ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Pair par upward pressure aa raha hai jabkay investors closely Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki hawkish monetary policy stance ko dekh rahe hain. Dosray quarter mein strong wage growth ke bawajood, RBA ke Governor Michele Bullock ne aglay chhay maheenon mein rate cuts ke imkaan ko rad kar diya hai. Bullock ne yeh wazeh kiya ke Australian central bank inflation ke khatrey par hamesha nazar rakhta hai aur agar zarurat hui to rates mazeed barhane ke liye tayar hai. Iss waqt AUD/USD pair 0.6939 ke area ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo market ka Australian Dollar par confidence reflect karta hai. Australia ke Treasurer Jim Chalmers ne RBA ke iss analysis par ehtiraz kiya ke mulk ki economy bohat zyada mazboot hai. RBA ka ye yaqeen hai ke government ke baray budgets inflation ko lambi muddat tak barqarar rakhnay mein hissa daal rahe hain, lekin Chalmers ka kehna hai ke economy central bank ke khayalat se zyada balanced hai. Iss ikhtilaf ne investors ke liye mazeed complexity paida kar di hai jo mulk ke economy ke mustaqbil aur Australian Dollar ki value ke baray mein andaza lagane ki koshish kar rahe hain.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

US Dollar ko masail ka samna hai jab ke Wednesday ko Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release hone ke baad July ki US inflation rate mein miyana darja ka izafa dekhne ko mila. Iss ne investors mein Federal Reserve (Fed) ke aglay qadam ke baray mein speculation ko janam diya. Traders ka ziada tawaqo hai ke September mein ek halka 25 basis point rate cut hoga, jiska imkaan 60% hai, lekin CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq 50 basis point cut ka bhi 36% imkaan hai. Aanay walay US Initial Jobless Claims aur Retail Sales data ko bhi anticipate kiya ja raha hai jo market sentiment ko mazeed asar daal sakta hai.

Speculation mein mazeed izafa karte huay, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid ne kaha ke agar inflation subdued rahi to monetary policy ko reduce karna "munasib" ho sakta hai. Schmid ne point out kiya ke abhi Fed ki policy itni restrictive nahi hai aur halan ke Fed apne 2% inflation target ke qareeb hai, lekin ab tak apna maqsood pura nahi kiya. Iss outlook ne US monetary policy ke mustaqbil par mukhtalif rai paida ki hai, khas tor par jab ke global economy abhi bhi uncertainties ka samna kar rahi hai.

USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis zabt-e-bahs hai. AUD/USD pair ne daily chart par neeche ki taraf rukh liya hai, jo ek wazeh downtrend dikha raha hai. Aaj ki movement se lagta hai ke yeh bearish direction jari rehne ka imkaan hai, lekin reversal bhi mumkin hai. Aaiye din ki technical analysis ko break down karte hain. Moving averages strong sell signal de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi selling pressure ko support kar rahe hain. Kul mila kar outlook suggest karta hai ke bearish trend jari rahega, magar hum kisi bhi potential shift ko monitor karenge. Price tab se is level se neeche gir chuki hai, aur dusre major currency pairs bhi qareeb mustaqbil mein mazboot US dollar ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain. Pehle wave par Fibonacci grid lagane se target decline level kareeb 161.9% hai. Beech ka target technical level 0.6641 hai, aur mera khayal hai ke price jald is level ki taraf move karegi. Magar thoda growth ya pullback ho sakta hai, jo sab se qareebi resistance level 0.6691 tak pohonch sakta hai. AUD/USD ke four-hour chart ko dekhte hue, downward trend momentum gain kar raha hai ek wazeh wave structure ke saath. MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line se neeche reh kar. Pehle, MACD aur CCI indicators par triple bearish divergence saamne aayi thi. Mazeed, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—ko downside ki taraf break kiya gaya, jisse bearish divergence signal validate hua. Nateeja yeh hua ke price drop hui, aur temporary support kareeb 0.6701 par hona tha. Aik prolonged corrective rise ke baad, price ne mirror resistance level ko hit kiya 0.6756 par, jo pehle support tha. Yeh level growth edge par hai aur consistently strong selling zone raha hai. Is decline ko jari rakhne mein ek ahem factor CCI indicator hai, jo weekly chart par upper overheating zone
Toh, is pair ke furnished chart par, is doran ek aisi situation bani jab Hiken Ashi candles ka rang neela ho gaya, ab bullish mode shayad bearish par fa'ail rahega, aur is natije mein aap market mein enter karne ke liye ek modern element le sakte hain taake long trades execute ki ja sakein. Prices linear channel ki lower line (red dotted line) ko cross kar gayi hain, lekin, sabse neeche aane ke baad, wo channel ki center line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf bounce kar gayi. Yeh bhi kehna chahunga ke basement RSI indicator (14) buy signal ko approve karta hai, jabke yeh ab long function ko tarjeeh nahi de raha - is waqt ka hesaab hai. Upside ke hawale se, mujhe yeh conclude karna hai ke buy action ka probability ab zyada hai, aur isliye extensive trade shuru karna kaafi justified hai. Main 0.69500 ke charge quote par income ki umeed rakhta hoon jo channel ki upper area border (blue dotted line) par hai. Jab order value zone mein enter ho jaye, toh breakeven ki taraf move karne ki salahiyat dena chahiye, kyunki market hamari umeedon ko ghalat moves se influence karne ka bohot shauq rakhta hai.
**Maujooda Price Behaviour ka Jaiza AUD/USD Currency Pair**
Jumeraat ko, AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka, jabke growth 0.6830 par cap hui. Magar, support level jo 0.6783 par aur gehra girne se rok raha tha, intact raha. Session ne 0.6816 se rebound karte hue 7/8 H1 pivot par 0.6804 tak girne se khatam kiya, jabke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup ye darust karta hai ke aane wale Peer se growth 0.6830 ki taraf jaari reh sakta hai. H1 ki bullish support ke saath, price shayad 0.6841 tak push kare aur 0.6875 tak pohonche. Lekin agar M15 TF ki bullish support toot jaaye aur price 0.6790 se neeche gir jaaye, toh meri strategy badal jaayegi. Phir decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke darmiyan bullish H1 ko tod sakta hai. Agar yeh hota hai, toh pair ek recovery karne ki koshish karega, bullish H1 ko barqarar rakhte hue. Agar bullish break ho jaata hai, toh ek zyada substantial bearish shift ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar pair 0.6699–0.6669 zone ke neeche consolidate kare

Filhaal, meri buying aur selling ki strategy complex signals par mabni hai jo main Hicken Ashi, TMA aur RSI candlesticks se hasil karta hoon. Yeh signals mujhe yeh batate hain ke koi Forex pair ya instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai.
Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone tak barh sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish support toot gaya, aur pair 0.6699–0.6669 zone ke neeche consolidate kart

AUD/USD currency pair ne apne recent high 0.68317 se reversal dikhaya hai aur ab yeh ek bearish trend ka izhaar kar raha hai. Is ke bawajood, price abhi bhi middle Bollinger Band ke upar hai, jo ke filhal 0.67035 par hai. Bollinger Bands abhi bhi upward direction mein hain, jo ke ongoing upward momentum ko dikhate hain, halan ke price neeche ja raha hai. Bollinger Bands aik mashhoor technical analysis ka tool hai jo teen lines par mabni hota hai: aik middle line, jo aam tor par simple moving average (SMA) hoti hai, aur do outer bands jo asset ki volatility ke basis par lagayi jaati hain. Yeh outer bands price ki harkat ke mutabiq expand aur contract karte hain, jo inhe volatility ko measure karne aur possible price reversals ko pehchanne mein madadgaar banate hain.

AUD/USD pair ke case mein, current market structure yeh suggest karta hai ke volatility abhi bhi zyada hai, jese ke Bollinger Bands ki width se zaahir hota hai. Magar, yeh bhi dekhne ko milta hai ke price recent high se neeche aane ke bawajood middle band ke upar hai, jo broader upward trend ke andar ek possible retracement ka ishara karta hai. Bollinger Bands ki upward direction yeh bata sakti hai ke bearish trend ke bawajood underlying support maujood hai jo sharp sell-off ko rok sakti hai.

Jab market Monday ko dobara khulegi, to yeh mumkin hai ke bearish trend jari rahe, dekhte hue ke downward movement mein momentum hai. Agar yeh trend barqarar rehti hai, to price aur neeche ja sakta hai, aur key support levels ko test kar sakta hai, jin mein middle band bhi shaamil hai. Traders ko lower Bollinger Band par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke agar price is level ke neeche jaati hai, to yeh ek deeper downward move ka ishara ho sakta hai aur pair ke mazid kamzor hone ka signal de sakti hai.

