Gold

Thursday ko barh gayi jab Federal Reserve ne apne rate cuts ka pace 50 basis points (bps) se slow kar diya. Traders ne US yields ka izafa nazarandaz kar diya, jo ke normally gold ke sath inverse correlation mein hoti hain. Gold abhi tak $2,600 ke qareeb recover kar raha hai, aur XAU/USD is waqt $2,589 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 1% se zyada ka izafa hai. Bullion prices ne Wednesday ko jo losses uthaye thay Fed ke decision ke baad, unko aage barha diya. Fed ke officials ne apne decision ko justify karte huye kaha ke inflation ab sustainable hai aur Fed ka 2% target achievable lagta hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne ye bhi emphasize kiya ke central bank labor force ko policy adjustments ke zariye maintain kar sakta hai. Powell ka kehna tha ke inflation ka khatra kam hua hai jabke labor market ne mazid mazbooti dikhayi hai. Lekin unhone ye bhi kaha ke agar inflation persistent rehta hai to "hum policy ko dheere kar sakte hain" aur unhone ye bhi add kiya ke bank ke outlook ke mutabiq policy ko normalize karne ki "jaldi nahi hai". Is doran, US jobs data ne bhi tawajjo hasil ki Powell ke Jackson Hole speech ke baad. US Department of Labor ne bataya ke unemployment benefits ke liye kam logon ne apply kiya, jo ke strong labor market ki nishani hai. Is ke ilawa, US Treasury yields bhi gold ke sath barh gayi, jahan 10-year yield 3.74% tak pohanch gayi, lekin is izafay ne greenback ko support nahi kiya, jo ke 0.31% gira aur US Dollar Index (DXY) ke mutabiq 100.62 par aa gaya. Is hafte, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker rare US docket par comments karenge. Gold ne 2530.00 consolidation range ko tor diya aur 2586.00 tak ek growth wave chalayi. Market ab is range ke extension potential tak pohanch gaya hai aur ab in highs par ek nayi consolidation area bana raha hai. Main expectation ye hai ke gold 2555.50 tak giray ga, aur shayad 2530.00 tak ek corrective phase mein chala jaye. MACD indicator bhi is scenario ko support karta hai, kyun ke signal line zero ke upar hai lekin ab downward path per move kar rahi hai, jo ke ek possible decline ka ishara hai

Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay

Sona hamesha se ek qeemti dhat raha hai, jo sirf zewar banane ke liye nahi balki maal aur daulat ke tor par bhi istemal hota hai. Aaj kal ki duniya mein sona ek mehfooz sarmaya kari ka zariya samjha jata hai, kyun ke is ki qeemat waqt ke sath aksar barhti hai. Sona ki qeemat kayi factors par mabni hoti hai, jese ke global market trends, demand aur supply, aur geo-political surat-e-haal.
Sona ki qeemat ka ta'ayun aksar dollar mein hota hai, lekin jab hum isay apni currency mein convert karte hain, to qeemat mutasir ho sakti hai. Agar dollar mazboot ho raha ho, to sona mehenga ho sakta hai, aur agar dollar kamzor ho, to sona sasta lagne lagta hai. Aise hi, agar kisi mulk ki economy achi chal rahi ho, to sona ki demand kam ho sakti hai, kyun ke log doosri investments ko tarjeeh dete hain. Magar jab ma'eeshat mein giraawat hoti hai, ya mehngai barh rahi hoti hai, to log apni raqam ko bachane ke liye sona kharidna shuru kar dete hain.

Aham baat yeh hai ke sona sirf aik sarmaya kari ka zariya nahi hai, balki yeh aik cultural symbol bhi hai. Pakistan mein aksar log apni savings ko sona kharid kar mehfooz karte hain. Shaadiyon mein sona dena aik riwayat ban gaya hai, jo na sirf dulhan ke zevarat ke tor par hota hai, balki ek istiraat bhi hota hai jo waqt padne par becha ja sakta hai.

