𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD market pair jo Friday ko hua, usme phir se bullish movement dekhi gayi jisme buyers ka faida tha jo price ko upar le jane mein kamiyab rahe. Sellers dobara price ko neeche le jane mein nakam rahe kyunke buyers ne strong support area 1.2733-1.2736 pe qaboo banaye rakha, jis se price bearish se bullish mein wapas aa gayi.

Daily timeframe pe Bollinger Bands indicator ko use karke dekha jaye, toh yeh saaf hai ke buyers control mein hain, jinhone price ko Lower Bollinger Bands area ke upar rakha. Bullish candlestick phir se dominate kar raha hai, jo is baat ki indication hai ke buyers agle week mein GBP/USD pair market ko control mein rakhenge. Agla bullish target Middle Bollinger Bands area 1.2845-1.2850 ke aas-paas hai. Agar yeh level torh diya gaya, toh price aur bhi upar ja sakta hai aur Upper Bollinger Bands area 1.3036-1.3040 ke aas-paas pahunch sakta hai.GBP/USD pair ke hawalay se jazbaat ehtiyaat ke sath pur umeed hain, jo ke technical aur fundamental factors ka mila jula asar hain. Dono UK aur US se aane wale recent economic data ne traders ke nazriyat ko asar andaz kiya hai, aur pound ne kuch nihani bearish dabao ke bawajood mazahimat ka izhar kiya hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY) ki performance nisbatan subdued rahi hai, jo ke pound ko ground gain karne ka moqa faraham karti hai. Dollar ki kamzor performance aisa mahaul paida karti hai jahan GBP/USD pair mazeed ooper ja sakta hai, khas tor par agar market sentiment mazeed pound ke haq mein hota hai.

Monday ke trading mein umeed hai ke price pehle thoda correct ho. Sellers abhi resistance area 1.2770-1.2768 pe apni position banaye hue hain, jahan bearish target yeh hai ke price support area 1.2736-1.2733 ko test kare. Agar yeh support toot gaya, toh price neeche support area 1.2676-1.2673 tak ja sakta hai. Lekin agar support hold karta hai, toh price phir se apni upar ki taraf journey shuru kar sakta hai.
Sell Entry: Agar price support area 1.2736-1.2733 ke neeche break karti hai, toh sell position enter karein aur target 1.2676-1.2673 rakhein.
Buy Entry: Agar price resistance area 1.2770-1.2775 ke upar break karti hai, toh buy position enter karein aur target 1.2805-1.2810 rakhein

GBP/USD Continues Downward Trend Amidst Weaker USD Index GBP/USD currency pair ne apni downward trajectory ko teesre consecutive week tak extend kiya hai, aur Friday ke early Asian session mein 1.2730 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Yeh persistent negative trend tab bhi continue ho raha hai jab USD Index (DXY) 104.20 ke threshold ke neeche gir gaya hai, jo ke major currency pair ko kuch support provide karta hai.
Key Factors Influencing GBP/USD
1. Persistent Downward Momentum:
GBP/USD pair consistent selling pressure ke under hai aur recent weeks mein steady decline dekh raha hai. Yeh trend broader market sentiment aur technical factors ko reflect karta hai jo pair ko lower drive kar rahe hain.

2. Weaker USD Index (DXY):
USD Index, jo ke US dollar ki value ko major currencies ke basket ke against measure karta hai, weaken hua hai aur 104.20 mark ke neeche gir gaya hai. DXY ke decline se GBP/USD pair ko support milna chahiye, kyunki weaker dollar se dusri currencies relatively stronger hoti hain. Lekin is supportive factor ke bawajood, pound ko ground gain karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai, jo ke underlying weakness ko indicate karta hai.

3. Economic Indicators:
UK aur US se recent economic data current trend ko shape karne mein role play kar rahe hain. US mein mixed economic indicators ne dollar ko soft kiya hai. Wahi UK economy inflationary pressures aur economic slowdown ka samna kar rahi hai, jo ke pound ko affect kar raha hai.

4. Central Bank Policies:
Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions aur statements GBP/USD pair ko impact karte hain. BoE ke rate cuts ke speculation pound ke bearish outlook ko badhawa deti hai.