Is waqt, market participants zyadah indicators ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo bearish trend ki taqat ko confirm kar sakein, jese ke moving averages, volume data, ya doosre technical indicators, jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Yeh additional confirmation de sakte hain ke price mazeed neeche

aur RSI candlesticks se hasil karta hoon. Yeh signals mujhe yeh batate hain ke koi Forex pair ya instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay k



e baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound ke saath khatam hua, lekin H1 pivot 7/8 (0.6804) tak gir gaya, jab ke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup yeh batata hai ke Monday se growth 0.6830 tak jaari reh sakti hai. Agar price neechay 0.6790 ke level se toot jata hai, to meri strategy badal jayegi aur phir yeh decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke zone tak barh sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish support toot gaya, aur pair 0.6699–0.6669 zone ke neeche consolidate karta

USD pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-week

TMA aur RSI candlesticks se hasil karta hoon. Yeh signals mujhe yeh batate hain ke koi Forex pair ya instrument khareedne ke liye bohat high ho chuka hai. Jaise jaise waqt guzarta hai aur device ka consensus warning deta hai, yeh zahir hota hai ke bulls ab zyada active ho gaye hain, aur ab buying ko tarjeeh deni chahiye. Hicken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price levels ko define karti hain aur regular Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hain, meri madad karti hain ke main har reversal moment, corrective rollbacks, aur impulse shootouts ko barwaqt pehchan sakoon. Saath hi, TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator bhi bohat zyada madadgar hai, jo ke chart par support aur resistance ke advanced marks draw karta hai. Yeh indicator us waqt moving assets ke limits ko zahir karta hai jab wo apne maqam par pohonch jata hai. Indicators ko close karne aur deal ko finalize karne ke liye main RSI oscillator ka use karta hoon, jo ke overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. Yeh tareeqa instruments ki buying aur selling ko priority dene mein madad karta hai aur ghalat market entries se bachata hai. Ab jo main chart par dekh raha hoon, Hicken Ash candles ka rang ab blue mein badal gaya hai, jo zahir karta hai ke ab bullish mode zyada dominate karega, aur yeh waqt hai ke long trades execute kiye jayen. Prices ne linear channel ke lower line ko cross kar diya tha, lekin neechay ka sabse kam darja choonay ke baad wapas channel ke center line par aa gayi hain. Basement RSI indicator bhi ab buying signal de raha hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke ab yeh trade karne ke liye achha waqt hai. Main expect kar raha hoon ke price 0.69500 ke maqam tak barh sakti hai jo ke channel ke upper border par hai. Jab order value zone mein dakhil ho jaye, to breakeven ki taraf move karne ka mashwara hai kyun ke market kabhi kabhi humari expectations ko ghalat moves se influence karta hai. Ab agar hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karein, to Friday ko AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka tha aur growth 0.6830 par ruk gayi thi. Lekin support level 0.6783 ne price ko zyada girne se roka. Session 0.6816 se rebound

AUDUSD currency pair ab bhi bullish trend par aage barhne ki salahiyat rakhta hai. Agar hum H4 time frame par price action ka jaiza lein, to bullish trend structure phir se banana shuru ho gaya hai jab market ne August ke aakhri din trading session mein qadam rakha. Pichle kuch dinon se bullish movement jo chal rahi hai, wo aalaaqat se upward trend rally hai. Agar hum pichle mahine ke akhir mein sellers ki nakami ko dekhein, jo 0.6650 ke niche nahi ja sake, to is wajah se dusre buyers ko BUY trading positions lene mein zyada confidence mila hai. Is waqt candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, jo yeh darust karti hai ke market ab bhi buyers ke asar mein hai. Price niche girne ke bawajood yellow SMA 60 indicator ko break nahi kar paya, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke AUDUSD currency pair ke bullish trend ki taraf wapas aane ki salahiyat hai. Market ki umeed hai ke wo upar ki taraf barhne ki koshish karega. Meri agle andazay ke mutabiq, market ab bhi aage barhne ki taraf hai. Halanki, market is waqt halki downward correction phase mein hai, lekin bullish movement ka mauqa ab bhi zyada range tak jaane ki umeed hai. Mera andaza hai ke aaj raat tak price mein izafa hoga, lekin range itni wide nahi hogi kyunki is hafte ke darmiyan trend shayad correction phase ke baad apne raahein dobara pakrayega. Agar price 0.6800 ke upar barh jata hai to yeh is currency pair ke liye bullish safar jaari rakhne ka mazboot signal hoga. Is liye buyers ka dominion ab bhi price ko upar push karne ki taqat rakhta hai. Trading ka option ab bhi BUY transactions ki taraf hai. Natija: AUDUSD currency pair ke market halat ko agar technically dekha jaye to yeh ab bhi bullish hai, isliye is hafte ke trading session mein price ke izafe ki sambhavnayein ab bhi khuli hain. Lekin buyers ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke thoda sabr karein aur 0.6825 level tak rukne ka intezar karein pehle BUY position kholne se pehle. Target price level bullish ko 0.6875 tak pahunchne ki koshish karni chahiye, aur Stop Loss limit ko 0.6790 par rakhna chahiye. Agar agle trade mein price 0.6880

