ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD pair ka market ek achhi downward trend mein move kar raha hai. Jab se price ne resistance area 0.68001 ko touch kiya, AUD/USD price ne significant momentum ke saath neeche bounce kiya hai. Yeh un traders ke liye ek achhi profit opportunity thi jo us waqt sell entries kar chuke the jab price abhi upar thi. Darling ne us waqt AUD/USD market ki movement ko observe nahi kiya, isliye unka entry moment miss ho gaya.

Price ke significant drop ke saath, yeh expect kiya ja sakta hai ke price mazeed neeche gir sakti hai. Aane wale trading plans ke liye, zyada behtar yeh hoga ke sell entry opportunities par hi focus rakha jaye.

Jaisa ke pehle kaha gaya tha, AUD/USD market mein price movement zyada bearish lag rahi hai, isliye recommended trading plan yeh hai ke sirf sell entry opportunities ko hi focus kiya jaye. Agar price decline such mein hoti hai, toh target most likely neeche support area tak jaayega, jo ke 0.63949 ke aas-paas hai.

Un doston ke liye jo already AUD/USD market mein sell position hold kar rahe hain, unhe apni position ko hold karna chahiye taa ke maximum profit hasil kiya ja sake. Jo log nayi sell order lena chahte hain, unhe behtar yeh hoga ke price ke thoda upar correct hone ka intezaar karein. Aur potential entry zone dhoondhne ke liye, main mazeed analysis chhoti timeframes par karunga.

H4 timeframe par AUD/USD ke chart ka observation karne ke baad, mujhe yeh lagta hai ke price ki condition wakayi mein ek bearish structure dikhati hai. Jab maine downward slope ke saath trendline draw ki, toh yeh kaafi clear ho gaya. Abhi ke price condition mein, lagta hai ke seller ka momentum kam ho gaya hai aur dheere dheere price thoda upar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Mera khayal hai ke price pehle ek upward correction phase se guzar sakta hai, phir wapas neeche ki taraf bounce karega.

Is liye, sell ka option lene se pehle, main intezaar karunga ke price thoda upar correct kare aur trendline resistance level ke qareeb aaye. Jab downward rejection dikhayi dega, tab main sell order wahin par loonga.

H1 timeframe par AUD/USD ka chart dekhne ke baad, mujhe price action zyada clear nazar aa raha hai. Yahan main dekhta hoon ke qareebi resistance area price ke 0.67211 ke aas-paas hai, jo maine light blue mein mark kiya hai. Kyunki yeh area trendline resistance level ke parallel hai, yeh ek behtareen reference ho sakta hai sell entry ke liye.

Lekin, yeh baat dhyan mein rakhni chahiye ke agar price mein significant upward break hota hai, toh yeh seller ka scenario fail ho sakta hai. Sabse zaroori cheez yeh hai ke hamesha stop loss ko ek ideal distance par set karein taake risk ko aqalmandi se limit kiya ja sake.

AUD/USD PAIR KI TAHQIYAT

Is haftay ke teesre din ke trading session mein, market conditions ne phir se aik aise downward movement dekha jo ke zyada gehra nahi tha. Agar hum is haftay ki shuruat ke trading ko dekhein, to kuch aise points hain jo review kiye ja sakte hain, khaaskar raat ke waqt ka bearish attempt jo ke kaafi gehra tha aur highest price zone ko chhod gaya. Price ki girawat ka asar agle trading decisions par zaroor hoga, kyunki bearish hone se pehle, pichle haftay market consolidation condition mein thi. Pichle August mein, dominant market trend bullish tha aur kaafi active move kar raha tha, jo mere estimate ke mutabiq agla trend bhi bullish ho sakta hai.

Aaj ki trading mein jo movement hui hai, wo zyada fluctuating nahi rahi kyunki pichle mahine ke bullish trend ki strength kam ho gayi hai. Sellers ne market mein dominancy dikhane ki koshish ki hai. Yeh achha hoga agar hum aakhri kuch dinon ki market conditions ko consider karain jahan girawat ka chance hai kyunki pehle bullish trend ko continue karne mein failure dekha gaya hai. Candlestick ki movement jo ke abhi bhi support level 0.6700 ke qareeb chal rahi hai, is baat ka indication hai ke agar seller support level ko break kar deta hai to bearish trend continue ho sakta hai.

Is haftay ke liye AUD/USD pair ke liye, main ab bhi bearish market opportunity ko lekar optimistic hoon kyunki candlestick ne bearish pattern mein move kiya hai bina kisi significant resistance ke buyers ki taraf se.

Hamari guftagu mein, hum AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka gehra tajziya kar rahe hain. H1 period se dekhte hain ke candle 0.6810 par hai, jo ke resistance se sirf ek hair’s breadth door hai. Shayad AUD/USD thodi si increase dekh sakta hai iske baad, phir kaafi zyada girawat aayegi. Magar agar yeh area penetrate ho gaya, to rise continue ho sakti hai. Mera khayal hai ke AUD/USD ki izafa sirf corrective measure hai. Kyunki candle ab tak supply area ko 0.6810 par cross nahi kar paayi, AUD/USD aakhirkar gir jayega.

Girawat ab tak kam rahi hai jab se rise shuru hui thi. Filhaal, AUD/USD girne ke liye achi position mein hai. Jab AUD/USD ki movement decline hui, to ek nayi intersection hui, jahan candle ki position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, jo ke Ichimoku indicator analysis ke mutabiq hai. Iska matlab hai ke abhi bhi AUD/USD ke barhne ki umeed hai. AUD/USD ab bhi apni nearest resistance 0.6810 par focus kar raha hai, jaise ke maine kal kaha tha.

AUD/USD
decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.
BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.
Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.
Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.
US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME’s FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) ka rate decision aaj announce kiya jayega. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.
BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.
Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai

AUD/USD ki price action ka analysis iss waqt discussion mein hai. Tuesday ko AUD/USD ne apne short-term downward trend ko jari rakha, August 20 ko 0.6831 ke high se pullback ke baad. Aaj ke din currency pairs ko observe karne se Friday ke trend ka wazeh continuation nazar aata hai, jahan US dollar ko actively khareeda ja raha hai. Yeh bullish activity shayad kuch short positions ke closure ka sabab bani, jo ke AUD/USD pair mein bhi milti-julti soch ko reflect karti hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq yeh ongoing bearish momentum ko support karta hai, jise head and shoulders pattern ke neckline support 0.6681 ke breach se highlight kiya gaya hai. Agar price 0.664 se neeche girti hai, toh next critical level jo dekhne wala hoga wo Buyer Zone 0.660 hai. Iss support ke breach hone par lower support 0.648 ko test karne ki taraf signal mil sakta hai. Jab tak aisa breakdown nahi hota, instrument bullish channel mein wapas aa sakta hai. Agar bulls intermediate high 0.672 se surpass karte hain, toh trend reversal ho sakta hai, jo ek buy signal provide karega kyunke moving averages long positions ke liye potential dikhate hain.

Aaj AUD/USD ne promptly four-hour Fibonacci retracement ke 38.3% support level ko test kiya. Price ne is level ko penetrate nahi kiya, jo indicate karta hai ke downward pressure intense nahi hai. Yeh behavior suggest karta hai ke initial corrective wave khatam ho sakti hai, jo ke pullback ke dauran upward movement ki potential raah hamwaar karta hai. AUD/USD ke liye anticipated rise taqreeban 14.7% hai, jo ke agle Fibonacci level 38.3% par pohoch raha hai. Yeh achievement ek internal pattern banane ke liye stage set karta hai, jahan mazeed growth ke projected level tak pohanchna continuation pattern ke liye zaroori dusri shart muhayya karega, jo ke 61.9% retracement level ki taraf hai. Growth wave ko trade karna ek option hai, lekin shayad yeh zyada prudent hoga ke pullback ka intezar kiya jaye, taake long positions mein safe entry mil sake. AUD/USD instrument ki current price sustained downward trajectory indicate karti hai. Currency local support level 0.664 ke aas paas trade ho rahi hai.

AUD/USD ka price trend abhi niche ki taraf ja raha hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, chaar ghante ke chart par price cloud, Kijun-sen, aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, aur Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke neeche hai. Ek "dead cross" ban raha hai. Bollinger Bands niche ki taraf slope kar rahi hain, MACD oscillator volumes ghatt rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 ke neeche hai, aur trend filter oscillator laal rang ka ho gaya hai, jo bears ki dominance ko mazid barhata hai. Bechna abhi bhi priority hai. Agar price aur girti hai, to agla target level 0.6621 hai. Agar bears is level ko bhi tod dete hain, to quotes aur niche gir sakti hain 0.6560 tak. Main is level ke tootne ki ummeed kar raha hoon, aur downward trend 0.6605 tak ja sakta hai aur shayad 0.6557 tak bhi, jo channel ke lower boundary ke nazdeek hai. Medium term ke liye, meri nazar 0.6458 aur 0.6349 levels par hai.


H4 time frame mein, AUD/USD ek "head and shoulders" pattern banane ki koshish kar raha hai aur ek widening descending channel bhi dikhai de raha hai. Quotes agle kuch hafton ke liye is channel ke andar trade kar sakti hain. Friday ke non-farm payroll (NFP) data release ke baad bearish sentiment mazid barh gaya hai, aur quotes ab sabse nazdeek ke support 0.6643 ko retest karne wale hain. Friday ke session mein AUD/USD NFP data ke market reaction ki wajah se 99-point drop dekha, peak se trough tak. Ek bearish engulfing pattern local support 0.6699 ke breakdown ke baad ban gaya. Agar ye pattern kal activate hota hai aur 0.6649 ko break kar deta hai, to further declines 0.6639 aur 0.6579 support levels ki taraf dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Maujooda conditions ko dekhte hue, main sirf selling hi consider kar raha hoon, aur recent highs ka revisit hone ki ummeed nahi hai. Price shayad strong demand zone 0.6349-0.6379 ki taraf girti rahe, jahan main phir buy karne ka sochunga.

AUD/USD ka H4 chart dekhte huay, wave structure tab tak barqarar rahega jab tak upward trend qaim hai. MACD indicator ne lower sales zone mein position le li hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Is se pehle, MACD aur secondary CCI indicator par triple bearish divergence samne aayi thi. Iske ilawa, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—bhi successfully breakdown hua tha, aur bearish divergence ka signal confirm hua. 0.6697 par horizontal support level dabbaw mein hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh zyada dair nahi tik payega aur break hoga. Best selling entry point tab hoga jab price pehle upward retrace kare aur phir is support ko break kare. Iss trade ka target 0.6639 par set hai. Halanki CCI indicator lower overheating zone se ek possible upward move ka ishara de raha hai, lekin yeh signal sellers ko rok nahi payega.
H1 period ka candle 0.6810 par hai, jo resistance ko touch karne ke qareeb hai. Shayad AUD/USD thodi der ke liye aur barh jaye usse pehle ke woh kaafi neeche giray. Agar is area ko cross kiya ja sakay, to yeh rise continue bhi ho sakta hai. Mera khayal hai ke AUD/USD ka yeh izafa sirf ek corrective move hai, kyunki candle abhi tak supply area 0.6810 ko cross nahi kar saka. AUD/USD aakhirkaar neeche jaye ga. Pehle ki tarah, jab AUD/USD neeche gira, ek naya intersection bana, jo candle ko tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar le aaya tha, jo ichimoku indicator ke analysis se pata chalta hai. Is se lagta hai ke AUD/USD ke upar jane ka chance abhi bhi hai. Magar, abhi tak resistance 0.6810 par qaim hai, aur EMA (21/4) aur MACD indicators dono sell ka signal de rahe hain. Isi wajah se main thodi consolidation ke baad bearish movement expect karta hoon. Jab US dollar strong hota hai, to Australian dollar weak hota hai. H4 chart par main ek developing downtrend dekh raha hoon, aur meri wave analysis ke mutabiq Elliott waves ke hawale se corrective wave C ki formation ho rahi hai. Wave traders aksar is pattern ko profit ke liye use karte hain. Computer analysis bhi sell signals ko highlight kar raha hai.

Chaliye AUD/USD currency pair ko analyze karte hain. Daily time frame chart ko dekhte hue, AUD/USD pair ne ek significant decline dekha hai, jismein critical support level 0.6607 aur resistance level 0.6668 hai. Yeh resistance level current bearish trend ko maintain karne ke liye crucial hai. Agar price 0.6668 tak pohanchti hai, to 0.6732 level ko monitor karna zaroori hai, kyunki isse upar break hona downward direction ke khilaf hoga.

Current market range 0.6475 se 0.6800 tak hai, jo trend mein entry points ke liye ek solid framework provide karti hai. Agar price 0.6475 ke niche girti hai, to ek prolonged bearish trend ka chance hai, jo further declines ko indicate karta hai. Dusri taraf, agar AUD/USD 0.6800 ke upar chala jata hai, to ek significant upward trend ban sakta hai, jo ke primary scenario ke saath align nahi karta.

AUD/USD pair mein aage aur decline hone ki potential hai. Shuru mein, price 0.6599 ke support level tak girne ki ummeed hai, aur next target support zone 0.6499 se 0.6510 ke beech hoga. Lekin, agar pair 0.6699 ke upar stabilize hota hai, to downward outlook kam mumkin hoga. In shifts ke bawajood, Australian dollar relatively stable raha hai, kyunki aaj koi significant changes nahi hue hain.

Di gayi information ke base par, mujhe lagta hai ke pair further decline experience kar sakta hai, jo ke main ek temporary setback ke roop mein dekhta hoon. Long-term bullish trend abhi bhi bana hua hai, jo future gains ke possibility ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, U.S. inflation data ka upcoming release pair mein additional movements ko drive kar sakta hai. Main expect karta hoon ke pair 0.6599 ke niche gir sakta hai, aur shayad 0.6564 tak pohanch sakta hai, jahan main buy trade execute karne ka plan kar raha hoon.

**Trading: AUD/USD Price Action**

AUD/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya mukhtalif pehluon se discuss kiya jaa sakta hai. AUD/USD pair daily chart par neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ek clear downtrend ko dikhata hai. Aaj ka movement is bearish direction ko continue karne ka ishara karta hai, lekin reversal ka bhi mumkin hai. Chaliye technical analysis ko detail mein dekhte hain. Moving averages ek strong sell signal de rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi selling pressure ke sath align kar rahe hain. Overall outlook bearish trend ko continue karne ka hai, lekin hum kisi bhi potential shift ko monitor karenge. Price us level se decline ho chuki hai, aur doosri major currency pairs bhi near term mein strong U.S. dollar ki taraf ishara kar rahi hain. Pehli wave par Fibonacci grid apply karte hue, target decline level 161.9% ke aas-paas hai. Intermediate target technical level 0.6641 par hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke price jald is level ki taraf move karegi. Lekin, choti growth ya pullback bhi ho sakti hai, jo nearest resistance level 0.6691 tak pohnch sakti hai.

**AUD/USD Analysis on the Four-Hour Chart**

AUD/USD ko four-hour chart par dekhte hue, downward trend tezi se momentum gain kar raha hai aur ek well-defined wave structure dikhai de raha hai. MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche reh raha hai. Pehle, MACD aur CCI indicators par triple bearish divergence saamne aayi thi. Iske ilawa, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—neeche ki taraf tod diya gaya, jo bearish divergence signal ko validate karta hai. Nateeja yeh hai ke price gir gayi, aur temporary support 0.6701 ke qareeb tha. Lambi corrective rise ke baad, price ne 0.6756 par ek mirror resistance level ko touch kiya, jo pehle support ki tarah act karta tha. Yeh level growth edge par hai aur consistently strong selling zone raha hai. Is girawat ko continue karne mein ek critical factor CCI indicator hai, jo weekly chart par upper overheating zone se descend kar raha hai.

Australia ki modest Consumer Inflation Expectations ke Thursday ko announcement ke baad, AUD/USD pair ne momentum hasil kiya. Mazeed, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke mojooda board ko sabiq Governor Bernie Fraser ne tanqeed ka nishana banaya hai, keh unka zyada focus inflation par hai, jis se labor market ko nuqsan ho raha hai. Fraser ne "recessionary risks" ke khatrey se agah kiya jo employment ke liye tabah kun ho sakte hain, aur Board ko cash rate cut karne ki salahiyat di.

Wednesday ko US inflation data release hua, jis se risk appetite barhne se Australian dollar (AUD) mazboot hua US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein. Core inflation ne forecast se behtar perform kiya, lekin August mein US ki headline inflation Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke mutabiq teen saal ki neechey satah par aa gayi. Is se yeh imkaan barh gaya ke Federal Reserve (Fed) apna easing cycle shuru karegi September mein 25 basis point interest rate cut ke saath.

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki Assistant Governor for Economics, Sarah Hunter ne Wednesday ko kaha ke high interest rates demand ko daman kar rahe hain, jisse aik choti mandi ki peshgoi ki ja rahi hai. Hunter ne yeh bhi kaha ke mukammal employment levels ke muqablay mein labor market abhi bhi tight hai, aur Reuters ke mutabiq, employment growth jari rehne ki umeed hai, magar yeh growth abadi ke growth se ahista hogi. Thursday ko, AUD/USD pair kareeb 0.6680 par trade kar raha hai. Daily chart ke technical analysis se pata chalta hai ke pair abhi bhi ek girti hui channel mein hai, jo negative bias suggest karta hai. Maujooda bearish trend ko 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) se tasdeeq milti hai, jo abhi bhi 50 mark se neeche hai.

Girti hui channel ki bottom limit, jo kareeb 0.6600 par hai, AUD/USD ke exchange rate ke downside ka objective ho sakta hai. Agar pair is level ke qareeb close hota hai, toh decline bearish picture ko mazboot karega aur isey flashback support area ke niche, kareeb 0.6575, le ja sakta hai.

Upside par, nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6694 par aur falling channel ki upper border 0.6720 par AUD/USD pair ke liye resistance provide kar sakte hain. Agar pair is upper limit ke upar break karta hai, toh negative bias kam ho sakta hai, aur chance hai ke yeh apne saat mahine ki high 0.6798 ko retest kare, jo aakhri dafa 11 July ko touch hui thi.

AudUsd market pair ne Monday ko trading mein kaafi strong bearish pace dekha, jahan sellers ka ghalba tha jo 0.6692-0.6690 ke resistance area ko barqarar rakhne ke liye market mein dakhal dete rahe. Is wajah se sellers ne bullish buyers ke pressure ko dampen kiya aur phir zyada taqatwar selling pressure lagaya, jo AudUsd pair ki qeemat ko neeche bearish move karne mein kaamyab raha.
Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ka use karte hue dekha gaya ke qeemat ahista ahista Middle Bollinger bands area se door ja kar neeche bearish move kar rahi hai. Aur kal ke trading ka closure ek Bearish Doji candlestick se hua, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke AudUsd pair ka market aur zyada bearish hoga. Agla bearish target Lower Bollinger bands area ki taraf hai, jo ke 0.6605-0.6603 ke aas paas hai, aur filhal yeh ek strong buyer demand support area bhi hai.

Tuesday ko Asian market session mein trading ke doran, lagta hai ke buyers ne qeemat ko control mein le kar bullish resistance banane ki koshish ki hai, jiska qareebi target 0.6685-0.6687 ke resistance area ki taraf qeemat ko le jana hai. Agar yeh successfully penetrate kar leta hai, toh AudUsd pair ki qeemat aur zyada bullish ho sakti hai, agle target ke sath jo 0.6728-0.6730 ke seller supply resistance area par hoga.

Natija:

- Sell entry tab ki ja sakti hai jab seller nearest buyer support area ko 0.6642-0.6640 par todne mein kaamyab hota hai, TP target area 0.6600-0.6598 par rakha ja sakta hai.
- Buy entry tab ki ja sakti hai jab buyer nearest seller resistance area 0.6685-0.6687 ko todne mein k

AUD/USD ka H4 chart dekhte huay, wave structure tab tak barqarar rahega jab tak upward trend qaim hai. MACD indicator ne lower sales zone mein position le li hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Is se pehle, MACD aur secondary CCI indicator par triple bearish divergence samne aayi thi. Iske ilawa, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—bhi successfully breakdown hua tha, aur bearish divergence ka signal confirm hua. 0.6697 par horizontal support level dabbaw mein hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh zyada dair nahi tik payega aur break hoga. Best selling entry point tab hoga jab price pehle upward retrace kare aur phir is support ko break kare. Iss trade ka target 0.6639 par set hai. Halanki CCI indicator lower overheating zone se ek possible upward move ka ishara de raha hai, lekin yeh signal sellers ko rok nahi payega.
H1 period ka candle 0.6810 par hai, jo resistance ko touch karne ke qareeb hai. Shayad AUD/USD thodi der ke liye aur barh jaye usse pehle ke woh kaafi neeche giray. Agar is area ko cross kiya ja sakay, to yeh rise continue bhi ho sakta hai. Mera khayal hai ke AUD/USD ka yeh izafa sirf ek corrective move hai, kyunki candle abhi tak supply area 0.6810 ko cross nahi kar saka. AUD/USD aakhirkaar neeche jaye ga. Pehle ki tarah, jab AUD/USD neeche gira, ek naya intersection bana, jo candle ko tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar le aaya tha, jo ichimoku indicator ke analysis se pata chalta hai. Is se lagta hai ke AUD/USD ke upar jane ka chance abhi bhi hai. Magar, abhi tak resistance 0.6810 par qaim hai, aur EMA (21/4) aur MACD indicators dono sell ka signal de rahe hain. Isi wajah se main thodi consolidation ke baad bearish movement expect karta hoon. Jab US dollar strong hota hai, to Australian dollar weak hota hai. H4 chart par main ek developing downtrend dekh raha hoon, aur meri wave analysis ke mutabiq Elliott waves ke hawale se corrective wave C ki formation ho rahi hai. Wave traders aksar is pattern ko profit ke liye use karte hain. Computer analysis bhi sell signals ko highlight kar raha hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ke price behaviour ka tajziya behas ke liye khula hai. Aaj AUD/USD pair ne kuch challenges paish kiye hain. Kal yeh control point 0.6614 ko touch karne mein nakam raha ya isay break nahi kar saka. Aaj, lower control point upar shift ho gaya hai, lekin pair ab bhi naye level 0.6659 ke ooper hai baghair kisi expected move ko mukammal kiye. Pair ne zigzag ki wave (b) mein 0.6739 par pullback nahi kiya, jisse wave (c) mein girawat ka imkaan tha jo ke 0.6614 ke breakdown ke saath 0.6544 tak girti. Magar, yeh sab kuch nahi hua. Main ab bhi AUD/USD mein 0.6609 tak girawat ki tawakku kar raha hoon, lekin is harkat ka waqt aur clarity ab tak waazeh nahi hai. Aaj subah main ne 0.6709 tak pullback ka mashwara diya tha, lekin pair expect se zyada dair tak wahi rahi. Yeh is wajah se ho sakta hai ke economic calendar mein koi significant news nahi thi, halan ke resistance ko test karne aur primary trend ko resume karne ka achha mauqa tha.

Jitni dair yeh stagnation barqarar rahegi, local trend ke resumption ka imkaan utna kam hoga. Aaj, lower control point upar 0.6659 par hai, jabke upper control point ab bhi 0.6739 par hai. Main ab bhi AUD/USD pair mein thoda growth expect kar raha hoon, jisme zigzag wave (b) ke andar ek correction hone ka imkaan hai, isse pehle ke girawat 0.6544 tak ho. Agar aaj 0.6659 ka control point nahi hota, toh pair likely upar wave (b) ki taraf 0.6739 tak jaayega. Agar yeh point break nahi hota, toh ek reversal wave (c) mein aa sakta hai jo 0.6659 ko break karte hue 0.6544 tak gir jaayegi, aur zigzag formation complete karte hue ek possible reversal upwards ki taraf chalegi jab tak 0.6544 ka mark decisive nahi hota. Agar 0.6659 likely hota hai, toh pair wave (a) ko 0.6599 tak extend kar sakta hai. 0.6739 par breakout downward zigzag ko invalidate kar dega aur growth ki taraf reversal ko confirm karega.

Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai. Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthree approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. Agar price minor resistance area 0.6787x ko break karti hai, toh hum buy kar sakte hain daily resistance area 0.6812x par sabse qareebi target ke liye. Magar resistance target 0.6863x ke price par bhi dekhnay wala hai. Dusri taraf, agar price girti hai aur minor support area 0.6778x ko break karti hai, toh hum sell kar sakte hain daily support area 0.6763x ke qareebi target aur

/USD currency pair ne is haftay ka aghaz kamzori ke saath kiya hai, jahan Monday subah ke Asian session mein yeh pair 0.6792 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh girawat mukhtalif aham asraat ka nateeja hai, jo ke chand central bank figures ke bayanat aur haali economic data se mutasir hain. Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke haali bayan ne market sentiment par kafi asar dala hai. Powell ke bayanat ne ishara diya hai ke US mein aane walay arsay mein bhi unchi interest rates barqarar reh sakti hain, kyunki Fed mehngai ko apne target ki taraf le jaane mein ehtiyaat kar raha hai. Un ke bayanat ne US dollar ko mazid mazboot kiya hai, kyunki unchi rates investors ko dollar mein invest karne ki taraf khench rahi hain. Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka rukh bhi AUD/USD ki dynamics mein aham kirdar ada kar raha hai. RBA ke haali bayanat pehlay mahino ke muqablay mein zyada dovish hain. RBA ki ehtiyaat baratne wali approach, jo ke mulki economic challenges aur dheemi inflationary pressures se mutasir hai, Fed ki zyada aggressive monetary policy se bilkul mukhtalif hai. Is wajah se Australian dollar par downward pressure hai, jo AUD/USD pair ki kamzori ko aur barha raha hai.
In central bank signals ke milaap ne Australian dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai.

AUD/USD ka initial resistance level 0.6643 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial resistance level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bullish target 0.7121 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.7121 ke upar close hota hai, toh market price 0.7543 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai.
Doosri taraf, AUD/USD ka initial support level 0.6616 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial support level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bearish target 0.6593 ho sakta hai

AUD/USD pair ke trading session ka tajziya karte hain. Iss hafta ke teesre din market mein phir se ek downward movement dekha gaya, lekin girawat zyada gehri nahi thi. Agar hum is haftay ke shuruati trading ko dekhein, toh kuch cheezain review ki jaa sakti hain, khaaskar kal raat ka bearish attempt jo kaafi gehra tha aur highest price zone ko chor gaya. Iss price girawat ka agle trading decision par bhi asar hoga. Pehle jab price ne bearish movement ki thi, usse pehle market consolidation ki halat thi.

Last August, market trend zyada bullish tha aur kaafi actively move kar raha tha. Mera andaza tha ke agla trend shayad phir bullish ho sakta hai. Aaj ke trading mein koi khaas fluctuations nahi dekhi gayi hain, kyunke pichle maheenay ka bullish trend kamzor ho chuka hai. Sellers ne market ko dominate karne ki koshish ki hai. Yeh acha mauqa ho sakta hai agar hum pichlay kuch dinon ke market halat ko dekhain, jahan girawat ka imkaan hai, kyunke bullish trend barqarar rehne mein nakam raha.

Candlestick movement ko dekhte hue, jo abhi bhi support level 0.6700 ke qareeb move kar rahi hai, ek indication milta hai ke bearish trend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai agar sellers support level ko todne mein kamyab ho jaate hain. Iss hafta ke liye AUD/USD pair ke hawalay se, main ab bhi bearish market ke mauqaon ke liye optimistic hoon, kyunke candlestick ne buyers ki significant resistance ke baghair bearish pattern mein downward movement ki hai.

Hamara tajziya karte hue, hum AUD/USD currency pair ke current price behavior ka gehraai se mutalea kar rahe hain. H1 period mein candle 0.6810 par hai, jo resistance ko chhune ke qareeb hai. Shayad AUD/USD kuch pips aur barh jaye isse pehle ke yeh kaafi neeche giray. Magar agar yeh area penetrate ho gaya, toh rise ka silsila jari reh sakta hai. Mera khayaal hai ke AUD/USD ka yeh increase sirf ek corrective measure hai, kyunke candle ab tak supply area ko cross nahi kar payi jo 0.6810 ke price par hai. AUD/USD aakhir kaar decline karegi. Jab se yeh upar gayi hai, girawat infrequent rahi hai. Ab AUD/USD girne ke liye ek acha position mein hai.

Ichimoku indicator analysis ke mutabiq, jab AUD/USD ka movement neeche gaya, toh ek naye intersection ne candle ko tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar rakh diya. Is se yeh lagta hai ke AUD/USD ke rise hone ki ab bhi thodi umeed hai. AUD/USD ab bhi apne qareebi resistance, jo 0.6810 ke price par hai, ko target kar rahi hai, jaise maine kal kaha tha.