ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

**Trading Analysis Update**
**Tuesday, October 15, 2024**

**4 Hour Timeframe**
Is mahine ke shuruat mein, AudUsd pair ki qeemat ka harkat bohot zyada bearish rahi, jiska sab se uncha daam 0.6937 tha. Phir market trading period ke agle haftay, qeemat dheere dheere 0.6705 ki taraf gir gayi. Is haftay ke dauran jo qeemat ki kami ka amal chala, woh ab shuruati haftay ki qeemat ko paar karne mein kamiyab raha hai, kyunki abhi bhi market dheere dheere gir raha hai. Haqiqat yeh hai ke market ka harkat kuch zyada hi volatility ke lehaz se dilchasp hai, mukablay mein kai pairs ke jo US dollar se taluq rakhte hain. Bunyadi asar aage bhi qeemat ko neeche le jane ka imkaan hai takay yeh sab se neeche ka mahine ka daam tak pahunche.

Chhoti muddat ka rujhan jo bullish tha, kyunki qeemat ka izafa unche daam tak pahuncha, ab wapas bearish ki taraf aa gaya hai, weekly opening area ko torne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar qeemat 0.6746 ke resistance area ke neeche rehne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh agle haftay ke trading mein sellers shayad qeemat ko neeche le ja sakte hain takay wo support level tak pahunche jo neeche hai. Lekin ek baat jo dekhi jani chahiye wo yeh hai ke agar qeemat dobara upar ki taraf correction karti hai aur weekly opening position ko paar karne ki koshish karti hai. Kyunki market ke aise aadatein jahan woh normal bearishness ka samna karti hain, unhe ek correction phase se guzarna parta hai taake wo naye momentum talash kar sakein aur phir apne bearish trend ko jari rakh sakein.

Is ongoing bearish market rally ne AudUsd pair ke sellers ko yeh warning di hai ke unhein apne agle trading position tay karne mein zyada sabr karna chahiye. Jaldi mein sell position kholne se floating loss na ho. Filhal koi bhi yaqeen nahi hai kyunki market abhi bhi khamosh hai. Agle din, Wednesday ko market pattern par tawajju dene ka mashwara hai, kyunki us waqt volatility mein izafa hoga jo ek weekly trend banayega.

instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone tak

**AUD/USD Price Movement Ka Tajziya**

Main filhal AUD/USD currency pair ke price movement ka real-time tajziya kar raha hoon. Jab aap U.S. dollar ke sath currency pairs ka trade kar rahe hote hain, to euro aur pound sab se zyada munasib hain. Har kisi ki apni pasand hoti hai, lekin abhi mera fokus U.S. dollar ki taqat par hai. Lekin, jese jese U.S. presidential election ka waqt nazdeek aa raha hai, market mein volatility ka khatara hai, jisme mukhtalif dishaon mein achanak movements dekhne ko mil sakte hain.

Iss hafte, mujhe umeed hai ke U.S. dollar mein kuch waqt ke liye kamzori dekhi ja sakti hai (ek choti si bullish pullback), uske baad is pair mein downward movement aayegi. Yeh baat bhi hai ke election ke baad dollar ki value mein bohot zyada kami aa sakti hai. Buying bohot zaroori hai kyunki is market ka core trend bullish hai. Yeh meri soch hai. Mera pehla target 0.6551 hai, uske baad 0.6350.

AUD/USD pair ke hawale se, hum is waqt ek price range mein hain, jiska upper boundary accumulation zone ke 0.6764 par hai aur lower limit haal hi mein bane low 0.6701 ke aas-paas hai. Jab price ne girawat dekhi, to yeh 0.6701 level ko break nahi kar payi. Agar price is level ke neeche rehti hai, to humein price ka upper boundary par wapas aane ka dekhnay ko mil sakta hai.

Maine ek mumkinah alternative scenario bhi outline kiya hai. Is case mein market manipulation ya "smart money" tactics ka asar ho sakta hai. Is scenario ke mutabiq, AUD/USD pehle 0.6806 ke accumulation level tak barh sakta hai, jahan liquidity remove ki ja sakti hai. Agar 0.6806 level par volumes badhte hain, to price achanak reverse ho kar neeche gir sakti hai, jo pehle established low se kaafi neeche tak ja sakta hai.

