𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

**GBP/USD D1 Chart**

GBP/USD currency pair ne Asian trading session ke dauran Friday ko positive territory mein trade kiya, jo US dollar ki ongoing weakness se support mila. Market participants ka intezar hai ke US non-farm payrolls data August ke liye release ho, jo Federal Reserve ke interest rate decision ke hawalay se expectations ko significant taur par mutasir karega. Pehle wale haftay mein jo Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report aayi thi, usne August mein private sector job growth mein kami dikhayi, jo Fed ke taraf se rate cut ki umeed ko barhawa de rahi hai. Market is waqt September 17-18 meeting mein ek rate cut ko price kar raha hai. Pound ko bhi Bank of England (BoE) ke taraf se ek potential rate cut ki umeed se support mila hai. Jab ke BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne ishara diya ke inflationary pressures ab kam ho rahe hain, lekin unhone jaldbazi mein rate cut karne se inkaar kiya hai. Investors ne 25% chance BoE rate cut ke liye price kiya hai, lekin November tak rate cut ka pura imkaan price ho chuka hai.

**Thursday ka Halat**

GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ko kam volatility ke sath upward movement dikhayi. Market ke paas British currency ko kharidne ki koi khaas wajah nahi thi. Thursday ke quotes mein izafa ek correction ka natija tha, lekin ab tak humein US currency ke hawalay se koi excitement nazar nahi aa rahi, jo ke do saal se gir rahi hai. Yani jo movement hum dekh rahe hain, yeh kisi naye downward trend ka aghaz nahi lagta jo kam az kam ek saal tak rahe. Lagta hai market ne thoda correct kiya hai aur ab ek naye wave ke liye tayar ho raha hai jo ke baseless purchases ka hissa ho sakta hai.

Magar agar fundamentals aur macroeconomics dekhein, toh British currency ki growth mein koi khaas logic nahi hai. Downward trend tab tak barqarar hai jab tak ke price Ichimoku indicator lines aur descending trend line ke neeche hai. Shayad yeh hi is waqt US dollar ke liye akhri umeed hai. Jab se yeh maloom huwa ke America mein inflation 2.5% tak kam ho gayi hai, Federal Reserve har agli meeting mein rate cut kar sakta hai. Agar market ne waqai monetary policy easing ko price kar diya hai, toh yeh acchi baat hai—isse dollar bacha ja sakta hai. Warna, US dollar ko ek aur lambi girawat ka samna hoga. Sath hi, European Central Bank aur Bank of England ki monetary policies market participants ko itna dilchaspi nahi dein rahi.

**Signals aur Trend Analysis**

Kal teen trading signals bane. Price ne 1.3050 level se do dafa bounce kiya, lekin woh neeche 20 pips tak bhi nahi ja saka. Phir price ne 1.3050 ke ooper consolidation kiya aur humein aakhir kuch movement dikhayi di jisme hum paisa kama sakte thay. Lekin pehli short position ghatay mein rahi, toh Thursday ko profit ka imkaan zyada nahi tha.

Hourly time frame par, GBP/USD ab bhi correction mein hai, lekin yeh correction kisi bhi waqt khatam ho sakti hai. Ab tak market ko pair ko sell karke US dollar kharidne ki jaldbazi nahi dikh rahi. Isliye, British currency ka baseless aur illogical izafa dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Iska pata tab chalega jab price Senkou Span B aur Kijun-sen lines ke ooper consolidate karegi aur trend line ko cross karegi.

