Gold

Chaliye ab gold ke price action ka tajziya karte hain. Pehle marhale mein, 2424 ke support level ke neeche break ka intezar tha, jo ab ho chuka hai. Doosre marhale mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin teesra marhala, jo consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance tak le jayega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hoti, upward trend ka nateeja waazeh nahi ho sakta, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Iss liye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jisme ek aur upward move zaroori hoga. Humne pehle hourly time frame ka tajziya kiya tha, lekin ab main daily chart par dekhna chahta hoon.

Daily Time Frame (D1) mein, ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound ke baad, resistance line se consistent wave of decline shuru hui, jo gold ko gap ke sath ek zabardast downward movement mein le gayi. Channel ke lower limit ka koi imkaan nahi tha, jo pichlay haftay ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko suggest karta hai. Yahan, price support line ko touch karegi, jahan main ek rebound aur upward correction ki umeed kar raha hoon.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline ka imkaan hai, aur gold ke market opening ke baad kam hone ka chance hai. 2353.39 par price minimum TF tak pohonch gayi thi aur thodi si upward adjust hui. Yeh price green zone cross karegi aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use karegi growth ke dauran. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karegi, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak pohonchegi, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak ja sakti hai.

H4 Time Frame par gold bullish tendencies dikha raha hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ka crossover 2385 level par hua hai, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Yeh crossover gold ke liye ek strong upward trend ka signal de raha hai. Pichlay kuch dino ki market fluctuations bhool jayein; gold kal 2457 level tak gaya, jaise main ne anticipate kiya tha. Aaj gold ke 2470 level ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Ek strong bullish trend raah par hai, jo gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone tak le jane ki tayari kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain jo potential buying opportunities ke liye madadgar ho sakti hain:

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Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya. Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai

Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya. Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye. tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq,sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi

Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray
chart par indicators koi khaas direction nahi dikha rahe, woh mukhtalif directions mein point kar rahe hain. Pair Bollinger Band channel ki bullish zone mein wapas aane ki koshish kar raha hai, aur agar yeh yahan consolidate karta hai, toh sales cancel ho sakti hain. Lekin mera khayal hai ke bears abhi bhi try karenge, kyun ke downtrend apna cycle complete nahi kar saka, aur target ab tak 2450 ke aas paas hai. Gold ke recent decline ko shaayad ek temporary dip samjha jaa sakta hai, jo investors ke liye buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Yeh decline shayad pichle period ke price increase ke baad profit-taking ki wajah se aaya h

resistance ko touch kiya 2525 par, toh uske baad ek extraordinary aur tezi se decline dekhnay ko mila. Yeh decline itna tez tha ke GOLD ne mid Bb area aur EMA50 ko bhi breach kar liya, khas tor par H4 timeframe mein. Jab Gold price ne 2528 ka resistance test karne ki koshish ki, toh ek "false break" ya rejection nazar aayi jiski wajah se price niche gir gayi, aur lagbhag support level 2481 tak pohanch gayi. Agar price jo ke EMA 50 ke niche hai wahan qaim rehti hai, toh price further decline kar ke support ko cross kar sakti hai aur SMA 200 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar hum pehle ke Gold price movement ka historical perspective dekhein, toh jab correction hoti hai, price SMA 200 ko cross karti hai, lekin death cross signal nahi banta. Abhi tak price pattern higher high - higher low ke structure mein hai kyun ke 2470 ke low prices ne structure ko break nahi kiya. Agar hum Stochastic indicator ke perspective se dekhein, toh Gold ke price decline ko correction phase kaha ja sakta hai, kyun ke Stochastic parameters ne level 50 ko cross karke oversold zone (20 - 10) ki taraf move kiya hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke selling saturation abhi nahi hui aur price ke further girne ka room hai. Trading recommendations ke liye abhi bhi bullish trend ke direction ko follow karna chahiye, kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan ka distance abhi kaafi zyada hai aur death cross signal nahi bana. BUY entry tab place karni chahiye jab corrected price support 2481 ke aas paas false break ya rejection ka signal de. Confirmation ke liye dekhna hoga ke Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone mein (level 20 - 10) cross karein. Take profit resistance 2581 par place karna chahiye, aur stop loss / cut loss jab price SMA 200 ke aas paas touch kare. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke

Thursday ko barh gayi jab Federal Reserve ne apne rate cuts ka pace 50 basis points (bps) se slow kar diya. Traders ne US yields ka izafa nazarandaz kar diya, jo ke normally gold ke sath inverse correlation mein hoti hain. Gold abhi tak $2,600 ke qareeb recover kar raha hai, aur XAU/USD is waqt $2,589 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 1% se zyada ka izafa hai. Bullion prices ne Wednesday ko jo losses uthaye thay Fed ke decision ke baad, unko aage barha diya. Fed ke officials ne apne decision ko justify karte huye kaha ke inflation ab sustainable hai aur Fed ka 2% target achievable lagta hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne ye bhi emphasize kiya ke central bank labor force ko policy adjustments ke zariye maintain kar sakta hai. Powell ka kehna tha ke inflation ka khatra kam hua hai jabke labor market ne mazid mazbooti dikhayi hai. Lekin unhone ye bhi kaha ke agar inflation persistent rehta hai to "hum policy ko dheere kar sakte hain" aur unhone ye bhi add kiya ke bank ke outlook ke mutabiq policy ko normalize karne ki "jaldi nahi hai". Is doran, US jobs data ne bhi tawajjo hasil ki Powell ke Jackson Hole speech ke baad. US Department of Labor ne bataya ke unemployment benefits ke liye kam logon ne apply kiya, jo ke strong labor market ki nishani hai. Is ke ilawa, US Treasury yields bhi gold ke sath barh gayi, jahan 10-year yield 3.74% tak pohanch gayi, lekin is izafay ne greenback ko support nahi kiya, jo ke 0.31% gira aur US Dollar Index (DXY) ke mutabiq 100.62 par aa gaya. Is hafte, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker rare US docket par comments karenge. Gold ne 2530.00 consolidation range ko tor diya aur 2586.00 tak ek growth wave chalayi. Market ab is range ke extension potential tak pohanch gaya hai aur ab in highs par ek nayi consolidation area bana raha hai. Main expectation ye hai ke gold 2555.50 tak giray ga, aur shayad 2530.00 tak ek corrective phase mein chala jaye. MACD indicator bhi is scenario ko support karta hai, kyun ke signal line zero ke upar hai lekin ab downward path per move kar rahi hai, jo ke ek possible decline ka ishara hai

sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka

Pichlay haftay, gold ne narrow range mein fluctuation ki, lekin important level ko break nahi kar paya. Jab price ne channel ki lower limit 2677 ko test kiya, tou foran rebound kiya aur upar ki taraf move karte hue 2650 ke upper limit tak pohanch gaya. Lekin, 2655 ko break nahi kar saka aur recovery ki koshish ke baad dobara se neeche girna shuru kar diya. Iss waqt price apne target area tak nahi pohanch rahi jahan is waqt kaam ho raha hai. Chart par price ka movement alternating lagta hai between upward trend ke different areas, jo ke market ki uncertain dynamics ko show karta hai.
Agar technical aspect se dekha jaye tou, gold short term mein 2686 ke upar consolidate kar raha hai, aur overall 2676 ke upar. Agar 4-hour chart ko closely dekha jaye tou stochastic indicator ne positive signals dikhana shuru kiye hain. Upward trend dobara resume karne ki koshish kar sakta hai with a target of 2665, aur resistance area hai near 50-day moving average. Recent rebound extend ho sakta hai 2664 tak. Doosri taraf, agar price 2676 ke neeche break karti hai, tou recovery efforts ruk sakte hain, aur gold price expected bearish pattern ke hisaab se 2658 aur 2643 ke targets ko hit kar sakti hai.

