GBP/USD exchange rate 3-week highs ke qareeb trade kar raha hai major economic aur political developments ke foran baad, dono Atlantic ke sides par. Weekend ke baad, Britain mein nayi government hogi aur potential naya US Democratic presidential candidate bhi saamne aa sakta hai, jo political dynamics mein bara shift layega. British pound ke gains against US dollar GBP/USD 1.2817 resistance level tak pohnch chuke hain, jo ke pichle teen hafton ka sabse uncha level hai.
Forex currency market analysts ke mutabiq, risk upar ki taraf shift ho gaya hai, lekin ye note karna zaroori hai ke 1.2805 par ek strong resistance level hai, jo last month ke high 1.2860 ke foran pehle hai. Momentum ko qaim rakhne ke liye, British pound ko 1.2665 se neeche nahi girna chahiye.
British elections ke hawale se, bohot strong expectations hain ke Labour Party jeetegi. Koi bhi cheez jo isko bohot bara majority na mile, recent times mein sabse bara shock hoga. MUFG Bank ke mutabiq, "Labour ka economic stability aur fiscal rules ka respect prioritize karna fiscal policy ke risks aur sterling par confidence loss ke tensions ko reduce karta hai. Dusri taraf, investors ko Britain mein zyada political stability aur improved Brexit deal ki possibility pasand aaye gi jo pound ko support kar sakti hai."
Forex market trading ke mutabiq, US dollar ki strength global markets mein generally affect hui hai weaker-than-expected US data ke baad, jisme business confidence data in the services sector from ISM bhi shaamil hai manufacturing sector ke contraction ke baad. ING Bank ne comment kiya: "Yeh ek important story hai kyun ke historically yeh best leading indicators hote hain economic cycle ke changes ke aur yeh suggest karta hai ke downside growth risks badh rahe hain." Bank ne add kiya; "Yeh zaroor September Fed rate cut ka case strengthen karta hai kyun ke yeh weak growth, slowing inflation aur deteriorating jobs market ke tamam boxes tick karta hai."
National Australia Bank ke Forex Analysis Department ke Rodrigo Catril ne comment kiya: "Dheere dheere, jo hum dekh rahe hain woh yeh hai ke US economic data ke flow mein slight shift aana shuru ho gaya hai." MUFG Bank ke mutabiq; "Overall, developments humein zyada confidence dete hain ke US inflation aur growth continue slow karein ge, US interest rate market ko encourage karein ge ke Fed se next year aur rate cuts ka return ho. Yeh hamari forecast ke peechay ek key assumption hai ke next year ek weaker US dollar hoga."
US yields economic reasons ki wajah se gire hain, lekin markets political developments ko bhi monitor kar rahi hain. US President Biden insist karte rahe ke woh November mein Democratic nominee rahenge, lekin unke withdrawal ke baatien barhti ja rahi hain aur speculation ke sath ek announcement weekend tak aayegi. Rabobank expect karta hai ke uncertainty US dollar ko support karegi. Unhone state kiya, "Upcoming US elections aur US Federal Reserve ki policy se associated uncertainties ke madde nazar, summer markets ke liye calm nahi hogi." Short-term noise aside, hamara view hai ke US dollar strong position maintain karega next year Trump presidency ke sath jo is outlook ko support karegi.
Sterling Dollar forecast today:
Ek upward channel form ho gaya hai British pound ke price ke liye US dollar GBP/USD ke against daily chart par, aur bulls ka control trend par strong ho ga agar currency pair 1.3000 psychological resistance level ki taraf move karega, jo ke apne turn par technical indicators ko strong saturation levels for buying ki taraf le jayega. Dusri taraf, isi time period par, support level 1.2700 current upward path ke liye threat bana rahega. Currency pair is hafte react karega US inflation numbers ke announcement aur US Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell ki testimony ke sath.
تبصرہ
Расширенный режим Обычный режим