ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh

********AUD/USD Price Action******

Is waqt hum AUD/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. AUD/USD pair mein ek wazeh downtrend hai, jo 0.6944 ke support level se shuru hua. Maine bechne ke liye kuch signals shanakht kiye hain, jo main istemal karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Filhal, envelopes aur alligator lines dono neeche ki taraf point kar rahe hain, jo bearish outlook ko confirm karte hain. Umeed hai ke price girawat 0.6624 ke platform level se guzregi. Yahan par buyers ke stop-loss orders ki khaas liquidity maujood hai, jo long positions mein hain aur apne risks ko manage kar rahe hain. Ye ghalat signals is wajah se hain ke price aksar ek range mein move kar raha hai.

Pichla break 0.67249 ke support ka Tuesday ko hua, jisme ek confirmed breakout ke baad rebound dekha gaya. Agla sales target ab 0.66607 ke support level par hai.

Hourly chart par, price ek descending channel mein trend kar raha hai. Halankeh pair gir raha hai, lekin ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohancha. Yeh neeche ki taraf chalna jaari rakhni chahiye jab tak yeh lower boundary par nahi aata, jo ke lagbhag 0.6688 level par hai. Is point tak pahunchne ke baad, ek reversal ho sakta hai, jo price ko channel ki upper boundary ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo shayad 0.6721 ke aas-paas ho.

Total paanch signals the—teen ghalat the, jabke do sahi the. In mein se ek signal Tuesday ko kaam kiya, lekin Wednesday ko ek ghalat signal aaya. Thursday ko teen aur signals aaye, jisme se do bhi ghalat the. Friday ko ek signal kaam kiya, aur Monday girawat ke sath shuru hua, jo 0.67249 ke support level ko todne ki taraf le gaya. Is dauran ek ghalat sell signal aur ek ghalat buy signal dekhe gaye. Tuesday ko phir se ek ghalat buy signal aaya.AUD/USD Price Action
Is waqt hum AUD/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. AUD/USD pair mein ek wazeh downtrend hai, jo 0.6944 ke support level se shuru hua. Maine bechne ke liye kuch signals shanakht kiye hain, jo main istemal karne ka plan bana raha hoon. Filhal, envelopes aur alligator lines dono neeche ki taraf point kar rahe hain, jo bearish outlook ko confirm karte hain. Umeed hai ke price girawat 0.6624 ke platform level se guzregi. Yahan par buyers ke stop-loss orders ki khaas liquidity maujood hai, jo long positions mein hain aur apne risks ko manage kar rahe hain. Ye ghalat signals is wajah se hain ke price aksar ek range mein move kar raha hai.

Pichla break 0.67249 ke support ka Tuesday ko hua, jisme ek confirmed breakout ke baad rebound dekha gaya. Agla sales target ab 0.66607 ke support level par hai.

Hourly chart par, price ek descending channel mein trend kar raha hai. Halankeh pair gir raha hai, lekin ab tak lower boundary tak nahi pohancha. Yeh neeche ki taraf chalna jaari rakhni chahiye jab tak yeh lower boundary par nahi aata, jo ke lagbhag 0.6688 level par hai. Is point tak pahunchne ke baad, ek reversal ho sakta hai, jo price ko channel ki upper boundary ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo shayad 0.6721 ke aas-paas ho.

Total paanch signals the—teen ghalat the, jabke do sahi the. In mein se ek signal Tuesday ko kaam kiya, lekin Wednesday ko ek ghalat signal aaya. Thursday ko teen aur signals aaye, jisme se do bhi ghalat the. Friday ko ek signal kaam kiya, aur Monday girawat ke sath shuru hua, jo 0.67249 ke support level ko todne ki taraf le gaya. Is dauran ek ghalat sell signal aur ek ghalat buy signal dekhe gaye. Tuesday ko phir se ek ghalat buy signal ha.