Is waqt price weekly high ke aas paas mixed movement dikhata hai jo ke corridor mein bana hai. Central support area ko test kiya gaya hai, lekin price intact rahi, jis se bounce back hua, aur upward vector mein consistency ka indication mila. Agar price ko aagey barhna hai tou lower limit 2477 ko test karna hoga, jabke main support area ke boundaries intact rehni chahiye. Iss scenario mein, wahan se pullback aik nai bullish wave ko janam de sakta hai jiska target 2669 aur 2701 ke beech ho sakta hai.

Sona Ki Qeemat Ka Mutalia
Sona hamesha se ek qeemti dhat raha hai, jo sirf zewar banane ke liye nahi balki maal aur daulat ke tor par bhi istemal hota hai. Aaj kal ki duniya mein sona ek mehfooz sarmaya kari ka zariya samjha jata hai, kyun ke is ki qeemat waqt ke sath aksar barhti hai. Sona ki qeemat kayi factors par mabni hoti hai, jese ke global market trends, demand aur supply, aur geo-political surat-e-haal.

Sona ki qeemat ka ta'ayun aksar dollar mein hota hai, lekin jab hum isay apni currency mein convert karte hain, to qeemat mutasir ho sakti hai. Agar dollar mazboot ho raha ho, to sona mehenga ho sakta hai, aur agar dollar kamzor ho, to sona sasta lagne lagta hai. Aise hi, agar kisi mulk ki economy achi chal rahi ho, to sona ki demand kam ho sakti hai, kyun ke log doosri investments ko tarjeeh dete hain. Magar jab ma'eeshat mein giraawat hoti hai, ya mehngai barh rahi hoti hai, to log apni raqam ko bachane ke liye sona kharidna shuru kar dete hain.

Aham baat yeh hai ke sona sirf aik sarmaya kari ka zariya nahi hai, balki yeh aik cultural symbol bhi hai. Pakistan mein aksar log apni savings ko sona kharid kar mehfooz karte hain. Shaadiyon mein sona dena aik riwayat ban gaya hai, jo na sirf dulhan ke zevarat ke tor par hota hai, balki ek istiraat bhi hota hai jo waqt padne par becha ja sakta hai.

Jab hum sona ki qeemat ke mutaliq sochte hain, to yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke is ki qeemat waqt ke sath kaafi utar chadhav dekh sakti hai. International tensions, jaise ke jang ya mulki siyasi be-yaqeeni, sona ki qeemat ko asman tak le ja sakte hain. Sona ki qeemat mein stability kaafi kam hoti hai, lekin is ka lamba faida aksar nazar aata hai. Yahi wajah hai ke buhat se investors, chahay chhoti level par ho ya bari companies, sona mein apna paisa lagana pasand karte hain.

Yeh sab factors mil kar sona ko aik qaabil-e-bharosa aur mehfooz investment banate hain, lekin saath hi yeh bhi yaad rakhna chahiye ke sona ki qeemat mein hamesha changes aati rahti hain, is liye sarmaya kari karte waqt hamesha soch samajh kar faisla lena chahiye.

Technical indicators suggest karte hain ke gold ke liye bullish potential ab bhi bana hua hai. Agar gold buyers record high $2,532 ko wapas haasil kar lete hain, to agla target $2,550 hoga. Agar price isse bhi aage barhti hai, to $2,600 level ko challenge kar sakti hai, jo ke triangle target $2,660 ke raste mein hai. Agar gold price correction wapas shuru hoti hai, to foran support $2,470 par hoga, jo ke triangle resistance se replace ho sakta hai. Iske baad $2,450 ka psychological barrier gold ke hopefuls ke liye madadgar ho sakta hai. Asian trading mein markets cautious hain aur Jerome Powell ka Jackson Hole headquarters mein speech ka intezar kar rahe hain, jahan se naye signals milne ki umeed hai. Bank ke interest rate path, special labor market conditions ke easing signs ke sath, traders ke liye important hai. Risk outflows US government bonds ki demand ko badhate hain, jo Treasury bond yield ko across the curve push karta hai aur USD ko neeche khinchta hai. Greenback ne bhi Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke critical remarks ke baad USD/JPY selloff ka samna kiya. US Dollar ne Thursday ko major rivals ke khilaf ek saal ke low se strong rebound kiya, gold prices mein 1% correction ke baad, jo ke US S&P global business PMIs aur jobless claims data ke concerns ke wajah se tha. Traders Friday ko Powell ke Jackson Hole showdown ke baad repositioning kar rahe hain Technical perspective se dekha jaye to gold price ne temporary pullback experience kiya hai. RSI index fading upward momentum dikhata hai, jo ke short-term correction ki nishani hai. Agar gold prices $2,483 level se neeche girti hai, to yeh signal ho sakta hai ke prices mazid gir ke $2,450 aur 50-day simple moving average $2,414 tak ja sakti hain. Dusri taraf, agar gold prices mazid strong hoti hain, to $2,531 ka retest aur phir $2,550 aur $2,600 ka challenge bhi mumkin hai. Lekin overall direction ab bhi economic factors, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment par depend karegi. H4 chart par ek interesting triangular pattern dekha ja sakta hai jisme downside break hua hai

GOLD H4 Market Analysis Subah bakhair, investigative social forum ke members! Aaj subah market dobara khul gayi hai aur hum phir se trading kar sakte hain. Aaj subah main gold market ka tajziya karunga. Market ke khulne ke baad ab tak koi khaas tezi ya taqatwar harkat nazar nahi aayi, lekin main dekhne ki koshish karunga ke aglay chand dinon mein gold ki qeemat kis taraf ja sakti hai. Juma ke din ke baad se market mein halki si kami dekhne ko mili hai.

Main H4 timeframe par banne wale patterns ka tajziya karunga aur dynamic average indicator 21 aur dynamic average indicator 90 ka istimaal karte hue trend ko samajhne ki koshish karunga. Dekha gaya hai ke gold ab tak dynamic average indicator 90 ke neeche close nahi hua, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke abhi bhi trend tezi mein hai. Jab humein yeh maloom ho gaya ke trend tezi mein hai, to agla qadam yeh hoga ke hum buy karne ka mauqa talash karein. Is waqt humein intizar karna hoga ke qeemat is area se ooper jaaye ya hum chhoti timeframes jaise ke M30 ya M15 ka istemal karte hue buying opportunities talash karein. Stochastic indicators neeche ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, iska matlab hai ke qeemat neeche jayegi uske baad phir se ooper ki taraf aayegi.

Jumlay ko complete karne ke liye, gold market ka tajziya pesh karne ki koshish karunga. Kal ki harkat ooper thi, lekin stochastic indicator ka signal dekh kar lagta hai ke ooper ki tezi ab limited ho chuki hai aur agay girawat ka imkaan hai. H4 timeframe par stochastic indicator overbought area mein hai aur price resistance area ko breach nahi kar saka. Gold market ki direction ko behtar samajhne ke liye, main moving average indicator period 21 aur period 34 ka bhi H4 timeframe par istimaal kar raha hoon. Maine dekha ke moving average indicators ka area horizontal position mein hai, jo yeh batata hai ke abhi gold sideways mein chal raha hai. Agar qeemat 2484 ke support area mein nahi aayi, to hum yeh samajh sakte hain ke trend ab tak bullish hai.