Technical Analysis
1. Support and Resistance Levels:

Support: Pair abhi 1.2730 ke aas-paas key support ko test kar raha hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to further declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain, aur next significant support 1.2700 aur 1.2650 ke aas-paas ho sakti hai.
Resistance: Upar ki taraf, immediate resistance 1.2800 ke aas-paas dekha gaya hai, jo ke 1.2850 level tak extend ho sakta hai. Kisi bhi upward correction ko in points par selling pressure ka saamna karna pad sakta hai.
2. Moving Averages:
GBP/USD pair daily chart par apne key moving averages ke neeche hai, jo bearish trend ko reinforce karta hai. 50-day aur 200-day moving averages upward attempts par resistance ka role play kar sakte hain.

3. RSI aur MACD Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish territory mein hai, jo ke selling pressure ke continue hone ka indication hai. MACD indicator bhi bearish outlook ko support karta hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche hai.

Conclusion
GBP/USD currency pair ki ongoing decline current bearish sentiment ko highlight karti hai. Weaker USD Index se kuch support milne ke bawajood, pound ki struggles broader economic aur technical factors ko reflect karti hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur near term mein further declines ke potential ko consider karna chahiye. Economic data aur central bank communications par updated rehna crucial hai

Good afternoon! Yaqeenan, is waqt pound mein significant upward movement nahi ho rahi hai, aur recent northern pullbacks zyada tar correction ki surat mein nazar aa rahe hain. Yeh adjustment 38.4% level tak pohanch sakti hai jo ke 1.2650 par hai, jahan qareebi resistance 1.2745 par mojood hai. Magar, mein pound ke trend ko sirf tab consider karunga jab yeh 36.4% level tak pohanchay. Filhal, mere paas EMA200 resistance level 1.2580 par hai, jo further development ke liye ek acha launching platform sabit ho sakta hai.

Jab tak movement mein qudrat barqarar hai, yeh zaroori hai ke patterns aur figures ka tehqiq karen bajaye ke zyada optimistic statements den. GBP/USD ka chart dekhte huye H1 aur H4 par, ek “Diamond” pattern ban raha hai. Agar yeh pattern barqarar rehta hai, to hum umeed kar sakte hain ke pound aglay resistance levels tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke 1.2715 hai, iske baad EMA150, aur phir possibly 1.2645 ke qareeb, jo EMA50 ke nazdeek hai. Yahan se, downside ki taraf ek reversal possible hai. Magar, yeh speculative hai, aur patterns aur calculations dono is scenario ko confirm ya disprove kar sakti hain. Filhal, yeh mera outlook hai.

Pound shayad khamoshi se 1.2758 ke just pehle drop ho sakta hai. Yahan par zyada levels consider karne ke liye nahi hain. Aapka behtareen bet yeh hai ke 1.2700 aur 1.2648 ke ird gird demand ko monitor karen. Is liye, mein in levels par nazar rakhoonga kyun ke current trend abhi bhi uncertain hai. Iske bawajood, kuch substantial buying ho sakti hai, magar mein medium term mein purchasing ka faida nahi dekhta. Pound ne cross-pairs mein kaafi climb kiya hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke kuch restraint zaroori ho sakti hai. Is ka natija yeh ho sakta hai ke thodi si correction aur downward movement ka waqt nazdeek aa sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair ne pichlay paanch din se DXY ke khilaf achi performance dikhai hai, aur Friday tak yeh pair barh kar lagbhag 1.2810 ke aas paas monthly high ke qareeb hover kar raha hai. Yeh consistent gains Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ke back drop mein aa rahi hain, jo interest rates ko barhawa dene mein madadgar sabit ho rahi hai, is wajah se US Dollar ki appeal mazid barh gayi hai.

### Mazboot US Dollar aur UK ke Ahem Economic Indicators: Inflation aur Interest Rates

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ko major currencies ke against measure karta hai, mazbooti dikhata hai. Yeh apni highest level tak pohanch gaya hai jo ke May ke aaghaz se sab se ooper hai, iske peechay Federal Reserve ke unexpected hawkish outlook ka haath hai jo pichle hafte samney aaya. "Dot plot" ne yeh reveal kiya ke policymakers ab sirf ek interest rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain 2024 mein, jo ke March mein project kiye gaye teen cuts se kaafi kam hai. Yeh forecast elevated US Treasury bond yields ko support karta hai, jo Dollar ke liye tailwind provide karta hai aur GBP/USD pair ke liye negative outlook ko validate karta hai.