Duniya bhar mein events ho rahe hain jo USD index aur AUD/USD par asar daal rahe hain. Har trader ko yeh samajhna chahiye ke in movements ko dekhte hue, sahi waqt par trade karna zaroori hai. Market ki halat ko samajhne aur indicators ka sahi istemal karne se humein behtar trading decisions lene mein madad mil sakti hai. Is tarah se, AUD/USD ki analysis se humein aane wale waqt mein trading opportunities dhoondne mein madad milti hai.

**AUD/USD Price Action Analysis**

Pair ne Tuesday ki New York session mein 0.6710 ke intraday low se bechne ka pressure face kiya. Lekin is girawat ke bawajood, yeh umeed ki ja rahi hai ke price apne upar ki taraf movement continue karegi kyun ke US Dollar kamzor ho raha hai jab US Initial Jobless Claims report release hui. Ab investors interest rate cuts ki sambhavnaon par dhyan de rahe hain, jo October mein hone ki umeed hai, aur saath hi saal ke aakhir tak hone wale overall reductions par bhi.

**Reserve Bank of Australia ka Hawkish Outlook:**

Pair ke liye neeche ki taraf ka potential seemit nazar aa raha hai RBA ke hawkish stance ki wajah se. Central bank ne yeh darshaya hai ke agar inflationary pressures barqarar rahe to yeh interest rates ko aur badhane ke liye tayyar hai. RBA ka yeh proactive stance, saath hi China ke sarkar ki taraf se significant economic stimulus measures par barhti hui discussions, Aussie ko support dene ki umeed hai, khas taur par Australia aur China ke beech ke strong trade ties ki wajah se.

**US Federal Reserve ka Gradual Approach to Rate Cuts:**

Price ke liye downside RBA ke hawkish approach ki wajah se seemit nazar aa raha hai, kyunki central bank ne yeh signal diya hai ke agar inflation pressure continue hota hai to yeh interest rates ko aur barhane ke liye tayyar hai. Yeh assertive stance, China ke government se bade economic stimulus ki baatein bhi chalu hone ke sath, Dollar ko mazboot karne ki umeed hai, khas taur par Australia ke China ke sath kareeb trade rishton ki wajah se.

**AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis:**

Agar price 50-day EMA se neeche girti hai, to yeh pair ke bullish bias ko kamzor kar sakta hai, jo pair par neeche ki taraf pressure barha sakta hai. Aise mein, pair 0.6700 ke critical support level ko test kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to agla target 0.6670 par throwback support hoga, jo pair ke liye aur neeche ki taraf potential ko barha sakta hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal 70 ke level se thoda neeche consolidate kar raha hai, jo bullish momentum ka ishaara hai. Lekin agar RSI 70 ke mark ko cross karta hai, to yeh indicate karega ke AUD/USD pair overbought territory mein ja raha hai. Yeh ek correction ko trigger kar sakta hai, kyun ke overbought conditions aksar market mein pullbacks se pehle hoti hain.

Is analysis se yeh samajh aata hai ke market ki halat aur potential movements ko samajhna kitna zaroori hai, taake behtar trading decisions liye ja sakein.

Is haftay ke doran Australian dollar ki qeemat ghir gayi, jo ke Reserve Bank of New Zealand ke rate cut ke asar mein aaya. Ye faisla New Zealand dollar ko bhi neeche le aaya. Jabke Australian aur New Zealand ki currencies aksar milke chalti hain, is rishte ki taraqqi ko dekhna zaroori hai. Halankeh overall decline ke bawajood, market ne kuch resilience dikhai hai, aur Australian dollar ne thoda sa bounce kiya hai. Jabke weekly candlestick negative hai, ye koi khatarnaak halat nahi lagta. Traders aisa lagta hai ke market mein kuch jaan daalna chahte hain, kam az kam abhi ke liye.

Agar Australian dollar 0.6850 ki level ko tor leta hai, to ye 0.6950 ki taraf potential move ke liye raah khol sakta hai, jo ke pichle hafton mein ek resistance point bana raha hai. Agar currency is line ko torne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to humein upar ki taraf aur pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar ye 0.6650 se neeche girta hai, to ye mazeed declines ka sabab ban sakta hai, jo Australian dollar ko 0.6450 ki level tak le ja sakta hai.

