𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein ek naya high touch kiya hai. Ek sell position open ki gayi thi Bollinger band ke upper limit, ie 80.1 par. Ab price neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai aur channel ke andar wapas aane lagi hai. Aane wale hafte ke aghaz mein expect kiya ja raha hai ke price 1.3081 ke aas paas middle line ko breach kare. Jab market khulegi, to overall take profit target adjust kiya jayega. GBP/USD ka situation abhi bhi kaafi challenging hai, kyun ke pair 1.299 se neeche nahi ja saka, lekin phir bhi 1.309 se upar close kiya. Downward momentum abhi bhi mojood hai, aur daily chart par ek pin bar future decline ka imkaan dikha rahi hai. Aane wala hafta volatile hone ki umeed hai, Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke meetings ke bawajood. Filhaal selling ke liye current levels ideal nahi hain, lekin agar price 1.3029 se neeche jata hai, to yeh buying ka ek acha mauqa ho sakta hai, utasalar jab stop-loss minor ho. Ek sharp decline 1.3000 tak bhi possible hai. Asset ki price current levels se upar ja sakti hai jab tak critical support level 1.3093 break nahi hota. Agar yeh support breach ho gaya, to asset ko dobara 1.3076 par test kiya ja sakta hai, aur yeh 1.3044 tak dobara pohonchne ki koshish kar sakti hai. Jab tak price 1.3044 se upar rehti hai, upward momentum price ko 1.3169 tak push kar sakta hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke price 1.3128 resistance ke upar ho taake 1.3224 ka retest ho sake aur future market mein 1.3255 aur 1.3250 ke gap ko fill kiya ja sake.

Maine technical analysis ke liye ek indicator lagaya hai jo Heskin Ashi candles ke zariye pair ke movement ko dekhata hai. Heskin Ashi ka major advantage yeh hota hai ke market noise ko kam karta hai. Yeh price bars ko aise generate karta hai ke price charts ki delay kam ho jati hai.

Situation ko dekhte hue, koi shak nahi ke overall picture abhi bhi GBP/USD ke favor mein hai. Short-term trading mein jab price 1.3264 par pohnchi, to asset ke price mein girawat hui, jo technical analysis ke point of view se ek correction kehla sakti hai. Lekin northward trend ko continue karne ke liye aise factors ki zarurat hai jo US dollar par asar daalein

GBP/USD

British Pound (GBP) iss waqt aik complex landscape ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke recent UK macroeconomic data se mutasir hai, jo economy ki resilience ko highlight karta hai. Yeh strength BoE (Bank of England) ki taraf se September mein dusra interest rate cut expect karne ki umeedon ko kam kar rahi hai. Iske muqable mein, US Dollar (USD) struggles ka samna kar raha hai, aur haal hi mein January se apne lowest level tak pohanch gaya hai. Federal Reserve ka dovish stance GBP/USD currency pair ke upward momentum ko aur zyada support de raha hai.

**Retail Sales Forecast: Ek Mumkin Rebound**

Aage dekhte hue, UK Retail Sales ke rebound hone ka imkaan hai, jo ke recent downturn ke baad aayega. July ke liye month-on-month Retail Sales mein 0.5% ka izafa expect kiya ja raha hai, jo ke pichle mahine ki 1.2% decline ke muqable mein ek aham recovery hai. Year-on-year basis par, outlook aur bhi behtar hai, jahan 0.2% contraction ke muqable mein 1.4% ki growth ki umeed hai. Yeh anticipated rebound GBP ko aur zyada mazbooti de sakta hai jab ke consumer spending mein behtri ke asaar dikhayi de rahe hain.

**US Consumer Sentiment: Umeedon Mein Tabdeeli**

Doosri taraf, US mein University of Michigan ka Consumer Sentiment Survey Index bhi barhne ki tawaqo hai. Iske 66.9 tak barhne ki umeed hai, jo ke pichle aath mahino ke lowest level 66.4 se recovery dikhata hai. US economy mein consumer confidence ka izafa market sentiment ko mutasir kar sakta hai, lekin shifting expectations ke bawajood GBP mazboot position mein hai.

**BoE ke Aane Wale Faislay: Aik Nazaqat Bhara Balance**

BoE ki aane wali monetary policy meeting, jo September mein hogi, aik aham marhala hogi. UK service sector mein inflation July mein tez tar girawat ka shikar hui hai, jo ke wage growth ke slowdown ki wajah se hai, lekin labor market ne surprising resilience dikhayi. Unemployment rate ghata, jo ke is baat ki nishani hai ke economy growth trajectory par hai. Yeh BoE ke liye aik challenging environment paida karta hai, jab ke woh inflation concerns aur employment data ke darmiyan balance banane ki koshish kar raha hai.

