ای AUD/USD کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

Agar yeh scenario hota hai, toh yeh downward trend ko trigger kar sakta hai, jahan price seedha bearish ho sakta hai. Yeh scenario tab mazeed mumkin banega agar market khulne ke baad price 0.6514 ke accumulation area tak girti hai aur phir wahan se rise karne ki koshish karti hai. Is surat mein, AUD/USD pair ko 0.6554 level ko paar karne mein mushkilat ho sakti hai. Agar yeh resistance mazboot rehti hai, toh price 0.6554 se bearish direction mein gir sakti hai, aur 0.6449 ke area ka rukh kar sakti hai, jahan significant amounts of money hain. Support ke liye, AUD/USD ascending channel ka lower boundary 0.6630 ke aas paas hai, jo exchange rate ke liye immediate support hai, uske baad 9-day moving average jo 0.6618 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh moving average ke neeche girti hai, toh pair 0.6575 ke pullback level ko test kar sakta hai. Agar pair is support area ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh bearish bias ko indicate kar sakti hai jo pair ko 0.6470 ke pullback level ki taraf le ja sakti hai US Dollar ko support milne mein mushkil ho rahi hai jab traders yeh samajhte hain ke Fed rate cuts laazmi hain. Sab ki nigahain Fed ke Chair Jerome Powell par hain Jackson Hole mein, jahan woh cuts ki tasdeeq karenge. US Dollar index 101.00 ke just upar trade kar raha hai aur agar weak sentiment barqarar rehta hai, toh yeh 100.00 tak gir sakta hai. US Dollar (USD) broadly flat trade kar raha hai jabke Wednesday ko US session ke start mein heavy selling hui, jis se ek aur leg lower trigger hui aur 2024 ka fresh low dekha gaya. Nonfarm Payrolls revision ne pehle se estimated 818,000 kam jobs highlight ki, jo ke over a decade mein sabse bari downward revision thi, aur US job market ke hawale se market concerns ko confirm kiya. Baad mein, July meeting ke Fed Minutes release hue, jisme confirm hua ke kuch members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) us waqt rate cut ka keh rahe the, jo September mein lagbhag certain hai. AUD/USD price mazeed advance kar sakti hai daily chart analysis ke mutabiq jo ek bullish bias ke mazboot hone ka ishara de rahi hai. 9-day EMA 50-day EMA ke upar position mein hai, jo recent price action ko longer-term trend ke outperform karne ka indication de raha hai. 0.6798 level, jo seven-month high hai

Aaj ky din AUD/USD currency pair abhi mazboot bearish momentum dikha raha hai, jo kay mukhtalif time frames per technical indicators say confirm ho raha hai. H4 chart par pair abhi key Ichimoku Cloud components — Kijun-sen, Tenkan-sen say neeche trade kar raha hai aur Chikou-span bhi price line say neeche hai. Yeh setup bearish outlook ko dikha raha hai, jahan "dead cross" bhi actively form ho raha hai, jo trend kay mazeed southward move ko mazboot kar raha hai.

Dusre technical indicators jaise kay Bollinger Bands downward slope kar rahe hain, MACD volumes shrink ho rahe hain, aur RSI 49 say neeche hai, yeh sab bears ki dominance ko reinforce karte hain. Trend filter oscillator ka crimson ho jaana bhi bearish continuation ki taseek kar raha hai. Ager mazid girawat hoti hai toh pehla target 0.6621 par hai, aur agar yeh level breach hota hai toh quotes 0.6560 tak gir sakte hain. Medium term kay liye downside targets 0.6458 aur 0.6349 tak extend ho rahe hain, jo sustained downward trajectory ko indicate karte hain.

H4 chart par ascending wedge pattern breakdown aur MACD aur CCI indicators par confirmed bearish divergence bhi bearish outlook ko solidify kar rahe hain. Key support level 0.6697 kay aas paas pressure mein hai aur jaldi break ho sakta hai, jis se neechay ki taraf mazeed price targets ke liye raasta khul jayega. Best selling opportunity tab hogi jab price resistance tak retrace karay support level break honay se pehle, jahan target area 0.6639 ho sakta hai.

H1 chart par price resistance level 0.6810 kay kareeb hai. Halka sa upward corrective move dekha ja raha hai, lekin yeh short-term adjustment lagta hai na kay trend reversal. EMA (21/4) aur MACD abhi bhi sell signal kar rahe hain, aur Elliott wave analysis kay mutabiq corrective wave C form ho raha hai, jo wave traders aksar bearish trend mein profitable moves generate karne kay liye istamaal karte hain.

AUD/USD pair ka behavior yeh suggest karta hai kay halki si upward correction ho sakti hai lekin broader bearish trend abhi bhi mazboot hai. Yeh US dollar ki strength aur Australian dollar ki weakness kay saath align karta hai, jo kay economic fundamentals aur technical factors say driven hai. Is liye aglay trading sessions kay liye bearish stance recommend kiya jata hai, lekin support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

trading day par, main recommend karta hoon ke aap daily chart par nazar daalein, taake hum pair ki overall movement ko samajh sakein. Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai. Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthree approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. Agar price minor resistance area 0.6787x ko break karti hai, toh hum buy kar sakte hain daily resistance area 0.6812x par sabse qareebi target ke liye. Magar resistance target 0.6863x ke price par bhi dekhnay wala hai. Dusri taraf, agar price girti hai aur minor support area 0.6778x ko break karti hai, toh hum sell kar sakte hain daily support area 0.6763x ke qareebi target aur support 0.6712x ke aglay

trading day par, main recommend karta hoon ke aap daily chart par nazar daalein, taake hum pair ki overall movement ko samajh sakein. Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai. Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthree approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. Agar price minor resistance area 0.6787x ko break karti hai, toh hum buy kar sakte hain daily resistance area 0.6812x par sabse qareebi target ke liye. Magar resistance target 0.6863x ke price par bhi dekhnay wala hai. Dusri taraf, agar price girti hai aur minor support area 0.6778x ko break karti hai, toh hum sell kar sakte hain daily support area 0.6763x ke qareebi target aur support 0.6712x ke aglay

AUD/USD currency pair ka current price movement clearly bearish trend ko darshata hai. Yeh trend death cross signal ke zariye mazid confirm hota hai, jahan 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko neeche ki taraf cross karti hai. Aisi situation mein zyada chances hain ke price niche ki taraf move karegi, upar ki taraf nahi. Agar price kuch waqt ke liye upar correction karti hai, to yeh Support-Becomes-Resistance (SBR) area 0.6761 ko dobara test kar sakti hai, jo pehle support tha. Agar price is level ko test karti hai, to shayad thoda upar bounce ho sakta hai, lekin phir se niche ki taraf chalne ke chances hain.
Bearish trend ko aur bhi zyada confirm karne ke liye lower low-lower high price pattern dekha ja sakta hai. Agar price 0.6753 ke previous low se niche girti hai, to yeh structure break hoga aur current trend invalidate ho jayega. Yeh pattern bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai, kyunki isme series of lower highs aur lower lows dekhne ko milte hain, jo sustained downtrend ko darshata hai. Iske ilawa, jab price trend ko reverse karne ki koshish karti hai, to yeh 0.6824 ke resistance level ke upar naya high establish karne mein nakam rahi hai.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator bhi bearish sentiment ko support karta hai. Histogram recently green ho gaya hai, jo short-term bullish movement ka ishara hai, lekin volume level 0 ya negative area ke neeche hi hai, jo downtrend momentum ko strong darshata hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters agar 50 ke aas-paas ya usse upar hain, to yeh upward movement ka potential dekhata hai. Indicators ke darmiyan yeh divergence darshata hai ke temporary corrections ho sakti hain, lekin overall trend bearish hi rahega.

Trading strategy ke liye, bearish trend ko capitalize karna chahiye. Lower low-lower high pattern aur price ke dono Moving Averages ke neeche trade karne ko dekhte hue, SELL position lena recommended hai. Optimal entry point EMA 50 ya SBR area 0.6761 ke aas-paas hoga. Traders ko entry confirm karne ke liye Stochastic indicator ke parameters ko overbought zone (levels 80-90) mein enter karte hue dekhna chahiye aur AO histogram ko consistently level 0 ke neeche dekhna chahiye. Trade manage karte waqt, take profit target ko support level 0.6700 pe set karein, jo psychological support level bhi haihai

Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce rate decision soon. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai. BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.
Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.

Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.

US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME's FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce rate decision soon. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai

Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai. Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behthree approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain. Agar price minor resistance area 0.6787x ko break karti hai, toh hum buy kar sakte hain daily resistance area 0.6812x par sabse qareebi target ke liye. Magar resistance target 0.6863x ke price par bhi dekhnay wala hai. Dusri taraf, agar price girti hai aur minor support area 0.6778x ko break karti hai, toh hum sell kar sakte hain daily support area 0.6763x ke qareebi target aur support 0.6712x ke aglay

Aussie dollar ke liye aane walay dinon mein trading volatile aur unpredictable hone ki umeed hai kyun ke global growth ke concerns aur economic uncertainty, khaas tor par Asia se, market par asar daal rahe hain. Yeh masail jab tak qaim rahte hain, Australian dollar mein volatility barhne ki sambhavna hai.
Monday ke trading session ke dauraan, Australian dollar fluctuate karta raha, aur 0.6650 level ek aham point tha. Yeh level maazi mein support aur resistance dono ke tor par kaam karta raha hai, is liye traders ke liye bohat crucial hai. Iske ilawa, 50-day EMA resistance ke taur par upar hai, jabke 200-day EMA support niche faraham kar raha hai. Market jab in do technical levels ke darmiyan hil raha hai, to uski harakat mein bohat indecisiveness hone ki umeed hai.

Agar market recover karta hai aur Monday ki high se upar nikalta hai, to Aussie 0.6750 level ki taraf jaa sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar yeh 200-day EMA se niche toot jata hai, to yeh 0.6550 level tak gir sakta hai. Currency ki movements commodity market par depend karti hain, jo Australian economy mein aham kirdar ada karti hai, aur global risk sentiment par, jo aam tor par riskier assets, jaisay ke Australian dollar, ki demand ko dictate karta hai.

Kul mila kar, market uncertainty ki halaat mein hai, jo ke ek neutral long-term outlook ko reflect karta hai. 0.6850 level ek major resistance ya "ceiling" ke taur par kaam karta hai, jabke 0.6450 level ek mazboot support ya "floor" ke taur par. Jab tak global economic tasweer wazeh nahi hoti, traders se tawakku ki jaa sakti hai ke Australian dollar range-bound rahe aur in levels ke darmiyan move kare ga, jab yeh broader market conditions ko respond karega. Iss maujooda mahol mein, trading strategies mein ehtiyaat aur sabr ki zaroorat hogi

Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga.
US is haftay employment data release karega jo Fed ke expected rate cut ke size ko determine karega. CME's FedWatch ke mutabiq, quarter-point cut ke odds 70% se gir kar 59% ho gaye hain, jabke half-point cut ke odds 30% se barh kar 41% ho gaye hain. Aaj baad mein, US JOLT job vacancies release ki jayengi jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke 8.10 million tak gir jayengi, jo ke July mein 8.18 million thi.
Canadian Dollar Analysis in Roman Urdu
Canadian dollar Wednesday ko limited movement dikhata hai. European session ke dauran, USD/CAD 1.3555 par trade kar raha hai, 0.08% ka girawat ke sath. Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce rate decision soon. BoC se expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 25 basis points se rates cut karega, jo ke pehli baar nahi, balki teesri baar ho raha hai, aur yeh kisi bhi major central bank ka sabse zyada rate cut hai.

BoC ki umeed hai ke yeh saal ke baqi waqt aur 2025 tak rates cut karte rahenge, taake Canada ki sluggish economy ko support mil sake. Federal Reserve bhi is mahine aur shayad is saal ke baad rate cuts ki umeed hai, jo BoC ke liye aasan banata hai rates cut karna bina Fed se zyada divergence ke.

Canadian dollar ne August mein 2.2% gain kiya hai greenback ke muqable mein, iska matlab hai ke BoC shayad rate cuts se Canadian dollar par pressure ke bare mein itna concerned nahi hai. Investors aaj ke rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, magar naye cycle of rate cuts ke bare mein information bhi talash kar rahe hain. Inflation ab BoC ke target range 1% se 3% ke andar reh gayi hai, aur yeh saat consecutive months se is range mein hai.

Federal Reserve ki tarah, policymakers inflation se labor market ki kamzori ki taraf shift kar rahe hain. BoC ka aim hai ke inflation giraaye bina labor market ko collapse kare aur economy ko recession mein na le jaye. US employment data Fed ke rate cut decision ke liye key hoga

Hum AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka tajziya H4 chart par kar rahe hain. Jab tak upward trend barqarar hai, wave structure banta rahega. MACD indicator abhi lower sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche position mein hai. Pehle, is indicator par ek triple bearish divergence dekhi gayi thi, aur secondary CCI indicator par bhi yeh divergence nazar aayi thi. Iske ilawa, ek reversal pattern, jo ek ascending wedge tha, usay successfully breakdown kiya gaya, aur bearish divergence ka signal bhi effectively confirm ho gaya.

Horizontal support level jo 0.6697 par hai, us par kaafi pressure hai, aur mera andaza hai ke yeh support zyada dair tak hold nahi karega aur break ho sakta hai. Selling ka behtareen entry point tab hoga jab price thoda upward retrace kare is support level ke break hone se pehle. Is trade ka target 0.6639 par set hai. Halaankeh CCI indicator ne lower overheating zone se ek potential upward move ka hint diya hai, yeh signal sellers ko counter nahi karega.

Hamari guftagu mein hum AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka gehra tajziya kar rahe hain. H1 period se candle 0.6810 par hai, jo resistance ko touch karne ke qareeb hai.

AUD/USD ka price kuch pip aur barhne ke baad kaafi zyada neeche gir sakta hai. Yeh baat kehte hue, agar yeh area penetrate ho jata hai, to rise shayad jari rahe. Mere khayal mein AUD/USD ka increase sirf ek corrective measure hai. Kyun ke ab tak candle supply area, jo 0.6810 par hai, ko cross nahi kar saka, AUD/USD bil-akhir decline karega. Ab tak yeh girawat infrequent rahi hai jab se yeh rise hua hai. Ab AUD/USD bohot achi position mein hai ke girawat ka silsila jari rakhe.

Jab AUD/USD ke movement mein decline aaya, to ek naya intersection hua, jisse candle ka position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke ooper aagaya, jo Ichimoku indicator ke analysis ke mutabiq yeh dikhata hai ke AUD/USD ke rise ka ab bhi imkaan hai. AUD/USD abhi bhi apni qareebi resistance ko target kar raha hai, jo 0.6810 par located hai, jaise ke maine kal bhi kaha tha.

EMA (21/4) aur MACD indicators dono sell ka signal de rahe hain. Is liye, kuch consolidation ke baad, mujhe umeed hai ke ek move bearish direction ki taraf hoga. Jaisay jaisay U.S. dollar market mein strong hota ja raha hai, Australian dollar kamzor hota ja raha hai. Four-hour chart par ek downtrend develop hota nazar aa raha hai, aur meri wave analysis ke mutabiq corrective wave C ban rahi hai, jo Elliott waves par mabni hai. Wave traders aksar is pattern ka istemal karte hain taake profit generate kar sakein. Computer analysis bhi sell signals ko highlight kar raha hai.

AUD/USD ke price trend ka tajziya karte hain. AUD/USD currency pair filhal downward spiral mein hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, char ghante ke chart par price cloud, Kijun-sen, aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke niche trade kar rahi hai, aur Chikou-span line bhi price chart ke niche hai. Ek "dead cross" actively develop ho raha hai. Bollinger Bands niche ki taraf slope kar rahi hain, MACD oscillator volumes kam ho rahe hain, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49 ke niche hai, aur trend filter oscillator crimson ho gaya hai, jo bears ke dominance ko reinforce karta hai. Selling ab bhi priority hai.

Agar further declines hoti hain, to agla target level 0.6621 hai. Agar bears is threshold ko push kar dete hain, to quotes aur niche gir sakti hain aur 0.6560 tak pahunch sakti hain. Main is level ka breakdown expect kar raha hoon, jo downward trend ko continue karega 0.6605 ki taraf aur shayad 0.6557 tak bhi pahunch sakta hai, jo channel ke lower boundary ke kareeb hai. Medium term mein, meri nazar 0.6458 aur 0.6349 levels par hai.

H4 time frame par, AUD/USD ek "head and shoulders" pattern bana raha hai aur saath hi ek widening descending channel bhi dikhayi de raha hai. Quotes ke agle kuch hafton tak is channel ke andar trade karne ki ummeed hai. Friday ke non-farm payroll (NFP) data release ke baad bearish sentiment majboot ho gayi, aur quotes ab sabse nazdeek support 0.6643 ko dobara test karne ke liye tayyar hain.

Friday ki session mein, AUD/USD ne NFP data ke reaction ki wajah se 99 points ka girawat dekha, jo peak se trough tak tha. Local support 0.6699 ke breakdown ke baad bearish engulfing pattern bana. Agar yeh pattern kal activate hota hai aur 0.6649 ko break karta hai, to further declines 0.6639 aur 0.6579 support levels ki taraf ho sakti hain.

Mujhe current conditions ke madde nazar sirf selling par focus karna hai, aur recent highs ka revisit nahi hoga. Price likely strong demand zone 0.6349-0.6379 ki taraf descending continue karegi, jahan main buy karne ki sochunga.

AUD/USD ka H4 chart dekhte huay, wave structure tab tak barqarar rahega jab tak upward trend qaim hai. MACD indicator ne lower sales zone mein position le li hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Is se pehle, MACD aur secondary CCI indicator par triple bearish divergence samne aayi thi. Iske ilawa, ek reversal pattern—ascending wedge—bhi successfully breakdown hua tha, aur bearish divergence ka signal confirm hua. 0.6697 par horizontal support level dabbaw mein hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh zyada dair nahi tik payega aur break hoga. Best selling entry point tab hoga jab price pehle upward retrace kare aur phir is support ko break kare. Iss trade ka target 0.6639 par set hai. Halanki CCI indicator lower overheating zone se ek possible upward move ka ishara de raha hai, lekin yeh signal sellers ko rok nahi payega.
H1 period ka candle 0.6810 par hai, jo resistance ko touch karne ke qareeb hai. Shayad AUD/USD thodi der ke liye aur barh jaye usse pehle ke woh kaafi neeche giray. Agar is area ko cross kiya ja sakay, to yeh rise continue bhi ho sakta hai. Mera khayal hai ke AUD/USD ka yeh izafa sirf ek corrective move hai, kyunki candle abhi tak supply area 0.6810 ko cross nahi kar saka. AUD/USD aakhirkaar neeche jaye ga. Pehle ki tarah, jab AUD/USD neeche gira, ek naya intersection bana, jo candle ko tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar le aaya tha, jo ichimoku indicator ke analysis se pata chalta hai. Is se lagta hai ke AUD/USD ke upar jane ka chance abhi bhi hai. Magar, abhi tak resistance 0.6810 par qaim hai, aur EMA (21/4) aur MACD indicators dono sell ka signal de rahe hain. Isi wajah se main thodi consolidation ke baad bearish movement expect karta hoon. Jab US dollar strong hota hai, to Australian dollar weak hota hai. H4 chart par main ek developing downtrend dekh raha hoon, aur meri wave analysis ke mutabiq Elliott waves ke hawale se corrective wave C ki formation ho rahi hai. Wave traders aksar is pattern ko profit ke liye use karte hain. Computer analysis bhi sell signals ko highlight kar raha hai.

AUD/USD ke current pricing behavior par guftagu karte hain, jo hamari analysis ka focus hai. AUD/USD, chaar ghante ke chart par, weekend ke end par ek reversal pattern dikhata hai, lekin daily signal bullish edge of the triangle se rebound ko breach nahi kar paya. H4 chart par head-and-shoulders formation ne 0.6689 par support break kar diya hai, jo ek bearish reversal pattern ko confirm karta hai. Humne yeh Friday evening ke trading session ke dauran dekha, jo mujhe lagta hai ke yeh strong bearish signal hai.

Friday ko sellers ne market ko significant force ke sath neeche ki taraf drive kiya, aur closing 0.66673 par hui. Jab market reopen hoga, to decline ka silsila jari rehne ke ummeed hai. Pair ab middle Bollinger Band ke neeche hai, jo further drop ka indication hai, jo ke 50% Fibonacci level par 0.65839 tak ho sakta hai. Jab Aussie ko daily perspective se dekhte hain aur choti time frames par entry point dhoondhte hain, to ek retracement underway hai. Strong downtrend ke bawajood, long-term buying trend intact hai, jo aage ke growth ke liye potential chhodti hai.

Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke dollar ki surge negative news ke bawajood aayi, jo currency ki strength ke root cause ko lekar kuch uncertainty chhodti hai. Phir bhi, jab market 0.6669 ke neeche close hui, mujhe further declines ki ummeed hai. Agar price 0.659 ke neeche girti hai, to main buying opportunities dhoondunga.

AUD/USD ka ongoing downward zigzag movement ek larger wave (b) ke andar correction hai, jo upward trend ke pehle wave (a) ke completion ke baad aayi hai. Current drop wave (b) mein rollback ko mark karti hai, aur do critical levels hain jin par nazar rakhni hai. Pehla control point 0.6614 par hai, aur agar yeh level hold hota hai, to hum 0.7199 ki taraf reversal dekh sakte hain. Lekin agar pair is level ko break kar deti hai, to wave (b) 0.6544 tak extend ho sakti hai; ek reversal ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6544 break hota hai, to upward zigzag pattern to break hoga, jo 0.659 ke neeche ek strong downward reversal signal karega.

AUD/USD currency pair ne is haftay ka aghaz kamzori ke saath kiya hai, jahan Monday subah ke Asian session mein yeh pair 0.6792 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Yeh girawat mukhtalif aham asraat ka nateeja hai, jo ke chand central bank figures ke bayanat aur haali economic data se mutasir hain. Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke haali bayan ne market sentiment par kafi asar dala hai. Powell ke bayanat ne ishara diya hai ke US mein aane walay arsay mein bhi unchi interest rates barqarar reh sakti hain, kyunki Fed mehngai ko apne target ki taraf le jaane mein ehtiyaat kar raha hai. Un ke bayanat ne US dollar ko mazid mazboot kiya hai, kyunki unchi rates investors ko dollar mein invest karne ki taraf khench rahi hain. Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka rukh bhi AUD/USD ki dynamics mein aham kirdar ada kar raha hai. RBA ke haali bayanat pehlay mahino ke muqablay mein zyada dovish hain. RBA ki ehtiyaat baratne wali approach, jo ke mulki economic challenges aur dheemi inflationary pressures se mutasir hai, Fed ki zyada aggressive monetary policy se bilkul mukhtalif hai. Is wajah se Australian dollar par downward pressure hai, jo AUD/USD pair ki kamzori ko aur barha raha hai.

In central bank signals ke milaap ne Australian dollar ke liye ek challenging environment bana diya hai. Investors apni positions ko adjust kar rahe hain, jab ke Fed aur RBA ke monetary policy ke trajectories mein farq hai. Yeh farq aam tor par US dollar ko mazid mazboot aur Australian dollar ko kamzor banata hai, jo ke AUD/USD exchange rate ke neeche aane mein zahir ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, broader market conditions aur risk sentiment bhi currency movements ko shape karte hain. Global economic outlook, geopolitical developments, aur commodity prices mein utar charhao bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, commodity prices, khas tor par Australia ke key exports jaise ke iron ore, Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hain. Commodity prices ke kamzor hone se AUD par aur zyada pressure a sakta hai, jo ke pair ke haali low levels mein shamil hai.

AUD/USD ka initial resistance level 0.6643 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial resistance level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bullish target 0.7121 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.7121 ke upar close hota hai, toh market price 0.7543 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai.
Doosri taraf, AUD/USD ka initial support level 0.6616 par ho sakta hai. Agar initial support level break kar liya gaya, toh agla bearish target 0.6593 ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6593 ke neeche close hota hai, toh market price 0.5843 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke 3rd level of support hai. Trading ke dauran ehtiyaat karein aur support aur resistance areas par dhyaan dein jahan se market apna direction change kar sakti hai.
Friday ke Asian market session mein trading ke dauran lagta hai ke price abhi tak buyers ke control mein hai, jo apni bullish opportunities ko maintain karne ke liye mazeed enter karte ja rahe hain, aur price ko rise karne ka target rakh rahe hain, taake seller's resistance area ko test kiya ja sake 0.6638-0.6640 par, aur yeh area penetrate karna zaroori hai taake ek higher bullish path khul sake, jiska agla target seller's supply resistance area hai 0.6695-0.6700 par, jo ke abhi tak seller ne maintain kiya hua hai

Australian dollar (AUD) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein momentum gain kiya hai jo kuch mukhtalif factors ki wajah se hai. Market ko yeh yakeen hota ja raha hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) September mein monetary policy ko dheela kar sakta hai. Fed Watch tools ke mutabiq, agle mahine 50 basis points ka interest rate cut ho sakta hai aur saal ke end tak total 100 basis points ki kami dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Iske muqablay, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hawkish stance rakhta hai aur inflation ke concerns ko address karne ke liye interest rates ko aur barhane ke liye tayyar hai. Yeh monetary policies ka divergence AUD/USD ko faida pohnchata hai. Technical taur par, AUD/USD ne bullish trend dikhaya hai aur 0.6600 convergence level aur 0.6700 mark ko break kar diya hai. Daily chart oscillators bhi positive territory mein hain, jo aage ke upside potential ko darshata hai. Magar, ye abhi overbought zone mein nahi hain, jo aur growth ke liye jagah banata hai. Bullish perspective se, AUD/USD 0.6740 ke upper boundary of ascending channel ko target kar sakta hai. Agar channel ke andar wapas aata hai to bullish bias ko reinforce kar sakta hai aur 7-month high 0.6798 ko test karne ke liye le ja sakta hai. Is level ke upar break hone se currency 0.6880 level tak bhi pohnch sakti hai.
Niche ki taraf, AUD/USD ko 9-day EMA level 0.6684 par support mil sakta hai. Agar is level se niche girta hai to 0.6575 aur 0.6470 ke retrospective levels ko test kar sakta hai. Market sentiment bhi AUD/USD ko influence karta hai. Risk-on sentiment Australian dollar ke liye faida mand hota hai, jabke risk-off sentiment se selling pressure barh sakta hai. Australia aur United States se aane wale economic data bhi AUD/USD ko impact kar sakte hain. Australia se strong economic data currency ko support de sakti hai, jabke weak data downward pressure daal sakti hai. Conversely, United States se strong economic data USD ko kamzor kar sakti hai, jo AUD/USD ke liye faida mand hoga. Long-term outlook AUD/USD ka mukhtalif factors pe depend karta hai, jaise ke Australia aur United States ke beech interest rate differentials, dono mulkon ki economic growth, aur global risk appetite. Jaise Fed apni monetary policy ko dheela karta hai, AUD/USD interest rate differential se faida utha sakta hai. Lekin, dono economies aur global market developments ko monitor karna zaroori hai taake currency pair par potential impact ko assess kiya ja sake
Daily chart par ek sideways wedge pattern develop hota hua dikhai diya tha, jisme AUD/USD kaafi time se trade kar raha hai. Ek aisa hi wedge pattern doosri major pairs mein bhi dekha gaya, jinhon ne apni upper boundaries ko break kiya hai. AUD/USD ne jab is flat formation se exit kiya, to ek steady upward trend shuru hua. Is analysis ke mutabiq, wedge ka upper limit 0.6779 tha. Friday ka daily candle ek solid green day ke tor par close hua, jo ye suggest karta hai ke inn levels se buy positions enter karna munasib hoga, aur buyers ka target 0.6869 par set karna chahiye. Weekly chart par movement upward jaa rahi hai. Weekly technical analysis aur recommendations ko madde nazar rakhtay huay, moving averages substantial buy show kar rahe hain aur technical indicators bhi buying ko suggest karte hain, jo overall buy recommendation ko lead karte hain. Aane wale hafte ke liye pair ko buy karna behtar hai. U.S. economic news bhi schedule hai, jisme Thursday 15:29 par forecast negative impact ki taraf ja raha hai. Friday ko 04:29 par retail sales data expected hai, jisme forecast neutral hai. Yeh pair ziada chances hai ke iss hafte upward move kare