ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD ka outlook:

AUD/USD pair ek mushkil mahol ka samna kar rahi hai jo ke Australia ki economic uncertainty, commodities ke pressure, aur mazboot U.S. Dollar ki wajah se hai. Neeche tafseel se un forces ka zikar hai jo is waqt market ko drive kar rahi hain aur traders ko aane wale waqt mein kin cheezon par tawajju deni chahiye.
Fundamental Analysis


Australia ki Economy:
Australia ki economy par zyada focus hai, jab traders yeh sochte hain ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) se rate cut ka imkaan ho sakta hai. Kuch aham factors jo is outlook ko mutasir kar rahe hain:
Cooling Inflation:
Australia mein inflation kam hoti nazar aa rahi hai, jo RBA ko zyada flexibility deti hai. Agar yeh trend barqarar raha, toh interest rates ko neeche lana economic activity ko support karne ke liye ek option ban sakta hai.
Weaker Employment Data:
Recent employment data mein kami ne pareshaani barhayi hai. Agar job market kamzor hoti hai, toh RBA jaldi action le sakti hai.
Commodity Pressure:
Australia kaafi had tak iron ore aur coal commodities par munhasir hai. Lekin, China ki demand mein kami aur construction data ki weakness ki wajah se exports par bura asar ho raha hai. Yeh sab Australian Dollar ke liye challenging mahol paida karte hain.

U.S. Dollar ka Strength:
U.S. Dollar mazboot hai aur U.S. economy ke strong data ki wajah se support ho raha hai, jaise ke strong labor market aur GDP growth. Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance bhi USD ko support kar raha hai. Jab tak global risk sentiment ya U.S. economic indicators mein koi bara tabadla nahi hota, USD mazbooti barqarar rakh sakta hai.
Technical Analysis


Key Levels:
Support Level: AUD/USD pair abhi critical support 0.6205 par test kar rahi hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh agla target 0.6120 ho sakta hai.
Resistance Level: 0.6385 ek aham resistance hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh pair higher levels ki taraf rebound kar sakti hai.

Indicators:
Moving Averages: Bearish momentum ko suggest karte hain, jo downside risks ko reinforce karte hain.
RSI: Yeh dikhata hai ke pair oversold territory ki taraf ja rahi hai, jo rebound ka imkaan deti hai, lekin yeh confirm nahi ke yeh kab hoga.

Retracement levels 0.6320 par pivot point ke taur par kaam kar sakti hain, jo resistance ya support provide kar sakti hain.
Key Events to Watch
Commodity Prices: Iron ore aur coal ki prices mein development Australian Dollar ke liye crucial hain. Agar inki prices aur neeche jati hain, toh AUD par aur pressure aasakta hai.
Central Bank Updates: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke statements ya policy changes pair ko directly impact karenge. Traders Australia aur U.S. ke employment figures aur inflation reports par nazar rakhein.
Nateejah:


AUD/USD pair U.S. Dollar ki strength aur Australia ki economy ke challenges ke darmiyan phansi hui hai. Ahem levels hain 0.6205 (support) aur 0.6385 (resistance). Agar support break hoti hai, toh pair 0.6120 tak gir sakti hai, lekin agar support hold hoti hai, toh recovery ka imkaan hai. Aane wale dinon mein economic data, commodity prices, aur central bank decisions volatility barha sakte hain. Traders ko market shifts par hoshiyaar rehna chahiye jo naye opportunities paida kar sakti hain.

Australian dollar ne Monday ke trading session ke pehle hisse mein apna girawat ka silsila jari rakha, takreeban 80 basis points tak neeche gaya. Yeh girawat yeh baat wazeh karti hai ke currency abhi bhi kamzori ka shikar hai aur 0.62 level ke aas-paas consolidate kar rahi hai – jo filhal ek fair value area lag raha hai. Price action yeh darust karta hai ke market mazeed is range ke andar hi hilte-julte rehne ki umeed hai. Lekin yeh hairat ki baat nahi hogi agar Australian dollar akhirkar critical 0.60 level ko test kare.

