Gold

sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye

Yeh baat bilkul theek hai ke agar hum H4 timeframe mein dekhein, toh market abhi bhi poori tarah bullish control mein hai. Agar hum current upward movement ko bhi dekhein, toh yeh un logo ke liye ek achhi opportunity offer karta hai jo dubara buy karna chahte hain. Is point par, woh kam az kam 2630 ka important area break karna chahte hain, jo ke kaafi qareeb hai, aur achhi chance hai ke yeh jald break ho sakta hai. Lekin, H4 ke oscillator se yeh zaahir hai ke market conditions pichle hafte ke end se overbought position mein wapas aa gayi hain. Sell karne ke liye, behtari yeh hogi ke hum intezaar karein jab tak H4 candle pivot region ke neeche close nahi hoti, jo ke is hafte 2598 par hai. Mere khayal mein, GOLD mein dobara buy karne ka significant potential abhi bhi hai, aur mera preferred target hai ke 2630 ka crucial area tak pohcha jaaye. Halankeh yeh abhi risky hai, lekin filhaal behtari yeh hogi ke hum sirf buy karne ke mauqe par focus karein aur sell ke potential ko nazarandaz karein. Level 2630 kaafi qareeb hai aur price iski taraf barh raha hai, aur achhi chance hai ke yeh jald breach ho jaaye. Yeh ek kaafi intriguing opportunity hai, lekin hume ehtiyaat karni hogi kyunke market H4 period ke oscillator indicator ke mutabiq overbought lag raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke jab tak growth ki space hai, hum ek correction ke liye bhi tayyar rahen jo kisi bhi waqt ho sakti hai. Aam tor par, jab market overbought hota hai toh price slow ho sakta hai ya shayad reverse bhi kar sakta hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price decline karne ki koshish kare, lekin yeh sirf upward price journey ke liye tayyari ho sakti hai jab hum 5/10 low moving average marking area mein enter karne ka intezaar kar rahe hon, jo ke price range 2594.58 se 2617.49 tak hai.
Is mauqe par, log abhi bhi short term mein buyers ke zariye dominate hone wale price movement patterns ko dhoondhne par focus kar sakte hain, aur trading conditions ko samajhne ki koshish karte huye ek kaafi dominant opportunity hasil kar sakte hain.

Chaliye ab gold ke price action ka tajziya karte hain. Pehle marhale mein, 2424 ke support level ke neeche break ka intezar tha, jo ab ho chuka hai. Doosre marhale mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin teesra marhala, jo consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance tak le jayega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hoti, upward trend ka nateeja waazeh nahi ho sakta, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Iss liye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jisme ek aur upward move zaroori hoga. Humne pehle hourly time frame ka tajziya kiya tha, lekin ab main daily chart par dekhna chahta hoon.

Daily Time Frame (D1) mein, ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound ke baad, resistance line se consistent wave of decline shuru hui, jo gold ko gap ke sath ek zabardast downward movement mein le gayi. Channel ke lower limit ka koi imkaan nahi tha, jo pichlay haftay ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko suggest karta hai. Yahan, price support line ko touch karegi, jahan main ek rebound aur upward correction ki umeed kar raha hoon.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline ka imkaan hai, aur gold ke market opening ke baad kam hone ka chance hai. 2353.39 par price minimum TF tak pohonch gayi thi aur thodi si upward adjust hui. Yeh price green zone cross karegi aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use karegi growth ke dauran. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karegi, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak pohonchegi, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak ja sakti hai.

H4 Time Frame par gold bullish tendencies dikha raha hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ka crossover 2385 level par hua hai, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Yeh crossover gold ke liye ek strong upward trend ka signal de raha hai. Pichlay kuch dino ki market fluctuations bhool jayein; gold kal 2457 level tak gaya, jaise main ne anticipate kiya tha. Aaj gold ke 2470 level ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Ek strong bullish trend raah par hai, jo gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone tak le jane ki tayari kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain jo potential buying opportunities ke liye madadgar ho sakti hain:

Click image for larger version

Chaliye ab gold ke price action ka tajziya karte hain. Pehle marhale mein, 2424 ke support level ke neeche break ka intezar tha, jo ab ho chuka hai. Doosre marhale mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin teesra marhala, jo consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance tak le jayega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hoti, upward trend ka nateeja waazeh nahi ho sakta, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Iss liye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jisme ek aur upward move zaroori hoga. Humne pehle hourly time frame ka tajziya kiya tha, lekin ab main daily chart par dekhna chahta hoon.

