𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

### Technical Analysis of GBP/USD

Sterling ne pichle trading haftay mein kuch modest gains kiye aur 1.3050 ka naya local high set kiya, jab yeh 1.2994 ke upar chala gaya. Lekin, price ko higher move karne mein na-kaami mili aur yeh turant girna shuru ho gaya, 1.2914 par support dhoondhte hue, jahan yeh upar move karne se ruk gaya. Isliye, target area abhi tak nahi pohncha hai aur abhi bhi chal raha hai. Is dauran, price chart ne super-trending red zone mein enter kar liya hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers ab restraint dikhate hue hain.

Technical perspective se, 4-hour chart ko detail se dekhte hain. Simple Moving Average uptrend ko support kar raha hai, day trading 1.2960 ke upar ho rahi hai. Hum day trading ke 1.2960 ke upar consolidate hone aur 1.3040 ka break hone par optimistic hain, kyunki pehla target 1.3080 aur 1.3120 ki taraf uptrend ko continue karne ke liye main condition hai. Agar price 1.2960 ke neeche chali jaati hai, to yeh upside opportunities ko delay karega aur pivotal support 1.2920 ko dobara test karne ki zaroorat hogi, jo pair par negative pressure daal sakta hai. Niche diye gaye chart ko dekhein:

Current pair thoda apne one-week low ke neeche trading kar raha hai. Major support areas test kiye ja rahe hain aur price ko higher hold karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo ek upward vector ko indicate karta hai. Current movement ko continue karne ke liye, price ko ab 1.2914 ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jo key support area ki boundary hai. Agar successful retest hota hai, to is area se rebound hone par movement 1.3082 aur 1.3170 ke beech target area ki taraf continue kar sakti hai.

Agar support break hota hai aur price 1.2788 ke pivot level ke neeche girti hai, to current scenario reverse ho jayega.

### GBP/USD H1 Analysis Chart

Currency pair GBP/USD hai. Filhal, GBP/USD par sales ko priority di gayi hai; ye current situation mein sabse behtar raasta hai. Abhi market price 1.29069 hai; hum sellers ke interest zone mein hain, aur main current price par sales shuru karne ka soch raha hoon, lekin thoda aur upar jaane ki bhi sambhavana hai. Sell positions ke liye suitable conditions bears ki dominance aur bulls ke resistance ki kami se determine hoti hain. Short positions ke liye kuch targets hain, lekin support level 1.28708 ko zyada preference milti hai. Agar price mere khilaf chali jati hai, to loss limitation ke liye stop loss 1.29290 ke level ke immediately peeche set karunga.

Agar seller ki persistence ki wajah se 1.28708 ke level par breakout hota hai, to situation seller ke haq mein kafi mazboot ho jayegi. Agar ye morning mein kiya gaya hota, to upar jump karne ke achhe chances hote. Lekin, pound ne euro ko follow kiya aur main trades mein mere plan ke sath, false takeout ke baad, lamba rehne ki koshish ki gayi. Isliye, maine treacherously apni strategy badal di aur shorten shuru kar diya, kyunki koi important news nahi thi. Main greedy nahi hoon; maine 20 points liye aur bas. Ab main dusre move down ka intezar kar raha hoon, lekin 5-minute chart upar jane ki ichha dikhata hai, isliye main ab sidelines par hoon.

Yeh risk hai ke buyout ho sakta hai, lekin mujhe resistance ki trade par itni umeed nahi hai.

### GBP/USD Analysis: H4 aur H1 Timeframes ka Istemaal

GBP/USD currency pair ka tajziya karte waqt, H4 aur H1 timeframes ka istemaal ek comprehensive strategy provide karta hai profitable trading opportunities identify karne ke liye. Hamara primary goal H4 chart par current trend ko samajhna aur H1 chart par precise entry points dhoondhna hai. Is strategy ko develop karne ke liye HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators ka istemaal kiya jayega.

### Higher Timeframe Analysis (H4)

H4 chart se shuru karte hain, jahan hume prevailing trend determine karna hai. HamaSystem, jo ke moving averages aur Heikin Ashi candlesticks ka combination hai, trend direction ke clear visual cues provide karta hai. Filhal, HamaSystem ek strong upward trend indicate kar raha hai, jo market ko long positions ke liye favorable banata hai. Yeh trend higher highs aur higher lows ke series se support hota hai, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai.

RSI Trend indicator, jo market ke strength aur momentum ko measure karta hai, bhi bullish outlook ko corroborate karta hai. Agar RSI 50 level ke upar aur upward move kar raha hai, to yeh confirm karta hai ke buying pressure strong hai aur aage bhi continue ho sakta hai. H4 chart par indicators ka yeh combination long positions ke liye ek solid foundation signal karta hai.

