𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Jumeraat ke din, yeh pair 1.0700 ke neeche gir gaya, recent gains ko erase karte hue, jabke Euro (EUR) par confidence kamzor ho gaya, European Union (EU) ke andar siyasi be-qaidgi ki wajah se. Yeh decline us waqt hua jab US Producer Price Index (PPI) ke disappointing numbers saamne aaye, jisne United States mein economic slowdown ke hawale se concerns ko barha diya, aur week ke akhri dinon mein risk appetite mein significant tabdeeli dekhne ko mili.

US Dollar Index Mein Izafa, Treasury Yields Ke Rebound Aur Fed Ki Rate Cut Expectations Ki Revisions:

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat ko chay bari currencies ke muqable mein track karta hai, thoda sa izafa hua aur yeh qareeb 105.80 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh movement shayad US Treasury yields ke rebound se support hui. Press time tak, 2-saal aur 10-saal ke US Treasury bonds ke yields 4.76% aur 4.31% par qaim the. Investors bariki se US weekly Initial Jobless Claims aur Producer Price Index (PPI) reports ko dekh rahe hain, taake US economic landscape ke bare mein mazeed insights hasil kar sakein.

Ek significant development mein, Federal Reserve ke dot plot ne yeh dikhaya ke ab policymakers sirf ek rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain is saal, jab ke March mein teen forecast kiye gaye the. Yeh adjustment strong labor market aur January-March period mein dekhi gayi persistently high inflation ko reflect karta hai. Mazeed, Fed officials ne core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) ke year-end forecast ko bhi revised kar ke 2.8% kar diya hai, jabke March ka estimate 2.6% tha. Yeh PCE Fed ka preferred inflation measure hai.

EUR/USD Key Levels Ke Qareeb Consolidate Kar Raha Hai, 200-day EMA Par Resistance Par Nazar:

Yeh pair 1.0700 tak decline kar gaya jab ke do mahine ke low, jo ke qareeb 1.0660 par hai, ko touch kiya. Pehle, yeh currency pair tezzi se recover hua tha jab yeh takreeban paanch hafton ke low ke qareeb 1.0711 tak gira tha. Yeh pair ab 1.0900 ke qareeb do mahine ke high ke liye aim kar raha hai, halan ke long-term outlook ab bhi uncertain hai kyun ke yeh 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb hai, jo ke iss waqt qareeban 1.0798 par trade kar raha hai.

Agar yeh 200-day EMA ke upar breakout hota hai to EUR/USD pair ko March ke high 1.0982 ke qareeb explore karne ka moka mil sakta hai. Technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh currency pair apni current consolidation ko barqarar rakh sakta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 ke qareeb support find kar raha hai aur umeed hai ke yeh 40.00 aur 60.00 ke darmiyan oscillate karega, jo ke potential continuation ko indicate karta hai current consolidation phase ka.

GBPUSD: Chart H1. Price ne trade ko opening level 1.26350 se start kiya aur support level H1 Sup C: 1.26268 tak gir gaya. Yeh level break karke price M30 Sup C: 1.26222 ke support level tak pohanch gaya, jahan se price ne upar ki taraf move kiya aur ab yeh zyada chance hain ke yeh daily pivot ki taraf barhta rahe. Agar price H1 Res: 1.2637 ke resistance level ko break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh FPV: 1.26387 ke daily pivot level tak pohanch sakta hai. Agar yeh is level ko bhi break karta hai aur upar ki taraf expansion dekhta hai, to agla possible target H4 Res C: 1.26540 ka resistance level ho sakta hai. Wahan se price phir se neechay ja sakta hai. Agar price din ke low yLow: 1.26116 ko break karta hai, to yeh S3: 1.25810 ke support level tak ja sakta hai; yeh D1 Sup C: 1.26175 ya H4 Sup: 1.26133 ke support level ke qareeb hai. In support levels ke neeche koi significant support ya resistance level nahi hai, S4:1.25453 tak. Agar price in support levels ko break karta hai aur kal ke level ko maintain nahi kar pata, to theek volatility ke saath yeh zaroor hum 1.25453 tak girawat expect kar sakte hain, agar aur bhi neeche na jaye.

Agar price daily pivot ko break kar deta hai aur H4 Res C: 1.26540 ke resistance level ko cross kar leta hai, aur High: 1.26693 ke upar ek major move karta hai, to uptrend ka target D1 resistance level ho sakta hai Res: 1.26815 ya phir R3: 1.26964 ka resistance level, jo ke 1.27000 level ke qareeb hai. ZUP indicator ke mutabiq bullish formation ke baad following values milti hain: .786 * AB = CD. Agar price 1.26169 ke neeche nahi girti, to yeh bullish method price action ke liye acha ho sakta hai. Baki slow (50.10.25) aur 33.6 se 29.8 signal line higher territory mein move karna shuru kar rahi hain. Strong momentum (5.3.3) ke saath, jinki values 28.7 aur 27.6 hain, yeh aisa lagta hai jaise crossroads pe hain: sell zone mein jayen ya aur upar. Shayad price 61.8:1.26515 Fibonacci level tak pohanchti hai, jo ke H4 Res C:1.2654 ke resistance level ke qareeb hai, aur yeh recover karte hue upar walay targets ki taraf barhta rahe.

