ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD Technical Analysis:

AUD/USD H1 time frame par aaj hum is currency pair ki price action analysis par nazar dalenge, jis mein hum iski haal ki performance aur market behavior par tawajjoh denge. Pichhle haftay, AUD/USD pair ne aam tor par umeedon ke mutabiq harkat ki, jahan kuch waqt tak growth dekhi gayi lekin kaafi volatility bhi rahi. Ye analysis key movements, technical patterns, aur potential strategies ko tor farokht karay ga jo traders ko pair ke sath agle sessions mein engage karne ke liye madadgar sabit ho sakti hain.

Pichhla haftah, AUD/USD ne ek mazboot uptrend dikhaya, jabke Australian Dollar ne kuch faida mand economic indicators se support hasil kiya, sath hi US Dollar mein kuch kamzori dekhi gayi. Commodity currency hone ke naate, Australian Dollar positive risk sentiment aur commodities ki global demand ke barhne par faida uthata hai. Global markets ke kuch recovery aur economic outlooks mein naye umeed ke saath, AUD ne USD ke muqable mein mazbooti hasil ki.

Lekin, ye growth bina volatility ke nahi thi. Price fluctuations aam the, khaaskar key resistance aur support levels ke ird gird. Pair ne 0.6460 level ke ird gird resistance ko test karne ke baad kai pullbacks dekhe lekin phir bhi apne upward trajectory ko barqarar rakha. Market mein volatility zyada tar bahari asbaab, jaise global economic developments, risk sentiment, aur commodities ki price fluctuations ke sabab thi, jo sab ne AUD/USD exchange rate par seedha asar dala.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis (H1 Time Frame)

H1 time frame par pichle haftay ki price action ne kai key levels ko confirm kiya hai, jin par traders ko tawajjoh deni chahiye. Pehla aham resistance level lagbhag 0.6460 par hai. Ye level haftay ke doran kai martaba test kiya gaya, lekin bulls is par convincingly break nahi kar paaye. Agar AUD/USD is resistance ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai, to ye further gains ke liye raasta khol sakta hai, jo ke 0.6500 ke psychological level tak bhi ja sakta hai.

Neeche ki taraf, support ab 0.6380 level ke nazdeek nazar aa raha hai, jo pichle haftay ke pullbacks ke doran mazboot raha. Agar ye support tod diya gaya, to ye maujooda bullish momentum ka khatam hone ka signal de sakta hai, aur is se gehri retracement ka raasta khul sakta hai.

H1 chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne bullish phases ke doran aksar overbought territory mein girne ka darshaya, jo is baat ka izhar karta hai ke pair par strong buying pressure tha. Lekin jab bhi RSI 70 ke level ke nazdeek gaya, market ne thoda sa correction dekha, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke key levels par sellers apne profits le rahe the.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ne bhi haftay ke zyada hisson mein bullish divergence dikhaya, jo uptrend ko mazid taqat deta hai, lekin haftay ke aakhir mein ye thoda flatten hota nazar aaya, jo momentum ke kam hone ka indication hai.

Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. AUD/USD currency pair ki movement abhi bhi bullish movements ke zair e tarsarf rehne ki poori guzarish hai aur is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aagey bhi barh sakti hai. Filhaal mein khud bhi intizaar aur talaash kar raha hoon ke bullish potential ke sath BUY setup banaye jo ke level 0.6855 ke range tak ja sake. Agar yeh target ko haasil karne mein kamyaab hoti hai toh yeh baqiyaat level ki taraf barhne mein mazeed pur-itminan hogi. Lekin agar yeh nakam hoti hai, toh umeed ki jaa sakti hai ke yeh wapas se neeche gir jaye gi. AUD/USD currency pair ki market trend jo ke mazi chand dino se bullish condition mein thi, toh buyers se yeh umeed hai ke unke paas price ko barhane ka mazeed potential ho sakta hai, lekin abhi market ke price downward correction ke sath market ki conditions Ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, kyun ke market aaj subah se khuli hai. Relative Strength Index indicator ki line abhi bhi level 50 se upar aram se chal rahi hai jo ke bullish trend ki nishani hai. Candlestick ki position abhi bhi 0.6780 ke price level ke upar hai jo ke upward moving market ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Is haftay ke price movement mein momentum ko dekhte hue jo ke zyada taur par bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara se bullish trend par aajaye jab tak ke market kal subah band na ho

