ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Sirf European Union mein industrial production ka report aur United States mein University of Michigan consumer sentiment index ka report hai. Ye reports market ko zyada react karne ke liye shayad majboor nahi karengi, aur kal humein yeh dekhne ko mila ke market ek baar phir se bina kisi wajah ke dollar bechne ke liye tayar hai. Dono currency pairs ab bhi downward trends mein hain, lekin agar aaj bina kisi wajah ke growth dekhi jati hai, to iska matlab ho sakta hai ke euro aur pound ke do saal ke upward trends ko resume karne ke liye tayyari chal rahi hai. Fundamental Events ka Overview:
Friday ko ek hi fundamental event hai jo notable hai, wo hai European Central Bank ki President Christine Lagarde ki speech. Is waqt yeh bhi nahi pata ke yeh speech kab hogi. Kal Lagarde ne market ko koi khaas nishan nahi diya, lekin phir bhi market ne euro ko actively khareeda, jaise ke monetary policy ko tighten karne ka plan ho. Magar market ne 2024 mein baar baar information ko apne hisaab se interpret kiya hai.

Thursday ko, Australian dollar, jo related markets ki madad se strong resistance 0.6691 ko paar kar gaya, MACD line ke saath daily chart par. Growth 0.6727 tak chalti rahi. Ek break ke baad, price 0.6801 tak bhi ja sakti hai. Marlin oscillator, jo positive territory mein aa gaya hai, isme madad kar raha hai.

Federal Reserve meeting ke aane wale dinon ko dekhte hue, sideways price movement ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai, lekin 0.6640–0.6727 ke wide range mein. Yani ke price ka MACD line ke neeche move hona aur 0.6691 level ke aas paas consolidate hona false signals ho sakta hai. Marlin oscillator bhi zero line ke neeche jaane ke nishan dikha raha hai.

Chaar ghante ke chart par, price ne MACD line aur 0.6727 level ke upar consolidate kiya hai aur oscillator bhi actively grow kar raha hai. Yeh signs price ke upar rehne ke imkaan ko barhate hain. Lekin, is choti si difference ko open positions ke liye use karne mein humein shak hai. Hum Fed meeting ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce rate decision soon. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai. BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke. Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai. Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.

US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME's FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce rate decision soon. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.

BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai

Mazboot Australian July employment data Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke liye kuch pareshani ka sabab ban sakta hai. Full-time employment mein mazid izafa ho sakta hai jo RBA ko New Zealand ki tarah poori tarah se easing mood mein jane se rok sakta hai, aur shayad ye Waqt September mein Fed ke liye bhi dekhne ko milay, jaise ke ING ke FX strategist Chris Turner ne kaha. "Iska matlab yeh hai ke Australian Dollar (AUD) cross pairs mein acha perform karega. August ke shuru mein AUD/NZD ke girne ka matlab hai ke investors ne is cross ko upar trade karne ki umeed rakhi thi, magar yen-triggered deleveraging ne isko unwind kar diya. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh cross mid-July ke 1.1150 highs ko phir se test kare. Magar yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke China ki macro weakness AUD ko yahan rokh rahi ho. Overall, ek mahine ka target 0.68 hai AUD/USD ke liye. **AUD/USD** Budh ke din, Australian dollar ne 0.6640 ka target level haasil kar liya, phir wahan se (MACD line aur 61.8% Fibonacci level se) neeche chala gaya, aur aaj subah 0.6570 ke support ko chhoo gaya. Yeh izafa Australia mein employment data ke release hone ke wajah se hua—Australia mein July mein 58,200 jobs created hui, jab ke forecast 20,200 thi, aur participation rate 66.9% se barh kar 67.1% hogayi, jiski wajah se ultimately unemployment 4.1% se barh kar 4.2% hogayi. Magar investors ne in data ko overall positive samjha. Iske ilawa, Japan ka GDP dusre quarter mein 3.1% barh gaya, jab ke umeed 2.1% ki thi
Price ko 0.6640 ke strong resistance ko overcome karna hoga ziata substantial movement ke liye, kam az kam 0.6680 ka target level haasil karne ke liye. Jab ke raw materials abhi bhi gir rahe hain, yeh sirf tab mumkin hai jab US dollar globally weak ho jaye. Filhaal, yeh ek neutral position mein hai
4-hour chart mein, price balance line (red moving average) ke upar hai, aur Marlin oscillator wapas growth territory mein chala gaya hai. Nateeja tan, aussie abhi neutral range mein hai 0.6570-0.6640 ke darmiyan. Is range ke beyond breakout hi uske aage ka movement tay karega