UK mein, Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data ka intizaar hai, jisme forecast diya gaya hai ke May mein yeh 0.4% month-over-month barh sakta hai, jo pichle mahine ke 0.3% se barh kar hai. Iske ilawa, Bank of England (BoE) ek nayi vote hold karne wala hai interest rates par. BoE se aam tor par yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke woh June mein interest rates ko 5.25% par barqarar rakhega, jisme Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ka vote bhi shaamil hoga jo ke seven-to-two ke ratio mein unchanged rates ke haq mein ho sakta hai, jo ke pichli meeting ka result bhi tha.

### GBP/USD ke Resistance aur Diminishing Momentum ka Samna

Recent headways ke bawajood, yeh pair upper 1.26 range ke aas paas mazboot resistance face kar raha hai. Pichle hafte ke bullish close ke baad, pair ne 1.2818 se ooper levels ko sustain karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke Pound ko abhi bhi stable base establish karne ke liye kaafi kaam karna parega, ya to upper 1.2800 range mein hold karke ya high 1.2500 range mein foothold dhoondne ke baad, jiske baad hi yeh pair stabilize ho sakta hai aur improve kar sakta hai.

Weekly chart par agar GBP/USD ka analysis dekha jaye, to hum dekh sakte hain ke price ne local support level, jo ke meri markings ke mutabiq 1.26154 par located hai, se push off kiya aur confidently north ki taraf reverse hui. Is reversal ke natije mein ek full bullish candle bani, jo ke asani se resistance level ko break kar gayi aur confidently uske upar consolidate hui. Meri markings ke mutabiq yeh resistance level 1.27399 par located tha.

Halaat ko dekhte hue, mujhe poori umeed hai ke northern movement agle hafte bhi jari rahegi. Is surat mein, main apni nazar 1.28604 par located resistance level ya 1.28938 par located resistance level par rakhne ka plan kar raha hoon. In resistance levels ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price in levels ke upar consolidate kare aur mazid upward movement kare. Agar yeh plan workout hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price 1.29956 par located resistance level tak move kare.

Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo mujhe aage trading direction ko determine karne mein madad dega. Ek aur option yeh hai ke hum ek aur door ke northern target par kaam karein, jo ke meri markings ke mutabiq 1.31424 par located hai. Lekin agar yeh plan implement bhi hota hai, to price jab door ke northern target tak pohanch rahi hogi, to mujhe southern rollbacks ka bhi poora andaza hai. Main yeh rollbacks bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye istemal karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo ke nearest support levels se renewed growth ki anticipation mein mil sakte hain, jo ke ek global northern trend ka hissa banenge.

Dusra option yeh hai ke jab price 1.28604 ya 1.28938 ke resistance levels ke qareeb aaye, to ek reversal candle banne ka intezar kiya jaye, aur downward price movement phir se shuru ho. Agar yeh plan workout hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price wapas support level, jo ke 1.27399 par located hai, tak aaye. Is support level ke qareeb main bullish signals dhoondhne ka silsila jari rakhunga, is umeed mein ke upward price movement phir se shuru ho. Ek aur option yeh hai ke hum southern targets par kaam karein, lekin abhi ke liye main is option par focus nahi kar raha kyunki mujhe iski quick implementation ki prospects nazar nahi aati.

Mukhtasir mein, agle hafte main yeh expect kar raha hoon ke price nearest resistance levels ko work out karegi, aur phir main trading situation ko qareebi tor par dekhoonga, aur haalaat ke mutabiq action lunga.

Good morning. Mujhe bhi yeh hi laga tha ke non-farm payrolls data ke baad pehle wale growth ke baad ham girenge, aur aisa lagta hai ke data forecast se better aaya, lekin din ke end tak Pound aur bhi zyada upar chala gaya. Dobara se 1.28071 ka level actively break hua, aur agar hum agle hafte is level par hold karne mein kamiyab ho gaye, to agla target price growth ke liye 1.28599 ka mark hoga.

Abhi tak sales ke hawale se kuch kehna mushkil hai, kyun ke upward trend chal raha hai. Agar humein sales ke entry point dhoondhne ke liye kuch sahara chahiye, to humein pehle ek reversal pattern banne ka intezar karna hoga. Lekin uske bawajood, zyada chances hain ke hum sirf ek correction mein hi aayenge, aur poore market ke reversal mein nahi.

Agar hum GBP/USD ka M5 chart dekhein to:

1. Pound ne 5-minute chart par lower band ke towards exit banane ki koshish ki taake price ke girne ke liye ek high-quality signal mile. Yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke trading ke start mein lower band ke beyond ek active exit hota hai ya nahi, aur phir yeh dekhna hoga ke bands outward open hoti hain ya koi reaction nahi hota.

