𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis

Aaj GBP/USD currency pair positive momentum dikhata hai, jo pichle din ke rebound par build kar raha hai. Yeh rebound pair ko 1.3031 mark se uthata hai, jo pichlay paanch dino ka low tha, aur Friday ko paanchwein din tak gain karta raha. US trading session ke dauran, pair ki spot prices mid-1.3100s ke upar chali gayi, jisme US Dollar (USD) ki modest decline ka bhi hissa tha. Market ke close tak, GBP/USD 1.3120 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, US monetary policy ke hawalay se market expectations mein bara tabadla aya hai. US Federal Reserve ke September mein 50-basis point interest rate cut ka imkaan 72.0% tak barh gaya hai, jo sirf ek hafta pehle 11.8% tha. Is barhti hui expectation ke natijay mein USD par short term mein downward pressure aa sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, July ke employment data ke weak hone aur US Unemployment Rate ke November 2021 ke baad se highest point tak pohanchne se recession ka khauf barh gaya hai.

Middle East mein jari tensions bhi market sentiment ko asar andaz kar rahi hain. Iran aur uske allies ke Israel ke khilaf retaliation ke threats, khaaskar baaz ahm military figures ki recent maut ke baad, barh gayi hain. Yeh geopolitical uncertainty investors ko risk-sensitive currencies, jaise ke Pound Sterling (GBP), se door kar rahi hai, jo forex market mein uski performance ko mutasir kar sakti hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Thursday ke din GBP/USD mein hone wali bullish bounce ne ek upward move ka raasta banaya hai. Pair ko 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par 1.3121 ke qareeb support mila, jo positive trend ke continuation ka ishara hai. Traders ab August ke end par 12-mah ke highs 1.3264 se -2.9% decline se recovery ka intezar kar rahe hain. Bullish momentum ke barqarar rehne ke liye GBP/USD ko 50-day EMA, jo ke 1.2971 par hai, ko overcome karna hoga. Filhal price action 50- aur 200-day EMAs ke darmiyan divergence dikhata hai, jo mixed signals ka pata deta hai.




Technical Positioning:

GBP/USD pair filhal ek critical juncture par hai, jisme 1.3100 ka level ek key support ka kaam kar raha hai. Asset abhi 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar position maintain kiye hue hai, jo ke 1.2863 ke aas paas hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 ke qareeb support dikhata hai, jo lower levels par potential buying interest ka ishara deta hai aur possible rebound ko indicate karta hai.

GBP/USD ki price movement ke mutabiq H1 time frame par, har dafa price XamaSystem indicator se bounce karti hai aur maximum update hota hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh jaldi tootay ga. Agar price indicator ko top se bottom tak tod kar niche consolidate karti hai, to hum hourly period MA120 ka test dekh sakte hain, jo ke 1.3151 par hai. Is jagah main dekhun ga ke price kaise react karti hai. Agar rebound hota hai, to GBP/USD ko thoda buy karna mumkin hai growth ke liye maximum tak jo 1.3265 hai. Main growth potential ko 1.3300 tak dekh raha hoon. Us ke baad, main aik reversal formation aur super sale ki umeed karta hoon jo 1.2800 ya us se neeche ja sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar hum MACD ko dekhen, to wo bhi yeh batata hai ke price further gir sakti hai, aur agar price red trendline ko break karti hai, to zyada bearishness ka rasta khul jaye ga. Bas yeh sab aaj ke liye. Umeed hai ke yeh humare liye mufeed hoga, aur apne tajurbaat comments section mein zaroor share karein.
Chart jo GBP/USD exchange rate dikhata hai wo pair ke growth ke miracles dikhata hai, jo kaafi ajeeb lagta hai Bank of England ki policy aur UK ke budget ke halat ko dekhte huay. Aaj ke Asian session ke doran US dollar ke thoda strengthen hone se GBP/USD quotes ka rollback hua hai current local maximum se jo four-hour chart par 1.3264 tha, lekin abhi reversal ki baat karna jaldi hogi. Pair ke liye upward slope ab bhi hai, halan ke bears ke paas bhi acha chance hai ke wo quotes ko blue moving average tak rollback karein. Jab tak quotes is moving average ke upar hain, downward correction ke full-fledged prospects kaafi doubtful hain. Lekin yeh aik mathematical calculation hai jahan price ka issue takreeban 350 points hai, lekin kya hum Friday tak is target tak pohanch payenge, yeh abhi bhi aik sawal hai. Yeh sirf mera opinion hai, aur niche di gayi picture mein iska zikr hai.



Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein convert ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, cable 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Magar, yeh 9 mein se 8 din barh gaya hai (aur ab tak ke 10 din mein se 9 din barh gaya hai), aur ek 13-month high 1.3050 par pohnch gaya hai. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai.

In summary, GBP/USD pair ab ek important level par hai. 1.3050 ke upar agar break hota hai, to next target 1.3150 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas market mein reversal hota hai, to support ke liye 1.2800 ke aas-paas wapas ja sakta hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ki upward movement aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, aage kya hoga yeh

GBP/USD ki price movement ke mutabiq H1 time frame par, har dafa price XamaSystem indicator se bounce karti hai aur maximum update hota hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh jaldi tootay ga. Agar price indicator ko top se bottom tak tod kar niche consolidate karti hai, to hum hourly period MA120 ka test dekh sakte hain, jo ke 1.3151 par hai. Is jagah main dekhun ga ke price kaise react karti hai. Agar rebound hota hai, to GBP/USD ko thoda buy karna mumkin hai growth ke liye maximum tak jo 1.3265 hai. Main growth potential ko 1.3300 tak dekh raha hoon. Us ke baad, main aik reversal formation aur super sale ki umeed karta hoon jo 1.2800 ya us se neeche ja sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar hum MACD ko dekhen, to wo bhi yeh batata hai ke price further gir sakti hai, aur agar price red trendline ko break karti hai, to zyada bearishness ka rasta khul jaye ga. Bas yeh sab aaj ke liye. Umeed hai ke yeh humare liye mufeed hoga, aur apne tajurbaat comments section mein zaroor share karein. Chart jo GBP/USD exchange rate dikhata hai wo pair ke growth ke miracles dikhata hai, jo kaafi ajeeb lagta hai Bank of England ki policy aur UK ke budget ke halat ko dekhte huay. Aaj ke Asian session ke doran US dollar ke thoda strengthen hone se GBP/USD quotes ka rollback hua hai current local maximum se jo four-hour chart par 1.3264 tha, lekin abhi reversal ki baat karna jaldi hogi. Pair ke liye upward slope ab bhi hai, halan ke bears ke paas bhi acha chance hai ke wo quotes ko blue moving average tak rollback karein. Jab tak quotes is moving average ke upar hain, downward correction ke full-fledged prospects kaafi doubtful hain. Lekin yeh aik mathematical calculation hai jahan price ka issue takreeban 350 points hai, lekin kya hum Friday tak is target tak pohanch payenge, yeh abhi bhi aik sawal hai. Yeh sirf mera opinion hai, aur niche di gayi picture mein iska zikr hai.



Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein convert ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, cable 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Magar, yeh 9 mein se 8 din barh gaya hai (aur ab tak ke 10 din mein se 9 din barh gaya hai), aur ek 13-month high 1.3050 par pohnch gaya hai. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair ki movements par kafi asar dala hai, khaaskar jab se U.S. labor market aur berozgaari ke reports saamne aaye hain. Data ke mutabiq August mein unemployment rate mein kami dekhne ko mili, jo ke pehle se expected thi, magar Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) ke figures forecasts se thode kam rahe, aur July ke numbers ko neeche revise kiya gaya. Is mixed data ka nateeja dollar mein sirf 50-pip ka izafa tha, jo ke mojooda market conditions ke lehaaz se itna khaas nahi hai. U.S. labor market ke chal rahe issues aur September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed bhi dollar ke future movements par asar daal sakti hain. Halaanki dollar ne recent taur par mazbooti dikhayi hai, magar data aur market sentiment yeh suggest karti hain ke U.S. currency ki sales dobara shuru ho sakti hain. 5-minute chart par, 1.3225 ke qareeb ek sell signal mila jisse price 1.3102-1.3107 ke range tak gir gayi, aur yeh ek profitable short trading ka mauqa bana. Ab market ka diyaan in economic developments par hoga ke yeh pair ki trajectory ko aanay walay dino mein kaise asar daalti hain.
GBP/USD Technical Recovery
Fed ke policymakers ne inflation ke 2% target ki taraf badhne par zyada confidence dikhaya hai. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, jo Kansas Bankers Association mein baat kar rahi thi, ne indicate kiya ke agar aanewale data is goal ki taraf progress dikhate rahte hain, to gradually federal funds rate ko kam karna appropriate ho sakta hai. Lekin, unhone individual data points par overreact karne se bhi warn kiya, aur patience ki zarurat par zor diya taake inflation par progress ko rokne se bachaya ja sake, jaise ke Reuters ne report kiya.
Pound Sterling ne hourly chart par positive divergence formation ke baad kuch recovery dikhayi hai. Yeh technical pattern, jahan asset higher lows form karta hai jabke momentum oscillator lower lows dikhata hai, aam tor par uptrend ke potential resume hone ka signal hota hai. Lekin, is upward potential ko fully validate karne ke liye additional indicators se confirmation zaruri hai.

