ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Technical point of view se dekha jaye toh **AUD/USD** currency pair weekly aur daily timeframes par abhi bhi bearish trend mein hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke long-term market sentiment abhi bhi Australian Dollar ki girawat ko support kar raha hai. Lekin agar hum H4 aur hourly charts ko dekhain, toh humein AUD mein dheere dheere strength nazar aa rahi hai.August 29 ko jo high price 0.6819 tak pohoncha tha, woh aik critical resistance zone ban gaya hai. Yeh level break karna mushkil sabit ho raha hai, kyun ke price is level ke upar jaane mein nakam raha aur wapas downside ki taraf move kar gaya. Hal hi mein price ne do support levels ko retest kiya: 0.6686 aur 0.6624. In levels ne kaafi buying interest ko generate kiya jiss se price aur neeche girne se ruk gaya.
Australian currency (AUD) apni strength gain kar raha hai, jiss ka major reason improved risk sentiment hai markets mein. Ek aur key factor hai Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka hawkish stance, jo is baat ka ishara karta hai ke central bank interest rates ko higher rakhne ya shayad aur zyada increase karne ka plan bana raha hai. Is wajah se Australian Dollar investors ke liye zyada attractive ho gaya hai, khaaskar doosri currencies jaise US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein. Doosri taraf, US Dollar struggle kar raha hai kyun ke expectations hain ke Federal Reserve interest rates ko jald hi cut kar sakta hai. Market mein yeh belief barh raha hai ke Fed apne next meeting mein rates ko 50 basis points tak kam kar sakta hai. Lower interest rates US Dollar ko kam attractive bana deti hain, kyun ke investors ko USD assets hold karne par kam returns milne ki umeed hoti hai. Is wajah se US Dollar par aur zyada pressure aya hai, jo Australian Dollar ki strength ko further support kar raha hai.

Lekin, yeh fundamental drivers ke bawajood, global factors jaise US aur China ke economic data ka AUD/USD pair par asar ho sakta hai. China Australia ka sabse bara trading partner hai, aur agar China ki economy se koi negative news aati hai toh yeh Australian Dollar ki strength ko slow down kar sakti hai.Is waqt AUD/USD pair wapas move karne ki koshish kar raha hai aur 0.6819 resistance level ko retest karne ke liye prepare ho raha hai. Yeh ek significant area hai jispar nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke agar yeh resistance break ho jata hai toh aur zyada bullish momentum aasakti hai. Lekin price ko kuch short-term tops ke around rok liya gaya hai jo growth ko slow kar raha hai. In tops ne ek barrier bana diya hai, jo bulls ke liye price ko upar push karna mushkil bana raha hai.

Short-term mein yeh lagta hai ke bulls dobara price ko 0.6819 resistance ki taraf le jaane ki koshish karte rahenge. Agar yeh succeed karte hain, toh pair ek aur strong upward movement dekh sakta hai. Lekin agar price dobara is resistance ko break karne mein nakam hota hai, toh hum ek retracement ya pullback dekh sakte hain pehle ke yeh dobara rise karne ki koshish kare.Jab ke long-term trend ab bhi bearish outlook ko support karta hai, short-term charts yeh suggest karte hain ke AUD/USD pair mein kaafi strength hai jo key resistance levels ko challenge karne ki koshish kar sakta hai. Traders ko dhyaan se dekhna chahiye ke price 0.6819 level ke aas-paas kis tarah react karta hai, kyun ke yeh future direction ke liye important clues de sakta hai.

Tuesday ke trading session ke douran, AUD/USD pair ne apna low recover kiya aur kuch follow-through buyers ko attract kiya, jiss se yeh takreeban do haftay ke high 0.6755 tak pohoncha. US dollar ke losses mein consolidation aur Chinese financial data se jo challenges aa rahe hain, unka asar Australian dollar par nazar aa raha hai. Iske bawajood, AUD/USD ke gains ko US dollar ke depreciation ne offset kiya, jo ek high-quality risk tone ki wajah se hua. Doosre din ke liye, AUD/USD currency pair apni upward trajectory ko maintain kar raha hai, aur aik week-long rally ko cap karte huye nazar aata hai.