USD pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke



Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-week low 0.6622 ki taraf ja sakta hai downward slope par hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 se neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator ne laal rang le liya hai, jo bears ke dominant hone ka saboot deta hai. Iss waqt selling ko tarjeeh di jani chahiye. Agar yeh girawat jari rehti hai, to agla target level 0.6621 hoga. Agar bears is threshold ko tod dete hain, to quotes mazeed gir kar 0.6560 tak ja sakti hain. Main yeh tawaqo karta hoon ke yeh level bhi breakdown hoga, aur downward trend 0.6605 tak jari rahega, jo ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 0.6557 tak bhi

pair hourly chart par thoda bearish nazar aa raha hai, lekin yeh movement un diligent sellers ki umeedon se door hai. Hum extreme low tak nahi pahunche, isliye ek significant decline ka prediction karna abhi jaldi hai. Jumme ke trading aksar ek key indicator hota hai, jo aane wale predictions ka buniyad tayar karta hai. Kyunki price minimum ke neeche nahi gayi, hum sirf limited drop ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain, jo ke ek full correction nahi, balki ek zigzag pattern hai, jo is situation mein acha fit hota hai. Market jald hi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai. Main 0.6679 ke aas-paas long positions ke liye potential dekhta hoon. Halankeh koi significant support levels nazar nahi aate, yahan kuch hafton pehle ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Is rebound ki taqat modest ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.6729 tak peak kare, uske baad zigzag ka khatma ho sakta hai. Is waqt buying positions se exit karna behtar hoga. Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 level ke aas-paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se mark kiya gaya hai jo pehle test nahi hue. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai, jab price is taraf aati hai to potential profit-taking aur sell-side interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, recent sessions mein dekha gaya upward momentum yeh darshata hai ke buyers ke paas is resistance ko challenge karne ki taqat ho sakti hai. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh aage ke gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, shayad 0.68500 ke upar higher liquidity levels ko target karte hue. Neeche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone established hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps hue hain. In liquidity sweeps ki maujoodgi yeh darshati hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke khilaf cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone ki taraf retrace hoti hai, to yeh dobara buying interest ka samna kar sakti hai, jo isse ek significant support level banata hai.

Summarize karte hue, AUD/USD clear bullish momentum dikhata hai jab key liquidity gaps fill hoti hain aur support zones se reverse hota hai. 0.68000 level agla critical resistance hai, jiska break hone par aage ke upside ki sambhavna hai. Iske baraks, agar price 0.67000 ya isse neeche pullback hoti hai, to yeh buying interest ka samna karegi, agar market conditions favorable rahe. Pair ka overall structure yeh darshata hai ke jab tak key support levels hold hote hain, bullish trend near term

AUD/USD

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya karne par markooz hogi. Jumeraat ko, Australian dollar ne apne trend ko ulatne ki koshish ki. Jab tak Budh tak, bazar ne lambi muddat tak oonchoi ki taraf rawani dikhai. Lekin, Budh ko price ne 1/2 margin zone ke neeche band hua, jo Thursday ko trend ko bearish bana gaya. Magar ek din baad, price ne phir se 1/2 margin zone ke upar band kiya, jo ek mumkinah trend reversal ka ishara hai, jab tak price kal sell zone mein nahi girti. Jumeraat ko ek options contract expire hua, jis mein price ne aane wale Peer ke liye call levels ke upar rehta hua dikhai di. Expiry ke doran price niche gir sakti hai taake debt expiration level tak nahi ponchti. Filhal, Aussie ne aisi ek debt hold ki hui hai, jo Peer ko hui jab price ne apne calls ke upar expire kiya. Naye Peer ke option ke liye comfort zone ab is waqt ke zone se kaafi upar hoga, jo mazeed growth ka imkaan dikhata hai, jab ke calls rokne wale ceiling ke tor par kaam karein gi.

Haalat e waqi'i ne weekly chart par aik wazeh technical pattern dikhaya hai. Pehle, Aussie dollar ne 0.63494 level se musalsal rebound dikhaya, lekin jab yeh trend line ko touch kiya toh is ne oonchai ki taraf apni rawani mein jaan daali, jab ke resistance ko 0.6897 par tod diya aur weekly dynamic aur monthly scale channels ke midpoint ke upar bhi chale gaye. Iske ilawa, secondary window mein oscillator histogram apne moving average ke upar aur sarhad par hai, jo bullish solid support ka ishara hai. Is kay mad nazar, price apne mojooda level par theher sakti hai aur mazeed ooncha upar chal sakti hai, mumkinah tor par 0.71376 tak. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke cost chand aik din ke liye halka sa niche aaye taake debt clearance ho jaye, lekin yeh itna nahi girna chahiye ke price kam se kam Peer ke put level tak nahi ponche.

USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis zabt-e-bahs hai. AUD/USD pair ne daily chart par neeche ki taraf rukh liya hai, jo ek wazeh downtrend dikha raha hai. Aaj ki movement se lagta hai ke yeh bearish direction jari rehne ka imkaan hai, lekin reversal bhi mumkin hai. Aaiye din ki technical analysis ko break down karte hain. Moving averages strong sell signal de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi selling pressure ko support kar rahe hain. Kul mila kar outlook suggest karta hai ke bearish trend jari rahega, magar hum kisi bhi potential shift ko monitor karenge. Price tab se is level se neeche gir chuki hai, aur dusre major currency pairs bhi qareeb mustaqbil mein mazboot US dollar ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain. Pehle wave par Fibonacci grid lagane se target decline level kareeb 161.9% hai. Beech ka target technical level 0.6641 hai, aur mera khayal hai ke price jald is level ki taraf move karegi. Magar thoda growth ya pullback ho sakta hai, jo sab se qareebi resistance level 0.6691 tak pohonch sakta hai. AUD/USD ke four-hour chart ko dekhte hue, downward trend momentum gain kar raha hai ek wazeh wave structure ke saath. MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line se neeche reh kar. Pehle, MACD aur CCI indicators par triple bearish divergence saamne aayi thi. Mazeed, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—ko downside ki taraf break kiya gaya, jisse bearish divergence signal validate hua. Nateeja yeh hua ke price drop hui, aur temporary support kareeb 0.6701 par hona tha. Aik prolonged corrective rise ke baad, price ne mirror resistance level ko hit kiya 0.6756 par, jo pehle support tha. Yeh level growth edge par hai aur consistently strong selling zone raha hai. Is decline ko jari rakhne mein ek ahem factor CCI indicator hai, jo weekly chart par upper overheating zone
Toh, is pair ke furnished chart par, is doran ek aisi situation bani jab Hiken Ashi candles ka rang neela ho gaya, ab bullish mode shayad bearish par fa'ail rahega, aur is natije mein aap market mein enter karne ke liye ek modern element le sakte hain taake long trades execute ki ja sakein. Prices linear channel ki lower line (red dotted line) ko cross kar gayi hain, lekin, sabse neeche aane ke baad, wo channel ki center line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf bounce kar gayi. Yeh bhi kehna chahunga ke basement RSI indicator (14) buy signal ko approve karta hai, jabke yeh ab long function ko tarjeeh nahi de raha - is waqt ka hesaab hai. Upside ke hawale se, mujhe yeh conclude karna hai ke buy action ka probability ab zyada hai, aur isliye extensive trade shuru karna kaafi justified hai. Main 0.69500 ke charge quote par income ki umeed rakhta hoon jo channel ki upper area border (blue dotted line) par hai. Jab order value zone mein enter ho jaye, toh breakeven ki taraf move karne ki salahiyat dena chahiye, kyunki market hamari umeedon ko ghalat moves se influence karne ka bohot shauq rakhta hai.
**Maujooda Price Behaviour ka Jaiza AUD/USD Currency Pair**
Jumeraat ko, AUD/USD pair H1 pivot 0.6835 tak nahi pohonch saka, jabke growth 0.6830 par cap hui. Magar, support level jo 0.6783 par aur gehra girne se rok raha tha, intact raha. Session ne 0.6816 se rebound karte hue 7/8 H1 pivot par 0.6804 tak girne se khatam kiya, jabke M15 time frame bullish raha. Yeh bullish setup ye darust karta hai ke aane wale Peer se growth 0.6830 ki taraf jaari reh sakta hai. H1 ki bullish support ke saath, price shayad 0.6841 tak push kare aur 0.6875 tak pohonche. Lekin agar M15 TF ki bullish support toot jaaye aur price 0.6790 se neeche gir jaaye, toh meri strategy badal jaayegi. Phir decline 0.6769 aur 0.6749 ke darmiyan bullish H1 ko tod sakta hai. Agar yeh hota hai, toh pair ek recovery karne ki koshish karega, bullish H1 ko barqarar rakhte hue. Agar bullish break ho jaata hai, toh ek zyada substantial bearish shift ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar pair 0.6699–0.6669 zone ke neeche consolidate kare

USD currency pair ki pricing movement ki ongoing study par focus kar rahe hain. Aaj subah koi upward movement nahi hui. Ek sell signal ka izhar hua, jisse price 0.6911 se gir kar 0.6869 tak aaya. Aage mazeed movement ke imkanaat hain. Hum agle step mein dollar ki taqat barhne ki umeed kar rahe hain, khaaskar Non-Farm Payrolls report ke pehle, kyunke job growth ka imkaan hai, jo dollar ko mazeed mazboot karega. Main ab bhi price mein girawat ka hi andaza laga raha hoon, kyunke yeh wazeh hai ke hum downward trend mein hain. Mera tajzia yeh hai ke hum 0.6777 level tak pohanch sakte hain, halaanke yeh abhi door hai. Agar hum 0.6849 tak girte hain, toh agla significant support 0.6820 par ho sakta hai. Jab ke downside zyada clear hai, upward movement ko kuch challenges ka samna ho sakta hai. Kisi bhi rise ki surat mein yeh ek corrective wave ka nateeja hoga, jo humein 0.6952 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh ek strong opportunity hogi AUD/USD sell karne ke liye, aur 0.690 se sell positions initiate ki ja sakti hain agar pair mazeed upar jata hai.
Ek naya signal aane ka imkaan hai, jo strong support level 0.6857 ki taraf girawat ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke pair neeche jaane se pehle upar ki taraf move kare. Phir bhi, bearish movement abhi tak primary outlook hai. Humein intezar karna padega ke forecast kaam karta hai ya nahi. Agar sellers local support range ke neeche hold karte hain, toh hum ek strong one-way decline dekh sakte hain, jo pair ko sell karne ke estimates ko confirm karega. Agar bears aage barhne mein nakam hotay hain, toh buyers control le sakte hain. Ek false breakout ka imkaan bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Forecast ab bhi bearish movement par focused hai, khaaskar neural network ke clear signal ke madde nazar. Lekin plans badal bhi sakte hain, aur bulls price ko qareebi resistance level tak ya us se bhi upar push kar sakte hain. Dekhna hoga ke agle kuch ghantay kis tarah guzar te hain

AUD/USD Market Analysis

Spot price ka rukh jumeraat ko neeche ki taraf raha, jo 0.6791 ke 11-mah ke low se thoda kam par trade hua. Yeh jo jor hai, yeh US Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke beech mukhtalif policy expectations ki wajah se dabav mein hai. Filhal, yeh jor 0.6799 ke ird gird ghoom raha hai, jabke traders aham maashi data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo central bank ke faislon ko aur asar andaz ker sakty hn.

Haal ki price movement se yeh zahir hota hai ke jor ne daily chart par chadhte huye channel ko tor diya hai, jo bullish bias ki kamzori ko darshata hai. Jabke jor apne haal ke lows ke sath khilwat kar raha hai, overall jazba bearish hai. Market ka ehtiyaat bhara mahol global maashi halat ke bare mein broad uncertainties ko dikhata hai, khaaskar aane wale inflation reports aur central bank ke faislon ke sath.

AUD/USD ke Buniyadi Pehlu:

Jahan Fed se umeed hai ke wo September mein interest rates ghatayega, lekin kitni martaba ghataya jayega yeh abhi tak wazeh nahi. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, market do hisson mein taqseem hai ke kya Fed 25 ya 50 basis points (bps) ka ghatav karega. Maujooda data yeh darshata hai ke 50 bps ka ghatav hone ki 28.5% sambhavana hai, jabke baqiya market 25 bps ke ghatav ki taraf jhuka hua hai. Yeh aalaam speculation US Dollar ki taqat par asar daal raha hai, jo indirectly AUD/USD ke movement ko bhi asar Andaz ker sakti hai .

Australia mein, inflation data se umeed hai ke yeh 3.8% se ghat kar 3.4% tak pohanch jayega. Inflation mein ye kami RBA ke taraf se is saal interest rates ghatane ki sambhavana ko kam kar sakti hai. Yeh Australian Dollar ke performance ke bare mein uncertainty ko barhata hai, jab traders dekh rahe hain ke kya RBA apne rukh ko kamzor price pressures ke jawab mein tabdeel karega.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Yeh jor filhal critical support levels ko test kar raha hai, jahan khud ki tawajjoh 11-mah ke low 0.6791 par hai. Agar yeh is se neeche girta hai, toh agla support level ascending channel ki lower boundary par 0.6750 ke qareeb hai. Is point par breach hone se jor ko gehre lows ko explore karne par majboor kar sakta hai, jo 0.6740 mark ke ird gird descending channel ki upper boundary ki taraf le ja sakta hai.




Bearish rukh ke bawajood, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi tak 70 ke niche hai, jo darshata hai ke jor abhi tak overbought territory mein nahi hai. Yeh short term mein mazeed faida ki sambhavana ko support karta hai, lekin neeche ki taraf khatarat ab bhi maujood hain. Agar jor maujooda support levels ke upar rehne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh ek reversal ho sakta hai, jahan AUD/USD apne haal ke nuqsanat ka kuch hissa recover kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD Price Opportunities

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke live price action par markooz hai. AUD/USD ka 0.6899 level ka tootna ek ghalat signal hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke yeh samjha jaye ke price is markaz se thodi der ke liye neeche gaya, aur ek daily candle is se neeche band hui. Lekin is ne abhi tak saaf taur par selling opportunity nahi dikhayi. 0.6899 level jald hi apni ahmiyat kho sakta hai, isliye bechaini se sell trades mein ghusna acha nahi hoga. Hourly chart par yeh pattern zyada wazeh hota ja raha hai. Kal, AUD/USD ne 0.6858 tak girne ke baad 0.6898 par resistance ki taraf wapas udi. Halankeh yeh is level se kuch dair ke liye upar gaya, lekin isay sambhal nahi paya, jo short trades ke liye ek entry point bana. Is ne bechne walon ko price neeche le jane ka mauqa diya. Maujooda signals ke mutabiq, yeh jor 0.6820 ke support level tak gir sakta hai, lekin yeh move kuch waqt lega aur shayad ek din mein nahi hoga. Agar bulls price ko 0.6898 ke upar le jane mein kamiyab hote hain aur isay sambhalte hain, toh ek naya buy entry point banega, jahan buyers agle resistance 0.6941 ko target kar sakte hain.




Geopolitical Tensions:

Iske ilawa, geopolitical tensions market ke jazbat par asar daal rahi hain. Kal, Iran ne Israel par hamla kiya, lekin reports ke mutabiq yeh ek chhoti si hadsa thi. Lekin agar Israel jawab de aur tensions barh jaen, toh is se global markets, khaaskar U.S. dollar par aham asar ho sakta hai. Federal Reserve in halaton mein interest rates ghatane ka faisla nahi kar sakta. Dollar, jo ek safe-haven asset hai, mazid taqatwar ho sakta hai, jo AUD/USD pair par aur dabav daal sakta hai. Is nazariyye ke mutabiq, AUD/USD par bechne ka dabav barh jayega, khaaskar agar yeh 0.6861 se neeche girta hai. Is neeche ke move ka target 0.6800 ho sakta hai, aur price aur bhi neeche 0.6700 tak ghir sakta hai. 0.6900 par resistance mazboot hai, aur jab tak yeh jor is level se mazboot taur par nahi tootta, saaf signals par bechna behtar strategy hai.