𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

**GBP/USD Paar ki Technical Analysis**

US dollar ki qeemat mein kami hui hai jab ek weekly survey ne dikhaya ke zyada log unemployment benefits ke liye apply kar rahe hain, lekin bechnay ki ichha pehle hi apne peak par pohch gayi thi jab ISM survey ne services sector mein unexpected sharp slowdown dikhaya. Natijatan, British pound ki qeemat US dollar ke muqable mein jump kar ke 1.2777 resistance level tak pohch gayi, jo ke do hafton se zyada ka highest level hai, aur phir Thursday ke trading ke shuru mein 1.2740 ke aas paas settle ho gayi. Yeh sab kuch American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ki anticipation mein ho raha hai.

**Economic Calendar ke Results ke Mutabiq:**

US headline ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% pohch gayi, jo ke contraction ka signal deti hai, May ke 53.8% se neeche. Yeh kami expectations ke muqable mein significant thi kyonki consensus 52.5% reading ke liye prepare tha. Service companies American economy ka sabse bara sector hain. Markets is loss ke size par react kar rahi hain aur yeh bet laga rahi hain ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates ko cut karne mein confident hoga. Iske response mein US bond yields neeche gayi, dollar neeche gaya aur stock prices barh gayi.

ISM report ne dikhaya ke US companies expecting new orders to rise 47.3% tak gir gayi, jo Great Financial Crisis ke baad ka lowest level hai aur 2001 recession se bhi neeche. Price index June mein 56.3% record hua, jo May ke 58.1% se 1.8 percentage points ka decrease hai. ING Bank ke analysts ne comment kiya: “Yeh September rate cut ke liye case ko mazid strengthen karta hai kyonki yeh weak growth, slowing inflation aur deteriorating jobs market ke tamam boxes tick karta hai.” “Fed recession ko avoid karna chahta hai agar mumkin ho.”

**Kal:**

Labor Department ne report kiya ke Americans jo naye claims kar rahe hain unemployment benefits ke liye, unmein pichle hafte 4,000 ka izafa hua, jo ke seasonally adjusted 238,000 tak pohch gayi. Consensus forecast 235,000 ka tha. US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Tuesday ko kaha ke agar labor market deteriorate hota hai toh interest rates ko neeche le jane ka mauqa hai. Yeh ek signal tha ke Fed inflation ko 2.0% target par moderate hone se pehle interest rates ko cut karne ke liye tayar hai.

Yeh iska matlab hai ke jobs market par pressure hai ke woh interest rate cuts ko deliver kare jo kai US households, businesses aur investors chahte hain.

**GBP/USD Forecast Aaj:**



Jaise ke maine pehle kaha, GBP/USD price ka 1.2775 resistance ke upar stabilize hona bulls ko mazid upper movement ke liye support karega. Mazid bullish control ke liye agla stop 1.2830 hoga, jahan baat badhti nazar aa rahi hai ke phir se 1.3000 psychological resistance area ki taraf wapas jaya ja sakta hai. Yeh tabhi mumkin hoga jab US job numbers weak aaye aur British parliamentary elections ke natayej se sterling mein confidence wapas aaye. Dusri taraf, daily chart par 1.2600 ka support level sabse important rahega bears ke control ki strength ko maintain karne ke liye.

GBPUSD pair trading ka aghaz ek price increase ke sath hua, jo mid-April mein ek impulsive wave ki shakal mein bana. Ab tak yeh last wave yani wave five bana chuka hai. Agar hum is movement ke aghaz ko dekhein, to wahan ek head and shoulder pattern ka formation nazar aata hai, jo kafi bara range of movement dikhata hai, yeh indicate karta hai ke GBPUSD pair trading mein kafi zyada izafa hoga.

Wave three ke end par, price ne ek diagonal ending pattern bhi banaya jo market resistance ka signal tha wave four ke formation ke waqt. Jab yeh pattern break hua, to kafi significant bearish movement hui. Lekin yeh cheez wave four mein wave c ke end par bhi hui, jahan market ne wapas se diagonal ending pattern banaya, jo reversal ka signal tha wave five ke movement ki taraf.



