𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

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GBP/USD Analysis

Maujooda Surat-e-Haal


Is waqt, GBP/USD aise position mein hai jahan mazeed upward movement ke liye kai key levels ko paar karna zaroori hai. 1.3000 mark tak pohanchne se pehle, pair ko is haftay ke opening level aur resistance 1.2862 ko break karna hoga. Yeh ek mazboot level hai jo significant resistance pose kar sakta hai.
Possible Upside


Jaisa ke aapne durust kaha, 1.3000 level ko pohanchne ke liye, GBP/USD ko pehle is haftay ke shuru hone wale level ko aur phir monthly resistance 1.2862 ko paar karna hoga. Yeh asaan nahi hoga, chahe market conditions favorable bhi kyun na ho. Agar emergency Federal Reserve meeting mein rate cut ka faisla hota bhi hai, to behtareen soorat mein hum 1.2837-1.2850 range tak wapasi dekh sakte hain. Lekin jaisa ke aapne kaha, bears wahan intazar kar rahe honge jo kisi bhi gains ko jaldi se reverse kar sakte hain.

Isliye, main is waqt kisi substantial rise ko nahi dekh raha hoon, ya kisi rise ko bhi nahi. Mere nazar mein, correction ho chuki hai aur main ab sell signals dekh raha hoon.
Recent Market Behavior


Kal market ne buyers aur sellers dono ke liye opportunities provide ki. Main ne shakhsi tor par Tuesday shaam ko kuch GBP/USD buy kiya jab price ne 1.2670 par low establish kiya. Lekin, main ne apni position close nahi ki kyun ke mere targets thode zyada substantial hain.

Price kal 1.2670 ka low break nahi kar payi, sirf 1.2676 tak drop hui, isliye meri buy position ab bhi active hai. Mera stop loss 1.2668 par set hai. Agar yeh hit hota hai, to main neechay ke level par dobara buy karne ka soch raha hoon.
Targets for Growth


Aage dekhte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke price hourly chart par moving average line (MA120) jo ke mojuada tor par 1.2739 ke qareeb hai, ko break karegi. Yeh Wednesday ke liye ek naya high represent karega aur hourly chart par ek potential trend reversal signal karega. Agar price is moving average ke upar hold karti hai, to hum mazeed growth aur 1.2914 ki taraf move dekh sakte hain. Is level par, main price ko ghaur se dekhunga. Agar yahan reversal hota hai, to pair phir se 1.2670 ka low retest kar sakta hai.

Lekin, north mein aur bhi higher targets hain. Inmein downward break at 1.2997, high ka test at 1.3044, aur ek possible push towards 1.3100 shamil hain.

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Mukhtasir Nazariya

• Current Situation: GBP/USD ko upward move ke liye kai resistance levels ko paar karna zaroori hai.
• Possible Upside: 1.3000 level tak pohanchne ke liye pehle 1.2862 ko paar karna hoga, jo mushkil ho sakta hai.
• Recent Market Behavior: Kal dono buyers aur sellers ke liye opportunities thein; meri buy position 1.2676 par ab bhi active hai.
• Targets for Growth: Hourly chart par MA120 (1.2739) ko break karna ek naya high aur potential trend reversal signal kar sakta hai, mazeed growth 1.2914 tak ja sakti hai, aur further targets 1.2997, 1.3044, aur 1.3100 tak ho sakte hain.

Trading Idea: GBP/USD - Ek Bearish Outlook

Maujooda market conditions ke mutabiq, ye ek acha mauka hai GBP/USD currency pair ko sell karne ka. Abhi ke liye, ye pair kareeban 1.27018 par trade kar raha hai, aur kai technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke ek bearish trend ban raha hai, jo ke ek potentially profitable sell opportunity ho sakti hai.

### Technical Analysis Overview

GBP/USD pair abhi Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo market mein bearish momentum ka ek strong indicator hai. Jab koi asset Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trade kar raha hota hai, to aam tor par yeh is baat ka signal hota hai ke market ek downtrend mein hai. Is baat ko recent chart par ek "dead cross" formation se bhi reinforce kiya gaya hai.

Ek "dead cross" tab hota hai jab Tenkan-sen line Kijun-sen line ke neeche cross kar jaati hai, jo ke downside ki taraf potential reversal ka signal hota hai. Khaaskar, Tenkan-sen (short-term average) abhi 1.26925 par hai, jab ke Kijun-sen (medium-term average) 1.27057 par hai. Yeh fact ke Tenkan-sen upar se Kijun-sen ke neeche cross kar gaya hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke short-term momentum broader bearish trend ke sath align ho raha hai, jo ke ek significant sell signal hai.

In dono technical signals ka convergence—Ichimoku cloud ke neeche trading aur dead cross formation—GBP/USD pair ke liye ek strong bearish outlook provide karte hain. Indicators ki yeh alignment aam tor par price par downward pressure result karti hai, jo is baat ka ishara deti hai ke pair ko sell karna ek profitable strategy ho sakti hai.

