ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD ka yeh 4-hour time frame chart ek dominant bearish trend ko highlight kar raha hai. Price ki direction neeche ki taraf hai, aur Moving Averages (MA) is trend ko confirm kar rahi hain. Long-term aur short-term MA ke beech downward crossover hua hai, jo ek bearish signal hai, aur yeh show karta hai ke market mein selling pressure zyada hai. Jab bhi short-term MA long-term MA ko neeche se cross karti hai, toh yeh indicator hota hai ke price aur neeche ja sakti hai, jo abhi market ki situation ko perfectly fit kar raha hai.

Is chart par kuch significant support aur resistance levels dikhaye gaye hain jo market ki key price points hain. Price ne pehle ek strong support level ko test kiya tha, jahan se thodi bounce hui, lekin ab price wapas usi support zone ki taraf aa rahi hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to yeh indicate karega ke selling momentum barh raha hai aur price aur neeche move kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price is level ko hold karti hai aur bounce hoti hai, toh yeh ek short-term reversal ka indicator ban sakta hai, jahan se buyers ko kuch relief mil sakta hai. Resistance levels ko bhi monitor karna zaroori hai, kyun ke woh price ke upar jaane ki raah mein rukawat ban sakte hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) bhi is bearish trend ko support kar raha hai. Abhi yeh 50 ke level se neeche hai, jo selling momentum ko dikhata hai. RSI neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai aur ab 30 ke level ke kareeb hai, jo oversold condition ko indicate karta hai. Jab RSI 30 ya us se neeche hota hai, toh is ka matlab hota hai ke price extreme selling pressure mein hai, aur kabhi kabhi yeh signal hota hai ke market ek reversal ki taraf ja sakti hai. Yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke agar RSI is level par sustain karti hai, toh price wapas upar ja sakti hai.

OsMA (Oscillator of Moving Average) indicator momentum ki direction aur strength ko dikhata hai. Is waqt OsMA neutral range mein hai, jo indicate karta hai ke market ki momentum abhi clear nahi hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke shayad market abhi decide kar rahi hai ke aage ki direction kya hogi, is liye agle kuch candles ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Samajhna zaroori hai ke AUD/USD abhi bearish pressure mein hai, aur overall trend abhi downward hai. Critical support levels ko closely dekhna hoga, kyun ke agar yeh break hote hain toh trend continuation ki umeed hai, jo price ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar price is support ko hold kar ke bounce karti hai, toh yeh temporary recovery ka signal ho sakta hai. Is waqt traders ko cautious reh kar trade karni chahiye aur market ki volatility aur indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye, taake behtar trading decisions liye ja saken.

AUD/USD ka yeh 4-hour time frame chart ek dominant bearish trend ko highlight kar raha hai. Price ki direction neeche ki taraf hai, aur Moving Averages (MA) is trend ko confirm kar rahi hain. Long-term aur short-term MA ke beech downward crossover hua hai, jo ek bearish signal hai, aur yeh show karta hai ke market mein selling pressure zyada hai. Jab bhi short-term MA long-term MA ko neeche se cross karti hai, toh yeh indicator hota hai ke price aur neeche ja sakti hai, jo abhi market ki situation ko perfectly fit kar raha hai.
Is chart par kuch significant support aur resistance levels dikhaye gaye hain jo market ki key price points hain. Price ne pehle ek strong support level ko test kiya tha, jahan se thodi bounce hui, lekin ab price wapas usi support zone ki taraf aa rahi hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to yeh indicate karega ke selling momentum barh raha hai aur price aur neeche move kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price is level ko hold karti hai aur bounce hoti hai, toh yeh ek short-term reversal ka indicator ban sakta hai, jahan se buyers ko kuch relief mil sakta hai. Resistance levels ko bhi monitor karna zaroori hai, kyun ke woh price ke upar jaane ki raah mein rukawat ban sakte hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) bhi is bearish trend ko support kar raha hai. Abhi yeh 50 ke level se neeche hai, jo selling momentum ko dikhata hai. RSI neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai aur ab 30 ke level ke kareeb hai, jo oversold condition ko indicate karta hai. Jab RSI 30 ya us se neeche hota hai, toh is ka matlab hota hai ke price extreme selling pressure mein hai, aur kabhi kabhi yeh signal hota hai ke market ek reversal ki taraf ja sakti hai. Yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke agar RSI is level par sustain karti hai, toh price wapas upar ja sakti hai.