GBPUSD

Weekly chart pe agar daikhain, toh current price structure bullish pattern bana raha hai, kyun ke aakhri 5 hafton mein buyers ka zabardast hamesha raaj raha hai. Do double marubozu candles hain jo is movement ka driving force hain, jo ke upper Bollinger Bands line ko successfully break kar chuki hain, jab ke sellers sirf 3 correction candles bana sake
Interesting baat ye hai ke overall price Red EMA200 ke upar hai, aur Blue EMA50 ne Purple EMA100 ko upper side se cross karna shuru kar diya hai. Ye moving averages ka combination yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ka pressure kaafi arsay se barqarar hai aur abhi bhi chala aa raha hai. Is waqt weekly candle ka close demand line area yaani weekly MA5/MA10 Low W1 ke lowest average price par hai, jo ke significant buying action ko trigger kar sakta hai aur price ko 1.3260 ki resistance se paar kar sakta hai. H4 timeframe ke movement ke zariye buy momentum signal ko clearly dekha ja sakta hai H4 chart pe dekha jaye toh buy signal, buy momentum ki surat mein, bilkul theek tareeke se aagaya hai, kyun ke candle ki position Blue EMA50 line ko bhi cross kar rahi hai aur Bollinger Bands ka shape expand ho raha hai. Jab ke sellers ka reaction kaafi kamzor hai, is liye kaha ja sakta hai ke aakhri 20 ghanton mein jo downward movement hui hai wo sirf ek correction hai. Is halat mein, traders ke liye buy position open karna safe hai, kyun ke price discount pe hai aur blue support zone 1.3100 - 1.3071 ke andar hai Yahan se andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke price pehla resistance 1.3208 - 1.3235 ko target karegi, aur ye resistance area bohot crucial hoga. Agar yeh break nahi hota, toh yeh bearish trend ka exchange trigger kar sakta hai, kyun ke pehle downward movement level 1.3264 se 1.3000 tak consistent tha aur lower lows bana raha tha. Is liye buyers ko zaroori hai ke 1.3235 ke resistance ko torain taake bullish bias wapas aaye

TRADING SETUP

> > Buy Limit blue demand zone 1.3100 - 1.3071 ke andar, SL 1.3050 aur TP 1.3235 ke sath.
Sell On Rejection agar 1.3235 resistance se rejection milta hai aur bearish pinbar candle banati hai, toh SL 1.3255 aur TP 1.3100 ke sath sell karein

Pound Sterling ne is saal US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3050 par ek nayi high mark ki hai. GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas reach kar liye hain, jo ek corrective retreat ka imkaan barhata hai. Jo log pound sterling ke bullish hain, unke liye 1.3140 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega.
Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein convert ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, cable 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Magar, yeh 9 mein se 8 din barh gaya hai (aur ab tak ke 10 din mein se 9 din barh gaya hai), aur ek 13-month high 1.3050 par pohnch gaya hai. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai.

In summary, GBP/USD pair ab ek important level par hai. 1.3050 ke upar agar break hota hai, to next target 1.3150 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas market mein reversal hota hai, to support ke liye 1.2800 ke aas-paas wapas ja sakta hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ki upward movement aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, aage kya hoga yeh dekhna hoga.**GBPUSD Latest Analysis**

