ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD currency pair ne is haftay ka aghaz kamzori ke saath kiya hai, jahan Monday subah ke Asian session mein yeh pair 0.6792 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh girawat mukhtalif aham asraat ka nateeja hai, jo ke chand central bank figures ke bayanat aur haali economic data se mutasir hain. Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke haali bayan ne market sentiment par kafi asar dala hai. Powell ke bayanat ne ishara diya hai ke US mein aane walay arsay mein bhi unchi interest rates barqarar reh sakti hain, kyunki Fed mehngai ko apne target ki taraf le jaane mein ehtiyaat kar raha hai. Un ke bayanat ne US dollar ko mazid mazboot kiya hai, kyunki unchi rates investors ko dollar mein invest karne ki taraf khench rahi hain. Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka rukh bhi AUD/USD ki dynamics mein aham kirdar ada kar raha hai. RBA ke haali bayanat pehlay mahino ke muqablay mein zyada dovish hain. RBA ki ehtiyaat baratne wali approach, jo ke mulki economic challenges aur dheemi inflationary pressures se mutasir hai, Fed ki zyada aggressive monetary policy se bilkul mukhtalif hai. Is wajah se Australian dollar par downward pressure hai, jo AUD/USD pair ki kamzori ko aur barha raha hai.

In central bank signals ke milaap ne Australian dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai.

AUD/USD ka H4 chart dekhte huay, wave structure tab tak barqarar rahega jab tak upward trend qaim hai. MACD indicator ne lower sales zone mein position le li hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Is se pehle, MACD aur secondary CCI indicator par triple bearish divergence samne aayi thi. Iske ilawa, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—bhi successfully breakdown hua tha, aur bearish divergence ka signal confirm hua. 0.6697 par horizontal support level dabbaw mein hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh zyada dair nahi tik payega aur break hoga. Best selling entry point tab hoga jab price pehle upward retrace kare aur phir is support ko break kare. Iss trade ka target 0.6639 par set hai. Halanki CCI indicator lower overheating zone se ek possible upward move ka ishara de raha hai, lekin yeh signal sellers ko rok nahi payega. H1 period ka candle 0.6810 par hai, jo resistance ko touch karne ke qareeb hai. Shayad AUD/USD thodi der ke liye aur barh jaye usse pehle ke woh kaafi neeche giray. Agar is area ko cross kiya ja sakay, to yeh rise continue bhi ho sakta hai. Mera khayal hai ke AUD/USD ka yeh izafa sirf ek corrective move hai, kyunki candle abhi tak supply area 0.6810 ko cross nahi kar saka. AUD/USD aakhirkaar neeche jaye ga. Pehle ki tarah, jab AUD/USD neeche gira, ek naya intersection bana, jo candle ko tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar le aaya tha, jo ichimoku indicator ke analysis se pata chalta hai. Is se lagta hai ke AUD/USD ke upar jane ka chance abhi bhi hai. Magar, abhi tak resistance 0.6810 par qaim hai, aur EMA (21/4) aur MACD indicators dono sell ka signal de rahe hain. Isi wajah se main thodi consolidation ke baad bearish movement expect karta hoon. Jab US dollar strong hota hai, to Australian dollar weak hota hai. H4 chart par main ek developing downtrend dekh raha hoon, aur meri wave analysis ke mutabiq Elliott waves ke hawale se corrective wave C ki formation ho rahi hai. Wave traders aksar is pattern ko profit ke liye use karte hain. Computer analysis bhi sell signals ko highlight kar raha hai.