AUD/USD pair ka recent price action kaafi interesting raha hai, jisme Australian dollar ki performance bulls ke liye kaafi favorable rahi hai. Pichlay haftay AUD/USD ne ek naya annual low 0.6364 hit kiya, lekin phir sharply rebound kar gaya. Ab yeh price resistance level 0.6576 par pohanch gaya hai, jo June ke minimum ke barabar hai. Kuch initial resistance ho sakta hai, lekin Aussie ne apne downward targets poore kar diye hain. Chances hain ke pehli koshish mein na sahi, lekin Aussie yeh resistance tod kar apni upward trajectory continue karega. Ek chhota support level 0.6511 par ho sakta hai, jo pichle haftay ke low se align karta hai. Bullish crossover ke signs hain, lekin overall trend bearish hai.
Agar price 0.6750 ke level se upar break karti hai, to temporary upward movement ho sakti hai, lekin sustained recovery ke liye 0.6900 level se clear close chahiye.
Market Conditions:
Is hafte ke teesre din market mein halka downward movement dekha gaya. Pehle hafte ki trading mein bearish attempt kafi deep raha, lekin price consolidation ke baad chali gayi thi. Pichle mahine bullish trend dekhne ko mila, aur mujhe lagta hai ke agla trend phir se bullish ho sakta hai.
Candlestick movements ab bhi support level 0.6700 ke aas-paas hain, jo bearish trend ke continuation ka darshata hai agar sellers is level ko todne mein kamiyab hote hain. Is hafte mein, AUD/USD ke liye bearish market opportunity ki umeed hai, kyunki candlestick bearish pattern mein move kar rahi hai aur buyers se significant resistance nahi mil raha. Is waqt selling ka option viable nahi lagta.
Agar hum D1 timeframe pe movement ko dekhein, to pichle kuch dinon mein candlesticks bullish conditions mein rahi hain, aur kaafi wide range mein move kar rahi hain. Monday ko market bullish move ke sath start hui thi 0.6571 se le kar 0.6608 tak. Tuesday se le kar ab tak candlestick 0.6645 tak rise kar gayi hai, aur buyers dominate karte nazar aa rahe hain, jo weekly movement ko bullish bana rahe hain, aise lagta hai ke monthly upward trend ko continue karna chahte hain

AUD/USD Currency Pair Analysis
AUD/USD currency pair mein halki gains dekhne ko mil rahi hain, jo ke Monday ke Asian session ke aghaz mein 0.6713 ke ird-gird trade kar rahi hai. Kai factors hain jo is movement ko asar andaz kar rahe hain. Ek ahem event upcoming FOMC meeting hai, jo do din tak chalegi aur Wednesday ko ek rate cut ke saath khatam hone ki umeed hai. Agar U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut karti hai, toh U.S. dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo Australian dollar ke liye support provide karega. Jab U.S. mein interest rates kam hote hain, toh U.S. dollar kam attractive ho jata hai, jis se Australian dollar jese currencies zyada appealing lagti hain.