OsMA (Oscillator of Moving Average) indicator momentum ki direction aur strength ko dikhata hai. Is waqt OsMA neutral range mein hai, jo indicate karta hai ke market ki momentum abhi clear nahi hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke shayad market abhi decide kar rahi hai ke aage ki direction kya hogi, is liye agle kuch candles ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Samajhna zaroori hai ke AUD/USD abhi bearish pressure mein hai, aur overall trend abhi downward hai. Critical support levels ko closely dekhna hoga, kyun ke agar yeh break hote hain toh trend continuation ki umeed hai, jo price ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar price is support ko hold kar ke bounce karti hai, toh yeh temporary recovery ka signal ho sakta hai. Is waqt traders ko cautious reh kar trade karni chahiye aur market ki volatility aur indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye, taake behtar trading decisions liye ja saken.

AUD/USD ka yeh 4-hour time frame chart ek dominant bearish trend ko highlight kar raha hai. Price ki direction neeche ki taraf hai, aur Moving Averages (MA) is trend ko confirm kar rahi hain. Long-term aur short-term MA ke beech downward crossover hua hai, jo ek bearish signal hai, aur yeh show karta hai ke market mein selling pressure zyada hai. Jab bhi short-term MA long-term MA ko neeche se cross karti hai, toh yeh indicator hota hai ke price aur neeche ja sakti hai, jo abhi market ki situation ko perfectly fit kar raha hai.

Is chart par kuch significant support aur resistance levels dikhaye gaye hain jo market ki key price points hain. Price ne pehle ek strong support level ko test kiya tha, jahan se thodi bounce hui, lekin ab price wapas usi support zone ki taraf aa rahi hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to yeh indicate karega ke selling momentum barh raha hai aur price aur neeche move kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar price is level ko hold karti hai aur bounce hoti hai, toh yeh ek short-term reversal ka indicator ban sakta hai, jahan se buyers ko kuch relief mil sakta hai. Resistance levels ko bhi monitor karna zaroori hai, kyun ke woh price ke upar jaane ki raah mein rukawat ban sakte hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) bhi is bearish trend ko support kar raha hai. Abhi yeh 50 ke level se neeche hai, jo selling momentum ko dikhata hai. RSI neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai aur ab 30 ke level ke kareeb hai, jo oversold condition ko indicate karta hai. Jab RSI 30 ya us se neeche hota hai, toh is ka matlab hota hai ke price extreme selling pressure mein hai, aur kabhi kabhi yeh signal hota hai ke market ek reversal ki taraf ja sakti hai. Yeh dekhna zaroori hoga ke agar RSI is level par sustain karti hai, toh price wapas upar ja sakti hai.

OsMA (Oscillator of Moving Average) indicator momentum ki direction aur strength ko dikhata hai. Is waqt OsMA neutral range mein hai, jo indicate karta hai ke market ki momentum abhi clear nahi hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke shayad market abhi decide kar rahi hai ke aage ki direction kya hogi, is liye agle kuch candles ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Samajhna zaroori hai ke AUD/USD abhi bearish pressure mein hai, aur overall trend abhi downward hai. Critical support levels ko closely dekhna hoga, kyun ke agar yeh break hote hain toh trend continuation ki umeed hai, jo price ko aur neeche le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar price is support ko hold kar ke bounce karti hai, toh yeh temporary recovery ka signal ho sakta hai. Is waqt traders ko cautious reh kar trade karni chahiye aur market ki volatility aur indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye, taake behtar trading decisions liye ja saken.

Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ki price performance ka jaiza le rahe hain. Umeed hai ke US dollar ki mazid taqat badhne ki taraf rujhan hai, khaaskar is liye ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein koi achanak kami ki ummeed nahi hai. ECB aur doosri central banks ki tarah, Fed bhi ek gradual approach apnane ki umeed hai. Kal ke ibtidaai reports ne kuch concerns uthaye, lekin market ne in par zyada tawajjo nahi di. Technical taur par, pair ka behavior channels mein kaafi dilchasp hai. Pehle upward channel ko torne ke baad aur breakdown ka test karne ke baad, yeh ab descending channel se upar ki taraf nikal gaya hai. Is marahil par, main apne targets ko naye surat-e-haal ke mutabiq dobara dekh raha hoon.

Mere tajziya ke mutabiq, mujhe umeed hai ke is mein upar ki taraf movement ho sakti hai, jo 0.686 level par peak kar sakti hai. Agar market is point tak nahi pahunche, to bulls 0.6820 ke kareeb target rakh sakte hain. Yeh scenario tabhi khatam hoga jab trend mein koi significant kamzori aayegi, jo is projected goal tak pahunchnay se roke gi. Filhal, mera primary objective yeh dekhna hai ke AUD/USD 0.6820 mark ki taraf move kare.

