Gold

GOLD ne resistance ko touch kiya 2525 par, toh uske baad ek extraordinary aur tezi se decline dekhnay ko mila. Yeh decline itna tez tha ke GOLD ne mid Bb area aur EMA50 ko bhi breach kar liya, khas tor par H4 timeframe mein. Jab Gold price ne 2528 ka resistance test karne ki koshish ki, toh ek "false break" ya rejection nazar aayi jiski wajah se price niche gir gayi, aur lagbhag support level 2481 tak pohanch gayi. Agar price jo ke EMA 50 ke niche hai wahan qaim rehti hai, toh price further decline kar ke support ko cross kar sakti hai aur SMA 200 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar hum pehle ke Gold price movement ka historical perspective dekhein, toh jab correction hoti hai, price SMA 200 ko cross karti hai, lekin death cross signal nahi banta. Abhi tak price pattern higher high - higher low ke structure mein hai kyun ke 2470 ke low prices ne structure ko break nahi kiya. Agar hum Stochastic indicator ke perspective se dekhein, toh Gold ke price decline ko correction phase kaha ja sakta hai, kyun ke Stochastic parameters ne level 50 ko cross karke oversold zone (20 - 10) ki taraf move kiya hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke selling saturation abhi nahi hui aur price ke further girne ka room hai. Trading recommendations ke liye abhi bhi bullish trend ke direction ko follow karna chahiye, kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan ka distance abhi kaafi zyada hai aur death cross signal nahi bana. BUY entry tab place karni chahiye jab corrected price support 2481 ke aas paas false break ya rejection ka signal de. Confirmation ke liye dekhna hoga ke Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone mein (level 20 - 10) cross karein. Take profit resistance 2581 par place karna chahiye, aur stop loss / cut loss jab price SMA 200 ke aas paas touch kare.

Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya. Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye. tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq,sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf

Chaliye ab gold ke price action ka tajziya karte hain. Pehle marhale mein, 2424 ke support level ke neeche break ka intezar tha, jo ab ho chuka hai. Doosre marhale mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin teesra marhala, jo consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance tak le jayega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hoti, upward trend ka nateeja waazeh nahi ho sakta, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Iss liye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jisme ek aur upward move zaroori hoga. Humne pehle hourly time frame ka tajziya kiya tha, lekin ab main daily chart par dekhna chahta hoon.
Daily Time Frame (D1) mein, ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound ke baad, resistance line se consistent wave of decline shuru hui, jo gold ko gap ke sath ek zabardast downward movement mein le gayi. Channel ke lower limit ka koi imkaan nahi tha, jo pichlay haftay ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko suggest karta hai. Yahan, price support line ko touch karegi, jahan main ek rebound aur upward correction ki umeed kar raha hoon.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline ka imkaan hai, aur gold ke market opening ke baad kam hone ka chance hai. 2353.39 par price minimum TF tak pohonch gayi thi aur thodi si upward adjust hui. Yeh price green zone cross karegi aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use karegi growth ke dauran. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karegi, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak pohonchegi, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak ja sakti hai.

H4 Time Frame par gold bullish tendencies dikha raha hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ka crossover 2385 level par hua hai, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Yeh crossover gold ke liye ek strong upward trend ka signal de raha hai. Pichlay kuch dino ki market fluctuations bhool jayein; gold kal 2457 level tak gaya, jaise main ne anticipate kiya tha. Aaj gold ke 2470 level ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Ek strong bullish trend raah par hai, jo gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone tak le jane ki tayari kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain jo potential buying opportunities ke liye madadgar ho sakti hain:

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Chaliye ab gold ke price action ka tajziya karte hain. Pehle marhale mein, 2424 ke support level ke neeche break ka intezar tha, jo ab ho chuka hai. Doosre marhale mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin teesra marhala, jo consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance tak le jayega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hoti, upward trend ka nateeja waazeh nahi ho sakta, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Iss liye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jisme ek aur upward move zaroori hoga. Humne pehle hourly time frame ka tajziya kiya tha, lekin ab main daily chart par dekhna chahta hoon.
Daily Time Frame (D1) mein, ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound ke baad, resistance line se consistent wave of decline shuru hui, jo gold ko gap ke sath ek zabardast downward movement mein le gayi. Channel ke lower limit ka koi imkaan nahi tha, jo pichlay haftay ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko suggest karta hai. Yahan, price support line ko touch karegi, jahan main ek rebound aur upward correction ki umeed kar raha hoon.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline ka imkaan hai, aur gold ke market opening ke baad kam hone ka chance hai. 2353.39 par price minimum TF tak pohonch gayi thi aur thodi si upward adjust hui. Yeh price green zone cross karegi aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use karegi growth ke dauran. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karegi, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak pohonchegi, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak ja sakti hai.

H4 Time Frame par gold bullish tendencies dikha raha hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ka crossover 2385 level par hua hai, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Yeh crossover gold ke liye ek strong upward trend ka signal de raha hai. Pichlay kuch dino ki market fluctuations bhool jayein; gold kal 2457 level tak gaya, jaise main ne anticipate kiya tha. Aaj gold ke 2470 level ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Ek strong bullish trend raah par hai, jo gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone tak le jane ki tayari kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain jo potential buying opportunities ke liye madadgar ho sakti hain:

Click image for larger version

Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah s

GOLD ne resistance ko touch kiya 2525 par, toh uske baad ek extraordinary aur tezi se decline dekhnay ko mila. Yeh decline itna tez tha ke GOLD ne mid Bb area aur EMA50 ko bhi breach kar liya, khas tor par H4 timeframe mein. Jab Gold price ne 2528 ka resistance test karne ki koshish ki, toh ek "false break" ya rejection nazar aayi jiski wajah se price niche gir gayi, aur lagbhag support level 2481 tak pohanch gayi. Agar price jo ke EMA 50 ke niche hai wahan qaim rehti hai, toh price further decline kar ke support ko cross kar sakti hai aur SMA 200 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar hum pehle ke Gold price movement ka historical perspective dekhein, toh jab correction hoti hai, price SMA 200 ko cross karti hai, lekin death cross signal nahi banta. Abhi tak price pattern higher high - higher low ke structure mein hai kyun ke 2470 ke low prices ne structure ko break nahi kiya. Agar hum Stochastic indicator ke perspective se dekhein, toh Gold ke price decline ko correction phase kaha ja sakta hai, kyun ke Stochastic parameters ne level 50 ko cross karke oversold zone (20 - 10) ki taraf move kiya hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke selling saturation abhi nahi hui aur price ke further girne ka room hai. Trading recommendations ke liye abhi bhi bullish trend ke direction ko follow karna chahiye, kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan ka distance abhi kaafi zyada hai aur death cross signal nahi bana. BUY entry tab place karni chahiye jab corrected price support 2481 ke aas paas false break ya rejection ka signal de. Confirmation ke liye dekhna hoga ke Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone mein (level 20 - 10) cross karein. Take profit resistance 2581 par place karna chahiye, aur stop loss / cut loss jab price SMA 200 ke aas paas touch kare

Thursday ko barh gayi jab Federal Reserve ne apne rate cuts ka pace 50 basis points (bps) se slow kar diya. Traders ne US yields ka izafa nazarandaz kar diya, jo ke normally gold ke sath inverse correlation mein hoti hain. Gold abhi tak $2,600 ke qareeb recover kar raha hai, aur XAU/USD is waqt $2,589 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 1% se zyada ka izafa hai. Bullion prices ne Wednesday ko jo losses uthaye thay Fed ke decision ke baad, unko aage barha diya. Fed ke officials ne apne decision ko justify karte huye kaha ke inflation ab sustainable hai aur Fed ka 2% target achievable lagta hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne ye bhi emphasize kiya ke central bank labor force ko policy adjustments ke zariye maintain kar sakta hai. Powell ka kehna tha ke inflation ka khatra kam hua hai jabke labor market ne mazid mazbooti dikhayi hai. Lekin unhone ye bhi kaha ke agar inflation persistent rehta hai to "hum policy ko dheere kar sakte hain" aur unhone ye bhi add kiya ke bank ke outlook ke mutabiq policy ko normalize karne ki "jaldi nahi hai". Is doran, US jobs data ne bhi tawajjo hasil ki Powell ke Jackson Hole speech ke baad. US Department of Labor ne bataya ke unemployment benefits ke liye kam logon ne apply kiya, jo ke strong labor market ki nishani hai. Is ke ilawa, US Treasury yields bhi gold ke sath barh gayi, jahan 10-year yield 3.74% tak pohanch gayi, lekin is izafay ne greenback ko support nahi kiya, jo ke 0.31% gira aur US Dollar Index (DXY) ke mutabiq 100.62 par aa gaya. Is hafte, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker rare US docket par comments karenge. Gold ne 2530.00 consolidation range ko tor diya aur 2586.00 tak ek growth wave chalayi. Market ab is range ke extension potential tak pohanch gaya hai aur ab in highs par ek nayi consolidation area bana raha hai. Main expectation ye hai ke gold 2555.50 tak giray ga, aur shayad 2530.00 tak ek corrective phase mein chala jaye. MACD indicator bhi is scenario ko support karta hai, kyun ke signal line zero ke upar hai lekin ab downward path per move kar rahi hai, jo ke ek possible decline ka ishara hai

demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray

saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy

GOLD ne resistance ko touch kiya 2525 par, toh uske baad ek extraordinary aur tezi se decline dekhnay ko mila. Yeh decline itna tez tha ke GOLD ne mid Bb area aur EMA50 ko bhi breach kar liya, khas tor par H4 timeframe mein. Jab Gold price ne 2528 ka resistance test karne ki koshish ki, toh ek "false break" ya rejection nazar aayi jiski wajah se price niche gir gayi, aur lagbhag support level 2481 tak pohanch gayi. Agar price jo ke EMA 50 ke niche hai wahan qaim rehti hai, toh price further decline kar ke support ko cross kar sakti hai aur SMA 200 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar hum pehle ke Gold price movement ka historical perspective dekhein, toh jab correction hoti hai, price SMA 200 ko cross karti hai, lekin death cross signal nahi banta. Abhi tak price pattern higher high - higher low ke structure mein hai kyun ke 2470 ke low prices ne structure ko break nahi kiya. Agar hum Stochastic indicator ke perspective se dekhein, toh Gold ke price decline ko correction phase kaha ja sakta hai, kyun ke Stochastic parameters ne level 50 ko cross karke oversold zone (20 - 10) ki taraf move kiya hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke selling saturation abhi nahi hui aur price ke further girne ka room hai. Trading recommendations ke liye abhi bhi bullish trend ke direction ko follow karna chahiye, kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan ka distance abhi kaafi zyada hai aur death cross signal nahi bana. BUY entry tab place karni chahiye jab corrected price support 2481 ke aas paas false break ya rejection ka signal de. Confirmation ke liye dekhna hoga ke Stochastic indicator parameters oversold zone mein (level 20 - 10) cross karein. Take profit resistance 2581 par place karna chahiye, aur stop loss / cut loss jab price SMA 200 ke aas paas touch kare.

Gold prices ne North American trading session ke doran kafi bada izafa dekha. Yeh izafa mainly kamzor US dollar aur Federal Reserve ke zyada aggressive interest rate cut ki umeed ki wajah se tha. Traders Wednesday ko Fed ke monetary policy decision ka intezar kar rahe hain, aur 50-basis point reduction ki probability 59% tak barh gayi hai. Kamzor US dollar, jo DXY index ke zariye measure kiya gaya, ne gold prices ko boost kiya. DXY index 0.36% gir kar 100.74 par aa gaya, jo market sentiment ke dovish stance ko darshata hai. Is wajah se gold, jo ek non-interest-bearing asset hai, inflation aur economic uncertainty se bachav ke liye investors ko zyada attractive lag raha hai. Middle East mein geopolitical tensions bhi gold prices ke izafe mein madadgar sabit ho rahi hain. Ongoing conflicts aur escalation ki potential ne gold ki demand ko barhadiya hai.
Aage dekhte hue, US economic calendar mein aise key data releases honge jo Fed ke decision ko influence kar sakte hain. August ke retail sales figures July ke data se kamzor hone ki umeed hai, jo rate cut ka case aur majboot kar sakta hai. Housing data bhi Fed ke announcement aur press conference ke qareeb closely dekha jayega. Technically, gold prices strong bullish momentum show kar rahi hain. MACD index aur relative strength index (RSI) dono positive trend ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain, jo aage bhi upward movement ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, price abhi psychological levels 2600 aur 2700 par immediate resistance face kar rahi hai. In levels ko break karne se aage aur faida hone ke chances hain, jahan Fibonacci 261.8% extension at 2800 ek potential target ban sakta hai.

Gold
Assalam Alaikum! 4-ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, sona filhal 2,635.00 ki yaumiyah ibtedai satah se ooper aur 2,641.00 ke yaumiyah pivot point ke qarib trade kar raha hai. Kaledi indicator niche ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, aur qimat MA72 trend line se niche hai, jahan volume aam taur par offloads hota hai.
Agar qimat 2,641.00 ki satah se ooper badhti hai to, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh dhaat 2,652.00 aur mumkena taur par 2,662.00 tak faida badhayegi. Mutabadil taur par, agar qimat 2,641.00 ke nishan se niche aati hai to, mai 2,625.00 aur yahan tak keh 2,597.00 tak girawat ki tawaqqo karta hun.
Yah asset 2,597.00 (pahle 2,466.00) ke mahana pivot point se ooper, 2,652.00 ke haftawar pivot point se niche aur 2,641.00 ke yaumiyah pivot point ke qarib trade kar raha hai, jo is jodi ke liye islahi jazbat ki nishandahi karta hai.
Agar qimat 2,641.00 ke yaumiyah pivot point se niche girti hai to, qimti dhaat me mandi ki islah ka imkan hai. Agar qimat 2,641.00 se ooper chadhti hai to, yah apni tezi jari rakhegi. As trading session ke liye tone set karne wali kaledi satah 2,641.00 hai.

Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya. Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye. tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq,sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf

Gold prices ne North American trading session ke doran kafi bada izafa dekha. Yeh izafa mainly kamzor US dollar aur Federal Reserve ke zyada aggressive interest rate cut ki umeed ki wajah se tha. Traders Wednesday ko Fed ke monetary policy decision ka intezar kar rahe hain, aur 50-basis point reduction ki probability 59% tak barh gayi hai. Kamzor US dollar, jo DXY index ke zariye measure kiya gaya, ne gold prices ko boost kiya. DXY index 0.36% gir kar 100.74 par aa gaya, jo market sentiment ke dovish stance ko darshata hai. Is wajah se gold, jo ek non-interest-bearing asset hai, inflation aur economic uncertainty se bachav ke liye investors ko zyada attractive lag raha hai. Middle East mein geopolitical tensions bhi gold prices ke izafe mein madadgar sabit ho rahi hain. Ongoing conflicts aur escalation ki potential ne gold ki demand ko barhadiya hai. Aage dekhte hue, US economic calendar mein aise key data releases honge jo Fed ke decision ko influence kar sakte hain. August ke retail sales figures July ke data se kamzor hone ki umeed hai, jo rate cut ka case aur majboot kar sakta hai. Housing data bhi Fed ke announcement aur press conference ke qareeb closely dekha jayega. Technically, gold prices strong bullish momentum show kar rahi hain. MACD index aur relative strength index (RSI) dono positive trend ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain, jo aage bhi upward movement ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, price abhi psychological levels 2600 aur 2700 par immediate resistance face kar rahi hai. In levels ko break karne se aage aur faida hone ke chances hain, jahan Fibonacci 261.8% extension at 2800 ek potential target ban sakta hai.

Maine jo Gold ke price behavior ka tazkira kiya hai, uska focus aaj ke liye chaar ghantay ke aik aise window par hai jahan technical signals incomplete ya failed breakout ki nishandahi kar rahe hain. Yeh bulls ke liye umeed ka sabab ban sakta hai ke trend kuch arsay ke liye upward rahe, magar yeh aakhri bullish push ho sakta hai jab ke bears dobara se price ko neeche le jane ki koshish karein. Is liye, short-term mein consolidation ke baad, main aik chhoti si upward move ke baad bearish pressure ke wapsi ki tawaqo karta hoon. Jumay ke din jab price 2651 par pohnchi, to 2701 tak ka jo surge expected tha, woh nahi ho saka. Ab tak kisi significant mood change ka asar nahi hai aur trend ab bhi bullish hai. Hum current level se ya lower boundary ke test ke baad aik nayi buying zone banana shuru kar sakte hain. Selling tab tak mutawaqo nahi hai jab tak price 2628.49 ke neeche nahi girti. Agar recent market movement ko dekha jaye, to kuch khaas distinctions samnay aaye hain. Gold ka monthly volatility range qareeban $151 ke aas paas raha hai, is liye 2651 se 101 dollar ki tezi ki tawaqo rakhna kaafi haftay lagne ka amal ho sakta hai, jo meri strategy ke saath match nahi karta. Meri medium-term outlook main $31 se zyada movement speculative hai, aur main sirf actual trade signals par focus karta hoon jo samnay aati hain, na ke forecast par. 2726 ka level symbolic hai kyunke jumay ka decline global geopolitical dynamics aur U.S. ke economic reports jaise GDP data se mutaliq tha. Market ne in reports ko absorb kar liya hai, aur jab tak koi naya data ya sentiment shift samnay nahi aata, trend mein koi khaas tabdeeli ka imkaan nahi hai.