ای aud/usd کی تجزیہ اور مارکیٹ کے رجحانات

AUD/USD ki price analysis par tabdeeli kar rahe hain. 0.6500 ke ird gird ek mazboot buniyad mili. Halankeh ek lambi niche ki wick wali candle thi, lekin price 0.6500 par stable ho gayi aur rebound kiya. Is pivot point ke sath, Andrews fork channel bullish trend ko darshata hai. Is channel mein price ne pichli girawat ke peak ko paar kar diya. Agar ye movement temporary nahi hai, to ye uptrend ke continuation ka izhaar hai. Oscillators bhi is bullish nazariyat ko support karte hain—histogram overbought zone ki taraf barh raha hai aur linear oscillator zero line ke upar hai. Aur price ne channel ke midpoint ko bhi paar kar diya hai. Iska matlab hai aage barhne ki sambhavnayein hain, aur 0.6834–0.6894 ka target range nazar aata hai, jo shayad 0.6939 tak bhi extend ho sakta hai.

Kal ke price movement ne US dollar ke market mein majbooti ke broader trend se milti-julti thi, jo thori decline ka sabab bana. Personal consumption expenditure index apne pichle value par stable raha, jo yeh darshata hai ke inflation kam nahi hui. Hourly chart par, price ek descending channel ke andar hai. Kal ke decline ke bawajood, price ne channel ke lower boundary ko nahi choo gaya. Monday se mujhe ek potential decline ki ummeed hai, price shayad channel ke lower limit 0.6744 tak ja sakti hai. Is level tak pohnchne par, ek reversal ho sakti hai jo price ko channel ke upper boundary 0.6802 tak le jaa sakta hai.

Hum yahaan 0.9110 ke resistance (R1) par tawajjo dete hain kyunke yeh ek mazboot resistance hai, kyunke qeemat baar baar isay paar kar chuki hai magar jhootay break ka samna karna para hai. Magar agar yeh successfully paar ho jaye, toh qeemat ke harakat ka rukh upar ki taraf jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Halanki, jo bullish trend ka rukh abhi chal raha hai, woh kamzor lag raha hai kyunke 50 EMA, jo pehle 200 SMA se faasla rakhta tha, ab nazdeek aa raha hai. Iske ilawa, oonchi qeemat 0.9126 se neechi qeemat 0.9042 tak ka tezi se girta hua rukh lagbhag SMA 200 ko dynamic support ke tor par chhoone mein kamyab ho gaya tha. Woh qeemat jo bullish trend ke rukh ko follow karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, woh EMA 50 ke upar mustaqil nahi reh payi hai.
Agar qeemat ki harkat do Moving Average lines ke darmiyan rehti hai, toh agle rukh ka taayun karne ke liye consolidation hoga. Jab volume price range tang ho jati hai, aur 50 EMA aur 200 SMA nazdeek aajate hain aur qeemat pivot point (PP) 0.9076 ke neechay rehti hai, toh support (S1) 0.9020 ko test karne ke imkaanat ziada hain bajaye phir se resistance (R1) 0.9110 ko test karne ke. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke zariye jo downtrend momentum nazar aa raha hai, woh abhi bhi current qeemat ki girawat rally ko support kar raha hai. Halanki histogram volume green hai aur level 0 ke qareeb hai, magar yeh abhi bhi negative area mein hai.

Neeche girti hui qeemat ki rally ko Stochastic indicator se bhi support mil raha hai. Kyunke overbought zone mein level 90 - 80 ke baad jo parameters cross hote hain, woh upar jaane wali qeemat ke liye overbought point ko zahir karte hain. Misal ke tor par, agar qeemat baad mein neeche jaane wali rally ko jaari rakhte hue support (S1) 0.9020 tak pohanch jaati hai, toh yeh support (S2) 0.8986 tak bhi jaari reh sakti hai kyunke faasla ziada nahi hai. Aapko yeh zaroor maloom hona chahiye ke support (S1) 0.9020 ek mazboot support hai kyunke pehle bhi qeemat ne isay baar baar paar karne ki koshish ki thi magar us kay baad upar ki taraf chal parhi.