Australian dollar, jo mid-0.6700 mark se upar trade kar raha tha, European session ke douran apne aik week ke highest level tak pohoncha. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka stringent stance inflation ke hawalay se aur contradictory currency data ne market expectations ko hobby price reductions ke liye dampen kiya hai. Halankeh predictions mein 50 underlying variables ki drop ka zikr barh raha hai, investors abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke activity rate ke decision ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke risk-sensitive currencies jese ke Australian dollar ko strengthen kar sakta hai.

Wednesday ko, AUD/USD pair ne 0.6760 ke qareeb exchange kiya. Daily chart ki technical analysis ke mutabiq, pair ek descending border ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ek rising wedge pattern ka hissa hai. Yeh potential bearish reversal ko suggest karta hai. Agar yeh rising wedge return karta hai, aur AUD/USD pair ko 0.6800 level aur uske seven-month high 0.6798 ke upar le jata hai, toh bullish bias mazid strengthen hoga.

Rising wedge ka upper edge 0.6820 level par located hai, jo zyada resistance ke liye significant lag raha hai. AUD/USD pair ka fluctuation 0.6700 aur 0.6730 ke psychological level ke beech expected hai, jo ke 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke qareeb hai. Agar damage hota hai toh yeh retracement guide quarter area 0.6575 ke aas-paas ho sakti hai.

Meri recommendation yeh hai ke buy entry initiate ki jaye, jiss ka target 0.8785 level hai. Is strategy ko fundamental analysis aur technical indicators dono support karte hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke market sentiment near term mein bulls ke liye favorable reh sakta hai. Market ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai, khaaskar United States time zone ke douran, kyun ke volatility increase ho sakti hai, jo swift price movements ka mauqa de sakti hai.

Akhir mein, different trading tools ke value ko samajhna zaroori hai. Tools jese ke technical indicators, news alerts, aur sentiment analysis se yeh confirm karne mein madad milti hai ke bulls control mein hain ya nahi, aur agar target 0.8785 achieve ho sakta hai. Yeh tools market behavior ke hawalay se valuable insights dete hain, jo strategies ko ongoing trends ke saath align karne mein madadgar hote hain. Aaj AUD/USD market ke hawalay se fundamental factors bhi ek potential bullish scenario ki taraf ishara karte hain, jahan 0.8785 level tak pohonchne ka possibility hai. Jo log market sentiment ko monitor karte hain aur sahi trading tools ko istemal karte hain, unke liye buy entry strategy profitable ho sakti hai. Market conditions mein koi bhi tabdeeli dekh kar proactive aur responsive rehna important hoga, taake gains maximize kiye ja sakein aur risks minimize ho sakein.

AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ke tajziye ke hawalay se hai. AUD/USD filhal ek downward trend mein hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, 4-hour chart par price cloud ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche, aur Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke neeche hai. Is waqt ek "dead cross" active hai. Bollinger Bands downward slope par hain, MACD oscillator ke volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 se neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator ne laal rang le liya hai, jo bears ke dominant hone ka saboot deta hai. Iss waqt selling ko tarjeeh di jani chahiye. Agar yeh girawat jari rehti hai, to agla target level 0.6621 hoga. Agar bears is threshold ko tod dete hain, to quotes mazeed gir kar 0.6560 tak ja sakti hain. Main yeh tawaqo karta hoon ke yeh level bhi breakdown hoga, aur downward trend 0.6605 tak jari rahega, jo ke channel ke neeche wali boundary 0.6557 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Medium term mein mera target 0.6458 aur 0.6349 ke levels par hai.


Meri analysis jo maine subah share ki thi, us ke mutabiq AUD/USD market bilkul bears ki madad kar rahi hai aur abhi 0.6646 level par hai. Agar yeh rejection hoti hai, to bulls ko dobara market mein entry lene ka moka milega. Iss dauran, market buyers ke haq mein ja rahi hai, jo is baat ka wazeh ishara hai ke momentum ab upward movement ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Buyers ko taqat mil rahi hai aur wo prices ko upar dhakel rahe hain, jo ke ek bullish scenario ka saboot hai. Doosri taraf, sellers apna asar kho rahe hain aur unhein market par dabao dalna mushkil ho raha hai. Aise mein, sellers ke liye sell entry lena munasib nahi hoga, kyun ke yeh prevailing trend ke khilaf hoga. Is waqt sell position lena nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai, kyun ke market ka momentum strong bullish trend ko support kar raha hai aur downward movement ka faida uthana mushkil hai. Imandari se, yeh lagta hai ke AUD/USD market agle chand ghanton mein bullish trend shuru kar dega. Yeh observation technical analysis ke zariye bhi support hoti hai jo daily aur hourly charts par available hai. Dono timeframes aaj ke liye bullish scenario ko dikhate hain, jo is baat ko reinforce karta hai ke market upward move kar raha hai. Daily chart, jo market ke movements ka broader perspective deta hai, ek strong upward trend dikhata hai, jahan price levels resistance points ko break kar rahi hain