GBP/USD pair 1.2650 level ki taraf gir rahi hai. Divergent Fed-BoE policy approaches aur UK election se pehle ka anxiety, pair ko risk appetite ke bawajood vulnerable rakhti hai. Tawajju mid-range US data par hai, kyunke UK calendar data dry hai. 4-hour chart par, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 50 se thora neeche hai, jo buyer interest ki kami ko zahir karta hai.

Downside mein, 100-day aur 50-day simple moving averages strong support bana rahe hain 1.2640 par. Yeh level latest uptrend ke Fibonacci 38.2% retracement se bhi supported hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ke neeche break karta hai aur usay resistance bana leta hai, to agle bearish targets 1.2600 (jo ek psychological aur static level hai) aur 1.2580 (Fibonacci 50% retracement) ho sakte hain. Immediate resistance 1.2700 (200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart) par set hai, iske baad 1.2730 (100-period SMA, Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) aur 1.2800 (psychological aur static level) par hai. Tuesday ko, pair surface clear nahi kar paya aur Wednesday ko minor bearish pressure mein hai. Agar 1.2640 support break hota hai, to ek extended slide dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Advanced data ki absence mein, ek cautious market stance ne US dollar ko apne rivals ke khilaf resilient rakha hai. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve officials ke dovish comments ne bhi USD ko further support diya hai. Fed Governor Michelle Bauman ne Tuesday ko kaha ke abhi yeh waqt nahi hai ke interest rates cut kiye jayen, aur agar inflation ruk jata hai ya reverse hota hai to rate hikes ka target rakhne ke liye tayar hain. US stock index futures marginally higher trade kar rahe hain. Agar Wall Street bullish open hota hai, to USD gains limited ho sakte hain, aur GBP/USD ko kuch footing mil sakti hai. Lekin, pair bullish momentum gather karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar sakta hai jab tak investors agle hafte ke UK elections ka wait kar rahe hain before taking large positions. US economic docket mein sirf May ke liye new home sales hain. April mein 4.7% decline ke baad, is data mein ek aur significant drop Fed ki tightening policy ka housing market par negative impact highlight kar sakti hai aur USD ko hurt kar sakti hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq initial support 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.2600 par hai, aur further support ascending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb 1.2500 par anticipate kiya ja raha hai. Agar yeh levels breach hote hain, to selling pressure intensify ho sakta hai, key support 1.2451 par test karne ke liye. Agar is level par breakthrough hota hai, to further upward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 1.3000 tak push kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD exchange rate mein. Technically, daily chart par developments ke mutabiq, current bearish channel se breakout ka koi chance nahi hai agar GBP price resistance levels 1.2775 aur 1.2830 ke upar stabilize nahi hota. Dusri taraf, isi duration mein, 1.2600 mark ke neeche break hona bears ke liye ek catalyst rahega, pair ko lower support levels ki taraf push karne ke liye, especially 1.2485 support level ki taraf, jo is baat ki nishani hogi ke technical indicators deeply oversold levels ki taraf move karenge. Aaj, GBP price ko ziada tar US inflation rate se influence kiya ja raha hai jo Federal Reserve ke liye preferred hai, aur central bank ke policy ke future aur Europe ki political situation ke hawale se koi bhi signs ka asar ho sakta hai.

Kal GBP/USD pair ne ek descending channel ke andar utha aur gira. Pound ka technical picture euro se thoda mukhtalif hai. Sideways movement ke signs bhi hain, magar pound dheere dheere niche ki taraf ja raha hai. Ye behtar hoga agar pound foran ek tez girawat shuru kar de aur volatility current levels se zyada ho. Lekin, hamari khwahishain hamesha market ki capabilities se milti nahi hain.

Kal British pound ko US macro data se thoda support mila, magar bina iske bhi isme growth dekhi jaati. Pair aksar correction se guzarti hai, isliye upward retracements bhi economic reasons ke bina hote hain. Hum expect karte hain ke pound girayega, magar market bekar nahi hai, isliye behtareen halat mein hum dekh sakte hain ke quotes mein dheere dheere girawat hoti hai. Ek buy signal 5-minute timeframe par bana, magar weak volatility ke wajah se price target level tak nahi pahuncha. European session ke doran, price ne 1.2633 level breach kiya, uske baad 25 pips tak climb kiya. General situation ye hai ke agar aap apni trade par 15 pips se zyada ka profit dekhte hain, to aap deal ko close kar sakte hain aur khush ho sakte hain. Din ke akhir tak, price 1.2633 level par wapas aa gayi...