Position entry setup:

Meri zati raye mein, trading options ka rukh ziada tar SELL ki taraf hai kyunke bullish trend ka rukh kamzor lag raha hai aur jab qeemat 0.9044 ki low price paar karne mein kamyab hoti hai, toh structure ka break hota hai. Entry position ko tab place karein jab yeh confirm ho jaye ke EMA 50 aur pivot point (PP) 0.9076 ke neechay close prices hain. Confirmation ke liye yeh bhi zaroori hai ke Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo overbought zone mein cross huye hain, woh level 80 ke neechay hoon. AO indicator ka downtrend momentum red histogram volume dikhana chahiye jo ke negative area mein ziada se ziada failey. Take profit ko support (S1) 0.9020 aur resistance (R1) ke kareeb place karein.

Kal humein Asia session ke aghaz mein bohot zyada volatility movement dekhnay ko mili, lekin uske baad sirf sideways movement nazar aayi. Aaj, main London aur New York sessions mein bhi high volatility movement ki umeed kar raha hoon. Aaj ke din main AUD/CAD ke 4 ghante ke time frame chart ko dekh raha hoon kyunke is waqt yeh ek wazeh tasveer dikha raha hai. Lekin technical analysis se pehle, main aaj ke din ke economic events ki tafseelat share karna chahta hoon. Tuesday ko kai macroeconomic events hain jo kafi ahem hain. Yeh sab kuch Germany mein shuru hota hai jahan GDP, retail sales, aur unemployment ke reports publish hongay. Jaise ke pehle, yeh data kuch secondry ahmiyat rakhta hai, magar agar in values mein significant farq aata hai, toh market reaction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. German GDP ke liye high value ki umeed mushkil hai, isliye euro ko is report se ziada support milne ka imkaan nahi.

European GDP aur inflation figures bhi Tuesday ke European market session mein samney aayengi. Beshak, yeh reports market ke liye ziada ahem hain. Market participants ka focus inflation data par hoga. Agar yeh forecast value 2.4% for April se ziada nahi hoti, toh euro ko mazid mazbooti milne ki koi wajah nahi. Agar yeh tez hoti hai, toh euro mazid correct ho sakta hai, kyunke is surat mein European Central Bank pehli monetary policy ko June se July tak delay kar sakti hai. Yeh sab news events London aur New York sessions mein release hongay.

Ab agar hum AUD/CAD ke technical point of view par tawajjo dein, agar hum 4 ghante ke chart par AUD/CAD cross currency pair par nazar daalain, toh qeemat ki harkat aur Stochastic Oscillator indicator ke darmiyan ek deviation nazar aati hai, jo ke daily orderblock @ 0.8957 se touch karti hai. Is se yeh lagta hai ke aanay walay dinon mein AUD/CAD 0.8918 tak kamzor ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, toh agla target 0.8891 hoga, aur agar momentum aur volatility support karti hai, toh 0.8778 ka level agla target ho sakta hai. Lekin agar raaste mein achanak ek strong correction aata hai jo 0.8918 ke level ko upar cross kar jata hai, toh pehle se described kamzori ka scenario invalid ho jata hai aur cancel ho jata hai.

AUD/CAD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
AUD/CAD currency ki qeemat ne naye support trend line ko 0.8900 se neeche break kiya aur phir significant tor par peechle daily pivot resistance point 0.8914 tak barh gayi. Speculators ko is AUD/CAD market performance se ziada faida hoga, aur jab yeh 0.8932 ke support level ko toray gi, toh yeh sellers ke liye mazeed positions execute karne ka rasta khol dega market close hone se pehle aur potential target ko 0.8883 area ke neeche set karega. Pichlay session mein qeemat 0.8907 tak gir gayi thi aur ab SMA-50 days cover kar rahi hai. Daily timeframe mein, oscillators neutral level se neeche move kar rahe hain. Yeh 23.30% Fibonacci retracement level ke neeche bhi gir chuki hai. Is liye, ye pair girne ka imkaan hai jaise hi bears significant support 0.8850 par hit karte hain. Lekin, open interest aur volume mein retrenchment yeh suggest karta hai ke mazeed girawat is waqt munasib nahi lagti. Darmiyan, is hafta essential 0.8790 target karne ki koshish ho rahi hai, jo SMA-20 days ke saath coinciding hai. Sellers ne bottom 0.8733 par control kiya aur baad mein rebound kar ke qeemat 0.8907 mark ke qareeb band kar di, jo ke bohot qareeb future recovery ke liye rasta kholti hai. Magar, agla target jo note karna chahiye woh hai 0.8968, jo SMA-200 days ke saath taluq rakhta hai aur peechlay support ke 0.8700 regions ke aas paas hai.