Pound Sterling ne is saal US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3050 par ek nayi high mark ki hai. GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas reach kar liye hain, jo ek corrective retreat ka imkaan barhata hai. Jo log pound sterling ke bullish hain, unke liye 1.3140 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega

trade kar raha hai. Dovish Fed ki umeedon ne US dollar par dabao daalna jari rakha hai, kyunke traders apna tawajjo Jackson Hole Symposium mein Fed Chair Powell aur BoE Governor Bailey ke speeches par markooz kar rahe hain. 1.2900 (aakhri downtrend ke Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) fauran resistance ke tor par aligned hai, iske baad 1.2950 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement) aur 1.3000 (nafsiati level, static level) aata hai. Neeche ki taraf, pehli support 1.2850-1.2840 (Fibonacci 50% retracement, 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA)) par hai, jiske baad 1.2800 (100-period SMA, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) aur 1.367% Fibonacci hai. USD ne apna bullish momentum barqarar rakha aur juma ke European session mein 1.2900 ke zara neeche teen hafton ke buland tareen level par trade kiya. High-impact data releases ki adam mojoodgi mein, risk perception din ke doosre hissa mein pair ke action ko asar andaz kar sakti hai. Federal Reserve ke baray mein ummeed hai ke wo apne July monetary policy meeting mein interest rates ko unchanged rakhega. Fed ne apni benchmark funds rate ko 5.25% se 5.50% ke range mein rakha hua hai, jo ke dino se restrictive monetary policy ka sabse lamba dor hai. Market participants Jerome Powell ke comments ko dhyan se sunenge taake future policy rates ka pata chal sake. Jaise inflation Fed ke 2% target ke kareeb aa rahi hai, speculation hai ke central bank shayad September se apni policy ko ease karna shuru kar de.
Is waqt, GBP/USD pair zyada tar major pairs ke muqable mein struggle kar raha hai, siwaay Australian Dollar ke. Investors ko BoE ke August meeting mein ek potential interest rate cut ki umeed hai, jo ke March 2020 ke baad pehli dafa hoga. BoE ne inflation se ladne ke liye restrictive monetary policy ko December 2021 se barqarar rakha hua hai, jo ke pandemic-driven stimulus measures ke baad barh gayi thi.
GBP/USD ke 1-hour chart par ek naye din ka low 1.3106 dekha gaya, magar jor ne kuch had tak recovery ki hai. Market ke log Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke press conference se aage ke policy adjustments ke hawale se kisi bhi isharaat ka intezar kar rahe hain. Agar GBP/USD 1.3100 ke niche girta hai, to yeh key support levels, jaise ke 1.3106 ka low aur psychological 1.3100 mark ko test kar sakta hai

GBPUSD
GbpUsd Market Pair ka Daily Trading Time Window Analysis

Kal, Friday ko, GbpUsd market pair mein phir se sellers ka raaj raha jo bullish buyers ki tezi ko rokne mein kamiyab rahe. Sellers ne resistance area 1.3153-1.3150 ke neeche price ko rok ke rakha, jahan sellers ne price ko neeche girne se achi tarah se roknay mein madad ki. Distance zyada nahi thi, lekin sellers ka control zyada laga.

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ka istemal karte hue dekha gaya ke price ya candle ab bhi Red MA 50 area 1.2954-1.2956 ke upar hai aur bullish candlesticks ka raaj hai. Lekin agar sellers ki determination strong rahe to market band hone tak, sellers ke liye bearish movement ko continue karne ke mauqe hain, jahan price ko buyer support area 1.3035-1.3033 ke neeche le jane ka plan ho sakta hai. Agar yeh area penetrate ho gaya to Red MA 50 area ka raasta khul jayega.

Agle Monday ko trading karte waqt bearish fall ka mauqa ab bhi hai agar sellers price ko unke resistance area ke neeche rakhen. Bearish sellers ka target pehle buyer support area 1.3104-1.3102 hoga. Agar yeh area break hota hai to deeper bearish opportunities khulengi aur agla target buyer demand support area 1.3055-1.3053 hoga.

Conclusion:

Buy trading options tab kiye ja sakte hain agar price seller's resistance area ko successfully penetrate karti hai, jahan pending buy stop order 1.3153-1.3155 par lagaya ja sakta hai aur TP area 1.3178-1.3180 hoga.

Sell trading options tab kiye ja sakte hain agar price buyer's support area ko successfully penetrate karti hai, jahan pending sell stop order 1.3104-1.3102 par lagaya ja sakta hai aur TP area 1.3055-1.3053 hoga.

