𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

**GBP/USD: Price Action Signals**

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko real-time mein dekh rahe hain. 1.2938 level ne apni importance darshayi hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke ab hum 1.2999 (5/8 channel ka top) aur 1.2938 (4/8) ke beech consolidate kar sakte hain, aur upper limit ko test karne ka mauka mil sakta hai. Yeh pair is range mein trading week ke end tak reh sakti hai. Lekin, kal ke British CPI data fluctuations ko cause kar sakte hain. Agar inflation expected se kam hoti hai, to hum 1.2999 tak nahi pohnch sakte. Aise mein, bears 1.2938 support level ko break karne ki koshish karenge aur 1.2877 tak pohnchne ka aim rakhenge.

Do hafton ki growth ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne is saal ki highs ko finally surpass kar liya aur shayad July ke last year ke peak tak pohnch sakti hai, halanki 13th tak. Is hafte, upward momentum ruk gaya aur aaj reverse bhi ho gaya. Yeh pending orders ka reset ho sakta hai, jiske baad pair apni ascent resume kar sakti hai, ya phir ek complex false breakout ho sakta hai, jo sell orders ke liye extra liquidity use kar raha hai.

Halanki situation abhi uncertainty ka shikaar hai, lekin aasha hai ke jald clear ho jayegi. Maine anticipate kiya tha ke pair inflation data release se pehle ek grey range mein trade karegi, jo inflation stagnation ka end signal karega. Inflation data ke baad, mujhe lagta tha ke pair grey range mein wapas aa jayegi, kyunki sirf 0.01% inflation drop par based growth unjustified lag rahi thi. Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke speeches ke saath, pair decline hoti rahi, aur uske baad ek pullback aaya, jo maine ek simple rollback ke roop mein dekha. Us waqt pair ki growth mujhe puzzled kar rahi thi, aur shayad yeh pre-election movement ho sakti hai. Jab yeh grey range ke upar phir se aayi, tab sellers ka volume badh gaya. Maine socha ke yeh grey range mein wapas jayegi, lekin yeh climbing karti rahi. Yeh rise bilkul unwarranted lagti hai. Pair ke current levels mein koi fundamental factor nahi hai; buyer yahan volume accumulate kar raha hai.

**GBP/USD: Weekly Analysis**

Pair ne is hafte ka aghaz ek subdued note par kiya, recent highs ke qareeb consolidate karte hue, jabke uncertainty ab bhi barqarar hai. Filhaal, yeh 1.3000 ke aas-paas gyr raha hai, aur market participants iski ability ko closely monitor kar rahe hain ke yeh 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko breach aur sustain kar sakta hai ya nahi. Yeh technical hurdle kisi bhi potential pullback ke trajectory ko determine karne ke liye pivotal hai.

**Federal Reserve ka Asar aur Market Sentiment:**

Recent data jo June mein US business activity ke 26-month high par surge ko show karta hai, aur Federal Reserve ka unexpectedly hawkish stance on interest rates, ne US dollar ko bolster kiya hai. Isse market mein cautious mood barh gaya hai, jo greenback ke safe-haven appeal ko elevate kar raha hai. Iske natije mein, GBP/USD pair par downward pressure hai, lekin iske current levels mein resilience bearish traders ke behtaat ka izhar hai.

**Bank of England ka Policy Outlook:**

Market ki expectations ab Bank of England (BoE) ke upcoming decisions par focused hain, khaaskar August mein interest rate cut ki speculation ke amid—jo Covid-19 pandemic ke shuru hone ke baad pehli baar ho sakta hai. Policymakers se aane wale signals yeh darshate hain ke wo apne formerly restrictive stance ko ease karne ke liye tayyar hain, jo short-term mein pound ke performance ko impact kar sakta hai.

**H4 Chart Technical Levels to Watch:**

British Pound ko pehli support 20-day DMA par milti hai, jo technical indicator 1.2976 ke aas-paas hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to 50-day DMA 1.2892 par await kar raha hai. Is point ke neeche sustained break se 1.2800 ke psychologically important level tak decline trigger ho sakta hai. 100-day DMA 1.2832 further safety net ke roop mein kaam karta hai agar selling pressure barhta hai. Wahi agar potential rally hoti hai to initial resistance 1.3100 par face karni padegi, aur agar bulls initial hurdle ko overcome kar lete hain to 1.3151 par tough challenge aayega.

