ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD karansi pair ne hafta kamzor note par shuru kiya hai, jahan Asia session ke aaghaz mein, peer itwaar ko qareeb 0.6792 par position le raha hai. Yeh girawat mukhtalif asar-andaz factors, khas tor par markazi bank ke aham arkaan ke bayanat aur taja economic data ke asar ko zahir karti hai
Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliya bayanat ne bazaar ke jazbaat par khasa asar dala hai. Powell ke bayanat se yeh ishara milta hai ke United States mein sudi nason ka dair tak buland rehne ka imkaan hai, kyunke Fed mehengai par mamoor rehta hai. Unke bayanat ne markazi bank ki yeh kamitment ko wazeh kiya hai ke woh is baat ko yaqini banayenge ke mehengai apne target ki janib qatey andaaz mein barh rahi hai, jis ne US dollar ko mazboot kiya hai. Barhati hui sudi naso ka imkaan sarmaiya karon ko greenback ki taraf khenchta hai, kyunke is mein dusri karansiyon par yield ka faida hai
Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki rawayya bhi AUD/USD dynamics mein aham kirdar ada karta hai. RBA ke taja tarin bayanat pichlay mahinoon ke muqablay mein zyada narmi ka imkaan zahir karte hain. RBA ka mohtaat rawayya, jo ke mulki maashi challenges aur mehengai ke dabao mein kami se mutasir hota hai, Fed ki zyada agressive monetary policy ke baraks hai. Is wajah se, Australian dollar par neeche ki taraf dabao hai, jis se AUD/USD pair ki kamzori mein izafa hota hai Inmarkazi bank ke ishaarat ke melange ne Australian dollar ke liye ek mushkil mahol paida kiya hai. Sarmaiya kar rahe log Fed aur RBA ki farq monitary policy trajactories ke hawalay se apni positions adjust kar rahe hain. Yeh ikhtilaf aam tor par ek mazboot US dollar aur kamzor Australian dollar ki taraf le jata hai, jo AUD/USD ke kam exchange rate mein zahir hota hai Iske ilawa, wase bazaar ke halat aur risk sentiments bhi karansi ki harkat ko shape dete hain. Aalami maashi manzar nama, geo-siyasi tahawalat, aur rawayati moliyat ke utar-chadhav bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Maslan, rawayati moliyat, khaas tor par Australia ke aham exports jaise ke iron ore, ki qeemat mein girawat Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hai. Rawayati moliyat ki girti hui qeematain AUD par dabao mein izafa kar sakti hain, jo ke pair ke iss waqt ke kam level mein hissa daal rahi hainKhulasay mein, hafta ki kamzori shuruat AUD/USD pair ke liye, jo ke 0.6792 par trade ho raha hai, US aur Australia ke monitary policy ke nazariyat ke darmiyan taleek ka nateeja hai. Fed ke dair tak buland rate ke mahol ke imkaan ne US dollar ko mazboot kiya hai, jab ke RBA ka mohtaat rawayya Australian dollar par bojh bana hua hai. Yeh ikhtilaf AUD/USD ke exchange rate ko mutasir karne wale pecheeda dynamics ko ujaagar karta hai aur aalamgir karansi bazaar mein wasey rujhanat ko zahir

Yeh pair haali mein ek decline ka shikar raha hai aur is waqt 0.6730 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke zyada tar US Dollar ki taqat mein izafa ki wajah se hai. Magar, Greenback ke mazeed gains ka potential mehdood ho sakta hai, kyun ke haali mein aane wale taqatwar US economic data ne Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein rate cut ke imkaan ko kam kar diya hai. Traders ab Friday ko aane wale ahem US economic data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo AUD/USD ke dynamics pe bara asar dal sakta hai.

US ki Growth aur China ki Slowdown ka AUD/USD pe Asar:

Haali economic data yeh dikhate hain ke US economy abhi tak mazboot hai, jo ke Greenback ko support de sakti hai. Dusri taraf, China—jo ke duniya ki doosri badi economy hai—mein slowdown ke concerns abhi bhi barqarar hain, jo traders ko Australian Dollar (AUD) pe aggressive bullish bets lagane se rok sakta hai. AUD ko aksar Chinese economic performance ka proxy samjha jata hai. Is liye, yeh behtar hoga ke pehle mazeed saboot dekha jaye ke AUD/USD pair ne near-term bottom ko choo liya hai ya nahi, is se pehle koi nateeja nikalain.