### Rationale for Selling GBP/USD

GBP/USD ko sell karne ka faisla in key factors se supported hai:
- **Ichimoku Cloud Positioning**: Pair ki position Ichimoku cloud ke neeche ek clear indication hai bearish trend ki. Ichimoku cloud ek comprehensive indicator hai jo sirf trend identify nahi karta, balki momentum gauge karta hai aur potential areas of support aur resistance provide karta hai. Jab price cloud ke neeche hoti hai, to yeh is baat ka signal hota hai ke market likely downtrend mein hai, aur is trend ki strength price aur cloud ke darmiyan distance se confirm hoti hai.
- **Dead Cross Formation**: Recent dead cross further bearish sentiment ko weight add karta hai. Dead cross potential market reversal ke downside ka ek reliable indicator hai. GBP/USD pair ke context mein, Tenkan-sen ka Kijun-sen ke neeche downward crossover yeh suggest karta hai ke short-term momentum ab longer-term bearish trend ke sath sync mein hai. Yeh crossover aam tor par ek sustained downward movement ke pehle hota hai, jo is waqt pair ko sell karne ke liye ideal banaata hai.
- **Market Sentiment**: GBP/USD ke towards overall market sentiment bearish lean kar raha hai kai macroeconomic factors ki wajah se. In mein shamil hain UK's economic outlook ke concerns, Brexit related uncertainties, aur US dollar ki relative strength. US dollar higher interest rates ke Federal Reserve expectations ki wajah se ground gain kar raha hai, jo GBP/USD par bearish outlook ko further support karta hai.

GBP/USD H-4
Sab forum members ko salaam!
GBPUSD rollback par 1.2750 ki resistance ko break karne mein nakam raha, kyun ke pair ke 1.2860 tak aur phir 1.300 ki taraf barhne ke liye jo shara'it chahiye thi, wo puri nahi hui. Natija yeh nikla ke kal humay phir se 1.2680 ke support tak decline dekhne ko mila, jo ab tak break nahi ho saki, iska matlab hai ke halankeh yeh imkaan kam hai, lekin growth ka imkaan ab bhi maujood hai, jaisa ke maine kal likha tha, jab tak south ki taraf reversal confirm nahi hota.

Aaj, pair ke liye shara'it taqreeban wahi hain, aur 1.2680 ka support phir se ek key role ada kar sakta hai. Agar yeh 1.2680 ke support ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, toh pair downward impulse ko 1.2570 tak barqarar rakh sakega. Yahan, ziada imkaan hai ke rollback shuru ho jaye aur uske baad phir se 1.2447 tak girawat ho sakti hai, lekin is haftay yeh hone ka waqt nahi hoga. Agar yeh 1.2680 ke support ko break karne mein nakam hotay hain aur uske neeche consolidate nahi kar pate, toh phir se 1.2750 ke resistance tak growth hogi. Jahan is resistance ko break karna zaroori hoga taake 1.2860 tak mazid impulse banane ka imkaan ho, jo upward trend ko 1.3065 ki taraf restore karna chahiye, lekin is haftay yeh growth hona mushkil lagta hai. Ek aur 1.2860 ka breakthrough mumkin hai, shayad yeh karne ka waqt mil jaye agar wo aaj 1.2750 ke resistance ko break karne mein kamiyab hotay hain, lekin is haftay 1.300 se upar jaane ka sochna nahi chahiye, maximum 1.2970 tak, aur is resistance tak pohanchne ke chances bhi ziada nahi lagte.

GBP/USD Exchange Rate Analysis aur Forecast

GBP/USD exchange rate Tuesday ko 90 basis points se kam hua. GBP/USD pair ki wave structure kaafi complex aur ambiguous hai. Thode waqt ke liye, wave pattern kaafi convincing lag raha tha aur downward wave set ke formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 23 figure ke niche tha. Lekin, practically, US currency ki demand itni zyada barh gayi ke is scenario ko realize karna mushkil ho gaya.

Filhal, wave structure bilkul unreadable ho gaya hai. Main apni analysis mein simple structures ko use karne ki koshish karta hoon, kyunki complex structures mein bohot zyada nuances aur ambiguous moments hote hain. Abhi hum ek upward wave dekh rahe hain jo ek downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai. Ye downward wave, apni baari mein, pehle ki upward wave ko overlap karti hai, jo ke pehle ki downward wave ko bhi overlap karti hai. Ek hi assumption banayi ja sakti hai ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 30 figure ke aas-paas aur balancing line 26 figure ke aas-paas hai. Triangle ka upper line reach kiya gaya hai, aur is line ko break karne mein na success market ki downward waves ke formation ki readiness ko indicate karti hai. 1.2822 mark ko break karne mein na success, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci ke barabar hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke decline agle kuch waqt mein dobara shuru ho sakta hai.