Aaj GBP/USD pair ne kaafi accha performance dikhaya hai. Pehle price 1.3236 ke aas paas target ko touch kiya, aur ab new highs ke paas ek support level bana raha hai, jo mazeed growth ka ishara deta hai. Lekin, lagta hai ke koi badi news aane se pehle ek pullback ya chhoti si decline ho sakti hai. Federal Reserve aur US dollar aaj ke movement ka central point hain, aur abhi uncertainty hai ke rate cut ka kya hoga. Federal Reserve ke Chairman ke comments market ke direction ko badalne mein aham role ada karenge.Halanki ab tak perspective bullish hai, lekin ek solid correction ki umeed hai. Agar price 1.3131 se neeche jata hai, toh yeh buying ka acha mauqa hoga, kyun ke overall trend abhi bhi upward hai, aur signal ko follow karte hue trade karna faidemand hoga.Moving average ne 1.31441 par buy signal diya hai jo ke Fibonacci scale ke 0.0 level ke barabar hai. Target price 1.32762 hai jo Fibonacci scale ke 100% level par hai. Signal ke baad market thoda neeche aya hai, lekin ek deeper correction ka koi imkaan nahi lagta.Fibonacci levels ke mutabiq agar price 1.32325 ke 50% level par hai, toh buying ke liye support milta hai. Bulls ka interest is level se upar hai, aur mazid growth ke chances hain. Fibonacci ke 61.8% aur 76.4% levels bhi bullish strategies ke liye acche points hain.Main umeed karta hoon ke price in levels se upward move karegi, aur target profit 1.33507 aur 1.33741 par rakha ja sakta hai, jahan par intraday volatility ke wajah se price thoda wapas aasakti hai.

Agla qadam hai ke hum US Federal Reserve System ke head ki speech ko 16:39 Moscow time par bariki se dekhein. Is ke ilawa, 16:59 par labor market vacancy statistics release honge, jo local volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain. Humne 1.2614 tak ke decline ko manage kiya, aur price ab 59 points barh gayi hai. Spread ko chhod kar, ye nateeja kafi acha hai. Hum GBP/USD situation ko 18:01 ke baad dobara assess karenge, Fibonacci grid ka review karte hue, chhote time intervals par 100 – 161.7 range par focus karte hue. Filhaal price view aur sentiment mein koi tabdeeli nahi dikhayi de rahi. Kal chhutti hai, lekin trading limited form mein chalegi, aur Thursday ko complete holiday hoga. Is wajah se trading week skewed hai aur Friday ko significantly start hoga, jo major players ko investing se roka sakta hai. Agar sirf speculative movements hoti hain, to wahi sawal uthta hai. Mera aaj ka main concern ye hai ke Americans apni holidays aaj ya kal se shuru karenge; lagta hai ke aaj se hi shuru karenge. GBP/USD ka rebound barh gaya hai, meri target zone 1.2639-59 tak pohnch gaya hai. Filhaal ke impulse se neeche ki taraf ek pullback zaroori hai, jiska aim 1.2700 level ke nazdeek hona chahiye, shayad isse bhi break kar sake. Kal ka high ko surpass karna mushkil hai, lekin movement ke dauran closely observe karna zaroori hai. Maine apni position already close kar di hai, current profit ko potential gains par preference dete hue. Overall, situation abhi bhi uncertain hai. Ye scenarios possible outcomes ko reflect karte hain. Agar slope break hoti hai to buyers ko upper hand GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka analysis karne se mutaliq hai. Agle hafte major central banks se kaafi significant action ki umeed hai, kyunki Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) apne interest rate decisions announce karne wale hain. Jabke Fed apna current rate ek aur meeting ke liye barqarar rakhega, BoE ko quarter-percentage-point rate cut ka speculation face karna pad raha hai. Money markets BoE ke base rate ko 5.24% se 5.9% tak kam hone ki forecasting kar rahe hain. Yeh anticipated narrowing of interest rate differential pound sterling par pressure daal raha hai. United States se recent economic data, jo Department of Commerce ne highlight kiya, steady growth trajectory ko reflect karta hai. Q2 ke preliminary GDP estimate ke mutabiq annual growth rate 2.7% hai, jo Q1 ke 1.3% se barh gaya hai aur forecasted 1.9% ko bhi surpass karta hai

GBP/USD ka jorha teen din tak positive bias ke saath trade karta raha, aur Jumeraat ko yeh Asian session ke doran 1.3300 mark ke aas paas raha, jo March 2022 ke baad ka sabse uncha level tha. 4-hour chart par relative strength index thoda 70 se upar hai, lekin investors qareeb waqt mein overbought conditions ko nazar andaz kar sakte hain. Upar ki taraf, 1.3300 (static level) pehla resistance hai, phir 1.3340 (March 2022 se static level) aur 1.3400 (round level) hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.3260 (stable level, pehli resistance) ke neeche pull back karta hai, to technical sellers action le sakte hain. Is level ke neeche, 1.3200 (constant level) agla support samjha ja sakta hai, phir 1.3150 (100 period simple moving average) hai. Halankeh pair ne din ke baad pull back kiya, lekin yeh positive territory mein close karne mein kamiyab raha. Bank of England ki monetary policy announcements se pehle, yeh pair bullish momentum ikattha kar raha hai aur 1.3250 ke upar achhi tarah se trade kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ne apne September meeting ke baad policy rate ko 50 basis points se kam kar ke 4.75%-5% ki range mein kar diya. Seedha market reaction dekhne ko mila jisme US Dollar ne intense selling pressure ka samna kiya aur GBP/USD mein rally shuru hui. Lekin session ke baad, ehtiyaati market sentiment ne USD ki losses ko limit kiya aur GBP/USD ko pull back karne mein madad ki.

Meeting ke baad press conference mein, Chairman Jerome Powell ne samjhaaya ke agar ma’ashiyat stable rahi to woh cuts ki pace ko dheere kar sakte hain, jabke unhone yeh bhi kaha ke job losses ka khatar barh gaya hai. BoE ka forecast hai ke Bank Rate ko 5% par barqarar rakha jaayega. Kyunki koi press conference nahi hogi, investors statement ki language aur votes ka distribution ko nazar rakhain ge. August mein, BoE ke policymakers ne 25 bps cut ke haq mein 5-4 ka vote diya tha. Agar BoE ke policymakers ka ek bada majority, 7 ya us se zyada, interest rates ko unchanged rakhne ka faisla karte hain, to pound apni taqat ko barqarar rakh sakta hai. Agar yeh phir se ek nazdeek ka faisla hua, jaise August mein tha, to phir GBP/USD ke liye uncha jaana mushkil ho sakta hai.

USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. But, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega. agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai , to pair wapas pehle ke taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai. In summary, GBP/USD pair ab ek important level par hai. 1.3050 ke upar agar break hota hai, to next target 1.3150 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas market mein reversal hota hai, to support ke liye 1.2800 ke aas-paas wapas ja sakta hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ki upward movement aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, aage kya hoga yeh dekhna hoga.**GBPUSD Latest Analysis** Pound Sterling ne is saal US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3050 par ek nayi high mark ki hai. GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. But, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega.

Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein convert ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, cable 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Magar, yeh 9 mein se 8 din barh gaya hai (aur ab tak ke 10 din mein se 9 din barh gaya hai), aur ek 13-month high 1.3050 par pohnch gaya hai. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota

**GBP/USD Currency Pair Ki Live Dynamics Ka Jaiza**

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing movements ki live dynamics ka jaiza lete hain. Haal hi mein market mein volatility dekhi gayi hai, jiski wajah se price direction ka andaza lagana mushkil ho gaya hai. Ab sab ki nazar U.S. Federal Reserve ke aane wale interest rate faislay par hai, jahan rate cut ki umeed hai. Bohat se traders ko umeed hai ke U.S. dollar kamzor hoga aur major currencies mazid mazboot hongi.

Jab hum British pound ka daily chart dekhte hain, to humein ek ascending price channel nazar aata hai, jo 1.2301 level se rebound karne ke baad bana. Is channel mein teen growth waves hain aur sirf do decline waves. Teesri decline wave shuru ho chuki hai, lekin ye puri tarah se khaas nahi hui hai. Fed ki news ke intezaar mein, meri umeed hai ke ye wave poori hogi, aur GBP/USD pair shayad 1.2999 tak gir sakta hai, jahan usay support mil sakta hai.

### GBP/USD Pair Ki 4-Hour Chart Ka Jaiza

Haal ka bullish trend 4-hour chart par dominant hai, aur GBP/USD pair upar ki taraf mazid taqat hasil kar raha hai. Prices Ichimoku cloud ke upar trade kar rahi hain, jo bullish momentum ki tasdeeq kar raha hai. Upar ki taraf jata hua stochastic indicator bhi buying sentiment ko support de raha hai.