Doosra ahem asar China se aane wala economic data hai, jo ke Australia ka sabse bara trading partner hai. Hali mein Chinese Retail Sales aur Industrial Production figures umeed se kam aaye hain. Yeh kamzor numbers yeh dikhate hain ke China ki economy slow ho rahi hai. Jab China ki economy muskilat ka shikar hoti hai, toh iska aksar Australia ki economy par bura asar hota hai, kyun ke Australia China ko kaafi sara saman export karta hai, jese iron ore waghera. China ke in kamzor numbers ke bawajood, Australian dollar halki gains ko barqarar rakhnay mein kamiyab raha hai. Lekin agar China ki economic situation mazeed kharab hoti hai, toh Australian dollar par zyada pressure aane ka imkaan hai.

Technical Analysis

Technical standpoint se dekha jaye toh AUD/USD is waqt 0.6713 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, aur Monday ki trading ke aghaz mein halki gains dikhayi de rahi hain. 0.6700 ka mark ek psychological level lagta hai jise traders ghaur se dekh rahe hain. Agar price is level se ooper rehti hai, toh market isay strength ka signal samajh sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar yeh pair 0.6700 ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh mazeed weakness ka signal ho sakta hai.

Agar technical indicators ka tajziya kiya jaye, toh AUD/USD pair consolidating stage mein hai, yani price ek range ke andar sideways move kar rahi hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke traders zyada wazehiyat ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke shayad FOMC meeting ke baad milay. Agar Federal Reserve rate cut karti hai, toh AUD/USD mein izafa dekha ja sakta hai jab U.S. dollar kamzor hoga. Magar traders ko support aur resistance levels par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye. Support qareeb 0.6685 ke paas hai, aur agar price is level se neeche jati hai, toh zyada selling trigger ho sakti hai. Ooper ki taraf, resistance 0.6745 par hai, aur agar yeh pair is level se ooper jati hai, toh mazeed gains ka raasta khul sakta hai.

Kul mila kar, fundamentals thore mixed hain—China ke kamzor data aur U.S. rate cut ke expected hone ke bawajood—technical picture yeh dikhati hai ke AUD/USD dono directions mein move kar sakti hai, jo bhi halat agle dino mein samne aati hain. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur ahem events aur price levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo agle move ke hawalay se clues de sakti hain

AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ko evaluate karne par hai. Ek aur important factor jo decline ko drive kar raha hai woh CCI indicator hai, jo weekly chart par upper overheating zone se gir raha hai. Is dauran, CCI par ek bearish convergence nazar aayi, jo 0.6753 level ke aas-paas girawat ka signal de rahi hai, jisse price movement niche aayi hai. Dusre major currency pairs bhi U.S. dollar ko strengthen karte huye dikhayi de rahe hain. Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par apply karne se decline ke liye clear target milta hai: Fibonacci grid par 161.8 level, jahan ek intermediate target technical level 0.6639 par hai. Price yahan hai, lekin is target tak pahunchne se pehle 0.6689 par nearest resistance tak choti si pullback dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Buying positions tabhi advisable hain jab 161.8 Fibonacci level tak pahuncha jaye, jahan ek corrective growth wave ban sakti hai.
AUD/USD pair ki kamzori ko aur barha raha hai. In central bank signals ke milaap ne Australian dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai.
AUD/USD ka initial resistance level 0.6643 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial resistance level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bullish target 0.7121 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.7121 ke upar close hota hai, toh market price 0.7543 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai.
Doosri taraf, AUD/USD ka initial support level 0.6616 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial support level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bearish target 0.6593 ho sakta hai

Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya. Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray

AUD/USD currency pair ke price ka live evaluation hamari guftagu ke bilkul mutabiq hai. Buyers ki koshishein market mein dekhi ja sakti hain, kyunke AUD/USD ka uptrend 4-hour chart par support level 0.6625 se shuru ho chuka hai. Agar technical analysis ka mutala kiya jaye, toh yahan clear buy signals nazar aa rahe hain, jahan do important indicators ne iss ko confirm kiya hai. MACD oscillator ka histogram negative zone se nikal kar zero ko cross kar gaya hai aur ab positive territory mein chala gaya hai, jabke moving average bhi upward trend kar raha hai. Yeh sab ishaarat karte hain ke price smoothly barh sakti hai aur 0.6824 level ko cross karne ke imkanaat hain.Agar price kam az kam is distance ka aadha hisa tay kar leti hai aur extended position profitable ho jati hai, toh stop loss ko breakeven par lana ehedi ehtiyaat ka hissa hoga. Jaise hi AUD/USD pair resistance area 0.6794 ke kareeb pahunchta hai, sirf ek choti si rukawat 0.6767 par hai, jise candle body ne kuch had tak cross kar liya hai. Agle kuch dinon mein iss candle ka close hona bohot ahmiyat ka hamil hoga. Agar yeh apne mojooda level ke kareeb close hoti hai, toh mujhe umeed hai ke price aage barh kar 0.6794 resistance ko choo legi, jahan mein short karne ka sochunga.
Abhi ke liye, main side par rahunga. AUD/USD pair ke liye overall momentum bearish hai, halankeh sellers ke positions thore kamzor lagte hain. Agar price 0.6774/0.6799 resistance zone ke ooper wapas jati hai, toh yeh mumkin hai ke recent high 0.6823 ko test kare. Sab se qareebi support zone 0.6738/0.6721 ke qareeb hai, jahan se price ya toh wapas upar chal sakti hai ya phir downward trend ko barqarar rakhte hue 0.6621 ke bearish start line ki taraf gir sakti hai.Yeh 0.6621 support level kaafi crucial hai—agar yeh break hota hai, toh pehli downward wave trigger hogi jo AUD/USD pair ko 0.6496 aur 0.6419 tak le ja sakti hai. Jo chart hum dekh rahe hain, us par candles ne blue rang le liya hai, jo bulls ki strength ko indicate karta hai. Price ne channel ke neeche waale hadd ko (red dotted line) cross kiya aur minimum price mark se bounce kar ke wapas middle line (yellow dotted line) tak aa gayi hai. RSI oscillator bhi buy signal ko confirm kar raha hai, kyunke iski curve upward hai aur overbought levels ke kareeb nahi hai

RBA ka Aakhri Faisla aur AUD Par Asar:

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne abhi ke monetary policy announcement ke baad, spot price mein resilience aur strength dikhai hai. RBA ne Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya hai, jo ke chhati baar hai jab is rate ko bina kisi tabdeeli ke rakha gaya hai. Ye faisla central bank ki inflation ko control karne ki commitment ko darshata hai, halanke economic pressures ab bhi barqarar hain.

RBA ka Policy Faisla aur AUD Par Asar:

RBA ka decision interest rates ko steady rakhne ka ek modest boost Australian Dollar ko mila hai. OCR ko 4.35% par barqarar rakhne se RBA ne yeh signal diya hai ke monetary policy ko restrictive rakha jayega taake inflation ko roka ja sake. RBA ki Governor Michele Bullock ne apne press conference mein kaha ke inflation ko target range tak aane mein zyada waqt lag sakta hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke high interest rates ka silsila lamba chal sakta hai.

Inflation ki Chinta aur Ma'ashi Dastawaizat:

RBA ki koshishon ke bawajood, underlying inflation ab bhi ziddi hai. Latest economic projections kehti hain ke sustainable inflation rate tak pahunchne mein waqt lagega. Yeh data inflationary pressures ke baare mein ehtiyaat barhane ki zaroorat ko barhawa deti hai. RBA Board sabhi policy options ke liye khula hai, jo ke future economic conditions ke unpredictable nature ko darshata hai.