Bank of England Pound ko neeche kheenchti rahegi. GBP/USD exchange rate Tuesday ko 90 basis points se kam hua. Movements ki amplitude chauthe consecutive din bhi achi rahi. Mujhe pair ka decline "balancing line" ki taraf dekh kar zyada khushi hui. Kyunki yeh line lagbhag 80-100 basis points door hai, chaliye dekhte hain ke kya scenario follow kar sakta hai.

Mere khayal se, pair ko kam se kam ek teen-wave corrective structure banana chahiye. Lekin, is structure ka pehla wave already substantial lag raha hai. Isliye, pound ka 1.26 level se kaafi niche girne ka potential hai. Main puri tarah se maan leta hoon ke teen-wave structure 1.23 level ya phir 1.21 level ke aas-paas khatam ho sakta hai. Main ne yeh targets pehle bhi mention kiye hain, lekin honestly, mujhe nahi laga tha ke pound June 12 ke baad rise karega.

Kal, US Dollar ko bhi news support mila. Kam logon ne ISM services index ko notice kiya, kyunki zyada log panic actions mein busy the, lekin ISM index expectation se behtar tha. Yeh ek positive report hai jo market aksar overlook karti hai, sirf recession ki confirmation wali data par focus karti hai. Lekin, US economy second quarter mein 2.8% se grow hui aur services sector mein business activity badh rahi hai. Mere khayal se, recession expectations bohot zyada exaggerated hain. Jaise Fed rate cut ki expectations bhi September mein, lekin yeh ab koi surprise nahi hai.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 18 September ko 50 basis point rate cut ki probability ab 76.5% hai, aur 25 basis point rate cut ki 23.5%. Market interest rate ko unchanged rakhne ka option bhi consider nahi kar rahi. GBP/USD pair ki wave structure ab bhi decline suggest karti hai. Agar upward trend section 22 April ko shuru hua, to yeh already five-wave form mein aa gaya hai. Isliye, kisi bhi surat mein, ab humein kam se kam ek teen-wave correction ki ummeed karni chahiye. Triangle ka upper line ko break karne mein na success market ki downward waves ke formation ki readiness ko indicate karti hai. Mere khayal se, nazdeek future mein pair ko bechne ke liye consider karna chahiye jiska target 1.2627 mark ke aas-paas ho, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci ke barabar hai.

Badi wave scale par, wave picture transform ho chuki hai. Hum ab complex aur extended upward corrective structure ki formation ko assume kar sakte hain. Filhal, yeh ek teen-wave structure hai, lekin yeh ek five-wave structure mein transform ho sakta hai, jo ki complete hone mein kuch mahine ya usse bhi zyada lag sakte hain.

Click image for larger version

### GBP/USD Exchange Rate Analysis and Forecast

Mangal ko, GBP/USD exchange rate mein 90 basis points se kam kami dekhne ko mili. GBP/USD jor ka wave structure kaafi complex aur ambiguous ban gaya hai. Kuch waqt tak, wave pattern kaafi kuch samajh aane wala tha, jo downward wave set ka formation suggest kar raha tha jiska target 23 figure ke neeche tha. Lekin, US dollar ki demand mein kaafi izafa dekhne ko mila, jo is scenario ko realize karne mein mushkil ka sabab ban gaya.

Is waqt, wave structure bilkul unreadable hai. Main apni analysis mein simple structures par rely karne ki koshish karta hoon kyunki complex structures aksar bohat se nuances aur ambiguous moments ko shamil karte hain. Ham ab ek upward wave dekh rahe hain jo downward wave ke saath overlap kar raha hai. Ye downward wave pehle ke upward wave ke saath bhi overlap kar rahi hai, jo ek purani downward wave ke saath bhi overlapping mein hai. Hum sirf ye keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai, jiska upper point 30 figure ke aas paas aur balancing line 26 figure ke nazdeek hai. Triangle ki upper line ko touch kiya ja chuka hai, aur market ka is line ko todhne mein nakam rehna agle downward waves ka formation ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. 1.2822 ka mark, jo 23.6% Fibonacci level ke mutabiq hai, ko todhne ki nakami ye suggest karti hai ke decline aane wale waqt mein phir se shuru ho sakta hai.

Bank of England shayad Pound ko pressure mein rakhega. Mangal ko GBP/USD exchange rate mein 90 basis points se kam kami hui. Movements ki amplitude chouthay consecutive din ke liye solid bani rahi. Mujhe is pair ki kami ke liye thodi optimistic mehsoos ho rahi hai, "balancing line" ki taraf dekhte hue jo ke takriban 80-100 basis points dur hai. Dekhte hain ke aage ka kya scenario ban sakta hai.