**Summary:**

Daily moving averages (DMA) ke upar trading karne ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ek neutral to slightly bearish bias dikhata hai, jo Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke bearish turn se indicate hota hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers short term mein zyada influence exert kar sakte hain, jo lower support levels ko test kar sakta hai. Key support zones ka breach hone se year-to-date lows ka re-test ho sakta hai, jo pair ke outlook ko aage shape karega.

**British Pound versus US Dollar Analysis**

Aaj main achi mood mein hoon kyunki mujhe shaam ko drink karni hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke bulls ke bhi shandar prospects hain. Corrective wave ne sub-wave ko 50%-61.8% ke normal correction zone mein theek kar diya hai, jo 1.2934-1.2945 ke marks hain. Ab yeh samajh aata hai ke ek aur growth ka round ho sakta hai, ya phir ek aur review ho sakta hai jo chapter ko correct aur expand kare. Pehle case mein, maine already purchase open kar diya hai, aur doosre case mein ek reserve hai ek aur purchase open karne ke liye. Subah distribution ke baare mein baat karna abhi jaldi hai, aur US dollar ab bhi pressure mein hai, kyunki US government ne consumer price data release kiya last week jo significant slowdown ko show karta hai. Isse market ki expectations barh gayi hain ke Fed se pehle refinancing rate cut ho sakta hai.

Market ko lagta hai ke Bank of England ke upcoming meeting par koi dhyan nahi hai, jahan interest rates ko kam karne ka faisla ho sakta hai, jo British Pound aur European Central Bank ke beech balance ko change kar sakta hai. Aaj UK mein consumer price data publish hone wala hai, aur economists ki expectations ke mutabiq, price growth 1.9% tak slow ho jayegi. Isse inflation England ke central bank ke 2% target se niche aa jayegi, jo price cut ke rate ke liye reason ban sakti hai.

Daily chart par current situation ambiguous hai. Ek taraf, prices 1.2904 ke level ke upar stabilize ho gayi hain, jo upward movement ko continue karne ki possibility ko barhata hai aur current local high 1.3140 tak pohanch sakta hai agar daily chart stable raha. Candle 1.30 ring level ke upar hai aur upside move possible hai. Lekin kuch uncertain candles aur indicators potential pullback ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain, aur main abhi conclusions nahi banuunga, agar price 1.2904 level ke neeche wapas aati hai to main pullback pe khelunga.

Long southern pullback ke liye, support level 1.2588 aur intermediate support 1.2718 pe identify karna chahiye.

**GBP/USD Technical Analysis**

Recent trading mein, British Pound ka US Dollar ke khilaf advance GBP/USD pair ne 1.30 psychological resistance barrier ke paas temporarily ruk gaya hai, US retail sales ke numbers release hone ke baad, jo consensus se zyada the. Agar kal Britain ka inflation number desired level se kam aata hai, to profit taking operations extend ho sakti hain. British Pound ne apne recent highs se girna shuru kiya hai US Dollar ke khilaf, jab US retail sales report ne consensus ko exceed kiya. Reliable trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair din ke dauran 0.20% gir gaya hai 1.2940 par, jab retail sales ne June mein 0% ka flat reading record kiya, jabke expectations -0.3% ki thi. Core retail sales 0.4% se barh gayi, jo estimates se 0.1% zyada hai aur US Dollar ke liye supportive surprise hai.

Data ke mutabiq, exchange rate ki appreciation 1.30 psychological resistance level ke sirf chhe pips pe ruk gayi, jo bade mark ke pehle sell orders place karne se consistent hai. Highest level July 2023 mein 1.3142 tha, lekin British Pound in levels ko zyada der tak maintain nahi kar paaya.

Is peak ke baad, GBP/USD pair teen mahine tak gir gaya tha aur 1.2037 tak aa gaya. Dukascopy ki technical analysis note kehti hai: "1.3000 level resistance ka kaam kar raha hai aur GBP/USD pair ko neecha rakhta hai."

Aage dekhte hue, GBP/USD ke next moves UK data par depend karne wale hain. Pound ke liye risks asymmetric hain: strong rally ke baad, GBP aur GBP-based exchange rates ab overbought consider kiye ja rahe hain, kyunki markets ab August mein BoE rate cut ke chances ko pehle ke mukable kam dekh rahe hain.