Friday ko bahut kam macroeconomic events schedule kiye gaye hain. Sirf European Union mein industrial production ka report aur United States mein University of Michigan consumer sentiment index ka report hai. Ye reports market ko zyada react karne ke liye shayad majboor nahi karengi, aur kal humein yeh dekhne ko mila ke market ek baar phir se bina kisi wajah ke dollar bechne ke liye tayar hai. Dono currency pairs ab bhi downward trends mein hain, lekin agar aaj bina kisi wajah ke growth dekhi jati hai, to iska matlab ho sakta hai ke euro aur pound ke do saal ke upward trends ko resume karne ke liye tayyari chal rahi hai.
Fundamental Events ka Overview:
Friday ko ek hi fundamental event hai jo notable hai, wo hai European Central Bank ki President Christine Lagarde ki speech. Is waqt yeh bhi nahi pata ke yeh speech kab hogi. Kal Lagarde ne market ko koi khaas nishan nahi diya, lekin phir bhi market ne euro ko actively khareeda, jaise ke monetary policy ko tighten karne ka plan ho. Magar market ne 2024 mein baar baar information ko apne hisaab se interpret kiya hai.

Thursday ko, Australian dollar, jo related markets ki madad se strong resistance 0.6691 ko paar kar gaya, MACD line ke saath daily chart par. Growth 0.6727 tak chalti rahi. Ek break ke baad, price 0.6801 tak bhi ja sakti hai. Marlin oscillator, jo positive territory mein aa gaya hai, isme madad kar raha hai.

Federal Reserve meeting ke aane wale dinon ko dekhte hue, sideways price movement ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai, lekin 0.6640–0.6727 ke wide range mein. Yani ke price ka MACD line ke neeche move hona aur 0.6691 level ke aas paas consolidate hona false signals ho sakta hai. Marlin oscillator bhi zero line ke neeche jaane ke nishan dikha raha hai.

Chaar ghante ke chart par, price ne MACD line aur 0.6727 level ke upar consolidate kiya hai aur oscillator bhi actively grow kar raha hai. Yeh signs price ke upar rehne ke imkaan ko barhate hain. Lekin, is choti si difference ko open positions ke liye use karne mein humein shak hai. Hum Fed meeting ka intezar kar rahe hain.

AUD/USD ka outlook
Is char-ghante ke chart par AUD/USD ke liye wazeh ooper ka rujhan hai. Lehaza, qimat me pullback ke dauran kharidna samajh me aata hai. Takniki tajziyah ke mutabiq, kharid signal maujud hain. Alligator aur Envelopes dono lines ooper ki taraf badh rahi hain. Mansubah yah hai keh qimat me izafa ya to false breakout yah 0.6818 ki satah ko paar karne wali mukkamal bull candle ke zariye hon. Yahi woh jagah hai jahan ham matlubah maunafa hasil kar sakte hain.

AUD/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis zabt-e-bahs hai. AUD/USD pair ne daily chart par neeche ki taraf rukh liya hai, jo ek wazeh downtrend dikha raha hai. Aaj ki movement se lagta hai ke yeh bearish direction jari rehne ka imkaan hai, lekin reversal bhi mumkin hai. Aaiye din ki technical analysis ko break down karte hain. Moving averages strong sell signal de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi selling pressure ko support kar rahe hain. Kul mila kar outlook suggest karta hai ke bearish trend jari rahega, magar hum kisi bhi potential shift ko monitor karenge. Price tab se is level se neeche gir chuki hai, aur dusre major currency pairs bhi qareeb mustaqbil mein mazboot US dollar ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain. Pehle wave par Fibonacci grid lagane se target decline level kareeb 161.9% hai. Beech ka target technical level 0.6641 hai, aur mera khayal hai ke price jald is level ki taraf move karegi. Magar thoda growth ya pullback ho sakta hai, jo sab se qareebi resistance level 0.6691 tak pohonch sakta hai. AUD/USD ke four-hour chart ko dekhte hue, downward trend momentum gain kar raha hai ek wazeh wave structure ke saath. MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line se neeche reh kar. Pehle, MACD aur CCI indicators par triple bearish divergence saamne aayi thi. Mazeed, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—ko downside ki taraf break kiya gaya, jisse bearish divergence signal validate hua. Nateeja yeh hua ke price drop hui, aur temporary support kareeb 0.6701 par hona tha. Aik prolonged corrective rise ke baad, price ne mirror resistance level ko hit kiya 0.6756 par, jo pehle support tha. Yeh level growth edge par hai aur consistently strong selling zone raha hai. Is decline ko jari rakhne mein ek ahem factor CCI indicator hai, jo weekly chart par upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai.

Haal hi mein AUD/USD currency pair ke price ka live evaluation hamari guftagu ke bilkul mutabiq hai. Buyers ki koshishein market mein dekhi ja sakti hain, kyunke AUD/USD ka uptrend 4-hour chart par support level 0.6625 se shuru ho chuka hai. Agar technical analysis ka mutala kiya jaye, toh yahan clear buy signals nazar aa rahe hain, jahan do important indicators ne iss ko confirm kiya hai. MACD oscillator ka histogram negative zone se nikal kar zero ko cross kar gaya hai aur ab positive territory mein chala gaya hai, jabke moving average bhi upward trend kar raha hai. Yeh sab ishaarat karte hain ke price smoothly barh sakti hai aur 0.6824 level ko cross karne ke imkanaat hain.Agar price kam az kam is distance ka aadha hisa tay kar leti hai aur extended position profitable ho jati hai, toh stop loss ko breakeven par lana ehedi ehtiyaat ka hissa hoga. Jaise hi AUD/USD pair resistance area 0.6794 ke kareeb pahunchta hai, sirf ek choti si rukawat 0.6767 par hai, jise candle body ne kuch had tak cross kar liya hai. Agle kuch dinon mein iss candle ka close hona bohot ahmiyat ka hamil hoga. Agar yeh apne mojooda level ke kareeb close hoti hai, toh mujhe umeed hai ke price aage barh kar 0.6794 resistance ko choo legi, jahan mein short karne ka sochunga.

Abhi ke liye, main side par rahunga. AUD/USD pair ke liye overall momentum bearish hai, halankeh sellers ke positions thore kamzor lagte hain. Agar price 0.6774/0.6799 resistance zone ke ooper wapas jati hai, toh yeh mumkin hai ke recent high 0.6823 ko test kare. Sab se qareebi support zone 0.6738/0.6721 ke qareeb hai, jahan se price ya toh wapas upar chal sakti hai ya phir downward trend ko barqarar rakhte hue 0.6621 ke bearish start line ki taraf gir sakti hai.Yeh 0.6621 support level kaafi crucial hai—agar yeh break hota hai, toh pehli downward wave trigger hogi jo AUD/USD pair ko 0.6496 aur 0.6419 tak le ja sakti hai. Jo chart hum dekh rahe hain, us par candles ne blue rang le liya hai, jo bulls ki strength ko indicate karta hai. Price ne channel ke neeche waale hadd ko (red dotted line) cross kiya aur minimum price mark se bounce kar ke wapas middle line (yellow dotted line) tak aa gayi hai. RSI oscillator bhi buy signal ko confirm kar raha hai, kyunke iski curve upward hai aur overbought levels ke kareeb nahi hai.

Ham yeh nateeja nikal sakte hain ke profitable long buy transaction ko channel ke upper boundary (blue dotted line) tak, jo ke price mark 0.68300 hai, close karna ek behtareen faisla ho sakta hai. Overall, yeh umeed hai ke market jaldi ya dair se 0.6822 zone ko cross kar legi. Agar Federal Reserve yeh signal karta hai ke usay mojooda inflation level se koi problem nahi hai aur mazeed rate hikes ki zarurat nahi samajhta, toh yeh buyers ke liye tailwind ka kaam karega aur resistance zone ko cross karne mein madad dega.Iske ilawa, agar Building Permits data expected se zyada strong aata hai, toh yeh housing market ko further support de sakta hai aur economic confidence mein izafa kar sakta hai, jo buyers ke liye ek positive development hogi. AUD/USD ke liye aaj ka trading session buyers ke liye US market mein ek critical moment hai. FOMC meeting, Federal Funds Rate decision, aur Building Permits report ke combination ne high-stakes environment paida kiya hai jahan gains aur losses dono ka imkaan zyada hai. Jo buyers in events ko successfully navigate kar payenge, woh apne losses recover karne aur potentially profit turn karne ke behtareen mawake par ho sakte hain.

/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka analysis zabt-e-bahs hai. AUD/USD pair ne daily chart par neeche ki taraf rukh liya hai, jo ek wazeh downtrend dikha raha hai. Aaj ki movement se lagta hai ke yeh bearish direction jari rehne ka imkaan hai, lekin reversal bhi mumkin hai. Aaiye din ki technical analysis ko break down karte hain. Moving averages strong sell signal de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi selling pressure ko support kar rahe hain. Kul mila kar outlook suggest karta hai ke bearish trend jari rahega, magar hum kisi bhi potential shift ko monitor karenge. Price tab se is level se neeche gir chuki hai, aur dusre major currency pairs bhi qareeb mustaqbil mein mazboot US dollar ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain. Pehle wave par Fibonacci grid lagane se target decline level kareeb 161.9% hai. Beech ka target technical level 0.6641 hai, aur mera khayal hai ke price jald is level ki taraf move karegi. Magar thoda growth ya pullback ho sakta hai, jo sab se qareebi resistance level 0.6691 tak pohonch sakta hai. AUD/USD ke four-hour chart ko dekhte hue, downward trend momentum gain kar raha hai ek wazeh wave structure ke saath. MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai, apni signal line se neeche reh kar. Pehle, MACD aur CCI indicators par triple bearish divergence saamne aayi thi. Mazeed, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—ko downside ki taraf break kiya gaya, jisse bearish divergence signal validate hua. Nateeja yeh hua ke price drop hui, aur temporary support kareeb 0.6701 par hona tha. Aik prolonged corrective rise ke baad, price ne mirror resistance level ko hit kiya 0.6756 par, jo pehle support tha. Yeh level growth edge par hai aur consistently strong selling zone raha hai. Is decline ko jari rakhne mein ek ahem factor CCI indicator hai, jo weekly chart par upper overheating zone

۔ AUD/USD: Strategies aur Tips
Hamara focus is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke price ke behaviour par hai. Hourly chart par AUD/USD pair ek descending channel mein move kar raha hai. Saturday ko pair mein decline dekha gaya, lekin yeh channel ke lower boundary tak nahi pohoncha. Is liye, Monday se, mujhe downward movement ki umeed hai, aur price takreeban 0.6681 ke qareeb lower boundary ko touch karega. Friday ko pair downward pullback mein trade hua, 0.6729 se gir ke kareeb 0.6699 par close hua. Hourly chart ke technical indicators ahista ahista bearish momentum ka signal de rahe hain. MACD indicator abhi tak positive territory mein hai, lekin zero line ke qareeb aa raha hai, jo ek possible shift ki taraf ishara karta hai. Monday se downward trajectory jari rahegi, aur sellers ka target 0.6599 level hoga. Is ke base par, pair sideways move karega, jahan 0.6729 resistance level tak buying aur 0.6684 support level tak selling ke chances ho sakte hain Aage dekhte hue, maine daily chart par bhi pair ka analysis kiya hai. 0.6478 level ke ilawa, buy karna risky hoga. Mumsakin scenarios ye hain ke pair 0.6564 tak move kare ya 0.6478 se neeche drop kare. Yaqeen se nahi kaha ja sakta, lekin mere hisaab se in outcomes ki probability kaafi hai. Main sirf us waqt market mein enter karunga jab price 0.6478 support level tak pohonchega. Friday ko pair selling pressure mein tha, halanke is se pehle do din tak yeh upward move kar raha tha. Yeh dekhna baqi hai ke downward movement jari rahega ya koi aur option samne aayegi, aur main isko further analyze karne ka irada rakhta hoon. Din ke technical analysis mein moving averages strong buy ko suggest kar rahe hain, jabke technical indicators selling ki taraf hain. Kul mila ke, outlook neutral hai. US manufacturing activity index release hoga, aur forecast optimistic hai