Daily Time Frame (D1) mein, ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound ke baad, resistance line se consistent wave of decline shuru hui, jo gold ko gap ke sath ek zabardast downward movement mein le gayi. Channel ke lower limit ka koi imkaan nahi tha, jo pichlay haftay ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko suggest karta hai. Yahan, price support line ko touch karegi, jahan main ek rebound aur upward correction ki umeed kar raha hoon.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline ka imkaan hai, aur gold ke market opening ke baad kam hone ka chance hai. 2353.39 par price minimum TF tak pohonch gayi thi aur thodi si upward adjust hui. Yeh price green zone cross karegi aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use karegi growth ke dauran. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karegi, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak pohonchegi, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak ja sakti hai.

H4 Time Frame par gold bullish tendencies dikha raha hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ka crossover 2385 level par hua hai, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Yeh crossover gold ke liye ek strong upward trend ka signal de raha hai. Pichlay kuch dino ki market fluctuations bhool jayein; gold kal 2457 level tak gaya, jaise main ne anticipate kiya tha. Aaj gold ke 2470 level ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Ek strong bullish trend raah par hai, jo gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone tak le jane ki tayari kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain jo potential buying opportunities ke liye madadgar ho sakti hain:

Click image for larger version

Gold ke price mein pichle trading week ke doran girawat ka silsila jari raha, jo ek aur local level tak pohanch gaya. Shuru mein, price ne upar jaane ki koshish ki, aur 2358 ke level par range ke upper border ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin usay apni jagah banane mein kamiyabi nahi mili. Price ne achanak palat kar girna shuru kiya aur 2288 ke level par ruk gayi, jo ek aham support provide karta hai. Yeh aapko target area banane aur kaam jari rakhne ka moqa deta hai. Filhal, price chart zyada tar supertrend ke red zone mein hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke sellers abhi bhi control mein hain. Aaj ke technical analysis ke nazriye se, agar hum 4-hour chart par dekhein, toh kal shuru hone wale uptrend ke bawajood, hum dekhte hain ke 50-day simple moving average ab bhi price par upward pressure daal raha hai, jo ke iske shuruat se mutabiq hai. Support level 2318 ke upar short-term consolidation growth ka potential support karta hai, lekin bullish scenario activate karta hai. Hamein 2340 ke current trading level ka clear breakout aur sab se zaroori, key resistance level 2360 ka breakout dekhna zaroori hai, jo higher price values ka izhar karega. Agar 2360 ka breakout fail ho jaye, aur 2318 ke neeche break ho, jiska target 2272 ke kareeb ho, toh yeh bearish correction ko jari rakhne ke liye ek strong reason ho sakta hai, jisme bearish pattern ke mazeed negative asraat ho sakte hain. Is waqt price hafte ke shuruat ke muqable mein thodi neeche hai. Critical resistance zone ko test kiya gaya aur woh higher forces ka samna kar paya, jo yeh darshaata hai ke desired downward vector relevant reh sakta hai. Price ke confirm karne ke liye, zaroori hai ke current price zone 2325 ko break kiya jaye, jo ke is waqt key resistance zone ke qareeb hai. Agar is area ka retest kiya jata hai aur is se strong rebound hota hai, toh yeh agle downward shock ka rasta banayega, jiska target 2221 aur 2188 ke darmiyan hoga. Agar resistance ko break kar ke 2358 ke reversal level ke upar move hota hai, toh yeh current scenario ke reversal ka signal hog US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye

Chaliye ab gold ke price action ka tajziya karte hain. Pehle marhale mein, 2424 ke support level ke neeche break ka intezar tha, jo ab ho chuka hai. Doosre marhale mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin teesra marhala, jo consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance tak le jayega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hoti, upward trend ka nateeja waazeh nahi ho sakta, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Iss liye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jisme ek aur upward move zaroori hoga. Humne pehle hourly time frame ka tajziya kiya tha, lekin ab main daily chart par dekhna chahta hoon.
Daily Time Frame (D1) mein, ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound ke baad, resistance line se consistent wave of decline shuru hui, jo gold ko gap ke sath ek zabardast downward movement mein le gayi. Channel ke lower limit ka koi imkaan nahi tha, jo pichlay haftay ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko suggest karta hai. Yahan, price support line ko touch karegi, jahan main ek rebound aur upward correction ki umeed kar raha hoon.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline ka imkaan hai, aur gold ke market opening ke baad kam hone ka chance hai. 2353.39 par price minimum TF tak pohonch gayi thi aur thodi si upward adjust hui. Yeh price green zone cross karegi aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use karegi growth ke dauran. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karegi, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak pohonchegi, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak ja sakti hai.