US economy ka tajziyati tor pe 2.0% ki annualized rate se mazbooti se barhna estimate kiya gaya hai, jo ke pehle wale estimate 1.4% se zyada hai. Magar, GDP Price Index jo ke goods aur services ke price changes ka aik ahem gauge hai, woh 3.6% se 3.1% pe aa gaya hai. Yeh inflation mein moderation Federal Reserve ko early rate cuts consider karne pe majboor kar sakti hai, jo USD ki performance ko mutasir kar sakti hai.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Haali market conditions ke hawalay se, pair ne USD ke against thodi si recovery dekhi, jahan AUD/USD 0.6750 tak rebound kar gaya. Yeh bounce-back intensive sell-offs ke baad aya hai. Is recovery ke bawajood, China ki economy mein kamzori aur iron ore ke girte hue daam abhi bhi AUD ki performance ko gehra asar dal rahe hain. AUD/USD pair ke key support levels 0.6711, 0.6700, aur 0.6690 pe hain, jabke resistance 0.6820 pe hai.

Tuesday tak, Australian Dollar 0.6730 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Hourly chart ka tajziya yeh dikhata hai ke pair ne dobara ek descending channel mein daakhil ho gaya hai, jo ke bearish trend ke kamzor hone ki taraf ishara karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) thoda sa 30 level ke upar hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke currency pair jald ek potential correction ke liye tayar ho sakti hai.

Mangalwaar ko, spot price ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay me zyada nuqsan jhelna pada, aur pair lagbhag 0.6740 ke paas gir gaya. Yeh girawat kuch aham factors ki wajah se hai, jinme China ki ongoing economic weaknesses aur iron ore prices ka girna shamil hai. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, pair 0.6751 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo Australian currency ke liye muskilat ko reflect karta hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

USD Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki major currencies ke against value ko mapta hai, pichle haftay me ek narrow range ke andar raha hai. Traders Federal Reserve (Fed) ke rate cuts ke plans ke baare me mazeed clarity ka intezaar kar rahe hain, tab tak wo bade moves nahi kar rahe. Ab dhyan US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index ke aane wale release par hai, jo future Fed policy aur is tarah USD demand ko impact kar sakta hai.

Australian economy ke vulnerabilities ke bawajood, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne rates cut karne me reluctance dikhayi hai, khaaskar high inflation ki wajah se. Yeh cautious approach AUD ko stabilize karne me madad kar sakti hai aur bade nuqsan se bachane me bhi. RBA ko G10 ke central banks me se rate cuts karne me sabse aakhri samjha ja sakta hai, jo aakhirkar AUD ki girawat ko kam kar sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

AUD/USD pair ne volatility dikhayi hai, Fed policy statement ke baad 0.6730 tak gir gaya lekin thoda recovery bhi dekhne ko mili hai. Key resistance levels 50, 100, aur 200-hour simple moving averages (SMAs) pe hain jo ke 0.6674, 0.6645, aur 0.6622 hain. Agar yeh levels breach ho jate hain, to pair 0.6600 mark ko test kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, aur bhi weakness ke saath AUD/USD 0.6700 ke neeche gir sakta hai aur aaj ke low 0.6730 ke paas aa sakta hai, jahan psychological 0.6700 level nazar aa raha hai.

Pair ke support levels 0.6731 aur 0.6711 pe noted hain, jab ke resistance levels 0.6781, 0.6800, aur 0.6830 pe observe kiye gaye hain. Current indicator signals deeply negative hain, lekin ek oversold condition market correction ko prompt kar sakti hai. Phir bhi, bulls ke momentum ke kamzor hone ki wajah se, technical analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke jab tak koi significant fundamental catalyst nahi aata, tab tak ek sideways trading pattern dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Tuesday ka Halat:

Mangal ke din, spot price ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein zyada nuqsan jhela, aur pair 0.6740 ke qareeb gir gayi. Is girawat ke kai aham wajah hain, jinmein China ki musalsal economic kamzori aur loha ore ke girte huye prices shamil hain. Aaj ki latest update ke mutabiq, pair 0.6751 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai, jo ke Australian currency ke liye muskilat ka izhaar hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

USD Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko mukhtalif major currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, pichle haftay ke dauran ek tang range mein raha hai. Traders Federal Reserve (Fed) ke rate cuts ke plans ka intezar kar rahe hain, tab tak koi bara step nahi utha rahe. Ab nazar US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index ke agle release par hai, jo future Fed policy aur USD demand ko impact kar sakta hai.