AUD/USD ka tajziyah
Sud ki sherah me kami ke bare me kal ki khabar ne tamam bade jodon ko mutassir kiya, lekin AUD/USD ne bamushkil koi radde amal zahir kiya. Yah ajib hai kiyunkeh yah bhi ek bada joda hai aur isme Americi dollar bhi shamil hai. Maine abhi-abhi wave analysis ka istemal karte hue yaumiyah chart ko check kiya, aur sab kuch ab bhi kafi mutawaqqe hai.
Filhal, buland satah par ek sideways movement hai. Yah waqt ke sath 0.6796-0.6700 ki hadd ke andar, mazbuti se bana hua hai. Qimat pahle hi do yaumiyah candles ke sath oopri hadd ka test kiya hai. Is tarah, yah muntaqi lagta hai keh yah jodi kam az kam channel ki hadd tak fisal jayegi. Halankeh, mere chart ki buniyad par, aakhri panch yaumiyah candles 0.6736 ki satah par muqami MA18 se niche tootne me nakam rahe. Filhal, yah mazid girawat ke liye ek thos rukawat ke taur par kam kar raha hai.
Is dauran, MA100 taqriban pandrah degrees ke thos bullish angle ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Iska matlab yah hai keh haftawar jazbat me tezi bani hui hai. Iske alawa, Ichimoku Cloud kafi mazbut nazar aata hai, jo is khayal ki himayat karta hai keh bulls ab bhi control me hain.
Mujhe kami ki tawaqqo hai, lekin abhi sirf 0.6700 ki satah tak.

Mazboot Australian July employment data Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke liye kuch pareshani ka sabab ban sakta hai. Full-time employment mein mazid izafa ho sakta hai jo RBA ko New Zealand ki tarah poori tarah se easing mood mein jane se rok sakta hai, aur shayad ye Waqt September mein Fed ke liye bhi dekhne ko milay, jaise ke ING ke FX strategist Chris Turner ne kaha. "Iska matlab yeh hai ke Australian Dollar (AUD) cross pairs mein acha perform karega. August ke shuru mein AUD/NZD ke girne ka matlab hai ke investors ne is cross ko upar trade karne ki umeed rakhi thi, magar yen-triggered deleveraging ne isko unwind kar diya. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh cross mid-July ke 1.1150 highs ko phir se test kare. "Agar Fed September mein cut kare aur US yield curve aur ziada steep ho jaye, to EUR/AUD neeche aana chahiye. Magar yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke China ki macro weakness AUD ko yahan rokh rahi ho. Overall, ek mahine ka target 0.68 hai AUD/USD ke liye. **AUD/USD** Budh ke din, Australian dollar ne 0.6640 ka target level haasil kar liya, phir wahan se (MACD line aur 61.8% Fibonacci level se) neeche chala gaya, aur aaj subah 0.6570 ke support ko chhoo gaya. Yeh izafa Australia mein employment data ke release hone ke wajah se hua—Australia mein July mein 58,200 jobs create hui, jab ke forecast 20,200 thi, aur participation rate 66.9% se barh kar 67.1% hogayi, jiski wajah se ultimately unemployment 4.1% se barh kar 4.2% hogayi. Magar investors ne in data ko overall positive samjha. Iske ilawa, Japan ka GDP dusre quarter mein 3.1% barh gaya, jab ke umeed 2.1% ki thi Price ko 0.6640 ke strong resistance ko overcome karna hoga ziada substantial movement ke liye, kam az kam 0.6680 ka target level haasil karne ke liye. Jab ke raw materials abhi bhi gir rahe hain, yeh sirf tab mumkin hai jab U.S. dollar globally weak ho jaye. Filhaal, yeh ek neutral position mein hai 4-hour chart mein, price balance line (red moving average) ke upar hai, aur Marlin oscillator wapas growth territory mein chala gaya hai. Nateeja tan, aussie abhi neutral range mein hai 0.6570-0.6640 ke darmiyan. Is range ke beyond breakout hi uske aage ka movement tay karega

EUR/USD ka outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Mai euro/dollar ki jodi ko kharidna jari rakhne ke khayal se puri tarah muttafiq hun. US Federal Reserve ki taraf se kal ka faisla hairan kun nahin tha. Sirf 0.25% sherah me kami ki ibtedai tawaqqo ko jan bujh kar kam kar ke aanka gaya. Is tarah, jin logon ne 1.0700 ke qarib euro/dollar ka joda kharida tha, unke pas 1.1200 ke qarib apni positions ko band karne ka mauqa tha. Is saal abhi bhi do Fed meeting baqi hain, aur har ek me mazid 0.25 fisad kami ki tawaqqo hai. Aisa lagta hai keh euro/dollar ke jode me izafe ka rujhan shayad hi kisi bade khatre ka samna karega.
Mai tawaqqo karta hun keh qimat 1.1120 ki maujudah se badh kar 1.1200 aur us se aage tak pahunch jayegi.
Mai aap ke munafabaksh trade ki khawahish karta hun!

Haal hi mein AUD/USD currency pair ke price ka live evaluation hamari guftagu ke bilkul mutabiq hai. Buyers ki koshishein market mein dekhi ja sakti hain, kyunke AUD/USD ka uptrend 4-hour chart par support level 0.6625 se shuru ho chuka hai. Agar technical analysis ka mutala kiya jaye, toh yahan clear buy signals nazar aa rahe hain, jahan do important indicators ne iss ko confirm kiya hai. MACD oscillator ka histogram negative zone se nikal kar zero ko cross kar gaya hai aur ab positive territory mein chala gaya hai, jabke moving average bhi upward trend kar raha hai. Yeh sab ishaarat karte hain ke price smoothly barh sakti hai aur 0.6824 level ko cross karne ke imkanaat hain.Agar price kam az kam is distance ka aadha hisa tay kar leti hai aur extended position profitable ho jati hai, toh stop loss ko breakeven par lana ehedi ehtiyaat ka hissa hoga. Jaise hi AUD/USD pair resistance area 0.6794 ke kareeb pahunchta hai, sirf ek choti si rukawat 0.6767 par hai, jise candle body ne kuch had tak cross kar liya hai. Agle kuch dinon mein iss candle ka close hona bohot ahmiyat ka hamil hoga. Agar yeh apne mojooda level ke kareeb close hoti hai, toh mujhe umeed hai ke price aage barh kar 0.6794 resistance ko choo legi, jahan mein short karne ka sochunga.
Abhi ke liye, main side par rahunga. AUD/USD pair ke liye overall momentum bearish hai, halankeh sellers ke positions thore kamzor lagte hain. Agar price 0.6774/0.6799 resistance zone ke ooper wapas jati hai, toh yeh mumkin hai ke recent high 0.6823 ko test kare. Sab se qareebi support zone 0.6738/0.6721 ke qareeb hai, jahan se price ya toh wapas upar chal sakti hai ya phir downward trend ko barqarar rakhte hue 0.6621 ke bearish start line ki taraf gir sakti hai.Yeh 0.6621 support level kaafi crucial hai—agar yeh break hota hai, toh pehli downward wave trigger hogi jo AUD/USD pair ko 0.6496 aur 0.6419 tak le ja sakti hai. Jo chart hum dekh rahe hain, us par candles ne blue rang le liya hai, jo bulls ki strength ko indicate karta hai. Price ne channel ke neeche waale hadd ko (red dotted line) cross kiya aur minimum price mark se bounce kar ke wapas middle line (yellow dotted line) tak aa gayi hai. RSI oscillator bhi buy signal ko confirm kar raha hai, kyunke iski curve upward hai aur overbought levels ke kareeb nahi hai.

