𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD currency pair ka tajziya:

GBP/USD currency pair filhal 1.2850 ke resistance level ke nazdeek range trading mein hai. Market ka dhyan ab aane wale US labor market data ki taraf shift ho raha hai, jo currency pair ke mustaqbil ki direction tay karne mein ahem role ada karega. Is waqt main current levels se buying nahi kar raha aur selling ki taraf zyada inclined hoon jab tak ke mention kiya gaya resistance level nahi pohnch jata. Jab market in levels ko process kar legi, tab buying ek option ban sakti hai. GBP/USD pair ka range trading 1.2850 ke resistance level ke nazdeek rehne ka imkaan hai, aur US labor market data pe focus hoga. Yeh data pair ke mustaqbil ki direction tay karne mein pivotal role ada karega. Tab tak, selling ab bhi preferred strategy hai, aur 1.2831-1.2811 ki taraf decline ki ummeed hai. Lekin, 1.2836-1.2804 ke resistance zone ki taraf bhi move ho sakti hai, jo further selling opportunities provide kar sakti hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur US labor market data ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh GBP/USD pair ke movement aur trading strategy par significant impact dal sakti hai.

Technical perspective se, mujhe lagta hai ke pair 1.2831-1.2811 range ki taraf decline karega, kyunki is range par ek debt level chhoda gaya hai. Pair is level ko break nahi kar paayi hai aur US holiday ke madde nazar, aaj is level ko break karna mushkil lagta hai. Isliye, yeh reasonable hai ke price current boundaries ke andar trade karti rahegi jab tak kal tak nahi pohnchti.

US labor market data ka release US economy ke health aur labor market conditions ke baare mein essential insights provide karega, jo USD ki strength ko aur consequently GBP/USD pair ke movement ko influence karega. Strong labor market report USD ko boost kar sakti hai, jo GBP/USD pair par downward pressure dal sakta hai, jabke weaker-than-expected report USD ki depreciation ko lead kar sakti hai, jo GBP ko support provide karegi. Technical analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke 1.2831-1.2811 ki taraf decline ka potential hai, jahan ek debt level chhoda gaya hai. Yeh range significant hai kyunki pair pehle is level ko break nahi kar paayi thi, aur US markets holiday ke liye close hain, isliye aaj breakthrough ki ummeed nahi hai. Yeh imply karta hai ke price apni current boundaries ke andar confined rahegi, critical US labor market data ka intezaar karti rahegi.

Current levels pe selling primary strategy hai, lekin 1.2836-1.2804 ke strong resistance zone ki taraf increase ka possibility bhi hai. Is zone se pair ka south turn hone ka imkaan hai. Yeh zone ek significant resistance area ko represent karta hai, aur is zone ki taraf move selling opportunities provide kar sakti hai, jahan se price decline hone ki expectation hai.

GBP/USD Market Analysis:

Is hafte British pound ne ucha khula, jab ke U.S. dollar ne niche ki taraf jari rakha, kyunki Bank of England ke officials ke comments ne rate cut ki expectations ko kam kar diya, aur Federal Reserve ke September mein rates cut karne ki umeed barh gayi. Reports ke mutabiq, Bank of England ke policymaker Jonathan Haskel ne apni speech mein wazeh kar diya ke woh August meeting mein interest rates ko 5.25% par barqarar rakhne ka vote denge. Haskel ne chetawani di ke tight aur damaged labor market inflation ko support karta rahega, isse inflation high levels par hi rahegi.

Market expectations ke mutabiq, Haskel ki speech se pehle, Bank of England ke August mein 25 basis points rate cut ki probability 60% se zyada thi. Lekin Haskel ki stability ko barqarar rakhne wali speech ne rate cut ki umeedon ko kam kar diya. Market analyst Christian Borjon Valencia ne kaha ke technical perspective se British pound ne U.S. dollar ke against significant move kiya hai aur downward resistance trend line ko break kar diya hai. Yeh trend line August 2023 ke highs se trace ki ja sakti hai. Jab British pound ne U.S. dollar ke against 1.2750 ka psychological level break kiya, to yeh trend line ab support level ban gaya hai.