GBPUSD
GbpUsd Market Pair ka Daily Trading Time Window Analysis

Kal, Friday ko, GbpUsd market pair mein phir se sellers ka raaj raha jo bullish buyers ki tezi ko rokne mein kamiyab rahe. Sellers ne resistance area 1.3153-1.3150 ke neeche price ko rok ke rakha, jahan sellers ne price ko neeche girne se achi tarah se roknay mein madad ki. Distance zyada nahi thi, lekin sellers ka control zyada laga.

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ka istemal karte hue dekha gaya ke price ya candle ab bhi Red MA 50 area 1.2954-1.2956 ke upar hai aur bullish candlesticks ka raaj hai. Lekin agar sellers ki determination strong rahe to market band hone tak, sellers ke liye bearish movement ko continue karne ke mauqe hain, jahan price ko buyer support area 1.3035-1.3033 ke neeche le jane ka plan ho sakta hai. Agar yeh area penetrate ho gaya to Red MA 50 area ka raasta khul jayega.

Agle Monday ko trading karte waqt bearish fall ka mauqa ab bhi hai agar sellers price ko unke resistance area ke neeche rakhen. Bearish sellers ka target pehle buyer support area 1.3104-1.3102 hoga. Agar yeh area break hota hai to deeper bearish opportunities khulengi aur agla target buyer demand support area 1.3055-1.3053 hoga.

Conclusion:

Buy trading options tab kiye ja sakte hain agar price seller's resistance area ko successfully penetrate karti hai, jahan pending buy stop order 1.3153-1.3155 par lagaya ja sakta hai aur TP area 1.3178-1.3180 hoga.

Sell trading options tab kiye ja sakte hain agar price buyer's support area ko successfully penetrate karti hai, jahan pending sell stop order 1.3104-1.3102 par lagaya ja sakta hai aur TP area 1.3055-1.3053 hoga.

**GBP/USD Forecast: Potential Downturn and Key Levels**

Hello Yura,

GBP/USD pair ke liye dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke agle waqt mein iski upar ki movement dekhna mushkil hoga. Halanki recent decline evident hai, lekin yeh impulsive nature ki kami hai jo zyada significant downtrends se hoti hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke shayad hum ek series of minor declines dekh rahe hain, na ke ek decisive drop. Phir bhi, mujhe lagta hai ke pair ko further girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, khaaskar 1.30 se 1.3350 ke range tak. Lagbhag 65 points ki aur girawat ki zarurat hai takay yeh 1.3050 level tak pohnche. Yeh tajwez current technical setup aur market sentiment par base hai.

Agar GBP/USD pair 1.30 ke niche break nahi karta aur is level par stability establish karta hai, to short-term mein ek rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh rebound shayad bearish trend ke aage badhne se pehle aaye. Upcoming US economic data ko nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai, khaaskar jobless rate jo Friday ko release hoga, aur kisi bhi relevant non-cash data ko bhi dekhein. Agar economic indicators favorable hue, to 1.30 ke niche move hona zyada asaan aur plausible ho sakta hai. In data points ko observe karna zaroori hoga takay yeh samajh sakein ke pair lower trajectory ko sustain karega ya temporary upward correction dekhne ko milegi.

US data ke ilawa, UK inflation figures bhi jaldi available hongi, jo yeh batayengi ke Bank of England kaise respond karega. Agar Bank of England interest rates cut karta hai, to pound ka depreciation dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo Fed ke recent rate decrease ke contrast mein hai jisne GBP/USD pair ko boost diya. Market ne Bank of England ke rate cut ko consider nahi kiya, aur yeh scenario poori tarah se ignore kiya gaya hai.

Technical perspective se, weekly chart par dekhte hue, highest level jo recently reach hua tha, wo 1.3265 hai. Yeh level northern zigzag pattern ka peak ho sakta hai, jabke lowest recorded point 1.0345 hai. Is context mein, US dollar ko appreciation ke liye poised dekha ja sakta hai, aur minimum target 1.0345 tak pohnchne ki koshish ho sakti hai. Yeh potential movement south ki taraf significant zigzag pattern ko indicate karta hai, jo ek considerable bearish trend ko darshata hai.

Summary mein, jabke GBP/USD pair ne kuch resilience dikhayi hai, prevailing indicators aur technical patterns downtrend ki continuation ka suggest karte hain. Key economic data aur technical levels ko monitor karna crucial hoga agle hafton mein pair ke trajectory ko determine karne ke liye. US aur UK economic conditions ka interplay agle movement ko drive karega, isliye market developments se updated rehna aur trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karna zaroori hai

GBP/USD currency pair ne 1.3110 ke support area level se le kar 1.3100 tak ke support area ko break nahi kiya, jo ke pichlay hafte aur Jumma ke sab se kam trading levels the. Sellers ke liye ye support area break karna mumkin nahi tha, is wajah se aaj ki trading mein GBP/USD currency pair dobara USDX index ke muqablay mein mazid mazboot ho gaya. H1 timeframe trading chart pe GBP/USD currency pair ne ek bullish reversal trend divergence pattern banaya, aur sath hi ek golden cross pattern bhi bana, jo ke trading session mein trend ke shift ka indication hai.
GBP/USD ne ek significant reversal dekha, apne din bhar ke tamaam gains kho diye aur 1.3100 ke level se neeche gir gaya. Pound ki muskilat ke peeche ek wajah mazboot US economic data tha, khaaskar S&P Global Composite PMI for August, jo ke 54.1 pe aya jab ke expectations 54.3 ki thi. Ye growth zyada services sector ki optimism ki wajah se thi, jab ke manufacturing activity anticipated se zyada contracted hui. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne is ka response diya aur 101.00 se barh kar 101.60 tak chala gaya.
Bhala ke economic data mazboot raha, US dollar ka future uncertain hai, kyun ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rate cut ka speculation barh gaya hai. July FOMC meeting ke minutes ne dikhaya ke kuch policymakers ne us waqt hi borrowing rates kam karne ka mashwara diya tha, aur ab investors ko ziada yakeen hai ke Fed ne monetary policy ko soft karne ka rukh apnaya hai. Halankeh minutes mein ye bhi bataya gaya ke "substantial majority" officials ka kehna tha ke aglay meeting mein rate cut tabhi ho ga agar economic data expectations ke mutabiq raha. Hal hi mein US mein total employment ke girawat ne recession ke dar ko barhaya hai aur rate cut ki umeedon ko mazid fuel diya hai.



GBP/USD pair ne hafta ek bearish candle ke sath band kiya, lekin 1.2678 ke crucial support level se neeche break karne mein kamiab nahi hui. Ye suggest karta hai ke aglay haftay kuch aur bearish attempts ho sakti hain, magar us se pehle ek chhoti si upward correction ho sakti hai. Filhaal, daily chart pe indicator ne buy signal generate kiya hai, magar ye signal ab tak activate nahi hua. Price ka growth horizontal resistance 1.0684 pe limited raha hai, jo ke upward movement ke liye ek barrier bana hua hai. Is ke bawajood ke rise ka potential hai, mein abhi sell position lene mein hichkichahat mehsoos kar raha hoon due to existing divergence. Halankeh price ke chadhne ki guzarishat hain, koi bhi upward movement ko resistance ka samna ho sakta hai,

Currency Pair ka Positive Momentum:
Abhi ke liye currency pair positive momentum dikhata hai, jo kal ke rebound par base kar raha hai. Yeh rebound 1.3031 ke mark (jo ke pichlay 5 din ka low tha) se shuru hua aur Friday ko paanchween din tak tezi dekhne ko mili. US trading session ke dauran, pair ke spot prices mid-1.3100s ke upar chalay gaye, jisme ek chhoti si girawat US Dollar (USD) mein bhi madadgar rahi. Market ke band hone tak, GBP/USD 1.3120 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha.

Fundamental GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq US monetary policy ke hawale se market expectations mein aik bara tabdeeli hui hai. September mein US Federal Reserve ke taraf se 50-basis point interest rate cut ki probability 72.0% tak barh gayi hai, jab ke aik hafta pehle yeh sirf 11.8% thi. Rate cuts ki yeh barhtee hui umeed short term mein USD par pressure daal sakti hai. Iske ilawa, July ke employment data ke weaker-than-expected numbers aur US ka Unemployment Rate jo November 2021 ke baad se sabse zyada hai, ne US mein aik mumkinah mandi (recession) ka khauf barhadiya hai.