**Trading Tips on Friday:**

Hourly chart par GBP/USD downtrend banane ke promising signs dikhata hai, magar iska matlab ye nahi ke pair uptrend nahi bana sakta. Bearish prospects ke hawale se, ye achi baat hai ke price ne 1.2693 level ko do baar overcome kiya. Lekin, market aksar bechne se inkaar karti hai, hatta ke technical, fundamental, aur macroeconomic factors us direction ko support karte hain. Abhi bhi yeh clear hai ke har new low pehle se thoda hi neecha hai, aur corrections kaafi frequent hain. Ye downward trend ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai.

Friday ko British pound erratic aur illogical movements dikhata reh sakta hai. GBP/USD continue to fall kar sakta hai, magar Britain aur America se kai reports release hongi jo dollar par asar daal sakti hain.

5M chart par key levels hain: 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980. Aaj UK apne GDP numbers ka third estimate release karega for Q1. US PCE index aur University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index release karega. Ye reports relatively secondary hain, magar current pair ki volatility ke saath, ye charts par apna asar chhod sakti hain.

Meri subah ki pehwaan mein, maine 1.2800 ka level highlight kiya aur is par apne trading faislon ka buniyad rakhne ka irada kiya. Chalo 5-minute chart ka jaiza lete hain dekhte hain kya hua. 1.2800 par uthaan aur ek jhooti breakout banane se pound ka bechne ka mauqa mila, jis se jo jo jo jo 30-point ki kami hui. Techniqal tasveer ko dopehar ke doosre hisson ke liye kuch had tak dobarah dekha gaya.
**GBP/USD par Long Positions ke liye:**

Jaise keh aap dekh sakte hain, pound ke kharidaar labour market ki statistics ke release hone ke baad zyada der tak nahi ruke, jo pound kharidne ka challenging mahol bana diya. Nateeja yeh hua ke kharidaaron ki koshish jald hi khatam ho gayi, bina kisi bade khiladi ki support ke, aur uthaan sirf jo jo pair ki technical tasveer par asar daala. Dopehar ke doosre hisson mein, hume U.S. Producer Price Index ka ek dilchasp report dekhne ko milega, saath hi NFIB Small Business Optimism Index ki data bhi aayegi. FOMC member Raphael Bostic ki taqreer bhi tawajjo kheench sakti hai. Agar unke dovish comments aate hain to isse dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo pound kharidne walon ko phir se uthane ka mauqa de sakta hai. Agar pair niche jaata hai, main sabse nazdeek ka support 1.2764 par tawajjo doonga, jo aaj tay kiya gaya tha aur moving averages ke sath aligned hai. Sirf ek jhooti breakout hi long positions kholne ke liye ek munasib manzar hoga, jiska maqsad 1.2810 tak ki uthaai hoga, jo aaj pehle se hi ek martaba test kiya gaya hai. Agar yeh breakout hota hai aur phir se ye level test hota hai, to pound mein uthaan ke chances barh jaayenge, jis se main long position kholne par fiker karunga aur mera potential exit 1.2836 par hoga. Meri akhri target 1.2860 level hoga, jahan main profits le loon ga. Agar GBP/USD niche jaaye aur doosre hisson mein 1.2764 par buyer interest khatam ho jaaye, jo mujhe shak hai, to pound ko zyada kami ka samna karna par sakta hai. Yeh 1.2731 ke agle support ko update karne ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo pair ke liye zyada kami ke chances barha dega. Isliye, sirf ek jhooti breakout hi long positions kholne ke liye munasib shart hogi. Main 1.2700 ke minimum se rebound par turant GBP/USD kharidne ka irada rakhta hoon, din ke andar 30-35 point ki correction ka maqsad rakhte hue.

**GBP/USD par Short Positions ke liye:**

Bechne walon ne yeh dikhaya hai ke woh market mein ab bhi active hain. Agar pair upar jaata hai, to 1.2810 par doosri jhooti breakout, jaise maine pehle discuss kiya, yeh sabit karegi ke bade khiladi pound mein further declines par daave lagaa rahe hain. Yeh naye short positions kholne ka mauqa faraham karega jis ka target 1.2764 support ko test karna hoga, jo todna mushkil hoga. Agar yeh breakout hota hai aur bottom-up retest kiya jata hai, to yeh kharidaaron ki position par ek nuksan karega, stop-loss orders ko trigger karega aur 1.2731 ki taraf raasta khulega. Meri akhir target 1.2700 level hogi, jahan main profits le loon ga. Is level ka test shayad bearish trend ko dobara restore kar sakta hai. Agar GBP/USD mein uthaai hoti hai aur doosre hisson mein 1.2810 par koi bechne wale aksar nahi hote, to kharidaaron ko pair ko dobara upar le jaane ka achha mauqa milega. Is surat mein, main sales ko 1.2836 par ek jhooti breakout tak postpone kar dunga. Agar niche ke movement nahi aayi, to main 1.2860 se rebound par turant GBP/USD bechne ka irada rakhta hoon, lekin sirf din ke andar 30-35 point ki downward correction ka maqsad rakhta hoon