H-4 time frame ke doran, AUD/CAD currency ki qeemat mein kuch strong tendency dikhayi deti hai jo ke 0.8885 level ke test ki taraf move kar rahi hai, jo ke DXY ke positivity se mutasir hai. Jab tak qeemat is level ke neeche hai, hamara bearish review aaj ke liye valid aur effective rahega. Yeh 0.8864 ko aglay significant station ke tor par target karne ke liye bearish bias resume karne ka intezar karega, jo ke primary resistance convergence level ko test karega aur low 0.8906, coastal level dega. Toh buyers ziada chances hain ke agar kuch instruments yeh dikhayen ke qeemat neeche ki taraf intense tor par move kar rahi hai, 0.8920 ko tor kar aur is ke neeche settle hote hue descending wave ko resume karne ka rasta banaye gi aur 0.8878 ki taraf move kare gi. Is liye, hum aanay walay sessions mein mazeed girawat ki umeed karte hain, note karte hue ke 0.8927 level ko tor kar negative current pressure break hoga aur qeemat ko 0.8945-0.8963 ke darmiyan move karne ka rasta milega taake naye recovery efforts start kiye jaa sakein. Agar yeh level reject hota hai, toh negative pressure prevail karega, aur agar 0.8733 ke upar breach hoti hai, toh qeemat intraday gains hasil kare gi, jo ke ibtedai tor par 0.8790 hoga kisi bhi naye downward endeavor se pehle.

Main is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko samajhne ki koshish kar raha hoon. Aaj ke trading session ke dauran, yeh pair naye local highs par pahunch gaya tha, magar phir bearish retreat ki taraf chala gaya. Is movement ki wajah se daily candle mein ek prominent upper shadow aur bearish body nazar aayi. Yeh price pichle teen din se iss level par ghuma hua hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan taqat ke balance ko zahir karta hai. Extreme daily candle pattern ek potential bearish reversal ki taraf ishara karta hai. Chart par, 1/5 angle aur 25% support level (0.6546) se rebound hone ke baad, price 1/8 angle aur 50% resistance level (0.6918) se thoda niche hai. Bulls ke liye mumkin hai ke woh is resistance level tak correction ke baad pahunch sakein. Is liye, main daily time frame mein bullish trend ki tawakku kar raha hoon.



Aaj ki trading ke dauran, bears ne koshish ki ke price ko trading range ke average limit tak niche dhakel dein, lekin price abhi blue moving average se thoda niche trade kar raha hai. Yeh aham sawal hai ke bears kya yellow moving average se niche break kar sakte hain ya phir price beech mein se reverse karega? Main tawakku karta hoon ke AUD/USD quotes ki decline yellow moving average ki taraf continue karegi, jo ke 0.6751 par hai. Is level par pahunchne ke baad, main yeh andaza lagaoonga ke price niche break karegi aur support level 0.6705 ki taraf badhegi ya phir yellow average se rebound karke four-hour chart ke local maximum (jo ke 0.6815 par hai) ki taraf upar ki koshish karegi. Market entry ke hawale se, sirf buy positions lene ki soch hai agar 0.6705 level se rebound hota hai. Aaj, main daily time frame par focus kar raha hoon jahan bulls ab bhi uptrend ko push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, chand technical resistance ke bawajood recent highs par.

AUD/USD ka daily chart 2023 ke zyada tar hissa mein ek bohot hi volatile aur range-bound trading ko highlight karta hai, jahan ye pair 0.6400 ke aas paas major support aur 0.6900 ke aas paas resistance ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Is range mein kai liquidity zones (DLiq, 2 Top Liq, 2 Bottom Liq) aur Fair Value Gaps (FVG) shaamil hain, jo ke price action ke liye critical areas hain aur bulls aur bears dono ke liye opportunities faraham karte hain. Saal ke aghaz mein, pair ek bearish tone ke sath shuru hui, jahan 0.7000 level ke aas paas strong resistance ka samna karna pada. Price ko is zone se upar jaane mein mushkil hui, jis ke natayij mein kai failed attempts aur akhir kar ek broader downtrend ka reversal hua. 0.6700-0.6800 ke aas paas ka area ek key resistance level ke tor par samne aya, jahan price ne aksar Distribution Liquidity zones (DLiq) ke sath interact kiya, jo ke aam tor par strong selling pressure ka pata deti hain.