Jab hum sona ki qeemat ke mutaliq sochte hain, to yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke is ki qeemat waqt ke sath kaafi utar chadhav dekh sakti hai. International tensions, jaise ke jang ya mulki siyasi be-yaqeeni, sona ki qeemat ko asman tak le ja sakte hain. Sona ki qeemat mein stability kaafi kam hoti hai, lekin is ka lamba faida aksar nazar aata hai. Yahi wajah hai ke buhat se investors, chahay chhoti level par ho ya bari companies, sona mein apna paisa lagana pasand karte hain

sony ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne

GOLD ne mid Bb area aur EMA50 ko bhi breach kar liya, khas tor par H4 timeframe mein. Jab Gold price ne 2528 ka resistance test karne ki koshish ki, toh ek "false break" ya rejection nazar aayi jiski wajah se price niche gir gayi, aur lagbhag support level 2481 tak pohanch gayi. Agar price jo ke EMA 50 ke niche hai wahan qaim rehti hai, toh price further decline kar ke support ko cross kar sakti hai aur SMA 200 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar hum pehle ke Gold price movement ka historical perspective dekhein, toh jab correction hoti hai, price SMA 200 ko cross karti hai, lekin death cross signal nahi banta. Abhi tak price pattern higher high - higher low ke structure mein hai kyun ke 2470 ke low prices ne structure ko break nahi kiya. Agar hum Stochastic indicator ke perspective se dekhein, toh Gold ke price decline ko correction phase kaha ja sakta hai, kyun ke Stochastic parameters ne level 50 ko cross karke oversold zone (20 - 10) ki taraf move kiya hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke selling saturation abhi nahi hui aur price ke further girne ka room hai. Trading recommendations ke liye abhi bhi bullish trend ke direction ko follow karna chahiye, kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan ka distance abhi kaafi zyada hai aur death cross signal nahi bana. BUY entry tab place karni chahiye jab corrected price support 2481 ke aas paas false break ya rejection ka signal de. Confirmation ke liye dekhna hoga ke Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone mein (level 20 - 10) cross karein. Take profit resistance 2581 par place karna chahiye, aur stop loss / cut loss jab price SMA 200 ke aas paas touch kare. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya

Pehle marhale mein, 2424 ke support level ke neeche break ka intezar tha, jo ab ho chuka hai. Doosre marhale mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin teesra marhala, jo consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance tak le jayega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hoti, upward trend ka nateeja waazeh nahi ho sakta, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Iss liye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jisme ek aur upward move zaroori hoga. Humne pehle hourly time frame ka tajziya kiya tha, lekin ab main daily chart par dekhna chahta hoon. Daily Time Frame (D1) mein, ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound ke baad, resistance line se consistent wave of decline shuru hui, jo gold ko gap ke sath ek zabardast downward movement mein le gayi. Channel ke lower limit ka koi imkaan nahi tha, jo pichlay haftay ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko suggest karta hai. Yahan, price support line ko touch karegi, jahan main ek rebound aur upward correction ki umeed kar raha hoon.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline ka imkaan hai, aur gold ke market opening ke baad kam hone ka chance hai. 2353.39 par price minimum TF tak pohonch gayi thi aur thodi si upward adjust hui. Yeh price green zone cross karegi aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use karegi growth ke dauran. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karegi, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak pohonchegi, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak ja sakti hai.

H4 Time Frame par gold bullish tendencies dikha raha hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ka crossover 2385 level par hua hai, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Yeh crossover gold ke liye ek strong upward trend ka signal de raha hai. Pichlay kuch dino ki market fluctuations bhool jayein; gold kal 2457 level tak gaya, jaise main ne anticipate kiya tha. Aaj gold ke 2470 level ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Ek strong bullish trend raah par hai

Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening

Gold prices ne North American trading session ke doran kafi bada izafa dekha. Yeh izafa mainly kamzor US dollar aur Federal Reserve ke zyada aggressive interest rate cut ki umeed ki wajah se tha. Traders Wednesday ko Fed ke monetary policy decision ka intezar kar rahe hain, aur 50-basis point reduction ki probability 59% tak barh gayi hai. Kamzor US dollar, jo DXY index ke zariye measure kiya gaya, ne gold prices ko boost kiya. DXY index 0.36% gir kar 100.74 par aa gaya, jo market sentiment ke dovish stance ko darshata hai. Is wajah se gold, jo ek non-interest-bearing asset hai, inflation aur economic uncertainty se bachav ke liye investors ko zyada attractive lag raha hai. Middle East mein geopolitical tensions bhi gold prices ke izafe mein madadgar sabit ho rahi hain. Ongoing conflicts aur escalation ki potential ne gold ki demand ko barhadiya hai. Aage dekhte hue, US economic calendar mein aise key data releases honge jo Fed ke decision ko influence kar sakte hain. August ke retail sales figures July ke data se kamzor hone ki umeed hai, jo rate cut ka case aur majboot kar sakta hai. Housing data bhi Fed ke announcement aur press conference ke qareeb closely dekha jayega. Technically, gold prices strong bullish momentum show kar rahi hain. MACD index aur relative strength index (RSI) dono positive trend ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain, jo aage bhi upward movement ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, price abhi psychological levels 2600 aur 2700 par immediate resistance face kar rahi hai. In levels ko break karne se aage aur faida hone ke chances hain, jahan Fibonacci 261.8% extension at 2800 ek potential target ban sakta hai

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya. Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye. tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq,sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par

Pichlay hafte sellers ne price ko neeche dhakailne ki koshish ki lekin wo kamiyab nahi ho sake. Wave structure ab bhi upward pattern mein ban rahi hai, aur MACD indicator overbought zone mein apni signal line ke upar hai. Maine expect kiya tha ke price kum az kum horizontal support level 2526 ko touch karegi, closing prices ke hisaab se. Halanki is level ko test karne ki koshish hui, lekin wo mukammal nahi hui aur upward momentum pehle hi wapas aa gaya. Ab ye clear nahi hai ke price kitni door tak jayegi, kyun ke wo already apne historical highs par hai – aage koi limit nahi. Koi bhi rukaawat nahi hai jo is rise ko rokh sake, lekin sellers sirf reversal ki umeed kar sakte hain bina kisi khaas catalyst ke. MACD indicator par jo bearish divergence nazar aa rahi thi wo ab invalidate ho chuki hai. Ab ye dekhna mushkil hai ke price kahan ja rahi hai. Jab ke daily chart par divergence break ho gayi hai, ye weekly chart par ab bhi mojood hai, jo MACD aur CCI dono par dikhayi deti hai. Lekin yeh gold hai, aur is mein kuch bhi ho sakta hai. Ab peak par buying risky lagti hai, kyun ke koi bhi waqt achanak se girawat aasakti hai. Selling ek option ho sakti hai, lekin sirf tight stop loss ke sath, agar lower timeframes par corresponding formations dikhayi dein. Market mein bina stop loss ke entry lena account balance ke liye khatarnaak ho sakta hai, kyun ke trend bohot strong hai aur positions ko aasani se wipe out kar sakta hai. Hourly chart par GOLD/XAUUSD ke pichlay hafte mein zyada signals nahi mile – week ke pehle hisson mein prices gir rahi thi, gold correction mein tha aur meri timeframe pattern ke mutabiq koi buy signal nahi diya. Lekin Friday ko, week ke end par, trading day ke bilkul start mein ek khoobsurat buy signal mila jisme 1:3 se zyada ka potential tha. Price EMA 233 ke upar bohot arsay se hai, jo GOLD/XAUUSD par uptrend ko confirm karti hai, aur ye aglay hafte tak continue hone ki umeed hai. Phir bhi, behtareen entry tab hoti hai jab ek acha pullback ho, taake trades ka success ka chance zyada ho aur profit ka potential bhi zyada ho.

Chaliye ab gold ke price action ka tajziya karte hain. Pehle marhale mein, 2424 ke support level ke neeche break ka intezar tha, jo ab ho chuka hai. Doosre marhale mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin teesra marhala, jo consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance tak le jayega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hoti, upward trend ka nateeja waazeh nahi ho sakta, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Iss liye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jisme ek aur upward move zaroori hoga. Humne pehle hourly time frame ka tajziya kiya tha, lekin ab main daily chart par dekhna chahta hoon.