Agar Britain ka inflation expectations se kam hota hai, to August 1st ko cut ke chances phir se barh sakte hain, jo sterling ke rise ko zyada heat se bacha sakta hai. Filhal, hum expect karte hain ke weakness relatively contained rahegi aur overbought conditions ke easing se consistent rahegi.

**GBP/USD Pair Analysis:**

GBP/USD exchange rate ne Federal Reserve ke relatively pessimistic statement ke baad aur upcoming inflation data se pehle strong upward march continue kiya hai. Yeh teen consecutive din tak barh gaya aur psychological point 1.300 par chala gaya, jo July 2023 ke baad ka highest swing hai. GBP/USD pair ne Jerome Powell ke Monday ke statement ke baad apni strong rise continue ki, jahan Powell ne US inflation numbers ko welcome kiya, jo price stability ko show karte hain. Powell ko is saal interest rates cut karne mein aaram hai agar inflation decline karta rahe, although yeh 2.0% se upar hai. Fed ab zyada concerned hai labor market ke baare mein, jo pichle kuch mahine mein decline hua hai.

**GBP/USD Analysis on the H4 Chart**

GBP/USD currency pair filhal dheere dheere narrow range mein move kar raha hai, jahan forex market upward rally ki taraf trend kar raha hai. Dominant market trend bullish hai, jo ke pichli trading session mein significant increase ki wajah se prices ke surge karne ko darshata hai.

### Key Observations:

1. **Dheere Movement:**
- Pair narrow range mein move kar raha hai.
- Market trend bullish hai.

2. **Recent Surge:**
- Pichli trading session mein significant increase ne prices ko higher push kiya.
- Yeh surge continuous upward movement ke potential ko suggest karta hai.

3. **Future Targets:**
- Agli trading session mein aur prices ko increase karne ki attempts dekhne ko mil sakti hain.
- Long-term market structure bullish trend ko darshata hai, jismein prices ke further increases ka potential hai.

4. **Key Levels:**
- Buyers ke liye immediate target 1.2910 level hai.
- Yeh level potential breakouts ke liye nearest target represent karta hai.

### Strategy:

#### Short-Term Strategy:

- **Bullish Momentum Monitoring:**
- Pair ko sustained bullish momentum ke signs ke liye observe karte raho.
- 1.2910 level ke paas price action par nazar rakho.

- **Breakout Potential:**
- Agar 1.2910 ke upar successful breakout hota hai to yeh further upside potential ko signal kar sakta hai.
- Strong buying activity aur is level ke beyond potential new targets ko monitor karo.

- **Risk Management:**
- Potential pullbacks se cautious raho, khaaskar agar price 1.2910 level ko break nahi karti.
- Sudden market reversals se associated risks ko manage karne ke liye stop-loss orders implement karo.

### Conclusion:

GBP/USD pair filhal dheere dheere bullish trend exhibit kar raha hai, jo recent prices ke surge se support hota hai. Jaise market upward trend continue kar raha hai, buyers ke liye next significant target 1.2910 level hai. Price action aur bullish momentum ko upcoming trading sessions mein monitor karna crucial hoga, with a focus on potential breakouts aur associated risks ko manage karne par.

GBP/USD ka jo pair hai, usne Wednesday ke early New York session mein USD ke muqable mein notable resurgence dekha, 1.3040 mark ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai. Yeh recovery hai GBP/USD pair ke liye, jo pichle hafte ke significant downturn ke baad hui hai, jiska zyada asar DXY ki movements par hai, jo Greenback ko major global currencies ke muqable track karta hai.

### Economic Indicators aur Central Bank Policy ka GBP/USD Exchange Rate par Asar:

Bank of England (BoE) ki recent dovish stance ne British Pound par continued pressure daala hai, jahan markets August ke agle monetary policy meeting mein interest rate cut ke potential par speculate kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, latest flash UK PMI figures ne June ke liye private sector business activity mein slower growth pace ko reveal kiya, jo ke November se sabse kam hai. Yeh factors, USD ki renewed strength ke sath mil kar, GBP/USD pair ki recent struggles mein contribute kar rahe hain.