September 2024 ke qareebi weeks mein, pair ne ek bullish resurgence dikhayi, jahan 0.6400 support level se rebound karke pehle ke resistance zones, khaaskar 0.6700 ke aas paas, ko break kiya. Is move ko higher lows aur higher highs ke silsile ne support kiya, jo ke market sentiment mein potential shift ki nishani hai. 0.6700 level ke upar breakout significant hai, kyunki ye dikhata hai ke bulls ab strength gain kar rahe hain aur higher resistance levels, jese ke 0.6900, ko test karne ki potential rakhte hain. Magar, market abhi bhi cautious hai, kyunki pair 0.6900 level ke qareeb aane wala hai, jo ke historically ek strong resistance zone raha hai. Is level ke just upar ek Distribution Liquidity zone ki mojoodgi uncertainty mein izafa karti hai, kyunki ye rally ko cap kar sakti hai ya agar break hui to ek zyada sustained bullish move towards 0.7000 psychological level ka rukh kar sakti hai.

Agar downside pe dekha jaye, toh current levels se koi bhi rejection pair ko phir se 0.6600 ke aas paas support ko retest karte dekh sakti hai, aur agar bearish momentum pick up karta hai toh 0.6400 level tak further downside risk bhi ho sakta hai. Overall trend abhi bhi flux mein hai, aur market 0.6900 level ko closely watch kar raha hai taake breakout ya reversal ke signs ko dekha ja sake. Nateeja ye hai ke AUD/USD abhi ek critical juncture par hai, jahan 0.6900 resistance level bulls ke liye ek key hurdle ka kaam kar raha hai. Agar is level ke upar ek decisive break ho jata hai, toh ye further gains ke liye raasta khol sakta hai towards 0.7000, jabke agar ye momentum sustain nahi hota toh pair wapas 0.6600-0.6400 support zone ki taraf retreat kar sakta hai. Traders ko in key levels ke aas paas confirmation signals dekhne chahiye taake agle directional move ko gauge kar sakein.

AUDUSD currency pair ke H4 timeframe par achi signal mil chuki hai, aur ab analysis karna zaroori hai. AUDUSD ki price support se niche gir chuki hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke sellers ne market ko dominate kar liya hai. Filhal ki highest price 0.68189 hai jo ke pehli highest price 0.68264 se kam hai. Aisi movement yeh indicate karti hai ke AUDUSD downtrend mein hai, isliye sell opportunities dekhni chahiye. Filhal AUDUSD ki price lower Bollinger Bands ke aas-paas move kar rahi hai, toh iska matlab hai ke price middle Bollinger Bands ki taraf upar jaa sakti hai. Price ki consistent aur significant kamzori, jo stochastic oscillator ke level 20 se nazar aati hai, yeh indicate karti hai ke price oversold hai, aur isliye price level 80 ki taraf upar jaa sakti hai. Bollinger Bands aur Stochastic Oscillator indicators ke zariye dekha jaye toh AUDUSD price correction ke liye rise kar sakti hai.


AUDUSD price analysis ke results trend ke sath align honge. Agar aap puri tarah se yakin hain ke AUDUSD price kamzor hogi, tab bhi turant sell transaction na karein. Thoda sabr rakhein aur price ke base supply tak pahunchne ka intezaar karein taake sahi price mil sake. Sell tab kiya ja sakta hai jab bearish pinbar ya engulfing candle ki confirmation mil jaye jiska candle body base supply ke niche ho, with a stop loss at 0.68190 above the base supply aur take profit at 0.67123 above the base demand. Agar price base supply se upar chali jaye, toh sell signal expire ho jayega kyunki trend direction mein reversal ho gaya hai. Agar price base supply tak pahunchne se pehle niche chali jaye, toh sell transaction ko force na karein kyunki technical requirements fulfill nahi hoti. Transaction pending order buy limit price 0.67123 par kiya ja sakta hai above the base demand, kyunki AUDUSD ne selling saturation experience kiya hai, with a stop loss at 0.66998 below the base demand aur take profit at 0.68013 below the base supply.