GBP/USD pair ki analysis se pata chalta hai ke iss hafta price ne ek price triangle mein trade kiya hai jo do channels (ek bullish aur ek bearish) se bana hai, jo ke guzishte do hafton ki price movement ko represent kar raha hai. Agar price triangle ki neechay wali line kay qareeb hai, toh qareeb maudat mein trend upper triangle line ki taraf hai. Agay ka direction samajhne ke liye, hum dekh sakte hain ke price triangle lines ke saath kaisa behave karti hai.Chart ko dekhne se maloom hota hai ke kuch hafton se price sideways chal rahi hai. Pichlay hafte mein, price ne ek solid upward wave dikhayi, lekin hafte ke darmiyan mein downward wave ban gayi jo pehle upward wave ke barabar thi. Nazdeek maudat mein, price ko weekly pivot level 1.3090 se support mil raha hai, jo ke upward trend ko weekly resistance level 1.3145 tak push karta hai. Iss level par, lower triangle line aur weekly pivot level support provide karte hain, jiss se ye buying ka acha moka hai. Stop-loss weekly pivot level ke neechay set kar sakte hain, aur target upper triangle line se zara neechay rakh sakte hain.

Dusra buying level resistance level 1.3150 ke upar hoga. Iss jagah par, hum intizar kar sakte hain ke price stabilize ho price triangle aur 1.3110 level ke upar before buying. Waisay hi, aik selling level weekly pivot level ke neechay ya triangle break ke baad establish ho sakta hai, jahan selling kar sakte hain aur target weekly support level 1.3020 ke upar adjust kar sakte hain.Bhale hi GBP/USD ne 1.3120 region se neechay retreat kiya hai, lekin price har din upward move karti hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) positive hai lekin niche ja raha hai aur mixed readings show kar raha hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishaara karta hai ke sellers near term mein control mein hain.

Hourly chart ko gaur se dekhen toh GBP/USD mein negative tilt hai, jahan sellers ne guzishte jumay ko 1.3108 ke low ko target kiya hai aur exchange rate abhi bhi 50, 100, aur 200-hour moving averages (HMAs) se neeche hai. Isko clear karne se 1.3100 figure ko test karne ka rasta mil sakta hai. Aur bhi decline expect kiya ja raha hai, jaisay ke 22 August ke swing low 1.3076 tak, August 20 ke peak 1.3052 se pehle. Agar GBP/USD buyers 200-HMA ko 1.3148 par retake kar lete hain, toh yeh rally ko support kar sakte hain 50-HMA tak 1.3182 ke qareeb aur phir 1.3200 tak.Mukh'tasar yeh ke, pair ki price behavior triangle aur key pivot aur resistance levels ke saath trading ke liye critical hogi. Buying ya selling dono ke liye, in levels ke upar ya neeche price stability par focus rakhna trading decisions ko effectively guide karega.

*GBP/USD Analysis - Roman Urdu**
GBP/USD ka exchange rate takriban 1.2730 par trade kar raha tha, jo ke Tuesday ke Asian trading session mein achanak gir gaya. Market ke hissedar intehai shiddat se UK labor market data ke intezar mein hain, jo ke aaj ke baad release hoga.

Investors filhal wait-and-see approach apnaye hue hain aur bade faislay lene se pehle labor figures ke release ka intezar kar rahe hain. UK Labor Market Report se yeh tawaquaat hain ke yeh economy ki haalat, khas tor par wage growth, berozgari ki shiriyat, aur job creation ke hawalay se kaafi insights dega. Yeh factors bohat hi ahem hain economy ki sehat ka jaiza lene ke liye aur yeh Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions par bhi asar dal sakte hain.

GBP/USD pair ke liye risk market ki uncertainty se jura hua hai. Investors yeh andaza lagane ki koshish kar rahe hain ke central bank ke agle qadam kya honge. Agar labor market report strong wage growth aur kam berozgari dikhaye, to yeh central bank ko hawkish stance lene mein madad de sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar report kamzor aaye, to yeh ihtiyat ka sabab ban sakti hai, jo ke global inflationary pressures ko kam kar sakti hai. Market ke hissedar aaj mukhtalif factors par nazar rakhe hue hain, jaise ke COVID-19 ke baad economic recovery, aur commodity prices mein utar chadhav. Yeh tamam factors GBP/USD pair ke overall direction aur inflation trends ko shape karne mein madadgar hain.

UK employment report ke intezar ke darmiyan, market ke hissedar doosray economic indicators aur factors par bhi dhyan de rahe hain jo forex market ko asar dal sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, US Federal Reserve ke announcements GBP/USD ko affect kar sakti hain. Iske ilawa, global financial markets mein tabdiliyan aur investor risk appetite mein shifts bhi exchange rates par asar dal sakti hain.