Is hafte, buyers aur sellers dono ki taqat barabar nazar aa rahi hai. Lambay arse ke perspective se, is mentioned level tak ka upar uthna mumkin hai, uske baad market phir se bearish trend ki taraf shift ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh upward momentum nahi aata, to 0.6688 support level ek buying opportunity ban sakta hai corrective move ke taur par. Yeh mumkin hai ke market is plan par chale aur is trajectory ke along waves banaye. Kal ki halki upward movement shayad kamzor US economic data, jaise ke Producer Price Index aur University of Michigan ke figures, ya phir bears ke positions close karne ki wajah se thi. Har surat mein, downtrend ab bhi barqarar hai, aur current price action sirf ek correction lagta hai. Agar yeh correction jaari rahti hai, to buyers price ko 0.6773 resistance level ki taraf push kar sakte hain.

Yeh technical setup, broader market sentiment ke saath milkar, yeh darshata hai ke jab ke short-term bullish movement mumkin hai, agar price upward momentum maintain nahi kar payi, to phir downward trend ki taraf wapas jaana ho sakta hai. Traders ko key levels aur market behavior par nazar rakhni chahiye taake apne strategies ko accordingly adjust kar sakein.

AUD/USD

Friday ke trading session mein, AUD/USD pair ne 1.11% se zyada ka izafa kiya, 0.6720 par pohanch kar 0.6725 ke qareeb stability hasil ki. Yeh achanak upward movement ziyada tar US Dollar ki weakness ki wajah se hui, jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke Chair Jerome Powell ke comments ke baad dekhne ko mili. Australia ki economy se milay-julay signals ke bawajood, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka mehngai (inflation) ke khilaf ehtiyat bharpoor support day raha hai Australian Dollar ko. Market close hone par, AUD/USD pair 0.6709 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha, steady momentum show karte hue.

Bullish momentum ke bawajood, agar koi pullback hota hai, to yeh key support levels ko khatray mein nahi dalay ga. Primary support level ab 0.6645 par hai, aur minor support 0.6660 par. Pullback hone ki soorat mein, pair ke liye koi significant downside risk umeed nahi hai, jo broader market sentiment ko reinforce karta hai ke upward pressure continue karega.

**AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:**

Qareebi future mein US Dollar ka appeal fragile nazar aata hai, kyun ke Fed September tak interest rates ko reduce karne ka irada rakhta hai. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki recent minutes se yeh maloom hua ke "aksariyat" officials rate cuts ke haq mein hain, agar inflation mein umeed ke mutabiq kami hoti rahi. Yeh dovish outlook ne US Dollar ki recovery ko rok diya hai aur naye sellers ko attract kiya hai. Yeh scenario AUD/USD pair ke liye support create kar raha hai, Fed easing ke expectations ke hawalay se.

Market participants yaqeen rakhte hain ke Fed apna rate-cutting cycle September mein start karega. CME Group ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, 25 basis points (bps) ka rate cut mukammal taur par price ho chuka hai, aur aglay mahine 50 bps reduction ka bhi chance hai. Iske ilawa, markets ne is saal ke end tak lagbhag 100 bps easing ko bhi factor kar liya hai. US monetary policy ke hawalay se yeh dovish expectations AUD/USD pair ko qareebi muddat mein support de rahi hain.

**Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Pair ne 0.6720 ke qareeb surge kiya, aur session high 0.6725 ko briefly touch kiya, jo aur gains ki potential show karta hai. Magar overbought conditions ki wajah se immediate upward movement limit ho sakti hai. Yeh abhi clear nahi hai ke pair aglay ek ya do hafton mein 0.6870 ko touch karega ya nahi. Downside par, strong support level 0.6661 se barh kar 0.6710 tak aa gaya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke momentum kafi strong hai 0.6750 ko todne ke liye. Iske bawajood, resistance levels 0.6770 aur 0.6830 par maujood hain jo further advances ko challenge karenge.



**Indicators ka Analysis:**
Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo market momentum measure karta hai, ab previous sessions se barh kar 59 par hai, jo halki bullish sentiment show kar raha hai. Halanke RSI abhi overbought level 70 ke neechay hai, jo is hafte mein touch hua tha, lekin yeh upward pressure ka izhar karta hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi bullish sentiment ke saath aligned hai, aur steady green bars current uptrend ke continuation ka ishara kar rahe hain.

