USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY pair is waqt downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai, aur mujhe koi aisi wajah nazar nahi aati jo isay north ki taraf le jaye. Maine pehle hi apna point share kiya hai ke Bank of Japan March mein 0.5 se 1 basis point tak rate barha sakta hai, jo is pair ko aur neeche le jane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke 147.11 ka level bohot critical hai, aur agar price is level se neeche girta hai, toh mazeed girawat ki umeed hai. Agar price 147.11 ke upar break karta hai, toh agla target 147.75 ho sakta hai, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke current dynamics ke madde nazar ye kam mumkin hai. Mere khayal mein yeh pair 145.82 ke level tak girne ke zyada chances rakhta hai. Main ye baat tasleem karta hoon ke fundamentally US dollar mein mazbooti ka potential hai, lekin abhi ke liye USD/JPY pair ki demand kaafi kam hai. Agar price neeche ki taraf move karta hai, toh mujhe lagta hai ke sellers’ trend ka aaghaz ho sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke agar girawat kuch din tak chalti rahi, toh main support level 145.18 ke kareeb hoga. Aaj ka din economic reports ke hawale se kaafi quiet hai, lekin geopolitical factors hamesha unexpected movements la sakte hain.
Main overall trend ko dekhte hue yeh samajhta hoon ke dollar mazboot hoga, lekin USD/JPY pair ke north mein move karne ki ability par shak hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pair upward momentum hasil karne mein kaamyaab nahi hoga, aur meri prediction hai ke price neeche jayega. BOJ ke expected actions aur market conditions ko madde nazar rakhein, toh mujhe lagta hai yeh pair pressure mein rahega.
Mera trading plan hai ke main USD/JPY ko 147.35 par sell karoon aur mera initial target 146.53 hoga. Maine yeh strategy Ichimoku indicator ke signals par banai hai, jo trends aur entry points ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Hourly chart dekhne par mujhe lagta hai ke Tenkan Sen line, Kijun Sen line ke neeche hai, jo mujhe yeh batata hai ke downtrend chal raha hai. Yeh mere bearish outlook ko confirm karta hai.
Lekin 15-minute chart par mujhe conflicting signal mil raha hai, jahan Tenkan Sen line Kijun Sen line ke upar hai. Yeh mujhe cautious banata hai, kyun ke short-term aur broader trend align nahi ho rahe. Is liye, main 15-minute chart par reverse signal ka intezar karunga, jahan Tenkan Sen line neeche move kare. Yeh signal milte hi, short position lena zyada safe hoga.
Main flexible rahunga aur agar hourly chart par koi shift hoti hai, toh apni strategy ko reconsider karunga. Filhal, patience aur analysis ke sath sahi setup ka intezar kar raha hoon, takay main dominant trend ke saath aligned trading karoon aur risks minimize karoon.