Sona naye record bulandiyon par 2650 ke upar barh raha hai Sona ne bullish tezi ikhatta ki aur Jumeraat ko 2660 ke upar ek naye record bulandiyon tak pahuncha. Halankeh, America se umeedwar March jobs report ne Dollar (USD) ko demand milne mein madad ki, XAU/USD ko badhte hue geojitik tensions se faida ho raha hai.

Ek technical nazar se, 2600 laqa ke neeche ki kamzori haftawaar swing low ko samne la sakta hai, lagbhag 2660-2670 ilaqa, jahan 2650 ke darja ko darmiyanai support ke tor par kaam aane wala hai. Kuch follow-through selling ka potential sonay ke daam ko 2700 nafsiyati nishaan ke taraf kheench sakta hai, jo ek mazboot bunyad ke tor par kaam karega. Magar, iske bawajood, kehne wale ek maang rukhna ise kuch maainful tehqiqi girawat ke raste khareedega.

Dosri taraf, 2680 ilaqa ke upar ek manzil ko pahunchna Asia ki session ki peak ke qareeb kuch rukawat ka samna karsakta hai, bas 2666 gol shumar ke aage. Iske baad wajood maangne wale traders ke liye ek taza trigger ke tor par dekha jayega aur is stage ko mazboot kiya jayega jo pichle do hafto mein ya dekhi gayi tezi ki extension ke liye stage banayega.

Gold ko mukhtalif maaliyat ke asbaab se trade kiya ja sakta hai, jaise ke futures contracts, options, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), aur over-the-counter (OTC) contracts. Ye traders ko sonay ke bazaar mein exposure hasil karne aur qeemat ki harkaton se munafa kamane ke liye mukhtalif tareeqon faraham karta hai.

Sona naye record bulandiyon par 2650 ke upar barh raha hai Sona ne bullish tezi ikhatta ki aur Jumeraat ko 2660 ke upar ek naye record bulandiyon tak pahuncha. Halankeh, America se umeedwar March jobs report ne Dollar (USD) ko demand milne mein madad ki, XAU/USD ko badhte hue geojitik tensions se faida ho raha hai.
Ek technical nazar se, 2600 laqa ke neeche ki kamzori haftawaar swing low ko samne la sakta hai, lagbhag 2660-2670 ilaqa, jahan 2650 ke darja ko darmiyanai support ke tor par kaam aane wala hai. Kuch follow-through selling ka potential sonay ke daam ko 2700 nafsiyati nishaan ke taraf kheench sakta hai, jo ek mazboot bunyad ke tor par kaam karega. Magar, iske bawajood, kehne wale ek maang rukhna ise kuch maainful tehqiqi girawat ke raste khareedega.

Dosri taraf, 2680 ilaqa ke upar ek manzil ko pahunchna Asia ki session ki peak ke qareeb kuch rukawat ka samna karsakta hai, bas 2666 gol shumar ke aage. Iske baad wajood maangne wale traders ke liye ek taza trigger ke tor par dekha jayega aur is stage ko mazboot kiya jayega jo pichle do hafto mein ya dekhi gayi tezi ki extension ke liye stage banayega.

Gold ko mukhtalif maaliyat ke asbaab se trade kiya ja sakta hai, jaise ke futures contracts, options, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), aur over-the-counter (OTC) contracts. Ye traders ko sonay ke bazaar mein exposure hasil karne aur qeemat ki harkaton se munafa kamane ke liye mukhtalif tareeqon faraham karta hai.

H4 timeframe par stochastic indicator overbought area mein hai aur price resistance area ko breach nahi kar saka. Gold market ki direction ko behtar samajhne ke liye, main moving average indicator period 21 aur period 34 ka bhi H4 timeframe par istimaal kar raha hoon. Maine dekha ke moving average indicators ka area horizontal position mein hai, jo yeh batata hai ke abhi gold sideways mein chal raha hai. Agar qeemat 2684 ke support area mein nahi aayi, to hum yeh samajh sakte hain ke trend ab tak bullish hai.