Agar is level se niche girta hai to 0.6575 aur 0.6470 ke retrospective levels ko test kar sakta hai. Market sentiment bhi AUD/USD ko influence karta hai. Risk-on sentiment Australian dollar ke liye faida mand hota hai, jabke risk-off sentiment se selling pressure barh sakta hai. Australia aur United States se aane wale economic data bhi AUD/USD ko impact kar sakte hain. Australia se strong economic data currency ko support de sakti hai, jabke weak data downward pressure daal sakti hai. Conversely, United States se strong economic data USD ko kamzor kar sakti hai, jo AUD/USD ke liye faida mand hoga. Long-term outlook AUD/USD ka mukhtalif factors pe depend karta hai, jaise ke Australia aur United States ke beech interest rate differentials, dono mulkon ki economic growth, aur global risk appetite. Jaise Fed apni monetary policy ko dheela karta hai, AUD/USD interest rate differential se faida utha sakta hai. Lekin, dono economies aur global market developments ko monitor karna zaroori hai taake currency pair par potential impact ko assess kiya ja sake Daily chart par ek sideways wedge pattern develop hota hua dikhai diya tha, jisme AUD/USD kaafi time se trade kar raha hai. Ek aisa hi wedge pattern doosri major pairs mein bhi dekha gaya, jinhon ne apni upper boundaries ko break kiya hai. AUD/USD ne jab is flat formation se exit kiya, to ek steady upward trend shuru hua. Is analysis ke mutabiq, wedge ka upper limit 0.6779 tha. Friday ka daily candle ek solid green day ke tor par close hua, jo ye suggest karta hai ke inn levels se buy positions enter karna munasib hoga, aur buyers ka target 0.6869 par set karna chahiye. Weekly chart par movement upward jaa rahi hai. Weekly technical analysis aur recommendations ko madde nazar rakhtay huay, moving averages substantial buy show kar rahe hain aur technical indicators bhi buying ko suggest karte hain, jo overall buy recommendation ko lead karte hain

yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.
BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.
Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.
Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.
US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.
BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.
Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months

yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.
BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.
Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.
Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.
US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.
BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.
Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months

AUD-USD Market Pair Daily Timeframe

Tuesday ko AUD-USD market pair kaafi strong bearish pace mein trade kar raha tha, jahan sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila. Buyers ne kai dafa koshish ki ke price ko resistance area 0.6677-0.6675 ke aas-paas lekar jaye, lekin woh nakam rahe. Aakhirkar, sellers ne price ko neeche le aaya, lekin movement ka area zyada wide nahi tha.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka use karte hue ye dekha ja sakta hai ke price abhi bhi sellers ke control mein hai. Price Middle Bollinger Bands ke neeche trade kar raha hai, aur bearish candlesticks ka dominance yeh dikhata hai ke AUD-USD pair ab bhi ek strong bearish trend mein hai. Aaj ke trading session mein bhi selling pressure ka imkaan hai, jahan next bearish target Lower Bollinger Bands area 0.6618-0.6616 ki taraf ho sakta hai.

Wednesday ke trading session mein, European market ke dauran price limited range mein move kar raha tha, lekin buyers ne price ko support area 0.6650-0.6648 ke upar rakhne mein kaamyabi hasil ki. Yeh price ko bullish side ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan next target resistance area 0.6675-0.6677 ho sakta hai. Agar yeh area break ho jata hai, to AUD-USD pair ka price aur zyada bullish ho sakta hai, jahan agla target 0.6690-0.6693 ke supply resistance area ki taraf hoga.




Conclusion:

Sell entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar seller nearest buyer support area 0.6650-0.6648 ko break kar le, aur TP target area 0.6620-0.6618 ke beech ho.

Buy entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar buyer nearest seller resistance area 0.6675-0.6677 ko break kar le, aur TP target area 0.6690-0.6693 ke beech ho.

AUD/USD

Monday ko AUD/USD market pair ab bhi kaafi strong bearish pace mein trade kar raha tha, jahan sellers ka dominance dekhne ko mila. Unho ne resistance area 0.6692-0.6690 ko maintain kiya, jo ke buyers ke bullish pressure ko dampen karne mein kaamyaab raha, aur phir stronger selling pressure ne AUD/USD pair ke price ko neeche bearish move kar diya.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator se monitoring ke zariye ye dekhne ko mila ke price dheere dheere Middle Bollinger Bands area se door jaate hue bearish direction mein move kar rahi hai. Seller ne kal ke trading session ko ek Bearish Doji candlestick ke saath close kiya, jo yeh darshata hai ke AUD/USD pair ka market aur zyada bearish ho sakta hai. Next bearish target Lower Bollinger Bands area 0.6605-0.6603 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke is waqt ek strong buyer demand support area hai.

Tuesday ke trading session mein, Asian market mein price buyer ke control mein lag rahi thi. Buyers bullish resistance banane ki koshish kar rahe hain jahan unka qareebi target resistance area 0.6685-0.6687 ko test karna hai. Agar yeh area successfully break hota hai, to AUD/USD pair aur zyada bullish ho sakta hai, jahan agla target 0.6728-0.6730 ke seller supply resistance area ki taraf ho sakta hai.