Early Asian trading session aksar poore din ke trading ka tone set karta hai. Jab European aur North American markets khulengi, to market activity mein izafa hoga. Aaj, traders khabron ko digest kar rahe hain aur ane wale economic data releases ki tayari kar rahe hain. UK labor market data ke liye tawaquaat yeh hain ke GBP/USD pair par mazeed pressure aa sakta hai report ke baad.

Nateeja yeh hai ke GBP/USD pair thoda lower trade kar raha tha, takriban 1.2730 ke aas paas, Tuesday ke early Asian trading ke doran. Investors ko ihtiyat baratni chahiye jab tak UK labor market report release nahi hoti, jo ke mulk ki economy ki haalat ke bare mein ahem maloomat de gi. Yeh data khas tor par wage growth, berozgari ki shiriyat, aur labor market conditions par focus karega, jo Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions par asar dal sakti hain. Mazeed market sentiment aur global trade developments bhi GBP/USD exchange rate ko shape karne mein madadgar hain

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein significant price fluctuations ka tajurba kiya. Analysis ke mutabiq, forecast yeh suggest karta hai ke GBP/USD pair mein decline jari rahega. Pair ka Federal Reserve rate cut ke speculation par response bohot sharp raha hai. Kal ke trading session ne decline dekha, jahan pair ne daily chart par support line ko test kiya. Yeh mumkin hai ke pair in attempts ko bar bar repeat karega jab tak external conditions change nahi hoti. Pair pehle hi decline kar raha hai aur confidently 1.2632 target level tak pahunch sakta hai, jo ke May 3 ko observed high point tha. Marlin oscillator ek firm downtrend ko indicate karta hai. Recommendations yeh hain ke repeatedly sell kiya jaye.** ---

**Kal ka GBP/USD move bulls ke liye misleading tha, kyun ke pair ascending channel ke lower limit ke ooper 1.2769 par close hui. Yeh pair ko further growth ke liye position karta hua nazar aaya, khaaskar jab EUR significantly rise hua. Magar, aaj ki developments ne in prospects ko negate kar diya, jahan price sharply downward reverse hui aur channel ke neeche position secure kar li. Agar bulls market mein re-enter karte hain, toh unka target current chart section par resistance level 1.2887 hoga.**

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**Is baawajood ke support ke taraf potential movement hai 1.2654 EMA200 daily interval aur 1.2617-09 par, current sales ab risky nazar aati hain. GBP/USD currency pair ab market mein ek bearish tone exhibit kar raha hai, jo ke ek selling opportunity ko indicate karta hai. Price Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo strong bearish momentum ko suggest karta hai. Downward-sloping stochastic bhi bearish outlook ko support karta hai. Trading session ke dauran, pair ne pehle support level ko break kiya aur apni descent ko continue kiya, reversal level ke neeche settle kiya. Bears ne price ko 1.2695 tak drive kiya. Further potential targets for the decline mein support of classic Pivot levels shamil hain. Downward trend current levels se jari rehne ki umeed hai, aur agar second support level 1.2615 ke neeche break hota hai, toh ek new wave of decline trigger ho sakti hai, jo pair ko support line ke aas paas 1.2526 tak push

Weekly Analysis Of GBP/USD Pair: Trends and Predictions**
Aaj Saturday hai aur market poori tarah se band hai. Yeh ek behtareen mauqa hai ke hum pichle hafte ke GBP/USD pair ki price movements ka jaiza lein aur ane wale hafte mein kya ho sakta hai is par baat karein. Agar hum H4 chart par dekhein to GBP/USD pair pichle hafte se 1.2686 aur 1.2613 ke levels ke darmiyan rebound aur bounce kar raha hai. Yeh levels filhal support aur resistance ka kaam kar rahe hain. Pair ne apni closing 1.2641 par ki hai aur ab hum Monday ko market ke khulne ka intezar kar rahe hain. Agar hum chart par 50 aur 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMA) apply karein, to yeh wazeh hota hai ke price sell trend mein hai. Yeh moving averages trend ki direction aur potential reversal points determine karne mein madad karte hain. Dono averages downward trend ko dikhate hain, jo pair par selling pressure ko confirm kar rahe hain.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi downtrend signal continue kar raha hai. MACD signal line abhi tak zero line ke upar cross nahi hui hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate kar rahi hai. MACD ke histogram bars negative zone mein hain, jo mazeed selling momentum ki taraf ishara karte hain. Ane wale hafte ke liye, yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke price support level 1.2613 ko todta hai ya nahi. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to GBP/USD pair mein mazeed girawat dekhi ja sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price resistance level 1.2686 ke upar break karta hai, to yeh ek bullish reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.