AUD/USD ka yeh daily chart humein currency pair ki downtrend ko clear show kar raha hai. Recent weeks mein AUD/USD mein kafi bearish movement dekhne ko mili hai, jo keh strong selling pressure ka indication hai. Chart par parabolic SAR (green dots) aur moving averages (yellow aur white lines) ka combination humein ye signal de raha hai ke yeh pair currently downward momentum mein hai. Sab se pehle parabolic SAR ko dekhein, jo ke price candles ke upar show ho raha hai. Yeh usually bearish signal hota hai aur indicate karta hai ke price mein abhi downward trend chal raha hai. Iske ilawa, yellow aur white moving averages bhi downwards ja rahe hain, jo ke long-term trend ke bearish hone ka signal dete hain. Moving averages ka crossover bhi yehi batata hai ke recent times mein downtrend aur ziada confirm hua hai. Is chart ke niche RSI (Relative Strength Index) bhi diya gaya hai jo ke ab oversold zone mein enter ho chuka hai. RSI ka level 30 ke qareeb hai, jo ke oversold condition ko indicate karta hai. Iska matlab ye hai ke AUD/USD abhi kafi low levels par trade ho raha hai aur shayad kuch time baad buying interest wapas aa sakta hai, lekin ye zaroori nahi ke ye trend turant reverse hoga. Oversold zone ka ye bhi matlab ho sakta hai ke market mein abhi aur bhi selling pressure hai, aur price niche ja sakti hai. Agar hum is chart ko dekhein to agle kuch dino mein AUD/USD mein thoda bounce ya consolidation ka chance hai, lekin long-term trend tab tak bearish hi rahega jab tak parabolic SAR aur moving averages ka direction change nahi hota. Jo traders trend ke sath trade karte hain, unke liye abhi bhi selling ke mauqe hain, lekin jo conservative hain wo confirmation ka wait kar sakte hain. Akhir mein, AUD/USD ke traders ko ye bhi dekhna chahiye ke economic data ya central bank policies mein koi major change to nahi ho raha jo is trend ko affect kar sake. Is waqt ke liye, yeh chart clearly bearish setup ko show kar raha hai.

Audusd ka major trend bearish hai, aur lower time frame charts, khaaskar H1 aur H4 time frames par, price overall decline ho rahi hai. Maine dekha ke daily time frame chart par price ek ascending channel mein move kar rahi thi jab trend bullish tha. Us waqt price mein significant increase aayi, jo yeh batati hai ke buyers ke paas command thi. Lekin jab GBP/USD ne kuch din pehle ascending channel ka bottom level break kiya aur moving average lines ke neeche cross kiya, toh buyers apni strength kho baithe. Yeh price ne apni recent bullish swing mein top level ko challenge kiya tha aur bearish movement shuru ki. Ab AUD/USD ke aglay targets 0.6471 aur 0.6350 hain kyunke last Friday ko price ne 0.6623 support level ko bhi tor diya, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke bears zyada taqatwar hain aur price ab 0.6623 ke neeche hai. Panch haftay pehle, AUD/USD ne weekly time frame chart par 0.6874 ke resistance level ko breach kiya tha. Us waqt primary trend bullish tha, isi liye mujhe price growth ki umeed thi, lekin jab resistance level break hua toh purchasers trap ho gaye. Chaar haftay pehle AUD/USD ne apna trend direction bullish se bearish mein tabdeel kar diya jab bearish movement shuru hui. Haal mein, pichlay hafte AUD/USD ne 50 EMA line ko bhi downside mein cross kiya. RSI indicator ka current rating 44 hai, jo dikhata hai ke bears zyada momentum ke saath price ko neeche le jane par majboor hain. AUD/USD ab shayad 0.6409 ka support level challenge karega jo current price se agla support level hai.Filhal, daily chart ke mutabiq AUD/USD strength dikhata hai. H1 chart par AUD/USD ne 0.6535 tak strengthen kiya aur ek strong bearish candle form ki. Is waqt, agar AUD/USD H1 chart par 0.6495 ke support ko tor deta hai toh yeh 0.6555 ya 0.6535 tak gir sakta hai. Yeh 0.6650 ke resistance level ko break karne par aur strengthen bhi ho sakta hai. Filhal, H1 chart par CCI indicator strong sell signal de raha hai. Is liye, AUD/USD ko sell karna zyada behtar hai banisbat usay hold karne ke. Daily chart ke mutabiq AUD/USD ki price clearly decline mode mein hai kyunke yeh 50 SMA se reject hui hai, jo isay aur neeche push kar rahi hai, aur 65 SMA ab bhi 0.6520 par trade kar rahi hai. Agar aaj yeh 10 SMA ko bhi break karti hai toh AUD price mein mazeed girawat ka imkan hai. Isi liye, hum ne aaj is property ko sell karne ka faisla kiya hai.