H4 Chart AUD/USD Pair Ki Movement aur Market Reactions:

Spot price ne haal hi mein momentum gain kiya hai, jo Dollar ke girne ke bawajood bullish trend mein chala gaya hai. Pichle Friday ko, pair ne 5 din ka high 0.6737 tak pahunch gaya, aur analysts optimistic hain ke agar key barrier level 0.6771 ko surpass karte hain to exchange rate 0.6800 mark tak pahunch sakta hai, jo forex market mein positive sentiment ke surge ko darshata hai.

Haal ki trading sessions mein, spot price ek defined range ke andar fluctuate kar raha hai. Pair ne 0.6622 par support aur 0.6570 par resistance paayi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo recently 40 ke aas paas chala gaya hai, buying aur selling pressures ke darmiyan ek balance ko suggest karta hai. Yeh movement bullish sentiment ke potential recovery ko darshata hai, halanke market conditions ab bhi prevailing hain

AUD/USD Market Outlook

Sab ko Salam aur Good Morning!

Australian Employment aur Unemployment rate ne ziada volatility nahi laayi, lekin market ab bhi buyers ke haq mein hai. Is hafte FOMC aur Federal Funds rate bhi AUD/USD ke sellers ki madad nahi kar sake. Is ke ilawa, is hafte ke baqi dinon mein Friday ka economic event bohot ahem hai: FOMC Member Harker ka speech. Harker, jo ke Federal Open Market Committee ka member hai, uska bayaan Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke hawale se qeemti insights de sakta hai. Traders bohot ghoor se sun rahe honge ke Harker future interest rate hikes, inflation concerns, ya economic outlooks ke baare mein kya kehta hai.

Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ka seedha asar US dollar ki strength, interest rates, aur stock market ke performance par hota hai. Iss lihaaz se yeh speech iss haftay ke end tak market sentiment ko shape karne mein ek critical event sabit ho sakti hai. Aaj ke din bhi Harker ka speech ziada volatility nahi laayega. FOMC speeches aksar policymakers ke liye ek moka hoti hain market expectations ko clarify ya adjust karne ke liye. Agar Harker ek hawkish stance leta hai—jo indicate karta hai ke Fed inflation ka muqabla karne ke liye interest rates ko barhane ka irada rakhta hai—toh US dollar ki taqat barh sakti hai aur equities, khaaskar technology aur real estate jese interest-rate-sensitive sectors mein sell-off ho sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar Harker ek dovish tone apnate hain, jo ye suggest karta hai ke Fed rate hikes ko economic growth ke concerns ki wajah se rok sakta hai, to US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai aur equities, khaaskar growth sectors mein rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Umeed hai ke AUD/USD ka market aaj ya agle hafte 0.6865 zone ko cross kar le ga.

Stay blessed aur Stay safe!

AUD/USD Ki Price Movement Analysis

Hamari guftagu mein aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ki mojooda pricing behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Market sentiment kaafi zyada US dollar ko bechne ke haqq mein tha, aur naturally AUD/USD pair ne bhi is rujhan ko follow kiya. Yeh pair dheemi magar yaqini growth dikha raha tha, halan ke doosri major currencies jitni tezi se nahi bara. Phir bhi, yeh significant levels tak pohnch gaya aur critical benchmarks ko test kiya, jisse selling opportunities ka socha ja sakta tha. Aaj, lekin, na to growth ka silsila jari raha aur na hi koi girawat dekhnay ko mili. H4 chart par Aussie shaayad ek flat correction phase mein dakhil ho sakta hai, jiske baad growth ka imkaan hai ke wapas aaye. Is surat-e-haal mein mujhe koi clear trading options nazar nahi aa rahi hain. Buying ke liye ek deeper pullback ki zaroorat hai, aur selling tabhi mumkin hai jab Friday ke high ko break kare, lekin in dono scenarios mein se koi bhi abhi mojood nahi hai. Isliye, mein filhal Australian market se door hoon. Four-hour chart par MACD indicator ek bearish divergence ko dikhata hai, jo girawat ka strong signal hai, aur yeh materialize zaroor hoga.