Natije ke tor par, traders ko Monday ko market ke khulne ka intezar karna chahiye aur price action ko ghore se dekhna chahiye. Indicators aur moving averages short-term trend ke continuation ko suggest karte hain, lekin yeh bhi zaroori hai ke fundamental events aur news headlines ko madde nazar rakha jaye jo price movements par asar dal sakte hain.

GBP/USD pair 1.2650 level ki taraf gir rahi hai. Divergent Fed-BoE policy approaches aur UK election se pehle ka anxiety, pair ko risk appetite ke bawajood vulnerable rakhti hai. Tawajju mid-range US data par hai, kyunke UK calendar data dry hai. 4-hour chart par, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 50 se thora neeche hai, jo buyer interest ki kami ko zahir karta hai.
Downside mein, 100-day aur 50-day simple moving averages strong support bana rahe hain 1.2640 par. Yeh level latest uptrend ke Fibonacci 38.2% retracement se bhi supported hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ke neeche break karta hai aur usay resistance bana leta hai, to agle bearish targets 1.2600 (jo ek psychological aur static level hai) aur 1.2580 (Fibonacci 50% retracement) ho sakte hain. Immediate resistance 1.2700 (200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart) par set hai, iske baad 1.2730 (100-period SMA, Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) aur 1.2800 (psychological aur static level) par hai. Tuesday ko, pair surface clear nahi kar paya aur Wednesday ko minor bearish pressure mein hai. Agar 1.2640 support break hota hai, to ek extended slide dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Advanced data ki absence mein, ek cautious market stance ne US dollar ko apne rivals ke khilaf resilient rakha hai. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve officials ke dovish comments ne bhi USD ko further support diya hai. Fed Governor Michelle Bauman ne Tuesday ko kaha ke abhi yeh waqt nahi hai ke interest rates cut kiye jayen, aur agar inflation ruk jata hai ya reverse hota hai to rate hikes ka target rakhne ke liye tayar hain. US stock index futures marginally higher trade kar rahe hain. Agar Wall Street bullish open hota hai, to USD gains limited ho sakte hain, aur GBP/USD ko kuch footing mil sakti hai. Lekin, pair bullish momentum gather karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar sakta hai jab tak investors agle hafte ke UK elections ka wait kar rahe hain before taking large positions. US economic docket mein sirf May ke liye new home sales hain. April mein 4.7% decline ke baad, is data mein ek aur significant drop Fed ki tightening policy ka housing market par negative impact highlight kar sakti hai aur USD ko hurt kar sakti hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq initial support 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.2600 par hai, aur further support ascending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb 1.2500 par anticipate kiya ja raha hai. Agar yeh levels breach hote hain, to selling pressure intensify ho sakta hai, key support 1.2451 par test karne ke liye. Agar is level par breakthrough hota hai, to further upward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 1.3000 tak push kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD exchange rate mein. Technically, daily chart par developments ke mutabiq, current bearish channel se breakout ka koi chance nahi hai agar GBP price resistance levels 1.2775 aur 1.2830 ke upar stabilize nahi hota. Dusri taraf, isi duration mein, 1.2600 mark ke neeche break hona bears ke liye ek catalyst rahega, pair ko lower support levels ki taraf push karne ke liye, especially 1.2485 support level ki taraf, jo is baat ki nishani hogi ke technical indicators deeply oversold levels ki taraf move karenge. Aaj, GBP price ko ziada tar US inflation rate se influence kiya ja raha hai jo Federal Reserve ke liye preferred hai, aur central bank ke policy ke future aur Europe ki political situation ke hawale se koi bhi signs ka asar ho sakta hai

Pehli baat toh yeh hai ke agar aap pehli wave par target Fibonacci grid lagate hain, toh aap dekh sakte hain ke target kaam kar gaya hai — is grid par level 161.8 aur level 200, dusra target bhi kaam kar gaya hai — jo ke guzishta July ke maximum se aage nikal gaya hai. Iske alawa, agar aap senior period ki pehli aur teesri waves ko naapte hain (jo peelay rang mein nishan-zada hain), toh yeh agabara barabar size ki hain, hatta ke teesri wave bari hai. Yeh ek perfect cycle hai jiske baad ya toh chauthi wave ki taraf ek correction aata hai ya phir puri tarah se reversal hota hai.
Yahan istemal kiya gaya CCI indicator bhi triple bearish divergence dikha raha hai — jo ke ek sell signal hai. Yehi indicator purane daily chart par bhi upar ke overheating zone se neeche jaane ka ishara kar raha hai. Yeh bhi dekhne ke layak hai ke growth ke dauran, qeemat 1.3134 ke resistance level tak pahunch gayi hai, yeh ek haftawaar mazboot level hai, guzishta saal July ka maximum. Zaroori hai ke chauthi wave ke liye ek correction kiya jaye, uske baad qeemat ko mazeed ooper dhakela ja sakta hai aur ek reversal bhi ho sakta hai.