Agar current levels se rally hoti bhi hai, toh 0.6350 area, jo 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) se mazboot ban chuka hai, ek strong resistance zone ya “ceiling” ke taur par kaam karega. Yeh technical barrier aur broader bearish trend, dono hi currency ke hawale se negative sentiment ko barqarar rakhte hain.
Wasee Tanazur


Australian dollar ki performance China ki economy ke saath qareebi taur par judi hui hai, kyun ke Australia ka exports ka zyada hissa China par mabni hai. Agar China ki economy mein kisi bhi qisam ki slow down ki alamat dekhi jaye, toh Australian dollar seedha asar leta hai aur mazeed kamzor ho jata hai. Haal hi mein global economic uncertainty aur commodities ki demand mein girawat ne currency ke struggles ko aur intensify kar diya hai.
Tijarti Strategy


Is mahaul mein, fading rally – yani jab currency recover karne ki koshish kare toh us waqt bechna – ek popular approach bani hui hai. Guzishta 24 ghanton ne dikhaya ke yeh strategy market ke dynamics ke saath kitni mutabiq hai, kyun ke rallies consistently resistance hit kar ke reverse hui hain.
Nateeja


Aussie dollar ke liye outlook bearish hi hai, aur downside risks abhi bhi qaim hain. 0.60 level mazeed likely target hai, jab ke koi bhi upside move significant resistance ka samna karega 0.6350 aur 50-day EMA ke aas-paas. Currency ke China ki economic health aur global market pressures ke saath judi hone ke sabab se, rally ko short karna filhal ke mahaul mein ek mohtat strategy lagti hai.

AUD/USD pair subha jab say market open hui hai tab say aik tight range main move kar raha hai jo consolidation phase ko show kar raha hai market ne up side aur down side dono taraf trend lines ke andar apni movement continue rakhte hue aik symmetrical pattern develop kia hai jo break out ka indication de sakta hai price iss waqt 50 ki EMA say thori si uper hai jo bulish momentum ko support kar rahi hai aur RSI bhi 50 level say thora sa uper hai jo strength ko dikhata hai aur ye batata hai ke buyers ka control market per barh raha hai lekin abhi tak price ne koi significant breakout nahi dia jo trend continuation ko confirm kar sake agar market up side trend line ko todti hai to bullish continuation ka signal mil sakta hai jo price ko next resistance levels tak le ja sakta hai jo ke 0.6600 aur 0.6635 ho sakte hain lekin agar market ne down side trend line ko tod dia to bearish correction ke chances barh sakte hain jo price ko 0.6520 aur uske nechy le ja sakta hai overall market ka sentiment bullish nazar aa raha hai lekin range breakout ka wait karna important hoga taake clear direction mil sake traders ke liye best approach ye ho sakti hai ke wo trend lines aur EMA levels ko closely monitor karen aur breakout confirmation ke sath trade setup plan karen agar volume ke sath breakout hota hai to upward move ka potential strong ho sakta hai lekin agar price range main hi rehti hai to sideways movement continue reh sakti hai fundamentals main RBA policy aur US dollar index ka bhi market par asar ho sakta hai jo agay chal kar pair ki direction ko determine kar sakta hai short term main buyers dominate kar rahe hain lekin market range say bahar nikalne ke baad hi strong move expected ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD Ka Tajziya – D1 Chart
Tajziya-e-Moajooda Soorat-e-Haal


Aaj ke AUD/USD ke D1 period chart per dekha jaye to, ek naya bullish wave pehle ke high ko tod chuka hai, jo ke downward trend ke structure ko disrupt kar raha hai. MACD indicator ab bhi neeche wali sales zone mein hai, magar signal line ke upar grow kar raha hai. Pehle, price descending channel mein gir rahi thi, lekin expected breakout ho chuka hai.
Chart Aur Indicators Ka Analysis

• January ke aghaz mein price ne upar jaane ki koshish ki thi, magar descending channel ka upper boundary ek mazboot rukawat sabit hui.
• Jab price neeche gir kar naye low tak pohonch gayi, MACD aur CCI indicators ne bullish divergence dikhai.
• Expected tha ke price correction kar ke 0.6184 level tak wapas aaye gi, aur yeh foran hi hua.
• Yeh level todne ke baad price ne ise support ke tor par istemal kiya aur dobara bullish momentum shuru hua.
• 0.6230 ka level bhi tod diya gaya, jo phir support ke tor per kaam kar raha hai.

Dollar Ki Kamzori Aur AUD Par Asar


US dollar market mein kamzor ho raha hai, magar future growth par shakk o shubhaat hain.

• CCI indicator overheating zone mein hai, jo possible downward correction ki nishani hai.
• Fibonacci retracement grid ke mutabiq 38.2% level tak growth expected hai, lekin usse pehle ek downward pullback ho sakta hai.

Fundamental Factors Jo AUD Par Asar Daalte Hain

• Aaj ka aik ahem economic data US New Home Sales ka hai, jo market movement ko mutasir kar sakta hai.
• Australian dollar China ki economic slowdown ki wajah se pressure mein hai, kyunki China Australia ka sab se bara trading partner hai.
• Australian exports, khas tor par iron ore, kamzor demand ka samna kar rahi hain.
• Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki conservative policy aur Federal Reserve ki hawkish stance AUD ke liye mazeed pressure ka sabab ban rahi hai.