Maujooda market momentum suggest karta hai ke buyers exchange rate ko upar push kar sakte hain, jaisa ke relative strength index (RSI) bullish zone mein hai. Yeh 1.2893 ka year-to-date high resistance ban sakta hai, aur further strength GBP/USD ko 1.2900 ke upar push kar sakti hai, jahan buyers July 27, 2023 ka high 1.2995 ko target kar rahe hain. Niche ki taraf, GBP/USD ke liye pehla support 50-day moving average (currently at 1.2684) hoga, uske baad 100-day moving average (currently at 1.2652), aur latest cycle low June 27 ka 1.2612 hoga.

Francesco Pesole, ING ke currency analyst ne kaha: "BoE officials phir se election ke baad public speeches denge. Hawkish external member Jonathan Haskel ne pehle hi bol diya hai, aur Huw Pill aur Catherine Mann (doosre hawk) Wednesday ko bolenge." Pesole ne yeh bhi kaha ke market ko UK ke May GDP Thursday ko aur June inflation report agle hafte dekhni chahiye.

Upar di gayi maloomat ke base par, investors ko aane wale waqt mein Bank of England ke doosre officials ke speeches par dhyan dena chahiye. Is hafte ke GDP data aur June inflation, saath hi Labour Party ke general election ke baad ke actions, pound ke dollar ke against agle trend ko impact karne ki umeed hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis:

Is hafte, GBP/USD ka price weekly pivot level 1.2810 aur descending red channel ke line ke qareeb trade kar raha tha, lekin is hafte upward trend ne pair ko dominate kiya. Price ne channel line tak ucha, phir neeche gir kar pivot level par support dhoondha aur channel ko break kar diya. Yeh ascending trend par control lene ki pehli nishani thi. Uske baad, price ne resistances ko break kiya, unko retest kiya aur upar ki taraf chalti rahi. Price ne blue channel line ko upar break kar ke niche wapas aakar bottom banaya aur phir se upar jana shuru kiya.

Green line 1.2830 level ke upar extend hoti rahi aur 1.2855 level tak pohnch gayi, jo ke weekly resistance level hai. Yeh level ab tak ke liye rely karne ke liye hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke decline ka potential bhi hai jo bright red line se indicated hai jo 1.2765 level ke neeche stretch hoti hai aur weekly pivot level tak pohnchti hai. Agar price 1.2710 level ko break kar ke 1-hour candle ko uske neeche close karti hai, to decline ka signal milega. Is hisaab se, current level par buy karna behtar hoga, stop loss ko 1.2750 par set karna aur target level 1.2780 rakhna chahiye. Agar price 1.2695 tak girti hai, to agar price is level ke neeche girti hai to buy karne ka mauka mil sakta hai. Ek alternative scenario mein, hum price ka rebound wait kar sakte hain, jahan upward price action form ho aur phir 1.2725 ke neeche buy kar sakte hain, aur stop loss level accordingly set kar sakte hain.

Aaj trading ke shuruat se, price sideways direction main trade kar rahi hai, kyunki price price channels ko neeche break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Aaj ki trading ke shuruat main, price ne ascending price channels ke andar trade kiya jo pichle do trading dinon ke dauran price trend ko represent karte hain. Trading ki shuruat channels ke bottom line ke qareeb hui, jo upar ki taraf support milne ke imkaan ko darshati hai.

Lekin ab tak, purchasing power kamzor dikhayi de rahi hai, aur isliye hum downward correction dekh sakte hain pehle ke upar jane se. Abhi koi clear trading opportunity nazar nahi aa rahi, lekin price ke behavior ko current area mein monitor karna zaroori hai, taake agar channel lines ke sath ek clear bottom banta hai aur aaj ki highest trading price break hoti hai to buy kiya ja sake.