Conclusion:

Sell entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar seller nearest buyer support area 0.6642-0.6640 ko successfully break kar le, aur TP target area 0.6600-0.6598 ke beech ho.

Buy entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar buyer nearest seller resistance area 0.6685-0.6687 ko successfully break kar le, aur TP target area 0.6725-0.6728 ke beech ho.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ne hafta kamzori ke sath shuru kiya, jahan AUD/USD pair 0.21% neeche gir kar 0.6660 par trade kar raha hai. Yeh downward movement un zaroori data releases ke aage dekhne ko mili hai jo market ke expectations ko shape karenge, khaaskar Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke future policy decisions ke hawalay se. Abhi ke liye, AUD/USD lagbhag 0.6661 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jabke China se mutaliq economic concerns Australian currency par pressure bana rahe hain.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

Australian economy ki kamzori aur musalsal high inflation ne RBA ko kisi bhi rate cuts mein delay kar diya hai. Hali outlook yeh suggest karta hai ke RBA G10 nations mein se sabse aakhri hoga jo interest rates reduce karega. Yeh delay, Australian dollar ko kuch support de sakta hai, lekin maujooda economic uncertainties ab bhi currency par neeche ka pressure dal rahi hain.

National Australia Bank (NAB) ke latest forecast ke mutabiq, RBA ka cash rate May 2025 tak 4.35% par barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. NAB ki Economics team yeh predict karti hai ke December 2025 tak yeh rate dheere dheere 3.6% tak girega, aur 2026 mein mazeed reductions ki umeed hai. Yeh outlook economic challenges ke hawalay se monetary policy mein ehtiyaat ko reflect karta hai.




Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

AUD/USD pair ne 0.6580 aur 0.6450 ke qareebi levels par kuch support hasil kiya hai. Agar downward pressure barqarar rehta hai, to yeh levels temporary floors ke taur par kaam kar sakte hain. Upper side par, resistance 0.6690 ke qareebi mark par expect ki jaa rahi hai, jahan pehle ke rallies selling pressure se ruk gayi thi. Agar price 0.6700 ko break karta hai, to AUD/USD 0.6750 ki taraf barh sakta hai.

Abhi ke liye, spot price apne key Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) of 20, 100, aur 200 days ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish trend ko darshata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi is bearish outlook ko support karta hai, jahan recent sessions mein values 30 aur 37 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar rahi hain. Mazeed, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) red bars dikha raha hai, jo negative momentum ko reinforce karta hai.

H4 chart par AUD/USD currency pair ka jaiza lein. Wave structure tab tak barqarar rahega jab tak upward trend intact hai. MACD indicator neeche sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche position mein hai. Pehle, iss indicator aur secondary CCI indicator par ek triple bearish divergence dekhne ko mili thi. Iske ilawa, ek reversal pattern — ascending wedge — ko successfully break kiya gaya, aur bearish divergence signal bhi confirm hua. Horizontal support level 0.6697 par pressure hai, aur mera andaza hai ke yeh zyada dair tak nahi tik sakega aur jaldi break hoga. Behtareen selling entry point tab hoga jab price support level ko break karne se pehle thoda retrace kare. Iss trade ka target 0.6639 set kiya gaya hai. Halankeh CCI indicator thoda upward move ka ishara kar raha hai lower overheating zone se, lekin yeh signal sellers ko rok nahi paayega.

Hamari discussion mein, hum AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka gehra jaiza le rahe hain. H1 period se dekha jaye to candle 0.6810 par hai, resistance ko touch karne ke kareeb. Shayad AUD/USD kuch pip aur barhne ke baad neeche gire. Agar yeh area break kar diya jaye, to rise continue ho sakti hai. Mera khayal hai ke AUD/USD ka yeh rise sirf ek corrective move hai. Kyunke ab tak candle supply area 0.6810 ko cross nahi kar payi, AUD/USD eventually decline karegi. Rise ke baad se girawat kaafi slow rahi hai. Ab AUD/USD ek behtareen position mein hai ke further neeche jaaye. Jab AUD/USD ke movements mein decline hua, to ek naye intersection ne candle position ko tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar la diya, jo ke ichimoku indicator analysis ke mutabiq abhi bhi AUD/USD ke barhne ki ummed ko darshata hai.