Pichle trading session mein pair ne apna pehla resistance level tod diya aur upar ki taraf chalna jaari rakha. Bulls apni gains ko barqarar rakhne mein kamiyab hain, aur pair ab 1.3206 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Intraday growth ka target agla resistance level hai.

Mujhe umeed hai ke uptrend jaari rahega, aur agar pair doosra resistance level 1.3246 todta hai, to ye 1.3338 ki taraf nayi growth wave ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar bearish pressure wapas aata hai, to 1.3027 ka support level shayad market ko short term mein guide kare. Lekin, is waqt bearish side ka rasta seemit nazar aata hai.

**GBP/USD Currency Pair Ka Jaiza**
Ye analysis GBP/USD currency pair par mabni hai, jo Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicator ke sath sath RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ka istemal karta hai. Pehli darje ki regression line wazeh tor par upar ki taraf ja rahi hai, jo mazboot trend aur barhte hue momentum ki nishani hai. Non-linear channel bhi upar ki taraf jhuk raha hai, jo linear channel ki sunehri line ko neeche se upar ki taraf cross kar raha hai, jo price growth ka ishara karta hai.

RSI (14) aur MACD indicators buying position ko support karte hain, kyunke ye abhi oversold zone mein hain. Halankeh price kuch der ke liye linear channel ki doosri LevelSupLine support line ke neeche chali gayi thi, lekin ye ek low point par pahuncha aur dobara upar ki taraf chalu ho gaya. Umeed hai ke price doosri LevelSupLine ke upar wapas aaye gi aur sunehri LR channel line ki taraf aage barhegi, jo 1.33600 par hai, aur ye 61.8% Fibonacci level ke sath milta hai.

**USD/GBP Ka Jaiza**
Hello! Kal ke US Federal Reserve ki meeting ke natayej ne humein sochne par majboor kar diya hai ke agay kya hoga. Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke regulator ki taraf se interest rates mein achanak 50 basis points ki kami, jo ke 25 basis points ke andaze se zyada hai, abhi ke halat par bohot zyada asar nahi dalegi, jo ke kal ke natayej se pehle hi tay ho chuki thi.

Yeh nafrat hai ke GBP/USD pair 1.33 ki had se aage nahi barh sakega, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke filhal British pound kal ke drivers par aage barhta rahega. Halankeh yahan dekhne ka man karta hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke baad mein ek nai lehar shuru hogi, jab ke Jerome Powell ne kal ye kaha tha ke aane wale waqt mein interest rate ki kami nahi hogi, aur US economy achhi halat mein hai, jo GDP indicators aur key indicators ki growth se zahir hota hai. Yeh yeh bhi darshata hai ke recession ka khatra kam ho gaya hai. Iska matlab hai ke agar interest rate kam bhi hota hai, to investors ab bhi US dollar ko appealing samjhenge.

Filhal ke liye, technical picture yeh darshata hai ke pair ke quotes upar ki taraf dheere dheere barhenge, kyunke hamara target 1.3290 hai aur naya local maximum pichle value se zyada hai.

Currency Pair Behavior: GBP/USD

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ka price behavior breakdown karte hain. Aaj ke din GBP/USD pair ne kaafi acha performance dikhaya. Hum ne shuru mein qareebi targets ko 1.3236 ke aas paas hata diya, lekin local highs par ek nayi platform establish hui hai jo ke mazid growth ke potential ko darsha raha hai. Magar ab ek pullback ya decline hone ka imkaan hai jo ke aanay wali aham news ka pehlay se ishara hai. Aaj ki market movement mein Federal Reserve aur dollar central rahe hain, lekin market direction abhi tak predictable nahi hai kyun ke exact rate reduction abhi tak clear nahi. Powell ke remarks bhi ahem role ada karenge. Phir bhi, mera perspective nahi badla — mein ab bhi bullish move ki taraf dekh raha hoon. Magar, mein ek solid pullback ki umeed kar raha hoon; agar price 1.3131 ke neechay girti hai, to mein us waqt buying par ghore karunga. Haal ka uptrend ko dekhte hue, signal par trust karna aur trend ke direction mein trade karna munasib lagta hai.







Is strategy mein ek stop-loss shamil hai lekin koi tafseeli risk management system nahi diya gaya. Risk har trader ka alag hota hai, is liye yeh aapke deposit ke percentage par mabni hoti hai. Hum dusri chart mein H4 time frame ka istamal kar rahe hain, halaan ke signal pehle H4 se hi aya tha. Yeh time frame puri picture ko samajhne mein madad karta hai jab ke H1 utna madadgar nahi ho sakta. Moving average buy signal ke mutabiq stop-loss 1.31441 par rakha gaya hai (Fibonacci grid ke 0.0% level par), aur target level 100% par hai jo ke 1.32762 hai. Signal ke baad market ne is level ke neeche dip kiya tha, lekin humein deeper correction downward shayad na dekhne ko mile. Yeh sochne ki baat hai ke trade enter karte waqt risk-reward ratio 1:2 ya 1:3 rakha jaye. Agar 1:2 ka ratio rakhna hai to 1.31881 par buy karna ideal hoga, jab ke 1:3 ke liye target entry 1.31753 par hogi. Growth foran nahi aasakti, kyun ke candle analysis do technical levels ka ihtimal dikha raha hai: gray descending channel boundary aur blue ascending channel boundary.

Technical Analysis of GBP/USD

Pichlay trading hafta Sterling ne dobara growth dikhai aur apne losses ka taqreeban aadha wapas hasil kar liya. Price ne shuru mein 1.3082 ka level tor kar signal zone mein move kiya, lekin wahan significant support mili jisse upward momentum resume ho gaya. Nateeja yeh raha ke expected growth toh nahi hui, lekin target territory ab bhi workable hai. Saath hi, price chart dobara super trendy green zone ki taraf wapas aane laga hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers ne control hasil kar liya hai.

Aaj hum agar 4-hour chart par technical nazar daalen, toh yeh dikhai deta hai ke pair ko 1.3130 ke breakout resistance ke upar temporary support mil rahi hai, aur 50-day moving average bhi price ko support kar raha hai. Average moving average dobara neeche chali gayi hai. Is liye aanay wale chand ghanton mein uptrend ka imkaan hai, jiska target 1.3180 hai. Yeh growth ka interval mazeed barhne ka imkaan rakhta hai, aur chhoti muddat mein yeh 1.3210 aur 1.3230 tak ka channel khol sakta hai temporary growth ke sath. Hum yeh yaad dilate hain ke trading phir se 1.3130 ke neeche aur sirf 1.3100 ke upar stable rahegi, jo ke downward correction ko resume kar sakti hai, jisme targets 1.3065 aur 1.3040 se shuru ho rahe hain. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhiye:







Jori is waqt weekly highs ke thoda upar trade kar rahi hai. Large support areas test ki gayi hain aur tension ke bawajood apni integrity barqarar rakhi hai, jo ke upward vector ki ahmiyat ko zahir karta hai. Agar growth ko continue karna hai, toh price ko qareebi future mein 1.3082 ke upar mazid mazbooti hasil karni hogi, jo ke main support area ka border hai. Is area ke retest ke baad rebound hoga toh yeh mazeed growth ka mouqa dega, jiska target area 1.3427 aur 1.3500 ke darmiyan ho ga.

Agar support break hoti hai aur price 1.2994 ke pivot level ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh current scenario cancel ho jayega.

GBP/USD

Agar decline shuru hota hai, toh yeh GBP/USD currency pair ke liye kaafi strong hoga, lekin pehle humein iska intezaar karna padega. Halankeh iske signals ab dikhai dena shuru ho gaye hain, aur ab divergence ka signal bhi aaya hai jo MACD indicator se nazar aa raha hai. Yeh signal 5th wave ke north complete hone ke baad dikhayi diya hai, jo shayad khatam ho chuki hai ya hone wali hai. Aane wale chand dinon mein downward impulse bhi ban sakta hai, lekin yeh impulse kaisa hoga, abhi tak clear nahi hai. Yeh sirf ek correction bhi ho sakta hai, aur phir ek nayi growth phase shuru ho, ya phir H4 chart par trend ka change aa sakta hai.