Chart mein AUD/USD currency pair ka technical analysis dikhaya gaya hai. Chart par Ichimoku indicator aur MACD oscillator nazar aa rahe hain, jo trend ke direction aur momentum ko samajhne ke liye istemal hote hain. Pehle hum Ichimoku indicator ka analysis karte hain. Yahan, price candles clouds ke neeche hain, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke overall bearish trend chal raha hai. Jab price Ichimoku cloud ke neeche hoti hai, iska matlab hota hai ke sellers market ko control kar rahe hain, aur buying ka pressure kum hai. Cloud bhi kaafi mota hai, jo resistance ki mazbooti ko dikhata hai. Abhi tak price ne cloud ke andar ya upar break nahi kiya, isliye abhi selling pressure dominant hai.
Ab hum MACD indicator ko dekhte hain. Neeche wala MACD chart yeh dikhata hai ke blue signal line ne MACD line ko neeche se cross kiya hai, jo ek bearish signal hai. MACD ke red histogram bars bhi zero line ke neeche hain, jo negative momentum ko zahir karte hain. Yeh confirm karta hai ke trend abhi downward hai aur price mazeed gir sakta hai. Lekin, kuch recent candles mein histogram bars chhote ho rahe hain, jo momentum mein thodi si weakness ko dikhata hai.
Is time par, AUD/USD pair clearly downward trend mein hai, lekin MACD aur Ichimoku dono thoda sa sideways movement ya consolidation ka signal de rahe hain. Price action dekhte hue, yeh lagta hai ke price support level ko test kar rahi hai, lekin abhi tak koi strong reversal signal nahi mila. Agar price Ichimoku cloud ke andar break karti hai, toh yeh ek bullish reversal ka pehla signal ho sakta hai. Lekin jab tak aisa nahi hota, traders ko sell positions ke saath rehna chahiye, jab tak koi clear reversal confirmation nahi milta.
Aise charts ko dekhte waqt, trading decisions ko indicators ke signals ke saath align karna zaroori hai, taake risk management ko behtar banaya ja sake.

Friday ke trading session mein AUD/USD pair mein 1.11% se zyada ka izafa dekhne ko mila, jisme pair 0.6720 par pohanch gaya aur stability 0.6725 ke aas-paas dikhayi. Yeh upward movement zyada tar US Dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se hai, jo ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke Chair Jerome Powell ke comments ke baad dekhne ko mili. Australia se mix economic signals ke bawajood, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka ehtiyaat ka rukh inflation ke high rate ki wajah se Australian Dollar ko support kar raha hai. Market close tak, AUD/USD pair 0.6709 ke kareeb trade kar raha tha, jo ke steady momentum ka izhar hai.

Chalti hui bullish momentum ke bawajood, agar pair mein koi pullback hota hai, toh yeh key support levels ko khatray mein nahi dalayga. Ab primary support level 0.6645 par positioned hai, jab ke minor support 0.6660 par hai. Agar koi pullback hota hai, toh yeh pair ke liye significant downside risk nahi banayga, jo ke broader market sentiment ko reinforce karta hai, jisme upward pressure barqarar hai.

**AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:**

US Dollar ki near-term appeal kaafi fragile hai, jab ke Fed September tak interest rates ko kam karne ke rukh par nazar aata hai. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke recent minutes se yeh pata chala ke "vast majority" officials rate cuts ke haq mein hain, provided ke inflation expected tareeqay se kam hoti rahe. Fed ke is dovish outlook ne US Dollar ke liye apni year-to-date (YTD) low se recovery ko barqarar rakhna mushkil bana diya, aur naye sellers ko attract kiya. Is wajah se, AUD/USD pair ko Fed easing ki umeedon ke darmiyan support mil raha hai.

Market participants ab qareeb-qareeb yaqeen rakhte hain ke Fed September mein apna rate-cutting cycle shuru karega. CME Group ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, 25 basis points (bps) ka rate cut fully priced hai, jab ke agle maheenay 50 bps ke zyada cut ka bhi imkaan hai. Is ke ilawa, markets takreeban 100 bps tak ki easing ko year-end tak factor kar chuke hain. US monetary policy ke hawalay se yeh dovish expectations short-term mein AUD/USD pair ke liye zaroori support faraham karti hain.

**Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Pair 0.6720 tak surge kar gaya, aur briefly session high 0.6725 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke Australian Dollar mein mazeed gains ki potential ko signal karta hai. Magar, overbought conditions ki wajah se immediate upward movement limited ho sakti hai. Yeh abhi tak clear nahi ke pair agle ek ya do hafton mein 0.6870 mark tak pahunch sakega ya nahi. Downside par, strong support level 0.6661 se barh kar 0.6710 ho gaya hai, jo ke is baat ka ishara hai ke near term mein 0.6750 ka break karne ke liye kafi momentum hai. Lekin, 0.6770 aur 0.6830 par resistance mazeed advances ke liye challenge paish kar sakti hai.