Australian economy ke vulnerabilities ke bawajood, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne rates cut karne mein hichkichahat dikhayi hai, khaaskar high inflation ki wajah se. Yeh ehtiyaat bhari approach AUD ko stabilize karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai aur significant losses se bacha sakti hai. RBA, G10 ke central banks mein last honay ki umeed hai jo eventually AUD ke decline ko kam kar sakti hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:
AUD/USD pair ne volatility dikhayi hai, Fed policy statement ke baad 0.6730 tak gir gayi, lekin thodi recovery bhi hui hai. Key resistance levels 50, 100, aur 200-hour simple moving averages (SMAs) par hain, jo ke 0.6674, 0.6645, aur 0.6622 hain. Agar ye levels breach hote hain, to pair 0.6600 mark ko test kar sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar further weakness hoti hai, to AUD/USD 0.6700 se niche gir sakti hai aur aaj ke low 0.6730 ke qareeb aa sakti hai, jahan psychological 0.6700 level bhi nazar mein hai.

Support aur Resistance Levels:

Pair ke liye support levels 0.6731 aur 0.6711 par hain, jabke resistance levels 0.6781, 0.6800, aur 0.6830 par nazar aa rahe hain.

Current Indicators:

Halaanki current indicator signals kaafi negative hain, lekin ek oversold condition market ko correction ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Lekin, bulls ka momentum abhi bhi kamzor hai, isliye technical analysis ke mutabiq, sideways trading pattern ki sambhavnayein hain jab tak koi significant fundamental catalyst nahi aata.

AUD/USD: Daily aur Hourly Road Map ya Plan

AUDUSD pair mein selling pressure ki nishaniyan dikh rahi hain, jahan 0.6737 ka level aik critical support area hai. Daily time frame par aaj kayi selling scenarios nazar aa rahe hain jo bears ko 0.6716 level breach karne par majboor kar sakte hain. Yeh movement US Dollar ki taqat mein izafa ka aaina hai, jo AUDUSD ke market scenario ko monitor karna zaroori banata hai. Main fundamentals par focus nahi kar raha, magar technical analysis ek powerful tool hai jo future market movements ko anticipate karne mein madadgar sabit hota hai. Price action yeh suggest karta hai ke aaj sellers dominate kar sakte hain, aur pair ko neeche ki taraf drive kar sakte hain.

Is waqt buy entry kaam nahi karegi kyun ke sellers action mein aa rahe hain. Bulls ko agar market par qaboo paana hai, to unhe 0.6752 level ka difaa karna hoga, jo ke ek key threshold ka kaam karta hai potential bullish reversal ke liye. Agar yeh level hold karta hai, to yeh buyers ko zaroori support de sakta hai taake wo market mein phir se entry le sakein aur downtrend ko challenge kar sakein. Warna, pair bearish influence ke neeche sliding continue kar sakta hai. In critical levels ka aapas mein interplay — 0.6737 as support, 0.6716 as a potential breach point, aur 0.6752 as a resistance for bulls — aane wale waqt mein market ki direction ko dictate karega. Session ke agay barhne par yeh dekhna bohot important hoga ke price in levels par kaise react karta hai, taake AUDUSD ke aglay move ka pata chal sake. Halanki technical setup yeh suggest karta hai ke abhi sellers ka upper hand hai, magar bulls ki ability 0.6752 level ko hold karne mein crucial hogi ye tay karne mein ke bearish momentum continue hota hai ya ek potential reversal horizon par hai.

Aap sab ko best wishes!

