GBP/USD Price Analysis
GBP/USD ne Thursday ko thodi kami dekhi hai, jab kuch USD buying samne aayi. Thoda overbought RSI bhi bulls ko naye bets lagane se rok raha hai.
Technical setup yeh suggest karta hai ke sabse kam resistance upar ki taraf hai. GBP/USD pair Asian session ke dauran halki negative bias ke sath trade kar raha hai, magar selling ka follow-through nahi hai aur pichle din touch kiye gaye one-year peak ke nazdeek hai.
Spot prices abhi 1.3000 ke psychological mark ke aas-paas hain aur lagta hai ke yeh recent uptrend ko barqarar rakhenge jo pichle teen hafton se dekha gaya hai.
US Treasury bond yields me halki si badhoti USD ko pichle din ki bhari losses se recover karne me madad de rahi hai, jo GBP/USD pair ke liye headwind ban raha hai. Lekin, growing expectation ke Federal Reserve September me rate-cutting cycle shuru karega, aur global equity markets me strong bullish tone, safe-haven Greenback ki upside ko cap kar sakte hain.
Dusri taraf, Wednesday ko publish hui data ke mutabiq UK inflation thoda zyada expect kiya gaya tha, June ke liye 2% YoY rate par aaya. Iske saath hi, May me better-than-expected GDP growth 0.4% dekhne ko mili hai, jo August me Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate cut ke chances ko dampen karti hai. Yeh British Pound ko support provide kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD pair ki downside ko limit kar sakti hai, bearish traders ke liye caution zaroori hai.
Technical perspective se, pichle YTD peak ke through recent breakout, 1.2895 region ke aas-paas, bullish traders ke liye naya trigger tha. Lekin, daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought conditions dikha raha hai, aur yeh prudent hoga ke kuch near-term consolidation ya modest pullback ke baad next leg up ka intezar kiya jaye. Koi bhi significant slide 1.2965 area ke nazdeek naye buyers ko attract kar sakti hai aur limit me rahegi.
Iske baad, weekly low, 1.2940-1.2935 region jo Tuesday ko touch hua, agar decisively break hota hai to 1.2900 mark ki taraf slide ka rasta clear ho sakta hai. Yeh handle ab ek key pivotal point ke roop me kaam karega, jiske neeche GBP/USD pair corrective decline ko intermediate support ke 1.2855 zone ki taraf extend kar sakta hai aur 1.2820-1.2815 region aur 1.2800 round-figure mark tak ja sakta hai.
Dusri taraf, YTD peak ke beyond, 1.3045 area jo Wednesday ko set hua, bulls ko 1.3100 mark reclaim karne ki ijaazat dega. Uske baad, GBP/USD pair ko 1.3140 region ya July 2023 swing high ki taraf lift milne ki sambhavana hai.
GBP/USD ne Thursday ko thodi kami dekhi hai, jab kuch USD buying samne aayi. Thoda overbought RSI bhi bulls ko naye bets lagane se rok raha hai.
Technical setup yeh suggest karta hai ke sabse kam resistance upar ki taraf hai. GBP/USD pair Asian session ke dauran halki negative bias ke sath trade kar raha hai, magar selling ka follow-through nahi hai aur pichle din touch kiye gaye one-year peak ke nazdeek hai.
Spot prices abhi 1.3000 ke psychological mark ke aas-paas hain aur lagta hai ke yeh recent uptrend ko barqarar rakhenge jo pichle teen hafton se dekha gaya hai.
US Treasury bond yields me halki si badhoti USD ko pichle din ki bhari losses se recover karne me madad de rahi hai, jo GBP/USD pair ke liye headwind ban raha hai. Lekin, growing expectation ke Federal Reserve September me rate-cutting cycle shuru karega, aur global equity markets me strong bullish tone, safe-haven Greenback ki upside ko cap kar sakte hain.
Dusri taraf, Wednesday ko publish hui data ke mutabiq UK inflation thoda zyada expect kiya gaya tha, June ke liye 2% YoY rate par aaya. Iske saath hi, May me better-than-expected GDP growth 0.4% dekhne ko mili hai, jo August me Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate cut ke chances ko dampen karti hai. Yeh British Pound ko support provide kar sakti hai aur GBP/USD pair ki downside ko limit kar sakti hai, bearish traders ke liye caution zaroori hai.
Technical perspective se, pichle YTD peak ke through recent breakout, 1.2895 region ke aas-paas, bullish traders ke liye naya trigger tha. Lekin, daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought conditions dikha raha hai, aur yeh prudent hoga ke kuch near-term consolidation ya modest pullback ke baad next leg up ka intezar kiya jaye. Koi bhi significant slide 1.2965 area ke nazdeek naye buyers ko attract kar sakti hai aur limit me rahegi.
Iske baad, weekly low, 1.2940-1.2935 region jo Tuesday ko touch hua, agar decisively break hota hai to 1.2900 mark ki taraf slide ka rasta clear ho sakta hai. Yeh handle ab ek key pivotal point ke roop me kaam karega, jiske neeche GBP/USD pair corrective decline ko intermediate support ke 1.2855 zone ki taraf extend kar sakta hai aur 1.2820-1.2815 region aur 1.2800 round-figure mark tak ja sakta hai.
Dusri taraf, YTD peak ke beyond, 1.3045 area jo Wednesday ko set hua, bulls ko 1.3100 mark reclaim karne ki ijaazat dega. Uske baad, GBP/USD pair ko 1.3140 region ya July 2023 swing high ki taraf lift milne ki sambhavana hai.
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