AUD/USD ab bhi apni qareebi resistance ko target kar raha hai jo 0.6810 par hai, jaise maine kal bataya tha. EMA (21/4) aur MACD indicators dono sell signal de rahe hain. Isi liye, thodi consolidation ke baad mujhe bearish move ki umeed hai. Jaise jaise US dollar mazid strong hota ja raha hai, Australian dollar weak ho raha hai. 4-hour chart par ek downtrend dekhne ko mil raha hai, aur meri wave analysis ke mutabiq Elliott waves ke hisaab se corrective wave C ban rahi hai. Wave traders aksar is pattern ka faida utha kar profit generate karte hain. Computer analysis bhi sell signals highlight kar raha hai.

AUD/USD Price Trend

Hamari guftagu ka markaz AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka tajziya hai. AUD/USD filhal downward spiral mein hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, price 4-hour chart par cloud, Kijun-sen, aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche trade kar raha hai, aur Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke neeche hai. Ek "dead cross" ban raha hai. Bollinger Bands downward slope mein hain, MACD oscillator volumes kam ho rahi hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 ke neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator ne crimson color le liya hai, jo ke bears ki dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Selling abhi bhi behtareen strategy hai. Agar further decline hota hai, to agla target level 0.6621 ho sakta hai. Agar bears is level ko cross kar lete hain, to quotes aur neeche 0.6560 tak ja sakte hain. Mera andaza hai ke yeh level break hoga aur downward trend 0.6605 tak jaari rahega, aur ho sakta hai ke 0.6557 tak bhi pohonch jaye jo channel ki lower boundary ke qareeb hai. Medium term mein, main apne targets 0.6458 aur 0.6349 par set kiye hue hain.




H4 time frame mein, AUD/USD "head and shoulders" pattern bana raha hai aur saath hi ek widening descending channel dikhai de raha hai. Yeh quotes agle kuch hafton tak iss channel mein trade kar sakte hain. Khaaskar, bearish sentiment Friday ke non-farm payroll (NFP) data release ke baad mazid mazboot ho gaya, aur quotes ab qareebi support 0.6643 ka retest karne ja rahe hain. Friday ke session mein AUD/USD girawat dekhi gayi, jo NFP data par market ke reaction ke natijay mein hui, jisme peak se trough tak 99-point ki decline hui. Local support 0.6699 ke breakdown ke baad ek bearish engulfing pattern bana. Agar yeh pattern kal activate hota hai aur 0.6649 ka level break karta hai, to further declines 0.6639 aur 0.6579 ke support levels tak ho sakti hain. Maujooda conditions ke madde nazar, main sirf selling par focus kar raha hoon aur mujhe nahi lagta ke recent highs ka dobara test hoga. Price strong demand zone 0.6349-0.6379 ke qareeb girta rahega, jahan main buying ka sochunga.

The Science Behind AUD/USD Price Action

Aao AUD/USD currency pair ke current pricing behavior par baat karte hain, jo hamare tajziye ka markaz hai. AUDUSD ka 4-hour chart ek reversal pattern dikhata hai week ke end par, lekin daily signal bullish triangle ke rebound ko breach nahi kar saka. H4 chart par head-and-shoulders formation ne pehle hi 0.6689 par support ko break kar diya, jo ek bearish reversal pattern ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pattern humein Friday ki evening trading session mein dikhai diya, aur is wajah se mujhe lagta hai ke yeh ek strong bearish signal hai. Friday ko sellers ne market ko neeche le aaya aur price 0.66673 par close hui. Jab market dobara khulta hai, to girawat ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. Pair ab middle Bollinger Band ke neeche hai, jo ke aur zyada girawat ko dikhata hai, aur 50% Fibonacci level 0.65839 tak pahunch sakta hai.

Agar Aussie ko daily perspective se dekha jaye aur chhoti time frames par entry points talashein jayein, to ek retracement underway hai. Strong downtrend ke bawajood, long-term buying trend ab bhi intact hai, jo future mein growth ka potential dikhata hai.




Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke dollar ka surge negative news ke bawajood aaya, jo kuch uncertainty chor gaya ke currency ki strength ka asal sabab kya tha. Phir bhi, jab tak market 0.6669 ke neeche close karta hai, main aur declines ki umeed kar raha hoon. Agar price 0.659 ke neeche girta hai, to main buying opportunities talash karunga. AUD/USD ka ongoing downward zigzag movement ek correction hai ek bade upward trend wave (b) mein, jo wave (a) ke complete hone ke baad hua. Current drop wave (b) ka rollback hai, jismein do critical levels dekhne layak hain. Pehla control point 0.6614 par hai, aur agar yeh hold karta hai, to hum 0.7199 ki taraf reversal dekh sakte hain. Agar pair is level ke neeche break karta hai, to wave (b) 0.6544 tak extended hogi aur ek reversal ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6544 break hota hai, to zigzag pattern upar ki taraf toot jaye ga, jo ek strong downward reversal signal karega 0.659 ke neeche.

AUD/USD Price Insights

Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Friday ko AUD/USD pair mein US dollar ki significant mazbooti dekhne ko mili. Hello, Igor! Umeed hai ke aapka weekend acha guzra hoga. Yeh pair trading ke liye kaafi challenging hai. Main is pair mein zyada trade nahi karta, lekin suna hai ke Australian dollar bohot technical hai aur kai trading systems mein acha perform karta hai. Badqismati se, main koi specific system use nahi karta, is liye mujhe yeh nahi pata ke yeh kaise kaam karta hai. Lekin mujhe aapke bearish indicators pasand aaye hain. Waisay, US dollar ko market mein mazeed mazbooti milni chahiye. Dollar apni aakhri major move karega pehle ke woh decline shuru kare, lekin yeh andaza lagana mushkil hai ke woh kitna strong hoga. Mere speculative view ke mutabiq, is pair ka minimum target 0.6348 ke qareeb hai. Yeh thoda door lag sakta hai, lekin AUD/USD ke liye 300-point movement zyada nahi hai aur yeh ek week ke andar ho sakta hai.




Abhi tak AUD/USD ka technical position 0.6668 par hai. Jo critical level yeh tay karega ke girawat jari rahegi ya nahi, woh 0.6649 ka lower boundary hai. Trading session ke aghaz mein hum is level ko test karenge. Mujhe thodi si downward move ki umeed hai is point tak pehle ke main apna faisla karoon. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, to yeh selling opportunity hogi, aur main apne trades ko 0.6639 se shuru karunga. Mera target range 0.6589-0.6599 hoga. Agar is area se rebound hota hai aur pair dobara upar jata hai, to main buying strategy par shift ho jaunga, aur apne positions 0.6664 se activate karunga. Uske baad likely targets 0.6689, 0.6714, aur 0.6739 honge. Market us point par settle ho jana chahiye. Agar buyers 0.6739 se upar break karte hain, to yeh strong momentum ka signal hoga, jo 0.6819 tak rise de sakta hai, aur bullish trend ka aghaz hoga. Yeh mera primary plan hai aane wale trading day ke liye.

Aussie Dollar Ki Halat

Australian dollar ko agle waqt mein zyada volatility aur unpredictability ka samna karna par sakta hai, kyunki global growth concerns aur economic uncertainty, khaaskar Asia se, market par bojh bana hua hai. Jab tak ye masail barqarar rahenge, Australian dollar ko bhi zyada volatility ka samna karna padega.

Monday ke trading session mein, Australian dollar mein utar-chadhav dekha gaya, aur 0.6650 level ek key point raha. Ye level history mein dono support aur resistance ke tor par kaam aaya hai, isliye traders ke liye yeh bohot ahem hai. Iske ilawa, 50-day EMA upar resistance ke tor par hai, jabke 200-day EMA neeche support provide karta hai. Jab market in dono technical levels ke beech oscillate karta hai, to yeh kaafi indecisive behavior dikha sakta hai.

Agar market recover hoti hai aur Monday ke high se upar break karti hai, to Aussie 0.6750 level ki taraf ja sakta hai. Agar yeh 200-day EMA ke neeche break hota hai, to 0.6550 level tak gir sakta hai. Currency movements commodity market par heavily depend karti hain, jo Australian economy mein ek aham role play karti hai, aur global risk sentiment, jo aksar riskier assets jaise Australian dollar ki demand ko dictate karta hai.




General taur par, market ek uncertain state mein lag rahi hai, jo ke neutral long-term outlook ko reflect karti hai. 0.6850 level ek major resistance ya "ceiling" ka kaam karta hai, jabke 0.6450 level ek strong support ya "floor" ka role ada karta hai. Jab tak global economic picture clear nahi hoti, traders expect kar sakte hain ke Australian dollar range-bound rahega aur in levels ke beech move karega jaise ke broader market conditions ke response mein. Is current environment mein, trading strategies ko ehtiyaat aur sabr ke saath apply karna chahiye.

AUD/USD Price Action Ka Jaiza

Ab hum AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing movements ka jaiza le rahe hain. AUD/USD ne 0.6809 control point ki taraf wapas aaya, aur Friday ke reversal se yeh indicate hota hai ke low 0.6769 ke aas-paas ya 0.6769–0.6809 ke range mein ban sakta hai. Pair ne is reversal zone ke lower bound ko touch kiya, jo ke correction ke complete hone ka signal hai, aur ab yeh agle control point 0.6614 ki taraf girne ki ummeed hai. Yeh downward movement agle hafte bhi chalne ki sambhavnayein hain. AUD/USD ka daily time frame Friday ko ek surprising candle formation dikha raha tha, jab U.S. labor market report ne weaknesses highlight ki, aur pehle ke reports jaise vacancies aur ADP data bhi fragility dikhate hain. Iske bawajood, Fed Watch tool ka istemal karke dekhna zaroori hai ke market ab September mein Fed ke rate cut ke possibility ko kaise dekh rahi hai, jo news ke baad 9% gir gayi. Yeh disappointment U.S. dollar ke sell-off ka sabab bana.




AUD/USD pair mukhtalif price patterns follow kar sakta hai, aur agle hafte trading errors se bachne ke liye, mein volume indicators par nazar rakhne ki salahiyat deta hoon. Agar volumes downtrend ke continuation ki possibility dikhate hain, to behtareen action yeh hoga ke pair ko bechte rahein. Current price ke upar dekhne ke liye ek significant level 0.6685 hai. Agar market open hoti hai aur pair is level tak pahunchta hai, to yeh bullish attempts ko resist kar sakta hai. Is surat mein, price 0.6623 tak gir sakti hai, jahan accumulated volume reversal trigger kar sakta hai. Is point se, price upar ki taraf spike kar sakti hai towards accumulation zone at 0.6774 for a retest. Agar AUD/USD pair 0.6774 level ke upar break nahi karta, to cost is accumulation zone se decline kar sakta hai, targeting levels jo minimum ke neeche hain. In movements ko monitor karna zaroori hoga taake yeh assess kiya ja sake ke trend downward continue hota hai ya significant reversal hoti hai.

USD currency pair ne is haftay ka aghaz kamzori ke saath kiya hai, jahan Monday subah ke Asian session mein yeh pair 0.6792 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh girawat mukhtalif aham asraat ka nateeja hai, jo ke chand central bank figures ke bayanat aur haali economic data se mutasir hain. Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke haali bayan ne market sentiment par kafi asar dala hai. Powell ke bayanat ne ishara diya hai ke US mein aane walay arsay mein bhi unchi interest rates barqarar reh sakti hain, kyunki Fed mehngai ko apne target ki taraf le jaane mein ehtiyaat kar raha hai. Un ke bayanat ne US dollar ko mazid mazboot kiya hai, kyunki unchi rates investors ko dollar mein invest karne ki taraf khench rahi hain. Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka rukh bhi AUD/USD ki dynamics mein aham kirdar ada kar raha hai. RBA ke haali bayanat pehlay mahino ke muqablay mein zyada dovish hain. RBA ki ehtiyaat baratne wali approach, jo ke mulki economic challenges aur dheemi inflationary pressures se mutasir hai, Fed ki zyada aggressive monetary policy se bilkul mukhtalif hai. Is wajah se Australian dollar par downward pressure hai, jo AUD/USD pair ki kamzori ko aur barha raha hai. In central bank signals ke milaap ne Australian dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai.

AUD/USD ka initial resistance level 0.6643 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial resistance level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bullish target 0.7121 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.7121 ke upar close hota hai, toh market price 0.7543 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai.
Doosri taraf, AUD/USD ka initial support level 0.6616 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial support level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bearish target 0.6593 ho sakta hai