AUD-USD Pair Review

Agar main AUD-USD market ki overall condition ko dekhoon, to is hafte ke trading period mein price ka safar Uptrend mein hai. Candlestick ab horizontally chalti nazar aa rahi hai, jab wo European session market zone mein enter karne wale hain. Aaj subah market 0.6914 ke price se khula aur Asian session ki situation ke mutabiq dheere dheere chal raha hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke price ka Uptrend ki taraf move karna kaafi khula hai, halankeh yeh consolidation zone mein hai. Aisa lagta hai ke bada trend abhi bhi bullish hai, lekin is waqt buyers ko price ko upar le jaane mein mushkil ka samna hai, taake wo weekly opening position se upar uth sakein, kyunki market is waqt volatility mein kam hai.

Aisa lagta hai ke abhi bhi upar jaane ka mauka hai, shayad yeh price point 0.6964 ko test kar sakta hai, jo current candlestick ke upar ka area hai. Lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke candlestick ka movement lowest monthly level limit ki taraf neeche jaaye. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, agle market safar ka early week period ke dauran, price Uptrend ki taraf jaane ki sambhavana hai, chhoti range ke saath jo pehle ke bullish trend ki continuation ke liye momentum ban sakta hai. Stochastic indicator 80 zone ko touch karne ke liye upar gaya hai, jo buyer control ko darshata hai.

Buyers ne price ko 0.6937 zone tak uthaya, kyunki yeh increase kaafi zyada tha. Monday raat ko, buyers ne puri taqat ke saath trading shuru ki, jis se wo price ko weekly opening zone ke upar uthane mein kamiyab rahe. Price 0.6876 zone se bounce hua hai aur Moving Average zone ke upar steadily chal raha hai, jo trend ke liye reference hai jo bullish trend ko aage barha sakta hai. Agar price increase 0.6956 price zone ko paar kar sakti hai, to AUD-USD pair ke liye upar ki taraf badhne ke liye mauka zyada hoga. Main hafte ke end tak Buy position chunne ki taraf jhuk raha hoon.

EUR/USD daily chart kuch key support aur resistance levels, liquidity zones, aur fair value gaps (FVG) ko highlight karta hai, jo ke recent price movements ko shape karne mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. June 2024 se ye pair gradual uptrend mein hai, jo ke 1.0600 ke aas-paas ke liquidity zone se rebound karta hua aaya hai, jise downward liquidity (DLiq) ke tor par mark kiya gaya hai. Ye level ek bara support ka kaam kar raha tha, aur yahan se price 1.1000 ke qareeb agle resistance area ki taraf barhi, jo ke chart par nazar aane wale large red-shaded liquidity zone ke lower end ke mutabiq hai. Early September mein price ne 1.1200 ke qareeb resistance face kiya, jo ke ek aise area se mutaliq tha jahan pehli liquidity grabs aur uske baad pullbacks hue the. Ye level mazid seller interest ka historical area tha, jis ki wajah se price ko initial surge ke baad rejection ka samna karna pada. Iss dauran price action ne 1.1050 aur 1.1100 ke darmiyan ek fair value gap (FVG) ko fill kiya, jo ke price ko upar ki taraf push karne mein madadgar sabit hua. Magar, current price 1.10770 par hai aur bullish momentum ab thoda kamzor hota hua lag raha hai, kyun ke pair is resistance zone ke qareeb consolidate kar raha hai.

July mein ek aur liquidity zone (DLiq) 1.0850 level ke qareeb bana, jo ke pair ke upward journey ke dauran temporary floor bana. Is zone ko kai dafa retest kiya gaya, uske baad buyers ne kamiyabi se price ko upar ki taraf dhakela. Is ke ilawa, 1.1000 ke level ke neeche FVG ko bhi partial fill kiya gaya, jo ke third quarter of 2024 mein bullish reversal ka sabab bana. Agay dekhte hue, agar price 1.1200 se upar break karne mein naakam rehti hai, toh deeper correction 1.1000 ya 1.0900 levels ki taraf ho sakti hai, jahan liquidity aur fair value gaps temporary support provide kar sakti hain. Dosri taraf, agar bulls phir se control haasil kar lete hain aur 1.1200 resistance ko break karte hain, toh agla target 1.1300 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, aur price apni uptrend ko jari rakh sakti hai.

ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair

Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. AUD/USD currency pair ki movement abhi bhi bullish movements ke zair e tarsarf rehne ki poori guzarish hai aur is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aagey bhi barh sakti hai. Filhaal mein khud bhi intizaar aur talaash kar raha hoon ke bullish potential ke sath BUY setup banaye jo ke level 0.6855 ke range tak ja sake. Agar yeh target ko haasil karne mein kamyaab hoti hai toh yeh baqiyaat level ki taraf barhne mein mazeed pur-itminan hogi. Lekin agar yeh nakam hoti hai, toh umeed ki jaa sakti hai ke yeh wapas se neeche gir jaye gi. AUD/USD currency pair ki market trend jo ke mazi chand dino se bullish condition mein thi, toh buyers se yeh umeed hai ke unke paas price ko barhane ka mazeed potential ho sakta hai, lekin abhi market ke price downward correction ke sath market ki conditions Ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, kyun ke market aaj subah se khuli hai. Relative Strength Index indicator ki line abhi bhi level 50 se upar aram se chal rahi hai jo ke bullish trend ki nishani hai. Candlestick ki position abhi bhi 0.6780 ke price level ke upar hai jo ke upward moving market ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Is haftay ke price movement mein momentum ko dekhte hue jo ke zyada taur par bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara se b

USD currency pair ke price behavior ke tajziye ke hawalay se hai. AUD/USD filhal ek downward trend mein hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, 4-hour chart par price cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche, aur Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke neeche hai. Is waqt ek "dead cross" active hai. Bollinger Bands downward slope par hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 se neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator ne laal rang le liya hai, jo bears ke dominant hone ka saboot deta hai. Iss waqt selling ko tarjeeh di jani chahiye. Agar yeh girawat jari rehti hai, to agla target level 0.6621 hoga. Agar bears is threshold ko tod dete hain, to quotes mazeed gir kar 0.6560 tak ja sakti hain. Main yeh tawaqo karta hoon ke yeh level bhi breakdown hoga, aur downward trend 0.6605 tak jari rahega, jo ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 0.6557 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Medium term mein mera target 0.6458 aur 0.6349 ke levels par hai. Meri analysis jo maine subah share ki thi, us ke mutabiq AUD/USD market bilkul bears ki madad kar rahi hai aur abhi 0.6646 level par hai. Agar yeh rejection hoti hai, to bulls ko dobara market mein entry lene ka moka milega. Iss dauran, market buyers ke haq mein ja rahi hai, jo is baat ka wazeh ishara hai ke momentum ab upward movement ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Buyers ko taqat mil rahi hai aur wo prices ko upar dhakel rahe hain, jo ke ek bullish scenario ka saboot hai. Doosri taraf, sellers apna asar kho rahe hain aur unhein market par dabao dalna mushkil ho raha hai. Aise mein, sellers ke liye sell entry lena munasib nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh prevailing trend ke khilaf hoga. Is waqt sell position lena nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai, kyun ke market ka momentum strong bullish trend ko support kar raha hai aur downward movement ka faida uthana mushkil hai. Imandari se, yeh lagta hai ke AUD/USD market agle chand ghanton mein bullish trend shuru kar dega. Yeh observation technical analysis ke zariye bhi support hoti hai jo daily aur hourly charts par available hai. Dono timeframes aaj ke liye bullish scenario ko dikhate hain, jo is baat ko reinforce karta hai ke market upward move kar raha hai. Daily chart, jo market ke movements ka broader perspective deta hai, ek strong upward trend dikhata hai, jahan price levels resistance points ko break

raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. AUD/USD currency pair ki movement abhi bhi bullish movements ke zair e tarsarf rehne ki poori guzarish hai aur is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh aagey bhi barh sakti hai. Filhaal mein khud bhi intizaar aur talaash kar raha hoon ke bullish potential ke sath BUY setup banaye jo ke level 0.6855 ke range tak ja sake. Agar yeh target ko haasil karne mein kamyaab hoti hai toh yeh baqiyaat level ki taraf barhne mein mazeed pur-itminan hogi. Lekin agar yeh nakam hoti hai, toh umeed ki jaa sakti hai ke yeh wapas se neeche gir jaye gi. AUD/USD currency pair ki market trend jo ke mazi chand dino se bullish condition mein thi, toh buyers se yeh umeed hai ke unke paas price ko barhane ka mazeed potential ho sakta hai, lekin abhi market ke price downward correction ke sath market ki conditions Ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, kyun ke market aaj subah se khuli hai. Relative Strength Index indicator ki line abhi bhi level 50 se upar aram se chal rahi hai jo ke bullish trend ki nishani hai. Candlestick ki position abhi bhi 0.6780 ke price level ke upar hai jo ke upward moving market ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Is haftay ke price movement mein momentum ko dekhte hue jo ke zyada taur par bullish direction mein move kar raha tha, meri analysis ke mutabiq yeh mumkin hai ke price dobara se b

EUR/JPY kaafi dilchasp nahi lag raha agar hum isko H4 timeframe par dekhein. Yeh correction kafi lamba chala hai aur yeh expect karna ke market seedha collapse ho jaye, bilkul maqool nahi lagta. Hum dheere dheere upar ja rahe hain, smoothly aur bina kisi interruption ke, aur filhaal koi impulsive move ki zarurat bhi nahi hai. Recent price ka MA se bounce karna noteworthy hai, aur yeh recovery continue hone ka ek strong signal de raha hai. Haan, kuch bearish candles bhi hain lekin woh size ma kaafi choti hain aur unka koi significant impact nahi lagta, in par ziada dhyan dene ki zarurat nahi.
Upar resistance bhi koi significant nahi hai, aur lagta nahi ke price yahan ruke ga. Ho sakta hai ke ek temporary halt aaye, lekin woh bhi ek ya do din se ziada nahi chale ga, bina kisi major pullback ke.
Agar correction aata hai, aur wo bhi accha khasa, jaisay ke ek pin bar ya kuch bearish candles, to around 158.40 ke aas paas buying ka moka ban sakta hai. Yeh zone kaafi strong hai aur yahan se ek acha bounce expect kiya ja sakta hai, target 160.80 tak ho sakta hai.
Lekin agar price wahan se reverse hota hai aur downward move continue karta hai, to pehla target 156.93 ke neeche ho ga. Agar bears 153.03 tak push karne mai kamiyab ho jate hain, to ek aur strong support test ho sakta hai. Filhaal, jab tak price MA 46 se neeche hai, sales relevant rahengi. Agar market wapas MA 46 ki taraf jata hai to sales ki relevance kam ho jayegi. Mai suggest karta hoon ke sales ko 156.93 ke neeche consider kiya jaye.
Inflation data ke baad, jo Eurozone ki expectations ke mutabiq tha, EUR/JPY ne 161.00 tak ka jump liya. Germany aur Spain se pehle data ne yeh bataya ke inflation kam ho rahi hai,
EUR/JPY market sellers ke haq mein move karega, aur ho sakta hai ke 155.80 level tak pohch jaye. Yeh forecast is assumption par mabni hai ke German ZEW Economic Sentiment release ek aisa market environment banayega jo downward move ke liye favorable ho. Yeh economic indicator bohot ahem hota hai, is liye jab yeh data release ho to ek strong news strategy adopt karna zaroori hai. Is strategy mein market reaction ko closely monitor karna, positions ko adjust karna, aur potential volatility ke liye tayar rehna shamil hai.

Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-week low

Humari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke price behaviour assessment par markaz hai. Yeh pair hourly chart par thoda bearish nazar aa raha hai, lekin yeh movement un diligent sellers ki umeedon se door hai. Hum extreme low tak nahi pahunche, isliye ek significant decline ka prediction karna abhi jaldi hai. Jumme ke trading aksar ek key indicator hota hai, jo aane wale predictions ka buniyad tayar karta hai. Kyunki price minimum ke neeche nahi gayi, hum sirf limited drop ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain, jo ke ek full correction nahi, balki ek zigzag pattern hai, jo is situation mein acha fit hota hai. Market jald hi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai. Main 0.6679 ke aas-paas long positions ke liye potential dekhta hoon. Halankeh koi significant support levels nazar nahi aate, yahan kuch hafton pehle ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Is rebound ki taqat modest ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.6729 tak peak kare, uske baad zigzag ka khatma ho sakta hai. Is waqt buying positions se exit karna behtar hoga. Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 level ke aas-paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se mark kiya gaya hai jo pehle test nahi hue. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai, jab price is taraf aati hai to potential profit-taking aur sell-side interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, recent sessions mein dekha gaya upward momentum yeh darshata hai ke buyers ke paas is resistance ko challenge karne ki taqat ho sakti hai. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh aage ke gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, shayad 0.68500 ke upar higher liquidity levels ko target karte hue.

Neeche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone established hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps hue hain. In liquidity sweeps ki maujoodgi yeh darshati hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke khilaf cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone ki taraf retrace hoti hai, to yeh dobara buying interest ka samna kar sakti hai, jo isse ek significant support level banata hai.

Summarize karte hue, AUD/USD clear bullish momentum dikhata hai jab key liquidity gaps fill hoti hain aur support zones se reverse hota hai. 0.68000 level agla critical resistance hai, jiska break hone par aage ke upside ki sambhavna hai. Iske baraks, agar price 0.67000 ya isse neeche pullback hoti hai, to yeh buying interest ka samna karegi, agar market conditions favorable rahe. Pair ka overall structure yeh darshata hai ke jab tak key support levels hold hote hain, bullish trend near term

AUD/USD is iss waqt 0.6905 par trade kar raha hai. AUD/USD ne positive momentum kay sath shuruaat ki hai aur abhi bhi 0.6943 mark ki taraf barh raha hai. Is chart par dono technical indicators positive lag rahay hain jo yeh dikhata hai ke short term mein price barh sakti hai. Khaaskar, RSI neutral threshold 50 se upar hai aur MACD bhi zero ke upar aur red signal line se upar positive zone ki taraf point kar raha hai. Moving averages ke mutabiq, short term mein trend bullish hai. 20 EMA aur 50 EMA bhi yeh signal kar rahay hain ke buyers pressure daal rahay hain. AUD/USD ke liye pehla aham resistance level 0.6914 hai. Agar bullish momentum jari rehta hai to price pehla resistance level tor ke doosray level 0.6943 tak pohonch sakti hai. Doosra resistance level torne par AUD/USD ki growth ka naya wave shuru hoga aur northward movement jari rahegi.

Dusri taraf, price reverse hoke 0.6896 ka pehla support level retest kar sakti hai. Agar bearish momentum barh gaya to price pehla support level tor ke doosray level 0.6857 tak ja sakti hai. Doosra support level torne par AUD/USD ki growth ka naya wave shuru hoga aur southward movement jari rahegi. Waqti tor par AUD/USD price mein intraday gains limited ho sakte hain magar positive trend abhi bhi maujood hai. Hum AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing movement analysis par focus kar rahay hain. Subah koi upward movement nahi hui. Ek sell signal ka andaza tha jiski wajah se price 0.6911 se gir kar 0.6869 tak chali gayi. Aagay mazeed movement ka imkaan hai. Agle kuch trading sessions mein dollar ke strong hone ka imkaan hai, khaaskar Non-Farm Payrolls report se pehle. Aik growth possible hai jo dollar ko mazid boost de sakti hai. Mera khayal hai ke hum 0.6777 level tak pohonch sakte hain, halaan ke abhi yeh door hai. Agar hum 0.6849 par girte hain to agla aham support level 0.6820 ke paas hoga. Downside zyada clear lagti hai magar upward movement kuch challenges ka samna kar sakti hai. Kisi bhi rise ka sabab aik corrective wave ho sakta hai jo humein 0.6952 tak le jaaye. Yeh aik acha mauqa ho sakta hai sell positions initiate karne ka, khaaskar agar pair 0.690 se mazid upar chala jata hai.

Humara focus iss waqt AUD/USD currency pair ki price ke behavior par hai. Aik corrective pullback kay baad, breakout candlesticks ne Fibonacci correction level 50.0 (0.6881) ke aas paas form ki hain, jo ke upward movement ka nateeja hai jo 0.6828 se shuru hui thi. Agar yeh level hold karta hai, to exchange rate lagbhag 0.6943 tak barh sakta hai. Magar yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price mazeed correction ke sath 0.6867 (Fib 61.8) ya 0.6844 (Fib 78.6) tak gir jaye. Recent AUD/USD ka rise zyada fundamental factors par mabni lagta hai, technical factors se zyada. Bohot log yeh expect kar rahe thay ke pair apni current trading levels se upar chala jayega, jab significant resistance ko torh diya gaya bina kisi proper pullbacks ya corrections ke. Mera khayal hai ke upward movement 0.691 ya 0.6921 ke aas paas ruk sakta hai. Uske baad zyada growth ka imkaan nahi hai, aur yeh zyada sense banata hai ke jab pair in resistance levels ke qareeb ho to sell positions initiate ki jayein. H4 chart par, pair ne local high par bearish signal dikhaya, indicator ne ise red mein mark kiya hai. Kul mila kar, humne 71 points ki decline dekhi hai, spread ke baghair. Yeh movement apna course mukammal kar chuki hai, aur Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, yeh behtar hoga ke 38.2 mark ko aim kiya jaye, jo ke 0.6862 par hai. Price action methods ka imkaan zyada lagta hai, aur jab hum current levels ke thoda upar ka tajziya karte hain, humein bearish patterns form hotay dikhayi dete hain. Recent U.S. data mix tha, "manufacturing activity index" red mein tha aur "job openings in the labor market" green mein. Australia se koi khaas news nahi aayi jo market ko drive kare. U.S. session ke dauran kuch local volatility ka imkaan hai. Ek aur factor jo growth ko cap kar sakta hai wo hai BRICS initiative, khaaskar koi announcements jo mutual settlement systems ke qiyam ke hawalay se ho sakti hain.

Filhal, mein zyada currencies sell kar raha hoon, gold ko bhi US dollar ke khilaaf, aur AUD/USD bhi iss mein shaamil hai. Aaj, meri expectations confident hain, magar intraday trading mein hamesha challenge hota hai. Extensive analysis, evaluation aur decision-making ke baad, market aksar sahi direction mein jata hai, magar mein apni positions jaldi close kar deta hoon. Misal ke taur par, mera recent buy at 0.6940 acha volume ke sath kuch time ke baad decline karne laga. Mein sirf 0.6799 mark ka test intezaar kar raha tha, aur halaan ke profit decent tha, mujhe zyada der tak hold karna chahiye tha taake agla Fib level test kar sakein. Australian dollar shayad mazeed girta rahega, magar ab mein trade mein nahi hoon. Mein sirf ek observer hoon jo apni expectations ko perfectly play hotay dekh raha hoon. Price hourly chart par ek ascending channel ke andar move ho rahi thi. Aaj subah yeh channel ki lower boundary, 0.6913 ke qareeb, gir gayi. Mein yahan ek reversal ki umeed kar raha tha, aur expect kar raha tha ke pair apni upward movement resume karega.

i umeedon se door hai. Hum extreme low tak nahi pahunche, isliye ek significant decline ka prediction karna abhi jaldi hai. Jumme ke trading aksar ek key indicator hota hai, jo aane wale predictions ka buniyad tayar karta hai. Kyunki price minimum ke neeche nahi gayi, hum sirf limited drop ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain, jo ke ek full correction nahi, balki ek zigzag pattern hai, jo is situation mein acha fit hota hai. Market jald hi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai.

Main 0.6679 ke aas-paas long positions ke liye potential dekhta hoon. Halankeh koi significant support levels nazar nahi aate, yahan kuch hafton pehle ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Is rebound ki taqat modest ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.6729 tak peak kare, uske baad zigzag ka khatma ho sakta hai. Is waqt buying positions se exit karna behtar hoga.

Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 level ke aas-paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se mark kiya gaya hai jo pehle test nahi hue. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai, jab price is taraf aati hai to potential profit-taking aur sell-side interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, recent sessions mein dekha gaya upward momentum yeh darshata hai ke buyers ke paas is resistance ko challenge karne ki taqat ho sakti hai. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh aage ke gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, shayad 0.68500 ke upar higher liquidity levels ko target karte hue.

Neeche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone established hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps hue hain. In liquidity sweeps ki maujoodgi yeh darshati hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke khilaf cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone ki taraf retrace hoti hai, to yeh dobara buying interest ka samna kar sakti hai, jo isse ek significant support level banata hai.

Summarize karte hue, AUD/USD clear bullish momentum dikhata hai jab key liquidity gaps fill hoti hain aur support zones se reverse hota hai. 0.68000 level agla critical resistance hai, jiska break hone par aage ke upside ki sambhavna hai. Iske baraks, agar price 0.67000 ya isse neeche pullback hoti hai, to yeh buying interest ka samna karegi, agar market conditions favorable rahe. Pair ka overall structure yeh darshata hai ke jab tak key support levels hold hote ha

AUD/USD ka jorha apne lambay waqt ke sath 0.68 ke ird gird muqam par mustahkam ho raha hai. Is mustahkmi se nikalna agle rastay ka pata dega—ya to pichle saal ki bulandiyon tak pohanchna ya phir kuch mawaqay ke liye neeche ki taraf waapas jana. Mujhe lagta hai ke ye do options aane wale asraat par mabni hain. Federal Reserve ka achanak 50 points ka kamm hona asal mein pehle hi inhe shaamil kar chuka hai. Ab bazar doosri markazi bankon ke amal par nazar rakhega. Bank of Australia ka faisla mangal ko aana hai. Halankeh unse koi tabdeeli ki tawaqqo nahi hai, lekin chunaav ki surat mein hamesha koi na koi heran kun faisla ho sakta hai (jaise Fed se dekha gaya). Is liye, wo mangal tak waise hi ruk sakte hain, aur phir harqat shuru kar sakte hain. Is dauran, Aussie futures par positions ziada ho rahi hain, jo yeh darust karti hai ke long positions li ja rahi hain. Is liye, humein Aussie ki taqat mein izafa ki tawaqqo hai. Lekin sab kuch ye dekhega ke players kitne azm mein hain. Agar yahan fixation hoti hai to jorha neeche ki taraf waapas ja sakta hai. Jaise ke hamesha, humein apne haath dekhne hain. Is buniyad par, ye currency pair is waqt mustahkam hai, aur is se nikalne ka raasta agle kuch waqt ka pata dega.
Agar hum dekhein, to AUD/USD pair ke liye sab kuch mustahkam hai, is ma'ni mein ke upar ki taraf harkat jaari hai. Humne 0.6825 ke ilaaqay mein nazdeek ke maqasid ko haasil kar liya hai, halankeh ab tak hum is se upar nahi gaye. Lekin neeche ki taraf waapas jaane ki koshishain koi hasil nahi de rahi, kam az kam is liye ke hum 68th figure ke upar band hue hain. Aur yahan yeh bhi zaroori hai ke hum yeh dekhein ke is se bhi upar ke maqasid hain, jo 0.69 ke ilaaqay mein hain. Lekin is ke liye ek acha rollback ab bhi zaroori hai. Aur asal mein, agla hafta bhi kaafi gati kadi ka hoga, kyunke wahan bohot si ahem statistics aani hain, jin mein States ka GDP bhi shamil hai. Aur Bank of Australia ki meeting ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye. Halankeh main khud ab bhi upar ki taraf dekh raha hoon, lekin ek correction ki zaroorat hai, aur agar hum 0.6675 se neeche gaye, to sirf wahan se kuch naya dekhna padegaClick image for larger version