**Technical Analysis: GBP/USD Resistance Levels**

In positive economic signals ke bawajood, buyers ab tak critical 1.3300 price level ko reclaim nahi kar paye hain. Is wajah se currency pair ek naazuk position mein hai, khaaskar jab momentum traders short positions dekh rahe hain, aur 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas 1.3006 ka potential decline target kar rahe hain. Yeh technical aspect traders aur investors ke liye complexity ka ek aur pehlu paish karta hai.



Agar GBP/USD 1.3300 resistance ko break kar leta hai, toh agla target 1.3342 ka peak hoga. Agar momentum barh jaata hai, toh pair 1.3400 mark tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) is waqt strong bullish momentum dikhata hai, jo 60.00-80.00 ke range mein oscillate kar raha hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye further upside potential ka ishara hai.

Aaj main GBP/USD currency pair ka analysis kar raha hoon. Aaj main H1 time frame par pattern ko dekhne ki koshish karunga aur yeh samajhne ki koshish karunga ke price neeche jayegi ya upar. Main is analysis mein technical approach apna raha hoon jisme moving average indicators ka use karunga, jisme period 21 aur period 34 ki moving averages H1 time frame par dekhi ja rahi hain.Filhal price moving average indicator ke upar hai aur ek resistance ke qareeb hai, jo is baat ka signal hai ke GBP/USD H1 time frame par bullish trend mein hai aur agle resistance area tak ja sakti hai. Aaj GBP/USD trading ka aghaz 1.3122 par hua. Asian session mein GBP/USD ne foran apna rise jari rakha. European session tak, GBP/USD ne apna qareebi resistance 1.3512 ko tor diya hai. Market khulte waqt movement ziada nahi thi kyun ke currency pair ne ab tak sirf 40 pips ka move kiya hai.Last Friday, GBP/USD neeche jane ki koshish kar rahi thi lekin candle support 1.3116 ko tor nahi saki, is wajah se yeh dobara se upar chali gayi. Agar hum H1 time frame se analysis karein to candle ka position abhi bhi resistance 1.3101 ke upar hai. Jab tak position upar hai, GBP/USD ke upar jane ke chances abhi bhi hain. Lekin correction ka bhi chance hai kyun ke candle shoulder area 1.3186 ke qareeb hai.
Lambi muddat mein, main yeh ummed karta hoon ke GBP/USD neeche jayegi. Sab se zaroori yeh hai ke 1.3130 ka resistance na toray, kyun ke is se neeche girne ke chances kam ho jate hain. Agar hum Ichimoku indicator se analysis karein, to candle abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke trend abhi bullish hai. Lekin mere khayal se kuch pips aur rise ke baad, price resistance 1.3192 ko touch karne ke baad zyada tar neeche jaye gi.