Maali Policy Aur Market Kay Trends

• Investors RBA aur Fed ki policies ka taqqabli jaiza le rahe hain.
• US GDP aur inflation data Fed ke future decisions per asar daal sakti hain.
• Equity markets aur commodity prices bhi AUD/USD ke short-term trends ko shape karengi.

Aage Ka Rasta Aur Ahm Targets

• AUD/USD bearish trend mein hai, jahan 0.6580 aur 0.6500 key support levels hain.
• Agar yeh support levels tod diye gaye, to price 0.6129 aur 0.5980 tak gir sakti hai.
• Resistance level 0.6550 ek major rukawat hai, jise todna mushkil lag raha hai.
• Global risk sentiment aur geopolitical uncertainties bhi AUD ke against kaam kar rahi hain.

Nateeja:
Market sentiment abhi bhi bearish hai, aur downward risks barqarar hain. Traders ko ahem economic indicators aur risk sentiment par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki macroeconomic challenges AUD ke liye mushkilat paida kar sakte hain.

tak kamai karain. AUD/USD pair subha jab say market open hui hai tab say aik tight range main move kar raha hai jo consolidation phase ko show kar raha hai market ne up side aur down side dono taraf trend lines ke andar apni movement continue rakhte hue aik symmetrical pattern develop kia hai jo break out ka indication de sakta hai price iss waqt 50 ki EMA say thori si uper hai jo bulish momentum ko support kar rahi hai aur RSI bhi 50 level say thora sa uper hai jo strength ko dikhata hai aur ye batata hai ke buyers ka control market per barh raha hai lekin abhi tak price ne koi significant breakout nahi dia jo trend continuation ko confirm kar sake agar market up side trend line ko todti hai to bullish continuation ka signal mil sakta hai jo price ko next resistance levels tak le ja sakta hai jo ke 0.6600 aur 0.6635 ho sakte hain lekin agar market ne down side trend line ko tod dia to bearish correction ke chances barh sakte hain jo price ko 0.6520 aur uske nechy le ja sakta hai overall market ka sentiment bullish nazar aa raha hai lekin range breakout ka wait karna important hoga taake clear direction mil sake traders ke liye best approach ye ho sakti hai ke wo trend lines aur EMA levels ko closely monitor karen aur breakout confirmation ke sath trade setup plan karen agar volume ke sath breakout hota hai to upward move ka potential strong ho sakta hai lekin agar price range main hi rehti hai to sideways movement continue reh sakti hai fundamentals main RBA policy aur US dollar index ka bhi market par asar ho sakta hai jo agay chal kar pair ki direction ko determine kar sakta hai short term main buyers dominate kar rahe hain lekin market range say bahar nikalne ke baad hi strong move expected ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD ka outlook:
AUD/USD pair ek mushkil mahol ka samna kar rahi hai jo ke Australia ki economic uncertainty, commodities ke pressure, aur mazboot U.S. Dollar ki wajah se hai. Neeche tafseel se un forces ka zikar hai jo is waqt market ko drive kar rahi hain aur traders ko aane wale waqt mein kin cheezon par tawajju deni chahiye.
Fundamental Analysis


Australia ki Economy:
Australia ki economy par zyada focus hai, jab traders yeh sochte hain ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) se rate cut ka imkaan ho sakta hai. Kuch aham factors jo is outlook ko mutasir kar rahe hain:
Cooling Inflation:
Australia mein inflation kam hoti nazar aa rahi hai, jo RBA ko zyada flexibility deti hai. Agar yeh trend barqarar raha, toh interest rates ko neeche lana economic activity ko support karne ke liye ek option ban sakta hai.
Weaker Employment Data:
Recent employment data mein kami ne pareshaani barhayi hai. Agar job market kamzor hoti hai, toh RBA jaldi action le sakti hai.
Commodity Pressure:
Australia kaafi had tak iron ore aur coal commodities par munhasir hai. Lekin, China ki demand mein kami aur construction data ki weakness ki wajah se exports par bura asar ho raha hai. Yeh sab Australian Dollar ke liye challenging mahol paida karte hain.

U.S. Dollar ka Strength:
U.S. Dollar mazboot hai aur U.S. economy ke strong data ki wajah se support ho raha hai, jaise ke strong labor market aur GDP growth. Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance bhi USD ko support kar raha hai. Jab tak global risk sentiment ya U.S. economic indicators mein koi bara tabadla nahi hota, USD mazbooti barqarar rakh sakta hai.
Technical Analysis


Key Levels:
Support Level: AUD/USD pair abhi critical support 0.6205 par test kar rahi hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh agla target 0.6120 ho sakta hai.
Resistance Level: 0.6385 ek aham resistance hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh pair higher levels ki taraf rebound kar sakti hai.

Indicators:
Moving Averages: Bearish momentum ko suggest karte hain, jo downside risks ko reinforce karte hain.
RSI: Yeh dikhata hai ke pair oversold territory ki taraf ja rahi hai, jo rebound ka imkaan deti hai, lekin yeh confirm nahi ke yeh kab hoga.

Retracement levels 0.6320 par pivot point ke taur par kaam kar sakti hain, jo resistance ya support provide kar sakti hain.
Key Events to Watch
Commodity Prices: Iron ore aur coal ki prices mein development Australian Dollar ke liye crucial hain. Agar inki prices aur neeche jati hain, toh AUD par aur pressure aasakta hai.
Central Bank Updates: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke statements ya policy changes pair ko directly impact karenge. Traders Australia aur U.S. ke employment figures aur inflation reports par nazar rakhein.
Nateejah:


AUD/USD pair U.S. Dollar ki strength aur Australia ki economy ke challenges ke darmiyan phansi hui hai. Ahem levels hain 0.6205 (support) aur 0.6385 (resistance). Agar support break hoti hai, toh pair 0.6120 tak gir sakti hai, lekin agar support hold hoti hai, toh recovery ka imkaan hai. Aane wale dinon mein economic data, commodity prices, aur central bank decisions volatility barha sakte hain. Traders ko market shifts par hoshiyaar rehna chahiye jo naye opportunities paida kar sakti hain.

AUD/USD Ka Nazaria: Maujooda Challenges aur Market Drivers

AUD/USD currency pair is waqt aik challenging environment ka samna kar raha hai jo Australia mein economic uncertainties, commodities par pressure, aur strong U.S. dollar se mutasir ho raha hai. Neeche hum market par asar daalne wale buniyadi factors ka jaiza lete hain aur aane wale doran traders ko kis cheez par tawajjo deni chahiye, is ka outline dete hain.

Buniyadi Jaiza

Australia ki Ma'ashi Manzar-e-Qabool
Australian economy is waqt significant scrutiny ka shikaar hai kyunke traders Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki taraf se interest rate cut ki mumkinat par ghoor kar rahe hain. Is nazar mein kuch key factors hain jo is outlook ko asar daal rahe hain:

Kam Hoti Hui Mehngai: Australia mein mehngai ki kami dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo RBA ko apni monetary policy mein zyada flexibility de sakti hai. Agar ye trend jaari raha, to interest rates ko kam karna ek option ban sakta hai taake ma'ashi fa'aal ko support diya ja sake. Kam interest rate ka environment aam tor par udhaar lena aur kharch karna barhata hai, jo growth ko stimulate kar sakta hai.

Kamzor Rozgaar Data: Haal ke rozgaar ke ahwal kamzori ka shikaar hain, jo rozgaar ki bazaar ki sehat ke bare mein concerns ko barhata hai. Rozgaar mein kami RBA ko jaldi action lene par majboor kar sakti hai taake ma'ash ko behtar banaya ja sake, jo ke shayad rate cut ki taraf le jaye. Traders ko rozgaar ke reports par nazar rakhni chahiye kyunke ye market sentiment par significant asar daal sakti hain.

Commodities par Pressure: Australia apne commodity exports, khaaskar iron ore aur coal par bohot zyada inhesar karta hai. Lekin, China se demand mein kami ke saath-saath kamzor construction data ne export performance ko negatively asar daala hai. Ye surat-e-haal Australian dollar ke liye challenging hai, kyunki kam commodity prices aam tor par currency ki kami ka sabab bante hain.

U.S. Dollar ki Taqat
U.S. dollar is waqt taqatwar hai, jo ke United States se aane wale mazboot ma'ashi data, jisme strong labor market aur healthy GDP growth shamil hain, ki wajah se hai. Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance on interest rates bhi dollar ko mazid taqat de raha hai. Taqatwar dollar aam tor par dosri currencies, jese ke AUD, par neeche ki taraf pressure dalta hai.

Traders ke Liye Key Takeaways

• RBA Policy Faislay par Nazr Rakhein: Traders ko RBA ki taraf se interest rate mein tabdeelion ke kisi bhi ishare par nazar rakhni chahiye, khaaskar mehngai aur rozgaar data ke jawab mein.
• Commodity Prices par Nazr Rakhein: Australia ki economy apne commodity exports se bohot zyada judi hui hai, isliye commodity prices—khaaskar iron ore aur coal—mein fluctuations ko dekhna zaroori hai.
• U.S. Ma'ashi Indicators ka Jaiza Lein: U.S. economy ki strong performance ki wajah se, traders ko aane wale ma'ashi reports se waqif rehna chahiye, khaaskar rozgaar aur mehngai se mutaliq reports, kyunki ye U.S. dollar ki taqat par asar daal sakti hain.
• Volatility ke Liye Tayaar Rahein: Maujooda ma'ashi manzar-e-qabool bohot dynamic hai, aur traders ko tayar rehna chahiye potential volatility ke liye AUD/USD pair mein jab naye data samne aaye.