Har surat mein, filhaal market se bahar rehna behtar hai, kyun ke ab buying profitable nahi rahi aur mehngi bhi hai. Selling bhi abhi tak dangerous hai jab tak downward impulses confirm nahi ho jate. Halaankeh aap 1.3160-1.3200 ke level tak profit ke liye selling grid set kar sakte hain, lekin pehle dekhna hoga ke decline kis qisam ka hoga. Magar aam tor par, behtar yeh hoga ke rollbacks ka faida utha kar naye purchases karein aur trend ke mutabiq trade karein.







Kal US se aayi news ke baad, GBP/USD chart ne ek aam aur standard market manipulation dikhai, jo ke price ke pehle upar aur neeche hone ke doran hua, ismein mujhe kuch hairat angiez nahi laga. Jab price ne 1.3159 ka level neeche test kiya aur wahan se ek clear bullish signal bana jo volumes se confirm hua, toh maine buy ki trading position open ki. Aur aaj ke American session ke shuru hone se pehle, jab kal ka maximum update hua, toh maine apni buy position close kar di. Mera ye andaza tha ke kal ke upward price move ke baad, aaj ke din maximum ko update karne se GBP/USD ke upper liquidity hat chuki hai. Agar yeh waqai aisa hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq price 1.3144 ke accumulation area tak neeche aa sakti hai, aur yeh move neeche trading positions set karne ke liye ho sakta hai.

Spot price ne haal hi mein US Dollar (USD) ke khilaaf aik nayi monthly high hasil ki hai, aur Thursday ke North American session mein 1.3315 ke psychological resistance level ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai. Yeh upward momentum is baat ko highlight karta hai ke pair ki strength kaafi mazboot hai, jabke US Dollar ka future aur ziada bleak nazar aa raha hai. Ab yeh andazay lagaye ja rahe hain ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September se interest rates kam karna shuru kar sakti hai, jo ke Greenback ke liye muskilat paida kar raha hai.

Traders aur investors ab gheeri nazar rakhein ge economic indicators aur Federal Reserve ke bayanaat par taake GBP aur USD ka future direction samajh sakein. UK ki economic resilience aur US ki monetary policy ke darmiyan ka yeh taluq GBP/USD ki aindah trajectory tay karega.

Fundamentals of GBP/USD:

US Dollar ki current struggles ke bawajood, haali economic data ne Greenback ke liye thodi umeed ki kiran paida ki hai. US Census Bureau ne retail sales mein heran kun izafa report kiya hai, jo ke July mein 1.0% month-over-month rise tha. Yeh June ke 0.2% decline ke muqablay mein kaafi bara turnaround tha aur is ne expectations ko bhi peeche chor diya, jo ke 0.3% ka izafa tha. Iske ilawa, Initial Jobless Claims ke numbers week ending August 9 ke liye 227,000 tak gir gaye, jo ke 235,000 ke forecast se kam hain aur pichle haftay ke 234,000 se bhi neeche hain.

US retail sales mein yeh bara izafa, jo ke ab 18-mahinay ki high par hain, ne kuch had tak recession fears ko kam kar diya hai. July ke figures, jo ke project ki gayi 0.3% increase se kaafi zyada the, analysts ko US economy ki taqat ka dobara jaiza lene par majboor kar rahe hain. Magar yeh positive news abhi tak market ki expectations ko ziyada badal nahi saki regarding Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts, jis ki wajah se USD ke hawalay se mixed sentiment hai.






Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Jabke GBP mazboot hai, yeh ab tak kal ke peak se thoda upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke mid-2023 se currency ka sabse bara value hai. Bullish signals intraday aur daily trend momentum indicators mein dikhayi de rahe hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke GBP apni upward trajectory ko barqarar rakhte hue 1.3350 level tak ja sakta hai. Support 1.3200 ke range mein anticipate ki ja rahi hai, jo ke kisi bhi dip ke liye ek safety net ka kaam karegi.

Magar GBP ka upar ka safar mushkilat se khali nahi hai. Agar bullish momentum current levels ko cross nahi kar pata, toh traders short pressure trap ka samna kar sakte hain. Is scenario mein four-hour candlestick charts par double-top formation dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo ke aik bara pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai. Sab se qareebi technical support level 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hai, jo ke 1.3162 ke qareeb waqay hai.

GBP/USD ne apne aakhri faiday ko Tuesday ko European trading mein 1.3100 ke neeche consolidate kiya. UK ILO unemployment rate July tak ke teen mahinon mein 4.1% tak gir gaya, jo ke andazon ke mutabiq tha, jis ne pound sterling ko support di lekin majboor US dollar ki taqat ne GBP/USD ko rok kar rakha. Hourly chart mein relative strength index ab bhi 40 ke neeche hai 30 se recover hone ke baad, jo yeh batata hai ke GBP/USD ka aakhri rally aik technical correction tha. Neeche ki taraf, 1.3040 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level) agla support bana raha hai usse pehle 1.3000 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2965-1.2970 (Fibonacci 50% retracement, 200-period SMA). Agla resistance 1.3130 par hai, jahan 20-period, 50-period aur 100-period SMA, Fibonacci 23.6% retracement se milte hain. Agar GBP/USD yeh barrier cross kar leta hai, toh yeh apni recovery ko 1.3200 (psychological level, static level) tak barhane ke qabil ho sakta hai GBP/USD ne hafte ke pehle trading din ko negative mein close kiya aur Tuesday ko Asian session mein neeche aaya. Takriban teen hafton ka sabse kam level 1.3058 ko touch karne ke baad, yeh pair thoda rebound hua. Phir bhi, sabse qareebi technical nazar is baat ko darshati hai ke bearish bias ab bhi qayam hai UK ke Office for National Statistics ne Tuesday ko report kiya ke ILO unemployment rate July tak ke teen mahinon mein 4.2% se 4.1% tak gir gaya, jaise ke umeed thi. Is dauran employment 265,000 tak barh gaya, jo pehle 97,000 tha, jabke salana wage inflation jo ke average earnings excluding bonuses ke zariye measure hoti hai, 5.4% se 5.1% tak aayi. UK ke labor market data ne pound sterling ko madad di lekin risk-on market environment ne GBP/USD ko zyada upar jaane se roka
Press time tak, UK ka FTSE 100 index din mein lagbhag 0.5% neeche tha. US economic calendar mein Tuesday ko koi high-impact data release nahi thi. Is liye, GBP/USD ko bulls ko attract karne mein mushkil ho sakti hai agar US session mein markets cautious rahe. Wednesday ko US Bureau of Labor Statistics August ka consumer price index data release karega

Majmoi tor par, kamzor US economic data aur Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke possible interest rate cut ke indication ne US dollar ko kamzor kiya, jabke UK ke mazboot economic data aur Bank of England ke cautious approach ne pound ko support diya. Bank of England ne haal hi mein apna main interest rate 5% tak kam kiya hai aur traders intezar kar rahe hain ke is saal ke aakhir tak aur bhi cuts honge jo ke 41 basis points honge. Wohi, Federal Reserve se umeed hai ke is saal US interest rates mein 103 basis points ka cut hoga, jabke agli mahine ke liye 50 basis points ke cut ka tajzia ho raha hai. Is dauran, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer ne UK ki slow recovery ke hawale se khatar ki baat ki

GBP-USD Pair Movement ka Analysis

GBPUSD pair ka price correction FR 50 - 1.3232 ya FR 61.8 - 1.3214 par expected hai. Agar yeh downward correction successful hoti hai, jo aik achi retracement hoti hai, tou price upar ki taraf rally kar sakta hai aur 1.3313 ka test lay sakta hai. Lekin agar price neeche gir kar FR 78.6 - 1.3186 ko touch karta hai, tou price low levels 1.3152 tak ja sakta hai, phir wahan se SMA 200 ko dynamic support ke tor par test karay ga. Is bullish trend ke dauran, price ki movement ko upar ki taraf continue karne ka chance hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters oversold zone mein 20 - 10 ke level par enter hotay dikh rahe hain, jo yeh batata hai ke price ka girna ab rukne wala hai.