Impulsive wave ka character samajhna bohot zaroori hai takay hum wave five ke movement ka range project kar saken. Impulsive wave ke character se pata chalta hai ke wave three sabse lambi hoti hai, jab ke wave one ki length approximately wave three ki length ka 75% hoti hai aur wave five ki potential length wave one ki length ke barabar ho sakti hai. Head and shoulder pattern projection se dikhai deta hai ke wave five ka final increase target resistance ya large supply area par daily time frame mein hoga. Mera projection yeh hai ke GBPUSD trading mein bullish trend daily supply area tak barqarar rahegi aur izafa approximately 40-70 pips ka hoga.



Upar diye gaye roadmap se, maine waves ko breakdown karne ki koshish ki hai, khaaskar wave five mein, jahan wave structure zyada asani se dekh sakte hain, muqable mein four-hour time frame ke. Impulsive wave movement ke characteristics par wapas aate hain, jahan wave one, three aur five mein wave three ki length wave one se zyada hoti hai aur lagta hai ke wave one sabse choti wave hogi, yeh mouqa dikhata hai ke wave five dusri longest wave hogi. Iska matlab yeh hai ke four-hour time frame ka projection thirty-minute time frame ke projection se milta hai aur price opportunity analysis ke mutabiq target tak jaegi.

Kal Wednesday ko GbpUsd pair ke market timeframe mein, sellers ka pressure barqarar rehne mein nakam raha. Woh buyer support area jo 1.2780-1.2783 par tha, usay penetrate karne mein kamiyab nahi ho sake. Buyers ki solidity ne is area ko secure rakha, jis wajah se price dobara buyers ke control mein aayi aur stronger buying pressure ne price ko aur bhi zyada ooncha kar diya.



Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ka istemal karte hue dekha gaya ke price Upper Bollinger bands area 1.2840-1.2843 ko todne ki koshish kar raha hai. Pehle ke trade mein banay bullish candle ne is area ko dheere dheere penetrate kar liya, jis se yeh maloom hota hai ke aaj bhi buyers GbpUsd market pair mein trading dominate kar rahe hain. Bullish buyer ka target yeh hai ke price ko Upper Bollinger bands area ke upar barqarar rakhein taake higher bullish opportunity khuli rahe aur agla target seller's supply resistance area 1.2890-1.2893 ho.

Thursday ko trading ke doran buyers ne dobara bara pressure dala taake apne bullish opportunities ko barqarar rakhein. Unka target yeh hai ke prices ko bullish momentum mein maintain karte hue, sabse qareebi target jo ke seller's resistance area 1.2870-1.2873 hai, ko test karain aur higher bullish path ko kholein jiska agla target seller's supply resistance area 1.2895-1.2900 ho. Agar yeh fail hota hai, to seller ke paas bearish correction ka mauqa ho sakta hai, jiska target buyer support area 1.2805-1.2800 hoga.



Agar seller qareebi buyer support area 1.2805-1.2800 ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to sell entry ki ja sakti hai. TP target area 1.2760-1.2755 par hoga. Agar buyer qareebi seller resistance area 1.2870-1.2873 ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to buy entry ki ja sakti hai. TP target area 1.2895-1.2900 par hoga.

British pound ab US dollar ke muqablay mein buland satah par hai aur Thursday ko aane wali US inflation report kamzor honi chahiye agar pound ne mazeed taraqqi karni hai. Forex currency trading platforms ke mutabiq, British pound aur US dollar ke exchange rate (GBP/USD) mein guzishta haftay 1.35% ka izafa hua hai, jo ke September mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke expectations ke nateeja hai. US economic data, jismein Friday ka jobs report bhi shamil hai, yeh darshaata hai ke economy slow ho rahi hai aur jald hi lower interest rates ki zaroorat par sakti hai. Sterling dollar ki price resistance level 1.2840 tak pahunch gayi thi jab yeh analysis likha gaya.

Isi dauraan, Britain mein general elections ka wazeh natija bhi aya, jo ke Britain mein aik relative siyasi stability ka aghaaz kar raha hai. Currency pair ke performance aur impact factors par tabsara karte hue, XTB ki analyst Kathleen Brooks ka kehna hai, “GBP/USD guzishta haftay 1.29% bada, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke pound aik badi rebound ke brink par ho sakta hai ab jab ke political risk premium khatam ho gaya hai.” Britain mein agla key level $1.30 ka psychological resistance hai. “Interestingly, British pound ki price barh rahi hai, Bank of England ke agle maheenay ke rate cut expectations ke saath, aur OIS market ke mutabiq is waqt 66% chance hai rate cut ka.”