**AUD/USD Pair Ka Outlook:**

AUD/USD pair ne fluctuations ka samna kiya, Thursday ko thodi girawat dekhte hue 0.6660 par paanch hafton ka low reach kiya. Lekin, Friday ko pair ne ground hasil kiya, jo market sentiment mein tabdeeli ki wajah se tha jab US Federal Reserve ke Chairman ne dovish taqreer di.

Halaanki currency pair par dabao jari hai, magar mukhtalif global aur domestic factors ek complex lekin ehtiyaat se optimistic outlook ka nishan de rahe hain. Jabke kuch Federal Reserve ke members ne aam taur par positive outlook ka izhar kiya, ek governor ne policy changes ke potential ke bare mein ehtiyaat barhaya, inflation ke ongoing risks aur inflation ko manage karne aur economic growth ko barqarar rakhne ke darmiyan careful balance ki zaroorat ko highlight kiya.

Risk-on sentiment ka recent rally Federal Reserve ke Chairman ke dovish tone ki wajah se hui, jo Chicago Federal Reserve ke President ne support kiya, unhone yeh kaha ke Fed ne largely apne inflation ko manage karne aur economy ko stabilize karne ke goals achieve kar liye hain.

**Australian Central Bank Ka Inflation Ke Khilaf Iqdam:**

Australian central bank inflation ke khilaf ladne ka iraada rakhta hai, chahe iske liye interest rates ko phir se barhana padhe. Bank ke governor ne yeh wazeh kiya hai ke agar inflationary pressures jari rahe, toh woh zyada aggressive stance lene ke liye tayaar hain. Isne yeh umeed barhayi hai ke bank jald hi ek zyada hawkish approach apna sakta hai, jo inflation trends par depend karegi.

Australian dollar ki gains ko barhane ke liye, isay August ki high 0.6762 ko cross karna hoga, jo mazeed upside potential ka nishan dega. Dusri taraf, agar strong support level 0.6660 toota, toh is se gehri correction ho sakti hai. Market participants in technical levels ko nazar se door nahi kar rahe, kyunki yeh currency ke near-term movement ko shape dene ke liye ahem hain.

Currency pair ki value filhal 0.6725 par hai, jabke 100-day simple moving average 0.6752 hai. Halaanki, pair ki overall direction upward hai, jo ke mashhoor trading principle "the trend is your friend" ke mutabiq hai. Agar pair apni momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh yeh July 11 ko record hui high 0.6798 tak pahunchne ki koshish kar sakta hai.

AUDUSD Ka Forecast

H4 time frame chart ka nazar:

AUDUSD ka H4 time frame chart ka technical diagram dikhata hai ke price ek descending channel mein chal rahi hai aur is waqt trend bearish hai, is liye overall price gir rahi hai. Pichle kuch trading ghanton mein price activity range zone mein rahi hai, kyunki maine dekha ke AUDUSD ne is descending channel ka upar wala level aur 50 EMA line ko chhua hai. Lekin, yeh 50 EMA line ko upar ki taraf cross nahi kar paya, jo yeh darshata hai ke price jald hi intense bear momentum ki wajah se girne wali hai. Daily time frame chart par, AUDUSD ki price activity ascending channel ke andar thi, aur overall trend bullish tha.

**Daily Time Frame Chart Ka Nazar:**

Daily time frame chart par AUDUSD ki price activities ascending channel ke andar thi, aur primary trend bullish tha. Filhal, AUDUSD moving average lines ke neeche trade kar raha hai, aur maine dekha ke AUDUSD ne pichle hafte ke Wednesday ko is ascending channel ka neecha level tod diya. Lekin, pichle kuch trading dino se AUDUSD ka major trend bearish raha hai. Price ne Thursday aur Friday ko neeche wale trend line ko dobara chhua, aur aaj yeh usay test karne ke baad girne laga.

Aaj AUDUSD ek bearish candle bana raha hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke aane wale dino mein bears ko taqat milne wali hai. Is wajah se, maine is time frame chart ke agle kuch support levels ka diagram bhi shamil kiya hai.

**AUD/USD Technical Analysis**

AUD/USD H1 time frame par chart dikhata hai ke yahan significant movements well-defined liquidity zones aur key areas of interest ke darmiyan ho rahi hain, jo traders ke liye qeemti insights faraham karti hain. Haal hi mein, price action ne in zones ke sath kafi interaction dikhaya hai, khaaskar 0.6685 level ke ird gird. Yeh level ek ahem support area ban chuka hai, jo daily liquidity zone ke sath coincide karta hai aur yahan buying interest ko attract kar raha hai, jisne price ko aur neeche girne se roka hai.