GBP/USD ne apne aakhri faiday ko Tuesday ko European trading mein 1.3100 ke neeche consolidate kiya. UK ILO unemployment rate July tak ke teen mahinon mein 4.1% tak gir gaya, jo ke andazon ke mutabiq tha, jis ne pound sterling ko support di lekin majboor US dollar ki taqat ne GBP/USD ko rok kar rakha. Hourly chart mein relative strength index ab bhi 40 ke neeche hai 30 se recover hone ke baad, jo yeh batata hai ke GBP/USD ka aakhri rally aik technical correction tha. Neeche ki taraf, 1.3040 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level) agla support bana raha hai usse pehle 1.3000 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2965-1.2970 (Fibonacci 50% retracement, 200-period SMA). Agla resistance 1.3130 par hai, jahan 20-period, 50-period aur 100-period SMA, Fibonacci 23.6% retracement se milte hain. Agar GBP/USD yeh barrier cross kar leta hai, toh yeh apni recovery ko 1.3200 (psychological level, static level) tak barhane ke qabil ho sakta hai GBP/USD ne hafte ke pehle trading din ko negative mein close kiya aur Tuesday ko Asian session mein neeche aaya. Takriban teen hafton ka sabse kam level 1.3058 ko touch karne ke baad, yeh pair thoda rebound hua. Phir bhi, sabse qareebi technical nazar is baat ko darshati hai ke bearish bias ab bhi qayam hai UK ke Office for National Statistics ne Tuesday ko report kiya ke ILO unemployment rate July tak ke teen mahinon mein 4.2% se 4.1% tak gir gaya, jaise ke umeed thi. Is dauran employment 265,000 tak barh gaya, jo pehle 97,000 tha, jabke salana wage inflation jo ke average earnings excluding bonuses ke zariye measure hoti hai, 5.4% se 5.1% tak aayi. UK ke labor market data ne pound sterling ko madad di lekin risk-on market environment ne GBP/USD ko zyada upar jaane se roka Press time tak, UK ka FTSE 100 index din mein lagbhag 0.5% neeche tha. US economic calendar mein Tuesday ko koi high-impact data release nahi thi. Is liye, GBP/USD ko bulls ko attract karne mein mushkil ho sakti hai agar US session mein markets cautious rahe. Wednesday ko US Bureau of Labor Statistics August ka consumer price index data release karega Majmoi tor par, kamzor US economic data aur Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke possible interest rate cut ke indication ne US dollar ko kamzor kiya, jabke UK ke mazboot economic data aur Bank of England ke cautious approach ne pound ko support diya. Bank of England ne haal hi mein apna main interest rate 5% tak kam kiya hai aur traders intezar kar rahe hain ke is saal ke aakhir tak aur bhi cuts honge jo ke 41 basis points honge. Wohi, Federal Reserve se umeed hai ke is saal US interest rates mein 103 basis points ka cut hoga, jabke agli mahine ke liye 50 basis points ke cut ka tajzia ho raha hai. Is dauran, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer ne UK ki slow recovery ke hawale se khatar ki baat ki

GBP/USD Tajziyah:

Agar GBP/USD currency pair aakhri buland 1.33541 ke neeche girta hai, to yeh market mein pullback shuru hone ka ishara kar sakta hai. Aisi harkat se yeh zahir hota hai ke haal ki trading sessions mein upar ki taraf jo jazbaat the, woh kamzor ho rahe hain, aur sellers control hasil kar rahe hain. Pullback ek aam amal hai jab market mein trend hota hai, jahan keemat ek mazboot harkat ke baad peeche hoti hai, phir shayad apne asal disha mein laut aati hai.

1.33520 ka psychological level agla support ban sakta hai. Psychological levels wo hote hain jo traders ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain, kyunki yeh poore ya gol numbers ko darshate hain jo market ke jazbat ko asar andaz karte hain. Is case mein, 1.33520 ka level aakhri buland ke thoda neeche hai, aur iska qareeb hona is pullback ki taqat jaanchne ke liye ek ahm point hai. Agar keemat is level se upar rahi, to yeh darshata hai ke buyers ab bhi control mein hain aur girawat shayad temporary hai. Lekin agar 1.33520 se neeche girta hai, to yeh gehra pullback hone ki sambhavna ko barha dega.

Iske baad 1.33172 ka low hai, jo ek aur ahm support level hai. Agar keemat 1.33520 ke neeche girti hai, to traders 1.33172 par tawajjo denge. Is level se neeche rukawat agar barh jaati hai, to yeh darshata hai ke pullback mazid taqat hasil kar raha hai, aur aage girawat ke pressure se pair aur neeche ja sakta hai.

Is surat mein, traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye. Pullback khatar aur mauqa dono ka darshata hai. Ek taraf, yeh buyers ke liye mauqa faraham karta hai ke woh market mein neeche levels par dobarah shamil ho sakte hain, yeh samajhte hue ke overall uptrend pullback ke baad dobarah shuru hoga. Doosri taraf, agar pullback ek puri tarah ke reversal mein badalta hai, to jo traders is pair par hain unhein kafi nuqsan ho sakta hai. Isliye, kisi bhi trading faislay se pehle price action ki tasdiq dekhna bohot zaroori hai.




Aaj ke session ke liye, 1.33520 aur 1.33172 ke support levels ke ird gird keemat ka kaisa bartao hai, yeh dekhna bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar keemat in levels se upar uthti hai, to yeh darshata hai ke pullback sirf ek correction hai, aur uptrend dobarah shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin agar in supports se neeche girta hai, to yeh aage girawat ke liye darwaze khol sakta hai, shayad ek bada trend reversal darshate hue. Traders ko market ke jazbat aur technical signals par nazar rakhni chahiye taake wo is surat-e-haal ko achi tarah samajh saken.