EMA50 ko bhi breach kar liya, khas tor par H4 timeframe mein. Jab Gold price ne 2528 ka resistance test karne ki koshish ki, toh ek "false break" ya rejection nazar aayi jiski wajah se price niche gir gayi, aur lagbhag support level 2481 tak pohanch gayi. Agar price jo ke EMA 50 ke niche hai wahan qaim rehti hai, toh price further decline kar ke support ko cross kar sakti hai aur SMA 200 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar hum pehle ke Gold price movement ka historical perspective dekhein, toh jab correction hoti hai, price SMA 200 ko cross karti hai, lekin death cross signal nahi banta. Abhi tak price pattern higher high - higher low ke structure mein hai kyun ke 2470 ke low prices ne structure ko break nahi kiya. Agar hum Stochastic indicator ke perspective se dekhein, toh Gold ke price decline ko correction phase kaha ja sakta hai, kyun ke Stochastic parameters ne level 50 ko cross karke oversold zone (20 - 10) ki taraf move kiya hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke selling saturation abhi nahi hui aur price ke further girne ka room hai. Trading recommendations ke liye abhi bhi bullish trend ke direction ko follow karna chahiye, kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan ka distance abhi kaafi zyada hai aur death cross signal nahi bana. BUY entry tab place karni chahiye jab corrected price support 2481 ke aas paas false break ya rejection ka signal de. Confirmation ke liye dekhna hoga ke Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone mein (level 20 - 10) cross karein. Take profit resistance 2581 par place karna chahiye, aur stop loss / cut loss jab price SMA 200 ke aas paas touch kare. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe

Thursday ko barh gayi jab Federal Reserve ne apne rate cuts ka pace 50 basis points (bps) se slow kar diya. Traders ne US yields ka izafa nazarandaz kar diya, jo ke normally gold ke sath inverse correlation mein hoti hain. Gold abhi tak $2,600 ke qareeb recover kar raha hai, aur XAU/USD is waqt $2,589 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 1% se zyada ka izafa hai. Bullion prices ne Wednesday ko jo losses uthaye thay Fed ke decision ke baad, unko aage barha diya. Fed ke officials ne apne decision ko justify karte huye kaha ke inflation ab sustainable hai aur Fed ka 2% target achievable lagta hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne ye bhi emphasize kiya ke central bank labor force ko policy adjustments ke zariye maintain kar sakta hai. Powell ka kehna tha ke inflation ka khatra kam hua hai jabke labor market ne mazid mazbooti dikhayi hai. Lekin unhone ye bhi kaha ke agar inflation persistent rehta hai to "hum policy ko dheere kar sakte hain" aur unhone ye bhi add kiya ke bank ke outlook ke mutabiq policy ko normalize karne ki "jaldi nahi hai". Is doran, US jobs data ne bhi tawajjo hasil ki Powell ke Jackson Hole speech ke baad. US Department of Labor ne bataya ke unemployment benefits ke liye kam logon ne apply kiya, jo ke strong labor market ki nishani hai. Is ke ilawa, US Treasury yields bhi gold ke sath barh gayi, jahan 10-year yield 3.74% tak pohanch gayi, lekin is izafay ne greenback ko support nahi kiya, jo ke 0.31% gira aur US Dollar Index (DXY) ke mutabiq 100.62 par aa gaya. Is hafte, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker rare US docket par comments karenge. Gold ne 2530.00 consolidation range ko tor diya aur 2586.00 tak ek growth wave chalayi. Market ab is range ke extension potential tak pohanch gaya hai aur ab in highs par ek nayi consolidation area bana raha hai. Main expectation ye hai ke gold 2555.50 tak giray ga, aur shayad 2530.00 tak ek corrective phase mein chala jaye. MACD indicator bhi is scenario ko support karta hai, kyun ke signal line zero ke upar hai lekin ab downward path per move kar rahi hai, jo ke ek possible decline ka ishara hai