Filhaal, 1.3078 ka support level raaste mein hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke yeh zyada dair nahi tik payega. Girawat ke targets 1.3036 ka support level aur do wave bottoms par bani hui ascending line hain. 1.3036 ke level se upar ki taraf rebound ki tawaqqo hai, phir ek breakout aur ascending line tak pohanchna hai. Aisi ek correction mere liye minimal lagti hai, shayad qeemat ko mazeed neeche dhakela jaye, dekhenge ke yeh kahan jati hai. Aaj ki khabron mein yeh cheezen dekhne ke layak hain: 15:30 Moscow time par - USA mein jari ki gayi building permits ki tadad. 17:00 par - USA mein naye gharon ki sales, aur US Federal Reserve System ke head Jerome Powell ka speech

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein significant price fluctuations ka tajurba kiya. Analysis ke mutabiq, forecast yeh suggest karta hai ke GBP/USD pair mein decline jari rahega. Pair ka Federal Reserve rate cut ke speculation par response bohot sharp raha hai. Kal ke trading session ne decline dekha, jahan pair ne daily chart par support line ko test kiya. Yeh mumkin hai ke pair in attempts ko bar bar repeat karega jab tak external conditions change nahi hoti. Pair pehle hi decline kar raha hai aur confidently 1.2632 target level tak pahunch sakta hai, jo ke May 3 ko observed high point tha. Marlin oscillator ek firm downtrend ko indicate karta hai. Recommendations yeh hain ke repeatedly sell kiya jaye.** ---
**Kal ka GBP/USD move bulls ke liye misleading tha, kyun ke pair ascending channel ke lower limit ke ooper 1.2769 par close hui. Yeh pair ko further growth ke liye position karta hua nazar aaya, khaaskar jab EUR significantly rise hua. Magar, aaj ki developments ne in prospects ko negate kar diya, jahan price sharply downward reverse hui aur channel ke neeche position secure kar li. Agar bulls market mein re-enter karte hain, toh unka target current chart section par resistance level 1.2887 hoga.**

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**Is baawajood ke support ke taraf potential movement hai 1.2654 EMA200 daily interval aur 1.2617-09 par, current sales ab risky nazar aati hain. GBP/USD currency pair ab market mein ek bearish tone exhibit kar raha hai, jo ke ek selling opportunity ko indicate karta hai. Price Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo strong bearish momentum ko suggest karta hai. Downward-sloping stochastic bhi bearish outlook ko support karta hai. Trading session ke dauran, pair ne pehle support level ko break kiya aur apni descent ko continue kiya, reversal level ke neeche settle kiya. Bears ne price ko 1.2695 tak drive kiya. Further potential targets for the decline mein support of classic Pivot levels shamil hain. Downward trend current levels se jari rehne ki umeed hai, aur agar second support level 1.2615 ke neeche break hota hai, toh ek new wave of decline trigger ho sakti hai, jo pair ko support line ke aas paas 1.2526 tak push

Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ke release ke baad market sentiment mein tabdeeli ki wajah se achanak rukh gai. Ye achanak reversal Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole Economic Symposium mein takreer ke liye intezar mein izafa kar raha hai. Market ke hissa lene wale Powell ke insights ke intezar mein hain ke kya Fed rate cut ke liye September mein kitna imkaan hai aur kitna bada cut ho sakta hai. Market pehle se hi rate cut ki taraf jhuka hua tha, lekin mixed PMI data ne is spekulasyon ko barhawa diya hai ke ek ziyata aggressive 50-basis-point reduction ho sakti hai. Fed ka pechla rate cut 25 basis points ka tha jo September mein hua tha, aur is mahine ke liye bhi lagbhag 75% imkaan hai ke waisa hi cut ho. Doosri taraf, UK ka August ka PMI data kuch umeedon ka izhar kar raha hai. Sabhi components—composite, manufacturing, aur services—ne expectations ko exceed kiya aur pichle levels se behtar huye. Khaaskar services sector mein ek notable uptick dekha gaya jo April ke baad se apni sabse buland point par hai. Is ke muqable mein, US manufacturing PMI data disappoint kar gaya, jo ke forecast se neeche raha aur sector mein kamzori ka izhar karta hai. Haan, services PMI ne achanak barhawa zaroor diya, magar underlying employment data ye suggest karta hai ke US labor market mein contraction ho raha hai. Ye conflicting economic picture ne market mein uncertainty ko aur barhawa diya hai, special Bureau of Labor Statistics ke taraf se March ke nonfarm payrolls report se 800,000 se zyada jobs ko retroactively hatane ke baad. Recent setback ke bawajood, pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed gains ke liye tayyar lag raha hai. Pichle das trading dino ke dauran pair ka positive performance bullish bias suggest karta hai. Magar, technical indicators, jaise ke Stochastic aur RSI, kamzori ke asar dikha rahe hain, jo ke short-term downside pressure ko indicate karte hain. Agar GBP/USD July 2023 ka peak 1.3142 ke upar break kar le, to ye ek ek ziata significant uptrend trigger kar sakta hai. Potential upside targets mein ek saal ki bulandi 1.3145 aur 1.3140 level shamil hain. Downside par, support levels 23.6% Fibonacci level 1.2870 par, 20-aur 50-day simple moving averages 1.2825 aur 1.2800 par, aur ascending trend line aur 38.2% Fibonacci level 1.2760 par ho sakte hain. Akhir mein, GBP/USD abhi bhi flux ki state mein hai, bullish momentum aur Fed ki monetary policy aur economic indicators ke hawalay se uncertainty ke darmiyan balance