Dusri taraf, US Dollar ko preliminary S&P Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) report se support mila hai, jo surprisingly June ke dauran manufacturing aur service sectors mein accelerated growth ko indicate karta hai. Yeh unexpected uptick ne Composite PMI ko 51.7 tak push kiya, jo ke expectations ko surpass karta hai aur global uncertainties ke bawajood US economy ke resilience ko darshata hai.

### Technical Analysis aur GBP/USD Trading Range:

Wednesday ko GBP/USD pair ne apne recent lows ke 1.2900 ke aas-paas se chhe-tenth percent ki rise dekhi, jo ke technical resistance of 50-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2979 ke thoda neeche rahi. Analysts ab 1.3050 level ke upar breach ko dekh rahe hain, jo pair ko agle resistance zone ke 1.3150 ke aas-paas le jaa sakta hai, agar USD ki koi significant resurgence nahi hoti.

Technical front par, hourly candlesticks filhal 20-day EMA 1.3000 ke upar consolidate kar rahe hain, jahan downside movements ko 50-day EMA 1.2979 se limit kiya jaa sakta hai. GBP/USD ka intraday trading range 1.2960 aur 1.3040 ke beech confined nazar aa raha hai, jo traders ke cautious sentiment ko reflect karta hai jo aage ke market cues ka intezaar kar rahe hain.

British Pound ka US Dollar ke muqable mein Thursday ke London session ke doran 1.2870 ke aas-paas tak jaane ka silsila chal raha hai. Yeh surge US dollar ke kamzor hone ke wajah se hai. Speculation chal rahi hai ke Federal Reserve September tak interest rate cuts par ja sakta hai, jo ke unki pehle ki hawkish stance ke bilkul khilaf hai. Is ke ilawa, Bank of England ke rate hike par bets bhi dheere ho gaye hain. Dollar ke liye mushkil aur bhi badh gayi hai jab UK ka strong GDP report May mein British economy ke liye confidence ko barhawa de raha hai. Is dauran, US Dollar Index (DXY) major currencies ke muqable mein red dekh raha hai kyunke 105.20 ke upar momentum regain nahi kar paaya. Yeh kamzori Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke Congress ke samne testimony se hai, jahan unhone inflation ke khilaf kuch setbacks ko acknowledge kiya. Powell ne victory ka daawa nahi kiya, lekin Fed ke price stability ke commitment ko reaffirm kiya.

Ab investors ka focus US ke June CPI data par hai jo Thursday ko release hoga. Yeh report September ke potential Fed rate cut ke expectations ko shape karne mein instrumental hogi. Economists ka kehna hai ke core inflation, jo ke volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, 0.2% monthly basis par barh sakta hai aur annually 3.4% par stand karega. Saal ki headline inflation 3.1% tak girne ka andaza hai, jo ke May mein 3.3% thi, aur monthly increase 0.1% hone ki umeed hai.

### Technical Analysis:

Pound ki $1.2870 tak ki chadai naye highs ke nazdeek hai. GBP/USD pair bullish breakout ke liye poised hai, jo inverted Head and Shoulders (H&S) chart pattern se nazar aa raha hai. Neckline ke 1.2850 ke aas-paas breach karna is bullish reversal ko solidify karega. Uptrend ko support mil raha hai rising 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se jo filhal 1.2747 ke nazdeek hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day RSI bullish range 60.00 se 80.00 ke beech comfortably sit kar raha hai, jo strong upside momentum ko indicate karta hai.

GBP/USD pair ne Wednesday subah New York trading ke doran aik achi khasi taqat dikhayi, magar iska uthaav 1.3100 ke key level ke nazdeek ruk gaya. Filhal, GBP/USD 1.3030 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai aur aaj ke trading session mein 1.3100 ke regions tak pahunchne ka aim rakhta hai.

### GBP/USD ki Buniyadi Pehlu:

US core PCE inflation data ki bohot ahmiyat hai kyunki yeh Federal Reserve ke liye preferred inflation gauge hai. Investors is release ka intezar kar rahe hain kyunki yeh Fed ke future monetary policy decisions, including potential interest rate adjustments, ke baare mein insights provide karega. Analysts ka kehna hai ke annual inflation 2.6% tak kam ho sakta hai jo pehle 2.8% thi, aur monthly figures bhi 0.1% ke modest increase ka projection rakhti hain, jo pehle 0.2% thi.

### Four-Hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

GBP/USD ne 1.2817 ke key support se bounce karte hue wapas 1.3030 ke aas-paas chadh gaya. Pehle ke movements ne GBP/USD ko ek 12-month peak ko breach karne aur ab significant resistance level 1.3141 ko todne ki koshish ki. Khushi ki baat yeh hai ke pair ne 20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ke upar apni position ko strengthen kiya, jo ke lagbhag 1.2969 aur 1.2893 ke aas-paas hain.

### Technical Indicators:

Technical indicators bhi Pound ki position ko support karte hain, jahan Cable 61.8% Fibonacci retracement support level 1.2965 ke upar trade kar raha hai. Yeh level July 2023 ke high 1.3141 aur April 2022 ke low 1.2300 se calculate kiya gaya hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral zone 40.00-60.00 ke beech oscillate kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation aur near-term stability ka signal deta hai.

GBP/USD pair ne Wednesday subah New York trading ke doran aik achi khasi taqat dikhayi, magar iska uthaav 1.3100 ke key level ke nazdeek ruk gaya. Filhal, GBP/USD 1.3030 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai aur aaj ke trading session mein 1.3100 ke regions tak pahunchne ka aim rakhta hai.

### GBP/USD ki Buniyadi Pehlu:

US core PCE inflation data ki bohot ahmiyat hai kyunki yeh Federal Reserve ke liye preferred inflation gauge hai. Investors is release ka intezar kar rahe hain kyunki yeh Fed ke future monetary policy decisions, including potential interest rate adjustments, ke baare mein insights provide karega. Analysts ka kehna hai ke annual inflation 2.6% tak kam ho sakta hai jo pehle 2.8% thi, aur monthly figures bhi 0.1% ke modest increase ka projection rakhti hain, jo pehle 0.2% thi.

### Four-Hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

GBP/USD ne 1.2817 ke key support se bounce karte hue wapas 1.3030 ke aas-paas chadh gaya. Pehle ke movements ne GBP/USD ko ek 12-month peak ko breach karne aur ab significant resistance level 1.3141 ko todne ki koshish ki. Khushi ki baat yeh hai ke pair ne 20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ke upar apni position ko strengthen kiya, jo ke lagbhag 1.2969 aur 1.2893 ke aas-paas hain.

### Technical Indicators:

Technical indicators bhi Pound ki position ko support karte hain, jahan Cable 61.8% Fibonacci retracement support level 1.2965 ke upar trade kar raha hai. Yeh level July 2023 ke high 1.3141 aur April 2022 ke low 1.2300 se calculate kiya gaya hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral zone 40.00-60.00 ke beech oscillate kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation aur near-term stability ka signal deta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ne teen din ki rally ke baad ek pause liya aur naye haftay ka agaz ehtiyaat ke sath kiya. British Pound ne haal hi mein apni taqat dikhayi thi, monthly low se rebound kiya tha lekin 1.2731 ke aas-paas resistance ka samna karna pada. Yeh pullback US dollar ke mazboot hone, US Treasury yields ke barhne aur traders ke key economic data ka intezar karne ki wajah se hai. Ab pair 1.2590 support level ke nazdeek trade kar raha hai.

### Haal ki Rally aur Resistance

British Pound ki recent strength ko positive domestic economic data aur behtar market sentiment ki wajah se samjha ja sakta hai. Monthly low se rebound ne momentum provide kiya, jo GBP/USD pair ko upar le gaya. Magar jab pair 1.2731 ke resistance level ke nazdeek pahunch gaya, bullish momentum kam ho gaya. Yeh level ek significant barrier ban gaya, jo market ki caution aur broader economic factors ko reflect karta hai.

### Mazboot US Dollar aur Treasury Yields

GBP/USD pair ke pullback ke piche primary driver US dollar ka mazboot hona hai. Greenback ne US Treasury yields ke barhne ke saath traction gain kiya, jo United States ki economic strength aur Federal Reserve ke further monetary tightening ke expectations ko reflect karta hai. Higher yields aam tor par investors ko dollar ki taraf attract karte hain, jisse uski value other currencies, including British Pound, ke muqablay mein barh jaati hai.

### Key Economic Data Aage

Traders ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain jab ke UK aur US se key economic data ki release ka intezar hai. UK ke liye, inflation aur employment figures par focus hai, jo British economy ki health aur Bank of England ke future actions par insights provide karenge. US ke liye, retail sales aur consumer sentiment data release honge, jo consumer spending aur overall economic activity ke strength ko assess karne mein madadgar honge.

### Technical Analysis

Technical perspective se, GBP/USD pair ab 1.2590 support level ke nazdeek trade kar raha hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyunki yeh pair ke short-term direction ko determine kar sakta hai. Agar pair is support ke upar banaye rakhta hai, to buying interest attract ho sakti hai, jo 1.2731 resistance ke retest ki taraf le jaa sakti hai. Wahi agar 1.2590 ke neeche break hota hai, to further declines signal ho sakti hain, jinke next support levels 1.2550 aur 1.2500 ke aas-paas honge.

### Market Sentiment aur Future Outlook

Market sentiment mixed hai, jo GBP/USD pair ke near-term direction ke baare mein uncertainty reflect karta hai. Jab ke British Pound ne resilience dikhayi hai, external factors jaise ke US dollar ki performance aur global economic conditions significant influence rakhte hain. Yeh factors ke beech interplay pair ke future movements ko determine karega.

### Conclusion

GBP/USD currency pair ne teen din ki rally ke baad thandi le li aur naye haftay ka agaz ehtiyaat ke sath kiya. 1.2731 ke resistance level se pullback US dollar aur rising US Treasury yields ke influence ko dikhata hai. Jaise pair 1.2590 support level ke nazdeek hai, traders UK aur US se key economic data par nazar rakh rahe hain taake potential future moves ko gauge kiya ja sake. Market abhi bhi flux mein hai, aur technical aur fundamental factors pair ke direction ko shape karenge. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur current market environment ko effectively navigate karne ke liye balanced approach consider karni chahiye.

GBP/USD currency pair ne teen din ki rally ke baad ek pause liya aur naye haftay ka agaz ehtiyaat ke sath kiya. British Pound ne haal hi mein apni taqat dikhayi thi, monthly low se rebound kiya tha lekin 1.2731 ke aas-paas resistance ka samna karna pada. Yeh pullback US dollar ke mazboot hone, US Treasury yields ke barhne aur traders ke key economic data ka intezar karne ki wajah se hai. Ab pair 1.2590 support level ke nazdeek trade kar raha hai.

### Haal ki Rally aur Resistance

British Pound ki recent strength ko positive domestic economic data aur behtar market sentiment ki wajah se samjha ja sakta hai. Monthly low se rebound ne momentum provide kiya, jo GBP/USD pair ko upar le gaya. Magar jab pair 1.2731 ke resistance level ke nazdeek pahunch gaya, bullish momentum kam ho gaya. Yeh level ek significant barrier ban gaya, jo market ki caution aur broader economic factors ko reflect karta hai.

### Mazboot US Dollar aur Treasury Yields

GBP/USD pair ke pullback ke piche primary driver US dollar ka mazboot hona hai. Greenback ne US Treasury yields ke barhne ke saath traction gain kiya, jo United States ki economic strength aur Federal Reserve ke further monetary tightening ke expectations ko reflect karta hai. Higher yields aam tor par investors ko dollar ki taraf attract karte hain, jisse uski value other currencies, including British Pound, ke muqablay mein barh jaati hai.

### Key Economic Data Aage

Traders ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain jab ke UK aur US se key economic data ki release ka intezar hai. UK ke liye, inflation aur employment figures par focus hai, jo British economy ki health aur Bank of England ke future actions par insights provide karenge. US ke liye, retail sales aur consumer sentiment data release honge, jo consumer spending aur overall economic activity ke strength ko assess karne mein madadgar honge.

### Technical Analysis

Technical perspective se, GBP/USD pair ab 1.2590 support level ke nazdeek trade kar raha hai. Yeh level crucial hai kyunki yeh pair ke short-term direction ko determine kar sakta hai. Agar pair is support ke upar banaye rakhta hai, to buying interest attract ho sakti hai, jo 1.2731 resistance ke retest ki taraf le jaa sakti hai. Wahi agar 1.2590 ke neeche break hota hai, to further declines signal ho sakti hain, jinke next support levels 1.2550 aur 1.2500 ke aas-paas honge.