Spot Price Tajziyah:

Spot price ne naya jazba dikhaya hai aur 1.3290 ke aas-paas ke consolidation range se bahar nikal gaya hai. Yeh bullish harkat Cable ko naye short-term bulandiyon ki taraf le ja rahi hai, jahan agle targets 1.3340 ki taraf hain. Filhal, yeh pair 1.2298 ke region ke paas trade kar raha hai, jo currency pair ke liye ek positive outlook darshata hai.

GBP/USD ke Buniyadi Pehlu:

Yeh pair U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein taqat hasil kar raha hai kyunki dollar kamzor ho raha hai. Yeh long-term trend chalta rahega, khaaskar haal ki upar ki taraf ke jazbat aur UK mein mazboot consumer spending ke madde nazar. July ke liye retail sales data ne 1% ka izafa dikhaya, jo expectations se zyada hai aur Pound ke liye bullish outlook ko mazid barhata hai.

Pichle hafte UK se GDP data ka release Pound ke liye positive jazbat ko barhata hai. UK ki ma'eeshat ne doosre quarter mein 0.6% ka izafa dikhaya, jo expectations ke mutabiq hai. Saal dar saal, GDP growth Q2 mein 0.9% raha, jo forecasts se milta hai aur pichle quarter ke 0.3% se behtar hai. Yeh economic indicators GBP par confidence ko barhane mein madadgar sabit hue hain.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Hamari pehle ki umeedon ke bawajood ke spot price 1.3300 ke mark se upar nikal jayega, currency ne 1.2800 se 1.3340 ke trading range mein rehkar 1.3335 par band kiya, jo 1.27% ka izafa darshata hai. Filhal ke price movements yeh darshate hain ke price ek sideways trading phase ka samna kar rahi hai. Aaj ke liye, traders ko pair ke 1.3280 se 1.3350 ke darmiyan ghoomte hue dekhne ki umeed hai.




Chhote waqt ka outlook optimistic hai, lekin ehtiyaat baratne ki salahiyat hai. Agar pair 17 July ke buland 1.3041 se neeche girta hai, to yeh ek potential pullback ka ishara ho sakta hai. 1.3200 ka psychological level agla support ban sakta hai, aur 1.3172 ka low iske baad aata hai. In levels ko monitor karna traders ke liye zaroori hoga taake wo is waqt ke market dynamics ko samajh saken.

GBP/USD Market Outlook

UK ka Official Bank Vote aur CPI rate is hafte GBP/USD ke buyers ki madad nahi kar sake. Lekin, US FOMC, Federal Rate, Philly Fed Manufacturing index, aur doosre data ne buyers ke liye bohot madadgar sabit hue. Isliye, unhone kal 1.3200 ka zone asani se cross kar liya. Harker ki taqreer mein Federal Reserve ke interest rates par nazar ka jhalak mil sakti hai. Pichle kuch mahine se Fed inflation ko sambhalne aur ma'eeshat ke growth ko barqarar rakhne ke do challenges ka samna kar raha hai. Jabke inflation thodi der ke liye kam hoti nazar aa rahi hai, yeh ab bhi Fed ke 2% ke target se upar hai. Sath hi, ma'eeshat ki growth dheemi ho gayi hai, jo recession ki sambhavnaon ko barhati hai. Fed ka faislay karne ka amal in mukhtalif objectives ke darmiyan balance banana hota hai, aur Harker se kisi bhi future rate hikes ya cuts ka ishara market sentiment par gehra asar dal sakta hai.

Umeed hai ke GBP/USD jaldi ya baad mein 1.3265 ka zone cross karega. Agar Harker ka lehja hawkish hota hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke Fed inflation ke khilaf aur interest rates barhane ki taraf hai, to US dollar mazid mazboot ho sakta hai. Uchi interest rates aam tor par foreign investment ko attract karti hain, kyunki yeh US assets par behtar returns faraham karti hain, jo dollar ki demand ko barhata hai. Mazboot dollar ke natije mein doosri currencies, jaise euro, pound, ya yen, ki keemat mein kami dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Iske ilawa, mazboot dollar ka asar commodities markets, khaaskar sona aur tel ke daamon par bhi hoga, jo aam tor par dollar ke saath ulta rakhte hain.




Main GBP/USD par buy order dene ka faisla kar raha hoon, short target 1.3265 ke saath. Lekin, agar Harker ki taqreer dovish hoti hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke Fed shayad interest rates ko rok ya ghatane par ghoor kar raha hai, to US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai.

