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  • #271 Collapse

    Jump up ^ The Microstructure Approach to Exchangepeculation," Chapter 1 in Michael A. S. Guth, Speculative behavior and the operation of competitive markets under uncertainty, Avebury Ashgate Publishing, Aldorshot, England (1994), ISBN 1-85628-985-0.
    Jump up ^ What I Learned at the World Economic Crisis Joseph Stiglitz, The New Republic, April 17, 2000, reprinted at GlobalPolicy.org
    Jump up ^ Summers LH and Summers VP (1989) 'When financial markets work too well: a Cautious case for a securities transaction tax' Journal of financial services
    Jump up ^ "Anatomy of the Forex Market". Pepperstone. Retrieved 22 April 2013.
    Jump up ^ But Don't Rush Out to Buy Kronor: Sweden'sisis is 'largest financial shock since Great Depression'". London: guardian.co.uk. Retrieved 2010-02-27.
    External links[edit]
       
    • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/ru/?x=ruforum">InstaForex</a>
    • #272 Collapse

      reign Exchange Control in Chinavelopment Since 1900 Psychology Press, 2005 Retrieved 2012-07-13 ISBN 041534901X
      Jump up ^ J Wake – Kleinwort, Benson: The History of Two Families in Banking Oxford University Press, 27 Feb 1997 Retrieved 2012-07-13 ISBN 0198282990
      Jump up ^ Laurence S. Copeland – Exchange Ratesing Foreign Exchange Options Woodhead Publishing, 2000 Retrieved 2012-07-14 ISBN 1855734915
      Jump up ^ (secondary) -GG Johnson Formulation of Exchange Rate Policies in Adjustment Programs International Monetary Fund, 15 Aug 1985 Retrieved 2012-07-14 ISBN 0939934507
      Jump up ^ JA Dorn – China in the New Millennium: Market Reforms and Social Development Cato Institute, 1998 Retrieved 2012-07-14 ISBN 1882577612
      Jump up ^ B Laurens, H Mehran, M Quintyn, T Nordman – Monetary and Exchange System Reforms in China: An Experiment in Gradualism International Monetary Fund, 26 Sep 1996 Retrieved 2012-07-14 ISBN 1452766126
      Jump up ^ Y-I Chung – South Korea in the Fast Lane: Economic Development and Capital Formation Oxford University Press, 20 Jul 2007 Retrieved 2012-07-14 ISBN 0195325451
      Jump up ^ KM Dominguez, JA Frankel – Does Foreign Exchang a currency pair.
         
      • #273 Collapse

        ies online – "nostro account"
        Jump up ^ Oxford dictionaries online – "nostro account"
        Jump up ^ S Homer, Richard E Sylla A History of Interest Rates John Wiley & Sons, 29 Aug 2005 Retrieved 2012-07-14 ISBN 0471732834
        Jump up ^ T Southcliffe Ashton – A
           
        • #274 Collapse

          : its organization, management, operations and decline New York Univ. Press, 1948 Retrieved 2012-07-14
          Jump up ^ Cambridge dictionarn Economic History of England: The 18th Century, Volume 3 Taylor & Francis, 1955 Retrieved 2012-07-13
          Jump up ^ (page 196 of) JW Markham A Financial History of the United States, Volumes 1–2 M.E. Sharpe, 2002 Retrieved 2012-07-14 ISBN 0765607301
          Jump up ^ (page 847) of M Pohl, European Association for Banking History – Handbook on the History of European Banks Edward Elgar Publishing, 1994 Retrieved 2012-07-14
          Jump up ^ (secondary) – [1] Retrieved 2012-07-13
          Jump up ^ S Shamah – A Foreign Exchange Primer ["1880" is within 1.2 Value Terms] John Wiley & Sons, 22 Nov 2011 Retrieved 2102-07-27 ISBN 1119994896
          Jump up ^ T Hong – Fo
             
          • #275 Collapse

            Jump up ^ The Economist – Guide to the Financial Markets (pdf)
            Jump up ^ Global imbalances and destabilizing speculation (2007), UNCTAD Trade and development report 2007 (Chapter 1B).
            Jump up ^ http://www.bis.org/press/p130905.htm
            ^ Jump up to: a b c 2013 Triennial Central Bank Survey, Bank for International Settlements.
            Jump up ^ "What is Foreign Exchange?". Published by the International Business Times AU. Retrieved: February 11, 2011.
            Jump up ^ CR Geisst – Encyclopedia of American Business History Infobase Publishing, 1 Jan 2009 Retrieved 2012-07-14 ISBN 1438109873
            Jump up ^ GW Bromiley – International Standard Bible Encyc
               
            • #276 Collapse

              Forex signals[edit]
              Main article: Forex signal
              Forex trade alerts, often referred to as Forex Signals are trade strategies provided by either experienced traders or market analysts. These signals which are often charged a premium fee for can then be copied or replicated by a trader to his own live account. Forex signal products are packaged as either alerts delivered to a user's inbox or SMS, or can be installed to a trader's trading platforms. Algorithmic trading, whereby foreign exchange users can programme (or buy ready made software) to place trades on their behalf, according to pre-determined rules has become very popular in recent years. This means that users can set their 'Algos' to trade on their behalf, thus reducing the need to sit an monitor the markets continuously, plus it can remove the element of human emotion around executing a trade.

              See also[edit]
              Balance of trade
              Currency codes
              Currency strength
              Foreign currency mortgage
              Foreign exchange con
                 
              • #277 Collapse

                the foreign exchange market when a potentially adverse event happens which may affect market conditions. This behavior is caused when risk averse traders liquidate their positions in risky assets and shift the funds to less risky assets due to uncertainty.[84]

                In the context of the foreign exchange market, traders liquidate their positions in various currencies to take up positions in safe-haven currencies, such as the US Dollar.[85] Sometimes, the choice of a safe haven currency is more of a choice based on prevailing sentiments rather than one of economic statistics. An example would be the Financial Crisis of 2008. The value of equities across the world fell while the US Dollar strengthened (see Fig.1). This happened despite the strong focus of the crisis in the USA.[86]

                Carry trade[edit]
                Main article: Carry trade
                Currency carry trade refers to the act of borrowing one currency that has a low interest rate in order to purchase another with a higher interest rate. A large difference in rates can be highly profitable for the trader, especially if high leverage is used. However, with all levered investments this is a double edged sword, and large exchange rate fluctuations can suddenly swing trades into huge losses.

                trols
                Foreign exchange hedge
                Foreign exchange reserves
                   
                • #278 Collapse

                  See also: Safe-haven currency


                  Fig.1 Chart showing MSCI World Index of Equities fell while the US Dollar Index rose.
                  Risk aversion is a kind of trading behavior exhibited by
                  Foreign exchange derivative
                  Money market
                  Nonfarm payrolls
                  Tobin tax
                     
                  • #279 Collapse

                    Risk aversion[edit]
                    World currency
                    References[edit]lopedia: A–D Wm. B. Eerdmans Publishing, 13 Feb 1995 Retrieved 2012-07-14 ISBN 0802837816
                    Jump up ^ T Crump – The Phenomenon of Money (Routledge Revivals) Taylor & Francis US, 14 Jan 2011 Retrieved 2012-07-14 ISBN 0415611873
                    Jump up ^ J Hasebroek – Trade and Politics in Ancient Greece Biblo & Tannen Publishers, 1 Mar 1933 Retrieved 2012-07-14 ISBN 0819601500
                    Jump up ^ http://www.ancient.eu.com/article/115/
                    Jump up ^ RC Smith, I Walter, G DeLong – Global Banking Oxford University Press, 17 Jan 2012 Retrieved 2012-07-13 ISBN 0195335937
                    Jump up ^ (tertiary) – G Vasari – The Lives of the Artists Retrieved 2012-07-1
                       
                    • #280 Collapse

                      a two-day delivery transaction (except in the case of trades between the US Dollar, Canadian Dollar, Turkish Lira, Euro and Russian Ruble, which settle the next business day), as opposed to the futures contracts, which are usually three months. This trade represents a “direct exchange” between two currencies, has the shortest time frame, involves cash rather than a contract, and interest is not included in the agreed-upon transaction. Spot trading is one of the most common types of Forex Trading. Often, a forex broker will charge a small fee to the client to roll-over the expiring transaction into a new identical transaction for a continuum of the trade. This roll-over fee is known as the "Swap" fee.

                      Forward[edit]
                      See also: Forward contract
                      One way to deal with the foreign exchange risk is to engage in a forward transaction. In this transaction, money does not actually change hands until some agreed upon future date. A buyer and seller agree on an exchange rate for any date in the future, and the transaction occurs on that date, regardless of what the market rates are then. The duration of the trade can be one day, a few days, months or years. Usually the date is decided by both parties. Then the forward contract is negotiated and agreed upon by both parties.

                      Swap[edit]
                      Main article: Foreign exchange swap
                      The most common type of forward transaction is the foreign exchange swap. In a swap, two parties exchange currencies for a certain length of time and agree to reverse the transaction at a later date. These are not standardized contracts and are not traded through an exchange. A deposit is often required in order to hold the position open until the transaction is completed.
                         
                      • #281 Collapse

                        Futures are standardized forward contracts and are usually traded on an exchange created for this purpose. The average contract length is roughly 3 months. Futures contracts are usually inclusive of any interest amounts.

                        Currency futures contracts are contracts specifying a standard volume of a particular currency to be exchanged on a specific settlement date. Thus the currency futures contracts are similar to forward contracts in terms of their obligation, but differ from forward contracts in the way they are traded. They are commonly used by MNCs to hedge their currency positions. In addition they are traded by speculators who hope to capitalize on their expectations of exchange rate movements.

                        Option[edit]
                        Main article: Foreign exchange option
                        A foreign exchange option (commonly shortened to just FX option) is a derivative where the owner has the right but not the obligation to exchange money denominated in one currency into another currency at a pre-agreed exchange rate on a specified date. The options market is the deepest, largest and most liquid market for options of any kind in the world.

                        Speculation[edit]
                        Controversy about currency speculators and their effect on currency devaluations and national economies recurs regularly. Nevertheless, economists including Milton Friedman have argued that speculators ultimately are a stabilizing influence on the market and perform the important function of providing a market for hedgers and transferring risk from those people who don't wish to bear it, to those who do.[78] Other economists such as Joseph Stiglitz consider this argument to be based more on politics and a free market philosophy than on economics.[79]
                           
                        • #282 Collapse

                          traders" are the main professional speculators. According to some economists, individual traders could act as "noise traders" and have a more destabilizing role than larger and better informed actors.[80] Also to be considered is the rise in foreign exchange autotrading; algorithmic, or automated, trading has increased from 2% in 2004 up to 45% in 2010.[81]

                          Currency speculation is considered a highly suspect activity in many countries.[where?] While investment in traditional financial instruments like bonds or stocks often is considered to contribute positively to economic growth by providing capital, currency speculation does not; according to this view, it is simply gambling that often interferes with economic policy. For example, in 1992, currency speculation forced the Central Bank of Sweden to raise interest rates for a few days to 500% per annum, and later to devalue the krona.[82] Former Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad is one well known proponent of this view. He blamed the devaluation of the Malaysian ringgit in 1997 on George Soros and other speculators.

                          Gregory Millman reports on an opposing view, comparing speculators to "vigilantes" who simply help "enforce" international agreements and anticipate the effects of basic economic "laws" in order to profit.[83]

                          In this view, countries may develop unsustainable financial bubbles or otherwise mishandle their national economies, and foreign exchange speculators made the inevitable collapse happen sooner. A relatively quick collapse might even be preferable to continued economic mishandling, followed by an eventual, larger, collapse. Mahathir Mohamad and other critics of speculation are viewed as trying to deflect the blame from themselves for having caused the unsustainable economic conditions.
                          3 ISBN 019283410X
                          Jump up ^ (page 130 of ) RA De Roover – The Rise and Decline of the M
                             
                          • #283 Collapse

                            Financial instruments[edit]
                            Spot[edit]
                            Main article: Foreign exchange spot
                            A spot transaction is
                            Future[edit]
                            Main article: Currency futur
                            Large hedge funds and other well capitalized "position edici Bank: 1397-1494 Beard Books, 1999 Retrieved 2012-07-14 ISBN 1893122328
                            Jump up ^ RA De Roover – The Medici Ba
                               
                            • #284 Collapse

                              long-term trends. Although currencies do not have an annual growing season like physical commodities, business cycles do make themselves felt. Cycle analysis looks at longer-term price trends that may rise from economic or political trends.[75]
                              "Buy the rumor, sell the fact": This market truism can apply to many currency situations. It is the tendency for the price of a currency to reflect the impact of a particular action before it occurs and, when the anticipated event comes to pass, react in exactly the opposite direction. This may also be referred to as a market being "oversold" or "overbought".[76] To buy the rumor or sell the fact can also be an example of the cognitive bias known as anchoring, when investors focus too much on the relevance of outside events to currency prices.
                              Economic numbers: While economic numbers can certainly reflect economic policy, some reports and numbers take on a talisman-like effect: the number itself becomes important to market psychology and may have an immediate impact on short-term market moves. "What to watch" can change over time. In recent years, for example, money supply, employment, trade balance figures and inflation numbers have all taken turns in the spotlight.
                              Technical trading considerations: As in other market
                                 
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                              • #285 Collapse

                                n lead to a "flight-to-quality", a type of capital flight whereby investors move their assets to a perceived "safe haven". There will be a greater demand, thus a higher price, for currencies perceived as stronger over their relatively weaker counterparts. The U.S. dollar, Swiss franc and gold have been traditional safe havens during times of political or economic uncertainty.[74]
                                Long-term trends: Currency markets often move in visibles, the accumulated price movements in a currency pair such as EUR/USD can form apparent patterns that traders may attempt to use. Many traders study price charts in order to identify such patterns.[77]
                                nk
                                   

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