh levels critical hain kyun ke yeh bearish trend ke mazeed continuation ya potential reversal ko determine kar sakte hain.

On the upside, agar GBP/USD 1.3160-1.3170 ke resistance area ko break karta hai, to 1.3200 aur 1.3260 par mazeed resistance levels hain. Yeh levels important hain kyun ke yeh pair ke short-term recovery prospects ko determine karte hain.

Market participants ko is hafte ke important economic events par nazar rakhni hogi, khaaskar US Nonfarm Payrolls data jo ke September 18 ke Federal Reserve ke meeting par asar انداز karega. Agar US data strong rehta hai, to USD ko mazeed strength mil sakti hai, jo GBP/USD par negative asar ڈال sakta hai.

Overall, GBP/USD ka bearish bias intact rehta hai, jab tak pair key support levels ke upar stable nahi hota. Is hafte ka economic backdrop crucial hoga aur potential volatility ke liye traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye.

Profit Potential through GBP/USD
Aaj humari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ki price action analysis par hogi. Friday ko, GBP/USD pair ne apni girawat jari rakhi aur support level 1.3130 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh mumkin tha ke agar pair resistance 1.3213 ko toar deta ya support 1.3130 ko breach karne mein nakam hota, toh ek rebound ka imkaan hota. Yeh pair 1.3130 ke support ko toar gaya, lekin is level se neechay consolidate karne mein mushkil mein pada. Isi wajah se, mujooda level se rebound ka risk abhi bhi kam hai. Agar 1.3213 ka level toota, toh yeh 1.3284 ki taraf growth ki le ja sakta hai, lekin naya M15 signal shayad iske saath theek se na mile kiun ke hourly chart par mumkin overloads ke sabab se. Behtareen soorat yeh hogi ke 1.3130 ke neechay toar kar 1.3054 tak pohanch jaaye aur wahan consolidate kare, taake effective signal processing ho sake. Yeh setup ek rebound ko support karega aur potential rise 1.3185 tak, aur mazeed gains 1.3501 tak.

Hourly chart par, pair apne mujooda low se rebound karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, lekin kam congestion ke saath, is move ki zarurat zaida hai. Agar decline opening se 1.3130 support ke neechay jaari rehta hai, toh agla support 1.3054 ho sakta hai. Agar Monday ko pair aadha din lagbhag 1.3054 par guzarata hai, toh hourly moving averages mazeed girawat ka ishara de sakte hain. Iske baraks, agar pair 1.3130 se upar bounce karta hai, toh yeh 1.3213 tak barh sakta hai, jo ke ek bullish signal hoga. Ideal soorat yeh hogi ke 1.3054 ke neechay break ho, jis se 1.2966 tak girawat ho, lekin yeh four-hour chart par kam mumkin lagta hai. Agar pair 1.3130 se rebound karta hai lekin 1.3213 ko toar nahi pata, toh yeh abhi bhi 1.3054 tak bearish trend kar sakta hai taake hourly averages ko adjust kiya ja sake. Agar 1.3213 par breakthrough hota hai, toh mazeed growth ka imkaan hai, ek potential bullish signal ke saath M15 chart par. Agar pair M15 bearish signal ko follow karta hai, toh yeh Monday aur Tuesday tak jari reh sakta hai. Agar yeh signal Tuesday tak valid rehta hai, toh pair bullish trend mein switch kar sakta hai, khas tor par agar hourly signal bhi align ho.

Profit Potential through GBP/USD
Aaj humari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ki price action analysis par hogi. Friday ko, GBP/USD pair ne apni girawat jari rakhi aur support level 1.3130 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh mumkin tha ke agar pair resistance 1.3213 ko toar deta ya support 1.3130 ko breach karne mein nakam hota, toh ek rebound ka imkaan hota. Yeh pair 1.3130 ke support ko toar gaya, lekin is level se neechay consolidate karne mein mushkil mein pada. Isi wajah se, mujooda level se rebound ka risk abhi bhi kam hai. Agar 1.3213 ka level toota, toh yeh 1.3284 ki taraf growth ki le ja sakta hai, lekin naya M15 signal shayad iske saath theek se na mile kiun ke hourly chart par mumkin overloads ke sabab se. Behtareen soorat yeh hogi ke 1.3130 ke neechay toar kar 1.3054 tak pohanch jaaye aur wahan consolidate kare, taake effective signal processing ho sake. Yeh setup ek rebound ko support karega aur potential rise 1.3185 tak, aur mazeed gains 1.3501 tak.

Hourly chart par, pair apne mujooda low se rebound karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, lekin kam congestion ke saath, is move ki zarurat zaida hai. Agar decline opening se 1.3130 support ke neechay jaari rehta hai, toh agla support 1.3054 ho sakta hai. Agar Monday ko pair aadha din lagbhag 1.3054 par guzarata hai, toh hourly moving averages mazeed girawat ka ishara de sakte hain. Iske baraks, agar pair 1.3130 se upar bounce karta hai, toh yeh 1.3213 tak barh sakta hai, jo ke ek bullish signal hoga. Ideal soorat yeh hogi ke 1.3054 ke neechay break ho, jis se 1.2966 tak girawat ho, lekin yeh four-hour chart par kam mumkin lagta hai. Agar pair 1.3130 se rebound karta hai lekin 1.3213 ko toar nahi pata, toh yeh abhi bhi 1.3054 tak bearish trend kar sakta hai taake hourly averages ko adjust kiya ja sake. Agar 1.3213 par breakthrough hota hai, toh mazeed growth ka imkaan hai, ek potential bullish signal ke saath M15 chart par. Agar pair M15 bearish signal ko follow karta hai, toh yeh Monday aur Tuesday tak jari reh sakta hai. Agar yeh signal Tuesday tak valid rehta hai, toh pair bullish trend mein switch kar sakta hai, khas tor par agar hourly signal bhi align ho.

t price ne Asian session ke shuru mein dip kiya jab United States se aane wale stronger-than-expected economic data ne market ko hilaya. Is data ne kuch had tak tight labor market ko highlight kiya, jisse currency pair lagbhag 0.20% gir gaya. Currency pair ne 1.3131 par trade kiya, jab ke din ke peak par 1.3147 tak gaya.
US Dollar ki Mazbooti Key Economic Data Releases se Pehle:

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki value ko chhe bade currencies ke against measure karta hai, 101.60 tak barh gaya. Waqt guzarne ke sath, 10-year US Treasury notes ka yield phir se lagbhag 4.18% tak aa gaya. Aane wale hafte mein kai aham economic data releases hain, jaise ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing PMI, aur July ke Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Ye figures US Dollar ke agle moves ko kafi asar daal sakti hain.

Rate Cut ki Speculation Barh Rahi Hai Inflation aur Slowing GDP ke Chalte:

Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke kam hone ki umeed barh gayi hai, kyunki inflation ke 2% ke target par wapas aane ki ummeed hai. Ye optimism lower-than-expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) readings ke May aur June ke liye aur Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Price Index ke marked slowdown se barh gaya. Iske ilawa, labor market conditions ke moderate hone se bhi September mein rate cuts ki speculation ko taqat mili hai.

H1 Chart GBP/USD Key Resistance Reclaimed Ke Baawajood Mushkil Mein:

Pair ab bearish momentum hasil karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Multi-year highs 1.3266 se recent decline ke baad, pair 1.3150 level ke upar rehne mein kamiyab raha hai. Phir bhi, Cable ne teen consecutive down weeks record kiye hain, aur 1.3265 ke high se peak-to-trough 2.58% gir gaya hai. Jabke kuch buyers 1.3050 handle ke aas-paas pound ko support kar rahe hain, downside momentum ab bhi persistent hai.

Hafte bhar mein, pair ne key resistance levels ko reclaim karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jaise 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3162 par. Momentum buyers ke favor mein shift ho gaya hai, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish ho gaya hai. Price action 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.3156 ke upar hover kar raha hai. Lekin, intraday bids 20-day EMA 1.3135 ko paar karne mein mushkil ka samna kar rahi hain.

**GBP/USD Ke Price Movement Ki Soorat-e-Haal**

GBP/USD ke H1 time frame ke mutabiq, har dafa price XamaSystem indicator se takra kar wapas hoti hai aur maximum ko update karti hai. Mera khayal hai ke yeh jaldi toot jayega. Agar price indicator ko upar se neeche todti hai aur is ke neeche consolidate hoti hai, toh hum hourly period ki MA120 ki moving average ka test dekh sakte hain, jo ke 1.3151 par hai. Yahan main dekhunga ke price kis tarah se react karti hai. Agar rebound hota hai, toh thoda sa GBP/USD khareedna mumkin hoga, 1.3265 par maximum growth ke maqsad ke saath. Main 1.3300 tak ka growth potential dekh raha hoon.

Us ke baad, mujhe reversal formation aur ek super sale ki tawaqqo hai jo ke 1.2800 ya is se neeche ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar hum MACD ko dekhen, toh woh bhi yeh ishaara karta hai ke price mazeed neeche ja sakti hai. Aur agar price red trendline ko todti hai, toh aur zyada girawat ke imkaanat hain jo market mein bearishness ko mazbooti dein ge.

Chart par GBP/USD ki exchange rate dikha rahi hai ke rate mein chamatkari growth ho rahi hai, jo ke Bank of England ki policy aur UK ke budget ki soorat-e-haal ke tanazur mein ajeeb lagta hai. Aaj Asian session mein US dollar ki thodi mazbooti ki wajah se GBP/USD quotes wapas hue hain 1.3264 ke char ghantay ke chart ke local maximum se. Abhi tak reversal ki baat karna jaldi hoga. Yeh upward slope abhi bhi jari hai, magar bears ke paas achi chance hai ke quotes ko blue moving average tak le jayein. Jab tak quotes is moving average se ooper hain, poori tarah se downward correction ke imkaanat kamzor hain.

Yeh sirf meri rai hai. Tuesday ko GBP/USD pair ne ek naya multi-year high attempt kiya aur 29-mahina top 1.3266 par gir gaya, jab pound sterling ko greenback ke selloff ka faida mila. Jumma ko US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) inflation readings ki tawaqqo hai, aur investors ne Federal Reserve (Fed) ki September rate cut ki umeed lagayi hui hai, jis se markets mein ab tak kuch khaas maloomat nahi mili.

UK ki economic calendar is waqt noteworthy events se khaali hai, aur Budh ka din bhi Atlantic ke paar low-key rehne ki umeed hai. Early US market mein, Fedspeak traders Fed Board of Governors ke member Christopher Waller ki speech dekh rahe hain, jabke central bank observers Bank of England (BoE) ki policymaker Catherine Mann ki speech par tawajjo dein ge, jo London markets ke band hone ke baad ho gi.

ka Overview**
GBP/USD ek major currency pair hai jo British Pound aur US Dollar ke beech ke exchange rate ko represent karta hai. Is pair ki volatility aur sharp movements ki wajah se yeh traders ke liye hamesha interesting raha hai. Is waqt GBP/USD kuch critical levels ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, aur forums par iske future direction ke bare mein mukhtalif opinions hain.

### **Forum Analysis: Traders ki Rai**

Forums par aksar traders GBP/USD ke current market sentiment aur future outlook par apni rai dete hain. Filhal, zyada traders bearish sentiment ka izhar kar rahe hain. Unka kehna hai ke US Dollar ki strength aur UK economy ke weak indicators ki wajah se GBP/USD mein downward pressure continue rehne ke chances hain. Bohat se traders yeh bhi discuss kar rahe hain ke Bank of England ke interest rate decisions aur inflation data GBP/USD ki future direction par kaafi asar dal sakte hain.

Lekin kuch bullish traders yeh samajhte hain ke GBP/USD ne already kaafi downside dekha hai, aur ab price mein ek potential reversal ya bounce dekhne ko mil sakta hai, specially agar UK ki economic data positive aata hai ya US Dollar weak hota hai.

### **Technical Analysis: Key Levels aur Indicators**

GBP/USD ka technical analysis dekhte hue, kuch important levels ko note karna zaroori hai. Support 1.2500 ke qareeb hai, jo kafi strong level hai. Agar yeh break hota hai, toh pair mein mazeed downside dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Dusri taraf, resistance 1.2700 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level ke upar close hoti hai, toh yeh ek bullish signal ho sakta hai.

Moving averages ka analysis karain, toh 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan golden cross banne ka chance hai, jo bullish trend ka indication ho sakta hai. Lekin abhi tak yeh confirm nahi hua, isliye caution ki zaroorat hai.

### **Forecast: Aage kya Expect Karna Chahiye?**

GBP/USD ki future direction kaafi factors par depend karegi. Agar UK ke economic indicators improve karte hain aur US Dollar mein weakness aati hai, toh GBP/USD mein ek strong bullish rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Lekin agar UK economy ke issues barqarar rehte hain, aur US Dollar apni strength ko maintain karta hai, toh GBP/USD mein further downside ka chance hai.

Overall, traders ko chahiye ke wo GBP/USD ke key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhein, aur kisi bhi major economic event ya central bank decision se pehle apni positions ko review karein. Forums par mixed sentiment hai, lekin price action ka analysis aur macroeconomic factors is pair ki future direction

Bank of England (BoE) ke baray mein umeed hai ke wo apni sakht monetary policy ko barqarar rakhega, kyun ke inflation ke pressures ab bhi barqarar hain. Policymakers special service sector mein badhti hui inflation se pareshan hain. Agar UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) ki figures ab bhi high rahi to market ki umeedain kam ho sakti hain ke BoE apni agle August ki meeting mein interest rates kam karna shuru kar dega. Aane wala employment report British Pound ke liye bohot ahem hai, jo ke May tak ke teen mahine ka data cover karega. Economists ki raaye hai ke ILO Unemployment Rate 4.4% par barqarar rahegi. Iske ilawa, Average Earnings data, jo ke bonuses ko shamil karke aur bina bonuses ke, dono cases mein, 5.7% tak slow hone ki umeed hai. Agar wage growth mein kisi qisam ki kammi aati hai, to ye market ki umeedain barha sakti hain ke Bank of England rate cuts ka soch sakta hai. Maine kal GBP/USD pair ke liye ek bearish scenario outline kiya tha, jahan Double Top ka tajwez diya tha, jisse umeed thi ke dollar aur kamzor hoga American economic developments ke bawajood. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, monthly resistance zone ki upper line 100 points se thodi kam door hai, jo ke downside movement ka chance barhati hai. Critical level jo dekhna hai wo 1.3130 hai, aur aaj dekhenge ke market is point ko paar kar sakti hai ya nahi. Bulls ne surrender nahi kiya, aur bears ko gain momentum karne se roknay ki koshish ki. Unhone sirf H1 chart par ek chhoti si pullback ki ijazat di hai. Maximum test chal raha hai, aur upper Bollinger band upward movement ke liye raste khol raha hai. Ye signal pullback ko negate kar sakta hai aur upward trend ko continue karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai, provided bulls 1.3052 ke maximum ko paar karen. Bearish activity ab bhi minimal hai, kyun ke woh MA121 ko H4 chart par break nahi kar paye aur wahan movement ko sustain nahi kar paye. MA11 se rebound hone se situation mein achanak tabdeel hoti hai.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell se ye umeed hai ke wo inflation ke progress ko samjhenge lekin rate cuts par caution barqarar rakhne ka keh sakte hain, aur kisi bhi rate cuts ke liye data-driven approach ko emphasize karenge. Powell shayad rate cuts ke liye kisi specific timeline ka zikr na karein aur declining inflation ke liye sustained evidence ki zaroorat ko stress karenge. Wo US labor market ke moderating strength par bhi concerns express kar sakte hain. Is hafte, UK economic data thoda kam hai, lekin key events mein Bank of England (BoE) ke policymakers ki Wednesday ko appearances aur Thursday ko industrial aur manufacturing activity surveys shamil hain. Analysts ka tajwez hai ke UK Industrial aur Manufacturing Production May ke liye rebound karegi, jo April mein thodi contraction ke baad expect kiya gaya hai

British Pound ki Monday ko Halat
British Pound (GBP) abhi bhi Monday ko "snooze" mode mein hai. UK Manufacturing PMI August ke liye umeed ke mutabiq 52.5 aaya hai. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne bhi steady shuruaat ki hai kyunki US markets aaj public holidays ki wajah se band hain.

British Pound (GBP) European trading session ke dauran Monday ko thodi si gains par qaim hai, jab ke US markets Labor Day ke moqe par band hain. Iska matlab hai ke trading volumes bahut kam hain, ek aam Monday se bhi kam. Is dauran UK market ko is subah S&P Global/CIPS Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) ko digest karna pada, jo manufacturing sector ke liye expected ke mutabiq 52.5 par aaya.

Doosri taraf, US Dollar Index (DXY) – jo US Dollar ki qeemat ko chhe foreign currencies ke basket ke muqable mein measure karta hai – abhi bhi pichhle haftay ke bharay selloff se recover ho raha hai. Guzishta haftay mein, Greenback kuch mazboot US economic data ki wajah se recover kiya, jiski wajah se US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki initial rate cut ko sirf 25 basis points tak mehdood kiya ja sakta hai September mein. Is hafte ke mazeed PMI data aur Friday ko US Jobs reports ke saath, sab kuch is hafte ke data par depend karega taake aglay hafte interest rate cut ki size ko confirm kiya ja sake.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Kaafi Upar hai

British Pound abhi bhi kaafi high trade kar raha hai, July 2023 ke baad se aise levels par nahi dekha gaya against US Dollar. Guzishta haftay ka recent retracement kaafi welcome hai, aur ab woh traders jo GBP/USD mein long jaana chahte hain, unhe support levels identify karne honge jahan se wo at least year-to-date high ke retest ke liye entry le sakte hain, jo ke 1.3237 ke aas paas ya ek naya high banane ke liye 1.33 ke aas paas hai.

Neeche ki taraf, moving averages abhi ke liye kaafi door hain koi support dene ke liye. Behtar hai ke un trend channel ke upper band par bounce ka intezar karein jo pichhle cheh mahine se achi tarah se respected tha, lagbhag 1.3120 par. Agar ye level hold nahi karta, toh 1.3044 ek achha qarib platform lag raha hai jo August mein resistance ke taur par kaam kiya tha. Agar aur girawat hoti hai, toh 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2869 khoobsoorti se June 2023 se ek pivotal level 1.2849 ke saath line mein girta hai, sirf 20 pips ke farq ke saath ek strong support area ke taur par.