USD/JPY ne H1 time frame par bullish divergence create ki hai jo price ke reversal ka signal de sakti hai meri analysis ke mutabiq price ne niche ja kar aik naya low banaya hai lekin RSI indicator ne uske mukable kam low banaya hai jo divergence ko confirm karta hai ye indicate karta hai ke selling pressure kam ho raha hai aur buyers market main enter kar sakte hain chart par dekha jaye toh price ne bullish divergence ke baad 2 se 3 bullish candles bana di hain jo short term buying pressure ko show karti hain maine apne chart par RSI indicator bhi laga rakha hai jisme divergence wali trendline clearly nazar aa rahi hai aur RSI bhi is time 50 level ke paas hai jo ek crucial point hai agar RSI 50 ke upar strong close deta hai toh bullish momentum aur ziada strong ho sakta hai aur price upar ja sakti hai magar agar RSI wapis 50 ke neeche aati hai toh phir price dubara bearish pressure mein aa sakti hai doosri taraf H1 time frame par 50 EMA bhi aik important role play karegi agar price EMA ke upar sustain karti hai toh buying ka setup aur ziada strong ho sakta hai magar agar price EMA se reject hoti hai toh phir consolidation ya downward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai abhi tak ka price action ye suggest kar raha hai ke buyers active ho rahe hain aur short term buying opportunity ban sakti hai lekin confirmation ke liye RSI ka 50 se upar nikalna zaroori hai aur price ka 50 EMA ke upar sustain karna bhi important hoga agar price bullish divergence ke baad higher high banane lagti hai toh next resistance level test ho sakta hai lekin agar price rejection leti hai toh phir wapas se sideways ya bearish move ho sakti hai overall market ka trend dekhte hue short term buying ka plan kia ja sakta hai magar proper confirmation aur risk management ke saath trade lena zaroori hoga jese hi price RSI aur EMA se related koi strong signal deti hai uske baad hi next move decide karna behtar hoga.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, US dollar/Japanese yen ke jode ne nuqsanat badhaye. Halankeh girawat numaya nahin thi, lekin jodi 147.36 ki support satah ko todne aur us se niche fix hone me kamyab rahi. Iske natije me ek aur sell signal mila, jis ne farokht karne walon ko aaj 146.54 ki oburi satah tak pahunchne ki ijazat di. Yah maneuver abhi mukammal nahin hui hai. Filhal, dollar/yen ki jodi me halki tezi ki islah ho rahi hai, jiske bad bears market par dobara control hasil kar lenge aur qimat ko 145.91 ki support satah ki taraf le jayenge. Ek aur scenario par gaur karna hai jahan kharidar control hasil karte hain, jodi ko ooper ki taraf mor dete hain. Agar qimat 147.36 ki satah se ooper mustahkam hoti ai to, ek kharid signal paida hoga, jis me dollar/yen ki jodi 148.59 ki muzahmati satah ki shakal me agle hadaf ki taraf badh rahi hai.


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Japanese yen ne Tuesday ko U.S. dollar ke muqable mein halka sa wapas aana dekha jab ke ye October ke baad apne sabse unche level par pahucha tha Lekin Bank of Japan ke hawkish stance ki umeed ki wajah se yen ki girawat zyada nahi hui. Japan mein mehngai ke dabao ke chalte BoJ ke taraf se mazeed interest rate badhne ki umeed yen ko mazbooti de rahi hai. Yeh confidence investors ke darmiyan Japanese government bonds aur doosre bade mumalik ke bonds ke darmiyan farq ko kam kar raha hai, jo ke Japan ke GDP data ki downward revision ke manfi asar ko halka kar raha hai. Is buniyad par umeed hai ke yen qareebi waqt mein mazboot rahega.

Saath hi, global equity markets ki kamzori aur risk aversion ka mahaul bhi yen ke potential losses ko rokenge Safe-haven currency hone ki wajah se, yen aam tor par unwaqton mein faida uthata hai jab markets mein uncertainty ya risk barh jati hai. Doosri taraf, U.S. dollar multi-month lows ke qareeb raha, kyun ke ye tasur barhta ja raha hai ke U.S. economic growth ka slowdown, jo trade tariffs ke zariye aur zyada hua hai, Federal Reserve ko interest rates cut karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Yeh soch USD/JPY pair ke current level, jo mid-146.00 range ke qareeb hai, se zyada upar jane ko rokti hai, jab tak is hafte ka inflation data nahi aata aur traders ke liye koi nayi direction nahi milti.
Daily RSI ab oversold territory se bahar aane ki taraf hai, jo ye dikhata hai ke momentum badal sakta hai. Yeh bearish traders ke liye signal hai ke wo ehtiyat karein. Behtar hoga ke koi nayi selling karne se pehle price ka consolidation ya halki si recovery ka intezaar karein. Agar USD/JPY pair 147.25-147.30 ke resistance ko todne ki koshish kare, to naye selling pressure ka samna ho sakta hai. Psychological 148.00 level ek mazboot barrier hai, aur uske upar 148.60-148.70 ke horizontal resistance ke qareeb naye challenges aa sakte hain.

Agar price 146.55-146.50 ke support levels ke neeche girti hai, to 146.00 tak ka raasta khul sakta hai. Aur agar girawat mazeed barhti hai, to medium-term support 145.25 tak ja sakti hai, jo aakhir me psychological level 145.00 ko target karegi. Yeh sab factors, jaise ke BoJ ki policy aur economic data, mil kar USD/JPY ki movement ko shape karte rahenge.