Daily Time Frame (D1) mein, ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound ke baad, resistance line se consistent wave of decline shuru hui, jo gold ko gap ke sath ek zabardast downward movement mein le gayi. Channel ke lower limit ka koi imkaan nahi tha, jo pichlay haftay ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko suggest karta hai. Yahan, price support line ko touch karegi, jahan main ek rebound aur upward correction ki umeed kar raha hoon.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline ka imkaan hai, aur gold ke market opening ke baad kam hone ka chance hai. 2353.39 par price minimum TF tak pohonch gayi thi aur thodi si upward adjust hui. Yeh price green zone cross karegi aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use karegi growth ke dauran. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karegi, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak pohonchegi, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak ja sakti hai.

H4 Time Frame par gold bullish tendencies dikha raha hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ka crossover 2385 level par hua hai, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Yeh crossover gold ke liye ek strong upward trend ka signal de raha hai. Pichlay kuch dino ki market fluctuations bhool jayein; gold kal 2457 level tak gaya, jaise main ne anticipate kiya tha. Aaj gold ke 2470 level ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Ek strong bullish trend raah par hai, jo gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone tak le jane ki tayari kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain jo potential buying opportunities ke liye madadgar ho sakti hain

Thursday ko barh gayi jab Federal Reserve ne apne rate cuts ka pace 50 basis points (bps) se slow kar diya. Traders ne US yields ka izafa nazarandaz kar diya, jo ke normally gold ke sath inverse correlation mein hoti hain. Gold abhi tak $2,600 ke qareeb recover kar raha hai, aur XAU/USD is waqt $2,589 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 1% se zyada ka izafa hai. Bullion prices ne Wednesday ko jo losses uthaye thay Fed ke decision ke baad, unko aage barha diya. Fed ke officials ne apne decision ko justify karte huye kaha ke inflation ab sustainable hai aur Fed ka 2% target achievable lagta hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne ye bhi emphasize kiya ke central bank labor force ko policy adjustments ke zariye maintain kar sakta hai. Powell ka kehna tha ke inflation ka khatra kam hua hai jabke labor market ne mazid mazbooti dikhayi hai. Lekin unhone ye bhi kaha ke agar inflation persistent rehta hai to "hum policy ko dheere kar sakte hain" aur unhone ye bhi add kiya ke bank ke outlook ke mutabiq policy ko normalize karne ki "jaldi nahi hai". Is doran, US jobs data ne bhi tawajjo hasil ki Powell ke Jackson Hole speech ke baad. US Department of Labor ne bataya ke unemployment benefits ke liye kam logon ne apply kiya, jo ke strong labor market ki nishani hai. Is ke ilawa, US Treasury yields bhi gold ke sath barh gayi, jahan 10-year yield 3.74% tak pohanch gayi, lekin is izafay ne greenback ko support nahi kiya, jo ke 0.31% gira aur US Dollar Index (DXY) ke mutabiq 100.62 par aa gaya. Is hafte, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker rare US docket par comments karenge. Gold ne 2530.00 consolidation range ko tor diya aur 2586.00 tak ek growth wave chalayi. Market ab is range ke extension potential tak pohanch gaya hai aur ab in highs par ek nayi consolidation area bana raha hai. Main expectation ye hai ke gold 2555.50 tak giray ga, aur shayad 2530.00 tak ek corrective phase mein chala jaye. MACD indicator bhi is scenario ko support karta hai, kyun ke signal line zero ke upar hai lekin ab downward path per move kar rahi hai, jo ke ek possible decline ka ishara hai