Yeh support zone broader market sentiment ke sath bhi aligned hai, kyunki traders global economic landscape mein tabdeeliyon ki umeed rakhte hain. Australian dollar ki price movements par key factors, jaise commodity prices, China ke sath trade dynamics, aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur U.S. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ka gehra asar hai. Haal hi mein, RBA se stable interest rates ki umeed aur U.S. rate hikes ke slowdown ki potential ne AUD ke liye ek zyada supportive environment faraham kiya hai, jo ke iski resilience ko 0.6685 level ke aas paas contribute kar raha hai.

Technical analysis ki baat karein toh, H1 chart dikhata hai ke AUD/USD pair ek well-established range ke andar trading kar raha hai, jo liquidity zones aur key areas of interest ke darmiyan move kar raha hai. 0.6685 par support milne ke baad, price ne recovery ke nishan dikhaye hain, aur traders ab upar ke resistance levels, jo 0.6720 aur 0.6750 ke aas paas hain, par nazar rakhte hain. In levels ko todne par bullish momentum ka confirmation ho sakta hai, jo yeh ishara dega ke pair upar ki taraf move karne ke liye tayyar hai.

**AUD/USD Technical Insights**

Lekin, yeh baat note karna zaroori hai ke jabke 0.6685 support level ab tak mazboot raha hai, kisi bhi market sentiment mein tabdeeli ya ghaflati economic data releases nai nai selling pressure ko trigger kar sakti hain, jo pair ko neeche push kar sakta hai agar yeh support toota. Aise mein, traders agle support zone par nazar rakh rahe honge, jo 0.6650 ke ird gird ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD H1 time frame ka chart liquidity zones ki ahmiyat ko price action ko guide karne mein dikhata hai. Pair ka 0.6685 support level ke sath haal ka interaction, jo ke ek key daily liquidity zone hai, yeh darshata hai ke buyers filhal control mein hain aur is area ko further declines se defend kar rahe hain.

Aage barhte hue, traders ko upar ke resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki in levels ko todne se further gains ka darwaza khul sakta hai. Saath hi, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke kisi bhi potential shifts in market conditions par nazar rakhein, jo current bullish outlook ko challenge kar sakti hain. Yeh technical analysis aur broader market factors ka combination AUD/USD pair ko agle doran dekhne ke liye dilchasp banata hai.

liquidity zones aur key areas of interest ke darmiyan ho rahi hain, jo traders ke liye qeemti insights faraham karti hain. Haal hi mein, price action ne in zones ke sath kafi interaction dikhaya hai, khaaskar 0.6685 level ke ird gird. Yeh level ek ahem support area ban chuka hai, jo daily liquidity zone ke sath coincide karta hai aur yahan buying interest ko attract kar raha hai, jisne price ko aur neeche girne se roka hai.
Yeh support zone broader market sentiment ke sath bhi aligned hai, kyunki traders global economic landscape mein tabdeeliyon ki umeed rakhte hain. Australian dollar ki price movements par key factors, jaise commodity prices, China ke sath trade dynamics, aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur U.S. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ka gehra asar hai. Haal hi mein, RBA se stable interest rates ki umeed aur U.S. rate hikes ke slowdown ki potential ne AUD ke liye ek zyada supportive environment faraham kiya hai, jo ke iski resilience ko 0.6685 level ke aas paas contribute kar raha hai.

Technical analysis ki baat karein toh, H1 chart dikhata hai ke AUD/USD pair ek well-established range ke andar trading kar raha hai, jo liquidity zones aur key areas of interest ke darmiyan move kar raha hai. 0.6685 par support milne ke baad, price ne recovery ke nishan dikhaye hain, aur traders ab upar ke resistance levels, jo 0.6720 aur 0.6750 ke aas paas hain, par nazar rakhte hain. In levels ko todne par bullish momentum ka confirmation ho sakta hai, jo yeh ishara dega ke pair upar ki taraf move karne

a, jisme pair 0.6720 par pohanch gaya aur stability 0.6725 ke aas-paas dikhayi. Yeh upward movement zyada tar US Dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se hai, jo ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke Chair Jerome Powell ke comments ke baad dekhne ko mili. Australia se mix economic signals ke bawajood, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka ehtiyaat ka rukh inflation ke high rate ki wajah se Australian Dollar ko support kar raha hai. Market close tak, AUD/USD pair 0.6709 ke kareeb trade kar raha tha, jo ke steady momentum ka izhar hai.
Chalti hui bullish momentum ke bawajood, agar pair mein koi pullback hota hai, toh yeh key support levels ko khatray mein nahi dalayga. Ab primary support level 0.6645 par positioned hai, jab ke minor support 0.6660 par hai. Agar koi pullback hota hai, toh yeh pair ke liye significant downside risk nahi banayga, jo ke broader market sentiment ko reinforce karta hai, jisme upward pressure barqarar hai.

**AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:**

US Dollar ki near-term appeal kaafi fragile hai, jab ke Fed September tak interest rates ko kam karne ke rukh par nazar aata hai. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke recent minutes se yeh pata chala ke "vast majority" officials rate cuts ke haq mein hain, provided ke inflation expected tareeqay se kam hoti rahe. Fed ke is dovish outlook ne US Dollar ke liye apni year-to-date (YTD) low se recovery ko barqarar rakhna mushkil bana diya, aur naye sellers ko attract kiya. Is wajah se, AUD/USD pair ko Fed easing ki umeedon ke darmiyan support mil raha hai.

Market participants ab qareeb-qareeb yaqeen rakhte hain ke Fed September mein apna rate-cutting cycle shuru karega. CME Group ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, 25 basis points (bps) ka rate cut fully priced hai, jab ke agle maheenay 50 bps ke zyada cut ka bhi imkaan hai. Is ke ilawa, markets takreeban 100 bps tak ki easing ko year-end tak factor kar chuke hain. US monetary policy ke hawalay se yeh dovish expectations short-term mein AUD/USD pair ke liye zaroori support faraham karti hain.

**Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Pair 0.6720 tak surge kar gaya, aur briefly session high 0.6725 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke Australian Dollar mein mazeed gains ki potential ko signal karta hai. Magar, overbought conditions ki wajah se immediate upward movement limited ho sakti hai. Yeh abhi tak clear nahi ke pair agle ek ya do hafton mein 0.6870 mark tak pahunch sakega ya nahi. Downside par, strong support level 0.6661 se barh kar 0.6710 ho gaya hai, jo ke is baat ka ishara hai

decline ki tendency rakhta hai. Halaanki aik impulsive price hike hui hai, lekin yeh secondary response hai. Observation dikhata hai ke jab price ne 0.6660 ka low hit kiya, to price EMA 50 ke upar utha aur FR 50 (0.6712) par pause kiya. Ab jo price dobara gir raha hai, wo apni decline ko 0.6660 ke neeche barqarar rakhna chahiye. Jab tak AUD/USD pair ki price 0.6762 high ko cross nahi karti, upward correction phase khatam ho jaye ga aur price increase aik lower high pattern tak restricted rahe ga. Lekin kyunke histogram ne ab tak negative zone mai entry nahi ki ya level 0 ke neeche nahi gaya, jo ke downtrend momentum ko denote karta hai, isliye yeh upward correction phase ko support kar sakta hai. Asal mein, yeh prices ko jo abhi tak EMA 50 ke upar stuck hain, unhein upward correct karne mai madad de sakta hai. Yeh conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke price correct hota rahe ga jab tak overbought market ke saturation point ko achieve nahi karta. Agar parameter level 50 tak pohanchta hai, to price ko higher correct karna expect kiya ja sakta hai.Position ka entry point FR 61.8 aur 0.6722 ke darmiyan hai, jo SMA 200 ke sath converge kar raha hai. Confirmation tab hoti hai jab Stochastic indicator parameter overbought zone mai move karne ke baad levels 90 aur 80 par cross karta hai, jo ke buying saturation point ko denote karta hai. AO indicator ka volume histogram kam az kam level 0 ke qareeb positive area mai hai, jo upward momentum ke slowing down ko indicate karta hai.A-B-C patterns aik 5-3-5 wave sequence hain jo zigzag patterns kehlate hain. 10/17/2024 ko hum ne Elliottwave-Forecast members ke sath yeh chart share kiya tha, jo shorter cycles mai price ka rasta dikhata hai. Chart dikhata hai ke August low se bullish sequence ka aik bearish correction ho raha hai. Pehli reaction mai 5 waves ka drop aur wave (A) ki completion hui thi. Is structure ke sath hum predict kar sakte hain ke aik A-B-C zigzag pattern involve ho raha hai jo 5-3-5 wave sequence hai.

Ab price wave (B) mai hai agar yeh kam az kam 23.6% retracement zone (0.6725) tak extend hota hai. Agar current bounce 0.6725 ke neeche end hota hai, to yeh (B) ke liye kafi nahi hoga. Is surat mai hum isay aik nayi wave 4 (A) ya wave ((ii)) 5 consider kar sakte hain

decline ki tendency rakhta hai. Halaanki aik impulsive price hike hui hai, lekin yeh secondary response hai. Observation dikhata hai ke jab price ne 0.6660 ka low hit kiya, to price EMA 50 ke upar utha aur FR 50 (0.6712) par pause kiya. Ab jo price dobara gir raha hai, wo apni decline ko 0.6660 ke neeche barqarar rakhna chahiye. Jab tak AUD/USD pair ki price 0.6762 high ko cross nahi karti, upward correction phase khatam ho jaye ga aur price increase aik lower high pattern tak restricted rahe ga. Lekin kyunke histogram ne ab tak negative zone mai entry nahi ki ya level 0 ke neeche nahi gaya, jo ke downtrend momentum ko denote karta hai, isliye yeh upward correction phase ko support kar sakta hai. Asal mein, yeh prices ko jo abhi tak EMA 50 ke upar stuck hain, unhein upward correct karne mai madad de sakta hai. Yeh conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke price correct hota rahe ga jab tak overbought market ke saturation point ko achieve nahi karta. Agar parameter level 50 tak pohanchta hai, to price ko higher correct karna expect kiya ja sakta hai.Position ka entry point FR 61.8 aur 0.6722 ke darmiyan hai, jo SMA 200 ke sath converge kar raha hai. Confirmation tab hoti hai jab Stochastic indicator parameter overbought zone mai move karne ke baad levels 90 aur 80 par cross karta hai, jo ke buying saturation point ko denote karta hai. AO indicator ka volume histogram kam az kam level 0 ke qareeb positive area mai hai, jo upward momentum ke slowing down ko indicate karta hai.A-B-C patterns aik 5-3-5 wave sequence hain jo zigzag patterns kehlate hain. 10/17/2024 ko hum ne Elliottwave-Forecast members ke sath yeh chart share kiya tha, jo shorter cycles mai price ka rasta dikhata hai. Chart dikhata hai ke August low se bullish sequence ka aik bearish correction ho raha hai. Pehli reaction mai 5 waves ka drop aur wave (A) ki completion hui thi. Is structure ke sath hum predict kar sakte hain ke aik A-B-C zigzag pattern involve ho raha hai jo 5-3-5 wave sequence hai. Ab price wave (B) mai hai agar yeh kam az kam 23.6% retracement zone (0.6725) tak extend hota hai. Agar current bounce 0.6725 ke neeche end hota hai, to yeh (B) ke liye kafi nahi hoga. Is surat mai hum isay aik nayi wave 4 (A) ya wave ((ii)) 5 consider kar sakte hain

decline ki tendency rakhta hai. Halaanki aik impulsive price hike hui hai, lekin yeh secondary response hai. Observation dikhata hai ke jab price ne 0.6660 ka low hit kiya, to price EMA 50 ke upar utha aur FR 50 (0.6712) par pause kiya. Ab jo price dobara gir raha hai, wo apni decline ko 0.6660 ke neeche barqarar rakhna chahiye. Jab tak AUD/USD pair ki price 0.6762 high ko cross nahi karti, upward correction phase khatam ho jaye ga aur price increase aik lower high pattern tak restricted rahe ga. Lekin kyunke histogram ne ab tak negative zone mai entry nahi ki ya level 0 ke neeche nahi gaya, jo ke downtrend momentum ko denote karta hai, isliye yeh upward correction phase ko support kar sakta hai. Asal mein, yeh prices ko jo abhi tak EMA 50 ke upar stuck hain, unhein upward correct karne mai madad de sakta hai. Yeh conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke price correct hota rahe ga jab tak overbought market ke saturation point ko achieve nahi karta. Agar parameter level 50 tak pohanchta hai, to price ko higher correct karna expect kiya ja sakta hai.Position ka entry point FR 61.8 aur 0.6722 ke darmiyan hai, jo SMA 200 ke sath converge kar raha hai. Confirmation tab hoti hai jab Stochastic indicator parameter overbought zone mai move karne ke baad levels 90 aur 80 par cross karta hai, jo ke buying saturation point ko denote karta hai. AO indicator ka volume histogram kam az kam level 0 ke qareeb positive area mai hai, jo upward momentum ke slowing down ko indicate karta hai.A-B-C patterns aik 5-3-5 wave sequence hain jo zigzag patterns kehlate hain. 10/17/2024 ko hum ne Elliottwave-Forecast members ke sath yeh chart share kiya tha, jo shorter cycles mai price ka rasta dikhata hai. Chart dikhata hai ke August low se bullish sequence ka aik bearish correction ho raha hai. Pehli reaction mai 5 waves ka drop aur wave (A) ki completion hui thi. Is structure ke sath hum predict kar sakte hain ke aik A-B-C zigzag pattern involve ho raha hai jo 5-3-5 wave sequence hai.
Ab price wave (B) mai hai agar yeh kam az kam 23.6% retracement zone (0.6725) tak extend hota hai. Agar current bounce 0.6725 ke neeche end hota hai, to yeh (B) ke liye kafi nahi hoga. Is surat mai hum isay aik nayi wave 4 (A) ya wave ((ii)) 5 consider kar sakte hain