Australian Dollar ki recent weakness ka primary driver China ki deteriorating economic outlook hai. Mulki Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) wo pace nahi dikha saka jo expected tha, jo ke demand mein kami ko zahir karta hai, chahe wo domestically ho ya internationally. Is concern ko aur barhaya PBoC (People's Bank of China) ke surprising rate-cut decision ne, aur Third Plenary Session mein kisi bhi substantial spending measures ka na hone ka asar bhi. China ki economic health ka ek key proxy hone ke natije mein, Australian Dollar ko in developments se kaafi zyada nuqsaan pohcha hai recent trading sessions mein. In challenges ke bawajood, USD apne struggles face kar sakta hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein rate cut ke imkaanat barh rahe hain. Yeh potential development AUD/USD pair par downward pressure ko kuch hadd tak kam kar sakta hai. Traders ab Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ke release ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo US ki economic conditions ke hawale se mazeed insights provide karega.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis
Australian dollar pichlay trading haftay ki choti se wapas retreat kar gaya hai aur support levels ki taraf wapas aane laga hai. Price ne 0.6804 ke level se recovery ki, jahan pe isay kafi resistance mila, aur gir kar signal zone ki nichli sarhad 0.6701 tak pohanch gaya, jahan pe ruk gaya hai. Yeh humein target zone tak pohanchne nahi deta, jo abhi bhi kaam kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart super trend red zone mein chala gaya hai, jo yeh dikha raha hai ke sellers apni koshishon ko rok rahe hain Aaj ke din ki technical analysis ki nazar se, is haftay ki trading ke liye zaroori official target 0.6760 tak pohanchne ke baad, hum note karte hain ke price ne upar mention kiye gaye levels ke upar aik base banaya hai, jo ke mohtat short-term hai, aur wazeh positive strength ke signs se support hota hai. Agar price psychological resistance 0.6600 ke upar rehti hai, toh yeh koshish kar sakti hai ke apna mukammal uptrend resume kare, jiska target 0.6710 hai, jo 50-day moving average ke qareeb hai. Is ke upar interval mein gains 0.6818 aur 0.6918 tak barh sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar price 0.6676 se neechay break karti hai, toh rebound ki koshish ruk sakti hai, aur gold corrective decline ko resume karegi, jiske targets 0.6860 aur 0.6950 hain, jo expected official levels hain Pair maamooli tor pe neeche trade kar raha hai aur recently pohanchi hui weekly low se door hai. Key support area par kafi stress tha aur yeh lagbhag toot gaya tha, lekin is ne apni integrity ko maintain kiya, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke uptrend ko favor kiya jaa sakta hai. Gain ko continue karne ke liye, price ko wapas aana hoga aur 0.6765 ke level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jo key support area ki sarhad hai. Iss area ki successful retest opposite direction mein aur us ke baad bounce up, ek naye upward movement ko trigger karega jiska target 0.6871 aur 0.6949 hoga
Agar price reversal level 0.6701 ko break karti hai, toh iss se current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal milay ga

AUD/USD price movement analysis mein hum is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke maujooda price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Market sentiment ne behtareen taur par US dollar ke against selling ko support kiya, aur iss ke saath AUD/USD pair bhi ussi rujhan ko follow karta raha. Pair ka growth stable aur pur-ittimad raha, lekin doosri major currencies ke mukable mein itna tez nahi tha. Phir bhi, yeh significant levels tak pohanch gaya aur critical benchmarks ko test kiya, jo ke selling opportunities ke liye gaor karne ka sabab bana.