Mere khayal se, pair ko kam se kam ek teen-wave corrective structure create karna chahiye. Lekin, is structure ka pehla wave pehle se hi substantial lag raha hai. Isliye, Pound ki aasha hai ke wo 1.26 level se neeche gir sakta hai. Mujhe puri umeed hai ke yeh teen-wave structure 1.23 ya 1.21 level ke aas paas khatm ho sakta hai. Maine ye targets pehle bhi mention kiye hain, lekin sach kahoon to mujhe nahi laga tha ke Pound 12 June ke baad upar jayega.

Kal, US Dollar ko bhi kuch khabron se support mila. Bahut logon ne ISM services index par dhyan nahi diya, kyunki aksar log panic actions mein masroof the, lekin ISM index behtareen raha. Ye positive report bazar mein aksar nazarandaz hoti hai, jo sirf recession ki tasdeeq karte data par focus karti hai. Lekin, US ki economy ne doosray quarter mein 2.8% ki growth dekhi hai, aur services sector mein business activity barh rahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke recession ki umeedain kaafi exaggerated hain. Usi tarah, jab ke September mein Fed se rate cut ki umeedain dekhi gayi thi, wo ab surprising nahi hain.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 18 September ko 50 basis points ka rate cut hone ki sambhavna ab 76.5% hai, jabki 25 basis points ka cut hone ki sambhavna 23.5% hai. Bazaar ab interest rates ko unchanged rakne ka option nahi dekh raha hai. GBP/USD pair ka wave structure girne ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Agar upward trend ka section 22 April ko shuru hua tha, toh wo pehle se hi paanch waves ki shakal le chuki hai. Isliye, kisi bhi scenario mein, humein kam se kam teen-wave correction ki umeed rakhni chahiye. Triangle ki upper line ko todne mein nakami downward waves ke formation ki taraf ishara karti hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke is pair ko jald bechne ka sochna chahiye, targeting takriban 1.2627 ka mark, jo 38.2% Fibonacci level ke mutabiq hai.

Aik bade wave scale par, wave picture badal gayi hai. Hum ab yeh maan sakte hain ke ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ban raha hai. Filhal, yeh ek teen-wave structure hai, lekin yeh paanch-wave structure mein tabdeel ho sakta hai, jo kai mahine ya usse bhi zyada samay le sakti hai.

Forex Trading: GBP/USD Prices

Ab hum GBP/USD currency pair ki pricing movements ka tajzia karte hain. Agar price 1.0755 level se upar chali jati hai, to pullback resistances 1.2786 aur 1.2816 ki taraf barh sakta hai, jahan se yeh phir se neeche gir sakti hai. Is par kal zyada wazeh tasveer samne aayegi. H1 chart par pullback mukammal hone ke baad possible decline ka target support level 1.2633 ho sakta hai. Mein is baat se mutafiq hoon ke abhi ke levels par buy ya sell karna behtar nahi hoga; naye sales initiate karne se pehle zyada precise signals ka intezar karna aur pullback ke mukammal hone ka intezar karna aqalmandi hogi. Lekin abhi yeh bounces pakarna bhi risky ho sakta hai. Price ne 1.2694 support ko test kiya aur 1.2670 tak break karke hourly descending channel ke lower border tak pohnch gayi. Meine apni pehle suspend ki gayi pound sales ko close kar diya, lekin yeh kamm us waqt karna premature tha. Filhaal, mein kisi trade mein shamil nahi ho raha. A corrective pullback ho sakta hai agar GBP/USD rate 1.2694 se upar stabilize ho jati hai.

Price ne waqai drop kiya! Meine check nahi kiya ke yeh exactly 150 points tha ya nahi, lekin aham baat yeh hai ke GBP/USD anticipated level tak gir gaya. Shuru mein, target level upar tha, aur pair ne 50% Fibonacci retracement jo ke ek alternative tha, usay haasil kar liya. Aaj, humne dekha ke pair ne precisely support ko touch kiya aur rebound kiya. Yeh wahi tha jo sellers ko chahiye tha, aur unhone isay test bhi nahi kiya. Woh is par wapas aa sakte hain ya nahi, aur ek correction start ho sakti hai. Market panic ke bawajood, technical analysis kabhi kabhi fail hoti hai, lekin intuition qeemti rehti hai. Is waqt, hourly chart par, bears apni positions barqarar rakhe hue hain, halan ke price ne 1/1 corner hit kiya hai aur rebound karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. EMA (21/5) aur MACD indicators ke mutabiq, humare paas sell signals hain.

Humari guftagu ka markaz ab GBP/USD currency pair ke mojooda price action ka jaiza lena hai. Aik arsay se sab is pair ke hasilat ka intezar kar rahe the, aur aakhir kar isne niche ki taraf ek faisla kun move kiya. Meri recent observations bhi yeh hi batati hain ke yeh bearish trend mein hai, kyun ke growth ke chances kuch khaas nazar nahi aa rahe. Yeh baat last Friday ke fundamental factors se bhi wazeh thi aur pair ki euro ke saath correlation se bhi.

Aaj ke doran, pair ne aik critical zone breach kiya, lekin abhi yeh kehna jaldi hoga ke stabilisation ho chuki hai. Isi tarah se, potential purchases ya kisi significant retracement ki baat karna bhi abhi der paish hai. Is waqt focus downward momentum ko barqarar rakhne par hona chahiye, kyun ke buyers galti kar rahe hain. Minimum update hone ke bawajood, pair ne koi bara decline experience nahi kiya.

Aaj, sellers ne mazboot tor par control hasil kiya. Level of 1.2803 ne signal diya ke downward trend abhi bhi qayam hai. Natija ye nikla ke sellers ne lower levels par push kiya. Pura din yehi wazeh hota raha ke 1.2803 ka naya level kya expect karne ke liye signal kar raha hai. Lekin medium-term basis par abhi bhi significant development ki zaroorat hai, kyun ke upward zigzag abhi tak mukammal nahi hui. Kuch mazeed points mein note karun ga; agar aaj price 1.2760 ko touch karti hai, to yeh buyers ko kal ke liye motivate kar sakti hai, aur aik upward correction ka potential hai. Current contract us waqt tak barqarar rahe ga jab tak price is level se neeche hai.

Koi critical news euro ko affect nahi kar rahi, jo ke ab stabilize ho gaya hai, aur stock market kal ke downturn ke baad rebound kar sakti hai. GBP/USD ke paas koi solid wajah nahi hai ke yeh girta rahe, kyun ke strong support niche just below triangle pattern ke breakout ke baad mojood hai. Aaj koi upward movement nahi hai, aur pair ab bhi declining channel mein hai.

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price ka jaiza le rahe hain. Hourly chart par, price ek downward channel mein move kar rahi hai. Is subah, price channel ki lower boundary 1.2695 tak gir gayi thi. Thodi der ke liye is boundary se neeche nikalne ke baad, price ne reverse kiya aur upward movement shuru ki. Ab, yeh pair upar ki taraf jaari reh sakti hai, aur target channel ke upper boundary 1.2782 par hai. GBP/USD pair ke chart se clear direction nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh ek acha mauka hai ke 1.2779 ke level se selling ko consider kiya jaye. Yeh level consistently resistance ka kaam karta hai, is liye yeh sell positions initiate karne ka ideal point hai. Main apni trades ko 1.2675 ke support level tak hold karne ka plan kar raha hoon. Agar market conditions badalti hain aur price upar jati hai, toh main losses ko minimize karne ki koshish karunga.


Agar 1.2779 par resistance bana rehta hai, toh yeh ek naya buying opportunity present kar sakta hai, jahan yeh level support zone mein convert ho sakta hai. Indicators ke targets ko pehle ke lows break hone ke baad hi almost achieve kar liya gaya tha, khaaskar 1.2677 ke level par. Iske baad, doosra target 1.2624 par hai. Yeh targets 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karte hain, lekin buyers ke liye upar ke scenario ka momentum abhi poori tarah se materialize nahi hua hai. Buyers ne shayad stop orders senior minimum ke aas paas 1.2610 par place kiye honge, is ka matlab hai ke agar price aur girti hai toh target 1.2624 ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, ek visual platform bhi hai jo sellers shayad overlook kar gaye, jahan market ne pehle potential signal diya tha lekin usko realize nahi kiya. Shayad ab woh potential realize karne ka waqt hai.

GBP/USD Ka Fundamental Aur Technical Jaiza

Fundamental Outlook

GBP/USD ne Tuesday ko greenback ke saamne aur zyada ground kho diya. Halankeh sentiment Monday ko stockpiling unrest ke baad improve hua, GBP/USD ab bhi buying range mein hai, 1.2709 par 0.49% neeche. Tuesday ko sterling ki value ne dollar ke muqablay mein lagbhag ek puri percentage point ki girawat dekhi, jise pound ke foreign currency markets mein bade girawat ki wajah se tha. Markets ne risk-on posture resume kiya jahan September rate cut ke ummeedon ne US currency ko dovish range mein rakha. Lekin pound ki tez girawat ke karan currency ki value 1.2700 ke aas-paas five-week lows par chali gayi. GBP/USD ne July ke baad se 3% se zyada girawat dekhi hai, jab ye 1.3045 ka 12-month high tak pahuncha tha. GBP/USD exchange rate ne 1.2900 ke crucial support level ko hit karne ke baad tezi se girawat dekhi. Sterling ka 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) 1.2790 ke bahut nazdeek hai, jo short-term trend ki uncertainty ko darshata hai.