GOLD ne resistance ko touch kiya 2525 par, toh uske baad ek extraordinary aur tezi se decline dekhnay ko mila. Yeh decline itna tez tha ke GOLD ne mid Bb area aur EMA50 ko bhi breach kar liya, khas tor par H4 timeframe mein. Jab Gold price ne 2528 ka resistance test karne ki koshish ki, toh ek "false break" ya rejection nazar aayi jiski wajah se price niche gir gayi, aur lagbhag support level 2481 tak pohanch gayi. Agar price jo ke EMA 50 ke niche hai wahan qaim rehti hai, toh price further decline kar ke support ko cross kar sakti hai aur SMA 200 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar hum pehle ke Gold price movement ka historical perspective dekhein, toh jab correction hoti hai, price SMA 200 ko cross karti hai, lekin death cross signal nahi banta. Abhi tak price pattern higher high - higher low ke structure mein hai kyun ke 2470 ke low prices ne structure ko break nahi kiya. Agar hum Stochastic indicator ke perspective se dekhein, toh Gold ke price decline ko correction phase kaha ja sakta hai, kyun ke Stochastic parameters ne level 50 ko cross karke oversold zone (20 - 10) ki taraf move kiya hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke selling saturation abhi nahi hui aur price ke further girne ka room hai. Trading recommendations ke liye abhi bhi bullish trend ke direction ko follow karna chahiye, kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan ka distance abhi kaafi zyada hai aur death cross signal nahi bana. BUY entry tab place karni chahiye jab corrected price support 2481 ke aas paas false break ya rejection ka signal de. Confirmation ke liye dekhna hoga ke Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone mein (level 20 - 10) cross karein. Take profit resistance 2581 par place karna chahiye, aur stop loss / cut loss jab price SMA 200 ke aas paas touch kare.

Jab ke mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar hain, haal hi ke support levels se bullish signals talash kar rahe hain, apne broad uptrend mein aetmad ko mazboot karne ke liye. Magar, mozo par kisi bhi tarah ke uncertainties qayam hain, traders hoshiyar taur par umeedwar

Gold
Gold ki Ahamiyat
Gold, yaani sona, qadeem zamano se aik badi qeemti dhaat samjhi ja rahi hai. Yeh na sirf zevarat banane ke liye istemal hota hai, balkay baray baray mulkon ke liye aik mehfooz investment bhi hai. Duniya bhar mein gold ki talabiat hamesha barhtee rehti hai, chahe woh zevarat ke liye ho ya phir financial investments ke liye.

Gold ki Demand aur Supply

Gold ki demand kaafi asrat rakhti hai market par. Jab log gold khareedte hain, toh yeh iska rate barh jata hai, aur jab iski demand kam hoti hai toh rate girta hai. Supply kaafi limited hai kyun ke gold ko zameen ke neeche se nikaala jata hai, aur yeh process kaafi mushkil aur mehnat talab hota hai. Issi wajah se jab bhi gold ki mining ya production kam hoti hai, prices par asar padta hai.

Gold aur Currency Market

Gold ko aksar "safe-haven" asset kaha jata hai, kyun ke jab bhi global market mein uncertainty hoti hai, log apne paisay gold mein invest karte hain. Yeh global currencies, jaise USD, ke against fluctuate karta hai. Jab dollar ki value kam hoti hai, toh gold mehnga ho jata hai aur vice versa. Investors aksar apni currencies ko gold mein tabdeel karte hain jab unhein lagta hai ke economy mushkil mein hai.

Gold ki Trading

Aaj kal gold ki trading electronic form mein hoti hai, jise futures contracts ya phir exchange-traded funds (ETFs) ke through khareeda ya becha jata hai. Trading mein gold kaafi volatile hota hai aur traders technical aur fundamental analysis ka sahara lete hain taake behtareen faislay kar sakein. Trading karte waqt, support aur resistance levels ko samajhna buhat zaroori hota hai kyun ke yeh market trends ko dekhne ka aik tareeqa hai.

Gold ki Future Potential

Aindah ke liye bhi gold aik mehfooz aur valuable investment mana jaata hai. Aksar financial experts ka kehna hai ke jab tak duniya mein geopolitical tensions aur economic instability rahe gi, gold ki qeemat barhtee rahe gi. Isliye, long-term investors ke liye yeh ab bhi aik aham option hai.