Aaj ke din, na to growth ka silsila jaari raha aur na hi koi girawat dekhi gayi. H4 chart par Aussie shayad flat correction phase mein dakhil ho sakta hai, jiske baad growth dobara shuru hone ka imkaan hai. Iss surat-e-haal ne trading ke liye koi waazeh options nahi chhode. Buy karne ke liye ek deeper pullback ki zaroorat hai, aur sell karne ke liye Friday ke high ke ooper break hona zaroori hai, lekin filhal dono mein se koi bhi scenario mojood nahi hai. Isliye, main filhal Australian market se door hoon.

H4 chart par MACD indicator ek bearish divergence dikhata hai, jo ke girawat ka mazboot signal hai, aur yeh girawat zaroor dekhne ko milegi.

Australian Dollar ke haaliya weakness ka sabse bara sabab China ki maashi surat-e-haal mein bigar hai. China ka Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) tawaqqaat se slow pace par bara, jo ke andaroon-e-mulk aur doosi taraf demand mein kamzori ko zahir karta hai. Is concern ko badhawa mila People’s Bank of China (PBoC) ki heran kun rate-cut faislay se, aur teesray plenary session mein koi substantial kharch ka elaan nahi kiya gaya. China ki maashi health ka ek barah-e-raast proxy hone ki wajah se, Australian Dollar ko inn developments ka shiddat se asar hua hai recent trading sessions mein.

In challenges ke bawajood, USD apni muskilein face kar raha hai kyun ke Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September mein rate cut ki tawaqqat barh rahi hain. Yeh imkani development AUD/USD pair par kuch downward pressure ko kam karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Traders barah-e-ghor Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ke release ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke United States ke maashi haalaat par mazeed insight faraham karega.

Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce rate decision soon. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai. BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke. Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.
Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.

US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME's FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce rate decision soon. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.

BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke

Mazboot Australian July employment data Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke liye kuch pareshani ka sabab ban sakta hai. Full-time employment mein mazid izafa ho sakta hai jo RBA ko New Zealand ki tarah poori tarah se easing mood mein jane se rok sakta hai, aur shayad ye Waqt September mein Fed ke liye bhi dekhne ko milay, jaise ke ING ke FX strategist Chris Turner ne kaha. "Iska matlab yeh hai ke Australian Dollar (AUD) cross pairs mein acha perform karega. August ke shuru mein AUD/NZD ke girne ka matlab hai ke investors ne is cross ko upar trade karne ki umeed rakhi thi, magar yen-triggered deleveraging ne isko unwind kar diya. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh cross mid-July ke 1.1150 highs ko phir se test kare. Magar yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke China ki macro weakness AUD ko yahan rokh rahi ho. Overall, ek mahine ka target 0.68 hai AUD/USD ke liye. **AUD/USD** Budh ke din, Australian dollar ne 0.6640 ka target level haasil kar liya, phir wahan se (MACD line aur 61.8% Fibonacci level se) neeche chala gaya, aur aaj subah 0.6570 ke support ko chhoo gaya. Yeh izafa Australia mein employment data ke release hone ke wajah se hua—Australia mein July mein 58,200 jobs created hui, jab ke forecast 20,200 thi, aur participation rate 66.9% se barh kar 67.1% hogayi, jiski wajah se ultimately unemployment 4.1% se barh kar 4.2% hogayi. Magar investors ne in data ko overall positive samjha. Iske ilawa, Japan ka GDP dusre quarter mein 3.1% barh gaya, jab ke umeed 2.1% ki thi
Price ko 0.6640 ke strong resistance ko overcome karna hoga ziata substantial movement ke liye, kam az kam 0.6680 ka target level haasil karne ke liye. Jab ke raw materials abhi bhi gir rahe hain, yeh sirf tab mumkin hai jab US dollar globally weak ho jaye. Filhaal, yeh ek neutral position mein hai
4-hour chart mein, price balance line (red moving average) ke upar hai, aur Marlin oscillator wapas growth territory mein chala gaya hai. Nateeja tan, aussie abhi neutral range mein hai 0.6570-0.6640 ke darmiyan. Is range ke beyond breakout hi uske aage ka movement tay karega