2. AO (Awesome Oscillator) indicator positive area mein fade ho raha hai, lekin price ispar apni fall ke sath react nahi kar rahi. Agar hum zero ke through transition dekhein aur negative zone mein active increase dekhein, to humein quotes ke girne ka ek stronger signal milega. Agar positive zone mein phir se ek increase hota hai, to yeh quotes ke rise ka signal dega.

3. Sales ke entry point 1.28061 par ho sakti hai, price ke breakout aur consolidation ke doran girne ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, jo ke 1.27949 tak gir sakti hai.

4. Purchases 1.28166 par locate ho sakti hain, Pound ka growth continue reh sakta hai.

Agar ye analysis dekha jaye to, abhi ke liye GBP/USD pair mein upward trend dominate kar raha hai, lekin agle hafte ke trading signals ko qareebi nazar se dekhna hoga taake price movements ko samjha ja sake aur accordingly entry points dhoonde ja sakein.

US Dollar ki kamzor hoti soorat-e-haal ko buyers ne khoob achi tarah se istemal kiya taake GBP/USD pair mein rally ko support mil sake. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price abhi tak upar ja rahi hai jab ke Tuesday ko Kumo cloud successfully cross kar liya gaya tha. Price ab lagbhag pehle wale high prices ke aas paas, yani 1.2776 ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai. Lekin humein hoshyar rehne ki zarurat hai kyun ke hafte ke aakhir mein, New York session mein NFP data aur kuch aur data release honge jo bohat zyada asar daal sakte hain.

Agar price neechay correct hoti hai aur Kumo cloud ke area mein enter karti hai, to pehle consolidation ka potential ho sakta hai. Jab tak price dobara Kumo cloud ke upar wapas aane mein kamiyab hai, rally 1.2800 level tak ja sakti hai. Agar aap Stochastic indicator ke parameters par dhyan dein, jo overbought zone mein 90-80 ke level par cross kar rahe hain, to aisa lagta hai ke price neechay correct ho sakti hai. Price nearest RBS area ke qareeb yani 1.2731 tak correct ho sakti hai aur phir wahan se bounce ho sakti hai. Lekin agar price RBS area ke neechay phans jati hai, to downward correction phase Kumo range ke neeche tak ja sakta hai, jo ke trend mein bearish change ko zahir karta hai.

Short-term trading plans ke liye behtar yeh hai ke aaj ke sab important events release hone ka intezar kiya jaye. Aap try kar sakte hain ke Kumo cloud area mein price enter hone par ya RBS area ke qareeb 1.2731 par price rejection ke baad re-entry SELL position place karein. Safe confirmation ke liye yeh ensure karein ke price decline ek correction phase ke taur par selling saturation point tak pohanch jaye, jab Stochastic indicator parameter oversold zone mein cross karein. 1.2800 ka level take profit ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai, aur cut loss tab karein jab close prices Kumo cloud ke neeche aajayein.

Is tarah ke scenarios mein trading mein ehtiyaat zaroori hoti hai, khas tor par jab important economic data release hone wala ho. Trading ka plan aapki strategy ke mutabiq hona chahiye aur market ke her action ko closely observe karna chahiye.

GBP/USD ka H4 chart dekhne se humein is currency pair ki movement ka acha andaza lag sakta hai, jab ke daily aur H4 timeframes par dekha jaye to yeh wazeh hota hai ke market ka dominant trend abhi bhi bullish phase mein hai. Pichle haftay ke dauran, price movement ko upar jaane mein rukawat ka samna tha aur yeh pressure mein aake 1.2614 ke level tak gir gayi thi. Lekin iske baad phir se upar jaane ki koshish hui. Daily timeframe par market ke halat overall bullish trend dikhate hain. Market structure par dhyan diya jaye to yeh bilkul wazeh hai ke price abhi bhi upward phase mein hai. Graph ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke is haftay GBP/USD ki movement pichle haftay ki tarah hi buyer ke control mein rahi.