Australian Dollar ki Qeemat Mein Girawat
Is haftay ke doran Australian dollar ki qeemat ghir gayi, jo ke Reserve Bank of New Zealand ke rate cut ke asar mein aaya. Ye faisla New Zealand dollar ko bhi neeche le aaya. Jabke Australian aur New Zealand ki currencies aksar milke chalti hain, is rishte ki taraqqi ko dekhna zaroori hai. Halankeh overall decline ke bawajood, market ne kuch resilience dikhai hai, aur Australian dollar ne thoda sa bounce kiya hai. Jabke weekly candlestick negative hai, ye koi khatarnaak halat nahi lagta. Traders ko lagta hai ke market mein kuch jaan daalna chahte hain, kam az kam abhi ke liye.

Agar Australian dollar 0.6850 ki level ko tor leta hai, to ye 0.6950 ki taraf potential move ke liye raah khol sakta hai, jo ke pichle hafton mein ek resistance point bana raha hai. Agar currency is line ko torne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to humein upar ki taraf aur pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar ye 0.6650 se neeche girta hai, to ye mazeed declines ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo Australian dollar ko 0.6450 ki level tak le ja sakta hai.

Jaise ke hamesha hota hai, commodity prices Australian dollar par bohot asar daalti hain. Copper, gold, aur iron jaise commodities ki qeematein barh rahi hain, aur ye Aussie growth par mazeed pressure dal sakti hain, chahe local factors jaise interest rates kuch bhi hon. Agar ye commodity markets barhte rahe, to Australian dollar bhi in external factors ke asar mein upar ki taraf ja sakta hai, local economic conditions se alag.

Aakhir mein, Australian dollar ka rukh is baat par depend karega ke broader commodity markets kaisay perform karte hain, sath hi closely related currencies jaise New Zealand Dollar ke potential moves par bhi. Traders ko key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake ye samajh sakein ke currency mazeed recovery ke liye tayar hai ya phir kisi decline ka samna karne wali hai. Is waqt market ki halat aur commodity prices ka jaiza lena bohot zaroori hai, taake behtar trading decisions liye ja sakein.Australian Dollar ki Qeemat Mein Girawat
Is haftay ke doran Australian dollar ki qeemat ghir gayi, jo ke Reserve Bank of New Zealand ke rate cut ke asar mein aaya. Ye faisla New Zealand dollar ko bhi neeche le aaya. Jabke Australian aur New Zealand ki currencies aksar milke chalti hain, is rishte ki taraqqi ko dekhna zaroori hai. Halankeh overall decline ke bawajood, market ne kuch resilience dikhai hai, aur Australian dollar ne thoda sa bounce kiya hai. Jabke weekly candlestick negative hai, ye koi khatarnaak halat nahi lagta. Traders ko lagta hai ke market mein kuch jaan daalna chahte hain, kam az kam abhi ke liye.

Agar Australian dollar 0.6850 ki level ko tor leta hai, to ye 0.6950 ki taraf potential move ke liye raah khol sakta hai, jo ke pichle hafton mein ek resistance point bana raha hai. Agar currency is line ko torne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to humein upar ki taraf aur pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar ye 0.6650 se neeche girta hai, to ye mazeed declines ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo Australian dollar ko 0.6450 ki level tak le ja sakta hai.