Khush rahiye aur pur sukoon rahiye!

Spot Price Tajziyah:

Spot price ne haal hi mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein ek naya mawaqi buland kiya hai, jo Thursday ke North American session mein 1.3315 ke psychological resistance level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh upar ki taraf ka jazba is pair ki taqat ko darshata hai, jabke US Dollar ka outlook din ba din behtar nahi hota ja raha. Khaas taur par yeh andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) shayad September mein interest rates ghatana shuru kare, jo Greenback ki position ko aur mushkil bana raha hai.

Traders aur investors ma'eeshat ke indicators aur Federal Reserve ke bayanat ko nazar mein rakh kar GBP aur USD dono ki potential direction ko samajhne ki koshish karenge. UK ki ma'eeshat ki taqat aur US ki monetary policy ka interrelation currency pair ki mustaqbil ki raah ko tay karne mein ahmiyat rakhta hai.

GBP/USD ke Buniyadi Pehlu:

Jabke US Dollar abhi tak mushkil mein hai, haal ke economic data ne Greenback ke liye kuch umeed ki kiran faraham ki hai. US Census Bureau ne retail sales mein 1.0% ka mehsoos izafa report kiya, jo July mein hua. Yeh June ke 0.2% ke ghatne se ek significant turnaround hai aur 0.3% ke izafe ki umeed se bhi zyada hai. Is ke ilawa, 9 August ko khatam hone wali hafte ke liye Initial Jobless Claims 227,000 par aa gaye, jo 235,000 ki forecast se kam hain aur pichle hafte ke 234,000 se bhi ghat chuke hain.

US retail sales ki substantial growth, ab 18 mahinon ke buland par, recession ke khauf ko kuch had tak kam karne mein madadgar sabit hui hai. July ke figures, jo 0.3% ke projected izafe se kafi zyada hain, ne analysts ko US ma'eeshat ki taqat par dobarah ghor karne par majboor kiya. Lekin, is positive khabar ne market ki expectations ko Fed ke potential interest rate cuts ke hawale se zyada tabdeel nahi kiya, jo USD ke liye mixed sentiment ki wajah bana.

Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

GBP ki resilience ke sath, yeh filhal kal ke peak se thoda upar trade kar raha hai, jo currency ka mid-2023 se ab tak ka sabse uncha value hai. Intraday aur daily trend momentum indicators mein bullish signals nazar aa rahe hain, jo yeh darshate hain ke GBP 1.3350 ki taraf apni upward trajectory continue kar sakta hai. Support mid se upper 1.3200 range mein dekhne ki umeed hai, jo kisi bhi potential dip ke liye ek safety net faraham karega.




Lekin, GBP ki upar ki taraf ki yatra challenges se khali nahi hai. Agar bullish momentum current levels ko paar karne mein nakam hota hai, to traders ko short pressure trap ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Yeh surat-e-haal four-hour candlestick charts par double-top formation bana sakti hai, jo ek significant pullback ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Sabse qareeb technical support level 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo 1.3162 ke aas-paas hai.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis

Sterling ne pichle trading haftay mein phir se growth dikhai aur apne nuqsan ka lagbhag aadha hissa wapas hasil kiya. Pehle, price 1.3082 ke level se neeche gir gayi thi, signal zone mein aur aage barhti gayi, lekin yahan significant support mila, jisne isay apne upward momentum ko dobarah shuru karne diya. Iske natije mein, umeed ki gayi growth hasil nahi hui, lekin target territory ab bhi kaam karne ke liye maujood hai. Sath hi, price chart super trendy green zone ki taraf lautne laga hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke buyers control hasil kar rahe hain.

Aaj ke technical analysis mein, 4-hour chart par nazar daalain to hum dekhte hain ke pair breakout resistance 1.3130 ke upar temporary support hasil kar raha hai, aur 50-day moving average price ko support kar raha hai. Average moving average phir se neeche ki taraf chali gayi hai. Isliye, agle kuch ghanton mein 1.3180 ka target rakhte hue ek uptrend ki sambhavna hai, jo growth ko barha dega aur isliye short term mein 1.3210 aur 1.3230 ki taraf ek channel khol dega. Humein yaad dilana hai ke trading ab 1.3130 ke neeche aur sirf 1.3100 ke upar stable hai, jo pair ki downward correction ko dobarah shuru kar dega, targets 1.3065 aur 1.3040 se shuru hote hue.




Filhal, pair thodi upar weekly highs par trade kar raha hai. Badi support areas ko test kiya gaya hai aur, barhati hui tension ke bawajood, inhone apni integrity ko banaye rakha hai, jo upward vector ki ahmiyat darshata hai. Growth ko jari rakhne ke liye, price ko jaldi hi 1.3082 ke upar mazbooti hasil karni hogi, jo ke main support area ki border hai. Is area ke upar rebound karna ek mauqa faraham karega further growth ka, target area ke liye jo 1.3427 se 1.3500 ke darmiyan hai.

Agar support toot jata hai aur price 1.2994 ke pivot level se neeche gir jati hai, to maujooda scenario cancel ho jayega.

GBP/USD Price Analysis

Is tajziye mein GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza liya gaya hai. Yeh pair filhal upar ki taraf ja raha hai, aur agar hum daily chart ko dekhein, to is mein kai din ka sideways movement nazar aa raha hai. Ab sab se aham sawal yeh hai ke kya bullish aur sideways trend barqarar rahega ya hum kisi tabdeeli ki umeed kar sakte hain. Aayiye, aaj ke outlook ke liye technical analysis par nazar daalain. Moving averages aur technical indicators dono buy ka strong signal de rahe hain. Lekin, ek clear faisla abhi tak nahi hua.

Khabron ki taraf dekhein to UK se kuch aham updates aayi hain, lekin wo neutral nazar hoti hain. Iske muqablay mein, US se khabrein zyada optimistic hain, aur baad mein aur bhi critical updates ki umeed hai. Is sab ke madde nazar, pair apne upward momentum ko jari rakhega, jahan potential buying resistance level 1.3259 tak ho sakti hai. Agar koi selling hoti hai, to yeh support level 1.3179 tak ja sakti hai. Ek bullish trend ki umeed hai, aur sideways pattern se breakout ki sambhavna bhi nazar aati hai.




Aaj, pair ne tezi se rise kiya, apne target tak pohanchte hue phir se palat gaya. Chart dikhata hai ke pair ne 1.3254 ka resistance level test kiya, phir peeche aaya, aur ab 1.3203 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. RSI neutral hai lekin upar ki taraf dekh raha hai, jabke Awesome Oscillator (AO) sell signal dikhata hai. Pair kal ke trading range ke andar hai, lekin indicators potential growth ka ishara dete hain. Mujhe umeed hai ke pair phir se 1.3254 ka resistance level test karega, aur shayad 1.33 range ki taraf break karega.

Filhal, halat utni optimistic nahi hai. Buyers apna momentum khote ja rahe hain, jabke din ki shuruaat promising thi. GBP/USD ab 1.3139 aur 1.3262 ke beech tight range mein move kar raha hai. Agar pair 1.3199 ke upar banay rakhta hai, to agle upward movement ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Lekin, aaj ka critical point 1.3262 ka resistance break karna hai, jo naye bulandiyon ki taraf rasta khol sakta hai. Agar pair 1.3139 ke neeche girta hai, to yeh short-term downtrend ko dobarah shuru kar sakta hai, jo 1.2999 ki taraf ghatne ka khatra hai.

GBPUSD Pair Ka Technical Analysis

1-hour chart par, aaj ki trading mein price ne neela channel ke andar trading shuru ki, jo ke sideways hai. Yeh do trading dinon ki price movement ko dikhata hai. Red channel ka rukh upar hai, jo kal ki movement ko darshata hai.

Price ne red channel ko neeche ki taraf tor diya, lekin jab price ne neela channel ki line tak pohanchi, to yeh upar ki taraf rebound hui aur phir se red channel mein trading shuru kar di. Ab neela channel upar ki taraf torne ki koshish kar raha hai.

Is liye, aaj aur kal is pair ka upward trend jaari rehne ki sambhavna hai, aur pehla target abhi ke liye weekly resistance level 1.3339 hai.

Economic pehlu par, pair ki price ne US dollar ki kamzori ka faida uthaya, jab Federal Reserve ne US interest rates ko 50 basis points se kam kiya. Federal Reserve ne is saal aur 100 basis points ka izafa karne ka bhi izhar kiya.




Is darmiyan, traders aaj Bank of England ke monetary policy faislay ke liye tayyar hain. Aasha hai ke Bank of England interest rates ko waise hi rakhega, lekin traders ko November aur December mein cuts ki ummid hai, aur 2025 mein aur paanch cuts ki bhi. Easing cycle August mein shuru hua jab central bank ne borrowing costs ko 25 basis points se ghataya. UK ki annual inflation August mein 2.2% par rahi, jo ke expectations ke mutabiq hai, jabke services inflation 5.6% tak pahuncha, jo ki ummeed ke mutabiq hai. Core inflation bhi 3.6% tak pahuncha, jo 3.5% ki expectations se zyada hai. Lekin, dono services inflation aur headline rate central bank ke August mein diye gaye forecasts se neeche hain.

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**GBP/USD Ka Upar Ki Taraf Rujhan**

GBP/USD ka jorha teen din se upar ki taraf chal raha hai, aur jumme ko yeh 1.3300 ke qareeb hai. Bank of England ka faisla ke wo shiddat e souda ko barqarar rakhe ga aur sarkari qarz ka stock kam kare ga, is ne British pound ko madad di. Is ke muqabil, US dollar par Federal Reserve se aane wale rate cuts ki umeed ke chalte dabao hai, jo GBP/USD jorhe ko upar ki taraf barhane ka ek aham sabab bana.

**Technical Nazariye Se**

Short-term downtrend line ke upar sustain break aur positive oscillator readings yeh darust karti hain ke GBP/USD ka upar ki taraf barhna jaari reh sakta hai. Magar, daily chart par RSI thoda overbought signal de raha hai, is liye traders ko naye positions shuru karne se pehle intraday consolidation ya thodi pullback ka intezar karna chahiye.

**Maqsad Ki Taraf**

Overbought signal ke bawajood, GBP/USD aage barhne ke liye tayaar lagta hai, jiska maqsad 1.3365 tak jana hai, phir 1.3400 level ko challenge karna, aur mumkin hai ke March 2022 ke swing highs tak bhi pohanchay. Yeh jorha 1.3200 level ke upar bana reh gaya hai, jo Federal Reserve ke ghalat rate hike ke baad se hold kiya hua hai.

**Agla Aham Waqia**

Bank of England ka interest rate ka faisla agla aham waqia hai, aur abhi jorha August line 1.3265 ke qareeb hai. Upar ki taraf ke khatarat positive oscillator readings ki wajah se hai, magar Stochastic ki pullback ki tayyari bhi hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.3265 ke upar nikalta hai, to yeh May se resistance line ki taraf rally kare ga, jo filhal 1.3350 par hai. 1.3400 ka psychological level bhi ek challenge ho sakta hai, lekin agar yeh isay paar kar leta hai, to 1.3600 ki taraf mazeed faida ki sambhavna hai.

GBP/USD Price Action

Main filhal GBP/USD currency pair ki price action ka jaiza le raha hoon. Aisa lagta hai ke Bank of England kal interest rate nahi ghatayega, jo ke GBP/USD ke liye aage badhne ka sabab ban sakta hai. Yeh trend election se pehle se chala aa raha hai, aur October mein koi meeting nahi hai, is liye agla aham ijtima November mein hoga, elections ke baad. Us waqt, rhetoric mein thoda tabdeel ho sakta hai. Bulls ne mazbooti se har support level ko wapas hasil kiya hai aur bearish momentum ko kam kiya hai. Yeh upward movement ko mazid mazbooti de raha hai, jo ke ek solid bullish trend ki taraf ishara karta hai. Agar pair yeh rukh jari rakhta hai, to yeh upar ja sakta hai, jo ke critical resistance level 1.3314 tak pohanch sakta hai. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke pair kisi bhi kami ke doran support level 1.3182 se neeche na jaye. Yeh agle khabron se pehle ek temporary pause ho sakta hai, jahan US dollar aur Fed ka role ahmiyat rakhta hai. Rate cut ka size bara hoga, lekin Powell ke beyanat bhi market ko asar dene wale hain.




GBP/USD ka daily chart upar outline kiya gaya hai. Ab hum chaar ghante ke time frame par focus karte hain. 1.3264 ke high se bounce karne ke baad, pound/dollar pair bearish ho gaya, ek descending price channel banate hue. Filhal, pair 1.3209 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke resistance line ke saath hai. Channel ke upper boundary se rebound hone ki strong sambhavna hai, jo 1.3149 tak gira sakta hai aur phir 1.3099 tak bhi. Medium term mein, mujhe lagta hai ke pair descending channel ke lower boundary tak gir sakta hai, jo ke daily chart ke mutabiq 1.2999 level par hai. Is liye, focus selling opportunities par hai. Aaj, GBP/USD ne apne steady rise ko jaari rakha, jo 1.3234 ke initial targets ko paar kar raha hai, aur nayi targets higher levels par bana sakta hai. Iske bawajood, pair ne thoda pull back kiya, jo 1.3199 ke aas paas hai.

GBP/USD

Sab ko Salam aur Good Morning!

Aaj, UK MPC ke Official Bank Rate Votes aur Monetary Policy GBP/USD ke buyers ko 1.3256 ke resistance zone ko cross karne mein madad de sakti hai. Saath hi, US ka Unemployment rate baad mein ek aakhri kirdar ada kar sakta hai. Kal, US Building Permits ka data 1.41 million se barh kar 1.48 million ho gaya, jo ke construction aur housing sectors mein ek positive shift ko darshata hai.

Building permits ka yeh izafa yeh darshata hai ke residential construction ki demand barh rahi hai, jo ke US ki economic activity par gehra asar dal sakta hai. Construction sector ko aksar ek aham economic indicator samjha jata hai, kyunki yeh labor, materials, aur related services ki demand ko drive karta hai. Is izafe se sector mein employment mein izafa ho sakta hai aur yeh broader economic expansion ki taraf bhi ishara karta hai, kyunki building permits aksar naye gharon ki construction aur doosri infrastructure developments se pehle aate hain.

GBP/USD traders ko dar ke saath trade karna chahiye aur stop loss ka behtareen istemal karna chahiye. Iske saath, yeh bhi dekhna zaroori hai ke US Crude Oil Inventories negative taraf shift hui hain, jo -0.2 million se -1.6 million tak gayi hai. Yeh data crude oil reserves mein kami ko darshata hai, jo energy prices par significant asar dal sakta hai. Jab inventories girti hain, to yeh aksar demand ke izafe ya production ke ghatne ki taraf ishara karta hai, dono hi halat mein oil prices barh sakte hain.




Crude oil prices aur inflationary pressures ke darmiyan ka taluq bhi nazar andaz nahi kiya jana chahiye, kyunki barhte hue oil prices goods aur services, transportation, aur manufacturing ke costs ko asar daal sakte hain. Yeh crude oil inventories mein kami global supply constraints ya barhti hui consumption rates ki taraf bhi ishara kar sakti hai, jo energy markets mein price fluctuations ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Commodities, khaaskar oil par focus karne wale traders ko in dynamics ka khayal rakhte hue apni strategies develop karni chahiye.

Khush rahiye aur mehfooz rahiye!

GBP/USD Price Dynamics

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ki live pricing movements ka jaiza le rahe hain. Haal hi mein market mein volatility dekhi gayi hai, jis ki wajah se price direction ka andaza lagana mushkil ho gaya hai. Ab sabki nazar US Federal Reserve ke agle interest rate faislay par hai, jahan rate cut ki umeed hai. Bohat se traders ko ummid hai ke US dollar kamzor hoga aur major currencies mazid mazboot hongi.

Jab hum British pound ka daily chart dekhte hain, to humein ek ascending price channel nazar aata hai jo 1.2301 level se rebound hone ke baad bana. Is channel ke andar teen growth waves hain aur sirf do decline waves. Teesri decline wave shuru ho chuki hai lekin yeh poori tarah se asar daalti nazar nahi aa rahi. Fed ka khabar jald hi aane ki umeed hai, is liye mujhe lagta hai ke yeh wave apni completion ki taraf ja rahi hai, aur GBP/USD pair 1.2999 tak gir sakta hai, jahan isay upward channel mein support mil sakta hai.

Current 4-hour chart par bullish trend dominate hai, aur GBP/USD pair upward strength hasil kar raha hai. Prices Ichimoku cloud ke upar trade kar rahi hain, jo ke bullish momentum ka ishara hai. Upward-trending stochastic indicator bhi buying sentiment ko support karta hai. Pichle trading session mein pair ne apne pehle resistance level ko tor diya aur upar ki taraf badhne laga. Bulls apni gains ko banaye rakhte hain, aur pair ab 1.3206 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Intraday growth ke liye agla target next resistance level hai.



Mujhe lagta hai ke uptrend jaari rahega, aur agar yeh second resistance level 1.3246 ko tor deta hai, to yeh 1.3338 ki taraf nayi growth wave ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar bearish pressure waapas aata hai, to 1.3027 support level market ko short term mein guide kar sakta hai. Lekin filhal bearish taraf ka rasta seemit nazar aata hai, aur focus mazid upward movement par hai.