Middle East mein chal rahi tensions bhi market sentiment par asar daal rahi hain. Iran aur uske allies ke taraf se Israel ke khilaf inteqam ka khatra barh gaya hai, khaaskar kuch aham military afrad ki halakat ke baad. Yeh geopolitical uncertainty investors ko risk-sensitive currencies jaise ke Pound Sterling (GBP) se door rakhne ka sabab ban sakti hai, jo forex market mein GBP ki performance par asar daal sakti hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Thursday ko GBP/USD ke recent bullish bounce ne ek possible upward move ka raasta bana diya hai. Pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par 1.3121 ke qareeb support dhoondha, jo ke positive trend ke continuation ka ishara kar sakta hai. Traders abhi ek recovery ka intezar kar rahe hain jo 12-month highs ke -2.9% decline ke baad ho sakti hai, jo August ke end mein 1.3264 ke qareeb tha. Bullish momentum ke barqarar rehne ke liye, GBP/USD ko 50-day EMA jo 1.2971 par hai, ko cross karna hoga. Abhi price action mein 50- aur 200-day EMAs ke darmiyan divergence dikh raha hai, jo mixed signals ka pata de raha hai.

GBP/USD pair abhi aik critical juncture par hai, jahan 1.3100 ka level ek key support ka kaam kar raha hai. Yeh asset apne 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo ke 1.2863 ke aas paas hai, ke upar position ko barqarar rakha hua hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 40.00 ke qareeb support dhoond raha hai, jo ke lower levels par possible buying interest aur ek mumkinah rebound ka ishara de raha hai.

Currency Pair ka Positive Momentum:
Abhi ke liye currency pair positive momentum dikhata hai, jo kal ke rebound par base kar raha hai. Yeh rebound 1.3031 ke mark (jo ke pichlay 5 din ka low tha) se shuru hua aur Friday ko paanchween din tak tezi dekhne ko mili. US trading session ke dauran, pair ke spot prices mid-1.3100s ke upar chalay gaye, jisme ek chhoti si girawat US Dollar (USD) mein bhi madadgar rahi. Market ke band hone tak, GBP/USD 1.3120 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha.

Fundamental GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq US monetary policy ke hawale se market expectations mein aik bara tabdeeli hui hai. September mein US Federal Reserve ke taraf se 50-basis point interest rate cut ki probability 72.0% tak barh gayi hai, jab ke aik hafta pehle yeh sirf 11.8% thi. Rate cuts ki yeh barhtee hui umeed short term mein USD par pressure daal sakti hai. Iske ilawa, July ke employment data ke weaker-than-expected numbers aur US ka Unemployment Rate jo November 2021 ke baad se sabse zyada hai, ne US mein aik mumkinah mandi (recession) ka khauf barhadiya hai.

Middle East mein chal rahi tensions bhi market sentiment par asar daal rahi hain. Iran aur uske allies ke taraf se Israel ke khilaf inteqam ka khatra barh gaya hai, khaaskar kuch aham military afrad ki halakat ke baad. Yeh geopolitical uncertainty investors ko risk-sensitive currencies jaise ke Pound Sterling (GBP) se door rakhne ka sabab ban sakti hai, jo forex market mein GBP ki performance par asar daal sakti hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Thursday ko GBP/USD ke recent bullish bounce ne ek possible upward move ka raasta bana diya hai. Pair ne 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par 1.3121 ke qareeb support dhoondha, jo ke positive trend ke continuation ka ishara kar sakta hai. Traders abhi ek recovery ka intezar kar rahe hain jo 12-month highs ke -2.9% decline ke baad ho sakti hai, jo August ke end mein 1.3264 ke qareeb tha. Bullish momentum ke barqarar rehne ke liye, GBP/USD ko 50-day EMA jo 1.2971 par hai, ko cross karna hoga. Abhi price action mein 50- aur 200-day EMAs ke darmiyan divergence dikh raha hai, jo mixed signals ka pata de raha hai.

GBP/USD pair abhi aik critical juncture par hai, jahan 1.3100 ka level ek key support ka kaam kar raha hai. Yeh asset apne 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo ke 1.2863 ke aas paas hai, ke upar position ko barqarar rakha hua hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 40.00 ke qareeb support dhoond raha hai, jo ke lower levels par possible buying interest aur ek mumkinah rebound ka ishara de raha hai.

GBPUSD
GbpUsd Market Pair ka Daily Trading Time Window Analysis

Kal, Friday ko, GbpUsd market pair mein phir se sellers ka raaj raha jo bullish buyers ki tezi ko rokne mein kamiyab rahe. Sellers ne resistance area 1.3153-1.3150 ke neeche price ko rok ke rakha, jahan sellers ne price ko neeche girne se achi tarah se roknay mein madad ki. Distance zyada nahi thi, lekin sellers ka control zyada laga.