Mazboot Australian July employment data Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke liye kuch pareshani ka sabab ban sakta hai. Full-time employment mein mazid izafa ho sakta hai jo RBA ko New Zealand ki tarah poori tarah se easing mood mein jane se rok sakta hai, aur shayad ye Waqt September mein Fed ke liye bhi dekhne ko milay, jaise ke ING ke FX strategist Chris Turner ne kaha. "Iska matlab yeh hai ke Australian Dollar (AUD) cross pairs mein acha perform karega. August ke shuru mein AUD/NZD ke girne ka matlab hai ke investors ne is cross ko upar trade karne ki umeed rakhi thi, magar yen-triggered deleveraging ne isko unwind kar diya. Ab hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh cross mid-July ke 1.1150 highs ko phir se test kare. "Agar Fed September mein cut kare aur US yield curve aur ziada steep ho jaye, to EUR/AUD neeche aana chahiye. Magar yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke China ki macro weakness AUD ko yahan rokh rahi ho. Overall, ek mahine ka target 0.68 hai AUD/USD ke liye. **AUD/USD** Budh ke din, Australian dollar ne 0.6640 ka target level haasil kar liya, phir wahan se (MACD line aur 61.8% Fibonacci level se) neeche chala gaya, aur aaj subah 0.6570 ke support ko chhoo gaya. Yeh izafa Australia mein employment data ke release hone ke wajah se hua—Australia mein July mein 58,200 jobs create hui, jab ke forecast 20,200 thi, aur participation rate 66.9% se barh kar 67.1% hogayi, jiski wajah se ultimately unemployment 4.1% se barh kar 4.2% hogayi. Magar investors ne in data ko overall positive samjha. Iske ilawa, Japan ka GDP dusre quarter mein 3.1% barh gaya, jab ke umeed 2.1% ki thi
Price ko 0.6640 ke strong resistance ko overcome karna hoga ziada substantial movement ke liye, kam az kam 0.6680 ka target level haasil karne ke liye. Jab ke raw materials abhi bhi gir rahe hain, yeh sirf tab mumkin hai jab U.S. dollar globally weak ho jaye. Filhaal, yeh ek neutral position mein hai
4-hour chart mein, price balance line (red moving average) ke upar hai, aur Marlin oscillator wapas growth territory mein chala gaya hai. Nateeja tan, aussie abhi neutral range mein hai 0.6570-0.6640 ke darmiyan. Is range ke beyond breakout hi uske aage ka movement tay karega

AUD/USD Halka Faida Dekhta Hai Mukhtalif Global Data Ke Beech:

US Federal Reserve ke Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index ne July mein 2.5% YoY ka izafa darj kiya, jo ke bazaar ke andazon se kam hai. Yeh halki si inflation ka izafa US dollar ko kuch madad de raha hai. China ke NBS Manufacturing PMI ne August mein 49.1 par gir gaya, jo ke is shetra mein recession ko darshata hai, jabke Non-Manufacturing PMI thoda sa barh kar 50.3 ho gaya. Investors Caixin Manufacturing PMI ki ummeed kar rahe hain, jo ke 50.0 tak barh sakta hai aur is se Australian dollar par asar pad sakta hai, kyunke China ke trade ties Australia ke saath hain. Halankeh US dollar majboot hai, Reserve Bank of Australia ki mukhtasir hawkish stance AUD/USD pair ko zyada girawat se bacha sakti hai. RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser ne is baat ka ishaara diya hai ke mojooda interest rates global standards ke mutabiq hain, jo rate cuts ke imkanaat ko kam kar dete hain.

Aane Wali Data Jo Volatility La Sakti Hai
Traders aane wale reports par tawajjo de rahe hain, khaaskar Chinese economic data aur US Nonfarm Payrolls report, jo bazaar mein zyada volatility la sakti hai aur Federal Reserve aur RBA ke future monetary policies ko asar de sakti hai.

Technical Outlook: Bearish Engulfing Pattern Aur Resistance 0.6760 Par
Daily chart par bearish engulfing pattern dikhayi de rahi hai, jo ke niche ki taraf pressure ka ishaara deti hai. 0.6760 par resistance mazboot hai, aur price action iske upar nahi ja pa rahi, jo ke 50-day Moving Average ki taraf corrective move ka ishaara hai. Falling wedge pattern ke banne se aage bhi bearish momentum ka ishaara milta hai.

Hourly Chart Dikhata Hai Seller Ka Dominance: Bearish Order Block 0.6781 Par
Hourly chart par price action ne bearish structure le liya hai, aur recent low ko tod diya hai. 0.6781 ke aas-paas ek bearish order block hai jo strong selling zone ko darshata hai. Agar price is level ko dubara reject karti hai, to ek zyada strong selling signal ban sakta hai, jo 0.6723 tak target kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD Forum (Australian Dollar - US Dollar): Charts, Reviews

H4 timeframe
Juli ke aghaz ke doran, price neeche gayi aur seller ka control tha. Market lagbhag teen hafton tak bearish raha. Lekin jab market August ke aghaz mein aayi, to candlestick bullish side ke sath chalne lagi aur 0.6404 ke sabse neeche ke level se door hone lagi. Agar aap pichle kuch dino ki market conditions ko dekhain, to bearish correction ka signal mil raha hai, magar jab market is hafte ke aghaz pe aayi, to price bullish lagti hai aur 100-period simple moving average ke upar rehne lagi jo buyers ke control ko mazid majbooti deta hai.

Agar aap pichle haftay aur usse pehle ke market journey ko dekhein, to thoda downward correction dekhne ko mila hai, aur phir upward trend lambe arse tak chal sakta hai ya kaha ja sakta hai ke agle market situation mein bullish side chalne ka mauka hai. Pichle hafte ki market conditions 0.6767 pe close hui, aur 4-hour timeframe se yeh dikhayi deta hai ke buyers market pe stable hain, aur price ko upar le kar ja rahe hain. Aaj subah tak candlestick thodi neeche hai lekin 100-period simple moving average line ke upar hai.

Agar market trend ko benchmark ke tor par liya jaye, to shuruat mein bullish side chalne ki zyada ummeed hai, isliye agle trade ke liye AUD/USD pair ki price upar ki taraf chal sakti hai. Agar buyers price ko 0.6794 tak le aaye, to agla Uptrend journey target 0.6838 ke around ho sakta hai.

Transaction Options:
Buy in the area of 0.6794, Take Profit: 0.6839, Stop Loss: 0.6766

AUD/USD Pair Technical Analysis

Chalo baat karte hain ke AUD/USD currency pair ki price kaise behave kar rahi hai aur is se kya analysis nikalti hai. Naye candlesticks ke configurations aur RSI indicators ke signals se lagta hai ke ek bullish reversal hone wala hai. Japanese candlesticks ke muqable, Heiken Ashi smoother aur averaged price provide karti hai, jo technical analysis ko asaan banati hai aur trading accuracy ko barhati hai. RPV channel indicator (jo red, blue, aur yellow lines dikhata hai) do baar smooth ki gayi moving averages ka use karke support aur resistance lines banata hai, jo clearly instrument ke movement ki boundaries ko outline karta hai. RSI indicator ko Heiken Ashi ke sath ek additional filtering oscillator ke taur par use kiya gaya hai aur is combination ke positive results dekhe gaye hain. Main is position ko tab tak barqarar rakhunga jab tak 61.8% tak nahi pohnch jata.

Pair Technical Analysis time scale par, do calculated levels aage ki upward movement ke raaste mein hain. Pehla level average monthly range ke qareeb hai, jo 0.68125 par hai, isse lagta hai ke price ke rebound hone ka potential hai is range ke beech: 0.68125 aur 0.68225. Dusra option ye hai ke price shayad thodi der ke liye pause kare pehle ke level tak pohnchne se pehle, jo 0.68551-0.68696 zone mein hai. Channel ka upper boundary bhi qareeb hai. AUD/USD daily time frame par aur bhi growth ke liye tayar hai, jo ek aise event ke khatam hone ka nishan hai jo lagbhag ek saal se chal raha tha. Currency pair ek narrowing triangle mein trade kar rahi thi, jo is hafte finally break out ho gaya. Pair Technical Analysis time frame par growth ka third wave imminent hai, lekin iske liye Aussie ko pehle wave ke top 0.6869 level ko break karna padega. Ab tak sab kuch theek chal raha hai.

AUD/USD D1 chart par:

Simple Moving Average 150 aur Simple Moving Average 60 indicators upar ki taraf ja rahe hain, isse ye lagta hai ke ye halaat kal tak, yani hafte ke aakhri din tak, barqarar reh sakte hain agar buyers market ko 0.6600 ke price level ke upar barqarar rakhne mein kamiyab rahte hain. MACD indicator ke signals ko dekh kar yeh saaf hai ke histogram bar ki position chhoti hoti ja rahi hai aur zero level ke qareeb aa rahi hai, jabke yellow dotted MACD signal line upar ki taraf mud rahi hai jo ke bullish trend ko darshata hai. Relative Strength Index (14) ki Lime line abhi bhi consistently level 50 par play kar rahi hai. Teen support indicators ki monitoring ke results se yeh pata chalta hai ke trend abhi bhi bullish hai.

Technical analysis mein, choti time frames jese ke H4 par price action ka mutalia bohot ahem hai traders ke liye jo short-term movements se faida uthana chahte hain aur broader market trends ke sath align rahna chahte hain. H4 time frame emerging trends aur potential entry ya exit points dhoondhne ke liye behtareen hai. Yeh lower time frames aur longer-term daily ya weekly charts ke darmiyan ka gap bharata hai. Iss waqt ke setup ke madde nazar, aisa lagta hai ke AUD/USD ki upward movement continue rahegi, kam se kam short to medium term ke liye. AUD ki recent strengthening against USD technical indicators aur price action se support hoti hai. Key support aur resistance levels ko nazar mein rakhna chahiye jab pair is bullish environment mein trade kar raha hai. Agar price apni upward momentum ko barqarar rakhti hai, to next significant resistance level traders ke liye ek potential target ban sakta hai. AUD/USD pair H4 time frame par bullish trend dikhata hai, jo ke recent price action aur broader market sentiment ke hawale se ek weaker US dollar ko favor kar raha hai. Lekin traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye, kyunke market continuously evolve hota rehta hai, aur naye developments pair ke trajectory ko impact kar sakte hain. Key economic indicators ko monitor karna aur global market developments se updated rehna trading ke liye zaroori hai.

**AUD/USD Mein Halki Faidaat Aur Mukhtalif Global Data:**

US Federal Reserve ka Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index July mein 2.5% YoY barh gaya, jo ke market ke expectations se kam hai. Yeh halki si inflation ki izafa US dollar ko kuch madad de raha hai. China ka NBS Manufacturing PMI August mein 49.1 tak gir gaya, jo ke sector ke contraction ko darshata hai, jabke Non-Manufacturing PMI thoda barh kar 50.3 ho gaya. Investors Caixin Manufacturing PMI ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke 50.0 tak phir se barh sakta hai, jo Australian dollar ko China ke trade ties ke wajah se asar انداز kar sakta hai. US dollar ki mazbooti ke bawajood, Reserve Bank of Australia ki nisbatan hawkish stance AUD/USD pair ko zyada girawat se bachaye rakh sakti hai. RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser ne is baat ka ishaara diya ke mojooda interest rates global standards ke mutabiq hain, jo rate cuts ke chances ko kam karte hain.

**Aane Wali Ahem Data Jo Volatility Laa Sakti Hai:**

Traders ahem aane wale reports par nazar rakh rahe hain, khaaskar Chinese economic data aur US Nonfarm Payrolls report, jo ke bazaar mein bade changes aur dono Federal Reserve aur RBA ke future monetary policies ko asar انداز kar sakti hain.

**Technical Outlook: Bearish Engulfing Pattern Aur 0.6760 Par Resistance:**

Daily chart par bearish engulfing pattern nazar aa raha hai, jo ke downward pressure ki mumkinah ishaara hai. 0.6760 par resistance mazboot hai, aur price action iske upar nahi ja pa rahi, jo ke 50-day Moving Average ki taraf correction ka ishara kar raha hai. Falling wedge pattern ki formation bhi bearish momentum ka ishaara hai.

**Hourly Chart Mein Seller Ki Dominance: 0.6781 Par Bearish Order Block:**

Hourly chart par price action bearish structure ki taraf shift ho gaya hai, aur recent low ko break kar diya hai. 0.6781 ke aas-paas bearish order block hai jo strong selling zone ko darshata hai. Agar price is level ko reject kar deti hai, to ek strong selling signal mil sakta hai, jo ke 0.6723 tak ke target ko indicate kar sakta hai.

Meri raye mein, AUD/USD currency pair ka movement ab bhi bullish reh sakta hai aur aage bhi barhne ka imkaan hai. Mein filhaal BUY setup dhoond raha hoon jisme bullish potential ho 0.6855 level tak, agar yeh target achieve ho gaya toh price aur upar jaane ke liye confident ho jayega. Lekin agar yeh target miss ho gaya, toh price phir se neeche girne ka imkaan hai.

Market trend ne pichle kuch dinon mein bullish condition dikhayi hai, aur buyers kaafi potential rakhte hain ke price ko upar le ja sakein. Lekin abhi market downward correction karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke subah se dekhne mein aa raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ka line ab bhi level 50 ke upar hai, jo ke bullish trend ka indication hai. Candlestick ab bhi 0.6780 price level ke upar hai, jo ke upward movement ko dikhata hai.

Is haftay ke price movement mein bullish momentum dominant raha hai, aur mere analysis ke mutabiq, price ke bullish trend mein dobara jaane ke imkaanat hain jab tak market kal subah band nahi hota. Hum apne har technique ke mutabiq BUY trading entry ke signals dhoond sakte hain. Agar market analysis ke mutabiq chala, toh profit kamane ka potential barh jayega.

AUD/USD mein additional purchasing opportunities hain aur price 0.67622 zone ko cross kar sakta hai. Lekin yaad rahe ke trading mein ihtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, khas tor pe jab news data release ho raha ho. High trade volumes se volatility aur risk barh sakta hai, jo ke trades ko manage karna challenging bana sakta hai. News release ke waqt market sharp aur unpredictable movements dikha sakta hai, jo ke agar theek se manage na kiya jaye toh significant losses ka sabab ban sakti hain. Is liye moderate volumes mein trade karna aur risk management strategies jaise ke stop-loss orders lagana aur pre-determined levels par profit lena, yeh sab zaroori hain.



Aaj ke liye, ek short objective ke sath 0.68355 par buy order lagana humare liye kaafi hoga. Apne trading approach ko diversify karna fluctuations ko mitigate karne mein madad kar sakta hai, jo ke high volatility ke dauran hoti hain. Sirf ek strategy pe depend hone ke bajaye, technical aur fundamental analysis ka combination use karke informed trading decisions lena behtreen rahega.

Technical analysis tools jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur oscillators use karke hum potential entry aur exit points identify kar sakte hain. Moving averages jaise ke 50-day aur 200-day moving averages overall trend ka insight dete hain aur humein ye determine karne mein madad karte hain ke market bullish phase mein hai ya bearish phase mein. Trend lines se hum support aur resistance levels identify kar sakte hain, jabke oscillators jaise ke RSI (14) overbought ya oversold conditions indicate kar sakta hai. In tools ko price action ke thorough analysis ke sath combine karna humein accurate trading decisions lene mein madad karega.

AUD/USD daily chart 2023 mein significant volatility aur range-bound trading ko highlight karta hai, jahan pair 0.6400 ke major support aur 0.6900 ke resistance ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha tha. Ye range kai liquidity zones (DLiq, 2 Top Liq, 2 Bottom Liq) aur Fair Value Gaps (FVG) se characterized hai, jo ke price action ke liye critical areas hain, jo dono bulls aur bears ko opportunities provide karti hain. Pair ne saal ki shuruat bearish tone ke saath ki, jahan 0.7000 level ke aas-paas strong resistance face kiya. Price is zone ko todne mein naksam rahi, jo ke kai failed attempts aur broad downtrend ki reversal mein lead kiya. 0.6700-0.6800 ke aas-paas area key resistance level ban gaya, jo ke Distribution Liquidity zones (DLiq) ke frequent interaction se highlighted hai, jo aam tor par strong selling pressure ke areas indicate karti hai.

Recent hafton mein, jo ke September 2024 ke aas-paas hain, pair ne bullish resurgence dikhaya hai, 0.6400 support level se rebound karke aur pehle ke resistance zones, khaaskar 0.6700 ke aas-paas, ko tod diya hai. Ye move higher lows aur higher highs ke series se supported hai, jo market sentiment mein potential shift ko signal kar raha hai. 0.6700 level ke upar breakout significant hai kyunki ye suggest karta hai ke bulls ko strength mil rahi hai, aur higher resistance levels, jaise 0.6900, ko test kar sakte hain. Lekin, market cautious hai kyunki pair 0.6900 level ke paas aa raha hai, jo ke historically strong resistance zone raha hai. Is level ke just upar ek Distribution Liquidity zone bhi hai, jo uncertainty ko badhaata hai, kyunki ye rally ko cap kar sakta hai ya agar ye break hota hai, toh ye zyada sustained bullish move ki taraf lead kar sakta hai, jo ke 0.7000 psychological level tak pahuncha sakta hai.

Downside par, agar current levels se rejection hota hai toh pair 0.6600 ke aas-paas support ko retest kar sakta hai, aur agar bearish momentum badhta hai toh 0.6400 level tak bhi ja sakta hai. Overall trend abhi bhi flux mein hai, aur market 0.6900 level ko closely dekh raha hai, breakout ya reversal ke signs ke liye. Conclusively, AUD/USD ek critical juncture par hai, jahan 0.6900 resistance level bulls ke liye key hurdle ban raha hai. Is level ko decisively break karne se 0.7000 tak further gains ka raasta khul sakta hai, jabke agar momentum sustain nahi hota toh pair 0.6600-0.6400 support zone ki taraf wapas aa sakta hai. Traders ko in key levels ke aas-paas confirmation signals dekhni chahiye taake next directional move ko gauge kiya ja sake.