Sell karne ka mauka tab milega jab channels neeche break ho jayein aur unke neeche do trading hours ke liye stabilize ho jayein.

Economic front par, GBP/USD exchange rate pichle hafte 1.35% se barh gaya, Federal Reserve ke September mein interest rate cut ke expectations ke revitalization ki wajah se. US economic data, Friday ki jobs report ko shamil kartay hue, ek slowing economy ko darshati hai jo shayad jald hi lower interest rates ki madad ki zaroorat ho.

Britain mein general elections ke clear result bhi aaye, jo ke Britain mein political certainty ka ek daur shuru karte hain. Currency pair ke performance aur impact factors par comment karte hue, XTB ki analyst Kathleen Brooks ne kaha, “GBP/USD pichle hafte 1.29% barh gaya, jo yeh darshata hai ke sterling shayad ek bade rebound ke qareeb hai, kyunki political risk premium Britain mein khatam ho gaya hai.” Agla key level $1.30 ka psychological resistance hai. “Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke British pound ki price barh rahi hai, saath hi Bank of England ke agle mahine rate cut ke expectations bhi hain, aur OIS market ke mutabiq, rate cut ka 66% chance hai.”

GBP/USD is consolidating near 1.2800 Tuesday morning, after briefly testing multi-week highs on Monday. Is hafte UK ka data kam hai, isliye traders ka focus Fed Chair Powell ki Congress mein testimony aur US CPI data par hai jo Wednesday ko release hoga. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 80 ke qareeb hai, jo pair ke overbought conditions ko highlight karta hai. Agar GBP/USD mein correction aati hai, to 1.2800 (psychological level aur static level) foran support ban sakta hai, jo ke 1.2750 (static level) aur 1.2700 (20-day simple moving average) se pehle hai. Upar ki taraf, 1.2860 (June 12 high) agla resistance level ban sakta hai, aur phir 1.2900 (psychological level aur static level) hai.

GBP/USD ne apne bullish momentum ko Friday ko barqarar rakha aur pichle hafte 1.2800 ke upar close kiya. Pair Monday subah Europe main nisbatan pur sukoon hai aur technical indicators overbought conditions ko darshate hain. US dollar par nayi selling pressure ne GBP/USD ko weekend ke pehle ek aur leg upar chalaya.

US Bureau of Labor Statistics ke data ke mutabiq, non-farm payrolls June main 206,000 se barh gaye, jo market ke 190,000 ke expectation se behtar hai. Lekin May ke NFP ka negative revision, 272,000 se 218,000 tak, ne USD ko kamzor kar diya. BSL ne yeh bhi report kiya ke unemployment rate 4.1 percent tak barh gaya, jabke annual wage inflation May ke 4.1 percent se 3.9 percent tak kam hui, jo labor market main looser conditions ko reflect karta hai. Monday ke data release aur US stock index futures trade din ke waqt thoda badal gaya.

Tuesday ko Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Senate Banking Committee ke saamne testimony denge aur Wednesday ko House Financial Services Committee ke saamne bhi testify karenge. Fed ne apne semi-annual monetary policy report mein Friday ko kaha ke is saal inflation par kuch modest progress dekha gaya hai, lekin rate cut ke liye zyada confidence ki zaroorat hai.

GBP/USD ke case mein, choti si downward correction ka chance hai, lekin prevailing expectation yeh hai ke upward trend develop hoga. Key support level 1.2775 hai. Agar pair is level ke upar rehti hai, to analysts buy karne ka opportunity dekhte hain, jiska potential upside targets 1.2865 aur 1.2915 tak ho sakta hai. Waisay agar GBP/USD 1.2775 support level ko break kar leti hai aur uske neeche consolidate karti hai, to bearish outlook ban sakta hai. Is scenario mein, pair 1.2745 aur 1.2725 tak neeche ja sakti hai. Overall, jabke GBP/USD is subah nisbatan stable raha, upcoming events, khaaskar Jerome Powell ki speech, market mein volatility inject kar sakti hai.

GBP/USD/H4 Analysis:

Aaj kal traders market ko analyse kar rahe hain taake achay entry points mil sakein jo hamari trading plans ke saath align karte hain. Bolang relax karta hai jab wo post karta hai, jisse wo har haftay consistent aur barhti hui bonuses kamata hai. Lekin, pichla hafta uske liye mushkil raha kyunki market trading mein kuch floating losses ho gaye the, aur wo ummeed kar raha hai ke is hafta achi profit mile jo withdrawal (WD) ko enable kar sake. Isliye, hum trend confirmation pattern ka intezar kar rahe hain. Chote traders ne 1.2645 par buy kiya, aur kuch purane buyers ne bhi is level par buy kiya tha, apne stop losses ko 1.2715 par rakha. Kuch traders ne zyada confidence dikhaya aur apne stop losses is level se neeche set kiye.

Halankeh recent movements ke bawajood, pound ne significant progress nahi kiya. Unhone triennial wave ko bhi push nahi kiya. Extreme level ko break karne ke bawajood, abhi bhi yeh mumkin hai ke local maximum ko update na karein, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke hum aakhirkar maximum ko wapas dekh sakte hain. Mujhe afsos hai ke maine significant profit secure karne ka mauka miss kiya, kyunki main market ko monitor nahi kar raha tha us waqt. Lagta hai market manipulation ka shikaar hai, khaaskar pound ke swings mein, jab greenback ki strength market par pressure daal rahi hai. Mujhe nahi pata ke yeh pressure kitne dair rahega, isliye shayad yeh waqt hai ke profits ko jaldi secure karna chahiye.

Summary ke tor par, GBP/USD pair bullish trend dikhata hai, jo Ichimoku Cloud ke upar position aur Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke favorable alignment se supported hai. Senkou Span B aur A ke levels strong support provide karte hain, jo potential re-entries ya positions ko add karne ke liye strategic point banate hain. Traders ko buying opportunities par dhyan dena chahiye, chote time frames aur bullish patterns ko precise entry points ke liye use karna chahiye, aur current positive trend ko capitalize karne ke liye exits ko carefully manage karna chahiye.

GBP/USD H1 Analysis:

GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ko analyse karenge. 1-hour chart par GBP/USD pair buy karne ka waqt lagta hai. Yeh hain meri wajahaat:

Price MA199 moving average ke upar hai, jo upward momentum ka signal hai. Pichle din ke dusre hisse mein, pair din ke opening ke upar trade kar raha tha aur higher close hua. Quotes upper Bollinger band ke paas hain, jo potential upward trend continuation ki taraf ishara karta hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) ke 21-period ke saath, main un trades se door rehta hoon jo overbought (69 ke upar) ya oversold (29 ke neeche) conditions dikhate hain. Filhal, RSI achi buying opportunity ka suggestion de raha hai. Mera target Fibonacci take profit at 210% hai, jo 1.28528 par hai. Agar main zyada profit kamaana chahta hoon, to agle Fibonacci targets ko follow karunga.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko major currencies ke basket ke khilaf measure karta hai, robust raha hai. Fed ke unexpected hawkish outlook ke baad, yeh May ke shuru se apne highest level par pohanch gaya. "Dot plot" ne dikhaya ke policymakers ab sirf ek interest rate cut ki ummeed kar rahe hain 2024 mein, jo March mein predicted teen cuts se kaafi kam hai. Yeh forecast US Treasury bond yields ko support karta hai, Dollar ko tailwind provide karta hai aur GBP/USD pair ke liye negative outlook ko validate karta hai.

GBP/USD H1 chart par, pair ne US Dollar ke khilaf 1.2800 ke crucial resistance level ke paas recovery ki hai. Is rebound ke bawajood, pair 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai jo 1.2742 ke aas-paas hai, jo near-term trend mein uncertainty ko darshata hai. 50-day EMA jo 1.2670 ke aas-paas hai, Pound Sterling bulls ke liye ek significant support level hai.

GBP/USD ke baare mein kal ke analysis ke mutabiq, price ne pehle ke daily range ke maximum ko update karne ke baad aur gap ko fill karne ke baad, bina sabse nazdeek resistance level ko touch kiye, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq 1.28604 par hai, reversal kiya. Din ke end tak, ek clear reversal candle ban gayi jo south ki taraf point kar rahi thi. Is current scenario ko dekhte hue, mujhe price correction ki possibility lagti hai, aur is surat mein, main support level ko monitor karunga, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq 1.27399 par hai. Is support level ke nazdeek do scenarios ho sakte hain.

Pehla scenario yeh hai ke ek reversal candle ban jaye aur upward price movement resume ho. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, to main price ko 1.28604 ke resistance level ya 1.28938 ke resistance level ki taraf move karte hue expect karunga. Jab price in resistance levels ke upar consolidate karegi, to main northward movement ki umeed rakhunga, jo 1.29956 ke resistance level tak ho sakti hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek, main ek trading setup ki intezar karunga jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Yeh bhi acknowledge karta hoon ke price ka northern target ki taraf move karte waqt kuch southern pullbacks bhi ho sakte hain, jinka main use bullish signals search karne ke liye karunga, jo nearby support levels se milenge, taki overall bullish trend ke formation mein growth resume ho sake.

Alternative scenario yeh hai ke agar price 1.27399 ke support level ko test karti hai aur is level ke neeche consolidate karti hai aur south ki taraf move karti hai, to main expect karunga ke price 1.26154 ya 1.25694 ke support levels ki taraf move kare. In support levels ke nazdeek bhi main bullish signals search karta rahunga, upward price movement ke resume hone ki umeed ke saath.

In general, aaj ke liye, main price correction ki possibility ko nazar mein rakhta hoon jo nazdeek ke support level ki taraf ho sakti hai, aur phir existing local bullish trend ko dekhte hue, northward signals ki talash karunga, upward price movement ke resume hone ki umeed ke saath.

British Pound is waqt 1.2800 ke upar steady hai US Dollar ke muqable London ke early trading mein. Investors Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke Congress mein testimony ka intezar kar rahe hain, ummeed hai ke woh inflation aur potential interest rate cuts par koi nishani de sakte hain. Powell se ummeed hai ke woh inflation ke hawale se kuch behtari ka zikr karenge lekin rate cuts ke liye specific timeframe commit nahi karenge. Woh inflation ke sustained decline ke importance ko emphasize karenge aur US ke tightening labor market par bhi chinta jahir kar sakte hain.

Pound ke liye overall sentiment positive hai, kyunki Fed ke September mein interest rate cuts initiate karne ki expectations hain. Futures market data ke mutabiq, September rate cut ki probability mein aik haftay ke andar 65.6% se 77% tak ka significant increase dekhne ko mila hai. Yeh shift recent US report se bhi reinforce hota hai jo labor market ke slowdown ko indicate karti hai aur early rate cut ke argument ko mazid weight deti hai.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair daily charts par bullish inverted head and shoulders (H&S) pattern bana raha hai. Agar price neckline, jo ke 1.2850 ke aas-paas hai, ke upar breakout hota hai to yeh bullish reversal pattern confirm ho jayega. Iske ilawa, pair ka movement 20-day aur 50-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), jo ke 1.2725 aur 1.2690 ke nazdeek hain, ki taraf indicate karta hai ke uptrend mazid strong ho raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bullish territory mein aa chuki hai, jo ke filhal 60.00 se 80.00 ke darmiyan hai. Is level ke upar sustained movement Pound ke upward momentum ko barqarar rakhegi.

British Pound (GBP) is waqt US Dollar (USD) ke muqable Tuesday morning Asia mein sideways trade kar raha hai. Currency pair abhi bhi pichle hafte ke khulne ke levels ke qareeb hai, jo major movement ki kami ko darshata hai. Yeh aman forex market mein aaj minimal volatility ko reflect karta hai. Britain se koi significant economic data releases nahi hone ki wajah se, traders apni tawajjo aaj ke baad ke events ki taraf divert kar rahe hain.

Key event GBP/USD pair ke liye Bank of England ka quarterly bulletin hai jo London time ke mutabiq 2:00 PM (14:00 GMT) par release hoga. Yeh report Bank ke monetary policy ke stance ke baare mein insights provide kar sakti hai, jo exchange rate ko influence kar sakti hai. Lekin, zyada market participants ki nazar American session par hogi. Sab ki nazar US Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke speech par hogi jo ke 5:00 PM (17:00 MSK) ke aas-paas honi hai. Powell ki speech ka content, khaaskar Fed ke interest rates ke plans ke baare mein, GBP/USD pair ke movement ka main driver banne ki ummeed hai. Ab tak kisi strong directional cue ke bina, analysts ko lagta hai ke GBP/USD ke liye pehla half of the day relatively quiet rahega.

Halaanki thodi bahut downward correction ka chance hai, lekin prevailing expectation yeh hai ke ek upward trend develop ho. Key support level jo dekhna hai woh 1.2775 hai. Agar pair is level ke upar rehta hai, toh analysts buy ka mauka dekhte hain with potential upside targets at 1.2865 aur 1.2915 tak. Alternately, agar GBP/USD 1.2775 support level ko break kar deta hai aur iske neeche consolidate karta hai, toh outlook bearish ho sakta hai. Is situation mein, pair 1.2745 aur shayad 1.2725 tak ja sakta hai. Overall, jabke GBP/USD subah ke waqt relatively stable raha hai, lekin upcoming events, khaaskar Jerome Powell ki speech, market mein volatility ko introduce kar sakti hai later in the day.

Subh bakhair. Haan, mujhe bhi yeh samajh nahi aaya ke Friday ko Dollar itna majboot kyun nahi hua, jabke non-farm data umeed se behtar aaya. Shayad yeh sach hai, jaise aap kehte hain, hum jo data aur decisions hain jo quotes ko affect karte hain unka sirf aadha hi jaante hain, isliye aise sawal uthte hain jab lagta hai ke seedhi logic kaam nahi karti. Kal, Pound ke sellers ne buyers ko trading ke end mein counter kiya, aur mujhe lagta hai ke is hafte humein kuch downward correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Aap 1.27861 level par focus kar sakte hain, agar yeh level test aur fix hota hai, to humein ascending structure ka chhota breakdown milega aur 1.27401 level ki taraf move karne ka mauka mil sakta hai.

GBP/USD H4 ke chart par:
1. Pound ne 4-hour chart par tapes ke central area mein rollback kiya hai, aur yahan se movement kisi bhi direction mein continue ho sakti hai. Naya quality signal paane ke liye, humein upper ya lower band ke bahar nikalne ka intezaar karna hoga, aur dekhna hoga ke bands outward khulte hain ya koi reaction nahi hoti. Agar hum fractals ki baat karein, to ek naya upward fractal ban gaya hai, iski breakout aur consolidation se price June 12 ka fractal 1.28599 ke taraf ja sakti hai. Sabse nazdeek fractal downward abhi bhi current price se door hai, aur falling quotes ke direction mein kuch rely karne ke liye, naye fractal ka appearance dekhna behtar hoga.

2. AO indicator positive area mein damping banana shuru ho gaya hai, aur price is par react kar rahi hai by falling. Agar movement zero ki taraf continue hoti hai, to humein price ke girne ka strong signal milega. Agar positive area mein naya increase hota hai, to price ke barhne ka signal milega.

Hello, GBP/USD is aaj subah 1.2800 ke qareeb consolidate kar raha hai, jo ke Monday ko kuch hafton ke highs ko briefly test karne ke baad hai. UK data is hafte kam hai, isliye traders ka focus Fed Chair Powell ke congressional testimony par hai jo aaj shaam ko hone wali hai, aur US CPI data par jo Wednesday ko release hoga. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator abhi bhi 80 ke qareeb hai, jo ke pair ke overbought conditions ko highlight karta hai. Agar GBP/USD mein correction hoti hai, to 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) immediate support ke tor par kaam aayega, uske baad 1.2750 (static level) aur 1.2700 (20-day simple moving average) levels honge. Upar ki taraf, 1.2860 (June 12 high) agla resistance level ho sakta hai, uske baad 1.2900 (psychological level, static level) aata hai. GBP/USD ne Friday ko apna bullish momentum banaye rakha aur last week 1.2800 ke upar close hua. Monday subah European market mein pair relatively calm hai aur sabse nazdeek technical approach overbought conditions ko point out karta hai. US dollar ke aas-paas fresh selling pressure ne GBP/USD ko weekend ke qareeb aur upar push kiya.

US Bureau of Labor Statistics ke data ke mutabiq, June mein non-farm payrolls 206,000 se barh gayi, jo ke market ke expectation 190,000 se behtar hai. Lekin, May ke NFP ka negative revision, jo 272,000 se 218,000 hua, ne USD ko kamzor kar diya. Iske ilawa, BLS ne report kiya ke unemployment rate 4.1 percent tak barh gaya, jabke annual wage inflation 4.1 percent se 3.9 percent tak kam ho gaya, jo labor market mein looser conditions ko reflect karta hai. Monday ke data release ke bawajood, US stock index futures trade mein zyada tabdeeli nahi aayi. Aaj Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Senate Banking Committee ke saamne gawahi dega, aur Wednesday ko House Financial Services Committee ke saamne bhi gawahi dega. Fed ne apne semi-annual monetary policy report mein kaha ke is saal inflation par modest progress dekha gaya hai, lekin rate cut ke liye zyada confidence ki zaroorat hai.

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GBP/USD H-1

Is waqt, GBP/USD pair 1.28127 par flat trade kar raha hai, pehle hisse ke chart mein. Instaforex indicator ka pehla hissa bulls aur bears ke beech barabar gap dikhata hai, jahan bulls ka 50.04% range hai. Doosre hissa mein indicator neutral position ko dikhata hai. Aaj yeh pair humein kya surprises dega? Foggy Albion se koi important aur interesting news nahi hai, lekin United States se do news aa rahi hain: Fed Chair Powell ka speech aur testimony. Yeh typo nahi hai, balki Economic Calendar se data hai. Isliye hum technical aur fundamental analysis perform kar rahe hain. Choti si baat yeh hai ke mujhe lagta hai ke pair south mein 1.2785 level tak adjust hoga aur phir north mein 1.2875 level tak jaayega. Happy hunting sabko.

GBP/USD H-4

Sabko hello!

GBP/USD currency pair Asian session ke doran zyada tabdeeli se guzra nahi. Pair last week ke opening levels ke qareeb hai. Currency market ki volatility minimum hai. Aaj Britain mein koi economic calendar nahi hai. Bank of England ka quarterly report 14:00 Moscow time ko release hoga. Baqi sab attention US market par hai. Federal Reserve Chair Powell ka speech highly expected hai, jo 17:00 Moscow time ke aas-paas hoga. Mujhe nahi lagta ke pair pehle half of the day mein koi bade moves dekhega. Kuch downward corrections ho sakti hain, lekin main scenario yeh hai ke uptrend develop hoga. Expected reversal point 1.2775 hai aur main is point ke upar buy karunga targets ke saath 1.2865 aur 1.2915. Agar pair girta hai, 1.2775 mark ko break karta hai aur merge hota hai, to phir 1.2745 aur 1.2725 levels tak raasta khul sakta hai.

**GBP/USD Daily Chart Analysis**

GBP/USD trading instrument isweek ki shuruat mein thodi si niche ki taraf gap ke saath khula, lekin ye gap jaldi bhar gaya aur price phir se barhne lagi. Pichle hafte, currency pair ne aik powerful upward movement dekhi, aur technical picture bhi isi direction mein develop ho rahi hai, trend ab bhi momentum gain kar raha hai. Wave structure upar ki taraf build hona shuru ho gaya hai aur MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein apni signal line ke upar grow kar raha hai.