Jaise ke hamesha hota hai, commodity prices Australian dollar par bohot asar daalti hain. Copper, gold, aur iron jaise commodities ki qeematein barh rahi hain, aur ye Aussie growth par mazeed pressure dal sakti hain, chahe local factors jaise interest rates kuch bhi hon. Agar ye commodity markets barhte rahe, to Australian dollar bhi in external factors ke asar mein upar ki taraf ja sakta hai, local economic conditions se alag.

Aakhir mein, Australian dollar ka rukh is baat par depend karega ke broader commodity markets kaisay perform karte hain, sath hi closely related currencies jaise New Zealand Dollar ke potential moves par bhi. Traders ko key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake ye samajh sakein ke currency mazeed recovery ke liye tayar hai ya phir kisi decline ka samna karne wali hai. Is waqt market ki halat aur commodity prices ka jaiza lena bohot zaroori hai, taake behtar trading decisions liye ja sakein

Hello forex traders, umeed hai ke sab kuch theek hai aur aap trading ka maza le rahe hain. Aaj main AUD/USD currency pair ke price movement ka technical aur fundamental analysis karna chahta hoon. Filhal, AUD/USD 0.6557 par trade ho raha hai.

Technical Overview: Chart par dekha jaye to AUD/USD ka downward trend continue hai, aur buyers ne recent mein market ko 0.6896 ke level se upar push karne ka acha moka kho diya. US dollar weak ho kar 104.50 se niche aa gaya hai, lekin AUD/USD ko zyada momentum nahi mila. Agle kuch dinon mein agar dollar mazid strong hota hai, to AUD/USD ko bhi strength mil sakti hai.
Technical Indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) dono negative zone mein hain, jo ke bearish outlook ko support karte hain. Filhal, AUD/USD pair 20-period aur 50-period EMAs ke niche trade kar raha hai, jo 0.6660 aur 0.6600 par resistance ke taur par hain. Iss hisaab se, yeh pair 0.6896 par resistance face kar raha hai. Agar bullish momentum mazid barahta hai aur yeh level break hota hai, to aglay targets 0.7463 aur 0.7990 par ho sakte hain, jo ek nayi bullish wave ko signal karega.
Support Levels: Neeche ki taraf, support level 0.6196 par hai, aur agar price is se bhi niche jaaye to aglay support targets 0.5527 aur 0.5123 hain.
Trading Strategy: Iss setup mein entry point ko identify karna zaroori hai. Khud mujhe tab buy karna pasand hai jab AUD/USD drop ho. Ek acha stop-loss aur take-profit 0.7463 resistance level ke upar rakhna behtar rahega, kyun ke yeh uptrend ek strong rally le kar aa sakta hai.

Chart mein AUD/USD ka hourly timeframe dikhaya gaya hai jisme kuch ahem technical indicators aur levels highlight kiye gaye hain jo aane wale price movement ka signal dete hain. Yeh analysis traders ke liye useful ho sakta hai jo is currency pair mein trading kar rahe hain.
Resistance Levels:
Is waqt AUD/USD ke liye sabse pehla resistance level 0.6583 par hai, jo current market condition mein strong barrier ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is level ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh bullish momentum aur tez ho sakta hai aur agla target 0.6626 ho sakta hai. Ye level pair ke liye ek upper range establish karta hai jo market ke sentiment ke lihaaz se ek mukammal resistance zone ke taur par kaam karega.
Support Levels:
Neeche ki taraf, pehla support level 0.6547 par hai. Yeh level abhi tak buyers ko support de raha hai lekin agar yeh level break hota hai toh price agle support level 0.6535 tak neeche ja sakta hai. Yeh levels support aur resistance ki boundaries specify karte hain jo price movement ke hawale se guidance dete hain. Agar market bearish pressure mein aati hai, toh yeh support levels initial price halt zones ban sakte hain.
Moving Averages:
Chart par 50-period Moving Average (blue line) aur 200-period Moving Average (pink line) ka istemal kiya gaya hai. Is waqt price 50-MA ke upar hai, jo short-term bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Agar price is Moving Average ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish bias ko mazid support de sakta hai. 200-MA ka door hona yeh dikhata hai ke longer-term trend abhi bhi bearish hai, magar price mein immediate strength dekhi ja rahi hai.
RSI Indicator:
Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ka value 61 par hai jo indicate karta hai ke price abhi overbought zone mein nahi hai, lekin buying momentum mazid strength dikha raha hai. Agar RSI 70 ke qareeb pohanchta hai toh overbought condition ka sign ho sakta hai jisme price ko correction ka chance milega.
Summary:
Is waqt AUD/USD pair mein bullish momentum dekha ja raha hai. Agar price 0.6583 resistance ko break karta hai toh agla target 0.6626 ho sakta hai. Wahi agar support level 0.6547 break hota hai toh price bearish side par move karke 0.6535 tak ja sakta hai.

trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay ha

consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh

AUD/USD ka H-4 time frame ka tajziya karte hain. Aaj raat koi khaas iqtisadi data release nahi hoga, aur aaj trading ka akhri din hai, is liye USD ke bullish hone ka potential hai, jo pichle trend ko continue kar sakta hai. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke AUD/USD ne kal se EMA50 ki taraf chadhna shuru kiya hai, aur is izafa ko hum ek corrective movement ke tor par samajhte hain. Is liye, hum is market situation ka faida uthane ke liye re-entry sell position khol sakte hain.
Agar aap teen moving average indicators EMA50, EMA100, aur EMA200 ko dekhein, toh inka arrangement bearish hai. EMA200 sabse upar hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke seller pressure apne climax phase tak pohanch chuka hai. Hum yeh maante hain ke yeh correction EMA50 Blue ke niche 0.6730 par ruk jayegi.

Magar humein yeh bhi dekhna hoga ke agar price EMA200 Red H4 tak 0.6760 tak barhti hai, toh is assumption ke sahi hone par, yeh area sell option ke liye zyada faida mand hoga kyunki yeh izafa sirf corrective hai. Jo girawat aayegi woh purane lower area 0.6662 tak pahunchne ki umeed hai, jo EMA200 Daily ka dynamic support hai. Lekin agar seller pressure consistent raha, toh yeh girawat 0.6624 tak ja sakti hai, jahan prospective buyers nayi buy position kholne mein dilchaspi le sakte hain, jaise pehle ki pattern mein dekha gaya tha.

Agar buyers 0.6624 par jaldi react nahi karte, toh iska matlab yeh hai ke long-term downtrend shuru ho sakta hai, kyunki us waqt price EMA200 daily ke dynamic support ke neeche hoga. Is surat mein, instant sell action lena behtar hoga, aur limit sell option ko 0.6730 ke yellow resistances aur 0.6760 ke blue resistance ke aas-paas rakha ja sakta hai.

**AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis**

Australian dollar ne pichle haftay apni rally qaim rakhi, naye local highs banaaye aur pichle highs tod diye, lekin mazid bullish momentum qaim rakhne mein resistance ka samna karna pada. Pehli koshish mein jab 0.6871 ka level todna possible na hua, price ne wapas uptrend shuru kiya aur is barrier ko sharp push ke sath tod kar 0.6949 tak pohanch gaya. Yahan price ko resistance mili, jis ke baad wo phir se neeche aa gaya. Target area ab tak nahi mila, aur abhi bhi price operation chal raha hai. Is dauran price chart super-trend red zone mein chala gaya, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke correction mazid deepen kar sakti hai.

Technically, aaj bhi hum bullish hain, magar caution zaroori hai, aur RSI aur 50-day moving average par reliance rakhenge. Positive signals agar qaim rehte hain, toh momentum mazid sustain kar sakta hai. Jab tak 0.730 ka level clear tor pe break nahi hota, bullish trend qaim reh sakta hai. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh targets 0.7233 aur phir 0.7130 tak shift ho sakte hain. Yeh bhi yaad rakhein ke agar price wapas 0.6903 ke neeche stable trading mein chali jaaye, toh index par temporary negative pressure par sakta hai, jahan pehla target 0.7089 hoga.