British Pound (GBP) aur US Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan aaj Asian session mein sideways trading ho rahi hai. Is se pehle, is haftay ke shuru mein, GBP/USD ne 1.26 ke qareeb multi-day low se bounce back kiya tha. Aakhri do hafton se yeh familiar range mein stuck hai aur 1.27 ke neeche hover kar rahi hai. Is lack of direction ki wajah kuch conflicting forces hain. Ek taraf, Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rates raise na karne ke faislay ne August mein cut ki umeedain barhadi hain. Dusri taraf, ane wale UK elections ne investors mein uncertainty paida kar di hai jo Pound ko weaken kar rahi hai.

Doosri taraf, US Dollar mein bhi strength ki kami hai. Federal Reserve Chair ke comments ke baad ke US economy inflation se recover kar rahi hai, ne USD ke liye enthusiasm ko kam kar diya hai. Investors US rate cuts ke hawale se mazeed signals ka intezar kar rahe hain, taake currency direction ke hawale se bade bets lagaye ja sakein. Aaj ke din Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke meeting ke minutes release honay ka intezar hai, jo ek important event hoga. Iske ilawa, US economic data jese ke private sector employment numbers aur services sector PMI report GBP/USD pair ke liye kuch direction de sakte hain. Lekin ye major moves shayad in events ke unfold hone tak hold par rahain.

Is waqt market ke andar uncertainty aur confusion hai, aur sab log intezar mein hain ke kya hoga. Aisi soorat-e-haal mein trading mein ehtiyaat zaroori hai aur market signals par barabar nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

Bollinger Bands Aur Fractals Ka Analysis Jab hum Bollinger Bands ko dekhte hain, to hume yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke humne kal ke signal ko capitalize nahi kiya, jo price growth ke liye tha aur jo upper band ke outward opening se indicate ho raha tha. Yeh signal din ke andar validate ho gaya jab price barh gayi. Upper band ab bhi outward open ho raha hai, jo ke aage price growth ki potential ko indicate karta hai. Mein price ke upper band ke nazdeek aane ka wait karunga, aur uske baad hi assess karunga ke bands phir se outward open hote hain ya nahi, jisse sustained price growth confirm ho sakti hai. Agar growth continue hoti hai, to hum ab bhi lower levels se isse capture kar sakte hain. Lekin, sellers ki resistance ki wajah se ek decline dekhne ko mili, jo ke ek extreme sell setup se shuru hui aur immediately sell setup follow hui.
Agar growth continue hoti hai, to ye uncertain hai ke new peak kab form hoga, magar phir bhi yeh upward price movement ke signal ko de raha hai. Agar ek red attenuation bar nazar aati hai, to yeh bhi price movement ke deceleration ko indicate karega.

Fractals Ka Analysis
Fractals ko dekhte hue, price action ne Stochastic indicator ke upward signals ko effectively work out kiya hai. Price ka consistent rise zero line ko cross karne ke baad positive area me enter karne se robust upward movement ka signal mila. Jaise hi price Bollinger Bands ke upper band ke nazdeek aati hai, yeh zaroori hai ke monitor karein ke kya bands phir se outward open hoti hain. Yeh ek critical indicator hoga potential sustained price growth ke liye. Lekin, potential sell signals se bhi cautious rehna zaroori hai. Jaise hi price selling area me wapas aati hai, ek upward correction hone ke chances hain, uske baad downward movement continue ho sakti hai.

Conclusion
Overall trend se lagta hai ke growth continue karne ki potential hai, lekin key resistance aur support levels, Bollinger Band behavior, aur Stochastic indicator signals ko monitor karna essential hai. Yeh comprehensive analysis trading decisions mein madadgar sabit hogi, chaahe upward movements capture karne ke liye ho ya potential downward corrections anticipate karne ke liye.

dominant trend abhi bhi bullish phase mein hai. Pichle haftay ke dauran, price movement ko upar jaane mein rukawat ka samna tha aur yeh pressure mein aake 1.2614 ke level tak gir gayi thi. Lekin iske baad phir se upar jaane ki koshish hui. Daily timeframe par market ke halat overall bullish trend dikhate hain. Market structure par dhyan diya jaye to yeh bilkul wazeh hai ke price abhi bhi upward phase mein hai. Graph ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke is haftay GBP/USD ki movement pichle haftay ki tarah hi buyer ke control mein rahi.
British Pound (GBP) aur US Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan aaj Asian session mein sideways trading ho rahi hai. Is se pehle, is haftay ke shuru mein, GBP/USD ne 1.26 ke qareeb multi-day low se bounce back kiya tha. Aakhri do hafton se yeh familiar range mein stuck hai aur 1.27 ke neeche hover kar rahi hai. Is lack of direction ki wajah kuch conflicting forces hain. Ek taraf, Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rates raise na karne ke faislay ne August mein cut ki umeedain barhadi hain. Dusri taraf, ane wale UK elections ne investors mein uncertainty paida kar di hai jo Pound ko weaken kar rahi hai.

Doosri taraf, US Dollar mein bhi strength ki kami hai. Federal Reserve Chair ke comments ke baad ke US economy inflation se recover kar rahi hai, ne USD ke liye enthusiasm ko kam kar diya hai. Investors US rate cuts ke hawale se mazeed signals ka intezar kar rahe hain, taake currency direction ke hawale se bade bets lagaye ja sakein. Aaj ke din Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke meeting ke minutes release honay ka intezar hai, jo ek important event hoga. Iske ilawa, US economic data jese ke private sector employment numbers aur services sector PMI report GBP/USD pair ke liye kuch direction de sakte hain. Lekin ye major moves shayad in events ke unfold hone tak hold par rahain.

Is waqt market ke andar uncertainty aur confusion hai, aur sab log intezar mein hain ke kya hoga. Aisi soorat-e-haal mein trading mein ehtiyaat zaroori hai aur market signals par barabar nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

Daily aur H4 time frames pe GBPUSD currency pair ki movement ko dekhte hue humein ek zyada comprehensive tasveer milti hai ke market ka dominant trend ab bhi bullish phase mein hai. Halanke pichlay haftay price movement ko upar jaane mein rokawat hui aur woh 1.2614 ke level tak gir gaya, lekin uske baad phir se upar jaane ki koshish hui. Daily time frame pe overall market conditions bullish nazar aati hain. Market structure pe tawajju dete hue, ye bohot wazeh hai ke price ab bhi upward phase mein hai. Graph ke analysis ka nateeja yehi dikhata hai ke is haftay GBPUSD currency pair ki movement waise hi hai jaise pichlay haftay thi, jo ke consistently buyers ke control mein thi.

June ke trading session ki history ko dekha jaye to beech mein market pe pressure pada jiski wajah se prices gir gayi, lekin market ne phir se upar ka rukh kiya kyun ke buyers ki taqat ab bhi kaafi dominant thi. To aglay haftay ke liye ye mumkin hai ke market ke dominant bullish market conditions continue rahen aur price level 1.2860 ke range mein target karay. Ye dekha ja sakta hai ke major timeframe pe market trend ab bhi bullish hai. Agley haftay ke liye main yehi sochunga ke bullish trend agar phir se continue hota hai to main BUY trading position ke liye intizaar karoon ga, kyun ke price movement shayad phir se upar ja sakti hai. Abhi price condition isliye ruki hui hai ke market band hai. Agar aglay haftay koi aur increase signal milta hai, to is haftay ke trend mein further increase ki potential zyada valid hogi.

Alexander! Salam! Ek aur trading aur kaam karne ka hafta khatam hua. Hamara GBP/USD currency pair is haftay ek bearish candle ke sath aur neeche ek bara shadow chor kar band hua, jaise ke weekly chart par dikhaya gaya hai. 1.2754 par, price is period ke average moving line par bilkul theek hai. Stochastic indicator yeh dikhata hai ke girne ki khwahish hai jabke yeh neutral zone mein hai. Meri umeed hai ke aglay haftay hamara asset karib 1.2850 tak barh jaye. Is maqam par, mein apne GBP/USD ke buy aur sell ko adjust karunga is iraday se ke pair ko 1.2500 tak le aoon, jahan minimum 1.2662 ya usse neeche ho sakta hai. Iske baad, ek reversal aur growth ho sakti hai. Magar, growth mein farq ho sakta hai. Pehla target 1.2797 par dekha ja sakta hai, ya 1.2950 par, downward breakdown ke sath.
Chart mein chaar ghantay ke daur mein, kal ki American trading session ke doran, local minimum 1.2665 se rebound ke baad ek bold rise nazar aayi. Channel ki top boundary, jahan pound/dollar pair is waqt karib 1.2754 par trade kar raha hai jab mein yeh likh raha hoon, yahan mein ek bounce aur downward trend ke jaari rehne ki umeed kar raha hoon. Downward trend aur pehle ke local minimum 1.2620 tak girawat ko priority di gayi hai, halaan ke southern channel technical tor par ab tak break nahi hua. Medium-term trading ke hawale se, mein suggest karta hoon ke pair ko sell karain jab hum iske qareeb pohnch rahe hain. Lekin yaad rakhiye ke aaj Jumma hai, toh volatility mein significant spike aur powerful movement ho sakti hai.

British Pound (GBP) is waqt US Dollar (USD) ke against Asian session mein sideways trade kar raha hai. Yeh us bounce ke baad hai jo is haftay ke aghaz mein 1.26 ke multi-day low ke qareeb se hua. Aakhri do hafton se GBP/USD ek jaane pehchaane range mein **** hua hai, jo ke 1.27 se thora neeche hover kar raha hai. Iski direction ki kami mukhtalif forces ki wajah se hai. Ek taraf, Bank of England (BoE) ne interest rates ko badhane mein pause kiya hai, jis se yeh tawaqoat barhti ja rahi hain ke agle mahine August mein cut aa sakta hai. Saath hi, aane wale UK elections se investors mein uncertainty paida hui hai, jis se Pound kamzor hua hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar mein bhi taqat ki kami hai. Federal Reserve Chair ke comments jo ke US economy ke inflation se recover hone ke hawale se thay, unhon ne USD ke liye enthusiasm ko thanda kar diya hai.

Investors ab is intezaar mein hain ke agle US rate cuts ke hawale se koi mazeed signal mil jaye taake currency direction ke liye bade bets lagaye ja sakein. Aaj raat ko release hone wale Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ke minutes bhi ek key event hain jisko dekha ja raha hai. Is ke ilawa, US economic data jo ke private sector employment numbers aur services sector PMI report shamil hain, yeh GBP/USD pair ke liye kuch direction de sakti hain. Lekin, ahem moves ka honay ka imkaan tab tak nahi hai jab tak yeh events unfold na ho jayein.

Bari tasveer ko dekhtay hue, GBP/USD ne apne 2024 ke low 1.2298 se significant recovery ki hai. Yeh hatta ke long-term moving averages ke upar chala gaya hai. Lekin, short-term profit-taking ne haal hi mein ek pullback ka sabab bana. Agar yeh pullback jari rehta hai, to support levels jo ke 1.2669 aur 1.2598 ke qareeb hain, woh play mein aa sakte hain. Yeh areas guzri hui dips mein mazbooti se kharay rahe hain. Agar price 1.2598 ke neeche decisively break karta hai, to pair 1.2517 ke February low ki taraf gir sakta hai. Upside pe, agar 1.28 ke qareeb resistance overcome hota hai, to yeh 2024 ke high 1.2892 ka test le sakta hai. Mazeed momentum se yeh pair July 2023 ke baad se dekhi gayi resistance levels ki taraf bhi ja sakta hai. Aane wale din GBP/USD ke agle move ka taayun karne mein ahem role ada karenge.

GBP/USD pair review ke liye, dekhne se maloom hota hai ke pound sterling ka rate $1.27 par stable hai. Yeh level teen hafton ke highest level ke qareeb hai, jab voters England, Scotland, Wales, aur Northern Ireland mein parliamentary elections ke liye apne vote cast kar rahe hain. Opinion polls ke mutabiq, centre-left Labor Party aage hai aur mumkin hai ke wo Conservative Party ko defeat kar de, jo ke British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak ki leadership mein hai. Kuch tawaqoat kehti hain ke Labor Party aksariyat jeet sakti hai, jo ke 2005 ke baad unki pehli general elections mein jeet hogi. US jobs numbers ke elan se pehle, pound sterling ka rate US dollar ke against 1.2780 resistance level ke qareeb stabilize hua hai.

Kuch analysts ka kehna hai ke yeh siyasi tabdeeli pound sterling ki qeemat par musbat asar dal sakti hai, stock market ko barhawa de sakti hai, aur Britain mein investments ko stable kar sakti hai, jo ke Britain ke liye "safe haven" ki reputation wapas la sakti hai, jab ke doosri jagahon mein siyasi uncertainty ho rahi ho. Monetary policy ke hawale se, investors yeh tawaqoat kar rahe hain ke August mein ek rate cut aa sakta hai, Bank of England ke faislay ke baad ke June mein interest rates ko barhaya nahi gaya, halaan ke inflation central bank ke 2% target tak aa gayi thi.

Trading platforms ke mutabiq, British 10-year bond yield apni recent highs se neeche hai aur ab sab ka focus elections par hai. 10-year British government bonds ka yield Thursday ko lagbhag 4.18% tha, jo ke Monday ko touch kiye gaye 4.28% se neeche tha, jab voters apne votes cast kar rahe thay. Opinion polls mein centre-left Labor Party aage hai aur yeh mumkin hai ke wo Prime Minister Rishi Sunak ki Conservative Party ko topple kar de.

Forex market trading ke mutabiq, British pound ne 2024 ke general elections mein apni position mazboot rakhi hai, magar 10 baje raat ko exit poll release hone ke qareeb kuch volatility dekhi ja sakti hai. Thursday raat ka exit poll - jo ke 10 baje schedule hai - ek bara moment hoga kyun ke yeh ahem signal dega ke agla prime minister kaun ho sakta hai aur uski aksariyat kis had tak hogi. Agar Labor Party ki jeet hoti hai, to pound barh sakta hai.

Currencies ko stability pasand hai aur ek badi Labor jeet sterling exchange rates mein kisi bhi remaining risk premium ko khatam kar sakti hai, chahe wo kitna hi chhota kyun na ho. Barclays Bank ki ek note ke mutabiq: "Is haftay ka main focus British general elections hain, aur zyada tar plausible scenarios - available opinion polls ke mutabiq - pound mein mazeed strength ko barhawa de sakte hain." Is hawale se, Barclays euro ke against pound ko khareed raha hai, jo ke Sunday ko French election result ke baad limited recovery dekh raha hai.

Agar Conservative Party opinion polls se behtar perform karti hai, to sterling par kuch risk asar dal sakta hai, jo ke mumkin hai kyun ke voters ka ek hissa ab tak undecided hai. "Hung parliament" jahan koi party poori aksariyat na jeet sake, ye uncertainty create kar sakti hai, jis se sterling kamzor ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, pound-euro exchange rate 1.18 se neeche gir sakta hai. Agar French vote bhi koi aisi legislature ka natija de jahan koi party aksariyat na jeet sake, to 1.1750 aur 1.17 ke midpoints ka raste se saf hona mazeed asan ho sakta hai. Saath hi, GBP/USD exchange rate wapas 1.27 par aa sakti hai, magar hamare khayal mein US side ka asar ziada ahem hoga, jiska matlab hai ke Friday ka US jobs report final say rakhay ga.

Hamari trading strategy ka markazi nuqta GBP/USD currency pair ki price action ka tajziya karna hai. Is waqt, GBP/USD pair impulsively trade kar rahi hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke price mein ek correction aaye, jiska intermediate range 1.265 par ho sakta hai. Yeh range aise waqt par aati hai jab khareedari ka acha mauqa mil sakta hai, jab price attractive levels par ho. Agar yeh scenario develop hota hai, to profit-taking ka target agla maximum level 1.273 par hoga, aur ek protective order critical level par set kiya jayega.

Iske ilawa, ek entry point long position ke liye tab mumkin hai jab currency 1.273 ke maximum ko cross kare aur stabilize ho, jo ke market ko PPD (possible price direction) par signal karega. Is scenario mein, profit target agla maximum 1.279 hoga. Lekin, agar yeh pair 1.262 ke critical range se neeche girti hai, to yeh is baat ki nishani hogi ke priorities downward trend ki taraf shift ho rahi hain.

Aakhri trading week ke natayij GBP/USD pair mein bulls ke liye khasay achay sabit huay. Do bara—pehle Wednesday ko US dollar ke liye negative news ke saath aur phir Friday ko—yeh pair 28th figure ke aaghaz tak pohunch gayi, jahan resistance 1.2811 par test ki gayi. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh aakhri had nahi hai. Kyun ke Monday ko aksar Friday ke trends reverse ho jate hain, khaaskar jab four-hour stochastic overbought conditions ko zahir kar raha ho, main umeed karta hoon ke week ke aaghaz mein GBP/USD pair mein bearish correction hoga. Halaanki, agar bears ko koi buniyadi support na mil sake, to yeh girawat chandh dinon ke liye hogi, jo keh support area 1.2771 tak aayegi, iske baad growth dobara shuru ho jayegi.

Yeh correction is liye zaroori hai taake yeh currency pair apni overbought conditions se nikal sake. Filhal, GBP/USD quotes mere tamam technical indicators se upar trade kar rahi hain four-hour chart par, jo ke active buying ko zahir karti hai aur mazeed growth ka ishara deti hai. Hamara goal yeh hai ke 28th figure ke darmiyan tak pohunchna aur 13th June ke high ko update karna hoga.