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein significant price fluctuations ka tajurba kiya. Analysis ke mutabiq, forecast yeh suggest karta hai ke GBP/USD pair mein decline jari rahega. Pair ka Federal Reserve rate cut ke speculation par response bohot sharp raha hai. Kal ke trading session ne decline dekha, jahan pair ne daily chart par support line ko test kiya. Yeh mumkin hai ke pair in attempts ko bar bar repeat karega jab tak external conditions change nahi hoti. Pair pehle hi decline kar raha hai aur confidently 1.2632 target level tak pahunch sakta hai, jo ke May 3 ko observed high point tha. Marlin oscillator ek firm downtrend ko indicate karta hai. Recommendations yeh hain ke repeatedly sell kiya jaye.** --- **Kal ka GBP/USD move bulls ke liye misleading tha, kyun ke pair ascending channel ke lower limit ke ooper 1.2769 par close hui. Yeh pair ko further growth ke liye position karta hua nazar aaya, utsalar jab EUR significantly rise hua. Magar, aaj ki developments ne in prospects ko negate kar diya, jahan price sharply downward reverse hui aur channel ke neeche position secure kar li. Agar bulls market mein re-enter karte hain, toh unka target current chart section par resistance level 1.2887 hoga.**

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**Is baawajood ke support ke taraf potential movement hai 1.2654 EMA200 daily interval aur 1.2617-09 par, current sales ab risky nazar aati hain. GBP/USD currency pair ab market mein ek bearish tone exhibit kar raha hai, jo ke ek selling opportunity ko indicate karta hai. Price Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo strong bearish momentum ko suggest karta hai. Downward-sloping stochastic bhi bearish outlook ko support karta hai. Trading session ke dauran, pair ne pehle support level ko break kiya aur apni descent ko continue kiya, reversal level ke neeche settle kiya. Bears ne price ko 1.2695 tak drive kiya. Further potential targets for the decline mein support of classic pivot levels shamil hain. Downward trend current levels se jari rehne ki umeed hai, aur agar second support level 1.2615 ke neeche break hota hai, toh ek new wave of decline trigger ho sa

GBP/USD H4 chart

Intraday details yeh dikhati hain ke yeh fifth projection of the inside bar pattern ko H4 time frame par 1.32332 ke price par test kar raha hai. Agar yeh resistance ko solidly penetrate kar leta hai, toh SMA5 ke dynamic support ke sath, iske paas agle projection par 1.33058 tak barhne ka mauka hai. Agar yeh penetrate hota hai, toh agle projection tak jane ka mauka khul jayega.

Wahin, agar yeh do nazdeek ke projections se upar reject hota hai, toh yeh pehle ke projection tak retrace karne ki sambhavnayein rakh sakta hai. Is tarah, yeh bearish bhi ho sakta hai, aur head and shoulders pattern bana sakta hai, khaaskar agar yeh neckline ko RBS area ke aas-paas 1.31788 par penetrate kar leta hai.

Recent forecasts yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke Bank of England (BoE) apni August meeting mein pehli baar chaar saalon se zyada mein interest rates ko cut kar sakta hai. Reuters poll jo 18 July se 24 July ke beech conduct kiya gaya, usne yeh reveal kiya ke 80% se zyada economists expect kar rahe hain ke BoE apni key borrowing rate ko 25 basis points (bps) se ghata kar 5% karega. Yeh anticipated shift BoE ke restrictive monetary policy framework se ek departure ko mark karta hai jo pandemic ke shuru hone se maintain kiya gaya tha.

Lekin, BoE officials se explicit endorsement ki kami ne expectations ko tempered kar diya hai, aur traders policy normalization ki taraf pivot hone ka 46% probability assess kar rahe hain. In uncertainties ke bawajood, recent UK economic reports kuch positive news offer karti hain. Preliminary S&P Global/CIPS report for July ne third quarter ke robust start ko indicate kiya, Composite PMI 52.7 tak pohnch gaya, jo estimates of 52.6 aur previous figure 52.3 dono ko surpass karta hai. Yeh improvement manufacturing aur service sectors dono mein increased activity ko reflect karta hai, jahan Manufacturing PMI 51.8 aur Services PMI 52.4 tak climb kiya. Yeh figures suggest karte hain ke economic performance resilient hai despite broader concerns.