Technical Outlook

GBP/USD ne six-month lows se uthne ke baad 1.2750 level tak girawat dekhi. US dollar index, jo US dollar ki value ko chhe bade major currencies ke saamne compare karta hai, 103.00 ke aas-paas wapas chala gaya. GBP/USD ne trading session ke dauran 100-day moving average (DMA) ko 1.2683 par challenge kiya. Fir ye 1.2672 ke naye five-week low tak gir gaya, lekin buyers wapas aaye aur transactions ko 1.2700 ke upar badhaya. GBP/USD pair ka downward direction kam se kam resistance ke saath hai, jahan 1.2700 emergency point ke roop mein kaam kar raha hai. Agar ye break hota hai, to pair 100-day moving average (EMA) ke 1.2683 par aur 200-day EMA ke 1.2648 tak target karega. Pair ko 1.2600 mark ke upar break karne ka bhi chance dekhna chahiye, given the same weakness. Dusri taraf, agar GBP/USD 50-day EMA ke 1.2783 ke upar chadha, to ye pre-1.2800 rally ko exacerbate karega aur 1.2900 level ko expose karega.

Conclusion

GBP/USD ke fundamental aur technical analysis dono hi indicate karte hain ke pair bearish momentum ko dikhata hai aur 1.2700 support level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Market conditions aur technical indicators dono hi short-term uncertainty ko darshate hain. Traders ko 1.2700 ke support level ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur risk management strategies ko implement karna chahiye taake market ke volatile conditions ko effectively handle kiya ja sake

H4 timeframe chart par GBPUSD currency pair ke liye jo mein dekh raha hoon, pichle teen hafton se yeh bearish path par wapas aane ki koshish kar raha hai. Is haftay ke market analysis ke mutabiq, yeh wazeh hai ke price conditions abhi tak consistently downward trend mein hain aur qeemat 1.2671 ke range tak neeche aa gayi hai. Guzishta mahine mein, yeh pair bullish trend mein aage barhne mein naakam lag raha tha, magar guzishta kuch dinon mein overall trend bearish path par tha. Upar di gayi conditions se yeh nateeja nikalta hai ke agle market trend ke continued decline hone ki umeed hai aur qeemat ke girne ka imkaan hai, seller army ke pass qeemat ko neeche press karne ka potential ab bhi mojood hai, jiska maqsad 1.2650 ke price level range ko test karna hai ya phir is se bhi neeche jana ho sakta hai. Kal raat ki bearish movement ke lambi arsay tak chalne ki umeed hai kyun ke aaj market mein ab bhi consolidation phase hai. MACD indicator par histogram bar ki position dekh kar, jo ke abhi tak zero level ke neeche hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke market bearish trend mein move kar raha hai. Dekha ja sakta hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ek wide range ke sath neeche move karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jaise ke 1.26780 level ko break through karne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur is ke baad aksar yeh apni bearish wave ko continue karega, kyun ke current price position ko dekhte hue yeh ab bhi yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator line ke neeche comfortable lag raha hai, toh is mein bearish trend ka aik aur indication hai. Aaj aur kal ke liye, maine sirf acha area dhoondne par focus karne ka faisla kiya hai jahan mein SELL trading mein enter kar sakoon, kyun ke price movement ne 1.2750 level ko break through kar liya hai, jo ke bearish trend ke continuation ki opportunity ko open kar raha hai jo shayad haftay ke end tak chalay.

1.2725 ke threshold ke upar, kuch pehle ke high points ke peaks mazeed upward movement mein rukawat daal sakte hain. Agar qeemat is resistance level ko successfully overcome kar leti hai, toh umeed hai ke yeh mazeed barhegi jaise ke buying momentum intensify hoga. Is ke baraks, agar is resistance level ke ird gird bearish pattern ubhar aata hai, toh yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke British pound apne upward momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ka shikar hai, jo ke downward trend ke resumption ka sabab ban sakta hai. Traders ko 1.2725 mark ke ird gird resistance ya support ke potential signals ko monitor karna chahiye aur apni strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye. Broader market conditions aur economic news ke baare mein ba-khabar rehna jo GBP/USD pair ko impact kar sakti hain, well-informed trading choices banane ke liye bhi crucial hoga.

GBP/USD Ki Qeemat Ki Peeshgoi

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat ki harkat ka jaiza le rahe hain. Ham market quotes ke upward correction mein harkat ko dekh rahe hain. Is darmiyan, kharidari karne walon ne apni positions ko 1.2764 ke resistance level tak wapas restore kiya hai. Agar ye horizontal line toot gayi, to correction ka izafa 1.2823 ke resistance level tak hoga. 1.2856 ke resistance level tak bhi upward correction mumkin hai. Yeh growth asal mein darust daira ki downward trend ke manzar-e-qabil hone se be-likhata nahin hai. GBP/USD ka char ghante ki 50.00% Fibonacci retracement support se palatna kamiyab raha; qeemat 100 points tak barh gayi, aur main kuch das chaar points ke izafe ki umeed rakhta hoon. Yeh is liye hai ke qeemat ne hourly retracement ke 23.60% ke resistance level ko tod diya, aur iska matlab hai ke agle level tak pahunchne ki sambhavna bohat zyada hai.