**Fundamental Updates:**
Australian dollar ne US dollar ke muqable mein Friday ko strength gain ki, jab US ka Producer Price Index (PPI) report release hui, jo inflation mein kami confirm karti hai aur Federal Reserve se further monetary easing ki zarurat ka ishara deti hai. AUD/USD pair abhi 0.6748 par trade ho raha hai, jo 0.12% ki choti si increase hai, magar yeh pair week ke liye 0.60% decline experience karne ka imkaan rakhta hai.

US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ki report ke mutabiq, PPI September mein 0.2% bara, jo August ke level ke barabar hai. Core PPI (jo volatile items exclude karta hai) bhi monthly basis par 0.2% bara, jo expectations ke mutabiq hai aur pichle mahine ke 0.3% se neeche aya. Annual basis par PPI 1.8% tak bara, jo pichle 1.9% se thoda neeche hai, jab ke core prices 2.8% par pohanch gayi, jo pichle 2.6% se zyada hai lekin 2.7% ki expectation se kam.




Aaj ke data ke sath kal ki CPI report bhi yeh zahir karti hai ke Federal Reserve November meeting mein interest rates kam kar sakta hai. Swaps market mein ab 95.6% probability hai ke Fed quarter-point rate cut karega, jo pichle din ke 83.3% se barh chuki hai. Yeh shift tab aya jab Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ke hawkish comments ne traders ko surprise diya tha, jahan unhon ne kaha tha ke agle do meetings tak rates qaim rehne chahiye.

Chart mein AUD/USD ka hourly timeframe dikhaya gaya hai jisme kuch ahem technical indicators aur levels highlight kiye gaye hain jo aane wale price movement ka signal dete hain. Yeh analysis traders ke liye useful ho sakta hai jo is currency pair mein trading kar rahe hain.
Resistance Levels:
Is waqt AUD/USD ke liye sabse pehla resistance level 0.6583 par hai, jo current market condition mein strong barrier ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar price is level ko break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh bullish momentum aur tez ho sakta hai aur agla target 0.6626 ho sakta hai. Ye level pair ke liye ek upper range establish karta hai jo market ke sentiment ke lihaaz se ek mukammal resistance zone ke taur par kaam karega.
Support Levels:
Neeche ki taraf, pehla support level 0.6547 par hai. Yeh level abhi tak buyers ko support de raha hai lekin agar yeh level break hota hai toh price agle support level 0.6535 tak neeche ja sakta hai. Yeh levels support aur resistance ki boundaries specify karte hain jo price movement ke hawale se guidance dete hain. Agar market bearish pressure mein aati hai, toh yeh support levels initial price halt zones ban sakte hain.
Moving Averages:
Chart par 50-period Moving Average (blue line) aur 200-period Moving Average (pink line) ka istemal kiya gaya hai. Is waqt price 50-MA ke upar hai, jo short-term bullish trend ko indicate karta hai. Agar price is Moving Average ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish bias ko mazid support de sakta hai. 200-MA ka door hona yeh dikhata hai ke longer-term trend abhi bhi bearish hai, magar price mein immediate strength dekhi ja rahi hai.
RSI Indicator:
Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ka value 61 par hai jo indicate karta hai ke price abhi overbought zone mein nahi hai, lekin buying momentum mazid strength dikha raha hai. Agar RSI 70 ke qareeb pohanchta hai toh overbought condition ka sign ho sakta hai jisme price ko correction ka chance milega.
Summary:
Is waqt AUD/USD pair mein bullish momentum dekha ja raha hai. Agar price 0.6583 resistance ko break karta hai toh agla target 0.6626 ho sakta hai. Wahi agar support level 0.6547 break hota hai toh price bearish side par move karke 0.6535 tak ja sakta hai

injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sel

AUD/USD ke is chart ko dekh kar yeh samajh aata hai ke recent trading sessions mein yeh pair kaafi fluctuation ka shikar raha hai. Price 0.6550 ke aas paas trade ho rahi hai, jo ek critical level hai. 28 tareekh se dekha jaye toh pehle kaafi strong bearish trend tha, jismein price continuously niche gir rahi thi. Yeh girawat shayad economic factors ya US dollar ke strength ki wajah se ho sakti hai.
29 tareekh ko market thodi si stabilize hui aur price ne sideways movement dikhayi. Yeh consolidation phase indicate karta hai ke buyers aur sellers dono ka balance bana hua hai aur market direction ke liye wait kar rahi hai. 30 tareekh ko, kuch green candles aur bullish momentum bhi dekha gaya, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers ne thoda control liya hai, lekin yeh temporary tha kyunki price wapas 0.6550 ke aas paas aa gayi.
Technical analysis ke mutabiq, agar AUD/USD ka price 0.6550 ke level ko break karta hai aur niche sustain karta hai, toh aur bearish trend ka imkaan hai. Yeh break market mein naye sellers ko attract kar sakta hai aur price aur neeche 0.6500 tak ja sakti hai. Iske ilawa, stochastic ya RSI jese indicators agar oversold zones mein hain, toh short-term correction ka bhi chance hai.
Dusri taraf, agar price 0.6550 ka support hold karti hai aur upar move karti hai, toh bullish scenario banta hai jismein yeh pair 0.6600 tak ja sakta hai. Yeh level ek immediate resistance ban sakta hai jahan par pehle ke candles ne rejection face ki thi. Is resistance ko break karna buyers ke liye zaroori hoga agar AUD/USD ko upper trend mein jana hai.
Overall, yeh waqt cautious trading ka hai. Agar aap short-term trader hain toh support aur resistance levels par focus rakhein. Market mein entry lene se pehle confirmation candles ka wait karein, taake aap trend ko achi tarah samajh kar position lein. Risk management ka khayal rakhein aur stop-loss zaroor set karein kyunki AUD/USD pair mein fluctuations kaafi zyada hain jo unexpected moves kar sakti hain. Is tarah se trading strategy plan karna aapke liye profitable ho sakta hai aur aap apne losses ko bhi minimize kar sakenge.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis
Australian Dollar (AUD) ne pichlay trading week mein barrier ko touch kiya aur phir modest decline ke sath aglay local low tak gaya. Ek choti rally ke baad 0.6701 par price ne fail kiya aur wapis bounce back karte hue 0.6635 tak pohoncha jahan support mila. Lekin target area abhi bhi viable hai. Price chart mein super-trend red zone hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke sellers ka control hai.

Technically hum positive hain magar cautious hain, aur simple moving average par rely kar rahe hain taake price ko neeche se support mile, aur 14-day momentum indicator se positive signal mil sake. Agar intraday trading support level 0.6410 ke upar rehti hai, to short-term mein uptrend develop ho sakta hai jiska target 0.6695 ho sakta hai. Agar ye level breach hota hai to yeh 0.64840 tak bhi move kar sakta hai. Presented scenario activate hone ke liye index price ko 0.65410 ke support level ke upar stabilize rehna zaroori hai. Agar price neeche girti hai, to negative pressure ayega aur target 0.67260 hoga.



Filhal, pair apne weekly low se thora neeche trade kar raha hai. Key resistance zones ko test kar ke contain kar liya gaya hai, jo ke previous downward vector ko maintain rakhta hai. Continuation ke liye ek local correction zaroori ho sakti hai taake 0.6701 ka level retest ho aur main resistance zone ka border cross ho. Is area se rebound hone par downward move trigger ho sakti hai aur target area 0.6573 aur 0.6506 ho ga.

Agar resistance break ho jata hai aur price 0.6765 ke reversal level ko cross karti hai, to yeh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga.