ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD pair ne Friday ko European trading session ke pehle hisse mein 0.6900 mark ke neeche ek sankirna range mein trade kiya, jo ke February 2023 se sabse unche levels ke kareeb hai. US dollar (USD) ne US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index release se pehle kuch taqat hasil ki, jo AUD/USD pair ke liye ek aham resistance factor bana. Lekin, Federal Reserve ke November mein ek aur aggressive rate cut ki umeed ne dollar bulls ke aggressive bets ko limit kar diya. Positive market sentiment, jo People's Bank of China (PBOC) ke stimulus measures se support hasil kar raha hai, risk-sensitive Australian dollar (AUD) ko mazid taqat de raha hai. RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) ki taraf se restrictive policy stance ka dohraana aur Governor Michelle Bullock ke recent data ke policy outlook par kam asar ka bayan, yeh darshata hai ke AUD/USD pair ka sabse aasaan rukh upar ki taraf hai, jo do hafton ki uptrend ko barhawa de raha hai. AUD/USD pair aaj sideway trade kar raha hai, pichle teen bohot volatile sessions ke baad, jo ise February 2023 se sabse unche level par le gaya. US Personal Consumption Expenditures report is muqablay ka natija tay karne mein ek aham kirdar ada kar sakta hai. 5 August 2024 se shuru hone wala uptrend ab bhi mazboot hai, jo ke series of higher highs aur higher lows se supported hai.

Momentum indicators filhal mixed hain. Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) ne tezi se udaan bhari hai, jo AUD/USD pair ke liye ek mazboot bullish trend darshata hai. Lekin, Relative Strength Index (RSI) apne 50 midpoint ke upar comfortably trade kar raha hai, aur Stochastic Oscillator overbought zone ke andar hai, jo current uptrend ko khatar mein daal sakta hai. Agar bulls confident rahe, to wo AUD/USD pair ko 25 February 2021 ke trend line ke upar push karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agar ye koshish kamiyab hoti hai, to wo 13 October 2022 se 2 February 2023 tak ke uptrend ka 50% Fibonacci retracement level 0.6924 ko test kar sakte hain. Uske upar, 0.7000 level agla maqsood ho sakta hai.

AUDUSD currency pair ab bhi bullish trend par aage barhne ki salahiyat rakhta hai. Agar hum H4 time frame par price action ka jaiza lein, to bullish trend structure phir se banana shuru ho gaya hai jab market ne August ke aakhri din trading session mein qadam rakha. Pichle kuch dinon se bullish movement jo chal rahi hai, wo aalaaqat se upward trend rally hai. Agar hum pichle mahine ke akhir mein sellers ki nakami ko dekhein, jo 0.6650 ke niche nahi ja sake, to is wajah se dusre buyers ko BUY trading positions lene mein zyada confidence mila hai. Is waqt candlestick ki position Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar hai, jo yeh darust karti hai ke market ab bhi buyers ke asar mein hai. Price niche girne ke bawajood yellow SMA 60 indicator ko break nahi kar paya, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke AUDUSD currency pair ke bullish trend ki taraf wapas aane ki salahiyat hai.

Market ki umeed hai ke wo upar ki taraf barhne ki koshish karega. Meri agle andazay ke mutabiq, market ab bhi aage barhne ki taraf hai. Halanki, market is waqt halki downward correction phase mein hai, lekin bullish movement ka mauqa ab bhi zyada range tak jaane ki umeed hai. Mera andaza hai ke aaj raat tak price mein izafa hoga, lekin range itni wide nahi hogi kyunki is hafte ke darmiyan trend shayad correction phase ke baad apne raahein dobara pakrayega.

Agar price 0.6800 ke upar barh jata hai to yeh is currency pair ke liye bullish safar jaari rakhne ka mazboot signal hoga. Is liye buyers ka dominion ab bhi price ko upar push karne ki taqat rakhta hai. Trading ka option ab bhi BUY transactions ki taraf hai. Natija: AUDUSD currency pair ke market halat ko agar technically dekha jaye to yeh ab bhi bullish hai, isliye is hafte ke trading session mein price ke izafe ki sambhavnayein ab bhi khuli hain. Lekin buyers ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke thoda sabr karein aur 0.6825 level tak rukne ka intezar karein pehle BUY position kholne se pehle. Target price level bullish ko 0.6875 tak pahunchne ki koshish karni chahiye, aur Stop Loss limit ko 0.6790 par rakhna chahiye. Agar agle trade mein price 0.6880 ko penetrate kar leta hai, t

AUD/USD pair ne Friday ko European trading session ke pehle hisse mein 0.6900 mark ke neeche ek sankirna range mein trade kiya, jo ke February 2023 se sabse unche levels ke kareeb hai. US dollar (USD) ne US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index release se pehle kuch taqat hasil ki, jo AUD/USD pair ke liye ek aham resistance factor bana. Lekin, Federal Reserve ke November mein ek aur aggressive rate cut ki umeed ne dollar bulls ke aggressive bets ko limit kar diya. Positive market sentiment, jo People's Bank of China (PBOC) ke stimulus measures se support hasil kar raha hai, risk-sensitive Australian dollar (AUD) ko mazid taqat de raha hai. RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) ki taraf se restrictive policy stance ka dohraana aur Governor Michelle Bullock ke recent data ke policy outlook par kam asar ka bayan, yeh darshata hai ke AUD/USD pair ka sabse aasaan rukh upar ki taraf hai, jo do hafton ki uptrend ko barhawa de raha hai. AUD/USD pair aaj sideway trade kar raha hai, pichle teen bohot volatile sessions ke baad, jo ise February 2023 se sabse unche level par le gaya. US Personal Consumption Expenditures report is muqablay ka natija tay karne mein ek aham kirdar ada kar sakta hai.

Heiken Ashi candles ki configuration ke sath sath TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke signals ka jaiza lete hue yeh conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke market bullish mode mein jaane ki umeed hai. AUD/USD ne apne bearish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ka samna kiya aur 0.6814 ke low ko touch karne ke baad aaj European trading session mein US Dollar ke khilaf prices mein izafa shuru kiya.

15-minute time frame mein channel resistance toota hai, jo bullish trend ka signal hai. AUD/USD ki price 4-hour time frame mein pivot point par wapas aa gayi hai. Williams Percent Range Indicator 4-hour time frame mein -50 se upar aa gaya hai, jo positive momentum ko darshata hai.

Weekly time frame par bhi dekha jaye toh channel resistance toota hai, jo bullish sentiment ko mazid mazbooti deta hai. Halankeh kuch technical indicators bearish neutral stance dikhate hain, lekin overall market consolidation mein hai.

AUD/USD prices ab apne 1 saal ke record high ke qareeb hain weekly time frame par. Yeh pair ab apne 100-hour SMA ke upar trade kar raha hai, lekin 200-hour SMA ke neeche hai.

• Aussie ne 0.6814 mark ke upar bullish reversal dekha hai.
• Short-term range mein strong bullishness nazar aa rahi hai.
• AUD/USD ab 0.6850 level ke upar hai.
• Average True Range (ATR) market ki high volatility ko darshata hai.

Agle resistance ki level 0.6869 par hai, jo 1 mahine ka high hai. AUD/USD ab apne pivot level 0.6847 ke upar trade kar raha hai aur strong bullish channel ki taraf barh raha hai.

AUD/USD ki price classic support level 0.6839 se thodi upar hai aur apne agle target 0.6886 ki taraf barh rahi hai, jo ke price 2 standard deviation resistance hai.






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ka din price movement mein ek corrective phase dekha gaya hai, jab ke buyers ne Asian session ke aghaz par apna dabo phir se bana liya. Wednesday ka open price 0.6892 par set hua, aur prices ne apni qareebi resistance 0.6912 ko touch karne ki koshish ki, lekin us area mein resistance ke baad price ulta chalna shuru ho gaya. Kamzori ka yeh phase abhi bhi limited hai, jahan prices dheere dheere daily open level tak wapis aayen. Yeh area ab successfully cross ho gaya hai, aur ab price apni qareebi support 0.6872 ko test kar raha hai, jo ke EMA 36 H1 ke aas-paas hai. Agar is area mein breakout hota hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ka downward crossover banta hai, toh yeh prices ke liye ek short-term correction ka mauqa bana sakta hai. Tuesday ke trading mein buyers ne prices ko rally ki taraf wapis le jaane ka yaqeen rakha. Halanke sellers ne thoda resistance diya jab price 0.6872 se neechay 0.6829 par aaya, lekin jab price 0.6817 tak pohch kar wapas bounce hua toh ye rejection ka sign tha EMA 36 H1 line se. Uske baad price phir se bullish path par aaya, jahan EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 bhi positive direction mein stretch kar rahe thay, price ne EMA 200 H1 ko bhi cross kiya aur high 0.6894 tak pohcha. Tuesday ka trading bullish close hua 0.6894 par, jo ke ek perfect bullish candle ka indication tha continuation ke liye. High aur low prices 0.6896 aur 0.6817 par bane. Yeh condition daily time frame mein bullish trend ko dubara validate karti hai. Price EMA 200 aur EMA 633 daily se door ho raha hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily upward direction mein stretch kar rahe hain. Daily stochastic overbought market ka signal de raha hai, lekin Dollar ki kamzori ke sath price ka buland hona jari hai. Agar kal ka high buyers todte hain, toh strengthening 0.6929 se 0.7139 ke daily resistance tak ja sakti hai. Sellers momentum ka intezar kar sakte hain is area ke aas-paas. Wahan agar high penetrate nahi hota, toh corrective movement ke chances hain jahan price 0.6851 tak ja sakta hai.

AUD/USD pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke

AUD/USD ka jorha apne lambay waqt ke sath 0.68 ke ird gird muqam par muqam ho raha hai. Is mustahkmi se nikalna agle rastay ka pata dega—ya to pichle saal ki bulandiyaon tak pohanchna ya phir kuch mawaqay ke liye neeche ki taraf waapas jana. Mujhe lagta hai ke ye do options aane wale asraat par mabni hain. Federal Reserve ka achanak 50 points ka kamm hona asal mein pehle hi inhe shaamil kar chuka hai. Ab bazar doosri markazi bankon ke amal par nazar rakhega. Bank of Australia ka faisla mangal ko aana hai. Halankeh unse koi tabdeeli ki tawaqqo nahi hai, lekin chunaav ki surat mein hamesha koi na koi heran kun faisla ho sakta hai (jaise Fed se dekha gaya). Is liye, wo mangal tak waise hi ruk sakte hain, aur phir harqat shuru kar sakte hain. Is dauran, Aussie futures par positions ziyata ho rahi hain, jo yeh darust karti hai ke long positions li ja rahi hain. Is liye, humein Aussie ki taqat mein izafa ki tawaqqo hai. Lekin sab kuch ye dekhega ke players kitne azm mein hain. Agar yahan fixation hoti hai to jorha neeche ki taraf waapas ja sakta hai. Jaise ke hamesha, humein apne haath dekhne hain. Is buniyad par, ye currency pair is waqt nasab hai, aur is se nikalne ka raasta agle kuch waqt ka pata dega. Agar hum dekhein, to AUD/USD pair ke liye sab kuch nasab hai, is ma'ni mein ke upar ki taraf harkat jaari hai. Humne 0.6825 ke ilaaqay mein nazdeek ke maqasid ko haasil kar liya hai, halankeh ab tak hum

AUD/USD pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predic

session ke aghaz par apna dabo phir se bana liya. Wednesday ka open price 0.6892 par set hua, aur prices ne apni qareebi resistance 0.6912 ko touch karne ki koshish ki, lekin us area mein resistance ke baad price ulta chalna shuru ho gaya. Kamzori ka yeh phase abhi bhi limited hai, jahan prices dheere dheere daily open level tak wapis aayen. Yeh area ab successfully cross ho gaya hai, aur ab price apni qareebi support 0.6872 ko test kar raha hai, jo ke EMA 36 H1 ke aas-paas hai. Agar is area mein breakout hota hai aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ka downward crossover banta hai, toh yeh prices ke liye ek short-term correction ka mauqa bana sakta hai. Tuesday ke trading mein buyers ne prices ko rally ki taraf wapis le jaane ka yaqeen rakha. Halanke sellers ne thoda resistance diya jab price 0.6872 se neechay 0.6829 par aaya, lekin jab price 0.6817 tak pohch kar wapas bounce hua toh ye rejection ka sign tha EMA 36 H1 line se. Uske baad price phir se bullish path par aaya, jahan EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 bhi positive direction mein stretch kar rahe thay, price ne EMA 200 H1 ko bhi cross kiya aur high 0.6894 tak pohcha. Tuesday ka trading bullish close hua 0.6894 par, jo ke ek perfect bullish candle ka indication tha continuation ke liye. High aur low prices 0.6896 aur 0.6817 par bane. Yeh condition daily time frame mein bullish trend ko dubara validate karti hai. Price EMA 200 aur EMA 633 daily se door ho raha hai, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 daily upward direction mein stretch kar rahe hain. Daily stochastic overbought market ka signal de raha hai, lekin Dollar ki kamzori ke sath pric

dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai. AUD/USD ka initial resistance level 0.6643 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial resistance level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bullish target 0.7121 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.7121 ke upar close hota hai, toh market price 0.7543 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai. Doosri taraf, AUD/USD ka initial support level 0.6616 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial support level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bearish target 0.6593 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6593 ke neeche close hota hai, toh market price 0.5843 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Trading ke dauran ehtiyaat karein aur support aur resistance areas par dhyaan dein jahan se market apna direction change kar sakti hai.
Friday ke Asian market session mein trading ke dauran lagta hai ke price abhi tak buyers ke control mein hai, jo apni bullish opportunities ko maintain karne ke liye mazeed enter karte ja rahe hain, aur price ko rise karne ka target rakh rahe hain, taake seller's resistance area ko test kiya ja sake 0.6638-0.6640 par, aur yeh area penetrate karna zaroori hai taake ek higher bullish path khul sake, jiska agla target seller's supply resistance area hai 0.6695-0.6700 par, jo ke abhi tak seller ne maintain kiya hua hai

pair hourly chart par thoda bearish nazar aa raha hai, lekin yeh movement un diligent sellers ki umeedon se door hai. Hum extreme low tak nahi pahunche, isliye ek significant decline ka prediction karna abhi jaldi hai. Jumme ke trading aksar ek key indicator hota hai, jo aane wale predictions ka buniyad tayar karta hai. Kyunki price minimum ke neeche nahi gayi, hum sirf limited drop ke baare mein baat kar sakte hain, jo ke ek full correction nahi, balki ek zigzag pattern hai, jo is situation mein acha fit hota hai. Market jald hi flat phase mein shift ho sakti hai. Main 0.6679 ke aas-paas long positions ke liye potential dekhta hoon. Halankeh koi significant support levels nazar nahi aate, yahan kuch hafton pehle ek noticeable rebound dekha gaya tha. Is rebound ki taqat modest ho sakti hai, jo shayad 0.6729 tak peak kare, uske baad zigzag ka khatma ho sakta hai. Is waqt buying positions se exit karna behtar hoga.

Aage dekhte hue, 0.68000 level ke aas-paas ek prominent resistance area nazar aa raha hai, jo liquidity zone aur kuch FVG areas se mark kiya gaya hai jo pehle test nahi hue. Yeh region bulls ke liye ek significant hurdle ban sakta hai, jab price is taraf aati hai to potential profit-taking aur sell-side interest dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, recent sessions mein dekha gaya upward momentum yeh darshata hai ke buyers ke paas is resistance ko challenge karne ki taqat ho sakti hai. Agar price is resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh aage ke gains ka rasta khol sakta hai, shayad 0.68500 ke upar higher liquidity levels ko target karte hue.

Neeche ki taraf, 0.67000 ke aas-paas ek key support zone established hai, jahan kai liquidity sweeps hue hain. In liquidity sweeps ki maujoodgi yeh darshati hai ke buyers is level ko defend kar rahe hain, jo potential pullbacks ke khilaf cushion provide karta hai. Agar price is zone ki taraf retrace hoti hai, to yeh dobara buying interest ka samna kar sakti hai, jo isse ek significant support level banata hai.

Summarize karte hue, AUD/USD clear bullish momentum dikhata hai jab key liquidity gaps fill hoti hain aur support zones se reverse hota hai. 0.68000 level agla critical resistance hai, jiska break hone par aage ke upside ki sambhavna hai. Iske baraks, agar price 0.67000 ya isse neeche pullback hoti hai, to yeh buying interest ka samna karegi, agar market conditions favorable rahe. Pair ka overall structure yeh darshata hai ke jab tak key

dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai. AUD/USD ka initial resistance level 0.6643 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial resistance level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bullish target 0.7121 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.7121 ke upar close hota hai, toh market price 0.7543 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai. Doosri taraf, AUD/USD ka initial support level 0.6616 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial support level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bearish target 0.6593 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6593 ke neeche close hota hai, toh market price 0.5843 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Trading ke dauran ehtiyaat karein aur support aur resistance areas par dhyaan dein jahan se market apna direction change kar sakti hai. Friday ke Asian market session mein trading ke dauran lagta hai ke price abhi tak buyers ke control mein hai, jo apni bullish opportunities ko maintain karne ke liye mazeed enter karte ja rahe hain, aur price ko rise karne ka target rakh rahe hain, taake seller's resistance area ko test kiya ja sake 0.6638-0.6640 par, aur yeh area penetrate karna zaroori hai taake ek higher bullish path khul sake, jiska agla target seller's supply resistance area hai 0.6695-0.6700 par, jo ke abhi tak seller ne maintain kiya hua hai

Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce rate decision soon. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai. BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke. Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai. Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.
US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME's FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce rate decision soon. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.

BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke

USD pair mazboot hai, jab ke expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate ko Tuesday ko 4.35% par stable rakhega.Monday ko release hone wale kamzor Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data ke bawajood AUD ne US Dollar (USD ) ke muqable mein achi position hasil ki hai. AUD/USD ka strong hona China ke central bank PBoC ke banking system mein liquidity inject karne se bhi related ho sakta hai, kyun ke Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareebi trade relation hai, aur Chinese economy mein developments ka Australian markets par bara asar ho sakta hai.PBoC ne 14-day reverse repo ke zariye banking system mein CNY 74.5 billion ka injection kiya, aur is dauran rate ko 1.95% se kam karke 1.85% kiya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7-day reverse repo ke zariye bhi CNY 160.1 billion ka injection kiya, jisme rate 1.7% par stable raha.AUD ko hawkish expectations se bhi faida mil raha hai, jo ke RBA ki aanay wali interest rate decision ke hawalay se hain, jo Tuesday ko hone wali hai. Expect kiya ja raha hai ke RBA apni Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par stable rakhegi, jo mazboot labor market aur inflationary pressures ko madde nazar rakhtay hue hai. Doosri taraf, US Dollar (USD) ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policymakers agle saal 2024 mein 75 basis points (bps) ke rate cuts predict kar rahe hain, jab ke last week unho ne aggressive 50 basis points ka rate cut kiya tha, jis se range 4.75-5.00% ho gayi hai.Monday ko AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke pair ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke bullish bias ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. But 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se ooper hai, is liye aglay price movement se pair ke trend ka behtar andaza hoga. Is waqt AUD/USD pair ascending channel ke lower boundary par test kar raha hai, jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke qareeb hai, jo 19 September ko dekha gaya tha. Agar is level se bounce hota hai, to pair upper boundary tak pohanch sakta hai, jo 0.6890 level ke qareeb hai. Neeche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko support 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mil sakta hai, aur agla aham support psychological level 0.6700 par hoga. Agar is se neeche break hota hai, to pair six-week low 0.6622 ki taraf ja sakta hai

price index release se pehle kuch taqat hasil ki, jo AUD/USD pair ke liye ek aham resistance factor bana. Lekin, Federal Reserve ke November mein ek aur aggressive rate cut ki umeed ne dollar bulls ke aggressive bets ko limit kar diya. Positive market sentiment, jo People's Bank of China (PBOC) ke stimulus measures se support hasil kar raha hai, risk-sensitive Australian dollar (AUD) ko mazid taqat de raha hai. RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) ki taraf se restrictive policy stance ka dohraana aur Governor Michelle Bullock ke recent data ke policy outlook par kam asar ka bayan, yeh darshata hai ke AUD/USD pair ka sabse aasaan rukh upar ki taraf hai, jo do hafton ki uptrend ko barhawa de raha hai. AUD/USD pair aaj sideway trade kar raha hai, pichle teen bohot volatile sessions ke baad, jo ise February 2023 se sabse unche level par le gaya. US Personal Consumption Expenditures report is muqablay ka natija tay karne mein ek aham kirdar ada kar sakta hai.