H4 Time Frame par gold bullish tendencies dikha raha hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ka crossover 2385 level par hua hai, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Yeh crossover gold ke liye ek strong upward trend ka signal de raha hai. Pichlay kuch dino ki market fluctuations bhool jayein; gold kal 2457 level tak gaya, jaise main ne anticipate kiya tha. Aaj gold ke 2470 level ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Ek strong bullish trend raah par hai, jo gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone tak le jane ki tayari kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain jo potential buying opportunities ke liye madadgar ho sakti hain:

Click image for larger version

umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan Click image for larger version

Gold ka Technical Analysis
Gold ne pichlay haftay apni rapid rise continue rakhi aur naya high touch kiya. Prices higher trade kar rahein hain aik aur minor rebound ke baad, jo pehle ke high 2585 se upar hua aur 2665 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh target area poori tarah capture ho chuka hai, jaisa ke pichlay analysis mein predict kiya gaya tha. Is waqt chart supertrend green zone mein hai, jo buyers ki complete dominance ko show karta hai.

Gold ke 1.2 percent se zyada rise ke peechay teen key factors hain. Yeh factors hain monetary policy, US data, Middle East mein tensions, aur China ka trillion-yuan economic stimulus plan ka shock jo apne growth targets shayad achieve na kar sake iss saal. Gold takreeban 1.3 percent barh kar $2,688 per ounce par aa gaya hai, jab ke pehle session mein $2,653 per ounce par close hua tha. Gold ne Tuesday ko $2,647 par low touch kiya tha, jab ke $2,689 par high touch kiya. Gold ne recent sessions mein consistent rise kiya hai, aur current session ki gains ne is trend ko aur reinforce kiya hai. Neeche chart dekhein:



Abhi prices sharply all-time highs ke qareeb trade ho rahi hain. Key support areas abhi tak intact hain, jo indicate karta hai ke upside vector ki importance abhi tak barqarar hai. Rally ko continue karne ke liye prices ko ab 2,585 level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, agar corrective move hoti hai tou, jahan main support area expected hai. Is area ka retest aur uske baad rebound ek nayi bullish wave ko create karega, jo target karegi 2,705 aur 2,737 ke darmiyan ka area.

Agar price support ke neeche break hota hai aur 2,530 pivot level se neeche move karta hai, tou yeh current scenario ke cancellation ka signal hoga.

Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya. Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets

Gold
Assalam Alaikum! 4-ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, sona filhal 2,565.00 ki yaumiyah ibtedai satah, 2,658.00 ke yaumiyah pivot point aur MA72 trend line se ooper trade kar raha hai, jisme aham ishare mumkena tezi ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain.
Agar qimat 2,662.00 se ooper badhti hai to, qimti dhaat ke 2,670.00 aur mumkena taur par 2,677.00 ki satah tak izafe ki tawaqqo hai.
Agar qimat 2658.00 se niche jati hai to, sona 2,654.00 ki satah tak aur mumkena taur par 2,650.00 ke nishan tak gir sakta hai.
Yah asset 2,466.00 (pahle 2,416.00) ke mahana pivot point se ooper, 2,597.00 ke haftawar pivot point se ooper aur 2,658.00 ke yaumiyah pivot point se ooper trade kar raha hai, jo market me tezi ke moruzah jazbat ki nishandahi karta hai.
Agar qimat 2,658.00 ki satah se niche girti hai to, dhaat mandi ki islah me dakhil hogi. Agar qimat 2,664.00 ke nishan se ooper chadh jati hai to, sone ki tezi jari rane ka imkan hai. Is trading session ke liye kaledi satah 2,662.00 hai.

Chaliye ab gold ke price action ka tajziya karte hain. Pehle marhale mein, 2424 ke support level ke neeche break ka intezar tha, jo ab ho chuka hai. Doosre marhale mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya, aur yeh test confirm ho gaya hai. Lekin teesra marhala, jo consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi aaya. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance tak le jayega. Jab tak consolidation nahi hoti, upward trend ka nateeja waazeh nahi ho sakta, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Iss liye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezar kar raha hoon, jisme ek aur upward move zaroori hoga. Humne pehle hourly time frame ka tajziya kiya tha, lekin ab main daily chart par dekhna chahta hoon.

Daily Time Frame (D1) mein, ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound ke baad, resistance line se consistent wave of decline shuru hui, jo gold ko gap ke sath ek zabardast downward movement mein le gayi. Channel ke lower limit ka koi imkaan nahi tha, jo pichlay haftay ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ko suggest karta hai. Yahan, price support line ko touch karegi, jahan main ek rebound aur upward correction ki umeed kar raha hoon.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline ka imkaan hai, aur gold ke market opening ke baad kam hone ka chance hai. 2353.39 par price minimum TF tak pohonch gayi thi aur thodi si upward adjust hui. Yeh price green zone cross karegi aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use karegi growth ke dauran. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karegi, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak pohonchegi, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak ja sakti hai.

H4 Time Frame par gold bullish tendencies dikha raha hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ka crossover 2385 level par hua hai, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Yeh crossover gold ke liye ek strong upward trend ka signal de raha hai. Pichlay kuch dino ki market fluctuations bhool jayein; gold kal 2457 level tak gaya, jaise main ne anticipate kiya tha. Aaj gold ke 2470 level ko test karne ka imkaan hai. Ek strong bullish trend raah par hai, jo gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone tak le jane ki tayari kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain jo potential buying opportunities ke liye madadgar ho sakti hain:

Click image for larger version

Thursday ko barh gayi jab Federal Reserve ne apne rate cuts ka pace 50 basis points (bps) se slow kar diya. Traders ne US yields ka izafa nazarandaz kar diya, jo ke normally gold ke sath inverse correlation mein hoti hain. Gold abhi tak $2,600 ke qareeb recover kar raha hai, aur XAU/USD is waqt $2,589 par trade ho raha hai, jo ke 1% se zyada ka izafa hai. Bullion prices ne Wednesday ko jo losses uthaye thay Fed ke decision ke baad, unko aage barha diya. Fed ke officials ne apne decision ko justify karte huye kaha ke inflation ab sustainable hai aur Fed ka 2% target achievable lagta hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ne ye bhi emphasize kiya ke central bank labor force ko policy adjustments ke zariye maintain kar sakta hai. Powell ka kehna tha ke inflation ka khatra kam hua hai jabke labor market ne mazid mazbooti dikhayi hai. Lekin unhone ye bhi kaha ke agar inflation persistent rehta hai to "hum policy ko dheere kar sakte hain" aur unhone ye bhi add kiya ke bank ke outlook ke mutabiq policy ko normalize karne ki "jaldi nahi hai". Is doran, US jobs data ne bhi tawajjo hasil ki Powell ke Jackson Hole speech ke baad. US Department of Labor ne bataya ke unemployment benefits ke liye kam logon ne apply kiya, jo ke strong labor market ki nishani hai. Is ke ilawa, US Treasury yields bhi gold ke sath barh gayi, jahan 10-year yield 3.74% tak pohanch gayi, lekin is izafay ne greenback ko support nahi kiya, jo ke 0.31% gira aur US Dollar Index (DXY) ke mutabiq 100.62 par aa gaya. Is hafte, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker rare US docket par comments karenge. Gold ne 2530.00 consolidation range ko tor diya aur 2586.00 tak ek growth wave chalayi. Market ab is range ke extension potential tak pohanch gaya hai aur ab in highs par ek nayi consolidation area bana raha hai. Main expectation ye hai ke gold 2555.50 tak giray ga, aur shayad 2530.00 tak ek corrective phase mein chala jaye. MACD indicator bhi is scenario ko support karta hai, kyun ke signal line zero ke upar hai lekin ab downward path per move kar rahi hai, jo ke ek possible decline ka ishara hai

Technically speaking, Thursday ka price advance partially reverse ho gaya jab yeh new inside bar pattern ki third prediction ko daily time frame mein miss kar gaya aur 2689.93 par close hua. Iska position 2683.12 par bhi decline hua weekly period ke eleventh projection se jo ke inner bar pattern ka tha. Yeh is wajah se shaayad daily time frame ke dynamic support SMA5 ki taraf force ho sakta hai agar yeh resistance ke upar rise karne mein naakam raha. Agar decline hota hai, toh yeh future ke liye pessimistic outlook ka ishara deta hai. Jab tak yeh support se mazid assistance le raha hai, ek mauqa ho sakta hai ke yeh eighth projection ko test kare. Intraday details ke mutabiq, 2693.46 par price gain 19th projection ko cross nahi kar saka jo ke old inside bar pattern ka tha H4 time frame mein. Is ke natijay mein, price ko dobara se suppress kar diya gaya hai, aur yeh 17th projection tak 2652.74 par repress ho gaya. Lekin 2673.10 par iski position thodi recover hui hai, magar yeh ab bhi 18th prediction se neeche hai. Yeh is liye candle ke resistance aur support ke darmiyan test kar sakta hai, jo ke pin bar ki tarah dikh sakta hai, agar new inside bar pattern formation banta hai 2654.30 se 2685.04 ke beech mein. Agar yeh resistance ke upar legitimate bounce kar gaya, toh yeh upward trajectory par continue kar sakta hai. Agar yeh old inside bar pattern ki 18th projection H4 time frame mein firmly 2673.10 ke price par cross karta hai, toh buy option ready hai. Target 2693.46 par subsequent projection ke aas-paas position hai. Agar pressure reject ho jata hai ya new mother bar ki support ke upar dobara se rise karta hai, toh backup purchase option 2654.30 par ready hai. Jab position ne dubara SMA5 curve ke upar firmly rebound kiya, tab yeh confirm ho jata hai. Target 2685.04 ke aas-paas hai jo ke new mother bar ki resistance hai aur 2689.93 price hai jo ke new inner bar pattern ki third projection hai daily time frame mein.

Gold ka outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Mujhe yaqin nahin hai keh sona kab tak kharid ki taraf badhega, lekin aisa lagta hai keh aaj ek aacha mauqa hai keh dhaat 2,669.55 ki maujudah muzahmati satah se farokht ki taraf nahin paltegi. Iske bajaye, yah badhna jari rah sakta hai aur 2,695.33 ki agli muzahmati satah ko hadaf banate hue nayi bulandiyon ko tod sakta hai. Misali taur par, niche ki taraf reversal hoga. Halankeh, mujhe lagta hai keh qimat 2,700 ki satah ka test karne ke liye ooper chadh sakti hai, is se pahle keh ya muqarrar kiya jaye keh aaya qimat palat jayegi ya tezi ka rujhan jari rahegi.
GOLD

Gold ki prices filhaal kaafi strong hain, aur kai factors hain jo agle kuch dino main unki movement ko affect kar sakte hain. Yahan kuch key points hain jo aapko madad de sakte hain future forecast samajhne main:
Federal Reserve ki Policy: Fed ke recent interest rate cuts ne gold ke liye aik favorable environment create kiya hai. Jab interest rates kam hote hain, to gold hold karna profitable hota hai kyun ke is par koi interest nahi milta, lekin bonds ya aur assets par milta hai. Agar Fed "aggressive" easing cycle ko continue karta hai, to gold ki prices mazeed barh sakti hain. Mehngai aur Economic Slowdown Mehngai (inflation) ke concerns aur economic slowdown ke chances, chahe US ka current data strong ho, gold ki demand ko barha sakte hain. Agar economy "soft landing" karti hai, to gold steady reh sakta hai, lekin agar recession ke signs zyada honge to investors safe-haven asset jaise gold main invest karenge, jo prices ko upar le ja sakta hai. Dollar ki Strength
Agar dollar strong rahta hai, to gold ki prices thodi pressure main reh sakti hain kyun ke gold ko traditionally inverse relation hota hai dollar ke saath. Magar, agar dollar weak hota hai, to gold ki prices mazeed barhengi.
Geopolitical Tensions: Duniya bhar ke political conflicts, jaise ke Ukraine ya kisi aur region ke issues, gold ko support karte hain kyun ke aise mahal main investors risk se bachne ke liye gold ko safe option samajhte hain. In tamam factors ko dekhte hue, short term main ek choti correction ho sakti hai, lekin overall bullish sentiment mazid barhne ke chances hain. Initial target $2675 hai, lekin agle kuch hafton main prices $2700 se upar bhi ja sakti hain agar yeh factors continue karte hain. Gold ki situation mein ab tak koi zyada tabdeeli nahi aayi. 4-hour chart ke mutabiq pair ab bhi bullish trend main hai. Price Ichimoku cloud ke upar hai, jo ek upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Iska matlab hai ke ab long position enter ki ja sakti hai. Stochastic indicator bhi upar ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Pichle trading session main futures ne north ki taraf movement continue rakhi, bulls ne pehla resistance level cross kar liya hai, aur filhaal gold 2667.91 par trade kar raha hai.
Intraday growth ke liye classic Pivot reversal levels ek reference point hain. Mera andaaza hai ke gold mazeed current levels se grow karega, aur agar second resistance level ko break kar leta hai, to ek naye gold growth ka phase shuru hoga, jo northward movement ko continue karte hue resistance area 2728.30 tak le ja sakta hai. Agar bears wapas market main aaye, to current chart section ke liye support level 2570.42 ek important reference point hoga. Is analysis ke mutabiq aap trading decision le sakte hain, magar market trends par nazar rakhna zaroori hai.