Pair par upward pressure aa raha hai jabkay investors closely Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki hawkish monetary policy stance ko dekh rahe hain. Dosray quarter mein strong wage growth ke bawajood, RBA ke Governor Michele Bullock ne aglay chhay maheenon mein rate cuts ke imkaan ko rad kar diya hai. Bullock ne yeh wazeh kiya ke Australian central bank inflation ke khatrey par hamesha nazar rakhta hai aur agar zarurat hui to rates mazeed barhane ke liye tayar hai. Iss waqt AUD/USD pair 0.6939 ke area ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo market ka Australian Dollar par confidence reflect karta hai. Australia ke Treasurer Jim Chalmers ne RBA ke iss analysis par ehtiraz kiya ke mulk ki economy bohat zyada mazboot hai. RBA ka ye yaqeen hai ke government ke baray budgets inflation ko lambi muddat tak barqarar rakhnay mein hissa daal rahe hain, lekin Chalmers ka kehna hai ke economy central bank ke khayalat se zyada balanced hai. Iss ikhtilaf ne investors ke liye mazeed complexity paida kar di hai jo mulk ke economy ke mustaqbil aur Australian Dollar ki value ke baray mein andaza lagane ki koshish kar rahe hain.
AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:
US Dollar ko masail ka samna hai jab ke Wednesday ko Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release hone ke baad July ki US inflation rate mein miyana darja ka izafa dekhne ko mila. Iss ne investors mein Federal Reserve (Fed) ke aglay qadam ke baray mein speculation ko janam diya. Traders ka ziada tawaqo hai ke September mein ek halka 25 basis point rate cut hoga, jiska imkaan 60% hai, lekin CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq 50 basis point cut ka bhi 36% imkaan hai. Aanay walay US Initial Jobless Claims aur Retail Sales data ko bhi anticipate kiya ja raha hai jo market sentiment ko mazeed asar daal sakta hai.
Speculation mein mazeed izafa karte huay, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid ne kaha ke agar inflation subdued rahi to monetary policy ko reduce karna "munasib" ho sakta hai. Schmid ne point out kiya ke abhi Fed ki policy itni restrictive nahi hai aur halan ke Fed apne 2% inflation target ke qareeb hai, lekin ab tak apna maqsood pura nahi kiya. Iss outlook ne US monetary policy ke mustaqbil par mukhtalif rai paida ki hai, khas tor par jab ke global economy abhi bhi uncertainties ka samna kar rahi hai.
AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:
US Dollar ko masail ka samna hai jab ke Wednesday ko Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release hone ke baad July ki US inflation rate mein miyana darja ka izafa dekhne ko mila. Iss ne investors mein Federal Reserve (Fed) ke aglay qadam ke baray mein speculation ko janam diya. Traders ka ziada tawaqo hai ke September mein ek halka 25 basis point rate cut hoga, jiska imkaan 60% hai, lekin CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq 50 basis point cut ka bhi 36% imkaan hai. Aanay walay US Initial Jobless Claims aur Retail Sales data ko bhi anticipate kiya ja raha hai jo market sentiment ko mazeed asar daal sakta hai.
Speculation mein mazeed izafa karte huay, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid ne kaha ke agar inflation subdued rahi to monetary policy ko reduce karna "munasib" ho sakta hai. Schmid ne point out kiya ke abhi Fed ki policy itni restrictive nahi hai aur halan ke Fed apne 2% inflation target ke qareeb hai, lekin ab tak apna maqsood pura nahi kiya. Iss outlook ne US monetary policy ke mustaqbil par mukhtalif rai paida ki hai, khas tor par jab ke global economy abhi bhi uncertainties ka samna kar rahi hai.
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