US dollar ne na sirf pound ke muqablay mein kamzori dikhayi, balki market ke tamam spectrum ke muqablay mein bhi kamzor hua hai. Is hafte ki growth ne continue kiya hai, aur daily chart dikhata hai ke price ek halki downward line ko reach kar gayi hai jo do peechle peaks se bani thi. Is line ke qareeb positions close ki gayi, jisse downward correction dekhne ko mila. Kal, is rollback ke dauran kuch dozen points kamaye ja sakte the bina kisi masla ke.

Abhi bhi further decline ka high probability hai, kyun ke kal ki candle hammer-like pattern ke saath close hui, jo reversal ka indication deti hai aur pin bar ke naam se bhi jani jati hai. CCI indicator bhi upper overheated zone se neeche move karne ke liye tayyar hai.

Price bearish trend ke liye poised lagti hai, aur signals downward movement ka indication de rahe hain. Lekin, caution zaroori hai, kyun ke British pound apni deceptive nature ke liye jana jata hai, aksar traders ko misleading traps mein phansa deta hai. Market price ko previous day's high se upar push kar sakti hai, lekin aise significant move ke liye substantial news ki zaroorat hogi.

Afsos, din ke events kuch khaas nahi lagte, Eurogroup meeting 1:00 PM Moscow time aur US Federal Reserve Chair Powell ka speech 5:00 PM ke highlights hain. Maujooda maloomat ke madde nazar, decline abhi zyada likely lagti hai.

**GBP/USD H4 Chart Analysis**

Hum is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis kar rahe hain. Is hafte, GBP/USD ne daily margin control zone ke 1/2 level ko 1.2693 par test kiya, uske baad downward reaction dekha. Hafte ke dauran, price sirf next marginal zone ke 3/4 (1.2630-1.2608) tak hi slide hui aur phir ruk gayi. General expectation yeh hai ke agle hafte impulse movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, kyun ke mahine ka pehla Friday naya din hota hai aur is se impulse ke direction ka prediction asaan hota hai. Pound consolidate ho gaya hai, aur current scenario bearish movement ko favor karta hai. Humne productive hafte guzara, lekin agle hafte ke liye abhi tak koi clear signals nahi hain. Main market entry point dhoondhne ka plan karunga, kyun ke indicators British pound ke liye neutral scenario show kar rahe hain. GDP ka British dollar par zyada asar nahi pada; yeh sirf corridor mein briefly fluctuate hui, kuch impulses diye aur local minimum par wapas chali gayi. Isliye, hum price channel mein hain, jahan global triangle upper ya lower zone mein hone ki ummeed nahi hai.

Positions enter karne ke liye, traders chhote time frames par bullish patterns ko dekh sakte hain jo unki entries ko confirm kar sakti hain. Current bullish outlook ke madde nazar, GBP/USD pair ko buy karna priority hai. Tenkan-sen line ka 1.27451 aur Kijun-sen line ka 1.27263 ke bottom to top intersection bhi bullish sentiment ko support karta hai, jo upward movement ke stronger likelihood ko indicate karta hai. Trades ko manage karte waqt profit targets aur exit strategies set karna zaroori hai. Ek approach yeh hai ke positions ko Ichimoku Cloud ke reverse signal par ya trading day ke end par close karna, taake profits lock ho jayein aur risks effectively manage kiye ja sakein.

Summary mein, GBP/USD pair bullish trend dikha raha hai, jo Ichimoku Cloud ke upar position aur Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke favorable alignment se support hota hai. Senkou Span B aur A levels strong support provide karte hain, jo potential re-entries ya position additions ke liye strategic point banate hain. Traders ko buying opportunities ko prioritize karna chahiye, chhote time frames aur bullish patterns ko precise entry points ke liye use karte hue, aur exits ko carefully manage karte hue current positive trend ko capitalize karna chahiye.