Jab parameters cross kar lete hain, tou iska matlab hota hai ke selling saturation point tak pohanch gaya hai aur price wapas upar jaane lagay gi. Lekin Awesome Oscillator (AO) ka perspective yeh dikhata hai ke uptrend momentum ab kamzor ho raha hai. Volume histogram, jo ke ab red ho gaya hai, level 0 ke kareeb aa raha hai positive area mein. Agar price retracement complete nahi kar pata ya FR 38.2 - 1.3251 ke upar bounce nahi karta, tou histogram negative area mein cross kar jaye ga.






Transaction Option

Trading plan ko bullish trend direction ke mutabiq follow karna chahiye aur price pattern structure ka dhyan rakha jaye jo abhi tak break of structure ka shikar nahi hua. BUY position ke entry point ka wait FR 50 - 1.3232 aur FR 61.8 - 1.3214 ke darmiyan retracement complete honay ka ho ga. Confirmation tab mile gi jab parameter oversold zone ko cross kar ke level 20 ke upar aa jaye ga. Jab AO indicator uptrend momentum show kare ga aur histogram volume wapas level 0 ya positive area ke upar widen ho ga, tab trade ko enter kiya ja sakta hai. Take profit ko FR 23.6 - 1.3275 ya high prices 1.3313 par liya ja sakta hai aur stop loss ko FR 78.6 - 1.3186 par place kiya ja sakta hai.

Jumeraat ko GBP/USD Pair ne Achievements Celebrate Ki

Jumeraat ke din GBP/USD pair ne aik significant achievement celebrate ki, jab pair ne ek-thai percent ka izafa kiya aur ek nayi 13-mahina high ko hit kiya. Yeh upward trend price ke liye teesray straight din ki gains ko represent karta hai, jo US Dollar (USD) ki softness ka faida utha raha hai. Overall market sentiment kafi upbeat hai, aur logon ko agle business activity surveys aur Jackson Hole Economic Symposium ka intezaar hai.

Traders is situation mein macroeconomic indicators par nazar rakhein huye hain jo ainday trends par roshni dal sakte hain. US aur UK se anay wali economic data releases market ke expectations ko shape karne mein ahmiyat rakhti hain aur trading strategies ko guide kar sakti hain.

Fed ka Rate Cuts Ka Ahista Rukh:

Jab ke market mein aggressive monetary policy easing ke hawalay se expectations kam hui hain, lekin zyada tar investors ko yakeen hai ke US Federal Reserve September tak rate-cutting cycle start kar de ga. Yeh sentiment San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ke remarks se mazid mazboot hua, jinhon ne borrowing costs ko kam karne ke liye ek ahista rukh ki zarurat ko emphasize kiya. Is wajah se US Treasury bond yields depressed hain, jo USD ki girawat mein contribute karte hain.







Risk-On Environment ka Faida GBP Ko:

Jo current risk-on environment chal raha hai, isne traders ko traditionally safe-haven USD par bullish positions lene se roka hai. Yeh dynamic GBP/USD pair ke liye positive outlook ko support karta hai, jo ke lagbhag do hafta lambi uptrend ko validate karta hai. UK aur US se limited macroeconomic data anay ki wajah se traders abhi tak Fed ke rate-cutting trajectory ke hawalay se further guidance ka wait kar rahay hain taake significant bets lagaye ja sakein.

H1 Chart Technical Indicators Mazid Strength Ko Favor Kar Rahay Hain:

Jumeraat ke din spot price ne resistance levels ko briefly test kiya, jab price 1.3312 par pohancha aur bullish territory mein apni position ko solidify kiya. Pair ne intraday high 1.3316 ko touch kiya, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke Sterling Greenback ke against April 2022 ke baad apni highest value ko achieve karne ke qareeb hai.

GBP/USD ka uptrend abhi bhi intact hai, khaaskar jab 50-day moving average (DMA) 1.3204 par bounce dekha gaya. Relative Strength Index (RSI) buyers ke haq mein momentum shift ko dikhata hai. Lekin, jab RSI overbought territory ke qareeb hai, tou traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye, kyun ke agay consolidation ka period aa sakta hai.