### Market Sentiment aur Future Outlook

Market sentiment mixed hai, jo GBP/USD pair ke near-term direction ke baare mein uncertainty reflect karta hai. Jab ke British Pound ne resilience dikhayi hai, external factors jaise ke US dollar ki performance aur global economic conditions significant influence rakhte hain. Yeh factors ke beech interplay pair ke future movements ko determine karega.

### Conclusion

GBP/USD currency pair ne teen din ki rally ke baad thandi le li aur naye haftay ka agaz ehtiyaat ke sath kiya. 1.2731 ke resistance level se pullback US dollar aur rising US Treasury yields ke influence ko dikhata hai. Jaise pair 1.2590 support level ke nazdeek hai, traders UK aur US se key economic data par nazar rakh rahe hain taake potential future moves ko gauge kiya ja sake. Market abhi bhi flux mein hai, aur technical aur fundamental factors pair ke direction ko shape karenge. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur current market environment ko effectively navigate karne ke liye balanced approach consider karni chahiye.

**M15 Trading Chat On GBP/USD:**

Sab ko achi din ki dua! Main GBP/USD currency pair par dekha rahe hoon ke M15 chart par linear regression channel upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo ke market mein buyers ki majbooti ko indicate karta hai. Buyers ki activity se achi opportunity mil rahi hai lower channel border se purchases consider karne ki, jo ke 1.29570 par hai. Iske baad main market ke 1.29857 level tak barhne ka intezar karunga, jahan correction ki ummeed hai. Correction lower border tak hoga, jahan se phir se purchases consider ki jani chahiye. Agar lower border break ho jata hai, to further fall ke chances hain, aur is case mein purchases cancel kar di jani chahiye. Market channels ke along jab upar ki taraf dekh raha hota hai, to yeh movements follow karte hain. Upper border se 1.29857 par sales enter karna zaroori hai. Mere liye yeh important hai ke main rollback se lower border ke nazdeek enter karun.

**H1 Trading Chat On GBP/USD:**

H1 time frame par dekhne se linear regression channel upar ki taraf directed hai, jo M15 se zyada important hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke bulls strong hain. M15 channel ka signal purchases ke liye hai, jo mere buying interest ko barhata hai. Aapko bas sahi jagah par price ka intezar karna hai aur wahan se buys dekhni hain. Current situation mein main lower channel border 1.29431 se purchases dekhunga. Yahan se main 1.30462 tak buy karne ki koshish karunga. Yeh target worked out hai aur subsequent growth ka indicator hai. 1.30462 se correction ke chances hain, kyunke bullish movement ke signs hain. Phir se bulls apni movement ko restore karne ki koshish karenge. Agar 1.29431 entry mark downward break hota hai, to yeh bearish interest ka sign hai. Is case mein trading plan ko revise karna padega aur market situation ko re-evaluate karna zaroori hai.

**Good day.**

Kal sellers phir se Pound ke sath kuch nahi kar paaye; unhein even minimal sensible correction bhi nahi mili. Aur aaj buyers ne 1.30 level ko tod diya hai aur actively upar ki taraf move kar rahe hain, foothold banane ki koshish karte hue. Abhi ke liye, continued growth ka nearest target 1.31417 mark hai. Sellers ke paas ab sirf ye intezar karna bacha hai ke reversal structure ban jaye, taake wo isse push off kar saken correction ke liye. Nearest strong level 1.29375 par hai, jo ke 100 points se zyada door hai. Dollar ko strengthen karne ke liye kya chahiye, agar Fed rate ko lower karna shuru kar de, to hum aur bhi upar ja sakte hain.

**GBP/USD H4:**

1 - Pound 4-hour chart par actively upper band se bahar gaya hai, lekin lower band itna actively outward nahi hua. Price growth ke liye behtar signal paane ke liye, dono bands ka outward open hona intezar karna chahiye. Agar fractals ko evaluate kiya jaye, to price July 15 ke fractal tak pohanch gayi aur usse bhi upar chali gayi, July 27, 2023 ke fractal tak. Ab continued growth ke liye target July 18, 2023 ke fractal hai. Nearest fractal down bohot door hai, aur price fall ki direction ke liye kuch rely karne ke liye, naye aur closer fractal ka formation intezar karna padega.

2 - AO indicator ne positive zone mein increase banana shuru kar diya hai. Agar zyada active acceleration dekhi, to price growth ke liye stronger signal milega. Filhal situation divergent hai, jo ke upward impulse ke attenuation ka indication hai.

**H4 Timeframe Analysis:**

Pichle May se, GBP/USD market mein trend dheere dheere bullish side ki taraf barh raha hai, jab se ye Simple Moving Average 100 indicator ke upar se guzra hai. June ke shuruat mein, upward trend ko sellers se selling pressure mila, jisse prices dheere dheere gir gayi. Is mahine ke trading period mein, price ki badhawa ki umeed ab bhi dikhayi de rahi hai. Agar hum current candlestick position dekhein, to ye Simple Moving Average 100 ke upar chal raha hai, jo buyers ki taraf se bullish move ki koshish dikhata hai. Aaj market price condition ko upar ki taraf move karte hue dikhata hai aur weekly low position se upar nikal raha hai, abhi tak price 1.2967 ke aas-paas range mein chal rahi hai.

Month ke shuru se price movements ki tendency bullish nazar aa rahi hai, jo buyers ke support se mil rahi hai. Price increase ne candlestick ko Simple Moving Average 100 ke upar banaye rakha hai, aur lagta hai buyers higher price area tak reach karna chahte hain. Aaj GBP/USD pair ne 1.2968 se open kiya, aur 4-hour timeframe se, buyers ka influence dikhayi de raha hai jo pichle mahine ke aakhri se prices ko increase kar raha hai. Shuru ke week trading session mein, buyers ke efforts ab bhi market ko control kar rahe hain, jisse price stable rahi hai aur Simple Moving Average 100 ke zone ke upar chal rahi hai.

Badi time frame mein trend ab bhi bullish side par chal raha hai. Lagta hai market agle upward momentum ka intezar kar raha hai jo aaj ya kal ho sakta hai. Candlestick ke Simple Moving Average 100 ke zone ke upar chalne ki wajah se, mujhe lagta hai ke price uptrend continue kar sakti hai agar fundamentals bhi upward trend ko support kare. Lekin, Asian session mein market conditions quiet hain, isliye hume trading signal ke liye shaam ya dopahar tak intezar karna padega.

**Transaction Options:**

- **Buy**: 1.2986 ke area mein
- **Take Profit**: 1.3036
- **Stop Loss**: 1.2958

GBP/USD Forum Analysis and Forecast:

### H1 Hourly Analysis

Dekhein, GBP/USD ne kitni achi tariqay se upar ki taraf movement dikhayi hai. Inflation ke hawale se koi khaas reaction nazar nahi aaya, lekin jo ab ho raha hai, woh aik reaction hai, lekin is ka exact maqsad samajh nahi aata. Agar yeh Europe ke CPI ka reaction hai, to yeh itna timely nahi lag raha aur exit ke waqt koi major movement nahi hui. Is liye, is move ke peechay koi aur buniyadi wajah lagti hai. Mere khayal se, American session ke doran bhi north pressure barqarar rahega aur decline ki umeed nahi hai. Yeh movement hourly interval pe nahi, balki pichle kuch dino aur hafton ke dauran shuru hui hai. Mai abhi bhi bullish side par hoon, is liye agar hum is raaste par chalain to 1.303 par entry consider karni chahiye. Lagta hai ke bears bhi bulls ko 1.3108 tak pohnchne se nahi rok sakenge. Filhaal, market stagnation mein nahi hai, lekin ye jaldi direction choose kar legi aur upper side se stagnation ka bhi zahoor hoga. General movement direction abhi clear lagti hai.

### M30 Minutes Analysis

Ab mein 1.30985 ke high level par nazar rakh raha hoon. Yeh mere liye GBP/USD pair par buying ka main goal hai. Jab currency pair 1.30287 par ho aur 1.29688 ke middle part ke upar ho, to hum long positions gain karne ki baat kar sakte hain. Pehla target partial profit fixation ke liye 1.30336 ho sakta hai. Lekin is waqt, yeh level bas ek aur boundary lagti hai jo humare long position ke raaste mein hai. Agar koi force majeure situation hoti hai, to mein 1.29688 level ko dekh raha hoon. Agar sellers ka significant pressure aata hai aur price ko is controlled level ke neeche le jata hai, to sari longs definitely doom ho jayengi aur humein short positions ki taraf switch karna padega. Isliye, 1.29688 abhi stop loss level ban gaya hai.