Daily time window par Moving Average indicator ka istemal karte hue dekha gaya ke price ya candle ab bhi Red MA 50 area 1.2954-1.2956 ke upar hai aur bullish candlesticks ka raaj hai. Lekin agar sellers ki determination strong rahe to market band hone tak, sellers ke liye bearish movement ko continue karne ke mauqe hain, jahan price ko buyer support area 1.3035-1.3033 ke neeche le jane ka plan ho sakta hai. Agar yeh area penetrate ho gaya to Red MA 50 area ka raasta khul jayega.

Agle Monday ko trading karte waqt bearish fall ka mauqa ab bhi hai agar sellers price ko unke resistance area ke neeche rakhen. Bearish sellers ka target pehle buyer support area 1.3104-1.3102 hoga. Agar yeh area break hota hai to deeper bearish opportunities khulengi aur agla target buyer demand support area 1.3055-1.3053 hoga.

Conclusion:

Buy trading options tab kiye ja sakte hain agar price seller's resistance area ko successfully penetrate karti hai, jahan pending buy stop order 1.3153-1.3155 par lagaya ja sakta hai aur TP area 1.3178-1.3180 hoga.

Sell trading options tab kiye ja sakte hain agar price buyer's support area ko successfully penetrate karti hai, jahan pending sell stop order 1.3104-1.3102 par lagaya ja sakta hai aur TP area 1.3055-1.3053 hoga.

Spot Price ka Halka Pullback:
Friday ko spot price mein halka sa pullback dekha gaya, jisme price 1.3150 ke thoda upar gir gayi. Yeh movement Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data ke dip ke baad samnay aayi, dono Atlantic sides par. Char din ki winning streak ke baad, ab pair ka outlook thoda cautious hai jab ke trading week ke doosray hisson mein dakhil ho rahe hain. Traders ab UK ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth figures aur US Retail Sales data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo pair ke performance ko asar dal sakta hai. Taza update ke mutabiq, GBP/USD abhi 1.3132 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai.

Mojooda market conditions aur technical indicators ke madde nazar, traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye. Agar selling mein zyada taqat aati hai, to yeh three-week-old downtrend ka agaz ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar GBP/USD key support levels ke neeche gir jaye. Dusri taraf, agar pair apne support ke upar rehta hai, to short-term trading opportunities paida ho sakti hain.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Middle East mein recent developments ne forex market mein complexity ka izafa kiya hai. Israeli intelligence reports ke mutabiq Iran direct attack ki tayyari kar raha hai Israel par, Ismail Haniyeh ki assassination ka jawab dene ke liye. Aise geopolitical tensions global markets par asar dal sakti hain, aur iss se USD bhi mutasir ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se interest rate cuts ki umeed barqarar rehti hai, to yeh USD ki aggressive bullishness ko kam kar sakti hai, aur GBP/USD pair ko ek achi direction de sakti hai.

Aham economic releases jaise ke UK GDP growth figures aur US Retail Sales data, jo jald anay walay hain, un ke hawale se market mein volatility ka intezar kiya ja raha hai. Yeh reports economic trends ke bare mein zyada wazahat dene ke saath currency movements par asar dal sakti hain. Traders ko yeh data closely monitor karna chahiye kyun ke yeh GBP/USD ke dynamics ko badal sakti hain.

Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Spot price apne descending channel ke lower boundary par support test kar sakti hai, jo abhi 1.3055 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to downward pressure barh sakta hai aur pair ko August mein note kiya gaya throwback support 1.3001 tak push kar sakta hai. Halanki price action thoda muted lag raha hai, lekin downward momentum mein halka sa izafa dekha gaya hai. Phir bhi, decline 1.3080 support level ke upar rukhne ki umeed hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance 1.3080 aur 1.3200 par dekha ja raha hai.

Asian session ke dauran Friday ko, GBP/USD ne apni do din ki tezi ko rok liya, aur ab 1.3160 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Daily chart yeh dikhata hai ke pair ek descending channel mein consolidate kar raha hai, jo ke bearish bias ka ishara de raha hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi is bearish sentiment ke sath align hai, kyun ke MACD line dono signal line aur centerline ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level ke neeche hai, jo bearish outlook ko reinforce kar raha hai.