z mein, peer itwaar ko qareeb 0.6792 par position le raha hai. Yeh girawat mukhtalif asar-andaz factors, khas tor par markazi bank ke aham arkaan ke bayanat aur taja economic data ke asar ko zahir karti hai Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliya bayanat ne bazaar ke jazbaat par khasa asar dala hai. Powell ke bayanat se yeh ishara milta hai ke United States mein sudi nason ka dair tak buland rehne ka imkaan hai, kyunke Fed mehengai par mamoor rehta hai. Unke bayanat ne markazi bank ki yeh kamitment ko wazeh kiya hai ke woh is baat ko yaqini banayenge ke mehengai apne target ki janib qatey andaaz mein barh rahi hai, jis ne US dollar ko mazboot kiya hai. Barhati hui sudi naso ka imkaan sarmaiya karon ko greenback ki taraf khenchta hai, kyunke is mein dusri karansiyon par yield ka faida hai
Dusri taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki rawayya bhi AUD/USD dynamics mein aham kirdar ada karta hai. RBA ke taja tarin bayanat pichlay mahinoon ke muqablay mein zyada narmi ka imkaan zahir karte hain. RBA ka mohtaat rawayya, jo ke mulki maashi challenges aur mehengai ke dabao mein kami se mutasir hota hai, Fed ki zyada agressive monetary policy ke baraks hai. Is wajah se, Australian dollar par neeche ki taraf dabao hai, jis se AUD/USD pair ki kamzori mein izafa hota hai Inmarkazi bank ke ishaarat ke melange ne Australian dollar ke liye ek mushkil mahol paida kiya hai. Sarmaiya kar rahe log Fed aur RBA ki farq monitary policy trajactories ke hawalay se apni positions adjust kar rahe hain. Yeh ikhtilaf aam tor par ek mazboot US dollar aur kamzor Australian dollar ki taraf le jata hai, jo AUD/USD ke kam exchange rate mein zahir hota hai Iske ilawa, wase bazaar ke halat aur risk sentiments bhi karansi ki harkat ko shape dete hain. Aalami maashi manzar nama, geo-siyasi tahawalat, aur rawayati moliyat ke utar-chadhav bhi AUD/USD pair ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Maslan, rawayati moliyat, khaas tor par Australia ke aham exports jaise ke iron ore, ki qeemat mein girawat Australian dollar ki performance par asar dal sakti hai. Rawayati moliyat ki girti hui qeematain AUD par dabao mein izafa kar sakti hain, jo ke pair ke iss waqt ke kam level mein hissa daal rahi hainKhulasay mein, hafta ki kamzori shuruat AUD/USD pair ke liye, jo ke 0.6792 par trade ho raha hai, US aur Australia ke monitary policy ke nazariyat ke darmiyan taleek ka nateeja hai. Fed ke dair tak buland rate ke mahol ke imkaan ne US dollar ko mazboot kiya hai, jab ke RBA ka mohtaat rawayya Australian dollar par bojh bana hua hai. Yeh ikhtilaf AUD/USD ke exchange rate ko mutasir karne wale pecheeda dynamics ko ujaagar karta hai aur aalamgir karansi bazaar mein wasey rujhanat ko zahir

Tuesday ko spot price ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein shadeed nuqsan ka samna kiya, aur pair lagbhag 0.6740 ke qareeb gir gayi. Is girawat ke piche kuch aham wajahein hain, jin mein Cheen ki musalsal iqtisadi kamzoriyaan aur lohay ki girti hui keematain shamil hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, yeh pair abhi 0.6751 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, jo Australian currency ke liye musalsal challenges ko zahir karti hai.
AUD/USD ke Bunyadi Asbaab:

USD Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ko chand aham currencies ke muqable mein naapta hai, pichlay haftay se ek maidan mein hi hai. Tajiron ko abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke rate cuts ke hawalay se zyada wazahat ka intizar hai. Tawajjoh ab agle US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index ki jari honay wali release par hai, jo ke mustaqbil ki Fed policy aur iske nateeje mein USD ki demand par asar andaz ho sakti hai.

Australian economy ki kamzori ke bawajood, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne ab tak rate cut karne mein hichkichaahat dikhai hai, jis ki waja musalsal barhti hui mehengai hai. Yeh ehtiyaati approach AUD ko mazboot rakhne aur mazeed nuqsan se bachane mein madadgar ho sakti hai. RBA se tawakku hai ke yeh G10 ke dosray central banks ke muqable mein sab se aakhir mein rates reduce karega, jo aakhir kar AUD ki girawat ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

AUD/USD pair ne volatility dikhayi hai, jo ek Fed policy statement ke baad 0.6730 tak gir gayi thi lekin iske baad thora sa recover hui. Muhim resistance levels 50, 100, aur 200-hour simple moving averages (SMAs) par hain, jo ke 0.6674, 0.6645, aur 0.6622 par hain. Agar yeh levels tor diye gaye, toh yeh pair mumkin hai ke 0.6600 mark ko test kare. Doosri taraf, mazeed kamzori se AUD/USD 0.6700 se neeche gir sakti hai aur aaj ke low 0.6730 ke qareeb pohanch sakti hai, jahan 0.6700 ka psychological level dekha ja sakta hai.

Pair ke liye support levels 0.6731 aur 0.6711 par note kiye gaye hain, jabke resistance 0.6781, 0.6800, aur 0.6830 par observe kiya ja raha hai. Maujooda indicator signals kaafi negative hain, lekin oversold condition market correction ke imkaanat paida kar sakti hai. Is ke bawajood, bulls ki momentum kamzor rehne ki wajah se, technical analysis yeh zahir karti hai ke yeh pair sideways trading pattern mein rehti hai, jab tak koi aham bunyadi catalyst saamne nahin aata.

Tuesday ko spot price ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein shadeed nuqsan ka samna kiya, aur pair lagbhag 0.6740 ke qareeb gir gayi. Is girawat ke piche kuch aham wajahein hain, jin mein Cheen ki musalsal iqtisadi kamzoriyaan aur lohay ki girti hui keematain shamil hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, yeh pair abhi 0.6751 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, jo Australian currency ke liye musalsal challenges ko zahir karti hai.
AUD/USD ke Bunyadi Asbaab:

USD Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ko chand aham currencies ke muqable mein naapta hai, pichlay haftay se ek maidan mein hi hai. Tajiron ko abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke rate cuts ke hawalay se zyada wazahat ka intizar hai. Tawajjoh ab agle US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index ki jari honay wali release par hai, jo ke mustaqbil ki Fed policy aur iske nateeje mein USD ki demand par asar andaz ho sakti hai.

Australian economy ki kamzori ke bawajood, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne ab tak rate cut karne mein hichkichaahat dikhai hai, jis ki waja musalsal barhti hui mehengai hai. Yeh ehtiyaati approach AUD ko mazboot rakhne aur mazeed nuqsan se bachane mein madadgar ho sakti hai. RBA se tawakku hai ke yeh G10 ke dosray central banks ke muqable mein sab se aakhir mein rates reduce karega, jo aakhir kar AUD ki girawat ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

AUD/USD pair ne volatility dikhayi hai, jo ek Fed policy statement ke baad 0.6730 tak gir gayi thi lekin iske baad thora sa recover hui. Muhim resistance levels 50, 100, aur 200-hour simple moving averages (SMAs) par hain, jo ke 0.6674, 0.6645, aur 0.6622 par hain. Agar yeh levels tor diye gaye, toh yeh pair mumkin hai ke 0.6600 mark ko test kare. Doosri taraf, mazeed kamzori se AUD/USD 0.6700 se neeche gir sakti hai aur aaj ke low 0.6730 ke qareeb pohanch sakti hai, jahan 0.6700 ka psychological level dekha ja sakta hai.

Pair ke liye support levels 0.6731 aur 0.6711 par note kiye gaye hain, jabke resistance 0.6781, 0.6800, aur 0.6830 par observe kiya ja raha hai. Maujooda indicator signals kaafi negative hain, lekin oversold condition market correction ke imkaanat paida kar sakti hai. Is ke bawajood, bulls ki momentum kamzor rehne ki wajah se, technical analysis yeh zahir karti hai ke yeh pair sideways trading pattern mein rehti hai, jab tak koi aham bunyadi catalyst saamne nahin aata.

AUD/USD Price Study
Hum is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke price movement analysis par kaam kar rahe hain. Jumma ke din, is pair ko selling pressure ka saamna karna pada. Agar hum daily chart ko dekhein, toh mujhe kayi dino se ek sideways trend nazar aa raha hai. Sab se aham sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh bearish movement jari rahegi ya koi naya rukh ikhtiyar karegi. Aayiye, Monday ke liye technical analysis ka jaiza lete hain aur dekhte hain ke yeh humein kya raaye deta hai. Moving averages ne buy ka ishara diya hai, technical indicators bhi strongly buying ki taraf raagib hain, aur overall output bhi ek active buy ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical analysis Monday ke din ek bullish movement ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Ab zara dekhein, Monday ko pair se mutaliq aham khabron ki release par tawajjo dete hain. Australia se aham khabrein aane wali hain, jinke mutabiq tawakku hai ke yeh positivitiy dikhaengi. Main ummed karta hoon ke upward movement hogi, jahan buying 0.6786 ke resistance level tak pohanchne ki imkaan hai aur sale 0.6756 ke support level tak ho sakti hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke bullish movement shayad sideways trend ki hudood mein rahe.

AUD/USD ke liye, EMA indicator jo ke 100 period ke saath hai, iss waqt ek downward trend ko signal kar raha hai, jo ke market entry ko sirf selling opportunities tak mehdood karta hai. Short trend ko jaari rakhne ke liye entry point us waqt relevant hoga jab price Buyers' Zone se neeche solidify karegi. Buyers' Zone ko 0.678 par torne ki koshish ki gayi hai. Jab price 0.680 ke broken level se neeche rukh karegi ya phir 0.675 par fractured Buyers' Zone ko test karne ke liye retrace karegi, toh liquidity collection ek mozoon price entry ke liye muhayya kar sakti hai. Main lower time frame par short market mein enter hone ke liye signal ka intezar kar raha hoon ya phir broken level se neeche price ke mukammal rounding ka. Stop order Buyers' Zone par 0.674 par hoga, jo ke mere decision-making ke liye ek critical range hai. Lekin agar instrument mere Protective Order par wapas aata hai, toh yeh mere trading scenario ko invalid kar dega. Decline ke primary targets ka focus lower limit 0.662 ko haasil karne par hai.

AUD/USD Price Study
Hum is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke price movement analysis par kaam kar rahe hain. Jumma ke din, is pair ko selling pressure ka saamna karna pada. Agar hum daily chart ko dekhein, toh mujhe kayi dino se ek sideways trend nazar aa raha hai. Sab se aham sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh bearish movement jari rahegi ya koi naya rukh ikhtiyar karegi. Aayiye, Monday ke liye technical analysis ka jaiza lete hain aur dekhte hain ke yeh humein kya raaye deta hai. Moving averages ne buy ka ishara diya hai, technical indicators bhi strongly buying ki taraf raagib hain, aur overall output bhi ek active buy ko zahir karta hai. Yeh technical analysis Monday ke din ek bullish movement ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Ab zara dekhein, Monday ko pair se mutaliq aham khabron ki release par tawajjo dete hain. Australia se aham khabrein aane wali hain, jinke mutabiq tawakku hai ke yeh positivitiy dikhaengi. Main ummed karta hoon ke upward movement hogi, jahan buying 0.6786 ke resistance level tak pohanchne ki imkaan hai aur sale 0.6756 ke support level tak ho sakti hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke bullish movement shayad sideways trend ki hudood mein rahe.

AUD/USD ke liye, EMA indicator jo ke 100 period ke saath hai, iss waqt ek downward trend ko signal kar raha hai, jo ke market entry ko sirf selling opportunities tak mehdood karta hai. Short trend ko jaari rakhne ke liye entry point us waqt relevant hoga jab price Buyers' Zone se neeche solidify karegi. Buyers' Zone ko 0.678 par torne ki koshish ki gayi hai. Jab price 0.680 ke broken level se neeche rukh karegi ya phir 0.675 par fractured Buyers' Zone ko test karne ke liye retrace karegi, toh liquidity collection ek mozoon price entry ke liye muhayya kar sakti hai. Main lower time frame par short market mein enter hone ke liye signal ka intezar kar raha hoon ya phir broken level se neeche price ke mukammal rounding ka. Stop order Buyers' Zone par 0.674 par hoga, jo ke mere decision-making ke liye ek critical range hai. Lekin agar instrument mere Protective Order par wapas aata hai, toh yeh mere trading scenario ko invalid kar dega. Decline ke primary targets ka focus lower limit 0.662 ko haasil karne par hai.

morning! Aaj hum AUD/USD pair par forex trading ke liye meri raye discuss karein ge. Pichlay trading day par, main recommend karta hoon ke aap daily chart par nazar daalein, taake hum pair ki overall movement ko samajh sakein. Daily time frame par, price phir se barh gai thi jab ke pehle se hi yeh upar jaane ka rasta khol chuki thi. Magar price abhi bhi roki gayi aur daily resistance area mein reject hui, jo ke 0.6813x ke price range mein hai. Uske baad, price ne neeche jaane ki koshish ki aur kaafi low level tak pohonch gayi. Meri raye mein, agar price resistance ko paar nahi kar pati, toh yeh wapas daily support area ki taraf jaayegi jo ke 0.6763x ke price range mein hai. Halankeh price dobara se dominant hote hue upar barh gayi, magar apni highest resistance tak nahi pohonchi. Magar is cheez ko samajhna zaroori hai ke aaj ke liye price ka izafa zyada dominant ho sakta hai. Is waqt, sabse behtreen approach yeh hai ke hum intezar karein ke price resistance ko break kare aur agli resistance tak 0.6863x ke price par pohonche, ya phir reject ho kar neeche support 0.6712x ke aas paas gir jaaye. Iss current position mein, upar jaane ka rujhan abhi bhi hai, lekin neeche jaane ka bhi equal chance hai. Meri raye mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye aaj ka mood yeh hai ke agar resistance break ho jaaye toh buy karein, aur agar support break ho jaaye toh sell karein. Yeh last candlestick ke doji form par base karta hai, jo ke buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair daily opening level par trade kar raha hai jo ke balance mein lag raha hai. Aage ke price movements ko analyze karne ke liye, hum M30 time frame par nazar daal sakte hain. Yahan par do minor support aur resistance areas hain, ek 0.6787x price ke aas paas upar ki had par aur doosra 0.6778x price ke aas paas neeche ki had par. Yeh do areas aane wale time mein achi entry opportunities de sakti hain.

Tuesday ko spot price ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein shadeed nuqsan ka samna kiya, aur pair lagbhag 0.6740 ke qareeb gir gayi. Is girawat ke piche kuch aham wajahein hain, jin mein Cheen ki musalsal iqtisadi kamzoriyaan aur lohay ki girti hui keematain shamil hain. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, yeh pair abhi 0.6751 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai, jo Australian currency ke liye musalsal challenges ko zahir karti hai.
AUD/USD ke Bunyadi Asbaab:

USD Index (DXY), jo ke Greenback ko chand aham currencies ke muqable mein naapta hai, pichlay haftay se ek maidan mein hi hai. Tajiron ko abhi bhi Federal Reserve (Fed) ke rate cuts ke hawalay se zyada wazahat ka intizar hai. Tawajjoh ab agle US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index ki jari honay wali release par hai, jo ke mustaqbil ki Fed policy aur iske nateeje mein USD ki demand par asar andaz ho sakti hai.

Australian economy ki kamzori ke bawajood, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne ab tak rate cut karne mein hichkichaahat dikhai hai, jis ki waja musalsal barhti hui mehengai hai. Yeh ehtiyaati approach AUD ko mazboot rakhne aur mazeed nuqsan se bachane mein madadgar ho sakti hai. RBA se tawakku hai ke yeh G10 ke dosray central banks ke muqable mein sab se aakhir mein rates reduce karega, jo aakhir kar AUD ki girawat ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

AUD/USD pair ne volatility dikhayi hai, jo ek Fed policy statement ke baad 0.6730 tak gir gayi thi lekin iske baad thora sa recover hui. Muhim resistance levels 50, 100, aur 200-hour simple moving averages (SMAs) par hain, jo ke 0.6674, 0.6645, aur 0.6622 par hain. Agar yeh levels tor diye gaye, toh yeh pair mumkin hai ke 0.6600 mark ko test kare. Doosri taraf, mazeed kamzori se AUD/USD 0.6700 se neeche gir sakti hai aur aaj ke low 0.6730 ke qareeb pohanch sakti hai, jahan 0.6700 ka psychological level dekha ja sakta hai.

Pair ke liye support levels 0.6731 aur 0.6711 par note kiye gaye hain, jabke resistance 0.6781, 0.6800, aur 0.6830 par observe kiya ja raha hai. Maujooda indicator signals kaafi negative hain, lekin oversold condition market correction ke imkaanat paida kar sakti hai. Is ke bawajood, bulls ki momentum kamzor rehne ki wajah se, technical analysis yeh zahir karti hai ke yeh pair sideways trading pattern mein rehti hai, jab tak koi aham bunyadi catalyst saamne nahin aata.

AUD/USD ki price activity par ghore karte hue, hum is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. H1 timeframe se dekha jaye to candle 0.6810 par hai, jo resistance ko touch karne ke qareeb hai. Shayad AUD/USD thoda aur upar jaye iske baad, lekin iske baad kafi zyada niche girne ke chances hain. Agar yeh area break ho jata hai to price ka upar jana jaari reh sakta hai, lekin mera khayal hai ke AUD/USD ka upar jana sirf ek corrective move hai. Kyun ke ab tak candle supply area ko, jo ke 0.6810 par hai, cross nahi kar payi, mujhe lagta hai ke AUD/USD wapas niche girne wala hai.
Pehle se hi girawat kam dekhi gayi hai jab se price upar gayi thi. Abhi ke liye AUD/USD ke girne ke chances zyada hain. Ichimoku indicator ke analysis se pata chalta hai ke jab AUD/USD ka movement niche aya, to ek nai intersection hui jahan candle ki position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar thi. Is se yeh signal milta hai ke AUD/USD ke liye ab bhi upar jane ka ek chance hai. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi bataya tha, AUD/USD ab bhi apne qareebi resistance ko target kar raha hai jo ke 0.6810 par hai.

Stochastic indicator ke analysis se pata chalta hai ke AUD/USD overbought region mein chala gaya hai. Yeh baat line ke 80 level par pohanchne se sabit hoti hai. Jab se market ne phir se upar jana shuru kiya, AUD/USD overbought state mein hai. Mujhe yakeen hai ke kuch dair baad AUD/USD aur zyada girna shuru ho jayega. Aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke AUD/USD currency pair ab bhi girne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, lekin yeh tab hoga jab candle 0.6810 par pohanchti hai. Mera mashwara hai ke aap sirf sell positions par focus karein jab tak yeh area unexplored rehta hai. Aap apni take-profit goal ko 0.6700 ke qareebi support par set kar sakte hain, aur stop loss ko 0.6750 par set karein jo ke wahi support hai.

Agar main AUDUSD currency pair ke candlestick movement ki khasusiyat par tawajjo doon, jo daily timeframe ke chart par nazar aati hai, to yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke kal raat ki price movement abhi bhi bullish trend mein thi, lekin range zyada wasi nahi thi . Yeh surat-e-haal pichlay chand dinon se barabar hai. Is hafte ke trending market ke rukh se judge karte hue, jo ek direction mein upar ki taraf ja raha hai, lagta hai ke price bullish rally phase se guzar rahi hai, is liye is hafte trend ka rukh bhi pehlay ki tarah abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai Market ne Monday ko bullish movement shuru ki thi 0.6792 ke level se, aur kal raat ke market session tak yeh 0.6827 ke level tak barh gayi thi, aur abhi tak price 0.6804 ke level ke range mein neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Yeh nazar aata hai ke Thursday ki raat trading ke waqt closing price level abhi bhi Monday ke market ke opening price level se upar tha. Isi dauran, is hafte candlestick ki position lagta hai ke 2024 ke liye sab se zyada price level ko form karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke AUDUSD currency pair ke liye abhi bhi bullish trend ki taraf wapas janay ka moqa maujood hai.
Ab main indicators ko monitor karunga jo market ko analyze karne ke liye use kiye jate hain. MACD indicator (12,26,29) par dekha jaye, to wahan ek yellow dotted line hai jo upar ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai, aur histogram bar ka position bhi zero level se upar kafi lambi size ke sath nazar aata hai. Relative Strength Index indicator (14) par Lime Line ki position bhi level 70 ke kareeb pohanch rahi hai. Isi tarah, yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ki position bhi red Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke upar aaram se move kar rahi hai, jo daily timeframe mein market trend ke bullish condition mein hone ki tasveer pesh kart

AUD/USD pair ke liye market ka trend abhi bhi pichle haftay ke trend ke sath consistent lag raha hai kyunki candlestick ka direction aur purpose stable hai aur ek uptrend rally mein chal raha hai. Halaanki week ke darmiyan market mein kuch correction nazar aayi hai, lekin price weekly opening se neeche nahi gir saki. Agar hum Monday se Wednesday tak ke price journey ko dekhen, to buyers ke efforts abhi bhi nazar aa rahe hain jo price ko barhane ki koshish kar rahe hain, halaanki sellers ne price ko neeche le jane ki koshish ki hai. Trend ki situation upar jati hui lag rahi hai, jo ke decline ko rok sakti hai. Weekly trading position 0.6668 se shuru hui aur ek bullish candlestick ke sath close hui, jisme drastic increase range dekha gaya. Is situation se yeh wazeh hai ke market abhi bhi buyers ke control mein chal raha hai. Weekend holiday ke doran market mein kharid aur farokht ki activities ruk gayi hain. Mere khayal se aglay hafte ke liye buy position ka chunav trading ka focus hona chahiye kyunki AUD/USD market mein buyers ka asar abhi bhi kaafi mazboot lag raha hai. Agla bullish target shayad 0.6846 area ke qareeb test kiya jaye. Pichle kuch dino ki bullish journey aglay hafte continue hone ke achay chances hain. Week ke aghaz mein market ki situation mein kuch correction ho sakti hai, jo ke price ko 0.6756 ke aas paas le ja sakti hai. Middle of the week ke baad candlestick bullish trend ki taraf wapas aa sakti hai. Aaj ke analysis ka khulasa yeh hai ke main yeh predict karta hoon ke AUD/USD price journey ab bhi bullish trend ko continue karne ke indicators dikhai de rahi hai, jisse price buyer's destination ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agle hafte mein price ke upar janay ke chances hain aur shayad price higher levels test karna chahe. Agar yeh koshish kamiyab hoti hai, to price ke upar janay ke chances hain; Lekin agar yeh fail hoti hai, to price bearish side ki taraf gir sakti hai, jahan main predict karta hoon ke yeh 0.6716 position ko test karna chahegi.