The USD/JPY currency pair is currently showing signs that a bullish trend reversal may be on the horizon. The exchange rate appears to be stabilizing, suggesting that now could be an opportune moment to prepare for potential changes in market dynamics. However, it is essential to keep in mind that this phase may not last long, particularly with significant economic events related to inflation scheduled for tomorrow. These developments could have a considerable impact on market sentiment and price movements.

As the market opens, there is a strong possibility that we will witness an upward movement in the USD/JPY pair. The prevailing trend remains bullish, supported by the current upward trajectory observed on the four-hour (H4) chart. Traders should be aware that any downward movement that occurs may only represent a temporary correction rather than a definitive shift in trend. The bullish sentiment is underpinned by the overall economic environment, which suggests that the potential for the USD/JPY pair to strengthen is quite plausible.

Technical analysis indicates that the primary resistance level for USD/JPY is at 148.08. This level is crucial for determining the pair's short-term movements. If the price breaks above the resistance at 148.51, it could pave the way for further gains, with the ultimate target being 149.00. Such a breakout would likely attract additional buying interest and reinforce the bullish outlook.

As traders position themselves for possible movements in the USD/JPY pair, it is crucial to stay informed about the upcoming economic reports, particularly those related to inflation. These reports can considerably influence market sentiment and lead to increased volatility. If inflation data comes in higher than expected, it could bolster the USD, further supporting the anticipated bullish trend in the USD/JPY pair.

In summary, the USD/JPY pair is showing promising signs of a potential bullish reversal, with favorable technical indicators and economic conditions. While there may be temporary corrections, the overall trend appears to lean towards upward movement. Traders should monitor key resistance levels closely and remain vigilant regarding upcoming economic data, as these factors will play a significant role in shaping market dynamics. The potential for the USD/JPY pair to strengthen remains strong, making it an interesting opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on short-term movements.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! US dollar/Japanese yen jode ne kal kayi bar 148.11 ki muzahmati satah ka test kiya, lekin is se ooper msutahkam hone me nakam raha. Natije ke taur par, jodi ne pullback kiya. Iske bad kharidaron ne apni tezi ka daud dobara shuru kiya aur filhal 148.11 ki satah ko dobara se todne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar kamyab ho to, is nishan ke ooper kharidari ka entry point tashkil diya jayega, aur ooper ki movement jari rahegi, agla hadaf 150.17 ki muzahmati satah hogi. Halankeh, abhi tak aise koi ishare nahin hain. Dusri taraf, signal ubhar rahe hain keh sell entry point 148.11 ki satah se niche ban sakta hai, aur yah imkan hai keh aisa hoga. Lehaza, agli simt ko muqarrar karne aur tejarati faisla karne se pahle qimaton ki karwai ke mukammal hone ka intezar karna bahut aham hai.


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usdjpy h1 time frame main strong bullish momentum show kar raha hai price is time 148.58 py trade ho rahi hai aur bullish candles main taqat nazar aa rahi hai price ne apna buy side structure todne ky baad upward movement start kar di hai next resistance level 149.34 hai jo aik key level hai agar price is resistance ko todti hai tu next upside target 149.80 tak ho sakta hai magar agar wahan rejection ata hai tu price thodi consolidation ya retracement kar sakti hai filhal intraday buyers dominate kar rahay hain aur scalping ky liye bhi acha setup ban raha hai lekin short term traders ko dekhna hoga keh price kis tarah react karti hai agar candles main weakness nazar ati hai ya RSI divergence show karta hai tu wahan sy thoda caution lena parega RSI is time 70 ky thora sa nechy hai jo indicate kar raha hai keh market overbought zone ky qareeb hai magar jab tak momentum strong hai tab tak buyers ka control hai 50 ki ema price ky nechy hai jo confirm kar rahi hai keh trend abhi bullish hai agar price 149.34 ka resistance todti hai tu next upside target 149.80 tak ho sakta hai magar agar wahan rejection ata hai tu price thodi consolidation ya retracement kar sakti hai buyers ke liye ye level bohot important hai agar breakout hota hai tu next wave start ho sakti hai lekin agar rejection ata hai tu short term selling ka setup ban sakta hai magar jab tak price 50 ema ky uper hai tab tak dips buying ky liye acha mauqa ho sakti hai filhal price bullish trend main hai aur breakout ka intezar karna behtar rahega agar price 149.34 todti hai tu bullish momentum continue rahega lekin agar wahan resistance strong hota hai tu selling pressure create ho sakta hai market structure aur momentum indicators ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake best entry points identify kiye ja sake overall buyers ka control hai lekin resistance level py reaction dekhna bohot zaroori hoga.

USD/JPY currency pair is waqt bullish trend reversal ke asar dikha raha hai. Lagta hai exchange rate stable ho raha hai, jo yeh signal deta hai ke market dynamics mein tabdeeli ke liye tayyari ka acha mauqa hai. Lekin yeh baat samajhna zaroori hai ke yeh phase zyada dair tak nahi chalega, khas tor par kal inflation se mutaliq ahem economic events hone hain jo market sentiment aur price movements par bara asar daal sakte hain. Jab market khulega, to mazboot ehtimal hai ke USD/JPY pair mein upar ki taraf movement dekhne ko mile. Abhi ka trend bullish hai, aur H4 chart par upward trajectory iss baat ko support kar rahi hai. Agar price kabhi neeche aaye bhi, to woh sirf ek temporary correction hoga, na ke trend ka mukammal shift. Economic environment ka overall asar bhi bullish sentiment ko support karta hai, jo is baat ko confirm karta hai ke USD/JPY pair ke mazboot hone ke asar hain.
Technical analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke liye sabse pehla resistance level 148.08 par hai. Yeh level short-term price movements ke liye bohot ahem hai. Agar price 148.51 ke upar break kare, to aur zyada faida ho sakta hai, aur target 149.00 tak jaa sakta hai. Aisi breakout buying interest ko aur barhawa degi aur bullish trend ko aur mazboot karegi.
Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke inflation reports aur doosri economic developments par nazar rakhein, kyunke yeh factors market mein volatility barhane ka sabab banenge. Agar inflation ka data expectations se zyada ho, to yeh USD ki value barhane ka sabab banega, jo USD/JPY pair ke bullish trend ko aur mazboot karega. Summary mein, USD/JPY pair bullish reversal ke signs dikhata hai aur technical analysis aur economic environment isse support karte hain. Ho sakta hai temporary corrections aayein, lekin overall trend upar ki taraf hai. Traders ko resistance levels aur economic data par ghair mamooli tawajju deni chahiye, kyunke yeh factors market ke future dynamics ko shape karenge. USD/JPY pair short-term trading ke liye ek promising opportunity lagta hai.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

Aaj hum USD/JPY ke chart ka jaiza le rahe hain, jo ke abhi 148.04 par trade kar raha hai. Is waqt, chart par kuch aise nishan dekhne ko mil rahe hain jo yeh darshate hain ke USD/JPY mein aage chal kar kamzori nazar aa rahi hai.
Chart ki Halat


Agar hum USD/JPY ka chart dekhein, to humein yeh nazar aata hai ke is waqt yeh currency pair kamzor hota ja raha hai. Iska sabse bada saboot yeh hai ke technical indicators, jo ke market ki halat ka andaza lagane ke liye istemal hote hain, sell signals de rahe hain. Yeh signals khud 4-hour chart par bhi puri tarah se tayar hain.
Technical Indicators
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
MACD ka signal line ya slow line zero line (midline) ke neeche hai. Iska matlab hai ke bearish momentum hai.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI ka score 51 hai, jo ke ek bearish momentum ko darshata hai. Yeh bhi is baat ki tasdiq karta hai ke market ki mood bearish hai.

Dono indicators, yani MACD aur RSI, negative readings de rahe hain, jo yeh darshata hai ke USD/JPY ki keemat aage chal kar girne ki sambhavna hai.
Moving Averages


Chart par 20-day aur 50-day exponential moving averages bhi dekhe ja sakte hain. USD/JPY ab 20-day exponential moving average ke neeche hai, jo ke 148.04 par hai. Saath hi, yeh 50-day exponential moving average (jo ke orange rang ka hai) ke bhi neeche trade kar raha hai. Yeh sab indicators yeh darshate hain ke market mein bearish trend hai.
Resistance aur Support Levels


Is waqt, USD/JPY ka resistance level 161.40 hai. Agar yeh price is resistance ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, to agla strong resistance level 171.54 par hai, jo ke doosra resistance level hai. Iske baad, agar market ne is level ko bhi tod diya, to yeh 181.87 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke teesra resistance level hai.

Dusri taraf, support levels bhi kaafi important hain. Current market price ka support level 139.58 hai. Agar USD/JPY is support ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, to doosra strong support level 111.39 par hai. Iske baad, yeh 76.34 tak gir sakta hai, jo ke teesra support level hai.
Market ke Liye Tajaweez


Is waqt ke liye, jo indicators humein dikh rahe hain, unse yeh pata chalta hai ke USD/JPY mein bearish trend hai. Traders ko chahiye ke wo sell positions par focus karein, kyunki technical indicators is taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Agar market kisi wajah se unexpected reversal karta hai, to unhe resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye.
Aakhri Baat


Is analysis se yeh samajh aata hai ke USD/JPY ke liye aane wale dino mein girawat ki sambhavna hai. Lekin, jaise ke hamesha kaha jata hai, trading mein risk hamesha hota hai. Isliye, traders ko apne risk management strategies ko dhyan mein rakhna chahiye.

Aakhir mein, yeh yaad rakhein ke market ki halat hamesha tabdeel hoti rehti hai, isliye regular updates aur analysis zaroori hai. Khush rahiye aur apni trading mein dhyan rakhiye!

USD aur Japanese Yen ka 4-hour chart dekhen to market mein bullish momentum hai aur price filhal $148.715 par trade kar raha hai, jo 0.25% ka izafa dikhta hai. Yeh izafa yeh batata hai ke buyers kaafi active hain aur market apne recent lows se recovery kar rahi hai. Chart ke mutabiq, $148.80 ka resistance level hai jo price ke liye aik barrier ban raha hai. Agar price is level ko todta hai, toh agli manzil $149.00 ya usse upar ja sakti hai. Neeche ki taraf, $148.00 ka support level price ko neeche girne se rok raha hai aur stability provide kar raha hai. Volume bars ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke jab price upar ki taraf ja raha hota hai toh trading activity barh jati hai, jo bullish sentiment ka signal hai. Lekin agar volume kam ho, toh iska matlab hai ke price reversal ka risk barh sakta hai. Short-term moving average ka trend upward hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market filhal positive zone mein hai.

Agar price moving average ke upar rehty hai, to iska matlab hai ke bullish trend sustain reh sakta hai. Market ka overall sentiment optimistic lagta hai, lekin traders cautiously resistance levels ka intezar kar rahe hain, kyunke external factors jaise economic reports aur Dollar Index ki movements, price ko affect kar sakte hain. Agar price $148.80 ka resistance tod le, toh aglay levels $149.20 ya uske kareeb hosakte hain, lekin agar $148.00 ka support level toot jata hai, toh price $147.50 tak neeche ja sakti hai. Iss waqt market ek balance show kar rahi hai, jahan bulls aur bears ka competition hai, lekin lagta hai ke bulls abhi strong position mein hain. Traders ke liye yeh zaruri hai ke wo volume aur key levels ko closely monitor karein taake market ke aglay moves ko samajh sakein aur apne positions accordingly adjust kar sakein.

hai aur market selling pressure mein hai 50 ki EMA price se thodi door neeche hai jo yeh indicate karta hai ke abhi tak market ek consolidation phase mein hai lekin agar price EMA ko neeche todti hai to selling momentum barh sakta hai RSI bhi 50 ke aas paas hai jo ek neutral position hai lekin agar RSI 50 se neeche jata hai to selling pressure confirm ho sakta hai is analysis ke mutabiq agar price range ka lower level todti hai to pehla support 150.00 ka hoga jo ek psychological level bhi hai aur agar yeh level bhi break hota hai to price 149.70 tak gir sakti hai lekin agar price range se upar breakout karti hai to bullish momentum aa sakta hai aur price 150.80 ya 151.00 tak ja sakti hai lekin overall trend ko dekhte hue selling breakout ka zyada imkaan hai traders ko chahiye ke breakout ka intezar karein aur confirmation candle ka wait karein taake false breakout se bacha ja sake aur risk management ka bhi khayal rakhna zaroori hai kyunki usd/jpy ek volatile pair hai aur jaldi reversals day sakta hai agar breakout selling side hota hai to short position lena behtar hoga lekin agar price upar breakout karti hai aur EMA ke upar sustain karti hai to bullish trade plan karna behtar ho sakta hai is waqt market ek critical zone mein hai aur agli movement ka taayun breakout se hoga





. Ab, ek mamuli islah ke bad, bears ek bar fir qimat ko 148.59 ki support satah tak niche lane ki koshish kar rahe hain, au shayad woh kamyab ho jayenge agar qimat is se niche band ho jaye. Halankeh, is scenario ka imkan nahin lagta hai. Haliyah tareekh par nazar dalein to yah bat qabile gaur hai keh bears ne kayi bar 148.59 ki satah ko todne ki koshish ki, lekin har koshishen nakam rahi hai. Yaqinan, mai yah nahin kah raha hun keh is satah ko toda nahin ja sakta, lekin aisa hone ke liye, sahih suratehal ka hona zarur

nakam rahe, lekin fir bhi koshishen ki gayi. US dollar/Japanese yen joda 150.72 ki muzahmati satah se ooper toot gaya aur yahan tak keh 151.30 ki darmiyani satah tak pahunch gaya. Halankeh, farokht karne walon ne comtrol hasil kar liye aur qimat ko niche ki taraf mod diya. Natije ke taur par, dollar/yen ke jode ne 148.59 ki kaledi support satah ka test kiya, lekin ise toda nahin ja saka. Ab, ek mamuli islah ke bad, bears ek bar fir qimat ko 148.59 ki support satah tak niche lane ki koshish kar rahe hain, au shayad woh kamyab ho jayenge agar qimat is se niche band ho jaye. Halankeh, is scenario ka imkan nahin lagta hai. Haliyah tareekh par nazar dalein to yah bat qabile gaur hai keh bears ne kayi bar 148.59 ki satah ko todne ki koshish ki, lekin har koshishen nakam rahi hai. Yaqinan, mai yah nahin kah raha hun keh is satah ko toda nahin ja sakta, lekin aisa hone ke liye, sahih suratehal ka hona zaruri hai - aur abhi ke liye, woh kahin nazar nahin aa rahe hain.





hai.
Chart par jo moving averages hain (red aur yellow lines), wo dikhate hain ke price ne apne long-term average ke neeche break kar liya hai. Ye ek bearish signal hai, jo batata hai ke sellers market mein dominate kar rahe hain. Iska matlab hai ke price aur neeche ja sakta hai Ek aur zaruri cheez volume aur MACD indicators hain. Volume bar dikhate hain ke jab bhi price neeche gir raha hai, sellers zyada active hain. MACD bhi confirm kar raha hai ke momentum abhi neeche ki taraf hai, jo iss downtrend ko mazid strong banata hai.
Ab baat karte hain important levels ki. Chart par ek key support level 141.500 ke aas-paas nazar aa raha hai. Agar price is level ko tod deta hai, to mazid girawat ka chance hai. Lekin agar price iss level par ruk jata hai, to ho sakta hai ke market thoda rebound kare aur upar ki taraf correction aaye. Dusri taraf, 147.000 ka resistance level abhi ke liye price ke upar jaane mein rukawat bana hua hai.

USD/JPY pair budh ke din American trading hours ke doran 149.20 ke kareeb pohanch gaya, jabke US Dollar ne apni mazbooti dikhayi, halan ke February ka inflation data umeedon se neeche tha. US Consumer Price Index ki report ne dikhaya ke headline inflation 2.8% barhi, jo ke 2.9% ke forecast se kam aur January ke 3% ke izafay se neeche thi. Core CPI, jo kharidari aur energy ke volatile asraat ko nikal kar dekhta hai, bhi 3.3% se kam hoke 3.1% tak aayi. Isse yeh umeed mazboot hui ke Federal Reserve apni sakht monetary policy ko jaldi relax kar sakta hai.
US Dollar Index ne bhi chaar mahine ke lowest level 103.20 se recover karke 103.75 ke aas-paas trade karna shuru kiya, lekin overall bearish outlook abhi bhi barqarar hai. Traders ka yeh maanna hai ke agar inflation aur ghatta hai aur labor market kamzor hoti hai, toh Fed rate cuts ke chances barh jate hain. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki aakhri comments bhi is umeed ko support karti hain.
Technical analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ki recent rally ne isko ek aham psychological resistance level 149.50 ke kareeb la diya hai. Yahan Fibonacci retracement levels strong selling pressure dikhate hain. 2022 ke high 151.90 aur 2023 ke low 127.20 ke darmiyan ka 50% retracement level lagbhag 149.40 par hai, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke ya to yahan se reversal ho sakta hai ya consolidation ka daur aa sakta hai. Agar yeh level tod diya gaya, toh pair 150.00-150.30 ke critical region ka retest kar sakta hai, jo pehle Bank of Japan ke intervention ka gawah reh chuka hai. Japan ke firms ne teesri martaba lagataar substantial wage hikes approve ki hain, jo inflation expectations ko barhawa de sakti hain aur BoJ ke hawkish stance ko support kar sakti hain. Lekin iske bawajood Japanese Yen underperform kar raha hai. Market ke log BoJ ke potential rate hikes par abhi bhi cautious hain, aur is baat par uncertainty hai ke unka policy shift kitna aggressive ho sakta hai. Agar BoJ ne koi decisive action na liya, toh JPY aur kamzor ho sakta hai, jo USD/JPY ke bullish trend ko barqarar rakhega.

USDJPY ki technical analysis 13 March 2025 ke liye kuch is tarah hai. Forex analysis mein, mujhe lagta hai ke USDJPY ka jo jo jo price position hai, woh ab bhi entry point banne ke laayak hai.

Chaliye, ab hum USDJPY ke 1 Hour Time Frame ka chart dekhte hain aur phir analysis karte hain. Price Action analysis ke zariye, market trend mein yeh nazar aata hai ke USDJPY ab bhi bearish ya downtrend mein hai, lekin humein trend reversal ki bhi anticipation karni chahiye agar price resistance area ko upar se break karti hai aur price consolidation hoti hai.

Candle history ko dekhte hue, hum sell entry opportunities talash kar sakte hain kyunki long term ab bhi downtrend par hai, lekin zyada objective hone ke liye, main buy aur sell entries ke liye analysis pesh karunga.

Chart dekhne par, seller pressure (lambi red candle ki length) dheere dheere price ko neeche le ja rahi hai, bina buyer pressure (lambi green candle ki length) ko counter kiye hue, aur yeh lower high banata hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke sellers abhi bhi kuch price levels ki formation mein dominate kar rahe hain. Lekin, USDJPY pair mein buy opportunities talash karna ab bhi mumkin hai.

Main resistance area ko do lines ke zariye price ke upar define karta hoon (148.85 – 148.51), jabke support area ko do lines ke zariye neeche define kar sakte hain (147.52 – 147.16).

Meri entry setup options niche diye gaye hain, aap inhe apne trading style ke mutabiq istemal kar sakte hain.

Mera entry setup ek breakout opportunity hai. Agar 1-hour candle close price upper limit of resistance area (148.85) ko break karta hai, to phir best entry buy position talash karne ke liye tayaar ho jayein. Agar 1-hour candle close price lower limit of support area (147.16) ko break karta hai, to best entry sell position talash karne ke liye tayaar ho jayein. Cut loss tab karein jab 1-hour candle close price resistance area ke lower limit se neeche (148.51 se kam) ho buy entry ke liye, aur support area ke upper limit se upar (147.52 se zyada) ho sell entry ke liye. Aur minimum risk ratio 1:1 ka istemal karein.

Sell position ke liye pullback setup: Pullback area resistance area ka istemal karega, agar 1-hour candle close price pullback area mein hai, to aap sell position le sakte hain aur cut loss tab karein jab 1-hour candle close price pullback area ke upper limit se upar (148.85 se zyada) ho. Minimum risk ratio 1:1 ka istemal karein aapke trading method ke mutabiq.

Buy position ke liye pullback setup: Pullback area support area ka istemal karega, agar 1-hour candle close price pullback area mein hai, to aap buy position le sakte hain aur cut loss tab karein jab 1-hour candle close price pullback area ke lower limit se neeche (147.16 se kam) ho. Minimum risk ratio 1:1 ka istemal karein aapke trading method ke mutabiq.

Hamesha har entry ke liye achi money management ka istemal karein taake trading continuity healthy rahe, aur fake breakout candles se hamesha alert rahein. Umeed hai ke yeh article aapke liye market analysis mein madadgar sabit hoga.