### Entry Points on Lower Timeframe (H1)

H4 chart par bullish trend establish karne ke baad, hum H1 chart par precise entry points dhoondhte hain. H1 chart par HamaSystem ko analyze karna zaroori hai taake yeh ensure ho sake ke yeh trend H4 chart se align ho. Ideal scenario yeh hai ke HamaSystem price ko colored bands ke upar dikhaye, jo continued bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

RSI Trend indicator ko bhi H1 chart par consider karna chahiye. Hum RSI value ko 50 ke upar aur preferably upward move karte hue dekhna chahte hain, jo confirm karta hai ke H4 chart se bullish momentum H1 timeframe par bhi present hai. Yeh dual confirmation hamari entry points ki reliability ko increase karta hai.

Magnetic_Levels_Color indicator support aur resistance levels identify karne mein crucial hai, jo potential entry aur exit points serve karte hain. In levels ko observe karke, hum entries ko un points par place kar sakte hain jahan price momentum gain karne ki sambhavana ho aur stops ko adverse movements se protect karne ke liye set kar sakte hain. For example, significant support level ke paas long position enter karna Magnetic_Levels_Color indicator se identified level ko maximize karta hai.

### Trading Strategy

1. **Trend Identify Karein (H4):** HamaSystem aur RSI Trend indicators ka istemaal karke bullish trend confirm karein. Ensure karein ke price higher highs aur higher lows bana rahi hai, aur RSI 50 ke upar hai.

2. **Entry Points Pinpoint Karein (H1):** H1 chart par HamaSystem ko check karein taake H4 trend se alignment ensure ho sake. Price HamaSystem bands ke upar honi chahiye. RSI Trend indicator bhi 50 ke upar aur upward move kar raha hona chahiye.

3. **Support aur Resistance Determine Karein:** Magnetic_Levels_Color indicator ka istemaal karke key levels identify karein. Significant support levels ke paas long entries place karein aur stop losses ko in levels ke slightly below set karein taake risk effectively manage ho sake.

4. **Execution:** Jab sab indicators align karte hain, market par identified points par enter karein. Trade ko monitor karein, aur market ke evolve hone ke sath stops aur targets ko adjust karein.

### Conclusion

HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators ka istemaal H4 aur H1 timeframes par karke, traders precise entry points identify aur execute kar sakte hain GBP/USD market mein. Yeh approach ensure karta hai ke trades prevailing trend ke direction mein liye jayein, clear levels ke sath risk management aur profit-taking ke liye. Key yeh hai ke indicators ko consistently apply kiya jaye aur positions ko naye market data ke sath adjust kiya jaye.

GBP/USD currency pair ne zyada significant movement nahi dekhi, sirf 40 pips ke aas-paas ka range raha. Filhal pair pressure mein hai aur 1.2930 par trade kar raha hai. Kal thodi decline dekhi gayi, lekin candle support 1.2900 ko break nahi kar payi, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke GBP/USD abhi bhi upar jane mein struggle kar raha hai. Isse yeh lagta hai ke sellers ka pressure abhi bhi dominant hai.

H1 timeframe ke technical analysis se, candle support 1.2900 ko break nahi kar payi. Is support par pohanchne ke baad, GBP/USD dheere-dheere upar ki taraf badh raha hai. Agar candle support area mein tikti rahti hai to double bottom pattern banne ki sambhavana barh jati hai. Yeh pattern tabhi valid hoga agar resistance 1.2935 ko break kar sake. Agar yeh resistance break nahi hota, to GBP/USD sideways movement continue kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, GBP/USD demand area mein stuck hai. Mera prediction hai ke GBP/USD future mein significant rise dekhega kyunki isne girne ke baad koi major correction nahi dekhi.

Ichimoku indicator ka istemaal karte hue, analysis karna mushkil hai kyunki market mein enthusiasm ki kami hai. Flat market movement ke results mein bahut si intersections hoti hain, jo increase ya decrease ka signal clear nahi karti. Yeh indicator busy market mein zyada effective hai. Lekin, candle ne Kijun Sen ko break kar diya hai, jo GBP/USD ke rise ka potential indicate kar sakta hai. Ek nayi intersection bhi jaldi ho sakti hai.

Stochastic indicator analysis ke mutabiq, yeh soon level 80 ko touch karega. Iske bawajood, stochastic direction abhi bhi upward hai, jo GBP/USD ke rise ke liye support indicate karta hai. Lekin, jab stochastic level 80 tak pohanch jayega, caution zaroori hai kyunki GBP/USD dobara gir sakta hai. Yeh condition aksar tab hoti hai jab market sideways hoti hai aur stochastic position already elevated hoti hai upward move se pehle.

**GBP/USD H-1 Time Frame Chart Analysis**

GBP/USD (British Pound / US Dollar) ka H1 time frame chart medium-term movement ko predict karke profit generate karne ka acha moka deta hai. Hamara kaam hai senior H4 time frame mein trend ko sahi tarah se determine karna aur market entry point ko sabse zyada accurate banana. Sabse pehle, hum 4-hour time frame ka chart khol kar trend direction ko dekhte hain. Aaj ka market humein sale transaction band karne ka behtareen mauka deta hai. Iske baad, hum teen indicators ka istemal karte hain - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color.

HamaSystem aur RSI Trend indicators ke mutabiq, H1 time frame mein bearish trend hai, jab dono indicators red zone mein hain, jo sellers ke buyers par faida dikhata hai. Jab saari conditions poori hoti hain, hum sale transaction open karte hain. Market se exit Magnetic Level Indicator ke according kiya jayega. Aaj ke liye, sabse interesting levels 1.2825 hain. Jab price magnetic level ko reach karegi, hum chart par quotes ke behavior ko monitor karenge aur decide karenge ki position ko agle magnetic level tak maintain karna hai ya phir already taken profit ko fix karna hai. Acha option trailing stop tool (sliding stop order, trail) ka istemal hai jo MT4 trading terminal mein available hai.

**GBP/USD H-4 Time Frame Chart Analysis**

GBP/USD ka H-4 time frame chart analysis karte hue, market ki current condition par nazar rakhni zaroori hai. Aaj ke liye, market mein rebound ki umeed hai lekin 14:30 Moscow time par shuru hone wala rebound mujhe pasand nahi aata. News ka background khaali hai aur lagta hai investors ne America khulne se pehle settle kar liya hai. Aaj mujhe US mein decline continue karne ki umeed hai, lekin pair 1.2840 tak pahunchega ya nahi, ye dekhna padega.

US mein secondary housing market ke sales data release honge, aur agar positive note aata hai to pair ke decline ko tez karne ki sambhavana hai. Sales zone 1.2935 aur 1.2920 ke beech hai.

In summary, H1 aur H4 time frames ka analysis use karke, GBP/USD ke liye trade strategy ko optimize kiya ja sakta hai. Indicators ke saath saath, market conditions aur news events ko bhi consider karna zaroori hai taake profitable trades execute ki ja sakein.

### GBP/USD Analysis

Hello. Kal buyers ne apna din bana liya, jo ke shayad correction ka wave B shuru hone ki shanakht hai. Iske baad ek aur girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh growth ek naye wave ki shuruat ho, jo local maximum 1.30436 ke level tak ja sakti hai. Daily chart ko dekhte hue, sellers ne kisi aham level ko break nahi kiya, isliye jo girawat hui hai, woh sirf correction ho sakti hai aur market reversal nahi. General taur par, buyers ko upward movement develop karne ke liye 1.29417 ke level ko break aur consolidate karna hoga. Sellers ko downward movement ke liye 1.29003 ke level ko break aur consolidate karna padega, isse 1.27773 ke level tak raasta khul jayega.

### GBP/USD M5 Pair Analysis

1. **Pound Movement:** 5-minute chart par pound ne central bands area mein rollback kiya, lower band ke saath move karne ki koshish ke baad. Achhe signal ke liye humein lower band ke naye approach ka intezar karna hoga aur dekhna hoga ke bands outward open hoti hain ya koi reaction nahi hota.

2. **AO Indicator:** AO indicator negative zone mein increase form karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar hum agle waqt mein zyada active acceleration dekhte hain, to yeh price ke girne ka strong signal ho sakta hai. Zero ko cross karna aur positive area mein active increase price ke barhne ka signal dega.

3. **Sales Entry Point:** Sales ke liye entry point 1.29239 se consider kiya ja sakta hai. Agar price breakout aur consolidate hoti hai, to 1.29179 tak girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

4. **Purchases Entry Point:** Purchases ke liye entry point 1.29346 se consider kiya ja sakta hai. Agar price increase hoti hai, to 1.29416 tak ki growth ki ummeed ki ja sakti hai.

### GBP/USD Pair Review

British pound apne recent highs se retreat kar raha hai, aur iske sath UK retail sales data bhi support provide kar raha hai, jo June mein activity mein sharp decline ko dikhata hai. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq, pound ka exchange rate euro ke against 1.19 se niche chala gaya aur GBP/USD 1.29 ke qareeb aa gaya hai, jab Office of National Statistics ne kaha ke British sales June mein 1.2% se gir gayi, jab ke May mein yeh 2.9% barh gayi thi.

Yeh consensus forecast of -0.4% se kam tha. Year-on-year growth -0.2% thi, jo ke 1.3% se kam aur 0.2% growth ke estimates se bhi niche thi. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Office for National Statistics ne kaha ke retailers ne election uncertainty, bad weather aur low footfall ka zikar kiya jo sales ko affect kar raha tha. Phil Monkhouse, Ebury ke country director, kehte hain: “Yeh clear hai ke ab tak ka wet summer shoppers ko deter kar raha hai.”

Darrag Maher, HSBC Bank ke Americas ke head of research, kehte hain: “Pound sterling kamzor ho raha hai after weak retail sales data.” “Weak sales data labor market data ke release ke baad aayi hai, jo wage growth mein slowdown ko dikhati hai. In data ke saath milke, yeh bearish view provide karte hain jahan services inflation bhi high aur flat hai, jo Bank of England ke August meeting ke likely outcome ka market pricing weakly balanced bana raha hai.”

July mein retail activity mein behtari dekhne ko milni chahiye, jaise weather stabilizes ho raha hai, election piche chala gaya hai aur consumer confidence bhi improve ho raha hai. GfK se release hone wale data ke mutabiq, British consumer confidence is mahine barh gayi hai. GfK Composite Index of Consumer Confidence July mein -13 tak barh gaya hai jo June mein -14 tha. GfK ne headline purchasing index mein saat points ka rise report kiya, jo “retailers ke liye potentially good news ho sakti hai jo future mein improved footfall mein translate ho sakti hai.”

British pound ke liye ab expectations Bank of England ke interest rate decision par depend karti hain jo 1 August ko hoga. Data is week ne confirm kiya ke agle mahine koi reduction nahi hogi, services inflation June mein 5.7% year-on-year barh gayi hai. Yeh strong reading suggest karti hai ke broader inflation aane wale months mein phir se barh sakti hai, khaaskar jab ke home energy bills bhi fall ke baad phir se barhne wale hain.

Agar Bank of England interest rates ko barhane se inkaar karta hai aur caution continue karta hai, to pound ko support mil sakta hai kyunki yeh G10 ke highest interest rates mein se ek se faida utha raha hai. Last Thursday ka wage data mixed tha, jahan kuch economists kehte hain ke ongoing labor market mein slowdown enough hai ke bank interest rates cut kar sake. Bank kehta hai strong wage growth inflation ko high rakhega, lekin agar wages girti hain, to yeh soch sakta hai ke interest rates cut kiya ja sakta hai bina inflation trigger kiye. Yeh bhi dhyan mein rakhega ke interest rates ko zyada der tak high rakhne se economy ko nukhsan ho sakta hai.

1 August ka decision brink par hai, jahan bohot se policymakers ne June meeting mein rate hike ke liye voting ke nazdeek hone ki baat ki hai. Agar interest rate cut hota hai, to pound ki appreciation ko meaningful tareeke se undermine nahi kiya jayega agar iske saath guidance mile ke yeh predetermined path nahi hai interest rates ko further cut karne ke liye.

Yeh pound ko saal ke end tak support provide kar sakta hai.

**GBP/USD Expectations for Today:**
Jaise ke maine pehle kaha, 1.3000 ka psychological resistance GBP/USD currency pair ke bulls ke control ko confirm karne ke liye sabse important rahega, kyunki yeh daily chart par sabse prominent hai jo upward trend ki strength ko confirm karta hai. Bulls ab isse maintain karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, kyunki recent selling operations aur 1.2820 support ko break karne ka move recent upward rebound path ko threat bana raha hai.

overall upward trend jo pichle hafte se thi. Iska nateeja ye hua ke is hafte ka agaz ek white triangle mein hua jo do channels se formed hai—ek bullish aur ek bearish. Asian session ke dauran price mein thori movement hui magar ab upward trend start hoti nazar aa rahi hai, aur red channel ko upward break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Yeh correction ka end aur ek naye upward trend ka agaz signal kar sakta hai. Price behaviour weekly pivot level tak move kar sakti hai. Price possibly upward move kar sakti hai is hafte agar yeh weekly pivot level 1.2880 tak pohanchti hai aur 4-hour candle iske upar close hoti hai. Alternative scenario mein, agar price descending red channel line aur weekly pivot level se resistance face karti hai, toh yeh fall kar sakti hai aur triangle ko downward break karne ki koshish kar sakti hai, jo weekly support levels 1.2780 aur 1.2790 tak further decline ko indicate karti hai.
Aaj sideways price movement dekhi gayi hai jab week ka agaz do price channels ke andar hua: ek rising red channel jo pichle hafte ki upward movement ko represent karta hai aur ek bearish blue channel jo pichle do hafte ko represent karta hai. Price successfully blue channel ko upward break kiya, jo red channel ke andar upward movement ka potential suggest karta hai towards weekly resistance level 1.2950. Upside par, green line jo red channel ke upar extend karti hai aur monthly resistance level 1.2910 tak pohanchti hai, potential upward movement ko represent karti hai. Yeh scenario rely kiya ja sakta hai agar price red channel ko break karti hai aur ek din ke liye iske upar close hoti hai
Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karti hai aur upward move karti hai. Agar yeh scenario play out hota hai, toh main expect karunga ke price next resistance level 1.31424 tak move kare. Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karti hai, main further northward movement anticipate karunga, jo resistance level 1.32983 tak hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo next trading direction determine karne mein madad karega. Beshak, ek more distant northern target ko reach karne ki possibility bhi hai jo, mere analysis ke mutabiq, 1.37488 par located hai, magar yeh situation aur price ke news developments par reaction par depend karta hai. Alternative scenario jab price resistance level 1.29956 ke qareeb hoti hai, ek reversal candle formation aur downward price movement ka resumption involve karta hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh main expect karunga ke price support level 1.28938 ya support level 1.28604 tak return kare. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ko dhoondhta rahunga, upward price movement ke resumption ko expect karte hue. Ek more distant southern target ko reach karne ki possibility bhi hai jo, mere analysis ke mutabiq, 1.27399 par located hai. Magar, chahe designated plan implement hota hai, main ek reversal signal ka intezar karunga is support level ke qareeb aur price ko recover upward hota dekhunga. In short, aaj ke liye, main consider karta hoon ke price nearest resistance level ko test karne ke liye move karegi, aur agar buyers apne aap ko iske upar establish karne mein kamyab hote hain, toh main apne targets ko more distant northern objectives adjust karunga

### GBP/USD H-4 Analysis

Hello. 1998 mein Russia aur ab US ki situation mein kaafi farq hai. Russia mein debt bonds kharide ja rahe the aur stock market stagnate ho rahi thi, jabke US mein stock market crazily upar ja rahi hai. Shayad kuch similarities mil sakti hain 1930s ke daur se, lekin wo bhi minimal honge. Aur agar sab kuch Biden par blame kiya jayega, to yeh surprising nahi hai. Yahan sawal yeh hai ke woh kahan gaye hain aur race mein shamil na hone ki announcement social networks par kyun hui, face-to-face kyun nahi? US ki reaction se lagta hai ke kai logon ko lagta hai ke woh ab bhi zinda hain ya nahi.

#GBP/USD
Mujhe ab bhi lagta hai ke bearish flag jo kal bana tha, uski kami dekhne ko milegi aur aaj hum ek aur attempt dekh rahe hain usse bahar nikalne ki. Decline ka target 1.2840 ke level par hai, lekin is case mein EMA200 moving average bhi test hoga, jo 1.2805 tak badh chuka hai. Agar EMA20 jo 1.2935 tak gira hai, usse upar growth hoti hai to sales cancel ho sakti hain, lekin mujhe maximum renewal ka expectation nahi hai. Shayad main galat hoon, lekin yeh meri opinion hai. Pound overbought hai aur aise rate ke liye koi economic justification nahi hai.

### GBP/USD H-1 Analysis

Mujhe GBP/USD ke short-term activity ki interest thi, hourly timeframe par price movement ka analysis. Yahan GBP/USD downward correction mein hai. Fibonacci retracement banaya hai iski depth assess karne ke liye. Price ne 23.6% support level ko break kiya hai aur consolidation mein hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke girne ke huge chances hain; distance lagbhag 40 points hai. Yeh potential target ke presence ke wajah se determine hota hai - 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level par. Consolidation ek pharma hai, jahan se price sharply exit karti hai. Growth ke chances kam hain, kyunki GBP/USD ne pehle support ko break kiya hai, aur upar limit hai. Short mein, main pair ke girne ka prediction kar raha hoon, consolidation se exit karna aur nearest support level 38.2% tak pahunchna. Wahan decline ki wave rukegi aur pair wapas roll back karega.

Pichle hafte, GBP/USD currency pair thoda upar gaya, 1.3043 ka peak banaane ke baad wapas gir gaya. Is hafte, initial bias neutral hai, jo indicate karta hai ke pair consolidation phase mein jaane wala hai. Is consolidation phase ke dauran, downside ko 1.2859 level se limit kiya jaana chahiye, jo ab resistance se support mein tabdeel ho chuka hai. Yeh support level hold hone ki ummeed hai aur ek aur upward rally ko prompt kar sakta hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.3043 level ko todti hai, to yeh signal karega ke rise jo 1.2298 se shuru hua tha, wo continue ho raha hai. Yeh breakout 1.2298 se 1.2859 tak ke move ka 100% projection target karega, jo 1.2612 se 1.3173 par projected hai. Yeh target 1.3141 ke key medium-term resistance level se thoda upar hai. Is projection ko achieve karne se robust bullish trend suggest hoga, kyunki 1.3141 resistance ko surpass karne se further gains ka raasta khul sakta hai.

Lekin, agar GBP/USD 1.2859 support level ke neeche firmly break kar leti hai, to bias downside ki taraf shift ho jayega. Aisa move deeper decline ko indicate karega, kyunki is support ka break bullish outlook ko undermine karega aur increased selling pressure ko suggest karega. Is scenario se GBP/USD ki near-term direction ko reassess karna zaroori ho sakta hai, with potential targets lower set honge based on prevailing market dynamics.

GBP/USD pair ki movement par kai factors ka asar hai, including economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments. Pichli hafte ki rise 1.3043 tak shayad positive economic data ya market sentiment shift ke wajah se thi jo British pound ko favor karta tha. Iske contrarily, subsequent retreat profit-taking ya UK ya global economy ke emerging concerns ko reflect kar sakti hai.

Consolidation phases ke dauran, traders aksar key levels of support aur resistance ko watch karte hain taake potential breakout ya breakdown points ka gauge kiya ja sake. 1.2859 level, jo ab support ka role play kar raha hai, is context mein crucial hai. Iska consolidation ke dauran hold hona pair ke next move ka key indicator hoga. Is level ke upar firmly hold karne se bullish case support milega, jabke neeche break karne se bearish shift suggest hoga.

Technical indicators jaise moving averages, RSI, aur MACD bhi GBP/USD pair ki potential direction ke insights provide kar sakte hain. Traders in tools ka use karte hain overbought ya oversold conditions, divergence patterns, aur momentum shifts identify karne ke liye. Current scenario mein, yeh dekhna important hai ke in indicators ka alignment price action ke around 1.2859 aur 1.3043 levels ke saath kaisa hai.

GBP/USD filhal neutral phase mein hai, jahan consolidation ka bias hai. Key levels jo dekhne hain wo hain 1.2859 downside par aur 1.3043 upside par. Agar 1.3043 ke upar break hota hai to bullish trend resume hoga, target 1.3173, jabke 1.2859 ke neeche firmly break karne se bias downside ki taraf shift hoga, indicating deeper decline. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur technical aur fundamental factors ko analysis mein consider karna chahiye.

Pichle hafte, GBP/USD currency pair thoda upar gaya, 1.3043 ka peak banaane ke baad wapas gir gaya. Is hafte, initial bias neutral hai, jo indicate karta hai ke pair consolidation phase mein jaane wala hai. Is consolidation phase ke dauran, downside ko 1.2859 level se limit kiya jaana chahiye, jo ab resistance se support mein tabdeel ho chuka hai. Yeh support level hold hone ki ummeed hai aur ek aur upward rally ko prompt kar sakta hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.3043 level ko todti hai, to yeh signal karega ke rise jo 1.2298 se shuru hua tha, wo continue ho raha hai. Yeh breakout 1.2298 se 1.2859 tak ke move ka 100% projection target karega, jo 1.2612 se 1.3173 par projected hai. Yeh target 1.3141 ke key medium-term resistance level se thoda upar hai. Is projection ko achieve karne se robust bullish trend suggest hoga, kyunki 1.3141 resistance ko surpass karne se further gains ka raasta khul sakta hai.

Lekin, agar GBP/USD 1.2859 support level ke neeche firmly break kar leti hai, to bias downside ki taraf shift ho jayega. Aisa move deeper decline ko indicate karega, kyunki is support ka break bullish outlook ko undermine karega aur increased selling pressure ko suggest karega. Is scenario se GBP/USD ki near-term direction ko reassess karna zaroori ho sakta hai, with potential targets lower set honge based on prevailing market dynamics.

GBP/USD pair ki movement par kai factors ka asar hai, including economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments. Pichli hafte ki rise 1.3043 tak shayad positive economic data ya market sentiment shift ke wajah se thi jo British pound ko favor karta tha. Iske contrarily, subsequent retreat profit-taking ya UK ya global economy ke emerging concerns ko reflect kar sakti hai.

Consolidation phases ke dauran, traders aksar key levels of support aur resistance ko watch karte hain taake potential breakout ya breakdown points ka gauge kiya ja sake. 1.2859 level, jo ab support ka role play kar raha hai, is context mein crucial hai. Iska consolidation ke dauran hold hona pair ke next move ka key indicator hoga. Is level ke upar firmly hold karne se bullish case support milega, jabke neeche break karne se bearish shift suggest hoga.

Technical indicators jaise moving averages, RSI, aur MACD bhi GBP/USD pair ki potential direction ke insights provide kar sakte hain. Traders in tools ka use karte hain overbought ya oversold conditions, divergence patterns, aur momentum shifts identify karne ke liye. Current scenario mein, yeh dekhna important hai ke in indicators ka alignment price action ke around 1.2859 aur 1.3043 levels ke saath kaisa hai.

GBP/USD filhal neutral phase mein hai, jahan consolidation ka bias hai. Key levels jo dekhne hain wo hain 1.2859 downside par aur 1.3043 upside par. Agar 1.3043 ke upar break hota hai to bullish trend resume hoga, target 1.3173, jabke 1.2859 ke neeche firmly break karne se bias downside ki taraf shift hoga, indicating deeper decline. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur technical aur fundamental factors ko analysis mein consider karna chahiye.

Daily time frame par, price trend 1.2715 ke crucial support range tak pohnch gaya hai, jo potential bearish movement ke liye ek key determinant hai. Mere kuch trading scenarios hain jo main neeche describe karunga. US dollar ne higher inflation ke wajah se GBP par pressure dala hai. Lekin, GBP/USD ne Friday ko rebound kiya aur 1.2860 ke aas-paas close hua.

Main bearish hun aur ek scenario ko prioritize karunga jo turning signal formation aur price movement ke southerly direction mein wapas hone ko involve karta hai. Agar sab kuch plan ke mutabiq chala, to mujhe umeed hai ke price local support level 1.2658 tak wapas aayegi. Agar price is support level ke neeche girti hai, to further southward movement ki ummeed hai. Neeche ki taraf movement ke liye agla reference point support level 1.2690 hoga. Main is support level ke paas ek trading setup form karne ki soch raha hoon jo future trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Agar pair Monday ko ek bara bullish candle produce karta hai, to yeh uptrend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai.

Technical SMA abhi bhi GBP/USD price ke upar hai, lekin cost aane wale dinon mein 200 SMA line aur 50 SMA line ko resistance area 1.2625 se 1.2740 tak reflect aur test karega. Stochastic indicator bearish movement suggest karta hai, jahan average oversold sector mein 50 regions ke neeche hai, jo further decreases ke potential ko indicate karta hai.

Summary mein, key levels jo dekhne hain wo hain support at 1.2645 aur resistance around 1.2815 daily time frame par. Indicators strongly suggest karte hain ke agar Monday ko ek bullish candle form hoti hai, to uptrend ka continuation ho sakta hai aur yeh clear trading signal provide karega. Lekin agar price support levels ke neeche girti hai, to further bearish movement ho sakta hai.

Is haftay ke shuruat main, pound sterling ne $1.292 se upar rebound kiya, jabke pichle hafte ek saal ke sab se ucha level $1.30 se zyada tha. Yeh rebound tab aaya jab US dollar kamzor hua, jo ke US President Joe Biden ke 2024 elections se withdraw hone ka faisla kiya tha. Pichle hafte ke economic calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq, Britain ki retail sales June ke mahine mein 1.2% gir gayi, jabke ummed thi ke 0.4% girengi. Yeh kami August mein interest rate cut ke imkaan ko barhati hai.

Retail sales ki yeh kami wage growth ki dheemai aur inflation ke Bank of England ke 2% target ko reach karne ke baad hui hai. Ab investors aane wale PMIs ki taraf dekh rahe hain jo July mein manufacturing aur services mein tez expansion ko dikhane ki umeed hai. CBI ka factory orders gauge bhi ek saal ka high hit karne ki ummed hai.

United States mein bhi Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko September mein cut karne ke expectations barh rahi hain. Pichle hafte UK ki retail sales June ke liye 1.2% gir gayi, jo ke 0.4% ki decline se zyada thi, aur yeh August mein rate cut ke chances ko barhata hai. Yeh retail sales ki kami wage growth ke dheema hone aur inflation ke Bank of England ke 2% target ko reach karne ke baad hui hai. Investors ab PMIs ki taraf dekh rahe hain jo manufacturing aur services mein July ke liye tez expansion ko dikhane ki umeed hai. CBI factory orders gauge bhi ek saal ka high hit karne ki ummed hai.

United States mein bhi Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko September mein cut karne ki umeed barh rahi hai.

Daily chart ke mutabiq aur recent trading ke hisaab se, GBP/USD ka price neutral position mein hai. Psychological resistance 1.3000 ko bulls ke control ke liye bohot important mana jata hai. Dusri taraf, 1.2820 ka support level recent upward rebound ke raaste ko threat kar raha hai. Sterling dollar ka price global central banks ke policy directions aur investor sentiment pe depend karega. Main ab bhi GBP/USD ko har rising level se bechna prefer karta hoon.

Gbp/usd کرنسی جوڑی کی قیمتوں کی حالیہ تحلیل ظاہر کرتی ہے کہ قیمتوں میں 30 سے زیادہ پوائنٹس کا اضافہ ہوا، جو کہ گزشتہ جمعرات کو ایک مچھلی پیٹرن میں تبدیل ہو گیا۔ امریکی ڈالر کی مضبوطی نے gbp/usd جوڑی پر نیچے کی طرف دباؤ ڈالا ہے۔ امریکی gdp میں 2% اضافے کی توقع ڈالر کی طاقت کو مضبوط کر رہی ہے، جو کہ برطانیہ، یورپی یونین، آسٹریلیا، نیوزی لینڈ اور دیگر ترقی یافتہ معیشتوں کے نمو سے زیادہ ہے۔ یہ بنیادی اور تکنیکی دونوں نقطہ نظر سے gbp/usd کی کمی کی طرف اشارہ کرتا ہے۔ پاؤنڈ-ڈالر جوڑی کے 4-گھنٹے چارٹ پر یہ ظاہر ہوتا ہے کہ یہ زیادہ خریداری کی حالت میں ہے اور 1.28534 کے ارد گرد تجارت کر رہی ہے۔ مہنگائی کے اعداد و شمار کی رہائی کے بعد، نچلی حد کی طرف واپسی کی پیشگوئی کی گئی تھی، اور 0.1% کی معمولی کمی کی توقع تھی۔ تاہم، یہ معمولی تبدیلی ساکتگی سے بچنے کی علامت نہیں ہے، اور فیڈرل ریزرو کے خطاب کے دوران جوڑی کے مزید گرنے کی پیشگوئی کی گئی تھی۔ بینک آف انگلینڈ کے فیصلے کے بعد، جوڑی کا نیچے جانا جاری رہا، اور اس کی پچھلی ترقی کی وجوہات غیر واضح ہیں۔ انتخابات کے اثرات کی قیاس آرائی کی گئی، لیکن یہ نوٹ کیا گیا کہ حکومت کے انتخابات صرف اس وقت بڑی اثر ڈالتی ہیں جب پالیسی میں اہم تبدیلیاں، جیسے کہ ٹیکس میں تبدیلی یا حکومت کی تبدیلیاں، ہوتی ہیں۔

موجودہ پاؤنڈ کی قیمت غیر مناسب نظر آتی ہے، خاص طور پر امریکی مہنگائی کی ساکتگی اور ڈالر میں مزید کمی کی عدم موجودگی کے تناظر میں۔ مارکیٹ کی پیشگوئی کے مطابق پاؤنڈ کے نچلے تجارتی حدود میں واپس جانے کا امکان ہے، جو اقتصادی نظریے کے مطابق ہے۔ یہ ظاہر کرتا ہے کہ حالیہ gbp/usd کی حرکات عارضی اثرات کی وجہ سے ہیں، نہ کہ دیرپا اقتصادی تبدیلیوں کی بنا پر۔ جبکہ ڈالر کی متوقع gdp نمو اس کی مضبوطی کو تقویت دیتی ہے، پاؤنڈ کی زیادہ قیمت اور غیر یقینی اضافہ کم سطح پر واپس جانے کے امکان کی طرف اشارہ کرتی ہے۔ سرمایہ کاروں کو مارکیٹ کی ان تبدیلیوں کو احتیاط سے جانچنا اور مرکزی بینک کی معلومات کے مطابق اپنے سرمایہ کاری کو دانشمندی سے منظم کرنا چاہیے۔

### GBP/USD Forum Analysis and Forecast

**M15 Timeframe**

Salam! M15 chart ke mutabiq, linear regression channel ooncha jhuka hua hai jo buyers ke growth ke efforts ko dikhata hai aur yeh level 1.29417 tak pohnchnay ki koshish kar raha hai. Abhi kharidari ke liye mauka hai, lekin behtar yeh hai ke H1 ka linear regression channel bhi ooncha hona shuru ho jaye. Main lower border of the channel 1.29154 se kharidari ko dekh raha hoon, lekin sellers ko bhi monitor karna hoga jo is level ke neeche consolidate kar sakte hain. Agar aisa hota hai, to main kharidari band kar dunga kyunki H1 trend ke saath sales continue karne ke chances hain. Agar bulls 1.29398 ke upar consolidate kar sakte hain, to main kharidari ko jari rakhoonga. Market ka mood buyers ke favor mein badal jayega.

**H1 Hour Timeframe**

Charts aur data ko samajhte hue, main dekh raha hoon ke market filhal strong bearish trend mein hai. Is trend se faida uthane ke liye, mujhe woh moment dhoondhna hoga jab price channel ke upper border 1.29398 tak pohnchti hai aur phir neeche jana shuru karti hai. Jaise hi main aisa moment notice karoonga, main asset ko 1.28576 tak bechnay ke liye opportunity dekhunga. Agar price target level ko break kar deti hai, to yeh strong signal hoga ke sales continue hongi. Lekin yeh bhi yaad rakhein ke iske baad upar ki taraf correction ho sakti hai, isliye market ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai aur bulls ke possible reaction ke liye tayyar rehna hoga. Agar 1.29398 level bulls ke dwara break hota hai, to yeh bullish interest ki indication ho sakti hai jo market situation ko reassess karne ki zaroorat degi aur sales ko cancel karna par sakta hai. Isliye market ke changes ko hamesha monitor karte rahna chahiye aur agar zaroorat ho to plan ko badalne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.