Akhir mein, AUD/USD pair ka nazaria complex hai, jo ke Australia ke domestic factors aur global ma'ashi trends se tayyar hua hai. Traders ko vigilant aur adaptable rehna chahiye tabdeel hoti hui market conditions ke liye.

AUD/USD pair is waqt lagbhag 0.6220 par trade kar raha hai Thursday ke din, aur yeh daily chart par descending channel ke upar break karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar yeh break successful hoti hai, toh yeh bearish bias ko kamzor kar sakti hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) dheere dheere 50 level ki taraf barh raha hai, jo yeh signal de raha hai ke market mein recovery ka process shuru ho sakta hai.
Is waqt AUD/USD pair ka pehla resistance descending channel ki upper boundary ke paas hai, jo lagbhag 0.6220 ke aas-paas mojood hai. Yeh resistance level kaafi important hai, kyunki agar price is level ke upar breakout karta hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur market mein upward movement ka signal de sakta hai. Traders ka focus is baat par hoga ke price kya iss level ke upar sustain kar sakta hai ya nahi.

Support levels ki baat ki jaye toh, AUD/USD pair pehla support 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas test kar sakta hai, jo abhi lagbhag 0.6214 par hai. Iske baad dusra support 9-day EMA ke paas hai, jo takreeban 0.6206 ke level par hai. Yeh short-term EMAs support ke lihaaz se kaafi aham hai, kyunki trending markets mein yeh dynamic support ka kaam karte hain.

Agar yeh support levels hold nahi karte, toh price descending channel ki lower boundary ki taraf gir sakta hai, jo takreeban 0.5920 ke kareeb hai. Yeh level kaafi significant hai, aur agar price iske neeche girta hai toh bearish trend mazboot ho sakta hai. Yeh pair abhi ek critical stage par hai, aur inhi levels par focus karte hue price action ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai

AUD/USD pair is waqt lagbhag 0.6220 par trade kar raha hai Thursday ke din, aur yeh daily chart par descending channel ke upar break karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar yeh break successful hoti hai, toh yeh bearish bias ko kamzor kar sakti hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) dheere dheere 50 level ki taraf barh raha hai, jo yeh signal de raha hai ke market mein recovery ka process shuru ho sakta hai.
Is waqt AUD/USD pair ka pehla resistance descending channel ki upper boundary ke paas hai, jo lagbhag 0.6220 ke aas-paas mojood hai. Yeh resistance level kaafi important hai, kyunki agar price is level ke upar breakout karta hai, toh yeh bullish momentum ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur market mein upward movement ka signal de sakta hai. Traders ka focus is baat par hoga ke price kya iss level ke upar sustain kar sakta hai ya nahi.

Support levels ki baat ki jaye toh, AUD/USD pair pehla support 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas-paas test kar sakta hai, jo abhi lagbhag 0.6214 par hai. Iske baad dusra support 9-day EMA ke paas hai, jo takreeban 0.6206 ke level par hai. Yeh short-term EMAs support ke lihaaz se kaafi aham hai, kyunki trending markets mein yeh dynamic support ka kaam karte hain.

Agar yeh support levels hold nahi karte, toh price descending channel ki lower boundary ki taraf gir sakta hai, jo takreeban 0.5920 ke kareeb hai. Yeh level kaafi significant hai, aur agar price iske neeche girta hai toh bearish trend mazboot ho sakta hai. Yeh pair abhi ek critical stage par hai, aur inhi levels par focus karte hue price action ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai

جنوری 28 2025 کو اے یو ڈی/امریکی ڈالر کے لیے پیشن گوئی

آسٹریلوی ڈالر نے جمعہ کے جھوٹے بریک آؤٹ کے بعد انڈیکیٹر لائن کے اوپر ایک ٹھوس الٹ کامیابی سے مکمل کر لیا ہے۔ فی الحال، قیمت 0.6273 سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے آ گئی ہے۔



مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن تیزی سے نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے کی طرف بڑھ رہی ہے۔ یہ 0.5943 پر قیمت کے لیے ممکنہ ہدف کی تجویز کرتا ہے، جس میں 0.6133 کی سطح (جنوری کی کم) ایک درمیانی معاونت کے طور پر کام کر رہی ہے۔



اگر موجودہ کینڈل سٹک 0.6267 سے نیچے بند ہو جاتی ہے، تو یہ 0.6273 سپورٹ لیول اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے نیچے کنسولیڈیشن کی تصدیق کرے گی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر مندی والے علاقے میں مزید گہرائی میں جا رہا ہے۔


تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

AUD/USD currency pair kaafi arsay se sustained downtrend mein hai.
Wednesday ko yeh pair ek crucial long-term support trend line tod chuka hai, jo October 2022 se barqarar thi.
Iss breakdown ke baad price 0.6308, jo 14-mahinay ka low hai, tak gir gaya.
Weekly Chart Analysis:
Price ab 0.6190 ke horizontal support level par hai, jo 2022 ka minimum aur ek strong support zone hai.
Yeh area buying opportunities ke liye promising lagta hai.
Support Aur Resistance Levels (Madad Aur Muzahmat Ki Huddain)
Price ne sirf 2023 ke minimums nahi tod diye, balki 2024 ke current lows ko bhi cross kar liya hai.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI):
Lower overheating zone mein hai, jo corrective rollback ki ihtimalat ko dikhata hai.
Resistance Level:
0.6346:
Yeh ek noteworthy level hai, aur price yahan short-term growth ke liye wapas ja sakti hai.
Shorter Timeframes Aur Market Dynamics (Choti Timeframes Aur Market Ki Halat)
Choti timeframes par growth formations ko observe karna zaroori hai.
Jahan price mirror level declines ke kareeb pohanchti hai, upward movement logical lagti hai.
Agar strong support levels breach ho jayein, to a continuous decline mushkil hai;
Typical Rebound:
Breakdown ke baad aksar ek rebound hota hai.
Iss buying zone ne mujhe upward movement ke anticipation mein ek personal position lene par motivate kiya hai, jo promising lag rahi hai.
Selling:
Mojooda scenario mein selling karna kafi risky hai.
US Dollar Ki Strength Aur Market Corrections
US dollar ki recent strength ke baad, market ab ek correction phase mein hai.
Kuch areas mein corrections ho chuki hain, aur yahan bhi correction ka intezar hai.
End-of-Year Dynamics:
Saal ke akhri dino mein traders aksar bade short positions close karte hain aur profit book karte hain.
Yeh cheez upward rollback ke imkan ko barhati hai.
Potential Risks (Imkani Khatraat)
Agar 0.6200 ka crucial support level tod diya jaye, to price mazeed gir kar:
0.6100 (circular barrier) tak jasakta hai, ya
0.5980 tak gir sakta hai (jo April 2020 ka low hai).
Indicators:
RSI aur Stochastics: Selling pressure ab overdone lagta hai, magar reversal ke liye koi strong signal abhi nahi mila.
Conclusion (Nateeja)


Traders ko aglay hafte ke liye cautious optimism ke sath tayar rehna chahiye.
Key Levels Par Nazar Rakhein:
Support aur resistance levels par focus karein.
Market Dynamics:
Mojooda halat buying opportunities dikhati hai, lekin further declin

AUD/USD Ka Nazaria: Maujooda Challenges aur Market Drivers

AUD/USD currency pair is waqt aik challenging environment ka samna kar raha hai jo Australia mein economic uncertainties, commodities par pressure, aur strong U.S. dollar se mutasir ho raha hai. Neeche hum market par asar daalne wale buniyadi factors ka jaiza lete hain aur aane wale doran traders ko kis cheez par tawajjo deni chahiye, is ka outline dete hain.

Buniyadi Jaiza

Australia ki Ma'ashi Manzar-e-Qabool
Australian economy is waqt significant scrutiny ka shikaar hai kyunke traders Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki taraf se interest rate cut ki mumkinat par ghoor kar rahe hain. Is nazar mein kuch key factors hain jo is outlook ko asar daal rahe hain:

Kam Hoti Hui Mehngai: Australia mein mehngai ki kami dekhne ko mil rahi hai, jo RBA ko apni monetary policy mein zyada flexibility de sakti hai. Agar ye trend jaari raha, to interest rates ko kam karna ek option ban sakta hai taake ma'ashi fa'aal ko support diya ja sake. Kam interest rate ka environment aam tor par udhaar lena aur kharch karna barhata hai, jo growth ko stimulate kar sakta hai.

Kamzor Rozgaar Data: Haal ke rozgaar ke ahwal kamzori ka shikaar hain, jo rozgaar ki bazaar ki sehat ke bare mein concerns ko barhata hai. Rozgaar mein kami RBA ko jaldi action lene par majboor kar sakti hai taake ma'ash ko behtar banaya ja sake, jo ke shayad rate cut ki taraf le jaye. Traders ko rozgaar ke reports par nazar rakhni chahiye kyunke ye market sentiment par significant asar daal sakti hain.

Commodities par Pressure: Australia apne commodity exports, khaaskar iron ore aur coal par bohot zyada inhesar karta hai. Lekin, China se demand mein kami ke saath-saath kamzor construction data ne export performance ko negatively asar daala hai. Ye surat-e-haal Australian dollar ke liye challenging hai, kyunki kam commodity prices aam tor par currency ki kami ka sabab bante hain.

U.S. Dollar ki Taqat
U.S. dollar is waqt taqatwar hai, jo ke United States se aane wale mazboot ma'ashi data, jisme strong labor market aur healthy GDP growth shamil hain, ki wajah se hai. Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance on interest rates bhi dollar ko mazid taqat de raha hai. Taqatwar dollar aam tor par dosri currencies, jese ke AUD, par neeche ki taraf pressure dalta hai.

Traders ke Liye Key Takeaways
RBA Policy Faislay par Nazr Rakhein: Traders ko RBA ki taraf se interest rate mein tabdeelion ke kisi bhi ishare par nazar rakhni chahiye, khaaskar mehngai aur rozgaar data ke jawab mein.
Commodity Prices par Nazr Rakhein: Australia ki economy apne commodity exports se bohot zyada judi hui hai, isliye commodity prices—khaaskar iron ore aur coal—mein fluctuations ko dekhna zaroori hai.
U.S. Ma'ashi Indicators ka Jaiza Lein: U.S. economy ki strong performance ki wajah se, traders ko aane wale ma'ashi reports se waqif rehna chahiye, khaaskar rozgaar aur mehngai se mutaliq reports, kyunki ye U.S. dollar ki taqat par asar daal sakti hain.
Volatility ke Liye Tayaar Rahein: Maujooda ma'ashi manzar-e-qabool bohot dynamic hai, aur traders ko tayar rehna chahiye potential volatility ke liye AUD/USD pair mein jab naye data samne aaye.

Akhir mein, AUD/USD pair ka nazaria complex hai, jo ke Australia ke domestic factors aur global ma'ashi trends se tayyar hua hai. Traders ko vigilant aur adaptable rehna chahiye tabdeel hoti hui market conditions ke liye.

AUDUSD Ka Tajzia – Market Ke Halat Aur Trading Setup

Australian Dollar Ki Girti Hui Qeemat


Australia ke inflation data (CPI) ke nai reports ke mutabiq, jo pichle dafa se kam the, AUDUSD pair ki qeemat neeche gir gayi. Yeh is wajah se hua kyunki Australian Dollar ki value kamzor hui. Pehle, AUDUSD ek bullish rally mein tha aur 0.6333 tak pohanch gaya, magar psychological level 0.6300 ke upar tik nahin saka.

Iske ilawa, qeemat neeche girte waqt do Moving Averages ko tod chuki hai jo pehle cross ho chuki thi, aur yeh golden cross signal bana raha hai. Is wajah se bullish trend kamzor hota nazar aa raha hai aur market bearish ho sakta hai. Yeh tabhi change hoga agar price dobara upward rally kare aur EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan distance bara day.



Fibonacci Retracement Ka Tajzia


Technically dekha jaye toh yeh downward movement sirf ek correction phase ho sakti hai. Agar price FR 50 (0.6233) se lekar FR 61.8 (0.6209) tak retracement complete kar leti hai, toh bohot zyada chances hain ke price phir se upar jaye. Magar iske liye sabse pehle FR 38.2 (0.6257) ke upar stabil rehna zaroori hai.

Agar price psychological level 0.6200 se neeche chali jaye aur FR 78.6 (0.6176) tak pohanch jaye, toh bullish trend maintain karna mushkil ho jayega.
Indicators Ka Analysis

• Awesome Oscillator (AO): Yeh dikhata hai ke price increase ka koi support nahin hai. Volume histogram neeche negative area mein hai aur red hai, jo downtrend momentum ko support kar raha hai.
• Stochastic Indicator: Yeh oversold zone (level 20 - 10) mein cross ho chuka hai, jo yeh signal deta hai ke selling saturation apni limit par pohanch chuki hai. Is wajah se price ke dobara rally karne ke chances hain.

Entry Setup Aur Trading Strategy

• BUY Entry: FR 50 (0.6233) se FR 61.8 (0.6209) ke darmiyan.
• Take Profit Target: FR 23.6 (0.6286).
• Stop Loss: FR 78.6 (0.6176).

Agar Stochastic indicator oversold zone mein hai aur AO indicator ka volume histogram level 0 ke qareeb green ho jaye, toh yeh confirmation hogi ke downtrend momentum kamzor ho raha hai.

Agar aapko market entry lene mein hesitation ho, toh behtar hai ke sirf observe karein aur zabardasti trade na karein.

AUD/USD currency pair kaafi arsay se sustained downtrend mein hai.
Wednesday ko yeh pair ek crucial long-term support trend line tod chuka hai, jo October 2022 se barqarar thi.
Iss breakdown ke baad price 0.6308, jo 14-mahinay ka low hai, tak gir gaya.
Weekly Chart Analysis:
Price ab 0.6190 ke horizontal support level par hai, jo 2022 ka minimum aur ek strong support zone hai.
Yeh area buying opportunities ke liye promising lagta hai.
Support Aur Resistance Levels (Madad Aur Muzahmat Ki Huddain)
Price ne sirf 2023 ke minimums nahi tod diye, balki 2024 ke current lows ko bhi cross kar liya hai.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI):
Lower overheating zone mein hai, jo corrective rollback ki ihtimalat ko dikhata hai.
Resistance Level:
0.6346:
Yeh ek noteworthy level hai, aur price yahan short-term growth ke liye wapas ja sakti hai.
Shorter Timeframes Aur Market Dynamics (Choti Timeframes Aur Market Ki Halat)
Choti timeframes par growth formations ko observe karna zaroori hai.
Jahan price mirror level declines ke kareeb pohanchti hai, upward movement logical lagti hai.
Agar strong support levels breach ho jayein, to a continuous decline mushkil hai;
Typical Rebound:
Breakdown ke baad aksar ek rebound hota hai.
Iss buying zone ne mujhe upward movement ke anticipation mein ek personal position lene par motivate kiya hai, jo promising lag rahi hai.
Selling:
Mojooda scenario mein selling karna kafi risky hai.
US Dollar Ki Strength Aur Market Corrections
US dollar ki recent strength ke baad, market ab ek correction phase mein hai.
Kuch areas mein corrections ho chuki hain, aur yahan bhi correction ka intezar hai.
End-of-Year Dynamics:
Saal ke akhri dino mein traders aksar bade short positions close karte hain aur profit book karte hain.
Yeh cheez upward rollback ke imkan ko barhati hai.
Potential Risks (Imkani Khatraat)
Agar 0.6200 ka crucial support level tod diya jaye, to price mazeed gir kar:
0.6100 (circular barrier) tak jasakta hai, ya
0.5980 tak gir sakta hai (jo April 2020 ka low hai).
Indicators:
RSI aur Stochastics: Selling pressure ab overdone lagta hai, magar reversal ke liye koi strong signal abhi nahi mila.
Conclusion (Nateeja)


Traders ko aglay hafte ke liye cautious optimism ke sath tayar rehna chahiye.
Key Levels Par Nazar Rakhein:
Support aur resistance levels par focus karein.
Market Dynamics:
Mojooda halat buying opportunities dikhati hai, lekin further declin

ustralian dollar ne Monday ke trading session ke pehle hisse mein apna girawat ka silsila jari rakha, takreeban 80 basis points tak neeche gaya. Yeh girawat yeh baat wazeh karti hai ke currency abhi bhi kamzori ka shikar hai aur 0.62 level ke aas-paas consolidate kar rahi hai – jo filhal ek fair value area lag raha hai. Price action yeh darust karta hai ke market mazeed is range ke andar hi hilte-julte rehne ki umeed hai. Lekin yeh hairat ki baat nahi hogi agar Australian dollar akhirkar critical 0.60 level ko test kare.
Agar current levels se rally hoti bhi hai, toh 0.6350 area, jo 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) se mazboot ban chuka hai, ek strong resistance zone ya “ceiling” ke taur par kaam karega. Yeh technical barrier aur broader bearish trend, dono hi currency ke hawale se negative sentiment ko barqarar rakhte hain.
Wasee Tanazur


Australian dollar ki performance China ki economy ke saath qareebi taur par judi hui hai, kyun ke Australia ka exports ka zyada hissa China par mabni hai. Agar China ki economy mein kisi bhi qisam ki slow down ki alamat dekhi jaye, toh Australian dollar seedha asar leta hai aur mazeed kamzor ho jata hai. Haal hi mein global economic uncertainty aur commodities ki demand mein girawat ne currency ke struggles ko aur intensify kar diya hai.
Tijarti Strategy


Is mahaul mein, fading rally – yani jab currency recover karne ki koshish kare toh us waqt bechna – ek popular approach bani hui hai. Guzishta 24 ghanton ne dikhaya ke yeh strategy market ke dynamics ke saath kitni mutabiq hai, kyun ke rallies consistently resistance hit kar ke reverse hui hain.
Nateeja


Aussie dollar ke liye outlook bearish hi hai, aur downside risks abhi bhi qaim hain. 0.60 level mazeed likely target hai, jab ke koi bhi upside move significant resistance ka samna karega 0.6350 aur 50-day EMA ke aas-paas. Currency ke China ki economic health aur global market pressures ke saath judi hone ke sabab se, rally ko short karna filhal ke mahaul mein ek mohtat s