Jaise ke hamesha hota hai, commodity prices Australian dollar par bohot asar daalti hain. Copper, gold, aur iron jaise commodities ki qeematein barh rahi hain, aur ye Aussie growth par mazeed pressure dal sakti hain, chahe local factors jaise interest rates kuch bhi hon. Agar ye commodity markets barhte rahe, to Australian dollar bhi in external factors ke asar mein upar ki taraf ja sakta hai, local economic conditions se alag.

Aakhir mein, Australian dollar ka rukh is baat par depend karega ke broader commodity markets kaisay perform karte hain, sath hi closely related currencies jaise New Zealand Dollar ke potential moves par bhi. Traders ko key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake ye samajh sakein ke currency mazeed recovery ke liye tayar hai ya phir kisi decline ka samna karne wali hai. Is waqt market ki halat aur commodity prices ka jaiza lena bohot zaroori hai, taake behtar trading decisions liye ja sakein

Australian dollar (AUD) ne jumme ko US dollar (USD) ke muqable me taqat dikhai, halaan ke Federal Reserve ki expected rate cut aur kuch important US economic data release hue the. AUD/USD ka ye performance ziada tar US dollar ke dynamics par mabni tha kyunki Australia ne us din koi bara economic data release nahi kiya. Sarmayakar US Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Michigan Consumer Confidence Index ko ghore se dekh rahe thay, jo ke din ke aakhri hisse me release hone thay. PPI ka overall izafa September me 1.6% ka tajzia diya ja raha tha, jabke core PPI 2.7% ka izafa expect kiya ja raha tha. Agar ye reports weaker-than-expected aati, to US dollar par pressure padta aur AUD/USD ko support mil sakta tha.
Federal Reserve ki rate cut to expected thi, magar us cut ka peemana uncertain tha. Agar zyada bara rate cut aata, to US dollar ko kuch support milta, jo ke AUD/USD ke upside ko limit kar sakta tha.
Technical Analysis
AUD/USD is waqt ek ascending trend channel me trade kar raha hai, jahan niche ki taraf strong support hai channel ke lower bound aur 100-day moving average (EMA) par. Magar Relative Strength Index (RSI) ki kamzori ye dikhati hai ke downside ka khatra abhi bhi hai. Pehla bullish barrier AUD/USD ke liye 0.6767 par September 6 ko aya tha. Agar ye level break hota hai, to bullish momentum continue ho sakta hai aur agla target 0.6823 ka high point hoga jo ke August 29 ko dekha gaya tha. Agar ye level break nahi hota, to resistance 50-day moving average 0.6714 aur 200-day moving average 0.6620 par aasakta hai. Nateeja ye hai ke AUD/USD ka performance ziada tar US dollar ke dynamics par mabni tha. Federal Reserve ki expected rate cut aur US economic data agle kuch dinon me aham kirdar ada karenge. Technical analysis ke lehaz se, pair bullish trend me hai magar agar 0.6767 ka level break nahi hota, to downside ka khatra barqarar hai.

Price ne recent resistance aur support levels ko test kiya hai, jis wajah se analysts ne range-trading strategy ko pasand kiya. Lekin, Monday ko price ne is range ko tod diya aur 0.6824 resistance level se ooper chala gaya. Jab din ka close is level ke ooper hua, tou tawajju aaj ke resistance growth par 0.6887 tak shift ho gayi. Agar price is level ke qareeb close karta hai, tou agle resistance ka target 0.6949 par ho ga. AUD/USD ka chart yeh dikhata hai ke price movements market manipulations se mutasir hain, jo aam tor par institutional traders karte hain. Yeh pattern tab hota hai jab naye trading positions volume ke zariye banaye jate hain aur phir liquidity ko withdraw kar lete hain. Analyst is pattern se waqif hain, kyunke pehle bhi dekha hai, aur yeh umeed hai ke jab upward movement jaari rahega tou ek point par price ka rise liquidity ko top par clear kar dega. Jab volume indicators yeh confirm karenge ke liquidity ooper ke levels se clear ho gayi hai, tou price mein girawat ho sakti hai, aur yeh 0.6658 tak gir sakta hai, jahan liquidity ka jama honay ka imkaan hai. Filhal AUD/USD pair growth dikha raha hai aur umeed hai ke 0.6891 level ko test karega. Envelopes indicator ke mutabiq, resistance 0.6896 par hai, jo ke overall outlook ko badalta nahi hai. Is resistance 0.6896 par mazid taqatwar rehne ka imkaan hai, jo ke pair ko wapas 0.6830 tak le ja sakta hai. Ab hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ka jaiza le rahe hain. Aaj yeh pair technically acha perform kar raha hai. D1 time frame ka analysis karke, maine bearish setup ko activate hote dekha, jo ke indicator ke zariye red mein highlight kiya gaya hai. Us waqt se, recent local high se pair 71 points se zyada gira hai (spread ke ilawa). Yeh movement ADR indicator range ke mutabiq hai, jisme high 0.6933 aur low 0.6869 hai. Scalping ka objective aksar likely tha, halanke hum abhi tak 38.2 Fibonacci level tak nahi pohanchay, jo thora niche 0.6862 par hai. American session abhi aage hai, is liye faisla karna jaldi hoga.

Main is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke price ki real-time analysis par kaam kar raha hoon. Agar aap U.S. dollar ke sath currency pairs trade kar rahe hain, to euro aur pound sab se munasib hain. Magar har kisi ki apni pasand hoti hai. Filhal mera focus U.S. dollar ki taqat par hai. Lekin, U.S. presidential election ke qareeb aane ke sath, market mein volatility ka imkaan hai, jisme achanak mukhtalif directions mein moves dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Is hafte mein U.S. dollar ki temporary kamzori (ek chhota bullish pullback) ki tawaqo kar raha hoon, jiske baad is pair mein downward movement ho sakti hai. Yeh kehne ke bawajood, election ke baad dollar mein khasi girawat aane ka imkaan hai. Buying zaroori hai kyun ke is market ka core trend bullish hai. Yeh sirf meri rai hai. Mera pehla target 0.6551 hai, jiske baad 0.6350 ka target hai. Technical taur par, AUD/USD currency pair filhal ek ascending trend channel ke andar trade kar raha hai, jisme channel ke lower bound aur 100-day moving average (EMA) ke upar strong support hai. Magar, relatively weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) yeh dikhata hai ke abhi aur downside ka risk hai. AUD/USD pair ke liye pehla bullish barrier 0.6767 ke qareeb September 6 ko nazar aaya. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh bullish momentum ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai, aur next target 0.6823 ka high point hoga jo August 29 ko dekha gaya tha. Agar pair 0.6767 ko break karne mein nakam hota hai, to yeh 50-day moving average 0.6714 aur 200-day moving average 0.6620 par resistance face kar sakta hai. Akhir mein, AUD/USD pair ka performance Friday ko ziyada tar US dollar ki dynamics se mutasir raha. Federal Reserve ke expected rate cut aur US economic data ki release aane wale dinon mein dekhne wali key factors hongi. Technical taur par, pair filhal bullish trend mein trade kar raha hai, lekin agar yeh 0.6767 level ko break nahi kar pata to aur downside ka risk abhi bhi maujood hai.

Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price performance ka tajziya karenge. US dollar mazeed mazbooti dikhane ki umeed hai, kyunke Federal Reserve foran se rate cut nahi karegi, balki yeh kaam dheere dheere hoga, jaise ke ECB aur doosre central banks bhi karte hain. Kal ke initial reports mein kuch concerns uthaaye gaye thay, lekin market ne zyada diqqat nahi di aur in data ko nazarandaaz kar diya. Technical point of view se dekhein to yeh pair channels ke andar kaam karta hai. Upward channel break hone ke baad aur breakdown ka test karne ke baad ab yeh descending channel ko upside mein break kar chuka hai. Mein apne targets ko haalat ke mutabiq dobara assess karunga.
Mere analysis ke mutabiq, main ek qareebi bullish movement dekh raha hoon, jo ke 0.686 par peak kar sakta hai. Lekin agar market is level tak nahi pohanchti, to bulls ka target mumkin hai ke 0.6820 par settle kare. Main is scenario ko tabhi nazarandaaz karunga agar trend mein achanak kamzori aati hai aur apne projected goal ko poora nahi kar pata. Iss waqt meri priority yeh hai ke AUD/USD ko 0.6820 tak pohanchte hue dekhna.

Is hafta ke dauran, buyers utne hi strong lag rahe hain jitne ke sellers, lambe arsay mein yeh level tak izafa ka imkaan hai, lekin iske baad shayad bearish trend dobara shuru ho jaye. Agar yeh upward momentum nahi hoti, to 0.6688 ke support level ki taraf downward movement likely hai, jo ke ek buying opportunity provide karegi corrective move ke taur par. Market aksar iss tarah ka pattern follow karta hai aur waves banata hai iss trajectory par. Kal ki slight upward movement shayad US ke weak economic data ki wajah se hui ho, jaise ke Producer Price Index aur University of Michigan ke figures, ya phir yeh bears ne apni positions weekend se pehle close kiye hon. Har surat mein, prevailing downtrend abhi tak barqarar hai, aur current price action ek correction ke taur par samnay aa raha hai. Agar yeh correction jaari rehta hai, to buyers shayad price ko 0.6773 ke resistance level tak push karen.

AUD/USD ka darja signal line se neeche tha, aur is ne bearish divergence ka zikar kiya, jo ke MACD par nazar aa raha tha. Chart par aik reversal pattern bana, jo ascending wedge tha, aur ye neeche ki taraf toota. Jab price 0.6909 ke level ke neeche consolidate hui, to ye aik sell signal bana. Behtareen bechnay ka mauqa tab mila jab ye level neeche se retest hui aur resistance ban gayi, jo ke growth peak par mirror image bana. Ye sab kuch US dollar ki taqat ki wajah se hua, jo ke pichlay hafte major currencies ke khilaf mazboot hui. Agar meri soch theek sabit hoti hai, to price 0.6847 ke accumulation point tak barh sakti hai. Agar ye scenario sahi hota hai, aur agar AUD/USD ka level 0.6752 support bana rehta hai, to humein 0.6752 se 0.6928 tak ka dramatic rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jahan significant buying interest maujood hai.
Price shuru mein neeche gayi lekin US employment data ki release hone tak wo stabilize rahi, jisme non-agricultural sector mein behtareen tabdeeliyan dekhi gayi. Khaaskar, average hourly wage mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate ghat gaya. Halankeh in figures par shak karna samajh se baahir nahi, lekin US dollar ne mazbooti se react kiya aur doosri global currencies ke khilaf taqat hasil ki.
Price ab us ascending support line par hai jo ke daily waves ke neeche banai gayi thi. Is waqt, CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo slight bullish divergence ko darshata hai. Ye scenario upward correction ka aik mazboot signal hai, jo ke 0.6838 ya is se zyada resistance level tak ja sakta hai. Jab hum chart ki baai taraf dekhtay hain, to humein pata chalta hai ke 0.6786 aik technical support level hai, na ke aik volume level.
Market ke movements kabhi kabhi puppeteer's strategies ko darshate hain, kyunke haal ke statistics ye darshate hain ke volume levels par hit karna zyada pasand kiya ja raha hai
Technical analysis ke lehaz se, agar pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se neechay girta hai, to pair ko challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Is level ka breach bearish shift ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair ko support level 0.6755 ki taraf lay jaye ga. Agar pair mazid girta hai, to agla ahm level jo dekhna ho ga wo 0.6671 hoga, jo downward momentum ko capitalize karne wale traders ke liye ek significant throwback point ban sakta ha
AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh

AUD/USD currency pair is waqt barh rahi hai, jabkay interest rates waise hi hain. Yeh bullish trend jaari reh sakta hai, lekin agar bearish traders ke liye 0.6738 ka level toot jaye, to yeh price ko 0.6614 tak le ja sakta hai. Chhoti time frames par aik chhoti divergence ban rahi hai jo aaj ziada growth ko rok sakti hai, is liye ab buying munasib nahi hai kyun ke price pehle hi kaafi barh chuki hai. Abhi behtar hai ke market ka progression dekha jaye. Is soorat haal mein Australian dollar focus mein nahi hai. AUD/USD pair ka future direction aaj ke resistance test ke nateejon par depend karega. Agar price 0.6901 ka level paar kar leti hai, to 0.6896 ka resistance support mein tabdeel ho sakta hai, aur further declines ka imkaan kam ho jaye ga. Daily chart par AUD/USD secondary scenario ko follow kar rahi hai, jo ke 0.6838 se upar jaa chuki hai aur 0.6872 tak continue kar rahi hai. Market ab aglay buying target 0.6893 ke qareeb hai, aur resistance zone 0.6893 aur 0.6901 ke darmiyan test hona expected hai, jiska imkaan hai ke neeche ki taraf rebound ho. Australian dollar ne daily chart par barhna jaari rakha hai, analyst ke pehlay forecast ke bawajood. Price ne recent resistance aur support levels ko test kiya hai, jis ke baad analyst range trading ko behtar samajhta hai. Magar price ne Monday ko is range ko upar break kiya, aur resistance 0.6824 ko paar kar liya. Jab din ka close is level ke upar hua, to focus ab aaj ke resistance 0.6887 ki taraf growth par hai. Jab price is resistance ke qareeb hai, agar close is level ke ird gird hota hai, to focus phir se resistance 0.6949 ki taraf growth par ho jaye ga. AUD/USD chart yeh suggest karta hai ke price movements market ki typical manipulations ke mutabiq hain, jo ke institutional traders kartay hain. Yeh pattern volume ke zariye naye trading positions establish karne aur phir liquidity withdraw karne ka hota hai. Analyst is pattern se waqif hai, aur aise moments ko pehle bhi observe kiya hai. Jo ke ab upward movement ke sath persistent bullish trend dekh raha hai, analyst yeh anticipate karta hai ke aik moment aayega jab price ka rise liquidity ko top se clear out kar dega. Jab volume indicators confirm karen ke AUD/USD liquidity likely oopar se nikal chuki hai, to phir aik decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai 0.6658 ke aas paas accumulated liquidity ke level tak. AUD/USD pair signs of growth dekh rahi hai aur 0.6891 ka level test karne ki umeed hai. Envelopes indicator ke mutabiq, wahan resistance 0.6896 par hai, jo ke main idea ko nahi badalta. Magar yeh resistance 0.6896 likely strong rehne wala hai, jo ke pair ko 0.6830 ke support level tak retreat karne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

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Filhaal, meri buying aur selling ki strategy complex signals par mabni hai jo main Hicken Ashi, TMA aur RSI candlesticks se hasil karta hoon. Yeh signals mujhe yeh batate hain ke koi Forex pair ya instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone tak barh sakta hai.

Lekin agar bullish support toot gaya, aur pair 0.6699–0.6669 zone ke neeche consolidate kart

AUD/USD

AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing ka analysis karte huay, humein yeh samajh aata hai ke abhi ek clear downtrend chal raha hai, jo ke support level 0.6944 se shuru huwa tha. Mene kuch selling signals identify kiye hain jo main use karne ka plan kar raha hoon. Iss waqt, envelopes aur alligator lines dono downward point kar rahe hain, jo bearish outlook ko confirm karte hain. Yeh expected hai ke price girti rahegi aur platform level 0.6624 ko cross karegi.
Market mein kaafi liquidity maujood hai due to stop-loss orders jo buyers ne apne long positions par lagaye hain, aur jo risk management ke liye rakhi gayi hain. Kuch false signals bhi aaye hain, kyun ke price ne zyada time ek range ke andar move kiya hai. Aakhri dafa jab 0.67249 ka support level break huwa tha, toh Tuesday ko ek confirmed breakout dekhne ko mila jo rebound tak le gaya. Ab agla sales target 0.66607 ke support level par hai.

Hourly chart par dekha jaye toh price ek descending channel mein trend kar rahi hai. Halanki pair gir raha hai, magar abhi tak lower boundary tak nahi pohoncha. Yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke price girte hue lower boundary, yaani ke 0.6688 ke aas paas tak jaaye gi. Jab yeh point hit hoga toh ek reversal aasakta hai, jisse price channel ke upper boundary ki taraf wapas jaaye, jo ke takreeban 0.6721 ke aas paas ho sakti hai.

Pichle kuch dinon mein total 5 signals aaye hain—jin mein se 3 false the aur 2 accurate. Tuesday ko ek signal sahi kaam kiya, lekin Wednesday ko ek false signal aya, aur Thursday ko aur 3 signals aaye, jin mein se 2 bhi false the. Friday ko ek signal sahi raha, aur Monday ka din decline se shuru huwa jisse 0.67249 ka support level break huwa. Iss period mein ek false sell signal aur ek false buy signal bhi dekhe gaye. Tuesday ko phir ek false buy signal aaya.

AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain. Dekhn

karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai. Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain.