𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Filhal, market mein correction ka risk hai kyunki quotes ne local ascending channel ke lower boundary 1.2805 ko tod diya hai aur ab key horizontal area 1.2715 ke qareeb aa gaye hain. Agar yeh area breach ho jata hai aur iske neeche stabilization dekhne ko milti hai, to yeh signal hoga ke downward movement resume hogi aur price 1.2580 tak gir sakti hai pehle agle local correction se pehle. Maujooda situation sellers ke favor mein hai, khas taur par Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ke aane wale speech ki anticipation ki wajah se, jahan record-high inflation ke strategies par discussion honay ki ummeed hai.

GBP/USD pair filhal strong bearish trend mein hai, isliye short-term mein GBP/USD bechna faida mand ho sakta hai. US dollar ka strong pressure aage aur girawat ka indication de raha hai. Pound neutral trade kar raha hai aur potential increase ke liye tayyar hai. H4 stochastic yeh dikhata hai ke pair upar ja sakti hai aur aaj resistance 1.2790 tak pohnch sakti hai. Pichle hafte mein risk appetite ke kam hone ki wajah se girawat dekhi gayi, lekin pound ab bhi resilient hai. Pound euro ke muqablay mein strength dikhata hai aur EUR/USD pair ke saath aaj dollar ke muqablay mein bhi rise dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Filhal, pound ek larger time frame par pullback phase mein hai, jo global range ke bottom edge ke peeche hai. Yeh pullback medium-term rise ka potential suggest karta hai agar bullish momentum develop hota hai.

Summary mein, 1.2790 ka key level closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai aur stabilization ke sath niche rehta hai, to yeh downtrend ke continuation ko confirm karega aur 1.2580 tak girawat ho sakti hai. MACD aur Bollinger Bands strong bearish trend ko indicate kar rahe hain, jo short-term mein GBP/USD bechne ka favor karte hain. Lekin, short-term frames par bullish formations emerging hain, jo medium-term reversal aur agar bullish sentiment barqarar rahti hai to resistance 1.2700 tak rise ka suggestion dete hain.

GBP/USD ne pichle do consecutive trading sessions mein apni upward trajectory ko barqarar rakha hai, aur Thursday ke Asian trading hours ke dauran 1.2980 ke qareeb majboot position banaye rakha. Daily chart ka tafseeli jaiza lene par yeh nazar aata hai ke currency pair filhal ek ascending channel ke boundaries mein upward trend follow kar raha hai, jo price movements mein prevailing bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ek ahem technical indicator hai, ab 60 tak barh gaya hai. Yeh tab hua jab Tuesday ke late hours mein RSI ne 50 ki taraf thodi decline dekhi thi, jo ke ongoing bullish bias ko reinforce karta hai. GBP/USD ka recent climb traders aur analysts ke liye ek sustained upward momentum ka indication hai jo closely monitor kiya ja raha hai.

Forex trading ke realm mein, GBP/USD pair ne apni strength ko dikhaya hai, aur Thursday ke Asian trading hours ke dauran 1.2980 ke qareeb apni upward trajectory ko barqarar rakha hai. Daily chart ko dekhte hue, yeh clear hai ke currency pair ek ascending channel ke andar upward path trace kar raha hai, jo ke price action mein prevailing bullish sentiment ko highlight karta hai. RSI, jo ek important technical gauge hai, ab notable increase ke sath 60 par pahuncha hai. Yeh increase Tuesday ke late hours mein 50 ke qareeb girawat ke baad dekha gaya hai, jo pair ke trading sentiment mein ongoing bullish inclination ko reinforce karta hai. GBP/USD ka recent upward trend pichle kuch sessions mein sustained upward momentum ko signal karta hai jo market participants aur analysts ke nazar mein hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ne Tuesday ko choppy trading ka samna kiya, aur limited range ke andar oscillate kiya. Halankeh clear directional bias nahi tha, fundamental factors aur technical indicators dono bulls ke haq mein lag rahe hain. Pichle din 1.2900 ke aas-paas se chhoti si recovery ke baad, GBP/USD pair Tuesday ke Asian session ke dauran narrow trading band mein phansa raha. Spot prices 1.2930 ke aas-paas ghoomti rahi, din bhar minimal movement ke saath. US Dollar (USD) pair ke price action par primary influence bana raha. Investors ne already September meeting ke liye Federal Reserve (Fed) se potential rate cut ko price in kar diya hai, jiski wajah se US Treasury yields subdued rah gayi hain. Isse USD par kuch selling pressure bana, jo GBP/USD pair ke liye ek major driver raha hai. Saath hi, Bank of England (BoE) ke August mein interest rate cut ke kam hone ke chances ne bhi pair ko kuch support diya hai.

Technical standpoint se, saal ki high (around 1.2895) ke upar recent break ne bullish traders ko nayi confidence di hai. RSI, jo daily chart par overbought territory se wapas aakarshak range mein hai, bullish outlook ko reinforce karta hai aur yeh suggest karta hai ke GBP/USD pair short term mein upward trend pe ho sakta hai.

Immediate resistance zone 1.2960-1.2965 ke upar convincing break bullish setup ko solidify karega aur bulls ko 1.3000 ka psychological level wapas lene ki ijaazat dega. Further gains GBP/USD ko is saal ki highest level 1.3045 ke paas le ja sakti hai, jo pichle hafte achieve kiya gaya tha. Yeh momentum 1.3100 ke mark tak extend ho sakti hai aur July 2023 ke high 1.3140 ko bhi challenge kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, bears (jo price decline par bet karte hain) ko 1.2900 support level ke neeche sustained breakout aur confirmation dekhna hoga taake naye bearish positions initiate ki ja sakein. Yeh level ab ek major pivot point ke roop mein dekha ja raha hai. Is point ke neeche break karne par pair further decline dekh sakti hai, intermediate support near 1.2855 tak ja sakti hai, aur phir 1.2815-1.2820 zone aur eventually 1.2800 tak bhi pullback ho sakta hai.

Summary mein, GBP/USD pair potential upside move ke near hai, jo fundamental aur technical factors se supported hai. Lekin, bears ke paas bhi control lene ka chance hai agar woh price ko key support level 1.2900 ke neeche push kar sakein. Aane wale din crucial honge pair ki near-term direction determine karne mein.

GBP/USD Analysis

Abhi correction ke liye khatar hai kyunke quotes ne local ascending channel ki lower boundary 1.2805 ko tod diya hai aur key horizontal area 1.2715 ke nazdeek aa gaye hain. Agar is area ko break aur stabilize kiya jata hai, to downward movement dobara shuru ho sakti hai, aur 1.2580 tak girne ki possibility hai pehle ke local correction se pehle. Is waqt situation sellers ke favor mein hai, khaaskar Federal Reserve Chairman Powell ke aane wale speech ke anticipation ki wajah se, jahan wo record-high inflation ke tackling strategy par baat karenge.

GBP/USD ek majboot bearish trend mein hai, jo short term mein GBP/USD bechne ke liye favorable banata hai. Pair US dollar ke strong pressure ke under hai, jo aur decline ke potential ko indicate karta hai. Pound abhi neutral trading kar raha hai aur potential increase ke liye tayar hai. H4 stochastic suggest karta hai ke pair rise kar sakta hai, aur aaj resistance 1.2790 tak reach kar sakta hai. Pichle hafte ke risk appetite ke decline ke bawajood, pound mazboot hai. Euro ke muqablay mein pound strength show kar raha hai aur shaam ke waqt dollar ke against bhi rise kar sakta hai, EUR/USD pair ke sath. Pound currently larger time frame pe pullback phase mein hai, global range ke bottom edge ke peeche position mein hai. Yeh pullback medium-term rise ke potential ko suggest karta hai, agar bullish momentum continue karta hai to ek umeed ki kiran hai.

Summary mein, 1.2790 ka key area closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar is level ke neeche break aur stabilize kiya jata hai, to downtrend ka continuation confirm ho sakta hai jo 1.2580 tak le ja sakta hai. MACD aur Bollinger Bands ek strong bearish trend ko indicate karte hain, jo short-term selling ke favor mein hai. Lekin, chhoti time frames pe bullish formations emerging hain, jo medium-term reversal aur resistance 1.2700 tak rise ke potential ko suggest karti hain agar bullish sentiment barqarar rahe.

GBP/USD pichle 24 ghanton mein 1.2917 ke pivot point ke support ko todne mein nakam raha hai, aur hourly chart ke averages ko unload nahi kar paaya, jo pair ke growth ko continue karne ke liye zaroori tha. Jab tak pair 1.2917 ke neeche fix nahi hota aur 1.2840 ke support ki taraf decline nahi karta, tab tak hourly chart ke averages unload nahi honge. Growth hone ke bawajood averages unload kiye bina serious growth expect nahi ki ja sakti, isliye mai abhi bhi south ki taraf dekh raha hoon, lekin zyada nahi, kyunke pichle 24 ghanton mein averages zyada converge ho gaye hain aur shayad yeh 1.2840 ke pivot point tak na pohnche.

Hourly chart par zaroori hai ke decline 1.2917 ke support ke neeche continue ho, shayad zyada door na ho, lekin neeche jaake lagbhag 4 ghante ke liye rukna zaroori hai taake averages hourly chart par unload ho sakein. Phir, agar north ki taraf signal milta hai, to growth ko 1.3120 tak pura kiya ja sakta hai. Agar 1.2917 ke neeche consolidate nahi karte, to phir se growth ki koshish kar sakte hain towards 1.2965. Mujhe nahi lagta ki pair isse zyada upar ja sakta hai, isliye 1.2965 se main phir se 1.2840 ki taraf reversal ki umeed rakhunga, jo desired target hai, jahan se main 1.3120 tak growth expect karta hoon.

Agar 1.2840 ke support point ko todte hain, to maximum jahan tak pair gir sakti hai wo 1.2780 hoga, jo four-hour chart ka support hai. Mujhe nahi lagta ki yeh todna allow kiya jayega aur four-hour chart ko south ki taraf reversal se threat kar sakta hai, agar north ki taraf bahut young signal mile.

Four-hour chart par, jaise ke maine pehle likha, 1.2780 tak rollback allowed hai, lekin achha hoga agar 1.2840 ke support point tak pohnchne diya jaye. M15 par ek din bacha hai aur yeh overload ho jayega, iska signal Thursday ko ban gaya tha aur kal shaam tak growth towards 1.2965 ke sath consolidation chahiye taake yeh unload ho sake. Isliye, agar 1.2840 ek din mein pohncha ja sakta hai, to 1.2780 unlikely hai, isliye mai 1.2840 se growth ke reversal ka intezar kar raha hoon, jo M15 aur hourly dono ko break kar dega, aur yeh four-hour signal ko north ki taraf reversal se nuksan nahi pohchayega.

Forex Dynamics through GBP/USD

GBP/USD ke currency pair mein aakhri waqt mein notable fluctuations dekhi gayi hain, jo market activity aur external factors ka combined effect hai. Yahan recent price movements aur potential future trends ka detailed analysis hai.

Market Activity:

Meri observations ke mutabiq, kal market activity kaafi kam thi, jo shayad American traders ke heat ki wajah se break lene ki wajah se hui. Yeh pause shayad traders ki leisure seeking, yachts par jaane ki wajah se hua. Is kam trading activity ne GBP/USD pair mein volatility ko reduce kar diya.

Recent Trading Signals:

Do consecutive dinon se meri signals ne selling opportunities dikhayi. Maine in signals ko Thursday ko use kiya, lekin kal technical reasons ki wajah se inka use nahi kar paaya. Phir bhi, GBP/USD pair 1.2891 level tak pohnch gaya, jo ek potential upward trajectory ka signal hai.

Short-term Targets:

Aage dekhte hue, main anticipate karta hoon ke pair 1.2948 aur 1.3009 ki taraf move karega agle hafte. Yeh levels mere initial growth targets hain based on current market sentiment aur technical indicators.

Weekly Performance:

Hafte ka overall trend bears ke liye favorable raha GBP/USD pair ke context mein. Friday ke end aur thoda Monday ko significant seller activity dekhi gayi. Yeh activity shayad sterling ke brief correction ke political factors ke influence ki wajah se thi.



Technical Analysis:

• Support aur Resistance Levels: Filhal support level 1.2891 ke aas-paas hai, immediate resistance 1.2948 par hai aur further resistance 1.3009 par hai.
• Moving Averages: 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ko monitor karte rahen crossover signals ke liye. Agar 50-day MA 200-day MA ke upar cross kare (golden cross), to yeh bullish trend ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar 50-day MA 200-day MA ke neeche cross kare (death cross), to yeh bearish trend ka signal ho sakta hai.
• RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI ko 30-70 range mein rehne dena zaroori hai taake overbought ya oversold conditions se bacha ja sake. Agar RSI 50 se upar hai to yeh bullish momentum ko support karta hai, aur agar 50 se neeche hai to bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Conclusion:

GBP/USD pair ke recent price movements reduced market activity aur significant seller influence ko reflect karte hain. Short-term targets 1.2948 aur 1.3009 par set hain, traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Technical indicators, jaise moving averages aur RSI, market trends ko confirm karne aur informed trading decisions lene mein crucial honge. Jaise hamesha, political developments aur market conditions se updated rehna forex market ko effectively navigate karne ke liye zaroori hai.

GBP/USD H-4 TIME FRAME CHART

H4 period chart par GBP/USD trading instrument ki wave structure upar ki taraf build ho rahi hai. MACD indicator abhi bhi upper buy zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke neeche hai. Pichle do hafton se is pair ki price aise upar ja rahi hai jaise koi jet engine ke neeche ho. MACD par jo divergences itni achi lag rahi thi, wo sab break ho chuki hain. Phir bhi, ab rollback ka probability barh gaya hai kyunki growth cycle puri tarah develop ho chuki hai. Aap teen waves ka structure dekh sakte hain, jahan second wave beech mein bohot chhoti hai, aur pehli aur teesri waves lagbhag barabar hain, jise do sticks kaha jata hai. Price aksar aise move karti hai, khaaskar pound ke liye.

CCI indicator upper overheating zone se niche aane ke liye tayaar hai aur is par bearish divergence dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Main 1.2932 ke horizontal support level tak girne ka prediction kar raha hoon, jahan se kuch upar ki taraf bounce ho sakta hai. Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ki ye level niche break hoga kyunki growth cycle puri tarah se work out ho chuki hai aur bina rollback ke aage growth mushkil hai. Agar 1.2932 ke level ke neeche break hota hai, to ise resistance ke roop mein use karke selling ki ja sakti hai. Uske baad, 1.2855 ke main support level tak girne ke high chances hain.

Mujhe further decline consider nahi lagti kyunki downward trend break ho chuki hai aur upward turn ho gaya hai. Daily period par aapko third wave upward dikhayi deti hai. Jaise hi aap daily chart switch karte hain, yeh visible hota hai. Isliye, main decline ki umeed kar raha hoon, lekin reversal ki nahi. Agar kisi ne 1.2855 ke level ke neeche selling mein stuck ho gaya, to agar price wapas un positions par aati hai to yeh ek miracle hoga. Yahan sirf long rollback aur continued growth hi dikhayi deti hai.

Aaj ki news ke mutabiq: 15-30 Moscow time par Core US Retail Sales Index, US Export Price Index, US Import Price Index, US Retail Sales Control, aur US Retail Sales Volume aayenge. Abhi hum kahin nahi ja rahe hain. Ye news ka intezaar hai.

RSI indicator market price ke saath contrast karta hai, jo aane wale dino mein trend reversal aur price ke barhne ka potential suggest karta hai. 50-day simple moving average (SMA) abhi high hai, jo 1.2650 resistance level ke qareeb hai. Yeh nazdeeki resistance ka matlab hai ke market price is resistance level aur SMA tak pahunch sakti hai. Chart mein 200-day SMA (green), 150-day SMA (blue), aur 50-day SMA (red) ka istemal kiya gaya hai. Filhal, price support area mein hai. Tareekh mein, market price 1.2680 support area tak pahunchnay se pehle barh chuki hai. Price phir se is support par hai, aur agar yeh hold hota hai, to yeh 1.2768 resistance tak barh sakta hai. Daily chart dikhata hai ke market movement line ko respect karti hai, aur price trend line ko pahunchnay ke baad girti hai. Agar price is support area ko break nahi karti, to yeh trend line ko dobara touch karke bounce back kar sakti hai.

Agar price support levels ko break karti hai aur confirmation milti hai, to selling ka consider karein, aur lower support levels ko target karein. Risk management techniques jaise stop-loss orders ka istemal karke apne positions ko unexpected market movements se protect karein. Agar price key resistance levels, jaise 1.2660, ke upar sustain move karti hai, to yeh ek significant trend reversal aur naye bullish phase ki shuruat ka indication ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar price considerable resistance levels ke neeche rehti hai aur downtrend line ko respect karti hai, to yeh ongoing bearish trend ko confirm karta hai.

Traders ko technical patterns jaise double bottoms ya head and shoulders par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye, jo potential reversals ko signal kar sakte hain. Volume analysis bhi trend ki strength ya weakness ka additional confirmation provide kar sakta hai. Aakhri mein, jabke GBP/USD pair downtrend mein hai, support-resistance levels, moving averages, aur technical indicators ka careful analysis traders ko potential trading opportunities identify karne mein madad kar sakta hai. Technical analysis ko fundamental insights aur risk management strategies ke saath combine karke trading success ko enhance kiya ja sakta hai is volatile currency pair mein.

GBP/USD currency pair ne Friday ko kuch zyada behtari nahi dekhi, sirf 0.13% izafa hua. Ye dheema perform karna yeh darshata hai ke Bank of England agle hafte interest rates kam kar sakti hai. Pound pichle do hafton se momentum khota ja raha hai, jab ke ye pichle hafte 1.3000 se upar gaya tha. Market participants kehti hain ke Bank of England Thursday ko 25 basis points ka interest rate cut kar sakti hai, jo March 2020 ke baad pehli baar hoga. Is ke muqabil, Federal Reserve ke is mahine interest rates ko behtar rakhne ki umeed hai. Jab ke U.S. inflation data June mein thoda barh gaya, investors aane wale mahine mein interest rate cuts ki umeed mein hain, khaaskar September mein. Haalanki recent inflationary pressures hain, market sentiment risk-on hai, jo interest rate reductions ki umeed par base hai. Interest rate futures kehte hain ke September mein 25 basis points ka cut hone ke chances zyada hain, jab ke 50 basis points ka cut honay ke chances kam hain.

Technical tor par, GBP/USD pair ne recent rally ke baad overbought conditions ka izhaar kiya hai. Support levels 1.2960 aur 1.2900 dekhne ki zaroorat hai. In levels ke neeche girne par 1.2850 ke resistance area ka retest ho sakta hai. Agar 20 aur 50-day moving averages aur 2021 ke downtrend line 1.2750 ke aas paas majbooti barqarar rahti hai to uptrend ka silsila jaari rah sakta hai. General tor par, GBP/USD positive se neutral trend mein hai, lekin short-term consolidation ki umeed hai recent price gains aur upcoming interest rate decisions ki wajah se. Traders ko 20 aur 40-day SMA divergence ko dhyan se dekhna chahiye taake 1.2899 ke aas paas agla faisla liya ja sake.

## Forex Dynamics through GBP/USD

GBP/USD currency pair ne recently kafi fluctuations dekhi hain, jo market activity aur external factors ka mix hai. Yahan recent price movements aur potential future trends ka detailed analysis diya gaya hai.

### Recent Price Movements

#### Uptrend to Recent Highs
- **Yearly High:** Is hafte ke shuru mein, GBP/USD pair ne apni yearly highest level 1.3044 tak pahuncha. Yeh rally strong buying momentum ke wajah se thi, jo British pound ke liye bullish sentiment ko reflect karta hai.
- **Profit-Taking:** Is peak ke baad, pair ne downward correction dekha, jo traders ke profit-taking ke wajah se hua jo rally se faida utha rahe the.

#### Downward Correction
- **Correction Phase:** Pair downward correct ho raha hai, jo Bank of England (BoE) ke future interest rate hikes ke bare mein kam market expectations ke wajah se hai. Market participants ab BoE ki monetary policy trajectory par apna stance dobara assess kar rahe hain.
- **Support Levels:** Price ne 1.2900 ke aas-paas support paaya hai, jo pehle bhi ek strong support zone ke roop mein kaam kar chuka hai.

### Technical Analysis

#### Double Top Pattern
- **Formation:** 4-hour chart par ek double top pattern ban gaya hai, jisme do peaks hain yearly high 1.3044 par, jo ek trough se separated hain.
- **Bearish Reversal Signal:** Yeh pattern ek strong bearish reversal signal hai, jo indicate karta hai ke recent uptrend apna course complete kar chuka hai.

#### Key Indicators
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** RSI overbought levels se gir gaya hai, jo bullish momentum ki kami ko suggest karta hai. Yeh ab 40 ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jo bearish bias ko indicate karta hai lekin oversold condition nahi hai.
- **Moving Averages:** Pair ne short-term moving averages jaise 20-day MA ke neeche dip kiya hai, jabke long-term MAs jaise 50-day aur 200-day ke upar hai, jo mixed signals ko indicate karta hai.

### Fundamental Factors

#### Bank of England Policies
- **Interest Rate Expectations:** BoE ke future rate hikes ke bare mein kam market expectations ne bullish sentiment ko dampen kiya hai. Upcoming UK economic data in expectations ko shape karne mein crucial hogi.
- **Economic Data:** GDP growth, inflation, aur employment figures jaise key data points pair ke direction ko significantly influence karenge.

#### US Economic Indicators
- **Federal Reserve Policies:** Federal Reserve ka interest rates ke bare mein stance ek critical factor hai. Agar dovish comments ya rate cuts ke indications aaye, to USD kamzor ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko support karega.
- **US Data Releases:** Non-farm payrolls, inflation data, aur GDP figures market sentiment ko USD ke liye impact karenge.

### Future Trends and Trading Strategy

#### Bearish Scenario
- **Entry Point:** Traders ko short positions enter karni chahiye agar price double top pattern ke trough ke neeche break hoti hai, jo bearish reversal ko confirm karega.
- **Target Levels:** Initial profit targets 1.2800 aur 1.2700 jaise support levels par set kiye ja sakte hain.
- **Stop-Loss Orders:** Risk manage karne ke liye stop-loss orders double top pattern ke second peak ke upar place karein.

#### Monitoring Key Levels
- **Support and Resistance:** Key support levels jo dekhne hain wo hain 1.2900 aur 1.2800, jabke resistance levels 1.3044 aur 1.3100 ke aas-paas hain.
- **Fundamental Events:** UK aur US economic data releases par nazar rakhein, kyunki yeh additional context aur price movements ke potential catalysts provide karenge.

### Conclusion

GBP/USD currency pair ne significant fluctuations dekhi hain, aur recent downward corrections bearish reversal ka potential suggest karti hain. 4-hour chart par double top pattern ke formation is view ko support karta hai. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ke sath, fundamental economic indicators ko monitor karna chahiye taake pair ke future trends ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake. Proper risk management, including stop-loss orders, ek successful trading strategy ko execute karne mein zaroori hai.

### GBP/USD H-1

Is waqt GBP/USD pair 1.29309 par flat trade kar raha hai, chart ke upper half mein. Instaforex indicator jo forum par hai, yeh dikhata hai ke bulls aur bears ki proportion pehle part mein barabar hai, jahan bulls ka percentage 50.19% hai. Dusre part mein, indicator short-term upward trend dikha raha hai. Aaj is pair se kaunse surprises mil sakte hain? UK aur US se kisi bhi important aur interesting news ki umeed nahi hai: secondary housing market ki sales. Is liye, pehle technical analysis aur phir fundamental analysis karte hain. Seedhi si baat, kaha aur kaise? Mere khayal se, initially pair south ki taraf 1.2875 level tak adjust karega aur phir north ki taraf 1.3060 level tak barhega. Sabko hunting mein achi luck mile!

### GBP/USD H-4

Mujhe lagta hai aaj ek buy signal bana hai - downtrend break ho gaya hai aur price trendline ke upar merge ho rahi hai. Is wajah se maine kuch GBP/USD khareeda hai. Ab humein potential growth ke bare mein faisla karna hai. Yahan sab kuch itna clear nahi hai. Four-hour chart par, aap dekh sakte hain ke price channel ke upper border se door ja rahi hai. Channel mein wapas aane ke baad, prices south ki taraf adjust hui hain. Price buy zone 1.2895-1.2878 ko test kar rahi hai. Jab reversal pattern form hoga, to mujhe ummeed hai ke asset barhega. Period ke moving averages ab green hain, jo buyers ke sellers par priority dikhata hai. Yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke price 1.3016 ke upper limit tak barhegi. Main maximum value ko 1.3042 se 1.3060 tak update karne ki ijazat deta hoon.

GBP/USD H-4 Analysis

GBP/USD ne Friday ko girawat shuru ki thi, jo ke 1.2860 ke support ki taraf thi. Lekin, aaj tak is ne apna target pura nahi kiya aur phir se growth ki taraf mod raha hai. Correction mushkil lag rahi hai, aur ye mumkin hai ke expected support tak na pohnch paayein aur pehle hi reversal shuru ho jaye. Friday ko 1.2860 ke qareeb aaya tha, magar usay tod nahi paya. Monday ko bhi downward impulse ko continue karne ki koshish ka koi faida nahi hua aur ab phir se reversal ka attempt ho raha hai, shayad 1.2970 tak.

Aaj GBP/USD resistance 1.2970 ki taraf phir se pull back kar raha hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke ye level din ke dauran tak pohnch sakta hai. Lekin, doosri taraf, mujhe lagta hai ke south ki taraf correction abhi mukammal nahi hui hai aur pair ab bhi 1.2860 ke support tak pohnchne ki koshish karega, jahan se pichle hafte growth ka reversal expect kiya gaya tha. Jab tak 1.2970 ka resistance nahi todte, pair downward impulse ko continue kar sakti hai aur 1.2860 tak pohnch sakti hai, jahan se growth ka reversal 1.2970 ki taraf expect kiya ja sakta hai aur phir 1.3065 tak ke growth ka bhi mumkin hai.

Agar aaj 1.2970 ka resistance tod dete hain, to main ye bhi nahi kehta ke 1.3065 tak growth nahi ho sakti, aane wale dinon mein. Lekin, wahan se ek reversal aur phir 1.2860 tak girawat hone ki bhi sambhavana hai, kyunki agar 1.300 ko break karne ke baad wapas nahi jana hai to 1.2860 ko immediately work out karna behtar hoga aur phir 1.300 ke upar bina wapas aaye growth ka plan banana chahiye, sab se qareeb correction 1.3150 se expect kiya ja sakta hai.

GBPUSD currency pair mein wave structure upar ki taraf ban rahi hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone aur apni signal line ke upar badh raha hai. Pichle do hafton se is pair ki price upar ki taraf jaise ek jet engine lagane se tezi se upar ja rahi hai. MACD par sabhi divergences jo bohot khoobsurat lag rahi thi, woh break ho chuki hain. Lekin phir bhi, rollback ki probability ab barh gayi hai kyunki poora growth cycle work out ho chuka hai.
Aap ek three-wave structure dekh sakte hain, jahan second wave ek chhoti si short wave hai jo middle mein hai. Aur pehli aur teesri waves, lagbhag ek length ke hain, jise do sticks kaha jata hai. Pound ke liye yeh price movement aam baat hai. CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche jane ke liye tayar hai aur is par ek bearish divergence bhi dikh rahi hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke price horizontal support level 1.2932 tak neeche jaayegi, jahan se shayad thoda rebound upar ki taraf ho sakta hai. Lekin phir main yeh ummeed karta hoon ke yeh level neeche ki taraf break hoga, kyunki poora growth cycle work out ho chuka hai aur bina rollback ke aur aage badhne ki umeed kam hai. Agar level 1.2932 ke neeche break hota hai, toh ise selling ke liye use kiya ja sakta hai agar price neeche se resistance ke taur par approach karti hai. Aur uske baad, high probability hai ke price main support level 1.2855 ke area tak decline karegi.

Main further decline ko nahi consider karta, kyunki downward trend finally break ho gaya hai aur upward mein badal gaya hai. Higher daily period par, ek third wave upward dikhayi deti hai, jo immediately dikhayi deti hai jab aap daily chart par switch karte hain. Isliye, main decline expect karta hoon, lekin aisa reversal nahi, agar koi sales mein atka hua hai 1.2855 ke level se neeche, toh yeh ek miracle hoga agar price wapas in positions par aaye. Yahan sirf rollback aur continued growth hi visible hai.

H4 Trading Chart on GBP/USD

Kal ka pehla trading din kuch slow raha, isliye chaliye H4 chart ko phir se dekhte hain - GBP/USD currency pair ke liye. Is period main lagbhag do aur aadha haftay tak growth dekhi gayi aur phir pichle hafte ke beech mein ek downward correction shuru ho gaya. Maine socha tha ke shayad hum pehle hi is hafte ke shuruat mein niche jayenge, kyunki teen waves ka growth cycle complete ho gaya tha jahan pehli wave teesi wave ke size ke barabar thi. Aur aisa lag raha tha ke hum shuruat mein niche ja rahe hain, lekin raste mein 1.2933 ka horizontal support level tha jo price ko niche nahi jaane diya. Ye rollback sirf chhathi wave ka part tha aur hum paanchvi wave ki taraf badhe. Paanchvi wave ke khatam hone par MACD indicator par bearish divergence bana - jo ke ek strong sell signal hai. Ye signal tab achi tarah kaam aaya jab humne paanchvi wave ke heights se niche aakarshan shuru kiya aur puri growth ko cover kar diya jo paanchvi wave mein thi. Main pehle hi maan raha tha ke pichli growth wave ke minimum se nikalne ka chance hai, aur aisa hi hua, jab support level 1.2933 tod diya gaya aur neeche successfully consolidate kar diya gaya.

Ab niche jane ki high probability hai jo support zone 1.2857 aur 1.2840 ke beech mein hai. Shayad girawat turant na shuru ho, shayad kal aur aaj ki accumulation zone ke liye price ko upar ki taraf bheja jaye. Yahan kharidna bekaar hai kyunki correction potential abhi tak work out nahi hui hai. Aap specified support zone ke qareeb kharidne ka soch sakte hain, lekin abhi bahut jaldi hai. Main sochta hoon ke short periods mein niche jane ki koshish karni chahiye jab corresponding formations banti hain. Aaj ke economic calendar mein sirf ek important news item hai - USA mein secondary housing market sales.

Good morning. Kal buyers ne din ko sambhal liya, halankeh din ke doran kuch turbulence bhi dekha gaya. Aam tor par, mujhe lagta hai ke ek aur growth wave ka development ho sakta hai jo ke current maximum 1.30436 ki taraf ho sakta hai. Lekin iske liye, pehle unhe 1.29417 ke level ko break karke uspe consolidate karna hoga, aur phir 1.30123 ke level ko paar karna padega. Sellers ko downward movement develop karne ke liye 1.29003 ke level ko break karke uspe consolidate karna padega, aur phir 1.27773 ke level tak rasta khulega. Aise girawat ke liye Dollar ke haq mein achhi news ki zarurat hai, aaj ke calendar mein koi news nahi hai, aur bina news ke volatility nahi aayegi.

### GBP/USD H4:

1 - Pound pair 4-hour chart par tapes ke central area mein hai, aur tapes inward tuck aur ek dusre ke taraf move kar rahi hain. Is situation mein price ke upar ya neeche jaane ke naye signal ke liye, hume upper ya lower band ke bahar active exit ka intezar karna hoga, aur phir evaluate karna hoga ke bands open hoti hain ya nahi. Agar hum fractals ki situation ko dekhen, naye fractals upar aur neeche bane hain. Agar nearest fractal upar break hota hai, to price July 18 ke fractal 1.30123 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar nearest fractal neeche break hota hai, to price July 19 ke fractal 1.29003 ki taraf ja sakti hai.

2 - AO indicator negative zone mein fade ho raha hai, agar hum dekhte hain ke zero ke through transition hota hai aur positive zone mein active increase dekha jata hai agle kuch dinon mein, to hume price ke rise ka stronger signal milega. Agar negative area mein nayi acceleration dekhi jati hai to ye Pound ke girne ka signal degi.