Australian dollar ne apni recent high se retreat kiya hai aur support levels ki taraf wapas aa raha hai. Price ne 0.6804 resistance se recover kiya aur neeche signal zone ke border 0.6701 par ruk gayi. Chart ne super trend red zone main shift kiya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke sellers market par haavi hain. Agar technical perspective dekha jaye, to 0.6760 ka target achieve karne ke baad price ne in levels ke upar ek short-term base establish kiya hai, jo strength ke positive signs se support ho raha hai. Agar price psychological resistance 0.6600 ke upar rehti hai, to ye wapas se uptrend ko resume kar sakti hai, aur 0.6710 (50-day moving average ke paas) ko target karte hue 0.6818 aur 0.6918 tak extend kar sakti hai. Magar agar price 0.6676 se neeche break karti hai, to rebound ruk sakta hai aur ek corrective decline ka aghaz ho sakta hai, jiska target 0.6860 aur 0.6890 ho ga. Currency pair ne significant girawat dekhi hai aur ab recent weekly low se door chal gayi hai. Ek important support level par kafi pressure tha, lekin yeh break hone se bach gaya, jo indicate karta hai ke upward trend continue ho sakta hai. Gains ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, price ko wapas 0.6765 level ke upar consolidate karna zaroori hai, jo key support area ki boundary hai. Agar price is area ka opposite direction se successful retest karti hai aur bounce hoti hai, to ek naya upward movement trigger ho sakta hai, jiske targets 0.6871 aur 0.6949 par honge. Agar price 0.6701 ka reversal level tod deti hai, to current scenario cancel ho sakta hai.
AUD/USD exchange rate 0.6724 level ke aas paas fluctuate kar rahi hai. Thursday ya peechli raat market 0.6730 level tak surge karne main kaamiyab hui thi. Monday ka opening price, Thursday raat ke closing price se zyada tha. Is hafte ke price movement ka koshish hai ke 0.6750 level ke upar break kare. Yeh possibility hai ke AUD/USD pair wapas se positive trend ki taraf jaaye. 4-hour chart dikhata hai ke previous raat price action kuch hours tak positive raha, bilkul peechle kuch weeks ki tarah. Magar, price jaldi neeche gir gayi, jo market correction ko indicate karta hai. Overall, market trend ab bhi upward hai, lekin ek narrow range ke andar.

Mazboot Australian July employment data Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke liye kuch pareshani ka sabab ban sakta hai. Full-time employment mein mazid izafa ho sakta hai jo RBA ko New Zealand ki tarah poori tarah se easing mood mein jane se rok sakta hai, aur shayad ye Waqt September mein Fed ke liye bhi dekhne ko milay, jaise ke ING ke FX strategist Chris Turner ne kaha. "Iska matlab yeh hai ke Australian Dollar (AUD) cross pairs mein acha perform karega. August ke shuru mein AUD/NZD ke girne ka matlab hai ke investors ne is cross ko upar trade karne ki umeed rakhi thi, magar yen-triggered deleveraging ne isko unwind kar diya. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh cross mid-July ke 1.1150 highs ko phir se test kare. "Agar Fed September mein cut kare aur US yield curve aur ziada steep ho jaye, to EUR/AUD neeche aana chahiye. Magar yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke China ki macro weakness AUD ko yahan rokh rahi ho. Overall, ek mahine ka target 0.68 hai AUD/USD ke liye. **AUD/USD** Budh ke din, Australian dollar ne 0.6640 ka target level haasil kar liya, phir wahan se (MACD line aur 61.8% Fibonacci level se) neeche chala gaya, aur aaj subah 0.6570 ke support ko chhoo gaya. Yeh izafa Australia mein employment data ke release hone ke wajah se hua—Australia mein July mein 58,200 jobs create hui, jab ke forecast 20,200 thi, aur participation rate 66.9% se barh kar 67.1% hogayi, jiski wajah se ultimately unemployment 4.1% se barh kar 4.2% hogayi. Magar investors ne in data ko overall positive samjha. Iske ilawa, Japan ka GDP dusre quarter mein 3.1% barh gaya, jab ke umeed 2.1% ki thi Price ko 0.6640 ke strong resistance ko overcome karna hoga ziada substantial movement ke liye, kam az kam 0.6680 ka target level haasil karne ke liye. Jab ke raw materials abhi bhi gir rahe hain, yeh sirf tab mumkin hai jab U.S. dollar globally weak ho jaye. Filhaal, yeh ek neutral position mein hai 4-hour chart mein, price balance line (red moving average) ke upar hai, aur Marlin oscillator wapas growth territory mein chala gaya hai. Nateeja tan, aussie abhi neutral range mein hai 0.6570-0.6640 ke darmiyan. Is range ke beyond breakout hi uske aage ka movement tay karega