Main 38.20% tak izafe ki peeshgoi karta hoon, uske baad qeemat aksar roll back karegi. Meri technical parameters ke mutabiq, filhal pehla daura teesre manzil se chhatti manzil tak hai, aur phir kuch upar ki taraf rebound hone ki umeed hai, jismein aage downwards movement hoga jo in manzilon se aur neeche tak ja sakta hai, maan lijiye chouthi manzil tak. Aur meri system ke mutabiq, pehla approach aksar rebound ke sath khatam hota hai. General tor par bohot zyada rebounding hota hai, 90 percent ke kareeb. Main aapko intraday indicators ke bare mein batana chahta hoon. Yahan kuch aise cheezain hain jinpar tawajjo dena hai. Jese ke aam tor par, pehla aur sabse ahem level yellow level 1.2736 hai. Agar hum isay update karte hain, to iska matlab hoga ke aaj upar ki taraf correction ka waqt hai. Lekin aaj kharidari karne ka koi irada nahi hai, kyunki filhal qeemat medium term se resistance par hai; ye 1.2750 ka level hai.

GBP/USD Price Forecast ka jaiza
Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis kar sakte hain. Hum market quotes ki movement ko upward correction mein dekh rahe hain. Is pehlu ke tehat, buyers ne apni positions ko resistance level 1.2764 par wapas hasil kar liya hai. Agar yeh horizontal line break hoti hai, toh corrective growth resistance level 1.2823 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Resistance level 1.2856 tak bhi ek upward correction mumkin hai. Yeh growth asal mein medium term mein downward trend ke scenario ko cancel nahi karti. GBP/USD ka reversal 4-hour 50.00% Fibonacci retracement ke support se kamiyab raha; price mein 100 points ka izafa hua, aur main expect kar raha hoon ke kuch aur points ki growth dekhne ko milegi. Wajah yeh hai ke price ne hourly retracement ke 23.60% resistance level ko break kar diya hai, aur iska matlab yeh hai ke agle level tak pohanchne ke chances kaafi zyada hain.

Main predict karta hoon ke 38.20% tak growth hogi, uske baad price most likely wapas neeche aayegi. Mere technical parameters ke mutabiq, iss waqt 30th floor se 26th tak decline hai, aur phir shayad kuch rebound upar ki taraf ho jaye, jis ke baad downward movement aur neeche tak jaari reh sakti hai, keh sakte hain 24th floor tak. Aur meri system ke mutabiq, pehli approach aksar rebound ke saath khatam hoti hai. Aam tor par, rebound 90 percent tak milta hai. Main aap ke saath intraday indicators share karna chahta hoon. Yahan kuch dekhne layak hai. Jaise ke aam tor par, pehla aur sabse aham level yellow level 1.2736 hai. Agar hum isay update karte hain, toh iska matlab hoga ke aaj north se correction ka waqt hai. Magar aaj ke din buy karne ka irada nahi hai kyunki price abhi medium term ke resistance par hai, jo ke level 1.2750 hai

GBP/USD pair daily trading ke liye ek interesting setup present kar rahi hai. Yeh pair kuch din se ek compelling price pattern mein move kar rahi hai. Apni extensive experience ke sath, mein aapke faida ke liye kuch details share karna chahta hoon. Abhi hamare paas do mumkin scenarios hain. Pehla option yeh hai ke quotes resistance level ko touch karen, jo ke daily chart par 50-period moving average se represent hota hai, aur filhal 1.2680 par hai. Yeh scenario kaafi optimistic hai aur yeh mera alternative option hai. Iske ilawa, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ki zero line ko cross karna ek buy signal ke tor par kaam karega GBP/USD pair abhi chart ke upper half mein 1.26848 par trade kar rahi hai. Instaforex indicator ke pehle sections ko dekh kar, yeh dikhata hai ke bulls aur bears ke darmiyan ek even gap hai, jahan bulls ke paas range ka takriban 50.13% hai. Dusre sections mein, indicator short-term upward trend show kar raha hai. Aaj yeh pair humein kya surprises dega? Mein expect nahi karta ke UK ya US se koi significant ya interesting news aaye gi, jaise ke non-farm payrolls, initial jobless claims, services business activity index, non-manufacturing PMI, crude oil inventories, aur Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke meeting minutes. Isliye, hum dono technical analysis aur fundamental analysis par focus karenge. Summary mein, humein kya anticipate karna chahiye? Mein believe karta hoon ke pair pehle 1.2620 level tak southward correct karegi, aur phir northward reverse kar ke 1.2710 level tak pohanchayegi. Sab ko trading mubarak ho
GBP/USD pair flash PMIs ke aage tailwind ke tor par kaam karna chahiye. Technical perspective se, spot prices filhal 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level se thodi upar trade kar rahi hain jo ke recent rally ke June monthly swing low se hai. Yeh support takriban 1.2880 region ke aas paas hai, jahan se neeche fresh selling GBP/USD pair ko 1.2830-1.2835 area ya 50% Fibonacci level tak le jaa sakti hai. Agla relevant support takriban 1.2800 mark ke aas paas dikhai deta hai, jo ke 61.8% Fibonacci level se pehle hai, aur yeh takriban 1.2780-1.2775 region mein hai. Agar is level ke neeche ek convincing break hota hai, to yeh bears ke liye fresh selling pressure ko trigger kar sakta hai aur deeper losses ka rasta khol sakta hai
Doosri taraf, agar 1.2900 mark se upar ek positive move hoti hai, to yeh naye buyers ko attract kar sakta hai aur resistance levels 1.2930-1.2940 ya 23.6% Fibonacci level support breakpoint ke aas paas cap ho sakti hai. Aage chal kar buying suggest karegi ke recent corrective slide khatam ho gayi hai, aur bias wapas bulls ke favor mein shift ho sakta hai. Daily chart oscillators abhi bhi positive territory mein hain, isliye GBP/USD pair psychological mark 1.3000 ko reclaim karne aur 1.3045 region ko retest karne ka aim kar sakti hai, aur shayad last week ka one-year peak bhi reach kar le

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Current Market Overview: GBP/USD

Aaj GBP/USD currency pair ko dekhte hue, humare nazar mein long positions lena hai, jo ke current market conditions aur technical indicators par based hai. Market ka overall environment bullish movement ke liye favorable lag raha hai, jo traders ko strategic entry ka mauka deta hai aur 1.28015 level ke aas-paas profits ka target set karne ki ijaazat deta hai.
Market Sentiment aur Key Indicators:

1. Market Sentiment:
   • GBP/USD pair ke around sentiment cautiously optimistic hai, jo technical aur fundamental factors ke combination se driven hai. UK aur US se recent economic data ne traders ke perspectives ko influence kiya hai, aur pound ne bearish pressures ke bawajood resilience dikhayi hai.
   • US Dollar Index (DXY) relatively subdued raha hai, jo pound ke liye supportive backdrop provide karta hai. Dollar ke weaker performance se GBP/USD pair ko higher move karne ka mauka mil sakta hai, khas taur par agar market sentiment pound ke favor mein tilt ho.
2. Technical Indicators:
   • Relative Strength Index (RSI): H1 (one-hour) aur H4 (four-hour) charts par RSI indicate karta hai ke GBP/USD pair abhi overbought nahi hai, jo ke aur upside movement ke liye space provide karta hai pehle ke pair ko significant resistance ka samna karne se.
   • Moving Averages: Pair abhi apne 50-period aur 100-period moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai H1 chart par, jo bullish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Shorter-term moving averages ka longer-term moving averages ke upar cross hona aksar upward momentum ka confirmation hota hai.
   • Support aur Resistance Levels: Immediate support level 1.2720 ke aas-paas hai, aur key resistance level 1.28015 par watch karna hai. Yeh resistance level critical hai, kyunki agar is level ko breach kiya jata hai to further gains ka door khul sakta hai, jab ke is point ko breach nahi karna potential retracement ka signal de sakta hai.

Overall, GBP/USD pair ki current technical aur market conditions long positions lene ke liye favorable hai. Traders ko support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur market ke bullish momentum ka fayda uthana chahiye.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis:

Aaj kai low-impact economic data releases hain jo GBP ko affect karte hain. Iske muqabil, Monetary Policy Report Hearings British Pound ke liye sabse ahm data releases mein se hain.

Attached 4-hour chart ko dekhte hue, Stochastic Oscillator overbought hai aur iski girawat ka tendency hai. Iske ilawa, price ne pichle hafte intermediate uptrend line ko break kiya, jo yeh darshata hai ke bulls ab bears ke peeche hain aur bears ab control mein hain. Isliye, price kuch ghanton mein 1.2670 support level tak pahunchegi. GBP/USD ne 1.2830 resistance level se recovery ki hai aur daily candle iske upar close nahi hui, jo ke bears ke liye ek positive development ho sakta hai.

Halankeh GBP EUR se lower hai, main 1.2820 resistance level se pair ko sell karne ki salah nahi deta. Iski bajaye, main 1.2840 resistance level se sell karna pasand karunga, kyunki yeh 1.2750 se zyada robust aur safer lagti hai.

Jab GBP/USD currency pair 1.2850 resistance level tak pahunchega, jo ke ek vital selling area hai, to yeh decline kar sakta hai. Yeh pair ek negative trend line ke andar trade kar raha hai, jo bears ke liye faida mand hai kyunki pichle hafte isko break karne ki koshish fail ho gayi thi. Agar six-day linear weighted moving average 15-day exponential moving average ke niche cross kar jati hai, to hum phir se price ko 1.2795 ke support level ke niche decline karte dekh sakte hain. Moving average indicators hume ek profit opportunity dene ke liye prepare ho rahe hain jab 15-day exponential moving average six-day linear weighted moving average ke niche cross karega.