MUFG Bank Ltd ke head of foreign exchange research, Derek Halfpenny ke mutabiq, “Humne sterling ke liye apni forecasts barhayi hain qismat aur political stability ke behtar hone ki wajah se, aur pehle ke muqablay economic growth ke strong recovery ke nishanat ke wajah se.”

### Technical Analysis

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair apne main moving averages se upar trade kar raha hai, aur relative strength index positive aur upward pointing hai. RSI ab tak overbought conditions tak nahi pohoncha. Magar daily chart par ek warning sign hai, jo ke 1.28 se upar ek resistance area hai: 2024 ka chart dekhne se maloom hota hai ke exchange rate 1.28 se upar kisi sustained period ke liye hold nahi kar saka.

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, major resistance 1.2860 ko threat hone ke chances kam hai. Note karein ke ek aur resistance level 1.2840 par hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur agar 1.2770 break hota hai to iska matlab hoga ke pound mazeed taraqqi nahi karega. Is resistance ki mojoodgi GBP/USD trading ko 1.28 level ke either side mein narrow range mein rakh sakti hai pehle important inflation reading ke jo Thursday ko United States of America se aane wali hai.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, headline US consumer price index expect kiya ja raha hai ke annual basis par 3.1% tak decline karega, jo ke May ke 3.3% se neeche hai, yeh January ke level tak wapas ja raha hai. Aisa natija darshaata hai ke inflation ko decelerate karne ka process dobara shuru ho gaya hai, pehle half mein price acceleration ke disruption ke baad. Yeh Federal Reserve ke September mein US interest rates cut karne ke odds ko barha dega, jo ke dollar ko impact kar sakta hai.

Isi dauraan, Britain se koi major releases nahi hain, siwaye GDP update ke jo Thursday ko aane wala hai, aur yeh bhi expected hai ke market par koi bara asar nahi hoga pehle important inflation aur labor market data ke next week release hone se pehle.

Abhi ke doran, GBP/USD pair 1.2850 ke resistance level ke qareeb range trading mein masroof hai. Market ka dhyan ab aane wale US labor market data ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo ke currency pair ki mustaqbil ki direction ko tay karega. Iss waqt, main current levels se buying nahi consider kar raha aur ziyada inclination selling ki taraf hai jab tak mentioned resistance level touch nahi hota. Jab market in levels ko process kar lega, tab buying ka option ban sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair ke 1.2850 ke resistance level ke qareeb range trading karne ka imkaan hai, aur focus aane wale US labor market data par hai. Yeh data pair ki mustaqbil ki direction ko tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada karega. Tab tak, selling preferred strategy rahegi, 1.2831-1.2811 ke level tak decline anticipate karte hue. Magar, resistance zone 1.2836-1.2804 ki taraf move bhi ho sakti hai, jo mazeed selling opportunities present karegi. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur US labor market data ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh GBP/USD pair ki movement aur trading strategy ko significantly impact karega.


Hamara guftagu ongoing live evaluation of GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing ke mutabiq hai. Pound/Dollar pair mein, bears local maximum ke qareeb Murray +1/8 level at 1.2847 se significant correction bearish side mein nahi drive kar sakay. Woh expected 7/8 reversal level at 1.2786 tak bhi nahi pohonchay. GBP/USD price dobara rise kar rahi hai, trading within the 28th figure, aur bulls 8/8 resistance at 1.2816 ko push kar rahe hain. Despite four-hour stochastic barely turning up from its lower limit, yeh upward movement ho rahi hai, jo bulls ko support kar rahi hai. Is growth wave mein, price likely middle of the 28th figure ko break through karne ki koshish karegi, potentialy wahan ek chhota zigzag banake, aur phir main Murray level at +2/8, 1.2877 ki taraf rise karegi. Technical perspective se aur aaj ke significant news aside from US Federal Reserve head ke speech ko dekhte hue, trend mein koi bari tabdeeli ke chances nahi hain.

Abhi ke doran, GBP/USD pair 1.2850 ke resistance level ke qareeb range trading mein masroof hai. Market ka dhyan ab aane wale US labor market data ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo currency pair ki mustaqbil ki direction ko tay karega. Iss waqt, main current levels se buying consider nahi kar raha aur zyada inclination selling ki taraf hai jab tak mentioned resistance level touch nahi hota. Jab market in levels ko process kar lega, tab buying ka option ban sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair ke 1.2850 ke resistance level ke qareeb range trading karne ka imkaan hai, aur focus aane wale US labor market data par hai. Yeh data pair ki mustaqbil ki direction ko tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada karega. Tab tak, selling preferred strategy rahegi, 1.2831-1.2811 ke level tak decline anticipate karte hue. Magar, resistance zone 1.2836-1.2804 ki taraf move bhi ho sakti hai, jo mazeed selling opportunities present karegi. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur US labor market data ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh GBP/USD pair ki movement aur trading strategy ko significantly impact karega.


Hamne dekha ke pair ne 1.2864 se rollback mein reversal dekha, slightly miss karte hue, aur pair H4 support 1.2749 ki taraf move hui. H4 support 1.2679 par hai. Jab tak yeh H4 support 1.2749 ko break nahi karte, upward movement restricted hai. H4 se pair dobara grow karna shuru kar sakti hai towards 1.2909 aur 1.2969, phir rollback towards 1.3124, jo main goal hai. Agar woh balance of the day aaj 1.2839 par break karte hain, growth continue ho sakti hai towards 1.2909, followed by rollback to 1.2779, jahan H4 resistance significant ban jayega. Agar H4 support 1.2749 break hota hai, toh pullback ho sakta hai 1.2739 se, likely from 1.2719, towards H4 resistance 1.2844. Phir, reversal towards H4 support 1.2679 ho sakta hai, followed by growth towards medium-term goal 1.3124.

Filhal, Britain se koi major releases nahi hain, siwaye Thursday ke GDP update ke, jo market par koi bara asar daalnay ke imkaan kam hain before the release of important inflation aur labor market data agle hafte.

GBP/USD currency pair ne ek notable climb dekha hai, jo ke latest US jobs report se catalyst hui hai. Yeh report June ke liye higher-than-expected job additions dikhati hai, halan ke April aur May ke revisions labor market mein weakening trend dikhati hain. Iss mixed data ne market sentiment ko influence kiya, aur GBP/USD pair ko upar ki taraf drive kiya.

As of current trading session, GBP/USD 1.2790 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke opening price se upar hai, aur daily low 1.2752 ko touch kiya hai. Yeh movement bullish technical outlook ko underscore karta hai, jab ke pair ek key resistance area ke qareeb hai between 1.2660 aur 1.2675.

#### Resistance Levels

Immediate resistance level GBP/USD ke liye 1.2800 par identified hai. Agar pair is level se break karta hai, to next target year-to-date (YTD) high 1.2894 hoga. Yeh level significant hai kyunki yeh current year mein achieved highest price ko represent karta hai, jo strong upward momentum indicate karta hai agar yeh breach hota hai.

Mazeed resistance 1.2900 par expected hai, jo ek psychologically important level hai aur isse surpass karna challenging ho sakta hai. Iske baad, resistance 1.2995 par aata hai, jo ke high from July 27, 2023 hai. Yeh level closely watched hota hai kyunki yeh significant 1.3000 mark ke qareeb hai. 1.3000 ko break karne se substantial bullish trend ka signal mil sakta hai, jo mazeed buyers ko market mein attract kar sakta hai aur pair ko aur upar propel kar sakta hai.

#### Support Points

Downside par, GBP/USD ko pehla support 1.2733 par milta hai, jo ke low from July 4 hai. Yeh level initial cushion serve karta hai against downward pressure. Iske neeche, 1.2709 mark jo ke high from April 8 hai, additional support provide karta hai. Yeh levels previous areas of resistance ko indicate karte hain jo ab support ban gaye hain, jo technical analysis mein strong foundation ke tor par dekha jata hai.

Mazeed support 1.2700 par noted hai, jo ek round number hai aur psychological barrier serve kar sakta hai further declines ke liye. Iske ilawa, 50-day moving average (50-DMA) 1.2673 par dynamic support level provide karta hai, jo traders ke nazdeek medium-term trend ka indicator hota hai. Is moving average ke neeche breach sentiment mein shift ko suggest kar sakti hai aur mazeed selling pressure invite kar sakti hai.


#### Technical Indicators and Market Sentiment

Recent gains in GBP/USD, fueled by US jobs report, positive market sentiment towards the pair ko indicate karte hain. Data ka mixed nature – higher job additions for June magar prior months ke downward revisions – ek nuanced view present karta hai of the US labor market, jo pair ki upward momentum ko contribute karta hai.

Technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ko overbought ya oversold conditions ke liye monitor karna chahiye. RSI ke overbought territory ke qareeb hone se potential pullback indicate ho sakta hai, jab ke MACD ka signal line ke upar hona bullish outlook ko support karta hai.

Conclusively, GBP/USD ka current bullish trajectory favorable economic data aur key technical levels ke combination se supported hai. Jaisay hi pair significant resistance points ke qareeb aata hai, traders ko potential breakouts ya reversals ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye. In resistance aur support levels ke darmiyan interplay pair ki direction ko near term mein dictate karega, isliye in thresholds ko closely monitor karna informed trading decisions ke liye crucial hai.

Hum mukhtalif conditions ko dekh rahe hain taake reentry buy opportunities ka pata lagaya ja sake, considering the ongoing dominance of price increases. Price ne top Bollinger band ke upar close kiya, jo potential continued uptrend ka indication hai. Hum anticipate kar rahe hain ke price 5/10 low moving average area ko test karega, jo ke 1.27366 se 1.27664 ke aas paas hai, as a potential entry point taake further increases ka faida uthaya ja sake. Current market conditions ke darmiyan, kuch opportunities available hain jo relevant supporting factors ka intezar kar rahe hain. Price decline ka potential dekha ja sakta hai targets ki taraf jaise ke 5/10 low moving average ya middle Bollinger band line as an ideal correction zone. Magar, humari attention ek strong sell candlestick ke form hone ke potential par focused hai, jo trend ka bearish change indicate kar sakta hai. Further confirmation zaroori hai, especially on a larger time frame, before hum steps lein taake movement ka faida uthaya ja sake. Zero loss zone setup bhi is view ko support karta hai kyunki saare parameters EMA50 ke upar hain. Yeh analysis is indication se reinforce hota hai ke price ke paas ab bhi correction ka room hai towards neutral area on the relative strength index.


#### H4 Hour

Hum ab bhi confirmation ka intezar kar rahe hain jo current forex market mein next price movement ke direction ko determine kar sake. Filhal, price ab bhi middle Bollinger band line ke neeche hai ya ek strong sell candlestick direction form kar chuka hai, jo ke larger time frame par strong buy momentum ki dominance ko indicate karta hai. Magar, hum downward correction ke potential ko ignore nahi kar rahe hain kyunki price ek consolidation process se guzra hai taake correction opportunity build ki ja sake. Hum umeed karte hain ke price jaldi middle Bollinger band line ko cross karega aur ek strong buy candlestick signal provide karega. Best momentum re-entry buy ke liye tab appear hoga jab price EMA50 aur low Bollinger band ko reach karega, jahan hum clear boundaries set kar sakte hain taake future price movements ke direction ko clarify kiya ja sake. Is position ko strategically utilize karke, hum potential profits ko optimize kar sakte hain by calculating controlled risks. Meanwhile, relative strength index indicator ab bhi neutral area mein stable movement show kar raha hai, jo indicate karta hai ke market ko further consolidate karne ki zaroorat hai taake momentum ki strength aur saturation ke potential ko evaluate kiya ja sake.

British Pound (GBP) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein North American trading session ke dauran halki si decline experience ki, jo Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ki US Senate Banking Committee ke samne testimony ke waqt hui. Losses minor the, kareeban 0.10%, aur price 1.2800 mark se thori neeche chali gayi. Yeh potential shift ka sign ho sakta hai GBP/USD trend mein. Lekin, GBP bulls ke liye achi khabar yeh hai ke overall uptrend ab bhi technically intact hai. Magar, Monday ki trading activity mein ek technical chart pattern "shooting star" emerge hui, jo possible downward movement ka indication hai agar prices July 8th low 1.2785 se neeche girti hain.

Technical momentum indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), filhal buyers ko favor kar rahe hain, lekin RSI thori si dip kar rahi hai, jo weakening strength ka sign hai. Agar daily close July 8th low se neeche hoti hai, toh yeh bearish "evening star" pattern ko charts par solidify karegi, jo GBP ke liye further losses ko trigger kar sakti hai. Agar yeh scenario unfold hota hai, toh Pound ke liye pehli line of defense support zone 1.2750/75 ke aas paas hogi. Is level ka breach GBP ko April 9th high 1.2709 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo end mein psychologically important 1.2700 level ko challenge kar sakta hai.




Dusri taraf, agar buyers 1.2800 level ko defend kar lete hain, toh yeh uptrend ka resumption signal kar sakta hai. Initial upside targets July 8th high 1.2845 aur June 12th high 1.2860 honge. In hurdles ko overcome karna year-to-date high 1.2900 ka test pave kar sakta hai. Lekin, overly optimistic GBP bulls ke liye ek warning, kyunki currency pair ek trading range ke kareeb hai jo pichle saal resistance act kar rahi thi, traders ko potential headwinds ka khayal rakhna chahiye.

Agar uptrend persist karti hai aur recent resistance zone 1.2816 aur 1.2859 ke beech break hoti hai, jo 3-month highs aur December 2023 high define karte hain, toh yeh 2024 high 1.2892 ke challenge ka raasta khol sakti hai. Successful breakout is area ke upar July 2023 resistance level 1.2994 ka test lead kar sakta hai.

Agar prices decline hoti hain, toh April resistance level 1.2708 first line of defense act kar sakta hai. Further losses June aur March lows se cushion ho sakti hain jo support zone 1.2620-1.2598 form karte hain. Worst-case scenario mein February low 1.2517 downside protection provide kar sakta hai.

Salam, Cardinal! Kal, hamari GBP/USD currency pair ne 1.2777 ka support level test kiya. Abhi yeh wazeh nahi hai ke price wapas upar jayegi ya is support ko tod ke aur neeche move karegi. Four-hour chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke price ne sirf channel ke upper border 1.2803 ko test nahi kiya, balki usay cross bhi kiya. Iske baad, uptrend ne downtrend mein tabdeel ho gayi aur price ne southern correction shuru kar di. Ab main umeed karta hoon ke price moving average line tak girayegi, jo 1.2718 par hai. Lekin abhi 1.2733 par bhi support hai. Main isay monitor karoonga. Agar yeh support toot jata hai, toh agli support level 1.2709 ko dhyan se dekhein. In levels se rebound par, GBP/USD ko buy kar sakte hain growth aur highs ko update karne ke liye jo 1.2845 aur usse upar 1.2900 par hain.




Salam, Tatyana! Likhtay waqt, GBP/USD pair H1 chart par 1.27863 par flat hai. Instaforex indicator is forum par pehle section mein longing aur shorts ke darmiyan balance dikhata hai, jahan latter 50.08% ke darmiyan hai. Dusray section mein, indicator short-term southward trend show karta hai. Aaj yeh pair humein kya surprises dega? Foggy Albion mein important aur interesting news expected nahi hai. United States se news: Federal Reserve ke chair Powell ka speech aur crude oil reserves. Yeh news itni khaas nahi hai, khaaskar Powell ke kal ke speech ke baad. Yeh kisi change ka sabab nahi bana. Isliye, hum focus karte hain technical analysis par, aur uske baad fundamentals par. Short mein, kya aur kaise? Mera khayal hai ke pair southward level 1.2765 tak correct karegi, aur phir northward sochayegi 1.2880. Sab ko mubarak hunt.

Faqat hal haftay mein North American trading session ke doran, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke US Senate Banking Committee ke samne shanakht ke sath, British Pound (GBP) ne US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf halki giravat ka samna kiya. Nuqsanat sirf 0.10% se kam thay, jis se 1.2800 ke neechay thora sa dab gaya, yeh GBP/USD trend mein ek mumkin dhaar cheeni ka nishan ho sakta hai. GBP ke bullish traders ke liye achi khabar yeh hai ke overall uptrend ab bhi technical tor par qaim hai. Lekin, ek technical chart pattern jo "shooting star" ke naam se jana jata hai, usne Monday ke trading activity mein apna rukh dikha kar neeche girne ki mumkin soorat-e-haal ki isharaat di hain agar prices July 8th ki 1.2785 ki low ke neeche jaayein. Jabke technical momentum indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi buyers ko favor karte hain, lekin RSI mein thori kamzori ke nishan bhi hain jab woh thora sa neeche gaya hai. Agar July 8th ki low ke neeche daily close ho jaye, toh charts par bearish "evening star" pattern ko mazbooti se tasdeeq mil jayegi, jo GBP ke liye mazeed nuqsanat ko trigger kar sakta hai. Agar yeh manzar samne aaye, toh Pound ke liye pehla line of defense 1.2750/75 ke qareebi support zone hogi. Is level ko tootne par GBP 1.2709 ki April 9th ki high ki taraf tezi se tawajjo dikhayega, jise baad mein psychological important 1.2700 level par challenge karega.


Dusri taraf, agar buyers 1.2800 level ko defend karne mein kamyab ho jayein, toh yeh uptrend ki dobara shuruaat ka signal ho sakta hai. Pehle upside targets July 8th ki high 1.2845 par honge, phir June 12th ki high 1.2860 par. In hurdles ko paar karne se rasta khulta hai year-to-date high ke qareeb 1.2900 ki taraf testing ka. Lekin, zyada optimistic GBP bulls ke liye ek ehtiyati alamat bhi hai. Currency pair pichle saal ki trading range ke qareeb ja raha hai, jo ek resistance ka kaam karta tha, jis se traders ko potential headwinds ke baare mein hoshyaar rehna chahiye. Agar uptrend jari rahe aur 1.2816 se 1.2859 ke darmiyan recent resistance zone ko paar kar jaye, jo 3-month highs aur December 2023 ki high dwara define kiya gaya hai, toh yeh 2024 ki high 1.2892 ki taraf challenge ka darwaza khul sakta hai. Agar is area ko paar kiya jaye toh, yeh July 2023 ki resistance level 1.2994 ki taraf bhi test kar sakta hai. Downside scenario par nazar dalte hue, April ki resistance level 1.2708 agar prices girne par pehli line of defense ka kaam karega. Mazeed nuqsanat ko June aur March ki lows jo 1.2620-1.2598 par support zone banate hain se mehfooz kiya ja sakta hai. Afsosnak surat-e-haal mein, February ki low 1.2517 kuch downside protection provide kar sakta hai.


GBP/USD H4 - Aaj raat chal rahi GBP/USD pair ki trading ke doran, lag raha hai ke price psychological level 1.2800 ke neeche break karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar price ne psychological level ko valid taur par break kar liya hai, toh mazeed giravat ke liye potential abhi bhi khuli hai. Bollinger Bands indicator period 24 ke conditions ke mutabiq, abhi bhi Bollinger Bands ka condition kaafi wide nazar aa raha hai, jo trading volatility ko abhi bhi high indicate karta hai.

Simple Moving Average indicator period 50 aur Simple Moving Average period 120 dwara di gayi trend direction abhi bhi Bullish signal de rahi hai, jise hum price position ke upar khelte hue dekh sakte hain. RSI indicator period 5 ke conditions ke mutabiq, abhi RSI line level 30 ko break kar rahi hai, jo trading conditions ko Oversold zone tak pahunchane ka matlab hai.

**Trading Plan** - USD Index trading data ke adhar par, main SBR test ke natije ka intezaar karunga level 105.10 par, jo phir mere GBP/USD Pair trade ke liye support ke roop mein istemal kiya jayega. Apne agle trading plan ke liye, sabhi mumkinayat ko dekh kar aur samajh kar, main Entry Buy GBP/USD ke momentum ka intezaar karunga. Aur mujhe ummeed hai ke jo price decline aaj raat ho raha hai, woh psychological level 1.2750 tak pahunch sake, aur zyada se zyada RBS Support level 1.2739 tak pahunch sake, jahan se main us area mein Entry Buy open kar sakta hoon.

Kal ki trading mein, maine psychological level 1.2800 ke area mein loss cut kiya tha. Iska karan yeh tha ke maine pehle se hi dekha tha ke price ne 1.2800 ke psychological level ko break karne ki koshish mein kai baar rejection experience kiya tha.

چلیں، ہم ٹریڈنگ انسٹرومنٹ gbpusd کے ڈیلی چارٹ کی جائزہ گیری کرتے ہیں۔ اس ہفتے کی شروعات ایک چھوٹی نیچے کی طرف قیمتی فرق سے ہوئی، جسے جلد بھر دیا گیا، جس نے قیمت میں اضافے کی جاری رہنمائی کی۔ پچھلے ہفتے، یہ کرنسی پیئر ایک مضبوط اوپری حرکت تجربہ کرتا رہا، جو تکنیکی تجزیہ اور موجودہ رجحان کی مدد سے مدد ملتی رہی۔ لہذا، لے حرکت کا نمونہ بن رہا ہے، جس میں macd انڈیکیٹر اپنی سگنل لائن کے اوپر اوور بوٹ زون میں بڑھ رہا ہے۔ پاؤنڈ ہلکا ہوا، لیکن یو ایس ڈالر بھی مارکیٹ میں کمزوری ظاہر کی۔ اس ہفتے، اپ ٹرینڈ جاری رہی، اور ڈیلی چارٹ پر ہم دیکھ سکتے ہیں کہ قیمت نے ایک آہستہ نیچے کی طرف جھکی ہوئی ٹرینڈ لائن تک پہنچ گئی ہے جو دو پچھلے پیکس سے کھینچی گئی ہے۔ طبعی طور پر، اس سطح کے قریب منافع کا لین دین ہوا، جس نے ایک پل بیک پر کی نتیجے میں ایک پل بیک دے دیا۔ کل، اس پر دلالت کرتے ہوئے کسی بھی اور کمپنی کے نمبر کے ایک ہزار کے ساتھ ساتھ میں ایک جانب ہوں۔ اس ساتھ

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ہماری گفتگو اس بات پر مشتمل ہے کہ جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی کرنسی پیئر کی قیمت کی حرکت کو سمجھنے کے بارے میں۔ موونگ اوسط فیصلہ کے نشانات پر پوزیشن نیچے فیصلہ کے بارے میں ظاہر کرتے ہیں، خریدنے کے مواقع کی فراہمی کرتے ہیں۔ دوسرا انڈیکیٹر اوپر خریداری سگنل سے تضاد کرتے ہیں جو اوور بوٹ حالات کو ظاہر کرتا ہے۔ ہم دونوں انڈیکیٹرز سے صاف سمتی سگنل کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔ میں یہ میل میں شامل ہونے کی پیشکش کر رہا ہوں جب پیئر 1.2757 سے بڑھ رہا ہے، آج کے لئے ایک موزون داخلہ نقطہ۔ رسک کے مؤثر انتظام کرنا بڑی اہمیت کا حامل ہے جو 1.2737 پر ایک انتہائی مؤثر نقطہ ہے۔ قیمت کی فعلی ہنگامہ کاری میں کوئی تبدیلی نہیں ہو رہی ہے، اور مارکیٹ کم قیمتی ہنگامہ کاری کی بات کر رہا ہے۔ یہ اقدام خام کرتا ہے کہ پتنے کے موقع ہے جبکہ منافع کے لیے ایک محفوظ موقع 1.2817 پر لکھا گیا ہے۔ ہم مارکیٹ کو نزدیک دیکھیں گے جب تک کہ اس موقع میں روک لاس یا منافع کی ہدف ممکن ہوں۔

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ہماری گفتگو جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی کرنسی پیئر کی حالیہ قیمت کی جائزہ گیری کے ساتھ ملاپ ہوتی ہے۔ پاؤنڈ/ڈالر جوڑ میں، بیرز نے مقامی زیادہ سے زیادہ موقع پر مرے +1/8 سطح پر 1.2847 پر بیش قوت اصلاح کو چلانے کے لئے قابل غور نہیں کیا۔ وہ اپتے متوقع 7/8 مناسب سطح 1.2786 تک بھی نہیں پہنچے۔ gbp/usd قیمت دوبارہ بڑھ رہی ہے، 28 ویں اشارے کے اندر ٹریڈنگ کرتی ہے، اور بولز 1.2816 پر 8/8 مزاحمت کے ذریعے گزر رہے ہیں۔ چار گھنٹے کے سٹوکاسٹک نے اپنی کم لمحے سے بری ہو گئی ہے، لیکن یہ اوپری حرکت ہو رہی ہے، صرف بولز کو سپورٹ کرنے کے لئے ابتدائی ہے۔ اس بڑھتے ہوئے لہر میں، قیمت ممکن ہے کہ 28 ویں اشارے کے درمیان سے گزرنے کی کوشش کرے، اس میں ایک اور چھوٹا زگزاگ ہو سکتا ہے، اور پھر +2/8 یعنی 1.2877 تک بڑھنا جاری رہے گا۔ ٹیکنیکی نظریہ کے لحاظ سے، اور آج کوئی اہم خبر نہیں، یو ایس فیڈرل ریزرو ہیڈ کی تقریر کے علاوہ، اس کے امکانات کو براہ راست بدلنے کی خدشہ نہیں ہے۔